ETH Momentum Indicators Point to Seller ControlEthereum (ETH) has recorded a negative crossover on its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator during today’s session. At the time of writing, the MACD line (blue) has slipped below the signal line (orange), signaling renewed seller dominance.
The MACD is a key tool for spotting trends and momentum shifts. A crossover of the MACD line below the signal line is often viewed as a bearish signal, showing that downward momentum is strengthening and sellers are taking control.
With ETH’s recent bearish crossover, the risk of extended selling pressure has increased. If momentum continues in this direction, ETH could face a decline toward the next key support zone around the $4,000 level.
ETHPROS_TPG8CJ.USD trade ideas
ETH 1H Setup |Liquidity & OB Trap Zone — for scalp click linkMarket has shown multiple structure shifts (MSS) and break of structure (BOS), confirming bearish pressure. After sweeping liquidity at highs, price tapped into premium OB (Order Block) and rejected strongly.
Currently price is holding around 4270 zone inside a corrective range. Expectation:
Possible retracement toward 4360–4450 zone (previous P1D low & breaker block area).
From there, rejection into downside continuation targeting FVG + liquidity below 4200.
Final objective = OB demand zone around 3900–4000.
Key Levels:
OB Supply: 4560–4620
Breaker Block (BB): 4420–4480
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4180–4220
Strong Low / Swing Low: 4140
OB Demand: 3880–3980
🚨 Market never moves random… the next move might surprise you 👀
$ETH Topping Without All Time High?Has the most anticipated all time high of the year been cancelled? The crowd does not get what it wants! Everyone from CNBC to my grandmas goldfish have been bullish on ETH for the past few months so what a fitting psychological mess it would be if we significantly pulled back here!
Firstly it may just be a temporary set back to the High Volume Node support at $3900 before a move to all time high. Even then I am expecting a deeper pullback to set us up for all time high in Q4. Losing this support bring up the ascending daily 200EMA right at the Fibonacci golden pocket, which you can see is the wave 3 high!
The next target, which is my next buy level, is the larger degree Fibonacci golden pocket, major support High Volume Node and wave 4 bottom at $2100. This would be a capitulation area for many!
RSI has printed confirmed bearish divergence with plenty of room to fall.
Safe trading
The last drop before the rush - ETH weekly update Aug 18 - 24thEthereum is currently in a corrective phase, forming Intermediate Wave 4. On the higher degree, this move takes place within Primary Wave 5 and Cycle Wave 3. At the Minor degree, it becomes clear that this Wave 4 correction is taking shape as a more complex structure, which is consistent with the broader correlation across altcoins. First, a ZigZag pattern unfolded as Wave W, followed by a Flat structure as Wave Y. For Wave Z, either another Flat or a Triangle is expected. The alternative scenario suggests that Wave Y’s Flat has not yet fully completed and may extend lower. While the subsequent Wave X would likely reach a similar target due to fundamental market mechanics, the following Wave Z could theoretically extend deeper, approaching the golden ratio retracement of Wave 4.
From a liquidity perspective, the order book shows relatively few orders below the current price. Instead, a growing concentration of orders can be observed above the top of Intermediate Wave 3, which are likely to be taken out during the upcoming Intermediate Wave 5. The liquidity heatmap confirms significant liquidity above current levels, concentrated in the fair value gap (FVG) zone, which is expected to be targeted during Wave X. Both the clustered orders and liquidity are highlighted in the chart with the red box. Additionally, the volume profile of the prior Intermediate Wave 3 reinforces the likelihood that Wave Y has ended, as price is currently reacting around the point of control (POC), a logical area for a bounce.
Derivative data also supports the potential end of Wave Y. Funding rates have turned back to positive after a period in negative territory, suggesting traders are reducing short exposure and gradually positioning for higher prices. Open interest has also seen a modest uptick, which will likely expand further as Wave X progresses.
In summary, my bias remains bearish, and I will be positioning short at the top of Wave X. Furthermore, I expect Wave Z to take the form of a Flat rather than a Triangle.
ETH/USD – 1H OB Reaction | Key Decision Zone AheadEthereum is consolidating between equal lows and the recent swing high, building pressure for the next big move. The reaction from this zone will guide whether we see a bullish breakout or a bearish continuation.
Bullish Scenario:
Hold above P1D Low (~4,360)
Break swing high (~4,480) → Push into OB (~4,720)
Target liquidity at Equal Highs (~4,800)
Bearish Scenario:
Fail to reclaim swing high (~4,480)
Break equal lows/P1D Low (~4,360) → Drop into FVG & OB (~4,280–4,300)
Deeper continuation possible if sellers hold momentum
Key Levels:
🟢 P1D Low / Equal Lows: 4,360
🔴 Swing High: 4,480
🟢 OB Target: 4,720
🔴 Equal Highs: 4,800
💬 Will ETH bounce into the OB or break down to the FVG? Share your view below.
ETHUSD : from 1W to 4HLet's continue our discussion.
Previously, we looked at the chart from afar, just to get a bird's-eye view of the price.
Now, we zoom in to examine the details.
If price fails to touch/surpass the previous ATH - buyers are f**ked.
From the above, we can roughly tell who blinked first.
Anyway, in this game, there is no certainty. Only probabilities.
Good Luck - this is the last of the ETH idea from me.
ETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policyETHUSD falls on fears of hawkish key rate policy
Ether fell by 4% to $4,296.50 on August 18, pressured by last week’s higher-than-expected U.S. macro data. The drop reflects reduced investor confidence amid elevated inflation, with July’s PPI at 3.3% year-over-year, lowering expectations for a Fed rate cut. Spot ether ETF flows dipped modestly, but institutional engagement remains strong, with funds rotating to lower-cost products like BlackRock’s IBIT. Analysts see the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium and August 21 jobless claims as key upcoming factors.
ETHUSD broke below the support of 4,350.00. The price is heading towards local support of 4,000.00 in order to retest this crucial level with possible rebound from SMA200 on 4-h chart.
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,096.19
1st Support: 3,440.61
1st Resistance: 5,162.78
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ETH’s Predator Move on the 30min time rame
This is ETH on the 30min timeframe over the past 3 weeks.
It started on Monday, July 28, when price was rejected at the $4K resistance after a Sunday night pump. What followed was nearly half a week of chop, then a drop that found support at the 0.5 Fib = $3391 (the midpoint between the 0.382 and 0.236 levels). From there, ETH rallied +43% to its ATH.
Last week, the same scenario repeated: price rejected from ATH (0 Fib), chopped half a week, then fell Sunday night, this time finding support at the 0.5 Fib = $4303 (the midpoint between the 0.236 and 0 levels).
Now the question is: will this 10% drop be enough to reload for another attempt at ATH, or will price need to retrace deeper to gather the liquidity needed?
One thing is certain: this is a leverage flush. If you’re riding high leverage, understand that you are the prey, and price is the predator. To survive, you need to shed some leverage weight before it catches you.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH 30min: Double Bottom Setting Up Another ATH Test
ETH on the 30-Min
Yesterday, ETH printed a clean double bottom right on the 200MA.
RSI showed bullish divergence at the same time, a strong reversal signal.
Now, price is holding support at the BB center and 50MA.
If these two levels hold, we could see another push toward the ATH.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH, what price target at the end of the cycle?1) Institutional investors have driven ETH/USD higher since the start of the summer via US spot ETFs
The price of ETH/USD has more than doubled since the start of the summer on the crypto-currency market, in a phase of powerful relative catch-up with the price of bitcoin and an Ether token that is now close to its all-time record. This catch-up phase of the Ether token relative to BTC has been forged on a very healthy fundamental factor: institutional demand.
In fact, it is institutional investors who have driven this sharp rise in the price of Ether, with an explosion in inflows to US spot ETFs on Ethereum. Indeed, it's a given that the bulk of demand via BTC and ETH spot ETFs comes from institutional investors.
Ethereum's underlying uptrend is therefore based on a sound fundamental foundation.
The table below, taken from the Coinglass website, shows inflows and outflows on US spot ETFs on ETH
2) The Ether token is outperforming the bitcoin price, as shown by the technical analysis of the ETH/BTC ratio, and this should continue until the end of the cycle
The second aspect in Ethereum's favor is the sequence of outperformance against ETH on BTC. This is the lesson of the bullish message from technical analysis applied to the ETH/BTC ratio. The latter has turned upwards from a major support level, and the technical upside potential remains significant for the coming months.
The chart below shows weekly Japanese candlesticks for the ratio between Ethereum and Bitcoin
3) ETH/USD will pause below its all-time high of $4900 (that of the previous cycle), but should be able to move beyond it by the end of the cycle
The price of ETH/USD has reached its all-time high of $4850 in autumn 2021, the peak of the previous cycle. It's only logical that the market should start to stall and retrace to consolidate the rise since early summer. The market could develop a range phase between support at $4,000 and resistance at $4,850, before later being able to resume its fundamental uptrend. Historically, the Ether token cycle ends two to three weeks after the end of the BTC bull cycle, so it's likely that ETH/USD will be able to exceed its all-time high in the fourth quarter of this year 2025. The chart below outlines theoretical targets if and only if the all-time high of $4850 is broken by the market. Invalidation if major support at $4,000 is broken.
The chart below shows weekly Japanese candlesticks for the ETH/USD rate
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ETH 4H – Watching Demand Zone, Bounce Projection in PlayEthereum is approaching a critical demand zone around 4,093 (Fib 0.5 + trendline confluence). The ghost candles illustrate a possible bounce scenario if buyers defend this level.
Support levels: 4,093 (Fib 0.5), 3,924 (Fib 0.618), 3,683 (Fib 0.786)
Resistance: 4,500–4,700 zone
Stoch RSI: Cooling, suggesting short-term caution before a decisive move
If bulls step in here, ETH could reclaim 4,500+ toward 4,700. A breakdown, however, would expose 3,924 and possibly 3,683.
ETH/USD 1H TIME FRAME OVERVIEWSmart ICT Follow-Up and Smart Money Concept
Ethereum is currently trading between 4460 – 4480, at a critical decision zone.
🔑 Key Points / Signals:
✅ Bullish case: If ETH holds above 4460–4480, price may push towards 4650 first, and if momentum sustains, a retest of 4790 phase is possible.
🔻 Bearish case: If rejection occurs at this range, ETH could decline towards 4300, with an extended move down to 4160 support.
📌 Traders should monitor this consolidation zone closely as it will decide the next swing move.
⚡ Price is currently coiling in a make-or-break range, awaiting confirmation for the next impulsive leg.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice.
ETH MASSIVE UPDATE! LAST CONTEX TO BE RECLAIMED FOR NEW ATH'SHey guys, here is another insane RT-Tool 3.0 update! :)
First of all thanks for the massive support and the kind words I received by you. I see you love the work <3
Ethereum is trading since 400 days in this RT-Tool range. I pulled it from the green circles which gives us this insane range levels. There is a reason why I say: "RT-Tool is human psychology involved with money, decoded by 7 special Fibonacci numbers!" This pull is from a specific rule I set up. I only trade my rules that have a high probability for success. If you compare it to the latest BTC update you see its the EXACR SAME LOGIC PULL that I call "H&S KHALIFA RT-Tool Context Pull"
I wanna make this a unbiased analysis so don't freak out :D
We all have to agree that this pull gave insane advantage the past 400 days and it would have given one really a unfair advantage xD
RIGHT NOW we are trading at big context resistance so be aware of this. As long this goes, at this point the most important support is $4380 - $4300 !! If we lose that we have to check back on the market structure to make further statements.
Sequence Analysis on ETH/USD, WE could break out !Sequence Analysis on ETH/USD
Primary Impulse (June 2022–Nov 2023)
Wave 1: Bottom ≈ $989 → top ≈ $2,688
Wave 2: Retrace to ≈ $1,492 (≈ 61.8% Fib of Wave 1)
Wave 3: Advance to ≈ $3,550 (strongest, longest wave)
Wave 4: Pullback to ≈ $2,300 (above Wave 1 high—validates impulse)
Wave 5: Extension to ≈ $5,080 (completes 5-wave structure)
Complex Correction (Dec 2023–June 2025)
W–X–Y Double Zigzag
W: Down from $5,080 → $2,678
X: Relief rally to $3,800
Y: Final decline to $1,155 (below Wave 4 low)
Rule check: Y-wave breaches Wave 4 territory, confirming an expanded correction (Prechter & Frost, 2005).
Current New Impulse (June 2025–ongoing)
Wave (1): Low ≈ $1,155 → $2,400
Wave (2): Shallow retrace to $2,271 (≈ 38.2% Fib)
Wave (3): Strong leg to $3,800+ (exceeds Wave 1 by ratio ≈ 1.61)
Wave (4): Correction to $3,300 (above Wave 1 high, valid)
Wave (5) (projected): Expected to drive above $5,800, targeting regression-line confluence
Key Rules & Ratios
Wave 3 cannot be shortest (here, it is longest)
Wave 4 must not overlap Wave 1 territory (confirmed)
Fibonacci alignments at 38.2–61.8% retracements guide entry zones (Prechter & Frost, 2005)
References
Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (2005). Elliott wave principle: Key to market behavior (10th ed.). New Classics Library.
Sources
Can eth flip value area low to support? Great to see the sweep of $4500 as I mentioned on Friday.
I will still be cautious as the poc golden pocket, or .786 and value area high are going to give some turbulence to fill the range.
I am still not seeing the break $4800 for eth till it decisively holds above are value area high at $4729.
ETH — Right-Angled Broadening BreakoutEthereum (ETH) has completed a Right-Angled Descending Broadening Pattern that developed over a period of 515 days. Such long-term structures are rare and often mark significant turning points in the market.
🔎 Pattern Breakdown
A–E → swings inside the broadening formation.
F → breakout above the flat resistance.
G (anticipated) → Retest of the breakout zone near $4000, where former resistance may establish itself as support.
The flat top resistance between $4000–$4100 has already given way. A successful retest and hold above this zone would confirm breakout validity and strengthen the probability of continuation toward ATH and beyond.
Trade Setup View
Retest entry zone (G): ~$4000
Invalidation (Stop-Loss): To be determined based on price action during the retest
TP1: Retest of ATH $4867
TP2: $5390
Final target (measured move): $6800
Risk-to-Reward: 1:7+ potential
Why $6800?
The measured move of a broadening formation is its full height projected upward from the breakout point:
Broadening low: $1383.26
Broadening high: $4109
➡️ Height = $2725.74
Add that to the breakout zone (~$4100) → $6825. Rounded, that gives a final target of $6800.
💡 Educational Takeaway
Right-Angled Descending Broadening Formations show growing volatility with buyers holding a ceiling steady while sellers run out of steam. Once that flat resistance breaks, momentum usually shifts in favour of the bulls. Since this one lasted over 500 days, the breakout isn’t just noise. It’s a macro signal that could define ETH’s next major trend leg.
Level to Watch Closely:
$4000 → the expected retest (G). Holding here would be a strong confirmation that ETH is ready to aim for ATH and price discovery.
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