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E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Sep 2018)

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How to Trade with Stochastics in TradingViewMaster Stochastics using TradingView’s charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that helps traders identify potential turning points in the market by comparing the current closing price to the recent high–low range. It’s designed to show when momentum may be shifting from buyers to sellers — or vice versa. What You’ll Learn: - Understanding the Stochastic Oscillator as a momentum tool plotted from 0 to 100 - How the %K line represents the current close relative to the recent high–low range - How the %D line acts as a moving average of %K and serves as a signal line - Key thresholds: readings above 80 suggest overbought conditions, while below 20 suggest oversold conditions - Why overbought and oversold levels are not automatic buy or sell signals — and how strong trends can keep Stochastics extended - Identifying bullish and bearish crossovers between %K and %D - Spotting bullish and bearish divergence between price and momentum - Using Stochastics to confirm trend direction across different timeframes - How to add Stochastics on TradingView via the Indicators menu - Understanding the default settings (14, 3, 3) and how adjusting them affects responsiveness - Practical examples on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart - Applying Stochastics across multiple timeframes — daily, weekly, or intraday — for confirmation signals This tutorial will benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate Stochastics into their trading process. The concepts covered may help you identify momentum shifts, potential reversal zones, and trend confirmations across different markets and timeframes. Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1
SANTA RALLY OR BLACK FRIDAY ...... THOUGHTS?This is this weekend's whiteboard projections for the next 6months. This shows a slight reclaim this week but a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Then a drop to the bottom of the narrower channel when China tariffs & rare earth restrictions are reflected in earnings guidance as Mag7 reports Q3 results. Dead cat bounce into Thanksgiving after the market pullback on guidance. Then only a Trump tweet can give us a Santa Rally, otherwise the other shoe falls and we get a Black Friday/Monday after Thanksgiving. Followed by a controlled selloff through Q4/Q1 earnings & poor guidance. Chart forecasts finding a bottom in April 2026. Please share your charts/forecasts into April 2026. (I am pretty new to this if you can't tell by my charts)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by cobra15999
1
gameplan for $ES_F – 10/20**Trade Plan – 10/20: $ES_F #ES_F** 📊 **Setup Overview:** • $ES_F held above key **support at 6540**, bouncing off the daily trendline and reclaiming short-term strength. • The broader **ascending wedge** remains intact, with **6806** as major resistance and **6540** acting as the line in the sand for bulls. • The market is consolidating between **6540–6800**, awaiting a breakout catalyst — likely earnings or macro data. 🐂 **Bullish Scenario:** • Stay above **6540** and push through **6700 → 6750** for continuation. • Break and hold above **6806** targets **new highs** into the **6850–6900** zone. 🐻 **Bearish Scenario:** • Lose **6540** → watch for a quick drop toward **6240 → 6169**. • Below **6169**, momentum breaks the long-term structure and opens **5822** as the next major demand zone. ⚖️ **Key Levels:** • Resistance → 6700 / 6750 / 6806 • Support → 6540 / 6240 / 6169 🕓 **What I’m Watching:** • Daily close above **6700** confirms bullish continuation. • Breakdown under **6540** confirms the first leg of a potential trend reversal. • Earnings and Fed speakers could drive volatility — stay nimble near resistance zones. --- 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment if you’re trading $ES_F. Follow **@optibiz_trades** for more market setups, trade plans, and daily insights!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by nazimd73
1
ES - October 15th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 15th - 6:25am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I am not going to go into much detail about yesterday as I have detailed out the trades that I took, which aligned with my edge. It was a great short squeeze yesterday and it all played out at the optimal timeframe while I was at my desk. The overnight low is 6683 and our overnight high is 6732. I stated in the 4:52pm note yesterday that " Any reclaim of 6692-94 would be bullish overnight and give us another attempt at the 6720 level to take price higher." - This is what happened and we have grinded into some overhead resistance at 6732 with 6738-42 being a strong resistance. Since price grinded slowly higher overnight, my lean is we need a pullback to keep things moving higher. While I do not rely solely on technical bull/bear flags, the white trendlines that are drawn, could be a bearish structure that could reach 6742-44 area, then pullback to the 6642 area. The white trendline moving up, IF, price reaches it, should give us a nice bounce for points, then we would expect price to lose this level and move lower. (IF, price does pull back and we take out the 6744-48 level and are successful, any back test should be good for price to move higher, this would also make the bear flag invalid) Levels I am looking to grab some points at today: 1. Any loss and reclaim of 6705 2. Loss of 6683 and reclaim (maybe getting as low as 6666 and then reclaim 6674) 3. Loss of 6660 and reclaim 4. Loss of 6632 and reclaim (could be the bounce of the white trendline) 5. Loss of 6593 and reclaim (Yesterday's low) Below those levels and we will most likely be in free fall to retest the 6540 level which could be the last area to give us a bounce. IF, price loses any levels lower than 6540, you will want to be patient and let price build a base to take a long on the reclaim of a level above. Key Support Levels - 6720, 6705, 6683, 6674, 6660, 6642, 6632, 6624, 6593, 6575, 6550, 6540 Key Resistance Levels - 6732, 6744-48, 6758, 6778 IF, price rallies above 6732 (Overnight High) and then comes back into the overnight range after the NYSE Open, and ES starts to sell off fast, DO NOT try and RUSH into grabbing points. Wait for it to build a base at one of the levels outlined above. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
4
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis Week-Ahead (Oct 20th - 24th)Market Structure Overview Price has shown a robust rebound from last week's discount levels, now trading back near the 6,720 area following a swift flush and subsequent V-shaped recovery. Currently, we remain capped under the supply zone between 6,765 and 6,795, which represents the previous swing-high levels. As long as we trade below this resistance, our primary strategy will be to sell into strength and buy on dips within the established range, rather than pursuing breakouts. On the hourly chart, key equilibrium is noted around the 6,701 to 6,705 range; this serves as the pivotal point around which price action is currently oscillating. Setups (Level-KZ style) Reclaim-and-go long (Tier-1 / Tier-2): Asia/London: hold above 6,701–6,705 after a shallow dip → in NY AM, take the first 5m re-close + 1m HL toward 6,725–6,735. Scale/target: TP1 6,725–6,735, runners toward 6,765–6,780 if strength persists. Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,701. Flush-and-reclaim long (Tier-3 bounce): • Quick sweep into 6,655–6,665 (or even 6,685–6,690) during London → immediate reclaim → first HL entry. • Targets: back to 6,701 then 6,725–6,735. Invalidation: 15m close back inside/under the swept zone. Pop-and-fail short (fade): • Squeeze into 6,725–6,735 that fails to accept (15m rejection back inside) → take the first 5m LH. • Targets: 6,701 then 6,685–6,690. Invalidation: 15m body acceptance above 6,735. Stop-run reversal short: • Spike into 6,765–6,795 (look for wick/absorption) → 15m rejection → 5m LH entry. • Targets: 6,735 then 6,701. Invalidation: sustained 15m/30m acceptance above 6,795. Management: Anchor hard SL to the relevant 15m wick of the trigger ± a small buffer; require TP1 ≥ 2R to the next major level. At TP1, trim most and put the runner to BE; max 2 attempts per level per session. Overnight to Tomorrow NY Forecast Base Case: Anticipate a range build between 6,685 and 6,735 overnight as the market absorbs the recent rebound. During the NY AM session (09:30–11:00 ET), initial attempts may test the 6,725–6,735 resistance before pulling back towards 6,701, potentially moving within the 6,685–6,690 range. Should buyers maintain support at 6,701 on a 15-minute chart, watch for a late-morning rebound back to the 6,725–6,735 zone, with a potential squeeze toward 6,755–6,780 if we see acceptance above 6,735. The bias shifts to a bullish trend only with clear acceptance above 6,795, which would indicate multiple strong closes in that area, potentially targeting 6,820 and beyond. On the other hand, a decisive move below 6,655 would trigger a downward extension toward 6,604, 6,564, and 6,520. Execution windows (ET) • London: 02:00–05:00 — look for the sweep/reclaim plays. • NY AM (primary): 09:30–11:00 — best momentum/rotation. • NY PM: 13:30–16:00 — continuation or mean-revert back into the day’s pivot. What changes the plan Acceptance above 6,735 early: favor continuation to 6,765–6,780 rather than fading. Hard failure at 6,701 with sellers defending on 15m: expect a deeper test into 6,685 → 6,655–6,665. Elevated macro headlines/data at 08:30/10:00 ET windows can temporarily override levels; let the impulse print, then trade the retest.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses - Key Levels, Setups for Thu (Oct 16)Kill-zones: London 02:00–05:00 · NY AM 09:30–11:00 · NY PM 13:30–16:00 The price is currently capped under yesterday’s VAH/PDH level. Bulls need to maintain levels above that zone to trigger the next upward movement. If we drop below, the previous POC/VAL will likely pull prices back in. Premise • Government 08:30 releases are unlikely; headline risk is lighter into the open. • Primary scheduled risk is Fed Gov. Barr around 09:00 ET. • Expect a cleaner auction: use our Level-KZ 15m→5m→1m sequence and prioritize first touches. Tier-1 (A++) setups — Level-KZ Protocol 1. Short the cap at R2 (6,748.5–6,766.8) Trigger: 15m rejection back inside → 5m re-close under → 1m LH pullback entry. Stop: Above the 15m wick (+0.25–0.50). Targets: TP1 6,712.5; TP2 6,695.5; TP3 6,651.0. Management: At TP1 close 70%, runner to BE; seek TP2–TP3 during NY AM. 2. Break-and-hold long above PDH 6,766.8 Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,766.8 → 5m pullback holds → 1m HL entry. Stop: Below trigger wick (−0.25–0.50). Targets: TP1 6,790–6,805; TP2 6,828–6,832; TP3 6,872–6,893. Invalidation: 15m close back inside 6,748.5. Tier-2 / Tier-3 bounce plays (sized ¾ and ½) Quick-reclaim bounce at S2/S3 (6,695–6,683): Fast sweep → instant reclaim on 5m → 1m HL entry. Targets: TP1 6,712.5; TP2 6,741.0; TP3 6,766.8. Hard stop: 15m wick through S3 (≤0.50). Gate: TP1 ≥ 2.0R.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oc 14)News & Event Map (ET) • 06:00 NFIB Small-Business Optimism (Sept). • 08:45 Fed Gov. Michelle Bowman remarks. • 12:20 Fed Chair Powell keynote. • Mid-day U.S. T-bill auctions (6-wk, 13-/26-wk close mid-day). • Backdrop: Fresh U.S.–China port fee headlines add a macro risk-off/risk-on toggle. • Earnings: Early-season, light but picking up (e.g., Bank OZK, ESLT, NEWT). Read: plan London 02:00–05:00, NY AM 09:30–11:00, PM 13:30–16:00. Avoid initiating during Powell’s window unless already risk-reduced. For overnight London session: 1) A Bounce (Tier-3) — Long from 6,661–6,672 (only on exhaustion + reclaim) • Trigger: Flush into the band → 1m reclaim → 5m up-close. • Invalidation/SL: Below 6,653. • TP1: 6,689–6,692 (take 70%, runner BE). • TP2: 6,706–6,710. • Note: If the stop required to the 15m wick makes TP1 < 2R, skip. 2) Reclaim-Fail Short (Tier-1 quality) — Short on 6,689–6,692 retest-fail • Trigger: Pop back into 6,689–6,692, 15m can’t hold above, 5m rolls over; 1m LH entry. • SL: Above 6,696–6,698. • TP1: 6,672 → 6,666. • TP2: 6,661. • Stretch: 6,640–6,650 if momentum persists. 3) Breakdown Continuation (Tier-1) — Short on 15m acceptance below 6,661 • Trigger: 15m full-body close < 6,661, then 5m retest holds below. • SL: Back above 6,666–6,668. • TP1: 6,640–6,650. • TP2: Trail for a bleed toward mid-650s if tape stays heavy. For NY session: Tier-1 A++ (Major) — Short at 6,718–6,725 • Trigger (Rejection-Fade): 15m close back below 6,718 after a wick through; 5m re-close lower with LH; 1m first pullback entry. • SL: Above 6,730 (±0.25–0.50). • TP1: 6,689–6,692 (close 70% → runner BE). • TP2: 6,661–6,672. • TP3: 6,645–6,650. • Invalidation: 15m full-body acceptance ≥6,725 (don’t fade; flip to the long continuation play). Tier-1 A++ (Major) — Long continuation on 6,725+ acceptance • Trigger (Acceptance-Go): 15m full-body close ≥6,725 → 5m pullback holds 6,718–6,721 and re-closes up → 1m HL entry. • SL: Below 6,712 (±0.25–0.50). • TP1: 6,735–6,745. • TP2: 6,760 area. • TP3: 6,780 stretch. • Invalidation: 15m close back inside 6,718 after entry. Tier-2 A+ Bounce — Quick-reclaim long at 6,689–6,692 • Trigger: Sweep/flush into the band, instant reclaim on 1m → 5m up-close. • SL: Below 6,682. • TP1: 6,707–6,710. • TP2: 6,718–6,725. • TP3: 6,735. • Size: ¾ standard. Tier-3 A Bounce — Exhaustion flush long at 6,661–6,672 • Trigger: Capitulation wick + 5m bullish re-close from the band. • SL: 6,653. • TP1: 6,689–6,692. • TP2: 6,706–6,710. • TP3: 6,718. • Size: ½ standard. PA projections: Market Analysis: London to New York Trading Session London Session (02:00–05:00) In the early hours, the base case scenario for the market suggests a modest advance to the 6,661–6,672 range, followed by a brief spike to 6,689–6,692. However, resistance is expected to kick in at this level, potentially leading to a reversal back to 6,672 and down to 6,661. In a bearish scenario, if there is a 15-minute acceptance below 6,661, we may target 6,640–6,650 as potential support levels. Pre-New York Session (08:00–09:30) As long as prices remain below 6,689, we anticipate the formation of a lower high beneath 6,700, exerting downward pressure towards 6,661. There is a heightened risk of a flush toward 6,645–6,650 during this period. New York Morning Session (09:30–11:00) The bearish sentiment is likely to persist if prices remain under 6,689, with selling opportunities expected towards 6,661 and the 6,645–6,650 range. The momentum in this phase will determine whether we establish a base or continue to decline. Conversely, a bullish alternative may emerge if there is a sustained 15-minute close above 6,689 for 30 to 60 minutes, which could pivot the market towards a buying strategy, targeting 6,706–6,710 and possibly testing 6,718–6,725. A decisive move above 6,725 would shift the focus to 6,735–6,745. Key Levels to Watch Bullish Scenario: A successful flip to bullish sentiment would require two consecutive 15-minute closes above 6,689, with pullbacks holding at this level. Bearish Confirmation: A bearish confirmation would manifest through a 15-minute full-body close below 6,661, followed by a failed retest from below. Conclusion: The outlook remains inherently biased towards a sell-rallies strategy throughout the trading day from London into New York, as long as prices stay below 6,689. A recovery and sustained hold above this threshold would redirect attention to tests of 6,706 and 6,718.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES (SPY, SPX) Analyses, Key Levels, Setups for Wed (Oct 15)Context Price is currently positioned just below a light supply band and above a cluster of intraday supports. I’m planning for a balance-to-break day: either a push through the overhead resistance or a drop back into yesterday’s lower range. Event Windows (volatility timing only) • London: 02:00–05:00 ET • NY AM: 09:30–11:00 ET • NY PM: 13:30–16:00 ET (watch for afternoon headlines/ Fed summaries) (Use these as timing windows; trade the levels & structure.) Playbook Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15m→5m→1m) 1) A++ Continuation LONG — 6718–6725 → 6740–6748 Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6725, 5m pullback holds, 1m HL entry. Invalidation: below 15m trigger wick / ≈6712. Targets: TP1 6740–6748, TP2 6790–6800 (runner). Notes: Only take first clean acceptance; avoid chasing if it “pop-and-fails.” 2) A+ First-Touch FADE SHORT — 6740–6748 Trigger: Sweep into 6740–6748, 5m re-close back inside, 1m LH entry. Invalidation: through ≈6750–6752 with 15m body hold. Targets: TP1 6725→6700, TP2 6689 (runner to 6666 if pressure persists). 3) A Bounce LONG — 6666 / 6658–6660 Trigger: Stop-run flush into 6666 (or 6658–6660) and instant reclaim; 1m confirmation, then 5m hold. Invalidation: clean 15m body below 6658. Targets: TP1 6689, TP2 6700, TP3 6718–6725. 4) A++ Breakdown SHORT — 6666 → 6623 Trigger: 15m acceptance below 6666, retest fails, 1m LH entry. Invalidation: back above 6666 on a 15m close. Targets: TP1 6623–6625, TP2 6593. === Session Checklist • Start with the 6700 pivot: who controls opening drive? • At 6718–6725, decide between acceptance (trend) vs rejection (fade). • Respect 6666 on first touch for a bounce attempt; flip bias only on 15m acceptance below. • If TP1 hits, take size off and protect the runner; don’t trail before TP2. === Bias Summary • Above 6725: constructive, looking for 6740–6748 → 6790–6800. • Between 6700 and 6725: rotational; trade the edges. • Below 6689: sellers pressing; eyes on 6666. • Accepted below 6666: opens 6623–6593 path. Good trading. Manage risk; two attempts per level, max.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES - October 16th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 16th - 6:30am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yesterday we had some really good levels to grab points for those traders that were patiently waiting for a pullback. I wrote multiple times yesterday that I was anticipating a pullback. I gave plenty of updates including the following: 10am - Update "Price opened up and held the 6725 level in the first 30 mins. Price is coming into the 6750-52 resistance. IF, price loses 6725, we could flush pretty hard and I would get out the way. I am still patiently waiting on lower levels, but 6720 will no longer be an option for me, especially, now that we have held that level and rallied into resistance at the open. 1hr RSI is at 97 and we should still get a healthy pullback if this rally is to keep going higher. I would NOT BE CHASING at this level. I could be very wrong, but I would rather wait on a pull back to enter than trying to chase after the open." We rallied into the high of the day at 6767 (which is now the weekly high) and by 10:15am we started to sell off. In the daily trade plan, I stated the following levels I would be looking to grab points at: Levels I am looking to grab some points at today: 1. Any loss and reclaim of 6705 2. Loss of 6683 and reclaim (maybe getting as low as 6666 and then reclaim 6674) 3. Loss of 6660 and reclaim All 3 levels created opportunities to grab points and IF you were patient, prepared, and acted in real-time you could have grabbed some nice points, yesterday. (* I would go back and look at all my real-time updates from yesterday. I especially discuss the reclaim of 6660, WHY I did not take that level reclaim, and why I decided to wait for the 6683 reclaim. This was also the overnight low) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's discuss today's plan! As of writing my plan, we are coming into and making the overnight high at 6742 with our low at 6704. We have been grinding higher in this range all night. The trend is up and we should always defer to the trend. Ideally, we can get a pull back to 6695 and reclaim 6705. We could also pull back to 6717 and reclaim 6720. IF, price is to continue higher, we should not lose the 6650-52 level. Since this was yesterday's low, I do not anticipate us losing that level today and we may need to use levels within the current overnight range to take us higher. Above 6742 and we should re-test the 6767 level and potentially target the 6797 level. Levels I am looking to grab some points at today: 1. Any loss and reclaim of 6717 2. Any loss and reclaim of 6705 3. Any loss and reclaim of 6695 (We could pull back to 6686, 6692 and then reclaim of 6695 would be bullish) Key Support Levels - 6737, 6717, 6705, 6695, 6683, 6671, 6660, 6652 Key Resistance Levels - 6742, 6747, 6758, 6767, 6779, 6797 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
ES - October 14th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 14th - 6:20am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ES gapped up on Sunday evening and we were range bound all day waiting patiently on a pullback. We reached our 6632 first target from yesterday overnight but have not had follow through and we now look like we need to close the gap at 6600 at some point today. Overnight session high was 6720 and our low as of typing this plan is currently 6624. Ideally, we can continue to fill the gap, flush 6540 level, maybe down to 6514, 6495, or a lower level and then reclaim the immediate level above. IF, price does not flush 6540, we need to look for a gap fill and reclaim of 6624. We could also see a quick flush down to 6000, then a reclaim of 6607 would also be potential spot to grab points higher. I do expect a short squeeze today and I will be patiently waiting to see what price does in the first 30 mins of NYSE Open. Key Levels for today to grab points: 1. Loss of 6624 and reclaim for points higher 2. Gap closed around 6000 with a reclaim of 6607 3. Loss of 6591 and reclaim for points higher 4. Loss of 6540 and reclaim of 6549 for points higher IF, price loses any levels lower than 6540, you will want to be patient and let price build a base to take a long on the reclaim of a level above. Key Support Levels - 6624, 6607, 6600, 6591, 6540, 6514, 6495 Key Resistance Levels - 6632, 6643, 6653, 6674, 6688, 6705, 6720 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
1
ES - October 17th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 17th - 6:32am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yesterday we had some really good levels to grab points for those traders that were patiently waiting for a pullback. 6717 was our first level and we had some great points at this level. You can review the daily trade plan and see the real-time notes of what trades I took. Let's discuss today's plan! When I woke up around 4am EST I was not too surprised to see we had sold off overnight. Mainly due to the fact we back tested the massive bear flag resistance, yesterday. I had mentioned yesterday that IF, we lose 6650, we would most likely head lower. I also wrote that price needed to clear 6703 for price to go higher. Our overnight high is 6668 with our overnight low at 6571. Around 4:20am price held this 6571 level a couple of times, and I was actually able to grab points this morning with the failed breakdown of 6575. 6592 is a previous weekly low and as of writing this price is holding this level at the moment. 6592 will be a key level to hold or we will need to test 6559, 6549 or 6539. We currently have an inside weekly candle that IF, price holds 6540 today, would give us next week's candle close to help determine the direction in the short term as to where price may continue either above 6700 or below. (I will go into more detail on the weekly trade plan that comes out on Sunday). Since I already got lucky this morning being up while price was building a nice base and reclaimed 6575 and made a very nice trade to end the week. I will not be trading anymore the rest of the day. Today is OPEX and with this can come volatility. You have to be even more disciplined on days like today. Key Levels for Today: 1. Any loss and reclaim of 6592 2. Reclaim of 6607 (Potentially wait for a back test of this level, it has been tested 2x this am, so probably will rally and may not provide much of a back test). 3. Loss of the overnight low of 6571 and reclaim for a move higher. My general lean is that Institutions will sell off price in the first hour down to 6559, 6549 and potentially 6540. Any loss of these levels and reclaim of them to move higher is what you need to be looking for. I do believe, IF, price clears 6607 we will most likely test the 6632-level minimum. IF, price can make it 6642 that is a bonus. IF, we are in a longer-term downtrend, price should not reclaim 6700. Today is ripe for a short squeeze and I would be patient and wait for some good levels to grab points from. IF, price loses 6540, I would wait for a reclaim of that level. IF, price does lose the level and can't reclaim it quickly, I would get out the way and take the rest of the day off. Key Support Levels - 6592, 6571, 6559, 6549, 6539, 6514, 6495 Key Resistance Levels - 6607, 6624, 6632, 6642, 6652, 6668, 6683, 6703 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
ES - October 20th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 20th - 6:32am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our overnight high is 6738 and our overnight low is 6695. I mentioned on Friday that we needed to hold the 6703 level for us to continue higher. We have been chopping around above 6703 since Friday afternoon. You can clearly see that we tested 6695 on Friday afternoon 3x, before clearing that level, gapping up at the open on Sunday evening and then closing that gap and holding the 6695 resistance now turned into support! 6570 was our low overnight Thursday/Friday and I do not think we reach that level today. Let's look and find other areas that could be good areas to grab points today. Key Levels for Today: 1. Loss of 6718 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6695 and reclaim 3. Loss of 6668 and reclaim 4. Loss of 6642 and reclaim Price below 6642 and we will need to see a flush and reclaim of 6632 or we will need to wait patiently for the 6591 or 6570 levels. Key Support Levels - 6718, 6703, 6695, 6683, 6668, 6653, 6642, 6632, 6624, 6607, 6591, 6570 Key Resistance Levels - 6738, 6749, 6767, 6779, 6797, 6815 We have to remain bullish with price above 6695. 6765 is a key resistance and that level needs to clear for us to really continue higher. We could easily chop around between 6750-6695 today and continue to work inside this range. We can't be bearish until we see price lose 6642, with 6624 being the very lowest or we will be going to retest Friday's lows. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
When Liquidity Dried Up — The True Story Behind the Oct 10 Crash█ We Actually Saw It Coming There were clear signs of potential reversals across major markets before the Friday, October 10, 2025 crash. You can see it in the liquidity heatmaps: Gold, Bitcoin, S&P, and other futures all trading above their top 10 liquidity levels. When that happens, it’s usually a warning flag. Price is moving into areas with less visible liquidity, meaning fewer resting orders available to absorb aggressive buyers. That’s when the market becomes fragile and doesn’t take much to trigger a sharp reversal. █ When Price Trades Beyond Visible Liquidity It’s easy to think big moves happen just because of news, but beneath the surface, microstructure signals often show when markets are already vulnerable. One of the clearest is when the mid-price extends beyond the visible liquidity, above the top few ask levels or below the top few bid levels in the order book. Suppose price pushes beyond the visible top levels. In that case, it often means that liquidity was consumed faster than it could replenish, either because aggressive orders cleared it out, or market makers pulled their quotes. That’s when we get what’s called a liquidity vacuum. Research from the Federal Reserve, Bank for International Settlements, and academic studies (Lo & Hall, 2014; Meldrum & Sokolinskiy, 2025) all point to the same thing: When order book depth is shallow, markets become more fragile. Prices overreact, spreads widen, and shocks travel faster. █ What the Heatmap Really Shows Those heatmaps are a visual snapshot of this structure. The green and red bands show the depth of buy and sell orders — the liquidity zones. The blue line is the mid-price — the true current market price. When the blue line (mid-price) moves above the red zone, it means price has traded beyond the top available asks. That can happen because: Buyers lifted all nearby sell orders (aggressive buying), or Sellers pulled liquidity (passive withdrawal). In both cases, the effect is the same, the book thins out, and volatility risk increases. Heatmaps don’t show everything though. They don’t reveal: Hidden or iceberg orders deeper in the book, Off-exchange liquidity or block trades, Or how quickly the book replenishes in real time. But as a visual proxy, they’re incredibly useful for spotting moments when price runs ahead of available liquidity, often right before sharp reversals. █ Why the Crash Hit So Hard So while the crash came from unexpected news, the speed of that drop wasn’t random. Markets were already fragile. Liquidity across assets was thin. When the shock hit, there weren’t enough resting orders to slow it down. Gold, Bitcoin, and S&P futures all had their mid-prices trading above visible liquidity, making them more sensitive to aggressive selling; that’s why the market fell almost simultaneously and so fast. █ How I Handle These Setups Whenever I see price trading above visible liquidity, I start managing risk differently. I might keep existing longs, but I won’t add new ones. Instead, I scale out gradually and watch for potential short setups if other signals confirm it. It’s not about predicting crashes, it’s about recognizing when the market’s structure is fragile. █ Quick Takeaway When the mid-price trades above visible liquidity, the order book is telling you something simple but powerful: “There’s not much support up here.” That’s often when it pays to get defensive, not aggressive. Access the CME Liquidity tool at this link ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Zeiierman
26
S&P 500 (ES1!): Wait For Valid Buy Setups!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 20-24th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!) The S&P500 is ranging. More neutral than bullish. But Friday's bullish close indicates potential bullish order flow going into this week. If price can manage to trade above the Monthly Open at 6,725, than buys become valid. I'm not interested in selling this market, unless I see a sure enough bearish BOS. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by RT_Money
NQ & ES Premarket Comment Friday 17-10-2025Good morning everyone. Today, we’re operating within a balanced range — an equilibrium state. The daily bias remains neutral. The potential scenarios for today are as follows: 1. Bullish scenario: Price could extend above yesterday’s high (PDH), as illustrated in the left-hand NQ chart. 2. Bearish scenario: Price could move lower, targeting last Friday’s low — this setup is shown in the right-hand ES chart. The market structure will become clearer after the cash session opens at 09:30. By observing price action at the open, we’ll gain insight into the market’s true intent. If the landscape remains unclear and your model does not align with price behavior, stay on the sidelines. It’s Friday — the final trading day of the week — and price may exhibit unpredictable behavior or reactive moves. The key intraday levels are marked on the charts. Stay disciplined, focused, and loyal to your model. Don’t let short-term volatility or choppy sessions affect your mindset. Relax, observe the price action, and let the market teach you. See you later for the final market update of the week. PF
CME_MINI:ES1!
by FTAKAS
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups Tue (Oct 21)Market Update for Traders: Context: Currently, the price is approaching a key supply zone between 6,765 and 6,795. While we have seen a series of higher highs on the 1-hour chart, the momentum appears to be flattening. Below this supply level, we have identified some significant areas to monitor. The first clean value area on the 1-hour chart is around 6,701 to 6,705, with a visible pullback shelf located between 6,685 and 6,690. There's also a stronger demand zone in the 6,655 to 6,665 range. If we manage to break above the supply cap at 6,795, the next measured extension target is around 6,840, but this should be treated as a stretch unless we see solid acceptance above 6,795. Key Zones to Watch: Resistance: - 6,765–6,795 (this is the current cap) - Extension potential at 6,840, provided we see firm acceptance above 6,795. Support: - Look for the first decision point around 6,725–6,735, which reflects overnight strength. - 6,701–6,705 is a key equilibrium area. - The shelf for the first buyable dip lies at 6,685–6,690. - Further support is found in the demand pocket at 6,655–6,665. - If we encounter a deeper risk-off scenario, watch for extensions down to 6,604, 6,564, and 6,520, but only if we see a decisive failure in the rebound. Setups: Setup 1 — Rejection Short at 6,765–6,795 (A++) Entry: 6,788–6,793 after a 5m re-close back below 6,795 and a 1m lower-high Stop (SL): 6,804.50 (above rejection wick/upper edge) TP1: 6,729–6,733 TP2: 6,701–6,705 TP3: 6,686–6,690 Setup 2 — Acceptance Long above 6,795 (A++) Entry: 6,796–6,799 on first pullback that holds after decisive 15m acceptance over 6,795 Stop (SL): 6,785.00 (back inside the band) TP1: 6,822–6,828 TP2: 6,840 stretch TP3: 6,852–6,855 if squeeze persists Setup 3 — Quick-Reclaim Long at 6,701 (A+ Bounce) Entry: 6,702–6,705 only if 6,701 briefly slips and then a 5m candle re-closes back above it Stop (SL): 6,694.50 TP1: 6,729–6,733 TP2: 6,765–6,775 TP3: 6,788–6,793 Setup 4 — Shelf Long at 6,685–6,690 (A Bounce) Entry: 6,686–6,689 with a 1m higher-low and 5m hold Stop (SL): 6,678.00 TP1: 6,701–6,705 TP2: 6,729–6,733 TP3: 6,765–6,775 Setup 5 — Demand-Pocket Long at 6,655–6,665 (A Bounce) Entry: 6,657–6,663 on stabilization and 1m higher-low Stop (SL): 6,647.00 TP1: 6,686–6,690 TP2: 6,701–6,705 TP3: 6,729–6,733 Setup 6 — Breakdown Short if 6,701 Turns to Resistance (A+) Entry: 6,698–6,701 after a 5m close below 6,701 and a retest that fails Stop (SL): 6,707.50 TP1: 6,686–6,690 TP2: 6,665–6,660 TP3: 6,604–6,564 only if momentum stays risk-off Management (apply to all) take the setup only if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the stated SL. At TP1 close 70% and set the 30% runner to break-even; runner attempts TP2→TP3 if structure supports it. Time-stop 45–60 minutes if neither TP1 nor SL is hit. Primary execution windows: NY AM 09:30–11:00 ET and NY PM 13:30–16:00 ET.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex