CME: E-Mini S&P 500 Options ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) On March 24th, I published a trade idea, “Buckle Your Seatbelt for a Market Correction”, where I suggested that the US stock market was due for a major correction. Buying a Put contract on CME E-Mini S&P 500 Futures would be a trade to express this market view. How is this trade panning out? • On March 24th, the...
RSI hit oversold last night, expecting a rebound next week. Decided to take a small long position with both calls and stocks, don;t really trust this market, lol.
WTF was that? 15 minute pump, 15 minute dump. Talk about a bull trap. I don't recommend going long until after Israel bombs Iran, that should cause the daily to go oversold. Look to play the bounce a day or two after it happens. Note: 15 min chart, ignore the indicators, they just show up because of my template
Forgive me for using MES, but it’s easier because I don’t have to clear any existing markup. I’ve been watching this H&S pattern form for a while now and looks very clean on the 8 hour chart here. The measured move for the breakdown takes us to 5000. I expect that we retest the neckline and clean up the imbalances (FVGs) in the process before we ultimately get...
Ideas to seek a short trades in a trend with a FIB retracement.
Today was yet another amazing trade off a long term volume profile level for over 50 points on the CME_MINI:ES1! S&P500 E-mini futures. I want to document these trades as teachable moments because I think Volume Profile is an absolutely amazing tool that should be in ever trader's toolbox!
We are neutral on S&P futures after the recent drop. It is too early in the week to determine a high probability bias. We have taken out fridays high today (5058), and we might see further retracment to the upside. We are not considering a short bias on the daily chart, unless ESM2024 daily candle body closes below 4984. Until we get more insight troughout the...
NQ and RTY filled the gap from yesterday, but ES still has a small open gap. Also, MFI isn't moving much. I see lots of stuff in the red as well. Running errands today, staying out.
Looks like it'll hit overbought on MFI and/or RSI tomorrow, have an exit plan.
Not oversold yet, if you're looking to play the bounce, I suggest waiting until next week. I anticipate an Israeli attack before Monday anyways.
MFI went oversold last night, but there's also an open futures gap. Don't have time to watch the market today so I took the easy money and cashed out. I think it'll double bottom before going up because of the open gap. Guessing TSLA tanks on earnings. Gold down big caused Brazil (EWZ) to go red. Barely made any money on those calls.
After the S&P 500 market absorbed the news about the retaliatory attack from Israel to Iran with a large moved to the downside buyers into the market. The question is is that buying sellers buying to take profits or has it gotten cheap enough that buyers are entering the market. Pay attention to Sunday nights opening and Asia's response to get guidance for Monday....
My God. If the SETUP used is correct, technology companies will melt the SPX index. I won't even write a text explaining why, because no one likes reading. I will post the bearish pivot combined with a buy trap. What a thing, right? Supports: 4933 for the moment. Medium-term secondary support (15/20 days): 4742. I'd better keep quiet. Because things always...
Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5111 Uptrend (4/17/2024) Lower High 1Hr - 5220 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5203 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 6Hr - 5250 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher...
I'm seeing EWT numbers as high as Fibonacci 1.618 or 5443.75.... However my knowledge of the pivots tells me, we are at just about at S 4.3 5009 and I think the market will raise. to R5 or R6 the normal Pivots cycle from daily lows, S5-S6 where we buy and daily highs R5-R6 where we sell. Kauai Dave's Pivots Traders.
US futures are falling ES1! = 4971.25 low NQ1! = 17,213.50 low YM1! = 37513 low RTY1! = 1920.8 low
I don't like the fact that the market didn't bounce with MFI oversold on my 3 hr chart, so at this point, I'm inclined to wait until the daily indicators go oversold before buying the dip. Why give away your profits for the year? Makes more sense to be cautious. Gonna sit back and watch Iran and Israel do their thing.
Here are my levels after a few weeks off. Bullish trend was broken with the drop below the upward trendline. Now trading below key emas. Green box represents important support as price pulls back to key fibs and the 200 sma. Watch for outsized move in either direction due to option volatility. Bounce back into the ema cloud or break of support are equally...