Bitcoin (BTC): 100 EMA Holds | Entering Into Bear Market SoonBitcoin buyers are not giving away that 100 EMA easily; they hold this zone and as long as we are above that mark, we are looking for one last bullish movement here.
Now if we talk about cycle times and how long each cycle has been lasting, we can assume that we are about to enter the bearish market, but one last push should follow before the dip.
So we are looking for a bearish market to start around Dec-March, as soon as we get that one last pump.
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Trade ideas
BTCUSDT: Trend in 1-H time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the three accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
BITCOIN SIGNAL: ONE MORE DUMP BEFORE PUMP??? (warning)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Final 2025 Forecast for BTCUSDT 28th November 2025 (Updated)Same idea as previous post, just zoomed in to see the potential gyrations towards to move towards ~$128k and hopefully beyond ✌️
1. Friday session dip to around ~$81k
2. Pump to around ~$87k over the weekend
3. Dump down to ~$80k for Monday Trap
4. Black Friday Pump to ~$89k
5. Max Pain Dump to ~$75k-$79k
6. Final pump to ~$128k to end the cycle
If we are lucky and price pullbacks from ~$128k and then exceeds it. Here are the targets I would be looking at;
Target #1 $140k-$145k,
Target #2 $170k-$175k
Target #3 $200k-$205k
This of course could be 100% wrong so remember (as always) to ruthlessly ✂️ cut your losers when wrong, and hold ✊ onto your winners when right.
--
I might also add, come early December 1st - 5th the following celestial events will take place which support the run up to $128k (and possibly beyond);
1. Super Full Moon (“Cold Moon”) 🌖
• On December 4, 2025, there’s a nearly full moon (~98% illuminated). 
• This will be a supermoon, meaning the Moon appears slightly larger and brighter than average. 
• The Moon is in Taurus, and near the Pleiades (M45) — Taurus is represented no other than the Bull.
Supermoons correlate with:
• spikes in emotion
• increased speculative behavior
• temporary liquidity expansions
• bigger candles (up OR down)
A near-super full moon tends to:
• mark volatility apexes
• precede relief rallies
• create short-term “energy reversals”
2. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) — traditionally expansive 🌖
Jupiter is symbolically linked with:
• expansion
• optimism
• big moves
• risk-on thinking
• growth
• speculation
When the Moon (sentiment) aligns with Jupiter (expansion), it often coincides with:
• higher risk appetite
• FOMO
• bullish short-term flows
In Summary;
1. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) → Expansive, optimistic, risk-on symbolism
2. Super Full Moon (Dec 4) → Volatility peak → Reversal → Upward burst
4 days ago
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #232👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. This week has been a range-bound week for Bitcoin, and this range still continues.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
The market conditions haven’t changed much compared to yesterday. Bitcoin has simply continued its range-bound movement.
⚡️ We had a resistance zone at 89,000, which the price had previously touched. In the subsequent move, the price has not been able to reach this level again, indicating a lack of buying strength.
🧩 Considering the decrease in volume and the weakening of the red candles, the chances of reaching 89,000 in this leg are quite low.
💥 The RSI oscillator has reached the momentum support zone for the price at 41.31.
🎲 If this level is broken, we can say that the bullish momentum will completely disappear, and the market will need to form a new structure.
✅ The loss of bullish momentum does not necessarily mean the end of the uptrend or the beginning of a downtrend. It simply means that the market’s momentum has faded, and we will need to wait and see what happens in the new structure.
💡 If the RSI stabilizes below this level, we can open a short position after breaking 85,770 and a long position after breaking the 89,000 level.
📊 However, if the RSI maintains its momentum and gets supported, we can enter a position earlier with the trigger at 87,942.
✨ The 87,942 trigger is considered risky, so I recommend paying attention to the volume. If the volume confirms the move, you can open the position after the breakout.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT.P AnalysisBTCUSDT.P consolidates at 86,307 after a 5% December pullback from 113K highs, holding key demand zone 85K–87K with low volume.
Technical Indicators
RSI (32–40) and Stochastic signal oversold conditions across timeframes, while MACD shows bearish divergence weakening.
ADX above 50 confirms downtrend strength, but higher lows near 85K suggest potential reversal structure.
Key Levels
Support: 85,000 (swing low), 83,000 (next demand).
Resistance: 86,500 (breakout test), 89,500–93,500 (supply).
BTCUSDT – Bullish Reversal Setup at Key SupportBitcoin has made a sharp impulsive drop into a key higher-timeframe support zone (highlighted in yellow). This area has previously acted as strong demand, producing a significant bounce on Nov 27.
Price has now tapped back into this zone with a long lower wick, showing early signs of buyer absorption. If the support continues to hold, this area offers a potential long (buy) entry, as marked on the chart.
🔹 Key Points
Support Zone: 86,800 – 87,400
Entry Area: After confirmation within support (marked “ENTER”)
Market Reaction: Strong sell-off into support followed by initial rejection (blue circle)
Bias: Bullish as long as support holds
🎯 Target
Upside continuation toward 90,500 – 92,000 (target zone on chart)
⚠️ Invalidation
A clean break and candle close below the support zone would invalidate the long setup.
#BTC Continues Deepening Correction?📊#BTC Continues Deepening Correction?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are still in a daily-level correction phase, with a short-term downtrend. Therefore, until a bullish structure is established within the same timeframe, we need to be wary of further pullbacks. We can only maintain an optimistic outlook after reversing the blue resistance zone.
➡️Therefore, short-term support is around 85358. If we continue to break below the low L, then we need to pay attention to the next support zone at 69000-74500.
Let's see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin new update (1D)Bitcoin has not yet fully absorbed the buy orders in the marked support zone. This time, upon tapping the support area again, we can expect the price to form a stronger bullish move, at least toward the identified supply zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Bitcoin: Final Pump Before the Fall?Over the past five to six days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been attempting to recover from previous weekly declines, and it still appears to be in a corrective phase. This analysis builds on my previous idea, and if you’d like a deeper look at Bitcoin’s mid-term chart, you can check out the 4-hour timeframe in that previous analysis .
Now, a key point for Bitcoin traders is that, despite the recent rally in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) over the past few days, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to keep pace. While it had a good correlation with the S&P 500 in the past, it didn’t experience a similar upward movement this time. Therefore, once the S&P 500 corrects, we may also see Bitcoin resume its downward trend.
Currently, Bitcoin seems to be near a resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660). It also appears to be forming an ascending channel over the past few days, indicating a corrective structure.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave 4, and we can expect this corrective phase to end soon, leading to another downward move. A break of the lower line of the ascending channel would confirm the end of this Wave 4.
I expect that after the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660), Bitcoin will resume its decline and move towards the Support zone($86,200-$85,130).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,000-$85,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,249-$81,840
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131
First Target: $86,290
Second Target: $83,800
Stop Loss(SL): $92,229
Points may shift as the market evolves
Note: At lower price levels, Bitcoin’s price includes several Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverages, each potentially causing further price drops. However, if the S&P 500 starts another correction, these levels may break more easily.
Note: Overall, trading in crypto has become a bit challenging lately, with less volatility, so it’s wise to be cautious and manage your capital carefully.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks through the resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) around $92,229, we can expect a renewed upward trend and hope for a bullish movement.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTCUSDT.P - December 2, 2025Bitcoin remains in a broader downtrend but is currently consolidating between resistance around 87,400–87,700 and support near 83,400. The chart outlines a potential breakout toward 91,375 if price can reclaim and hold above the consolidation range, with that level marked as the primary profit target. Conversely, a failure at resistance and a break below 83,400 would confirm renewed bearish momentum toward the lower profit zone around 80,000. Trend structure is neutral-short term within this range, and a decisive move outside the highlighted consolidation band is needed to confirm the next directional leg.
Bitcoin recovers rise again moveBitcoin is showing signs of bullish consolidation after a prolonged decline into key support. Based on the current range structure, the market may be preparing for an upward move.
The recovery aligns with broader market sentiment, as U.S. stock indices recorded their fourth consecutive session of gains, driven by expectations of potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.
From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin can hold bullish momentum and secure a 4H candle close above the 90,000 level, it would strengthen the case for continuation to the upside. After the recent long fall, price may look to retest overhead resistance in the 98,000 – 105,000 zone.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
Ps; support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
BTCUSDT.P - December 1, 2025The chart shows Bitcoin breaking down sharply from a rising wedge‑type structure after failing to sustain prices above the 91,000–91,500 resistance band, confirming short‑term bearish momentum on the 15‑minute timeframe. Immediate support sits around 86,000–85,500 where price is currently reacting, but the highlighted lower zone near 82,000–81,500 represents the next downside target if this local support gives way, aligning with the projected stop level for any counter‑trend long attempt. The higher‑probability play is to wait for either a clear bullish reversal pattern and strong candles off the 85,500–86,000 area to target a corrective bounce back toward 91,000, or a weak consolidation followed by continuation selling into the lower support box to consider fresh shorts with stops above the broken intraday resistance.
BTC Sell/Short Setup (4H)Based on the previous wave counts, it seems that wave D will complete in the red zone.
We have prepared a setup that you can use to enter a position with 10X to 14X leverage.
The targets, stop-loss levels, and entry point are marked on the chart.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
• BTCUSDT: Liquidity Sweep Reversal — Watching $88,000 and $91,5BTCUSDT has just swept liquidity below the demand zone and printed a clean bullish hammer, signaling a potential reversal from our marked buying zone. If this reaction holds, price could push toward the upside targets at $88,000 and $91,500 as highlighted on the chart.
This demand zone remains crucial for confirming whether BTC is ready for a recovery or if sellers will attempt to drive it back below $86,500. Always manage your risk properly when trading volatile market conditions.
For further analysis, please like and comment.
BTCUSD: Onchain data: Good Buy?A. Onchain current landscape:
- MVRV Ratio: Dropped from 1.83 to 1.64
- Well below the 2.0 "heated market" threshold
- Far from the 3.5 "overheated" danger zone
Interpretation: Market is NOT overextended; substantial upside room remains
- Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL): Declined from 0.45 to 0.39
Entered "Anxiety" zone, trending toward "Fear". Historically, NUPL below 0.40 marks excellent accumulation zones
Signal: Weak hands being shaken out, strong hands accumulating
B. Exchange Flow Dynamics: Smart Money is Accumulating
Critical Pattern Observed:
- Nov 11: -2,579 BTC (outflow - accumulation)
- Nov 12: -659 BTC (outflow - accumulation)
- Nov 13-14: +777 BTC, +5992 BTC (large inflows during panic selling)
- Nov 15-16: Mixed flows, continued selling pressure
- Nov 17: -4,036 BTC massive outflow
Analysis: The -4,036 BTC outflow on Nov 17, as price stabilized around $92k, is the first reversal signal. Smart money accumulated aggressively at depressed prices while retail capitulated.
C. SOPR Analysis: Capitulation in Progress
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Timeline:
- Nov 11-12: Above 1.0 (healthy profit-taking)
- Nov 13-17: Below 1.0 (0.989-0.994)
Critical Insight: When SOPR falls below 1.0, it means investors are selling at a loss, a classic capitulation signal. This typically marks local bottoms and excellent entry points for patient buyers.
It means, we need to be patient and accumulate on key supporting levels.
D. Supply Dynamics: Weak Hands Exiting
Supply in Profit: Dropped from 73.6% to 64.5%
35.5% of BTC supply is now underwater (up from 26.4%)
This reset creates a stronger foundation for the next leg up
Investors who bought near the top are capitulating, clearing sell pressure
Whale Accumulation: Follow the Smart Money
BTC whales added ~30,000 BTC during the dip
Value: ~$3 bln in fresh whale accumulation
E. Technical levels:
- Strong supporting zone: 85000-88000.
- Confluence with descending channel's lower bound.
F. The Edge:
While headlines scream "crypto winter" and retail capitulates in fear, seasoned investors recognize this as a gift, a chance to accumulate a scarce, institutional-grade asset at a 26-30% discount from all-time highs, with clear onchain evidence of smart money accumulation.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
BTC SHORT SETUP – Multiple Bearish Confluences!Price at Decision Zone – Bears Preparing for the Next Move
After the recent downside move, Bitcoin printing Lower Highs (LHs) — a classic sign of fading bullish strength. #BTC is now testing the upper descending trendline, an area where price has consistently faced rejection.
Bearish Confluences Building Up
1️⃣ Lower High Structure
Market structure is shifting bearish as #BTC keeps forming LHs.
2️⃣ Trendline Retest
Price is touching the upper trendline, a key rejection zone in this downtrend.
3️⃣ 30-Min Bearish Divergence
Momentum is slowing down while price pushes up — a reliable early signal of weakness.
4️⃣ No Strong Bull Confirmation Yet
For a real trend reversal, #BTC must reclaim 80,000 and show bullish divergence, which is currently absent.
Trade Plan
I will look for a short entry once #BTC breaks the minor intraday support level.
✔ Stop-loss: Above the most recent LH
✔ Targets: Local liquidity zones below
✔ Strict risk management—no chasing
Bias
With structure, divergence, and trendline all aligned, probability favors a bearish continuation unless bulls reclaim major levels.
What’s your view?
Will #BTC break lower or surprise with an unexpected bounce?
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December BTC overviewBTC closed November sweeping and reclaiming the weekly 100 EMA, and although the daily chart printed a strong reversal candle, it is still too early to call a bottom.
The broader bearish structure on both the weekly and daily remains intact, and volume aligns with the downtrend. On the daily, we also have the 100 and 200 EMA bearish crossover, which confirms a strong HTF bearish trend.
In bearish markets, it is uncommon to leave an FVG unfilled unless the trend is very strong. Even though November closed above the 100 EMA, it was still a heavy bearish close that broke the monthly bullish trendline.
If we hit 100K, it would imply a 20K rally after a 40K drop with no real consolidation or accumulation. That would be wild. It is possible but very unlikely. This currently looks like the unwind of a multi-day distribution that likely started in July. The market needs a proper multi-day accumulation.
We also need to consider that we are fading the high return season, which adds more weight to the distribution thesis.
My expectation for December is range-bound price action and a close near the yearly open.
On low timeframes, there is a clean short opportunity at the bearish order block around 95K to 97K, sitting above yearly-open liquidity.
If price returns to the lows, we also have a potential monthly double-bottom setup targeting the yearly open.
There is a daily bullish MSB waiting at 97K. If price reaches it, we may start holding above the yearly open and squeeze toward the daily 200 EMA. From there, the monthly and weekly trendline could act as resistance and push price back to the lows, which is a common retest pattern after a strong trendline break.






















