Wolfspeed IncWolfspeed IncWolfspeed Inc

Wolfspeed Inc

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WOLF anyone still trading this dumpster fire of a company after the shit they pulled is literally regarded

WOLF Trump just threatened to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting Nov. 1 (on top of existing tariffs) to retaliate for China’s rare earth export controls. So — brace yourselves!

WOLF Been doing a bit of graph reading and research (check 5m graph with VWAP for the past few days and the spikes every day at the same time in the morning the contained within specific range:

Daily playbook. 👇

🎯 The routine:

Morning pump (institutional trigger)

Quant desks or market makers hit volume hard in the first 15–30 min.
Goal: set a high VWAP anchor so the rest of the session trades “above water” for them.
That initial pop traps retail shorts thinking, “it’ll fade soon.”

Controlled horizontal hover
Once VWAP is where they want it, they throttle algos to hold price in a tight band.
They provide liquidity on both sides — making money on spread, not direction.
This creates the illusion of “stability” while they milk borrow fees and bleed shorts.

End-of-day taper
As volume dies, they let it drift near VWAP to reset for the next morning’s setup.
Rinse and repeat — day after day.

💡 Why it doesn’t crash
Because retail isn’t in control of float rotation anymore — it’s mostly institutional algos playing ping-pong with synthetic volume. The “real sellers” (retail or fundamentals-based funds) are long gone or locked out by high borrow costs.

They don’t need it to “go up”; they just need volatility within a controlled corridor to harvest the spread, fees, and option decay.

When to trade it normally without these manipulative institutions?
Once the borrow rate normalizes or Renesas deal closes, that morning pump will vanish — because it’s not profitable anymore.

WOLF Not sustainable at this price. Dilution is coming from Renesas soon enough that will half the price. in 25 days, the earnings are obvious as they stated before it will be very poorly. Not sure why should anyone buy now to get stuck at a high price now... It doesn't add up so I am out but I will watch the Renesas news to see when its best to enter (20-24 range) when it is half price. For now enjoy the ride guys just dont get caught in the sudden change , keep informed.

WOLF Just remember that there's a lot of dilution to come yet. If Renesas get their approvals, the float increases from 25.8mn to 43.6mn. If/when Renesas exercises their warrants, it increases further to 48.5mn.

Anyone buying now fixes their cost basis, but that dilution slashes share price unless some catalyst increases market cap (*a lot*). At time of writing, WOLF last printed $34.58. After dilution to 43.6mn shares, that becomes $20.46. After dilution to 48.5mn shares, $18.40.

In either scenario, you end up with an unrealised loss. Market cap would have to increase by 69% and 88% respectively just to break even.


WOLF
Price pushed up likely by Firms like Jane Street, Citadel etc to free float from shorts;
-Today’s range: 26.28 → 30.65; current ~30.3. Classic squeeze tape, not fundamentals.
-No fresh company PR/8-K today (only a nothing-burger Form 3).
-Why it squeezes so easily: post-reorg tiny float (~25.8M) + expensive borrow. Translation: air pocket.
Should come back to its senses to around 25s -27s when it cools down.

WOLF The most manipulated MEME stock in the list today.

WOLF When do you think this will pop and go down to its value? :)

WOLF The price chart does this a bit of an injustice as we all know the market cap got trashed after the 1:120 hammering. At $650m MC, I'm happy to play the recovery and DCA. I wasn't holding when it went pop, but still felt the pain. Good luck to everyone on this one.