Corn
Technicals (May)
What more is there to say about the corn market that hasn’t been said already? The market remains range bound with daily ranges shrinking as of late, reminiscent of watching paint dry. The CME CVOL index which measures volatility remains near the low end of the years range. Typically, we start to see that increase this time of year, but...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures broke lower yesterday, after struggling to maintian price action above trendline support in the previous two sessions. This has the Bear camp back in the driver’s seat as we officially enter the back half of the week. A close back above 550-555 would neutralize the recent bearish action.
Bias:...
Corn Futures ConsolidateTechnicals (May)
May corn futures continue to be stuck in a sideways trade, not great if you're trading for a bigger directional move. With that said, we believe there are some great opportunities for shorter term trading opportunities on both sides of the market. If you'd like to discuss being more active on a shorter-term basis, feel...
Soybeans
Technicals (May)
May soybean futures broke back below support yesterday which accelerated the selling pressure and keeps the door open for a retest of the February lows in play, that comes in from 1128 1/2-1133 1/2.
Bias: Neutral
Resistance: 1155-1160***, 1170-1175***
Pivot: 1150
Support: 1128 1/2-1133 1/2****
Fund Positioning
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Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures traded in a wide range yesterday, on both sides of unchanged. This morning, prices are attempting to firm as the market revisits our pivot pocket from 550-555. The Bulls will want to see consecutive closes back above this pocket to spur a move back towards the recent highs. A failure to do so could put the Bears in...
Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended weaker on Tuesday after touching a one-month low as strength in the dollar weighed on grain markets.
CBOT May soybeans SK24 settled down 13-1/4 cents at $11.45 per
bushel and hit their lowest price since March 6.
CBOT May soymeal SMK24 ended down $3.20 at $335.30 per short
ton, and May soyoil BOK24 dropped 0.56 cent...
Chicago Board of Trade corn futures ended lower on Monday, pressured by generally favorable U.S. weather for planting and a setback in crude oil futures as worries eased about escalating tensions in the Middle East.
-Corn sometimes follows trends in crude oil due to its role as the main U.S. feedstock for ethanol fuel.
-CBOT May corn settled down 4 cents at...
Soybeans
Technicals (May)
May soybean futures had a strong close on Friday, finishing back at resistance from 1170-1175. An impressive showing considering prices traded down to 1151 in Thursday’s trade. The Bulls want to see consecutive closes back above 1170-1175 to put the ball back in their court. A failure to do so could keep sellers active. If the Bulls can...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures are under some minor pressure to start the week and are flirting with our pivot pocket from 550-555. If the Bulls fail to defend this pocket on a closing basis, we could see additional pressure come into the market with the next downside target coming in from 537-540.
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 573 1/2-575, 595...
Corn Futures
Technicals (May)
May corn futures had a strong close on Friday with the uncertainty of what could happen geopolitically over the weekend. The "worst case scenario" was avoided which has most markets trading in a calmer manner to start the week. Looking at the technical landscape, the market is still very rangebound with prices lingering near the...
Chicago Board of Trade corn futures dropped to a one-month low on Tuesday on forecasts for good spring planting weather in the U.S. Midwest that could potentially increase acres planted this spring.
-Concerns about ample supplies and weak U.S. corn export demand added further pressure to prices after a media report said Chinese authorities were seeking to curb...
Malaysian palm oil futures rose for the third straight session on Wednesday, due to a shortage after a slowdown in production during Ramadan, topped with hot weather over the past weeks.
The benchmark palm oil contract for June delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose 84 ringgit, or 1.95%, to 4,396 ringgit ($926) a metric ton, by the midday...
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures dropped on Tuesday on technical selling and spillover support from lower corn and wheat.
-CBOT May soybeans ended down 11-3/4 cents at $11.74 per bushel after touching the lowest level since March 8.
-Selling accelerated as the benchmark contract broke through technical chart support at its 20- and 50-day moving...
December corn futures, often referred to as the “new crop” contract because it is the price for the U.S. crop that is about to get planted. The first crop progress report of the year showed just 2% of the crop is planted in the United States. With the crop hardly in the ground, there are uncertainties around production potential that tend to offer seasonal...
Multiple support levels have been breached, accompanied by the formation of a FVG (Fair Value Gap) pattern, along with the appearance of a Double Maru Sell signal. Consequently, we anticipate the price to likely retest the Resistance level before initiating a downward movement.
Furthermore, a reversal signal has been identified in the candlestick pattern,...
The chart clearly shows a Triangle Pattern Breakout, accompanied by the formation of an Inverse pattern, confirming the movement, along with the emergence of a Lower Low chart pattern.
Therefore, traders should seize opportunities when the price retraces to the inverse zone or potentially around the area where support becomes resistance.
In this video I go over my thesis on why I am short term long the corn futures market due to the energy market picking up some positive momentum due to strong manufacturing data coming from the two power houses U.S. and China and how I think this could positively impact the price of corn due to it's use in ethanol. Higher crude oil prices can generally have a...
