GER40 pushing higherWe can see price pushing higher with clear bullish momentum.
After that strong impulsive leg, price is now testing a key resistance zone.
But this time, the move into it looks different: stronger, cleaner and with bigger candles, showing conviction from buyers.
So, Iโd expect a break followed by a minor pullback into the zone before continuation higher.
And if buyers will manage to hold this level as support, the next upside target would be around 24,665.
Trade ideas
DAX โ Clean Supply Retest + Absorption-Based Short SetupThis short setup formed after price broke below a key demand zone and flipped it into fresh supply.
On the retest, buyers showed aggressive activity, but orderflow revealed significant buy-side absorption โ positive delta without any upward follow-through.
Price failed to reclaim the zone and created a clean lower high, showing exhaustion from buyers.
A red candle with strong negative delta confirmed the seller takeover and provided the entry trigger.
This setup was based on a confluence of:
โข Structural break (Demand โ Supply flip)
โข Buy-side absorption
โข Lower-high rejection
โข Negative-delta confirmation
All conditions pointed toward a high-probability continuation to the downside.
DAX Will the 1W MA50 support once more?DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up, essentially for the entirety of its Bull Cycle, following the October 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The most common Support, hence optimal long-term buy signal/ entry within this pattern, has been the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having been hit three times and providing on all instances massive rallies.
Every time that or the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) were hit, the rallies always hit the previous High/ Resistance 1 initially before either a consolidation or a slight pull-back.
As a result, if the market hits the 1W MA50 but manages to close the 1W candle above it, we expect the resulting rally to hit at least 24700 (Resistance 1).
Notice also that every long-term Bullish Leg was confirmed after the 1W RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
$DAX up timeI called for a audacious short of DAX on 23 Oct, saying that it is weak and other indices could follow it. We got a 1200 pts move down to my 23200 price target (), though it did rebounded strongly before going down.
Price is now at monthly support at around 23050. If price could break the downward trendline, could see a recovery to 23940 or so.
DAX Bearish pullback capped at 23940The DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER30 H1 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish
The price has respected the buy entry level, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Buy Entry: 23,989.16
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 23,850.33
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 24,250.47
Pullback resistance
50% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Dax Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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DAX40 The Week Ahead The Key Trading LevelsThe DAX is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23940, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23940 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23600, followed by 23430 and 23285 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23940 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 24095, then 24217.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 23940. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX futures buying in bottom of trading range dailya 1:2 RR swing trade in the german index futures (expect to hold this for some days). Risking 400 points, entry by order to gain 800 points. big swing, which means adding to your winner should be possible without increasing your risk! Buy more if the trade is 150 points + in profit and adjust both stop losses on second entry.
Big trading range in DAX, and it is looking bearish this monday.
GER40 Bearish Divergence & Structural Breakdown# ๐ฆ
GER40 19th Nov 2025: ๐ Bearish Divergence & Structural Breakdown ๐งฉ
Asset Class: GER40 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 23,147.5 | Time: 10:35 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: ๐ป Bearish Reversal / Correction
Signal: ๐ด Short on Rally Rejection
Confidence: โญ High (Divergence Confirmation)
Technical Analysis Methodology
Trend: While the daily trend remains bullish, the 4H and 1H charts are showing signs of exhaustion. A Rising Wedge pattern has formed, often a precursor to a bearish reversal. ๐
Momentum: RSI (14) is showing clear bearish divergence at 68.0, failing to make new highs alongside price. This indicates waning buying pressure. โ ๏ธ
Volatility: Price is struggling to hold above the upper Bollinger Band , and a rejection here could trigger a reversion to the mean. VWAP is at 23,120, a critical level to watch. ๐
Patterns: A potential Double Top is forming near the 23,200 resistance zone. A break below the neckline at 23,050 would confirm the reversal. ๐งฑ
Key Levels
๐ R2: 23,250 (Psychological Barrier)
๐ง R1: 23,200 (Double Top High)
๐ Pivot: 23,147.5 (Current Price)
๐ก๏ธ S1: 23,050 (Neckline / EMA 50)
๐งฑ S2: 22,920 (Key Support Zone)
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Counter-Trend Reversal & Breakdown ๐
Entry 1 (Aggressive): Short Rejection @ 23,180 - 23,200
Entry 2 (Confirmation): Short Breakdown < 23,040
Stop Loss: 23,260 (Above R2/Invalidation)
Take Profit 1: 23,050 ๐ฏ
Take Profit 2: 22,920 ๐ฏ
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
GER40 Intraday Technical Journal: Navigating the ChopGER40 Intraday Technical Journal: Navigating the Chop (18 Nov 2025)
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This journal entry is for educational purposes only.
Asset: GER40 (German 40 Index)
Current Price: 23,260.4
Time of Analysis:9:00 AM UTC+4, 18th Nov 2025
Market Pulse: The GER40 is currently exhibiting signs of consolidation after a recent uptrend. Volume is tapering off, suggesting indecision. The immediate bias is neutral to slightly bearish, with a critical pivot at 23,280. A break above or below this level will likely dictate the next leg of movement.
Intraday Strategy & Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 23,280 - This is our line in the sand for today's session.
Bullish Scenario (Price > 23,280):
Entry: A sustained break and hold above 23,280 could signal a long entry. Confirmation on the 15-min chart is advised.
Targets:
T1: 23,350 (Minor Resistance)
T2: 23,420 (Major Resistance, potential exhaustion point)
Stop-Loss: A tight stop at 23,240.
Bearish Scenario (Price < 23,280):
Entry:A rejection from 23,280 or a firm break below 23,200 suggests a short opportunity.
Targets:
T1: 23,150 (Primary Support)
T2: 23,080 (Secondary Support)
Stop-Loss: A stop placed at 23,320.
Technical Confluence:
RSI (14) on 1H: Hovers around 55, indicating a slight loss of bullish momentum.
EMA (20/50) on 1H: The 20-period EMA is flattening, hinting at a potential crossover with the 50-period EMA, which would be a bearish signal.
Chart Pattern: A potential rising wedge is forming on the 4-hour chart, which often precedes a bearish reversal. A breakdown from the wedge's support line would validate the bearish scenario.
Actionable Plan:
Patience is key. Avoid chasing the price in the current range (23,200-23,280). Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown to enter a position. Manage risk accordingly.
DAX40 bearish below resistance at 23550The DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Day Trading Actโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
GER40 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & MARKET OUTLOOK
November 17, 2025 | 10:25 AM UTC+4 | Current Level: 23,871.1
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
CRITICAL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
RESISTANCE ZONES (Sell Targets):
R1: 23,920.50 (First Profit Zone - 49.4 points) | RSI 65-70 zone
R2: 23,985.75 (Intermediate Target - 114.65 points) | EMA 20 confluence
R3: 24,065.25 (Strong Resistance - 194.15 points) | Weekly pivot + Gann angle
SUPPORT ZONES (Buy Opportunities):
S1: 23,815.30 (Initial Support - 55.8 points) | 15m Bollinger Band lower band
S2: 23,745.60 (Intermediate Support - 125.5 points) | SMA 50 daily level
S3: 23,670.40 (Strong Support - 200.7 points) | Harmonic reversal node
CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Index consolidating 23,850-23,895 (45-point range). Ichimoku cloud below price on 4h = bullish bias. RSI at 54 (neutral-bullish) on 1h. Volume building = breakout directional move likely within 90 minutes. Wyckoff accumulation phase near completion.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
ENTRY & EXIT SETUPS - INTRADAY EXECUTION
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
BULLISH SETUP (Optimal on 5m breakout):
ENTRY: 23,895.75 (Break above consolidation high + candle close confirmation)
STOP LOSS: 23,835.00 (Beneath S1 by 0.30 risk)
TARGET 1: 23,920.50 (24.75 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 23,985.75 (90 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 24,065.25 (170 points) | Hold 20% to runner with trailing stop at 24,020
RISK/REWARD: 1:5.3 ratio | Risk 60.75 to win 325.75
BEARISH SETUP (Optimal on 1h rejection):
ENTRY: 23,825.40 (Break below consolidation low + rejection candle)
STOP LOSS: 23,895.00 (Above R1 by 0.30 risk)
TARGET 1: 23,815.30 (10.1 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 23,745.60 (79.8 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 23,670.40 (154.8 points) | Hold 20% with trailing stop at 23,700
RISK/REWARD: 1:2.4 ratio | Risk 69.60 to win 169.60
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
TIMEFRAME-SPECIFIC TACTICS
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
5-MIN SCALPING: Watch for 3-candle breakout patterns above/below 23,871. Target 15-20 points quick scalps. Use 23,855-23,890 as tactical range.
15-MIN SWING: RSI divergence at 23,920 = sell signal. Break of 23,860 with volume = buy signal. Hold 35-45 points per trade.
30-MIN POSITION: Bollinger Band squeeze breaking. Watch for EMA 9 crossing EMA 21. Head & Shoulders pattern potential if price rejects R2.
1-HOUR MACRO: Ichimoku cloud support at 23,750 blocks downside. Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen alignment bullish. Wyckoff markup phase initiatingโbreakout confirmation critical.
4-HOUR BIAS: Daily level 23,745 is institutional battle zone. Price must close above 23,895 to confirm sustained bullish impulse. Below 23,815 triggers stop-hunting cascade into S2.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
SESSION EXECUTION RULES
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ ENTRY ONLY on candle close confirmation (not wick touch)
โ STOP always 0.30-0.50 points BEYOND level (never AT level)
โ SCALE profits: Take 50% at R1/S1, 30% at R2/S2, trail 20% to R3/S3
โ IF price closes below 23,815 or above 23,920 = trend day imminent
โ Maximum 3 trades per session. Walk away at 2 losses in a row
โ Volume confirmation mandatoryโlow volume = false breakout likely
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Risk Disclaimer: Analysis is educational. Past performance โ future results.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
German DAX: Testing Critical Support After Rejection
The GER40 is currently positioned at 23,432.7 , and we're witnessing a pivotal moment in the intraday structure. The index has pulled back from recent highs, and multiple technical signals are flashing across our radar. Let's break down what matters for today's session. ๐
Current Market Landscape
The 4H chart reveals a Rising Wedge pattern that's showing signs of exhaustion. This bearish reversal formation developed over the past week, and we've just seen a breakdown from the lower trendline. The wedge measured move projects downside potential toward 23,200-23,150.
From a Wyckoff distribution perspective, the recent price action exhibits classic topping characteristics. We observed:
Buying Climax (BC) near 23,680
Automatic Reaction (AR) down to 23,380
Secondary Test (ST) failing at 23,620
Sign of Weakness (SOW) currently unfolding
This distribution schematic suggests institutional selling pressure is building.
Elliott Wave Framework ๐
The wave structure indicates completion of a five-wave impulse from the 23,100 low. Current labeling suggests:
Wave (i)-(v) impulse completed at 23,680
Wave (A) correction down to 23,380
Wave (B) bounce exhausted at 23,550
Wave (C) decline currently in progress (targeting 23,150-23,200)
The internal structure of wave (C) shows three sub-waves developing, with wave iii potentially extending lower.
Key Price Zones ๐ฏ
Resistance Barriers:
R1: 23,520 (broken support turned resistance + 20 EMA on 1H)
R2: 23,620 (failed secondary test + VWAP)
R3: 23,680 (swing high + psychological)
Support Anchors:
S1: 23,380 (initial wave A low + demand zone)
S2: 23,280 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement)
S3: 23,150 (measured move target + major support)
Technical Indicator Alignment โก
RSI (1H): 38.2 - approaching oversold, but no divergence yet
MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed, histogram expanding downward
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging lower band, volatility expanding
Ichimoku Cloud: Price broke below cloud on 1H (bearish shift), Tenkan below Kijun
Volume: Increasing on down moves (confirming selling pressure)
Harmonic Pattern Analysis
A Bearish Bat pattern completed at the 23,680 level:
- X: 23,100
- A: 23,580
- B: 23,320
- C: 23,650
- D: 23,680 (PRZ completion)
The pattern's measured move aligns with our 23,150 target, providing multi-method confluence.
Candlestick Patterns
The 1H chart printed a Bearish Engulfing pattern at 23,550, followed by consecutive bearish candles. This confirms rejection at resistance and validates the distribution narrative.
Trading Game Plan ๐ผ
Scenario A - Continuation Short:
Entry: 23,450 (current area) or 23,520 retest
Target 1: 23,320
Target 2: 23,200
Stop Loss: 23,580
Scenario B - Breakdown Confirmation:
Entry: 23,375 break (below S1 with retest)
Target 1: 23,280
Target 2: 23,150
Stop Loss: 23,460
Timeframe Coordination ๐
- 5M: Precision entry timing and scalp exits
- 15M: Momentum shifts and micro-structure breaks
- 1H: Primary trend direction and pattern confirmation
- 4H: Macro structure and major support/resistance
Market Outlook
The technical picture is tilted bearish for the immediate term. The rising wedge breakdown, Wyckoff distribution signs, completed harmonic pattern, and bearish Elliott wave count all point toward further downside. The 23,380 level is criticalโsustained break below opens the door to 23,150.
However, watch for potential bullish reversal signals if we reach the 23,280-23,200 zone. That's where buyers may step in aggressively. Until then, the path of least resistance is lower. ๐
Trade with discipline, respect your stops, and let the market prove itself. ๐ฏ
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Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
DAX40 capped at 23550 resistanceThe DAX40 is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the support, suggesting a possibility of a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 23550, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 23550 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 23093, followed by 22800 and 22580 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 23550 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 23790, then 23980.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the DAX40 breaks and holds above 23550. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















