S&P 500 Index
$ES1! $SPY $SPX Analysis, Key levels & Targets This is what I’m seeing going into tomorrow based on futures at the moment… My position has not changed on SPY since that last post so I’ll post that down below… I will be looking to sell some more premium tomorrow, but I want to see how we open… Hope y’all had a fun 4th…. —- I am not your financial advisor....
NQ oversold on weekly MFI and now RTY and ES MFI oversold on my short term charts. Now that RTY is oversold, I;m really expecting a garbage stock short squeeze, lol.
If you are an SPX Investor looking for entry it is always wise to adjust your risk and understand the effect of sentiment on the market. We can judge market value easily with basic understanding of Risk management and market scaling. Also to understand how LOW we can go is important and holding off until YOU are comfortable with your trading plan. Watch to see more.
7.5.22 ES1! I think it is very important to look at larger time frames in a market that made a huge gain with one of the longest bull runs in history...And is likely to make a commensurate huge move lower. The challenge is to find clues on how the market will do this. I realize my presentation will be a little more complicated than many traders would like to see....
7.5.22 ES1! Part 2 follow up....................................................................................................................
Im expecting the am lows to hold and rip back to 3880 and ideally 3915 Should top on 7-8th and continue move lower into mid of the month as per my weekend update
The S&P continues to be caught in a downward slightly wedging channel. Price sits within the ema cloud below the Jun 28th high and June 17 pivot low. It worth noting that price has not yet tested the higher time frame 382 Fib. This is significant b/c usually when price comes within range of a significant level it eventually touches it. Hard to predict direction...
Trends had some minor changes from the overnight movement. I explained that there is an upcoming Bull / Bear Battleground taking shape. Price is coming under pressure and ultimately something is going to give. I still give a 60/40 bearish sentiment, but again, I trade off of the mathematical equation of trends, and NOT off my opinion. Today I go over the trends...
simple as it gets. this zone is an important S/R level. we flip bearish or bullish according to the price action. hold above we long, hold below we short till where liquidity is.
SP500 Bearish Bias, lower prices is expected, let's see how this pans out!
The price action in the S&P 500 on Tuesday was dramatic. 1st breaking to the downside on market concerns and then rallying back near its high for the day. The results of this is that left the large shadow on the lows. The large shadow indicates that buyers came back into the market. The issue now is can they follow through to the upside and a close above 3875 with...
good evening o/ i'm looking for a back-test of 3900 before a pivot to the downside. once 3900ish is achieved, i think es raids the range lows for a stop-loss raid \ fake out \ swing failure pattern. (similar to btc). buying into that sfp is the plan, with a target above 4000. i foresee one more dip down from that 4000 range - down to 3550\3500 which i believe...
When I put the Logarithmic scale on $SPX, I notice that despite a very negative outlook on the US Economy throughout 2009, the trend was mostly up. While economic circumstances are very different, could it be that over a 12+ month time frame we'll be up again to ATHs? Log Scale: considers the compounding and the percentage so you can see what the history is....
Real quick, I didn't want to record the whole thing again, but I skipped part of the math equation because I was doing it in my head so I thought I'd explain the math on why 3500ish... Top 4805, Bottom from pandemic lows 2175 4805 - 2175 = 2630 2630 / 2 = 1315 (the part I forgot to explain on how I got around 1300) 2175 + 1315 = 3510 Once we bottom at 3510ish, I...
MFI is precariously close to overbought even though the market is not gaining traction. When the algos hit the sell button after this next pump then we could see a big drop. Like I said, no long positions until next week. No FOMO trades for me. These whipsaws are too hard to trade
7.2.22 ES1! Review: Range Box for scalping........................................................................................................
CME_MINI:ES1! In the past six months, the S&P 500 has fallen from an all-time high of 4,818.62 to a fresh 52-week low of 3,636.82, down 1,181.8 points, or -24.5%. Following a brutal week, the U.S. stock market rose on Tuesday, as investors weighed the Fed rate hikes amid rising fears of a recession. The Dow rose 2.15%. The S&P popped 2.45%, and the Nasdaq...
note the broken down rising trendline resistance. Im expecting it to get tested and rejected hard with new lows mid July (13-14th), ideally we test 3500 and hold it. The longer term target is 3209SPX now