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Ethereum at a Historical Crossroads: Breakout or Major Rejection Based on the ETH/USD daily chart you shared, here’s a professional breakdown: 🔎 Technical Overview Key Level: $4,000 – $4,100 This zone is a multi-year resistance (price was rejected here twice before → double top). Currently, price is sitting just below this line — a true decision point. Pattern Outlook A confirmed breakout above $4,100 could open the way for a strong bullish rally. A rejection here could trigger a deep correction, similar to the past two times. 100-Day Moving Average Acting as dynamic mid-term support. A clean break below it would be a strong bearish signal. 📈 Short-Term Outlook (1–3 weeks) Bullish Scenario: Break and daily close above $4,100–$4,200 → Target 1: $4,500, Target 2: $4,850. Stop-loss: Daily close below $3,900. Bearish Scenario: Rejection and breakdown below $3,850 → Target 1: $3,400, Target 2: $3,000. Stop-loss: Daily close above $4,150. 📊 Long-Term Outlook (3–9 months) Bullish (if resistance breaks): Mid-term targets: $5,250 (next historical peak) → then potentially $6,000–$6,500 if momentum continues. Stop-loss: Sustained close below $3,400. Bearish (if resistance holds): Likely correction towards $2,750–$3,000. In a broader market downturn, a retest of $2,200–$2,400 is also possible. ⚠️ Key Takeaway: Price is sitting at a critical resistance zone. Risk management is crucial — trading without a stop-loss here could be dangerous.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by isahebdadi
Stop Blaming Market Manipulation: It’s Your Wrong InterpretationThe Excuse Factory Recently, Bitcoin dropped from 118k to 108k. Suddenly, TikTokers, YouTubers, and X posters spiraled into paranoia, copy-pasting the same narrative: the “big masterminds,” reptilians, or aliens manipulated the market to liquidate 1.7 billion in buy orders. Let’s pause for a second. A 10% pullback in Bitcoin is now considered a “market crash”? If we look deeper... Ethereum fell about 20% from its top — but this same ETH had already grown 300% since April. Was that also “manipulation”? Or does manipulation only happen when you are losing money? How do you think markets work in general? Do they move only upward, just to make you richer? The truth is simpler: there is no manipulation conspiracy here. There are no “false signals.” What exists are wrong interpretations. The Market Is Neutral The market doesn’t care about your position. It doesn’t send “false” signals; it simply moves. Price action reflects the sum of supply and demand in each moment. When traders label a signal as “false,” what they really mean is: • They misread the context. • They didn’t account for a higher timeframe. • Their stop placement wasn’t aligned with market structure or was too close. The market doesn’t lie. It only reveals how much or how little you understand it. Examples of Misinterpretation • The “false breakout” myth – What you see as a false breakout on the 1H chart may be a perfect retest on the daily timeframe. The market wasn’t wrong—you were looking at it from the wrong lens. • Stop hunting paranoia – Many traders cry “manipulation” when price takes out a cluster of stops. But think: stops are liquidity, and liquidity is where big players need to fill orders. That’s not manipulation—it’s how markets function. • News volatility – Many traders call sudden spikes around economic releases “market tricks.” In reality, it’s about liquidity gaps. There aren’t buy and sell orders evenly distributed at every price level. When major news hits, price “rearranges” itself to include the new information and moves sharply until it finds liquidity — usually around strong support or resistance zones. The Psychology Behind Blame Blaming manipulation is easier than admitting error. It protects the ego. If the loss was due to some shadowy force, you don’t have to change. But this mindset locks traders into a cycle of frustration. Progress begins when you stop blaming the market and start analyzing your own decision-making. Case Study: Ethereum’s Current Setup As the saying goes, a picture says more than a thousand words. Since April, Ethereum has rallied over 300% in just six months. On this path upward, the chart shows two apparent “false breaks” of support. The question now is: will the current move be the third “false break,” or the first real break? As I wrote in yesterday’s analysis, confirmation is key... But even if ETH drops further, say to 3600, nothing truly changes in the broader picture. Such a move would only be a healthy correction of the trend that started in April — perfectly aligning the price with the 38% Fibonacci retracement and the rising trendline support. Conclusion: The Trader’s Responsibility There are no false signals. There is no hidden enemy in the market. There is only your interpretation.
BINANCE:ETHUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
49
ETHUSD Bearish Setup: Resistance at Former Support ZoneHello TradingView Community, Here is a technical analysis of a potential short opportunity on the Ethereum / U.S. Dollar (ETHUSD) pair on the 15-minute chart. Analysis: The chart highlights a classic bearish price action pattern known as a "break and retest." We can observe a significant horizontal support level around $4,073.98 that held the price up on several occasions. Recently, the price has broken down decisively below this support zone, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The price has now pulled back to retest this level from below. The expectation is that this former support will now act as new resistance, rejecting the price and leading to a continuation of the downward move. Trade Setup: The short position tool on the chart outlines a potential trade based on this analysis: Entry: Approximately $4,073.98 (at the retest of the resistance line). Stop Loss: $4,155.23 (placed above the resistance level to protect against a false breakdown). Take Profit: $3,826.98 (targeting the next potential area of support). This setup offers a defined risk management plan for a potential bearish continuation. Disclaimer: This is purely a technical idea for educational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Please perform your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by professionaltrading70018
ETH Macro Picture, Pullback then $10k?CRYPTOCAP:ETH had a massive rally from the wave (II) bottom with a poke above all time high followed by extremely greedy sentiment on social and mainstream media of which I was warning should mark a local top and trap new investors. Price has now pulled back to the first High Volume Node support target. I am expectinga deeper pullback over the next few weeks to complete wave (2) with an initial terminal target of the weekly pivot $3179 which is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. That would be shallow for wave 2 which is expected in a wave III. However, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement sits at the next major High Volume Node support where it is expected to meet the weekly 200EMA adding a lot of confluence to this are as the next bottom, $2660. Any further downside bring up the S1 weekly pivot, golden pocket and high volume node, $2250. There is weekly bearish divergence from the early 2024 highs. I will play this trading plan point by point and look for longs at key levels to at least secure some bounce profits if not find a bottom. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
ETHUSD SELL NOW 3990🔻 ETHUSD Short Setup – Entry: 3990 Ethereum is facing resistance near 3990, presenting a clean intraday short opportunity. Key bearish signals: - 🔸 Price rejection at prior supply zone - 🔸 Bearish divergence on RSI (1H) - 🔸 Lower high structure forming below 4030 - 🔸 Volume fading on recent push 📉 Trade Plan: - Entry: 3990 - Stop Loss: 4030 - Take Profit: 3910 Risk/reward ratio: 1:2 – ideal for disciplined scalpers and short-term swing traders. Watch BTC correlation and macro headlines for volatility spikes.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
From 4800 Highs to 3850 Lows – ETH Eyes RecoveryAfter a fresh test of the 4800 zone in mid-September, ETH started to decline, with the selloff accelerating after September 22nd, in line with the broader crypto market weakness. The drop broke below the 4100 technical support and even under the psychological 4K mark, sending price as low as 3850. Yesterday, however, ETH managed to recover part of the losses and climbed back above 4K, a positive sign for the bulls. From a structural point of view, the overall trend remains strongly bullish, and I see this move as nothing more than a correction and a hunt for liquidity at lower levels. Trading Outlook: • In the coming days, I expect ETH to reclaim the 4100 zone, turning the breakdown into a false break. • If that happens, the door opens for upside continuation, with potential to retest 4500 and even challenge the 4800 resistance again. • For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for confirmation before taking a new position.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
How Blockchain Transforms Trading Systems1. Understanding Blockchain: The Foundation Before analyzing its impact on trading, it is important to understand what blockchain is: Decentralization – Traditional trading systems rely on centralized exchanges, brokers, and clearinghouses. Blockchain distributes data across a network of nodes, reducing dependence on single intermediaries. Immutability – Once a transaction is recorded on a blockchain, it cannot be altered or deleted, providing an incorruptible ledger of trades. Transparency – Transactions are visible to network participants (depending on whether the chain is public or permissioned), reducing information asymmetry. Smart Contracts – Self-executing codes stored on the blockchain that automatically perform actions when predefined conditions are met. Cryptographic Security – Transactions are secured by advanced encryption, minimizing the risks of fraud and cyberattacks. These characteristics collectively enable blockchain to redefine the architecture of trading systems, moving away from reliance on trust in intermediaries toward trust in code and consensus. 2. Traditional Trading Systems: The Current Limitations To appreciate blockchain’s transformative role, one must examine the pain points of existing trading infrastructure: Intermediation Costs – Trades typically involve brokers, exchanges, custodians, clearinghouses, and settlement agencies. Each adds complexity, time, and fees. Settlement Delays – Equity trades often follow T+2 (trade date + 2 days) settlement cycles, tying up capital and increasing counterparty risk. Counterparty Risk – Trust in intermediaries is necessary, but systemic failures (e.g., 2008 financial crisis) expose vulnerabilities. Lack of Transparency – Order books, OTC transactions, and derivative trades are often opaque, leading to information asymmetry and sometimes manipulation. Cross-Border Complexity – International trades face additional hurdles: currency conversion, regulatory compliance, and time zone mismatches. Cybersecurity Risks – Centralized exchanges present attractive targets for hackers, as seen in multiple data breaches worldwide. Blockchain addresses these weaknesses by eliminating redundant intermediaries, accelerating settlement, reducing systemic risk, and ensuring transparent records. 3. Blockchain’s Direct Impact on Trading Systems 3.1 Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) Unlike centralized exchanges, DEXs operate on blockchain networks, enabling peer-to-peer trading without intermediaries. Benefits include: Direct control of funds by traders (custody remains with the owner until trade execution). Lower fees due to reduced intermediary layers. Global accessibility with no geographic restrictions. Examples: Uniswap, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, which allow crypto token trading without central oversight. 3.2 Tokenization of Assets Blockchain enables real-world assets (stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities) to be tokenized into digital representations. This leads to: Fractional ownership – Small investors can own fractions of high-value assets like real estate. Liquidity creation – Traditionally illiquid assets (art, infrastructure) become tradable in secondary markets. 24/7 markets – Unlike stock exchanges, tokenized assets can trade continuously. 3.3 Instant Settlement and Clearing Through blockchain, settlement can shift from T+2 to T+0, reducing capital lock-ups and eliminating counterparty risk. Smart contracts automatically transfer ownership and funds simultaneously. 3.4 Increased Transparency All participants can view transaction history, reducing insider advantages and manipulation risks. Regulators also benefit from real-time auditing capabilities. 3.5 Reduced Costs By removing brokers, custodians, and clearinghouses, blockchain significantly reduces transaction costs and administrative overhead. 4. Blockchain in Different Asset Classes 4.1 Equities Tokenized shares on blockchain can be traded peer-to-peer. Startups like tZERO and Polymath are working on blockchain-based equity issuance and trading. Companies can issue security tokens directly to investors, bypassing traditional IPO channels. 4.2 Commodities Commodity trades (gold, oil, agricultural products) can be tracked via blockchain for provenance verification. Tokenized commodities reduce the need for paper-based contracts and increase liquidity. 4.3 Derivatives Smart contracts automate execution of options, futures, and swaps. Margin calls and settlements can be programmed into blockchain, reducing disputes. 4.4 Foreign Exchange Blockchain-based stablecoins and CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) allow for instant, low-cost cross-border currency trades. This disrupts the $6.6 trillion-a-day forex market. 4.5 Real Estate & Alternative Assets Tokenization enables fractional ownership of properties, infrastructure projects, and private equity. Platforms like RealT already allow investors to buy tokenized shares in rental properties. 5. Blockchain and Market Infrastructure 5.1 Clearing and Settlement Traditionally, clearinghouses manage post-trade processes. With blockchain, clearing and settlement occur simultaneously, reducing systemic risks. 5.2 Custody and Record-Keeping Blockchain acts as a self-updating ledger, replacing third-party custodians. Ownership is cryptographically verifiable. 5.3 Compliance and Regulation Blockchain enables real-time auditing, AML/KYC compliance, and traceability of funds. Regulators can gain direct access to immutable transaction histories. 5.4 Liquidity Pools DEXs use automated market makers (AMMs) to create liquidity pools, replacing traditional order books. This enables continuous liquidity provision without centralized intermediaries. 6. Advantages of Blockchain in Trading Speed – Settlement cycles reduce from days to seconds. Cost-Efficiency – Lower reliance on intermediaries reduces fees. Security – Cryptographic protection minimizes fraud and hacks. Accessibility – Retail traders worldwide can access tokenized markets with just an internet connection. Transparency – Publicly verifiable ledgers increase trust. Programmability – Smart contracts enable complex trading strategies to run automatically. Global Integration – Seamless cross-border trading with digital assets and stablecoins. 7. Challenges and Risks Despite its promise, blockchain in trading faces hurdles: 7.1 Regulatory Uncertainty Different jurisdictions classify blockchain assets differently (security, commodity, currency). Lack of harmonized regulation limits global adoption. 7.2 Scalability Issues Blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum face throughput limitations. High transaction volumes in equity or forex markets may exceed current blockchain capacities. 7.3 Security Concerns While blockchain itself is secure, DEXs and smart contracts are vulnerable to hacks and exploits. Private keys remain a weak point in custody solutions. 7.4 Market Manipulation Low-liquidity tokens are prone to pump-and-dump schemes. Automated systems can amplify volatility. 7.5 Integration with Legacy Systems Traditional financial institutions still run on decades-old infrastructure. Transitioning to blockchain requires significant time, cost, and cultural change. 8. Case Studies 8.1 ASX (Australian Securities Exchange) Announced blockchain adoption for clearing and settlement (replacing CHESS). Although delayed, it reflects serious institutional interest. 8.2 DTCC (Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, USA) Testing blockchain for derivatives clearing, handling billions of trades annually. 8.3 JPMorgan Onyx Platform Uses blockchain for intraday repo transactions and wholesale payments. 8.4 Uniswap and DeFi Platforms Over $1 trillion in trading volume executed on blockchain-based DEXs. 9. The Future of Blockchain Trading Systems Looking ahead, blockchain will likely lead to: Tokenized Securities Becoming Mainstream – Equities, bonds, and ETFs will exist in tokenized forms. Global 24/7 Markets – Traditional trading hours will be obsolete. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) – Official digital currencies will integrate into trading platforms. Automated Smart Derivatives – Entire derivatives contracts will self-execute via code. Hybrid Exchanges – Combining centralized compliance with decentralized efficiency. AI + Blockchain Trading – AI algorithms may interact directly with blockchain-based liquidity pools. 10. Conclusion Blockchain represents a paradigm shift in trading systems. It reimagines the way markets operate by replacing intermediaries with decentralized networks, creating transparency where opacity ruled, and enabling instant settlement where delays were common. By tokenizing assets, blockchain democratizes access to investments, opening global markets to small investors and reducing inefficiencies that have plagued finance for centuries. Yet, the journey is far from smooth. Scalability, regulation, and integration remain critical challenges. However, just as the internet transformed communication and e-commerce, blockchain is set to transform trading into a faster, cheaper, and more inclusive ecosystem. The transformation will not happen overnight, but the trajectory is clear: the trading systems of tomorrow will be built on blockchain foundations.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Crypto Market Collapse Just The Beginning!The crypto market has collapsed — but this could just be the beginning. In this video, I break down my ICT analysis on total market cap, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH). Here’s what I cover: - Why this collapse isn’t a surprise - The key levels I’m watching for BTC and ETH - Scenarios for both a deeper move down and a possible bounce - Why patience is critical until the weekly and monthly closures confirm direction This is not about panic — it’s about understanding structure, liquidity, and how to wait for the market to give us clarity. 👉 Do you think this collapse is just starting, or will we bounce from here? Comment below and let’s discuss. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoCrash #ICTTrading #CryptoAnalysis
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Trader-Alchemist
1
Eth USD SELL Trade Today🔻 ETHUSD Short Setup – Entry: 3965 Ethereum is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3965 resistance zone, setting up for a potential intraday pullback. Key bearish signals include: - 🔸 Double top formation around 3965 - 🔸 Bearish divergence on RSI (1H/4H) - 🔸 Volume drop on recent push - 🔸 Rejection from upper Bollinger Band 📉 Trade Plan: - Entry: 3965 - Stop Loss: 4005 (above resistance) - Take Profit Zones: 3900 / 3840 / 3785
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
ETH – Eyeing $3.3k Sweep Before Loading LongETH has broken down from its recent range, showing lower highs and consistent selling pressure. I’m watching for one more leg lower into the $3,300 area. Why $3,300? A clean sweep here would trap shorts and flush out late longs, setting the stage for a strong bounce. Setup Plan: Short-term bias: Bearish, expecting continuation lower into ~$3,300 Will not long until we get a reaction at that level Long trigger: Strong bounce/reversal signals at $3,300 zone Targets on the bounce: $3,500 → $3,650 → $3,800 Stop loss: Below $3,250 ETH likely has one more dip before setting up for a cleaner move higher. Patience pays here.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Crypto_Meehow
$ETH Market OutlookCRYPTOCAP:ETH Market Outlook Ethereum is currently consolidating, with a critical downside level at $4,000. If $4,000 does not hold, the next supports are $3,500 and $2,400. The $2,400 scenario remains highly unlikely, as it would imply a full retracement of the previous rally. In contrast, a pullback to $3,500 represents a 50% correction of the last upward move—a realistic outcome that would signal a temporary setback rather than a trend reversal, potentially setting the stage for continued upside momentum. At present, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is trading within a range and sitting near the midpoint. Should this level break, the bottom of the range becomes the next logical target. ⚠️ Always DYOR.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by CryptoNikkoid
4