When charting Covid19 US Deaths over Confirmed cases, the Pandemic is beginning to show weakness. After weeks period of increasing infections, those who had become infected have either died or recovered. That ratio, if near, is a "Lower High" than the one set in Early March. If we begin to see a trend of "Lower highs, Lower Lows", the pandemic is being contained....
The data series for US Corona (Covid19) deaths appears neat and smooth in Heikin Ashi candles.
Main stream analysis focuses on positive aspects "were in this together".
The chart presents a refreshingly negative (and incomplete) analysis and must be sung to "Hotel California"
Inspired by @Rag2riches ideas and lyrics
This is a very rough approximation of the IHME predictive model of deaths in the US due to COVID-19. I think many still fail to see the scale of the problem. Will be interesting to follow the data as this crisis unfolds.
USA Deaths: 3 Trajectories
If and only if we stay on one of these trajectories will reach a Million deaths in the USA. I'm hoping we don't go parabolic, which would be a straight line up, breaking past it's current Trajectories.
These are just predictions, I could be wrong and actually hope I'm wrong.
"Flattening the curve" - this is what medical professionals are working on. Limiting public exposure will do this in a few weeks. The next two-three weeks will be very uncertain for the general population fixated on mainsteam media. Look at facts. This chart is very bad in what's going to happen next. But as of yesterday March 25, there was only 942 deaths in the...