C9F trade ideas
Someone educate mePlease explain the Chipotle valuation with a straight face. Doing some quick googles.. 120 burritos per hour, 1,320 burritos a day sold out of 2245 location nation wide. Approximately, $13k daily in gross profit. The profit margin on a burrito I imagine can't be more than 5 dollars. Net profit of 6.6kish daily? 2.4ish mil net yearly on the menu item of a burrito per location.
Operating cost of 200ish million? Net income 172 million? Seems like some locations aren't pulling their weight?
Ready for the kicker?.. Market Capitalization 13.2 Billion.
I believe this Chipotle ticker is one of the leading edges of the asset bubble..
Chipotle (CMG) earnings preview: bright times ahead?Investors are excited about the new CEO's (Brian Niccol) ability to reinvigorate the brand. Niccol and the overhauled executive team are saying all the right things to drive guest traffic in the near term (most notably, digital order pickup shelves, in-app delivery and catering functionality, and an afternoon taco/drink value platform), while shoring up the expense structure (a corporate reorganization that would eliminate multiple layers of corporate expenses and close 55-65 underperforming stores).
The Chipotle brand could go a long way under Niccol's leadership, given several new products in the pipeline (quesadillas, nachos, avocado tostadas, chocolate milkshakes) that should stimulate consumer curiosity without adding undue operational complexity. Other encouraging developments are the introduction of a rewards program, along with new ingredients, sauces, and portion sizes, as well as the possibility of technology-infused layouts.
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Sell your CMG, risk against higher high on weeklyCMG: we still in downtrend on weekly. 3 part bull div on daily is probably related to weekly trying to make a higher high (it hasnt yet). This could be a sell opportunity with stop if we break higher high. The target would be the gap fill and weekly volume profile node. Because its a short, on a daily-weekly timescale, and the r:r isnt great, this is not a perfect trade.