I would like to know someone who studied normalized Gaussian curves with expected value u and variance o2.
In theory, the more we will test people, the more the curve will spike rapidly, to go down rapidly, but it's just mathematics, not epidemiology.
According to epidemiologists, there won't be second wave before September 2020.
Here is the official numbers...
Another mass hysteria to look at.
On this chart I took the sum of coronavirus new cases in GB + France + Italy + Germany + Spain + Portugal + The Netherlands.
A reminder, I posted the idea "Virus spread/Bacteria poluation/Ponzi scheme lifecycle" March 20th, as we were near the top of the Log Growth phase and everyone was...
There are ongoing discussions across both France & Spain about relaxing border controls between the two countries to relieve economic stress.
Point of Maximum risk is taken as the Peak of the 2 Sigma Upper Bollinger Band
Current risk is taken as the (Current Upper Bollinger Band) / (Peak Upper Bollinger Band)
FR risk level =33%
ES risk level =56%