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Bitcoin Long OpportunityBitcoin 👀 After a clear liquidity sweep, price reacted with a bullish expansion, showing that early buyers have stepped in with conviction. My primary focus is on the buy-side liquidity resting below. I anticipate a liquidity grab into that area and will look to execute from the M15 unfilled imbalance beneath current price. On the HTF, we have a strong DOL, supported by an unfilled H1 SIBI, which remains a key objective. 🎯 Also, we have a OTE level of a previous range that aligns with our entry POI - unfilled M15 FVG. I will consider taking partial profits into the H1 SIBI zone 💰 📉
Long
by TheProfitRoomFx
BTC 4H – Fib Rejection, But Is Another Leg Down Next?BTC is pressing into a heavy confluence area: the macro downtrend line, the 50/100 EMAs, and the 0.5–0.786 Fib retracement zone. Price reacted cleanly from local supply and failed to close above the cluster of moving averages, keeping the 4H structure bearish. The Stoch RSI is fully overbought and curling down, signaling weakening bullish momentum on approach into resistance. Unless BTC can reclaim the trendline with a strong impulsive close, this area favors a lower-high formation and continuation toward downside targets. A confirmed rejection here opens a move back toward prior demand zones, while a break above the 0.618 would shift momentum toward deeper Fib targets and potentially challenge the trendline from above. Key levels: • Resistance: 93,826 / 97,010 / 101,543 • Support: Prior local demand under 90K • Structure shift only if trendline breaks with volume
Short
by Quant_Trading_Pro
1
BTC/USDT Analysis. Sell-Side Absorption in Play Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update. Yesterday Bitcoin followed our long scenario — the move started earlier than expected, without a liquidity grab, as market buyers stepped in aggressively. As of now, price has reached the first resistance at $90,000–$92,300 (volume zone). In this area, delta has spiked sharply, indicating “high-level buying,” which has already triggered a local correction. The key pivot level now is $90,000 — it may work as support, but if price settles below it, the level becomes resistance. If price breaks the local high → expect a test of the upper selling zone and a deeper correction afterwards. If price breaks and holds below $90,000 → the downside target becomes the anomaly zone at $84,000–$82,000. Buy Zones $88,000–$86,000 (local volume zone) $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) Sell Zones $90,000–$92,300 (volume zone) $94,000–$97,500 (volume zone) $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes) $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
BTC Playbook: 93k Pivot vs 98k Path__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ Price is pressing into a well-defined 92,800–93,500 resistance band while macro leadership stays risk-off, making this a decision area. Momentum is rebuilding off 89k supports, but higher timeframes lean cautious until acceptance above 93,150. Momentum: Bearish-to-neutral with a tactical counter-trend bounce; sustained strength needs a clean break-and-hold above 93,150. Key levels: - Resistances (HTF): 92,800–93,500 (240 Pivot High zone), 98,115 (W Pivot Low), 107,474 (D Pivot High) - Supports (HTF/ITF): 90,500–90,800 (recent base), 89,012 (240 Pivot Low), 86,261 (240 Pivot Low) Volumes: Moderate on 1D/12H; normal on intraday (6H/4H/2H/1H). Multi-timeframe signals: 1D Up vs 12H/6H/4H/2H Down; intraday 1H Up but into HTF resistance. Defer to 12H Down unless 93,150 is accepted with persistence. Harvest zones: 80,200 (Cluster A) / 76,600–77,100 (Cluster B) — ideal deep dip-buying areas for inverse pyramiding if market overreacts. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral sell — confirms the cautious stance under resistance and argues for patience on longs. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ The dominant read is neutral-sell into HTF resistance; adopt a reactive approach: fade failed breakouts, flip to long only on confirmed acceptance. Global bias: Neutral-sell while below 93,150; bias flips constructive on ≥2H/4H acceptance above 93,150. Invalidation of the fade: sustained hold above 93,150. Opportunities: - Tactical sell: Fade 92,800–93,500 if 2H/4H prints rejection and volume fades; add on loss of 91,000 toward 89,012. - Breakout buy: Engage on ≥2H/4H close above 93,150 with successful retest; first target 98,115. - Reactive buy: Probe 89,012 only on strong reversal signal (≥2H) with improving volumes. Risk zones / invalidations: - Break below 89,012 would invalidate reactive longs and opens 86,261 risk. - Sustained hold above 93,150 would invalidate shorts from the 92,800–93,500 fade zone. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - Liquidity tailwind: PBOC injections + equities <2% from ATH, but thin holiday liquidity can distort moves. - ETFs: 7-day BTC spot ETF flows negative despite a small daily inflow — headwind near resistance. - Rates: Elevated Fed cut odds support dips, but headline risks (stablecoins/geopolitics) can spark risk-off spikes. Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid): - Palier 1 (12.5%): 80,200 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry - Palier 2 (+12.5%): 75,400–77,000 (-6%/-4% below Palier 1) (Cluster B included) → reinforcement - TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash - Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (93,150) - Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low (not provided) or 96h no momentum - Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF (93,150) on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Higher timeframes are mixed with 1D Up versus 12H Down; execution should respect the 12H filter until 93,150 is reclaimed with persistence. 12H/6H/4H/2H: Downtrend bias pressing into 92,800–93,500 supply; rejection here favors a rotation to 91,000 then 89,012. Acceptance and hold above 93,150 unlocks 98,115. 1D/1H: 1D Up but capped by 93,150; 1H Up is counter-trend into HTF resistance, so expect chop under 93k unless volume expands on breakout. Confluences/divergences: Persistent HTF resistance at 93,150 aligns with risk-off macro; 1D strength is an exception that requires flow/volume confirmation to extend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is cautiously constructive on liquidity, but BTC-specific flows are not yet a tailwind, keeping technical resistance meaningful. Macro events: PBOC liquidity injections aid risk; S&P 500 near ATH with thin US holiday liquidity; elevated cut odds into December create a soft landing narrative but headline risk persists. Bitcoin analysis: BTC reclaimed 90k with negative/neutral funding; overhead supply 91.9–93k; ETF 7-day flows negative, dampening confidence at resistance. On-chain data: Liquidity pockets discussed around low 80ks; heavy puts near mid-80ks; recovery impulses need stronger demand inflow and key cost-basis reclaims. Expected impact: If ETF flows stabilize and price accepts above 93,150, path opens toward 98,115; otherwise the 92,800–93,500 zone favors tactical fades. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is testing a critical resistance while macro risk-on is tentative and flow support is uneven. - Trend: Neutral-to-bearish below 93,150; constructive only on confirmed acceptance above. - Setup: Fade 92,800–93,500 rejections; switch long on ≥2H/4H hold above 93,150 targeting 98,115. - Macro: ETF 7-day flows remain negative, capping conviction at resistance despite broader liquidity support. Stay patient at the boss gate; wait for a clean unlock above 93,150 or harvest the rejection.
by Ox_kali
BTCUSDT Short Scalp Setup, 15 Minute Chart BTC is showing clear weakness after another rejection at $91,900–$92,000. Combined with strong bearish divergences, this creates a clean short scalp opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe. 📉 1. Bearish Divergences (15M) Price forms a higher high, Momentum forms a lower high → classic bearish divergence. RSI confirms the bearish pressure. 🔴 2. Strong Rejection Zone The zone at $91,800–$92,000 gets rejected again. Sellers dominate, buyers show exhaustion. 🎯 3. Short Setup (15M) Entry: $91,800 – $92,000 Stop-Loss: Above the recent high Targets: TP1: $90,440 TP2: $89,600 TP3: $88,900 TP4: $88,000 As long as BTC stays below resistance, the bearish scalp remains valid. 🧩 4. Summary ✔ Bearish divergence ✔ Clear rejection ✔ Weak momentum ✔ Valid short scalp setup Perfect for a 15M public TradingView idea. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice — just a personal market idea. Always use your own stop-loss and proper risk management.
Short
by crypt0AP
Bitcoin Analysis – Channel Break & Next Move ScenariosBitcoin has been respecting its ascending channel all week. Yesterday, price tapped the lower boundary of the channel and immediately launched upward, breaking through the key 90,000 resistance with strong momentum. It now sits at the upper boundary of the channel, a zone where the market often pauses to decide the next move. From here, we have two clear scenarios: 🔵 Bullish Scenario Bitcoin gains new volatility at the top of the channel. Strong bullish momentum pushes price toward the 94,000 target. A clean breakout above the channel would confirm continuation. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Bitcoin rejects the channel high and returns to 90,000 to collect liquidity. If liquidity is swept and buyers re-enter, price resumes the overall upward trend. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long
by Dan-Goldfx
Is This the Beginning of a New Bull Cycle?Ladies and gentlemen, Bitcoin’s conditions have completely flipped, and if you don’t adapt to the new reality fast, you’re about to leave a lot of profit on the table. In this analysis, we’re going to look at Bitcoin with zero bias, pure objectivity, and open positions together. I’m Skeptic, founder of Skeptic Lab . If you want to take your long-term performance to the next level using real psychology, data, and strategy, you’re in the right place. Let’s start with the daily timeframe 📉 it looks like the pullback is completing. Yesterday’s candle closed extremely bullish, and the odds of the next two daily candles also closing bullish are honestly pretty much. btw Anything upward from here on the daily is just lower highs and a pullback toward 100k. YES, the HWC (weekly) is still in an uptrend, but the daily IS NOT. That doesn’t mean we sit on our hands—we still take longs, but only in lower timeframes and with a completely different risk-management approach (explained below). 🔍 Drop to the 1H for the real triggers. Yesterday our long trigger fired exactly as planned and gave us a clean +4.35% move (if you missed it, go check yesterday’s analysis). We’ve now reached 91,497.25 and the upper boundary of the 4H ascending channel. From here, two main scenarios: 📍 1. Break of support at 90,892.60 → continuation down to the channel midline, then retest of 88,118.70 support. 2. Break of resistance at 91,497.25 → entry into fresh bullish momentum that can carry us all the way to the next major resistance at 96,066.89 . Key observation: LWC momentum is strongly bullish. Volume has spiked on the rise and dropped sharply on pullbacks and during consolidation, so the probability of breaking the top is higher right now. Risk-management difference (this is critical): - Longs are counter-trend to the daily MWC → we take profit faster and use tighter stops so we can reach target quickly before a single daily candle potentially wipes the whole move. - Shorts would be with the MWC → we can afford wider risk and scale out with partials. Volume is our final confirmation here: if we had rising price but decreasing volume on the push to the top → cancel orders. Same rule applies to shorts. Yesterday, when price rose toward 88,118.70, volume exploded—that was our confirmation, and we entered long. If this analysis helped you, I’d really appreciate a boost. It keeps the energy coming. 🩵 Now get outta here.
by SkepticLab
BITCOIN - D11. Market Context BTC has completed a 5-wave bearish sequence (labeled (1) → (5)) with wave (5) ending inside a major demand zone around 85,000 – 88,000. Price is now showing a strong bullish rebound from the zone. This area aligns with: Historical demand High-volume node Previous structural support A break-of-structure wick rejection 2. Key Levels Support Zones 85,000 – 88,000 (major demand, wave (5) low) 91,000 – 92,000 (short-term support after bounce) Resistance Zones 101,000 – 102,000 → 0.5 Fib retracement 107,000 – 108,000 → 0.618 Fib retracement + previous supply Both are important targets for the upcoming correction. 3. Expected Price Structure (Bullish Correction Scenario) The projected path on your chart suggests a corrective upward structure, likely an A–B–C or 3-wave move. Phase 1 – Current Move BTC is now in a strong impulsive leg upward from the demand zone. Phase 2 – Pullback Around 100,000 – 102,000, price may stall and form a pullback (wave B). Phase 3 – Final Push Up A continuation toward 107,000 – 108,000 is probable, where a larger decision zone forms. This aligns with: 0.618 retracement Past supply Completion of corrective structure 4. Overall Bias Short-term: Bullish correction Medium-term: Neutral → waiting confirmation whether correction ends or trend reverses Long-term: BTC still above macro trendline, and holding demand strongly → bullish macro outlook remains intact unless 85K breaks. 5. What to Monitor Reaction at 101K (first resistance) Momentum into 107K (key corrective target) Whether price forms: Higher low → trend reversal Or rejection → continuation of macro downtrend
Long
by Winlouh
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-25 12:00 UTC🎯 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-11-25 12:00 UTC 📊 Market Context Type: Technical outlook Potential Entry Zone: 87,300 – 87,450 Potential Upside Level: 91,300 Defined Invalidation Level: 85,600 Approx. R/R Concept: ~1:2.25 📈 Technical Analysis Overview 🔹 Fibonacci Structure Price interacting with the 0.382–0.500 retracement zone Historically acted as a reaction area Current structure suggests prior buyer interest 🔹 Order Flow & Liquidity Context Higher bid activity relative to recent sessions Liquidity concentration forming under 87,400 Order book imbalance suggests buyers currently more active 🔹 Momentum Indicators RSI rebounding in 35–45 zone Stochastic showing bullish cross in lower band MACD histogram trending upward toward zero line Volume profile showing active participation around current range 📊 Volume & Trend Context OBV trending upward over recent candles Volume spikes near local support Overall volume structure supportive of continuation if follow-through occurs 🎯 Key Market Levels Immediate Support: 86,800 Major Support / Invalidation: 85,600 Zone of Interest 1: 89,200 Zone of Interest 2: 91,300 Extended Area (if momentum holds): 93,500 ⚡ Structural Notes Market forming tight consolidation after prior downside Sellers showing reduced follow-through at support Multi-timeframe momentum gradually aligning to upside 📘 Trade Planning Concepts (Analysis Only) Confirmation above 87,400 may indicate stronger buyer intent Scaling entries can be considered in volatile environments Break-even adjustment often considered after 89,200 Partial profit-taking at predefined levels can help manage volatility ⚠️ Risk Framework Maintain position sizing according to personal rules Predefine invalidation at 85,600 Monitor volume for continuation; low volume may invalidate the structure Avoid late entries after breakout without pullback 📱 Checklist Fibonacci zone interaction Increasing buyer participation Strengthening momentum indicators Volume supportive of upward attempts Favorable risk/reward structure 🧭 Timeframe & Method Approach: Short-term & Scalping technical analysis
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) — BTC BOUNCED FROM RESISTANCE✅ 1. Breakout from the downward trendline On the chart, I see: a yellow downward trendline—it has been broken, the candlestick dynamically breaks through it and closes above it. ➡️ This is the first signal of a shift in momentum to upward. ✅ 2. Price is testing the 200 SMA (blue) BTC is currently: touching the 200 SMA, bounces slightly downward—a classic reaction to strong resistance. ➡️ Until we break through the 200 SMA, the market remains in a downtrend. 🟩 3. Nearest resistance levels (green levels on your chart): 90,400 USDT – current resistance (reaction already visible) 92,500 USDT – next important level 93,200–94,000 USDT – strong supply zone 94,900 USDT – strong level from previous bounces ➡️ The closer the price gets to 94–95k, the greater the chance of a downward rebound. 🟥 4. Nearest support levels From your red levels: 88,700 USDT – first level of defense 87,500 USDT – key support 85,500 USDT – major local bottom 84,150 USDT – extreme support ➡️ If BTC returns below 87.5k, the correction will deepen. 📊 5. RSI — Neutral-Bullet RSI ~ 55, Not yet overbought, RSI trend is increasing. ➡️ There is room for further upward movement. 📉 6. MACD — Bullish Signal MACD has crossed the signal line upward, the histogram is rising. ➡️ Upward momentum, shorting here is risky.
by cryptodailyuk
2
Difficult and imperfect swing trade setup on BTCUSD dailyCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken below its rising channel and is now exhibiting a downward trajectory. This shift creates a potential swing-trading opportunity arising from two distinct scenarios: A reversal of the current downward trend, leading to a renewed bullish movement, or A temporary pullback within the continuation of a broader bearish trend. On the weekly timeframe, the first major traditional moving average above the current price is the 50-week moving average, positioned at approximately 100,000 USD. The daily chart reflects a similar structure: the nearest significant moving average above is again the 50-day moving average, also situated near 100,000 USD. This alignment establishes a notable—albeit high-risk—swing-trade setup. Should the price initiate even a micro bullish trend within a larger bearish context, the most probable target for such a move would be a reversion toward the 50 DMA at around 100,000 USD. Supporting this thesis, several momentum indicators—specifically the RSI, Rate of Change (ROC), and MACD—are beginning to turn upward from recent troughs. This emerging positive momentum suggests that underlying buying strength may be forming, which would be consistent with the early stages of a bullish swing within a broader bearish structure. A potential entry trigger on the daily chart would occur once price breaks above and remains above the 10 DMA for a sustained period (e.g., a 1- to 3-day confirmation filter, depending on risk tolerance). Historically, such moves have provided reliable signals on at least four consecutive prior occasions as depicted in the chart. However, caution is warranted: daily closes above the 10 DMA are common, and many such moves fail to persist. This is why a multi-day filter is proposed—to increase the probability that the breakout represents a genuine shift rather than short-lived noise. Proposed Trade Parameters Entry: Break and sustained hold above the 10 DMA (estimated near 90,000 USD). Take Profit (TP): Reversion to the 50 DMA (approximately 100,000 USD). Stop Loss (SL): A daily close back below the 10 DMA (likely around 95,000 USD). Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Important Caveats: This setup is inherently imperfect, as both the entry and stop-loss levels are determined by moving averages and the trade itself yields a relatively modest risk–reward profile. Moreover, the rationale for a bullish retracement is based solely on technical patterns—specifically, the observation that counter-trend rallies frequently occur even within pronounced bearish phases. There is, at this point, no anticipated fundamental catalyst or macro-level justification supporting an imminent bullish move; the thesis is grounded entirely in probabilistic technical behaviour.
Long
by slip_stream
The end of crypto being an alt investment?If ever there was evidence that crypto has become normalized and absorbed into mainstream institutional behaviour—moving more like a unified asset class and less like a collection of wild outliers—this is it. Across four randomly selected coins with very different purposes and market caps ( COINBASE:BTCUSD - top left, COINBASE:XRPUSD - top right, COINBASE:SOLUSD - bottom left and BINANCE:TRXUSD - bottom right): 2 out of 4 ranged 35–40% in an almost identical pattern over the same period 3 out of 4 ranged 35–48% in an almost identical pattern over the same period 4 out of 4 ranged 20–48% in an almost identical pattern over the same period These similarities raise the question: are we now past the era of: Huge, isolated crypto swings? Crypto consistently moving counter to the S&P, FTSE and other indices? Crypto acting as a true alternative asset class? Not quite. Yes, institutional capital is now clearly in the market, but how crypto behaves still depends heavily on how those institutions manage their allocations. Crypto remains capable of sharp, counter-intuitive moves—but with less of the explosive upside (or catastrophic downside) that defined the early years. Crypto volatility is likely to be lower than before—but still far above that of major indices or mega-cap equities (the “Apple/Google/Amazon equivalents” of traditional markets). And crucially, crypto can still move counter to the stock market, as shown in the second image where BTC (and most major coins) fell while equities rallied. This also leads us to the following - the three investor archetypes now dominating crypto: The Whales – Formerly wealthy early adopters, but now overwhelmingly institutional players. Their capital, risk management structure and access to liquidity eclipse everyone beneath them. The Sharks – Yesterday’s whales. Powerful enough to cause volatility and trigger widespread stop-loss cascades, but no longer able to dictate the market the way they once could. The Nemos – Retail investors, small and scattered, swimming in the wake of the larger fishes while trying (often desperately) to “find Dory*.” At the same time, crypto has shown increasing correlation with stock market trends—particularly between April and October—further evidence of institutional influence and a sign that crypto is becoming mainstream, integrated, and less viable as a true alternative asset class capable of life-changing returns (or losses). Notes: * Dory: Alpha – mythical, elusive, and mostly found in pixel form (cinemas, and charts on social media trading apps :-) ).
by slip_stream
BTC TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — GLOBAL CYCLE, FIBONACCI, MACD & SCENARI1. Global Overview Bitcoin has completed one of the strongest multi-year bullish cycles, starting from $16,000, followed by a sequence of major impulses and deep pullbacks: - Rally 16k → 73k - Correction 73k → 49k - Rally 49k → 108k - Correction 108k → 74k - Final impulse 74k → 126k The move to 126k represents the final phase of the bullish cycle before a potential macro reversal. 2. Bearish Monthly MACD Signal On the 1-month timeframe, a clear bearish MACD cross appeared in early October — historically this signal always led to a strong mid-term bear market. Important: The MACD signal formed before the final push to 126k, Price made a minor higher high 123k → 126k, then started dropping sharply. This matches previous cycle reversals. 3. Current Position: 0.786 Fibonacci Zone Using Fibonacci retracement of the last impulse (74k → 126k), the key deep correction level is: 📍 83,415$ — 0.786 Fib Current price action: Price broke below the level on the daily, Then reclaimed it, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. 4. Outlook for December December likely begins with: - a small dip / retest into 83k, - followed by a corrective upward move. Target for the recovery: 🎯 114,000 – 115,000$ This is the optimal zone where the correction may finish. 5. Main Outlook for 2026 Because the monthly MACD signal is strongly bearish, and historically has always marked the start of a macro downtrend: Expectations: After the bounce, BTC will reverse downward again, Breaking the previous lows. Long-term targets: 🔥 53,000 – 45,000$ This is the likely completion zone of the upcoming bear cycle. SUMMARY - BTC is in a deep retracement zone, - A bounce toward 114–115k is likely, But long-term structure suggests continuation of the bear market.
Long
by CART_Management
BTC/USDT Analysis. Local Long Setup Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update. Since yesterday, Bitcoin has failed to break above the $88,000 level mentioned in the previous analysis, resulting in continued consolidation within a narrow range. When analyzing this local range, we see dominant selling pressure on cumulative delta, but it has not produced any meaningful downside result — sellers are active, yet unable to push the price lower. Additionally, a notable delta anomaly has formed around $86,000, suggesting the presence of a limit buyer. A local long setup becomes valid if liquidity is swept below the local lows followed by a test of $86,000, with a stop-loss below $85,200. The upside potential is attractive — the next resistance zone we highlighted earlier becomes the primary target. If no reaction appears at $86,000 and buyers fail to step in, we expect further downside movement toward a stronger support zone below. Buying Zones: • $86,000 (local selling absorption) • $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) Selling Zones: • $90,000–$92,300 (high-volume zone) • $94,000–$97,500 (high-volume zone) • $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volume) • $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance) This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC UpdateUpdate on my BTC analysis from June where I forecasted a price reversal in bitcoin as it was reaching the peak of this channel. As expected a sharp decline in the price of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has occurred and is reaching a key level as outlined on the chart. Large institutional buying has taken place over the last 2 months with the majority of Bitcoin buyers being long term holders. Volatility within the markets is the focus and position sizing needs to be adjusted to meet this.
Short
by ben_findlay