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30-DAY FED FUNDS INTEREST RATE FUTURES

CBOT:FFU2015
 
     
 
    
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FFU2015 Commodities Futures Chart

 

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JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO FFU2015, D, Short ,
FFU2015: Market Doesn't Fully Expect a Fed Hike Until March 2016
56 0 5
FFU2015, D Short
Market Doesn't Fully Expect a Fed Hike Until March 2016

The Fed's statement was simply 'in-line', but that is in-line with a distinctive hawkish view (calling for 2 rate hikes in 2015) from its previous meeting. For most intents and purposes, that is hawkish and thereby Dollar bullish (risk/SPX bearish). Yet, the market remains purposefully aloof. Fed Funds futures are showing liftoff is not 100% expected until the ...

JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO 1/FFU2015, D, Long ,
1/FFU2015: For Dollar to Forge New 12 Year Highs, Fed Forecast Must Sink In
45 0 7
1/FFU2015, D Long
For Dollar to Forge New 12 Year Highs, Fed Forecast Must Sink In

The shift away from an expansive QE program and steady lead up in speculation for the Fed's return to rate hikes has been central to the Dollar's gains over the past year. We've already seen a big adjustment to its relative hawkish lean (compared to the likes of the ECB, BoJ, PBoC), but there is still untapped premium as the market is still under-pricing the Fed's ...

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