Bitcoin Price Prediction: Recovery To $100,000 Could Be Tainted Bitcoin’s price is at $90,399 at the time of writing, sitting just below a downtrend that has persisted for one and a half months. BTC is attempting to flip $90,400 into a support level, which would mark the first step toward reversing the trend.
If macro conditions align and rate cuts revive broader market optimism, BTC could rebound sharply. A clean bounce from $90,400 may drive a retest of $95,000, and breaking that resistance would open a clear path toward the long-anticipated $100,000 level.
However, if short-term holders sell into strength, Bitcoin may struggle to maintain upward pressure. A rejection from $95,000 or failure to break the downtrend could send BTC back toward $86,822, invalidating the bullish scenario.
Trade ideas
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #6 — Daily BTC Market UpdateWelcome to My Analysis.
Now, let’s break down today’s Bitcoin structure.
Bitcoin attempted once again to break through the liquidity zone at 91,800–92,300, but since buyers showed no demand in that area, price was rejected again and returned back into the equilibrium zone.
Here, the moving averages have tangled back together, showing indecision.
The moving average values are:
28, 58, and 99.
The RSI shows that there is still no meaningful momentum entering the market — meaning Bitcoin hasn’t picked a direction yet.
This suggests the market needs more time before participants decide whether to put serious money in or not.
Most traders prefer to stay patient for now.
For short setups, the earliest possible level is around 89,000,
but for long setups, we still don’t have proper confirmation above 92,300.
Taking a long here would be unsafe and risky, and it’s better to give the market more time.
Trading volume is still balanced between buyers and sellers, which means the market remains in equilibrium.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
BTCUSDT: Update On Todays Market.BTCUSDT continues to scale slowly upward after dropping down to $80,534. the pair is moving on a momentum of higher highs and lows. presently the price is heading down towards the next low, in respect of the structure. the best alternative at this point is buying at lows and selling at highs
Possible outline;
A confirmed reversion above $84,071. would trigger a buy position, eyeing $96,146 as target.
Lets see how it plays out.
keep it simple, keep it trading.
Thanks for reading.
BTC Most Likely Scenario -- 98K -> 70KBTC Most Likely Scenario -- 98K -> 70K
Probability for BTC next move is to go to 98k-100k level. Then go take the liquidity between 70-74k. We probability will make a bullish divergence on that level. Will see then if we make a LH in upcoming months or another ATH.
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #5 — Daily BTC Market UpdateWelcome to My Analysis.
Now, let’s break down today’s Bitcoin structure.
Bitcoin isn’t bullish yet — it’s just ranging inside a downtrend.
And unless one level breaks, the market is preparing for another move down.
Here’s the breakdown.
Market Structure
The primary trend is still bearish — price is trading below broken structures and several major resistances.
The current move is mostly a corrective rally inside the downtrend, not the start of a new uptrend.
Price action & candle behavior
Price is currently oscillating inside a tight range between 89,800 and 93,700.
The recent upward move is a correction wave inside the bearish structure.
The last pullback bounced exactly off 88.7K support, and price is now heading back toward the range top.
Volume
There was a strong volume spike at the 88.7K bottom → indicating buyer entry.
However, volume has declined during the recent rise, which shows the rally lacks full conviction.
RSI
RSI bounced from the range bottom (near 30).
A small bullish divergence is visible.
Still, RSI remains well below buyer power (below 70) → the upside is not yet fully confirmed.
Final summary
Overall structure: still bearish.
We are inside a corrective range within a downtrend.
93,700 is the key level for either breakout or reversal.
Until 93,700 is cleanly broken, the range continues and the probability of another drop back to 88.7K is high.
Deeper supports: 84K → 82K.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
08/12/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $94,171.14
Last weeks low: $83,809.87
Midpoint: $88,990.51
Bitcoin performs a double Swing Fail Pattern (SFP) as price sweeps both extremities of the range before closing out near the midpoint. After such a dramatic drawdown during Q4 so far, the possibility of a V-shape reversal as the year comes to a close was never going to be a high probability. With that we have seen a steady base being built and a higher low printed, certainly a more bullish structure than last weeks opening.
This week we have FOMC on Wednesday:
Previous: 4.0%
Forecast: 3.75% (-25bps)
Actual: ?%
A 25bps cut is forecast with an 87% chance. Could this finally reignite some buyside volume? The timing of year end doesn't help, I think volume stays relatively subdued until 2026 where the Fed ending QT & lowering rates help risk-on assets. For now I will maintain that a $80,000-$100,000 range is where Bitcoin stays for some time, thin orderbooks creating short term volatility but not necessarily strong moves in either direction.
Analytics: market overview and forecasts
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we reached the upper limit of a significant support zone and almost immediately received a powerful boost. This led to a change in the local trend to an upward one.
As part of the growth, the resistance of $94,000-$97,500 (volume zone) was reached, from which the correction began. Now we've pushed off from the support of $87,800-$86,400 (volume zone) and maintain the upward context.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The movement potential is aimed at updating the local maximum. To fully reverse the trend, the buyer needs to demonstrate more strength.
The $94,000-$97,500 zone remains relevant, as a significant part of it hasn't been tested. The implementation of a positive scenario is possible both through a confident breakdown of this range, and through the formation of a weak correction in terms of volume and price action.
A negative factor for the development of the long rally this week is the selling pressure on the spot market, as seen by the cumulative delta. The situation is better in futures, but the market needs more "fuel" for a final turnaround.
Alternative scenario: with a strong defense of the nearest resistance, a sideways trend may form in the range of $84,000-$94,000.
Buy Zones
$87,800–$86,400 (volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
IMPORTANT DATES
We're following these macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, December 9, 15:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for October;
• Wednesday, December 10, 2:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, December 10, 19:00 (UTC) — US FOMC statement and economic forecasts, as well as the announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, December 10, 19:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press Conference;
• Thursday, December 11, 9:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• Thursday, December 11, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for the week;
Friday, December 12, 7:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK GDP for October, as well as the German consumer price index for November.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Vanguard Turns Pro Crypto | Bitcoin Responds InstantlyBitcoin surged massively on Dec 2–3 after Vanguard ( a $11T asset manager long known for its anti-crypto stance ) opened its platform to spot ETFs for BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL. This gives 50M+ traditionally conservative investors direct access to crypto products for the first time
The shift follows the appointment of new CEO Salim Ramji, formerly at BlackRock and involved in launching IBIT, a clear signal of strategic realignment
Market response was immediate:
- BTC jumped minutes after the U.S. open
- IBIT hit Billions $ in volume in the first few minutes
- Analysts noted a “ wave of Vanguard clients moving at once ”
Despite the Coinbase Premium Index still negative, U.S. spot demand is improving. A move back to neutral or positive premium could set up the next leg toward the $100K zone
With Vanguard now engaged, this is not a short-lived catalyst. Even a 0.5% allocation of its AUM would mean $55B in potential flows, larger than the entire first year inflow of the 2024 ETF cycle
Vanguard joining the market marks the true beginning of institutional scale crypto adoption
Brainiak | Bitcoin at an in-between stageBitcoin is showing a strong likelihood of pushing up to test the 94,160 level. It’s almost there already. Once price reaches that zone, the next thing to watch is whether it can hold above 94,160. Ideally, it should consolidate and continue higher... not break slightly above the level only to slam back down with force.
If that kind of rejection happens, price would likely swing inside the 94,160–83,910 range again, and that scenario isn’t very promising. The dominant trend that sent price down earlier was bearish, and the current structure is leaning more sideways than decisively bullish, which usually signals continuation to the downside.
But here’s the conflict: the current S1–S2 formation (large degree) is sitting right inside what can only be described as a true “buy the dip” zone .. the same large demand area that previously launched Bitcoin into its prior ATH. It’s a region where buyers naturally step in, and volume can spike hard. The long-term trend still favors the bulls.
This creates a tension between two forces:
- Short-term behavior and Sideways movement hinting at downward continuation.
- Macro context and Price sitting in a deep discount zone aligned with the major uptrend.
With the idea that trend is your friend, the primary bias leans toward looking for buy setups rather than sells .. even though the short-term structure looks messy.
There are three main buy zones I’m watching:
88,350
86,685
83,910
The second and third zones (86,685 and 83,910) are especially attractive because they sit deeper in the range .. meaning the reward-to-risk becomes heavily favorable if price bounces there.
But 88,350 also shouldn’t be ignored. Price could easily retest that level and rally straight from there. It’s a legitimate buy area as long as you keep a proper stop-loss.
If you want to be even more conservative, wait for the 15-minute structure to develop a bit more. The current small S1/S2 sequence on the far right looks a little compressed, and it may need more formation before a clean upward leg.
If price breaks below 83,910, step aside. Let it form a new structure.
Right now, trading within the range gives the most advantage: buy near the lower boundary and take profit near the top of the box around 94,160.
Another thing to note is the Up-Trendline. A trendline is just a guiding framework .. if it breaks, the probability of a continued move upward decreases, but it doesn’t drop to zero. It only becomes zero once price breaks below the key zone I mentioned earlier (83,910). If that level fails, I’ll step aside and wait, because sometimes it can still turn out to be a false break.
That’s the outlook for now.
Thanks to everyone who commented and showed support. I’ll keep updating the chart as things unfold.
BTCUSDT Buying IdeaThis area is identified as a strong buying zone, where price has historically found support and buyers have stepped in. The market shows signs of accumulation, indicating that bullish momentum may develop if the zone holds.
Traders should wait for a confirmation signal, such as a bullish candle or a shift in market structure, before entering long positions.
📍 Zone: Strong buying area
📍 Structure: Accumulation forming / higher lows
🎯 Bias: Bullish continuation potential
⚠️ Wait for confirmation before entry
BTCUSDT: Trend in 4-H time frameBitcoin has dropped to around $102,300. The key support level and the 50 MV in weekly time frame are both located near $99,700. It’s important to note that there’s a $3,000 price gap, which makes a retest of that zone quite possible.
Looking at Bitcoin’s current setup, there’s also a chance it could retest the 200 MV in daily time frame, situated near $106,800.
A major resistance level can be found around $115,800, and price action around that zone should be watched closely.
Overall, market conditions remain uncertain and unsettled, making it difficult to define a clear trend for Bitcoin or the broader market. That said, the overall trend remains bearish, with potential downside targets across different timeframes around $91700, $81200, $75100, and $70300. Reactions at these levels are to be expected — but if this downward trajectory continues, altcoins are likely to suffer more severely, possibly testing even lower price levels.
The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the two accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Chapter II: Mirrors and Reflections The apprentice moved quickly, hands darting across wires and tools with impressive confidence. His speed was his pride... proof of his growing skill. Yet in the reflection of the tech’s watchful eyes, that very strength began to reveal its cracks.
What once seemed mastery now showed signs of haste: bolts tightened too fast, readings skimmed instead of studied, conclusions drawn before the silence of the machine had spoken. The mirror of his own reflection showed him not triumph, but fragility.
The tech did not scold. Instead, he recalled Terry...the mentor whose lessons were never rushed. Terry’s path was steady, deliberate, and patient. He taught that true understanding was not measured by speed, but by depth.
“Your quickness,” the tech said, “is a gift. But gifts can betray you if you lean on them too hard. Strength without patience becomes weakness. Terry knew this. He walked the slower road, and because of that, he saw further than most.”
The apprentice lowered his tools, realizing that reflection was not about seeing himself as he wished to be, but as he truly was. In the mirror of his mistakes, he found the lesson: patience is not the opposite of progress...it is the foundation of it.
BTCUSDT – Final Liquidity Sweep Before a Push to 95–96K?DISCLAIMER:
Not Investment Recommendation or Financial Advice.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and to test a trading strategy.
BTCUSDT – Final Liquidity Sweep Before a Push to 95–96K?
Bullish scenario forming on the 4H despite macro resistance
BTC continues its recovery from the strong correction that drove price from $125K down to $81K. Since that capitulation low, the market has been printing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, forming a constructive 4H bullish structure.
After reaching a rebound high around $94K, BTC corrected again into the $88K zone, where liquidity was collected and buyers defended the level. Price is now consolidating near $89K, directly below key dynamic resistance.
🔥 Key Technical Factors
1. Weekly & Daily EMA-50 Acting as Dynamic Resistance
BTC is running out of time to break above the EMA 50 on both weekly and daily timeframes, a major level controlling the macro trend.
A confirmed break above this band would re-activate bullish continuation toward prior supply.
2. Higher-Timeframe Market Structure Remains Constructive
From the $81K low, BTC has developed:
Higher lows showing demand absorption
Higher highs confirming controlled bullish momentum
Well-defined liquidity zones above and below price
3. 4H Indicators Signaling Momentum Shift
Multiple 4H indicators are aligning:
MACD curling upward
Stochastics crossing up from oversold
ADX rising, indicating trend strength building
These signals support the potential for a bullish breakout.
4. Liquidity Mechanics
There is still untapped liquidity below the recent local low.
A final liquidity sweep into this area could be likely be the catalyst for the next upward leg.
🎯 Upside Target Zone: 95K–96K
BTC next logical targets based on:
liquidity heatmaps
volume profile gaps
prior breakdown levels
…are between $95,000 and $96,000.
Fundamentals may support this: the expected 25bps Fed rate cut this week could inject short-term bullish momentum into risk assets.
📌 Summary
BTC remains in a structural uptrend on the 4H chart.
The most probable sequence:
Sweep remaining downside liquidity
Bullish reversal confirmation
Continuation toward 95–96K
As long as $87.8K–$88K holds, the bullish setup remains intact.
BTC at Critical Support — Bounce or Breakdown?BTC 4H Update
BTC is still moving in a controlled pullback after failing to break the 93,241 resistance. The rejection shows the market continues to respect this supply zone, and price is now hovering just above short-term support.
The key area to watch is the 88,850–89,200 support zone. If BTC can hold this level, a rebound toward 90,193 is likely, followed by another attempt to break the major resistance. A successful breakout would open the path toward the 98k–99.5k zone shown on the chart.
However, if this support breaks, price may slide into the OB 87,670–86,300 or even revisit the 85,650–85,000 support area — the same zone that created the recent higher low. Losing that level would weaken the bullish structure.
For now, structure is still intact, and BTC just needs a clean bounce to maintain upward momentum.
Bitcoin Analysis — Navigating December’s Uncertainty Fear & Greed Index: 21 — still in Fear.
📰 Market Overview
As mentioned in my previous analyses, the short entry trigger played out perfectly.
I personally opened a short on STX, and the trade has now closed at 2R profit. ✔️
So… what now?
To answer that, we need to double-check the trend analysis and evaluate where buyers and sellers currently stand.
📉 Understanding the Current Trend
If you’ve been following my earlier posts, you already know how important it is to watch:
Candle shapes
Volume in bullish vs bearish legs
Where buyers actually step in
And how strongly they can push the market upward
We entered shorts because:
The daily structure is still bearish,
Sellers still control the larger trend,
And the first real signs of buyer weakness appeared — exactly what we waited for.
Now we need to analyze this downward leg in detail:
❓ Key Questions to Ask
Will this drop reach $84,000, the previous major low?
If it reaches that level, will it break?
Will this bearish leg be stronger or weaker than the previous one?
Or… will we fail early and enter a December range?
Your answers to these questions decide your trading plan.
🟦 Scenario 1: December Range (No Man’s Land)
If Bitcoin can’t reach $84k and instead starts moving sideways above it,
this entire region becomes No Man’s Land — no clear control by buyers or sellers.
If that happens, we may spend all of December ranging here.
➡️ Long-term positions would NOT make sense in this scenario.
🔻 Scenario 2: Breakdown Toward $84,000
If price continues downward and reaches $84,000,
shorting becomes extremely important — but entering directly at a major support is always tricky.
My advice:
If you’ve made decent profit recently,
💡 hold one short position without full take-profit,
or set your stop to breakeven once your trade hits your desired R:R.
Because if $84k breaks, panic can accelerate fast —
and we may see some very unusual numbers on the downside.
🎯 Short Entry Plan
Right now, the 4H timeframe does not yet have a clean structure for a new short entry.
But likely around 1 UTC, U.S. session volume will enter the market,
and the structure may become clear enough for a proper short trigger.
🚀 Scenario 3: Bullish Reversal
If sellers show weakness and buyers regain control:
Long Trigger: $91,900
But I need at least one 1H reaction to form a structure
so I can place a reliable stop-loss.
No reaction = no long.
✅ Final Notes
Thanks for reading my analysis — I appreciate every one of you!
Remember:
💛 Risk management is what keeps you alive in the market.
If you enjoy these daily updates, feel free to follow —
I share exactly what I’m doing in the market every day.
Stay safe, stay profitable, and have an amazing trading day! 🚀📊
BTC Sector 85509.64: Capital Before the Tremor🏷 BTC Sector 85509.64: Capital Before the Tremor
🏷 19.11.2025
🏷 Capital Sector. Price Slice. System of Intelligent Anticipation. Capital Mapping — before instrument touch, this price slice is the planned action of major players.
🏷 85509.64 — As of publication, price has not yet reached this level.
🏷 The price has not yet touched the level — yet the structure already knows the path.
In the silence between orders, in the weight of unfilled volumes — the whisper of capital.
This slice is not a forecast. It is the market’s mind, frozen in numbers before the moment of truth.
🏷 Sector 85509.64 is active.
Touch — not if, but when.
Capital moves in silence.
The System sees ahead.
🏷 The light at the end of the tunnel — where others see only darkness.
🏷 — The Architect, Capital Sector
Bitcoin Holding Below 90K After Leverage Flush – Market Awaits NBitcoin is trading just under the 90K mark on BTCUSDT perpetuals, consolidating after a leverage flush that cleared out a large chunk of crowded long positions. The price action on the 1‑hour chart is now showing tighter candles and reduced volatility, reflecting a pause as traders reassess direction following the recent liquidation spike
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #3 — Daily BTC Market UpdateHello and welcome to today’s Bitcoin daily update.
I hope you’ve seen the previous analyses.
Today I have good news—especially if you trade futures.
Is Bitcoin preparing for a big move?
In my opinion, yes.
Bitcoin is currently forming a “range inside a range,” which is often a precursor to a major move.
But so far, neither side has broken out.
There are three very important points on the chart:
1) Bitcoin is inside a larger range
Range Low: 84,600 – 85,300
Range High: 92,200 – 93,700
2) Inside this large range, a smaller range has formed
This is exactly what we call a Range inside Range,
and this setup usually appears before an explosive move.
The small range is between:
89,600 – 90,600
91,800 – 92,200
This behavior shows energy build-up.
Is the structure ready for a major move? Yes. Here’s why:
✔️ Deceleration of the downtrend
In the recent selloffs, notice that the lows are not getting significantly lower →
This is a deceleration pattern, signaling seller exhaustion.
✔️ Price is compressing under a key resistance
When price starts to consolidate tightly right below a range resistance,
we call it Compression — and it usually leads to a breakout move.
✔️ Price is far above the strong demand zone
The strong demand zone at 82,500 – 81,400
is the same area that launched the market $10K upward the last time price touched it.
Price is still well above this zone, which means:
The major buyers haven’t surrendered control.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.






















