Bonds - Bearish - 3rd Week of April Looking for Bonds to complete MMSM, perfectly correlated with yields & dxy completing their corresponding MMBM.
Bearish Quarterly Shift on Bonds Possibly Invalidated I thought a possible bearish retracement for this quarter could be possible but bonds seems to be bullish. Bearish price action looks like runs on stops. Will continue to watch. As of now, I switch to neutral. My longer term mmbm idea seems to be playing out a lot more aggressively than I expected.
Bonds - Possible Bearish Quarterly ShiftBonds is continuously breaking daily lows. Would like to see a body close market structure shift lower for a clear sign of bearish shift.
5 Year T-Notes Long Idea Long on Donchian 4 week break out rules for a major change in trend. Lets see where this gets us.
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ZF (and bonds in general) carnageThe expected turnaround did not happened, and the 61.8 Fibo is now a resistance.
T-Notes 4 week breakoutThis is reference chart for my recent trade idea to explain why I am going long T-Notes Futures.
5 Year T-Note Futures 1 tick = 0.0078125
Tick Value = $7.8125
What I call 1 point is 4 ticks or 0.03125 ($31.25)
Bought at 112'09'2 Stop 112'07'0
ZF - looks like a bottomFive year notes show clear divergence against momentum indicators, bottom might be in place.
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Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2022) is Sep 30, 2022.
The best time to sell a futures contract is when you've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, a good option would be to sell 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2022) before Sep 30, 2022.