DAX This rally isn't over yet.DAX (DE40) has started a strong rebound following the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) test, as we showed last week. This week the price broke again above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is about to recover its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as well.
The latter has never posed as a Resistance in 2025, so we expect the price to break and continue above it without problems. However, given that the prevailing pattern right now is a Channel Down, the uptrend is limited to its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
With the previous Bullish Leg making a +6.43% rise, we expect a symmetric rise this time around to, thus targeting 24350 short-term.
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Trade ideas
German stocks about to drop 7%? (DAX 40)Setup
Breakdown from horizontal range
Lowest weekly close since June
Breakdown below โgreenโ weekly trendline
RSI back at 35-40 support
Commentary
The DAX is sitting right on the support level of its long term range. The index could rally back into its range, offering reversal setups to go long, or it could continue to breakdown. Should it be the latter, projecting the height of the range lower would target 21500 - a demand area preceding the April rally.
Strategy
Option 2: Sell rebound towards 48,000 supply zone
Option 1: Sell the breakdown below 23,000
DAX40 reachi8ng resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX INDEX: Finally Bullish?!
I see a confirmed bearish trap on DAX index
after a test of a key historic support.
An inverted head & shoulders pattern formation
and a bullish violation of its neckline provide strong
signal.
I expect a recovery at least to 24000 now.
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
DAX/GER - let puck up the entry againTeam, last week, we got our target hit before the BIG dump again yesterday
Found a good entry for DAX at this level 22993-22965
STOP LOSS at 22860
Once it break above 23060, bring stop loss to BREAK EVEN
Target 1 at 23085-23115
Target 2 at 23160-23189
Target 3 at 23230-23500
LETS GO
DAX: When Chopy Price Action Calls Next Clear Move German DAX was very non-directional, basically since June of 2025 and what I see is some very nasty moves on both sides of the market, but what got my attention recently is that the price has stopped at key support levels around 23k to 23300 area, from where we can see a very interesting and strong rebound.
What is most important is that this rebound is coming after only three waves down from all-time highs, so it can be part of a WXY complex correction here in a fourth wave. Of course there can be some other labelings as well, but with any approach you will probably come out with the same idea that this whole price action in this five to six month range is corrective, and whenever we see a correction we know that sooner or later it should be fully retraced, meaning the price could already be headed back toward the highs from current levels.
So I think that as long as we hold 23k, there can be some potential opportunities on intraday retracements on smaller time frames.
GH
Navigating the 23,200 Battleground โ Squeeze Before the Surge?๐ฉ๐ช GER40 Navigating the 23,200 Battleground โ Squeeze Before the Surge? | 25 Nov
Live Spot: 23,215.0 | European Open Session | 09:43 UTC+4
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๐ Structural Context
The German index finds itself locked within a compression zone after Friday's aggressive run toward 23,300. Price is now coiling tightly beneath overhead supply, with sellers capping advances near the upper Bollinger envelope. The broader Dow Theory structure remains constructive โ higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart confirm an intact uptrend, though intraday momentum shows hesitation.
๐ Timeframe Dissection
5M/15M: Choppy price action oscillating between 23,180 and 23,260. RSI hovering at midline (48-52 range), indicating indecision. Scalpers should await a clean break of this micro-range.
30M: A subtle bullish flag materializing post last week's rally leg. Pole measured at 180 points suggests a breakout target near 23,440.
1H: VWAP stationed at 23,205 โ acting as the session's equilibrium line. Price trading marginally above signals mild buyer control.
4H: Ichimoku reveals price riding above the Kumo cloud with Chikou Span confirming bullish alignment. However, flat Senkou Span B hints at consolidation ahead.
๐ฏ Critical Price Architecture
Upside Barrier: 23,280 โ 23,350 (supply shelf + 1.618 Fib extension zone)
Downside Floor: 23,120 โ 23,050 (demand pocket + rising 21 SMA confluence)
๐ฎ Wave & Pattern Synthesis
From an Elliott lens, GER40 appears mid-flight within wave of a five-wave impulse originating from early November lows. The corrective wave terminated cleanly at 22,900, and current price behavior suggests accumulation before the next thrust. Gann time analysis points to potential acceleration post 10:30 UTC today.
Wyckoff interpretation aligns with Phase D markup โ signs of strength evident as price absorbs selling pressure without meaningful retracement.
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๐ Primary Setup โ Long Momentum Play
Entry Zone: 23,180 โ 23,210 (demand retest)
Stop Loss: 23,090 (below structural floor)
Target 1: 23,320 (initial resistance)
Target 2: 23,420 (flag projection)
R:R Ratio: ~1:2.8
๐ Secondary Setup โ Fade at Resistance
Entry: 23,340 โ 23,360 (on exhaustion candle)
Stop Loss: 23,410
Take Profit: 23,220
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โ ๏ธ Session Caution: German IFO data release could inject volatility. Pre-position with reduced size until post-news price discovery completes.
Discipline over prediction. Execute the plan. ๐ฏ
Is the DAX Preparing for a Monster Rally? The Structure Says So.The DAX continues to follow a well-defined Elliott Wave structure across the higher time frames. Following the completion of Wave 1 at the prior cycle top, the subsequent corrective phase retraced efficiently into the 0.618 Fibonacci region, establishing a structurally sound Wave 2 low. Since then, price has progressed through a multi-year impulsive advance, with internal subdivisions aligning cleanly with higher-probability Fibonacci extensions.
Current price action is positioned within the latter stages of an extended Wave 3 sequence, where the 2.618 extension zone presents a significant confluence region for a potential medium-term top. A controlled corrective phase is expected thereafter, forming Wave 4 before the index resumes its structural bullish trajectory toward the projected Wave 5 completion.
This long-term framework remains valid as long as structural lows are preserved, with the broader trend supporting continued upside over the coming cycles.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
If you found this analysis valuable, leave a like, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more structured market insights.
GER40 SELL IDEAIn GER40 analysis we can see that our daily , h4 and m15 timeframes are bearish.. now we're just analysing m15 time frame and in m15 time frame we can see m15 structure is clearly bearish so now it will do pullback .as i marked 2 blue zones which are m15 demand zone for sell... by my perspective from the downside first blue zone(23220.5 - 23123.0),from this zone the market will give us sell entry and till we'll patiently wait ....let's see... :)
DAX DOMINANCE: GER40 Precision Technical Matrix
Asset: GER40 (DAX Index)
Current Price: 23,290.00
Date: November 24, 2025
Market Sentiment: The German index is trading at stratospheric levels, testing the 23,300 psychological ceiling. Institutional algorithms are fighting for control between a breakout continuation and a mean-reversion correction.
๐ Technical Indicators & Momentum Analysis
Trend Structure: The primary trend is STRONGLY BULLISH ๐ on the Daily timeframe. However, the 1H chart shows a "Rising Wedge" formation, often a precursor to a bearish reversal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 68.0 . We are approaching overbought territory. A bearish divergence is visible between price highs and RSI peaks, signaling waning momentum.
Bollinger Bands: Price is testing the Upper Band deviation. A failure to close above 23,310 could trigger a snap-back to the 20-period SMA (Mid-Band).
๐ Fibonacci & Harmonic Patterns
Fibonacci Extension: The current rally has hit the 1.272 extension of the previous correction. The next major resistance aligns with the 1.414 extension at 23,350 .
Harmonic Pattern: A Bearish Butterfly Pattern is nearing completion. The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) is calculated between 23,320 and 23,350.
๐ก๏ธ Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance 1: 23,320 (Harmonic PRZ)
Resistance 2: 23,400 (Psychological Round Number)
Support 1: 23,220 (Previous High / Support Flip)
Support 2: 23,150 (0.382 Fib Retracement)
๐ฏ Strategic Trade Setups
Scenario A: The Reversal (Short)
Valid if price rejects the 23,320 zone with a bearish pin bar.
Entry: Below 23,280
Target 1: 23,220
Target 2: 23,150
Stop Loss: 23,360
Scenario B: Breakout Continuation (Long)
If price closes above 23,350 on strong volume.
Entry: Retest of 23,350
Target: 23,450
Stop Loss: 23,300
โ ๏ธ Summary: Caution is advised. The confluence of the Bearish Butterfly pattern and RSI divergence suggests a high probability of a pullback from the 23,320 region. We favor Scenario A for the intraday session. ๐๐ฉ๐ช
DAX40 support at 23445The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23446 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23446 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 โ initial resistance
24140 โ psychological and structural level
24380 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23446 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23350 โ minor support
23200 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the DAX holds above 23446. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER30 H4 | Bullish Bounce Off key SupportMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently falling toward the buy entry, which acts as an overlap support level.
Buy Entry: 89,034.03
Overlap support
Stop Loss: 81,966.16
Pullback support
Take Profit: 104,866.08
Overlap resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
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Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 looks bearish with a possible breakdown from its current trading range. Trading at 23,283 and below the VWAP of 23,710, RSI at 39.7 supports a more negative sentiment. Support lies at 22,917, while resistance is at 24,504.
Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a correction phase, trading at 46,237 under the VWAP at 46,953. RSI at 42.2 suggests weakening momentum and potential for deeper pullback. Support is at 45,684, resistance at 48,223.
UK 100 continues to trend bullishly but has entered a correction phase. Price is at 9,567, beneath the VWAP of 9,686. RSI at 45.3 reflects neutral to soft momentum. Support is 9,456, with resistance at 9,915.
GBP/USD remains bearish and in a sideways correction. Price is 1.3122, slightly below the VWAP at 1.30914 and broken support at 1.3150. RSI of 38.6 suggests limited rebound potential. Support is 1.3034, resistance at 1.3208.
EUR/USD continues in a bearish leg of an otherwise neutral market, having not broken down past major support. The price is 1.1548 right at the VWAP. RSI at 44.7 indicates ongoing indecision. Support sits at 1.1470, resistance at 1.1638.
USD/JPY holds a bullish impulse structure, trading at 157.41 above the VWAP of 156.85, however there was a bearish engulfing candlestick at resistance from the January peak. RSI at 68.4 - down from very overbought levels signals slowing upwards momentum. Support is at 152.18, resistance at 157.41.
Gold remains in a correction of its bullish trend, trading at 4,069 just above VWAP of 4,068.94. The correction is contracting, which will lead to a resumption of the trend or an extended correction. RSI at 51.0 indicates balanced momentum. Support is 3,916 with resistance at 4,196.
Brent Crude has broken down to its lowest levels since October but remains above the critical $60 level, with price at 6,191 below VWAP at 6,357. RSI at 40.3 reflects downside pressure. Support is 6,105 and resistance is 6,553.
DAX Will the 1W MA50 support once more?DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up, essentially for the entirety of its Bull Cycle, following the October 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The most common Support, hence optimal long-term buy signal/ entry within this pattern, has been the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having been hit three times and providing on all instances massive rallies.
Every time that or the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) were hit, the rallies always hit the previous High/ Resistance 1 initially before either a consolidation or a slight pull-back.
As a result, if the market hits the 1W MA50 but manages to close the 1W candle above it, we expect the resulting rally to hit at least 24700 (Resistance 1).
Notice also that every long-term Bullish Leg was confirmed after the 1W RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line.
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Dax Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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