Bitcoin BTC price analysis after crash📈 OKX:BTCUSDT held above the key psychological level of $100,000, remaining within the long-term uptrend 💪
💀 Altcoins suffered heavy losses — liquidity vanished across the board.
This highlights the importance of balance:
🔸 20% in low-cap alts
🔸 80% in resilient assets
💰 The official $19–20B liquidation figure seems understated —
data suggests the cascade started on CEX platforms after algorithmic issues and liquidity gaps.
📊 Fear & Greed Index: 38 — still fear, volatility ahead ⚠️
🇺🇸 The U.S. market open could set the tone for the week 🎢
💭 Do you expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to retest lower levels before the next leg up?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
Trade ideas
BTC/USDTIn 1H tf we see red candles and make new lower/breakout prices, now we are in 15-30m tf and we see a perfect correction wave and with fibo zone we are perfect to 61.8 zone, this zone rejected perfectly the price and make a pressure and create resistance, now we need more corrective wave and to make a breakout form this fibo zone (61.8 gold zone) from retracement and to break the trend of wave correction and go more down till to our tp, lets see..GL
Long Idea Bitcoin 🧭 Bitcoin Long Setup – Expansion Phase Incoming
After an aggressive selloff and redistribution phase, Bitcoin has built a clean accumulation base around 106k–107k, showing clear signs of seller exhaustion and liquidity hunts. The breakout above the descending trendline confirms a potential trend reversal and entry into the expansion phase.
I’m entering long around 107k, with a stop near 105k and targets at 120k–130k, stretching up to 140k if momentum sustains. The structure aligns with Wyckoff accumulation and liquidity-trap patterns, backed by favorable October seasonality and improving macro sentiment.
As long as BTC holds above the accumulation range, I expect continuation toward the green zone and possibly a new local high. A breakdown below 105k would invalidate this setup.
Bitcoin: Is the Dip Reaching Its Final Phase?After the sharp correction from the 118K zone, Bitcoin has entered a descending channel that now overlaps with key structural supports.
Based on price symmetry and momentum exhaustion, we can identify three major demand zones where potential buy reactions are expected:
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🟩 Buy Zone 1 – $109,400
• Short-term liquidity pocket within the descending wedge.
• Possible local rebound target: $112,000 – $113,000.
• Ideal for scalpers or short-term reversion traders.
🟩 Buy Zone 2 – $107,600
• Confluence of horizontal support and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest swing.
• A clean bounce from here could form a bullish divergence on 2H RSI.
• Medium-term buy setup if confirmed by volume expansion.
🟩 Buy Zone 3 – $105,500
• Strong institutional support and demand imbalance area (visible from Sept 28th accumulation).
• The last major defense before the macro uptrend structure breaks.
• Best risk/reward for swing entries aiming for $114K–$116K.
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Scenario Summary:
• 📉 As long as BTC remains below $111.5K, short-term pressure persists.
• 📈 However, the reaction from these zones could mark the end of wave (C) of the ongoing corrective structure — paving the way for a new impulsive leg upward.
• Confirmation trigger: break & hold above $112.8K.
⸻
Conclusion
Bitcoin is nearing a critical inflection zone where smart money might start reloading.
Each of the highlighted supports offers a structured risk-controlled opportunity, but patience and confirmation are key before going long.
Bitcoin Market Update - October 18, 2025
So, on Bitcoin, we’ve seen quite a ride lately, a correction, a strong pump, some sideways movement, it’s been a journey full of ups and downs, but a rewarding one overall.
Right now, I believe we’re at a point where a correction is due. Bitcoin could move up toward $65,000, or it might dip below that level. It depends on time, which is always a key factor in my trading.
Another important aspect for me is scenario preparation. When you look at my chart above, you’ll see I always prepare two scenarios, long and short and I often hedge accordingly. Could Bitcoin fall all the way to $60,000? It’s possible, though unlikely at the moment. What seems more probable is that we’ll face strong resistance on the upside. We’ve broken out of the previous parallel channel and sideways range, but there’s still heavy resistance ahead. It would take a very strong catalyst to push higher from here.
For me, the preferred scenario is to look for an entry around $61,000–$62,000, but I’ll wait until Monday’s stock market open to take any new trades. I don’t trade weekends, and it’s currently 2 a.m. on Friday, October 18, so I’ll stay flat until the markets reopen.
That said, recent trades have been solid. My portfolio has performed well, even during the altcoin crash that wiped out over 1.5 million accounts through liquidations. I wasn’t one of them because I had prepared for this scenario. I shorted Ethereum perfectly, took profits, and added to positions where it made sense. My focus, as always, was on institutional flow, understanding where the big money is moving.
Now, on Bitcoin, I’m watching a key liquidation zone around $74,000, which I call the maximum pain zone. This is typically where trapped longs start exiting their positions, creating opportunities for larger players to step in.
We also have the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) aligning near that area, which gives us an idea of where the true average price lies based on traded volume. That’s an important level to monitor.
I wanted to share this idea with you. If it helps or adds value, give it a like, share it, and drop a comment with your thoughts or critiques. If this post reaches 10+ likes, I’ll post a TradingView update with the latest analysis and scenarios for the upcoming week.
BITCOIN BTCUSDTI dont know the possibility of price to push into 110,501.9 sell zone ,this is the most preferred sell structure based on break and retest at the trend angle of breakout and SMA has an indicated on that layer.
if we get to 110,500 sell and target 94$ and final target will be 89$ ,then wait for another setup.
goodluck
#bitcoin #btc
$BTC Bullish or Bearish? Things are starting to shift!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently showing clear signs of trend shift on Daily TF, potentially moving from bullish to bearish momentum.
Here’s what I’m watching 👇
Bearish Scenario: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes today’s daily candle below 107.5K, it could extend drop toward 97.7K zone marked on chart below.
Bullish Scenario: To regain strength, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must close above 115K on daily. Otherwise, 97K zone as a solid opportunity for buyers after reversal.
For now, I’m staying on the sidelines, waiting for clear buying momentum before planning any entries.
Things are starting to shift - detailed market update will be shared after today’s daily close.
BTC – UTAD locked in at $126K → short the rips : Revised BTC – UTAD locked in at $126K → short the rips 🎯
Context
Wyckoff: BC → AR → ST → UT → UTAD @ $126K. Failure to accept above range = LPSY developing.
Auction/SMC: Rejected VAH $119.6K/bear OB $118.7–$122.0K. Liquidity pools stacked below $111.8K → $104K.
TA/Mean-reversion: 2D H&S + lower-highs; momentum rolling over; late Stage-2 extension reverting toward value.
Trade Plan (short bias)
Primary entry zone: $119.6K–$121.5K (sell rallies into UTAD supply).
Confirmation add: Lose/close < $118.7K (back inside value).
Invalidation: Daily acceptance > $121.5K; hard stop > $123K.
Targets – ladder out
$114.1K–$111.8K – first shelf / mid.
$108.9K–$107.2K – neckline/ICE.
$104.0K – composite POC magnet.
$100K – psych / VA-Low.
$95.1K → $90K – weekly support if momentum persists.
🔻 Extended path: $86–$82K zone → $73K final (weekly demand cluster highlighted on your 2D chart).
Risk & Management
Size in tranches; trail above lower-highs. If price reclaims $121.5K with volume, step aside—UTAD failure scenario.
One-liner:
UTAD at $126K + rejection under $120K hands control to sellers. I’m selling rips into 120–121.5K, adding on <118.7K, and scaling profits: 114K → 109K → 104K → 100K → 95/90K, with an extended glidepath to 86–82K and potentially 73K if the weekly breakdown accelerates.
BTC - Another Wick Down to 35,000Per this parallel ascending Channel breakdown - expect another large wick to the downside.
Short Entry - 111,200 to 112,500
Stop Loss - 112,700
Target 1 - 97,350
Target 2 - 64,700
Target 3 - 36,100
This is the first wick down of a 3 wave corrective movement.
I will break the trade down into smaller segments.
For the larger idea see related post “Ultimate Swing Short”
- DD
BTC market snapshotBTC 100k — key level, global uptrend line, psychological mark.
Fibonacci correction: 23.6% — classic retracement; if the pullback exceeds 50% — harmful for growth; if correction is below 25% — trend remains strong and likely to continue.
Compression of highs.
Monthly timeframe still bearish — high probability of testing 100k.
Ah ha! I found the right one. Changing good into great!!I have coded many AI models from scratch to ensure we have the best tech available
Although my favorite model did really well, the tail end of the forecast could have been better
So I went to the 'Mixture of Experts' model and saw it had the correct forecast. PHEW!!
GREATNESS REMAINS!
Bitcoin is going to the hell???hi follow me , boost this post and read
everything shows me that bull trend is over , weakness in highs , candles and the momentum
the targets for retracement is 83 to 74 and after that 50k
i know its hard to hear that but this is market he do what he wants so accept it.
thank you. i reply to questions anytime.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #194👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin today, the market has calmed down a bit, and we can perform some analysis.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has reached a support level around $109,000 and has shown a reaction to this level.
⭐ After the heavy drop that occurred two days ago, the open interest and market volume have decreased significantly, which clearly indicates that market participants are currently indecisive.
✨ Yesterday, the price reacted to the support zone on Bitcoin, and a significant resistance was created around $112,420, which it has now reached again.
💥 The RSI oscillator has finally moved out of the Oversell zone, and it’s currently below the 50 level.
🧮 Although there’s still fear and a bearish momentum in the market, breaking the $112,420 resistance could be a very risky long trigger.
✔️ Personally, I’m waiting and observing. However, for those who like to open positions every day, breaking this resistance is the only long trigger I can provide.
💡 For a short position, we could enter after the price breaks below the level. I’m passing on this position for now and will wait for a confirmation to search for a short trigger after the price stabilizes below this zone.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC market snapshotBTC — we’re seeing a period of indecision between both sides, which often happens after strong moves. We just had an abnormal drop, but as long as we’re above 108K, I still allow for the possibility of a new ATH, despite the global short signal.
On the 2-week TF, there’s a clear compression pattern that often leads to an upside breakout. On the monthly TF, the major drop hasn’t even started yet.
For now, the market is waiting for liquidity — and there’s already plenty of it: around $18B in open short positions in the 123–127K zone. Very interesting setup.