FTSE 100Watch FTSE if it fails to break above key resistance from the 9 and 18 days M/A..If we fail to break this, then a DT can be seen...Already FTSE has corrected down to its first 23.6 Fib...
Just be careful with long positions...If short profit taking should occur..You can always go back into the market if we break higher...Then a test of that DT shuld occur
UK100 trade ideas
FTSE 100 Perfect Channel Up buy opportunity.FTSE 100 (UK100) has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and right now finds itself within its 4H MA50 (red trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MA50 has been intact as a Support since May 02 and initiated its previous Bullish Leg on June 25.
We expect a similar rally towards the 2.382 Fibonacci extension, targeting 9700.
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UK100 H4 | Bullish bounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry of 9,236.24, whichis an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 9,178.92, whichis a pullback support that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 9,340.36, which acts as a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?UK100 is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the multi swing low support.
Pivot: 9,240.23
1st Support: 9,128.22
1st Resistance: 9,327.92
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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FTSE100 important support retest at 9190The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9190 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9190 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9290 – initial resistance
9340 – psychological and structural level
9420 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9190 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9150 – minor support
9110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9190. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Rise and dip as bear Tuesday kicks in later30-Minute Chart Observations
Price is currently moving sideways around 9,274–9,278 (pivot level).
Very tight consolidation overnight with small candles (low volatility).
EMA cluster (10, 25, 200) is flat and converging — this often signals a larger directional move is coming.
Pivot points:
R1 = 9,297
R2 = 9,316
R3 = 9,334
S1 = 9,260
S2 = 9,242
S3 = 9,223
Daily Plan Adjustments with 30-Min View
Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long)
If FTSE clears 9,280–9,285 with volume (breakout of consolidation), target 9,297 (R1) first, then 9,316 (R2).
Intraday stop: below 9,265 (S1 / EMA cluster support).
This aligns with the daily bullish channel continuation.
Range Play (Mean Reversion)
As long as FTSE trades between 9,260 and 9,285, it’s just chop.
Scalpers can fade moves: buy near 9,260 support, sell near 9,285 resistance.
But this range is tight — better to wait for breakout.
Bearish Breakdown (Intraday Short)
If FTSE loses 9,260 with momentum, expect 9,242 (S2) test.
Stronger bearish momentum could target 9,223 (S3).
Stop for shorts: above 9,280 (back into range).
Summary
Bias unchanged: Daily still favors bullish above 9,260, bearish if we lose that.
Intraday twist: Market is compressing on the 30-min — watch for breakout from 9,260–9,285 box.
Best setup: Wait for a break of this narrow range → then align trades with daily pivot levels.
FTSE 100 uptrend remains intactThe FTSE 100 continues to trade above its multi-month rising trendline. The price has extended its recovery from the 9100 September low, rising above to a peak of 9340 last week, just shy of the 9360 record high.
Buyers will need to extend gains above 9360 to head towards fresh record highs. 9500 is a logical next target
Support is seen at 9150, the 50 SMA, and 9100, the August low. A break below 8880 negates the longer-term uptrend.
FC
Key Observations from the Chart with 9310 resistancePrice Action & Trend
The FTSE is currently at 9,281.7, just below the daily pivot (9,289).
Price is trading within a rising trend channel (red lines).
Higher lows since early September suggest short-term bullish momentum.
Moving Averages (EMA 10, 25, 200)
EMA (10) and EMA (25) are pointing upward, supporting short-term bullishness.
Price is above the EMA (200), confirming the longer-term uptrend is intact.
Pivot Points (Support/Resistance)
Pivot (P): 9,289 → price is hovering around here.
R1: 9,318, R2: 9,369, R3: 9,398 → upside resistance levels.
S1: 9,256, S2: 9,218, S3: 9,158 → downside support levels.
RSI (10)
RSI at ~58.4 → neutral to bullish, not yet overbought.
Trading Ideas
📈 Bullish Setup (trend-following)
Buy near support: ideally around S1 (9,256) or EMA (25).
Target: R1 (9,318), then R2 (9,369).
Stop-loss: below S2 (9,218).
📉 Bearish Setup (counter-trend / pullback)
Short near resistance: R1 (9,318) or upper channel line.
Target: back to Pivot (9,289) or S1 (9,256).
Stop-loss: above R2 (9,369).
⚠️ Neutral / Range Play
Since price is consolidating around the daily pivot, intraday traders might scalp between S1 (9,256) and R1 (9,318) until a breakout occurs.
Can Britain's Stock Market Survive Its Own Streets?The FTSE 100's recent 10.9% year-to-date outperformance against the S&P 500's 8.8% return masks deeper structural vulnerabilities that threaten the UK market's long-term viability. While this temporary surge appears to be driven by investor rotation away from overvalued US tech stocks toward traditional UK sectors, it obscures decades of underperformance: the FTSE 100 has delivered just 5.0% annualized returns over the past decade, compared to the S&P 500's 13.2%. The index's heavy weighting toward finance, energy, and mining, combined with minimal exposure to high-growth technology firms, has left it fundamentally misaligned with the modern economy's drivers of growth.
The UK's economic landscape presents mounting challenges that extend beyond market composition. Inflation rose to 3.8% in July, surpassing forecasts and increasing the likelihood of sustained high interest rates that could dampen economic activity. Government deficits reached £20.7 billion in June, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability, while policy uncertainty under the new Labour government creates additional investor hesitation. Geopolitical instability has shifted risk appetite for 61% of UK institutional investors, with half adopting more defensive strategies in response to global tensions.
Most significantly, civil unrest has emerged as a quantifiable economic threat that directly impacts business operations and market stability. Far-right mobilisation and anti-immigration demonstrations have resulted in violent clashes across UK cities, with over a quarter of UK businesses affected by civil unrest in 2024. The riots following the Southport stabbing incident alone generated an estimated £250 million in insured losses, with nearly half of the affected businesses forced to close premises and 44% reporting property damage. Business leaders now view civil unrest as a greater risk than terrorism, requiring increased security measures and insurance coverage that erode profitability.
The FTSE 100's future hinges on its ability to evolve beyond its traditional sectoral composition while navigating an increasingly volatile domestic environment where political violence has become a material business risk. The index's apparent resilience masks fundamental weaknesses that, combined with the rising costs of social and political instability, threaten to undermine long-term investor confidence and economic growth. Without significant structural adaptation and effective management of civil disorder risks, the UK's benchmark index faces an uncertain trajectory in an era where street-level violence translates directly into boardroom concerns.
FTSE uptrend resistance at 9285The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9195 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9195 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9285 – initial resistance
9346 – psychological and structural level
9438 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9195 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9133 – minor support
9100 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9195. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE100, 9190 support retest? The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9190 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9190 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9290 – initial resistance
9340 – psychological and structural level
9420 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9190 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9150 – minor support
9110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9190. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 9,246.71, which is a pullback resistance and oculd potentially drop from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 9,340.97, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 9,107.27, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FTSE important support retest at 9190The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9190 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9190 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9290 – initial resistance
9340 – psychological and structural level
9420 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9190 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9150 – minor support
9110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9190. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Short the rallies... buy the rumour sell the news on FOMC day!1. Short-Term (Intraday, 30-min chart)
Trend: Still bearish — price is trading below the 200 EMA (orange) and 25 EMA (blue). Multiple EMAs are aligned downward, showing short-term weakness.
Support:
Immediate: 9,165 (S1)
Next: 9,130 (S2)
Stronger: 9,070 (S3)
Resistance:
Pivot: 9,226
Stronger: 9,261 (R1)
Idea:
If price fails to reclaim the pivot (9,226) and gets rejected near EMA clusters, it favours a short back toward S1/S2.
A breakout above 9,226–9,261 zone with strong volume could shift bias to a quick long scalp targeting 9,300.
2. Medium-Term (Daily chart)
Trend: Mixed but leaning bearish — yesterday produced a strong red candle back under the 10 & 25 EMA. RSI (10) has rolled over at ~46, showing fading momentum.
Support:
Daily S1: 9,165
Trendline support: around 9,150–9,130
Resistance:
Pivot: 9,226
R1: 9,261
Idea:
If the index holds above 9,165 and rebounds, bulls may attempt another push into the 9,226–9,261 zone.
A close below 9,165 would confirm further downside toward 9,070–9,100.
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 16 September 2025- FTSE 100 reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 9090.00
FTSE 100 index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the key resistance level 9330,00 (which stopped the previous wave (3) in the middle of August, as can be seen below) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active short-term correction 2.
FTSE 100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 9090.00, the target for the completion of the wave 2 (low of the previous correction (4)).
FTSE uptrend continuation resistance at 9346The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance retest within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9240 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9240 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9346 – initial resistance
9395 – psychological and structural level
9437 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9240 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9193 – minor support
9135 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9240. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.