No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase: “Sell in May, return another day.” In Wikipedia it is written: “Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the...
A correction is coming soon. Maybe started this week. How low will it go? Nobody knows. So many Bearish Posts. Permabears predicting cataclysm. The End is Near! Doomsayers who repeatedly forecast massive crashes will eventually be right, once every 15-20 years. Almost always these guys are just plain wrong. Markets exist to print money. Money prints when...
You cannot predict the future. But you can prepare for it. Mega cap tech stocks have collectively lost USD 930 billion in value since Nasdaq 100 peaked on 21st March 2024. Will Super Sevens earnings turn the tide? Starting this week, the Super Sevens will start announcing first quarter results. NASDAQ:TSLA is up first on 23/Apr (Tue) followed by NASDAQ:META ...
For those who have been here since 2022 early 2023 when there was so much fear in the market and we called the market had bottomed. I think it was the right call, even though we had a lot of naysayers. Now I think we are nearing the end of this rally which I estimate will be sometime in February 2024. I have two outcomes the green line below which I highly favor...
Hi Traders ! Previously, The SPX500 Price Formed a Bearish Double TOP Pattern. Currently, The Price Broke The Support Level (5081.27 - 5051.43). This Key Level Becomes a New Resistance Level ! So, I Expect a Bearish Move 📉. TARGET: 4976.00🎯
Retest of previous bearish cypher with oversold stoch rsi
Our last call on the S&P500 (SPX) couldn't have gone better as the Bearish Megaphone pattern we expected (April 05, see chart below) was eventually materialized and easily hit on Tuesday our 5050 Target: At the moment the index is below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the main Support since November 03 2023 and is headed towards the 1D MA100...
Correction As you know, Market is inside a correction, and I suppose it will extent next week as well. First support was at about 5000 and low chance reaction to it. Next support will be at about 4800- 4820 and in my view, it can be a strong one for ending correction. Next week the market is going to be wavier because of releasing reports. I am waiting for the...
If it is to continue doing so, which I believe it will, then the correction is over, and the bottom is in before 5000. on the one hour chart we are seeing bullish divergence on the RSI, which has marked prior bottoms. I wouldn't be surprised if today was bottom.
S&P500 is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.601, MACD = -44.800, ADX = 58.528) as it touched the 1D MA100 on Friday after more than 5 months. This calls for a short term rebound at least as every previous corrective wave inside the multi month Channel Up that approached the 1D MA100, it rebounded to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Following our...
Do you think you clearly assess the scale of the problems?
Here are the actual #'s for you to see the 2024 Wall Street analysts forecasts on the chart. Once those are charted in the black rectangles at the year-end price targets, we can see where there are concentrations of estimates and where investors might pause and sell as the target has been reached for the year. And then I added in the 9% and 10% green lines to...
Three Black Crows is a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend. Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red. The Three Black Crows...
My thesis for market cycle top is that SPX is creating a massive ending diagonal since the Covid bottom in 2020. The March 2024 top of 5264.85 has reached the 0.5 fib extension, not exactly the 0.618 extension that I was hoping for. But the EW rules are still intact and the strong downward movement might be signaling that the local top is in. Now the rule for...
We are going to be looking at it through the moving averages and keep it simple this time... How are you feeling today? I am hoping you are having a wonderful Saturday. Based on what I am seeing in this chart, next week will be a super bloody, full blown red week and that's ok; the market moves in waves... We are talking about the stock market, the S&P 500 Index...
This is a rough estimate projection of what I'm expecting in the coming weeks for the market. I'll post a more detailed analysis once wave 4 is confirmed. Here is the summary (this is not an EWT analysis, so you;ll have to take my word on it for this count - rather, its a rough forecast for what to expect that uses an EWC to simplify my pivot references): -...
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5062.0. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4928.9 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period...
Follow-up to my previous 5137 Top Call (click). Markets appear to be retracing finally. This could be just the start of correction. Minimum next leg depicted goes to 4900-ish. $ 5109-5137 is major resistance that may be retested. $ 5044-5049 a minor support that will hopefully bounce. $ 4896-4924 is next major support and BEST GUESS...