Hello friends. We previously posted about a "generational bottom" in the lumber market. We still believe that this idea could be in play, especially since lumber has started to accelerate off of the low as we anticipated. We already took one long which was closed, but we would like to catch the lows of this pullback to continue to follow the market on this...
1.27.23 Since I am looking at the same markets with follow-up near the everyday, I think this is a good way to learn how to read markets, but it is more likely to turn you into a scalper or a very short-term Trader, and it requires more screen time, and your trading will tend to be shorter term Trading. You want to spend less time trading and make more money,...
Lumber is signalling disinflation. Stocks are signaling inflation. There has bee a high correlation with stocks and lumber for about 18 months. Is this correlation officially breaking or does it imply we will see some weakness in stocks? Right now lumber is showing weakness.
LT chart of lumber looks like an area to find support. JCTCF is one way to play it, as well as others like CFP, CFF, IFP all on the TSX.
1.3.23 We are looking at TSLA and LBS1! : Both of them have bullish swings....Yet, there may be Signs of reversals period. I would be looking for early Ranging behavior Using range boxes .
Lumber is at a critical inflection point. Its likely telling us that Central bank policy is about to experience more inflation if they start to ease to soon. If Lumber continues to rally, its screaming more housing inflation could be around the corner. Since we have a major Technical Topping formation in play, Lumber is still vulnerable to more downside...
1.24.23 QG1! LBS1! :Lumber Started out the same way that Natural Gas Is trading now. Both markets Were very oversold and found the reversal comma but then produces A double bottom.... and in the case of lumber, has made a very profitable move higher... about $10,000 higher. We have to wait and see what will happen with natural gas.
Lumber bouncing so far for 2023 is something to watch as previously lumber has been a key indicator of coming weakness in markets If lumber should fail here and continue downward will it be foreshadowing the next leg of this bear market?
falling wedge pattern watch for a breakout lumber is also a leading indicator of the stock market
The long hard fight continues against the downtrend. Sure, the housing market is done.... but if there is life relative to the safe haven there may be one more asset rally yet
Lumber proves to be an interesting one! Are we witnessing the first effects of a bullwhip? Will we reverse out of the triangle or trickle into the accumulation zone? Not financial advice, DYOR.
12. 8. 22 natural Gas, lumber, and coffee are long trades or potential long trades, and I talked about the details, the tools, and market dynamics as it pertains to the trades.
12. 8. 22 I believe natural gas found the support and a reversal for a long trade. I intended to talk about more than one market, but I access push the button and the software push me into the published mode..... so I will follow up put another video brother markets.
12. 6. 22 Long trade in lumber with a small stop. I will provide follow-up.
Someone online posted that lumber/gold was intersting to observe. Here we can see the probability of a recession is creeping up with Lumber:Gold in a downtrend.
CPI will tell the future here this line needs to hold for the melt-up scenario
11.7.22 I tc.think there might be a buy signal on lumber. I looked at the ES, the dxy, and several other markets. I showed how I might take entries using two bar reversals etc.
11.5.22 LBS1! Part 2 The main reason for the second video is that this market gave you a second chance to short After the market broke below a support line and then retraced higher. But there is another reason for this video, and that is some trades are much more painful than other trades. If I had taken an opening price trade too short several days earlier I...