$ETH stop loss TRIGGERED, the BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern pops upCRYPTOCAP:ETH hit my STOP LOSS at $3895, oh well.
It was a bloody day all over the market and including the stock markets, even #Tesla declined by 4.5%.
But CRYPTOCAP:ETH fights on, not yet oversold on RSI so room for further bleeding, definitely.
WAVE C corrective move could drop the price as low as $3563, before the next impulse wave upwards takes place. Downtrend on the DAILY, first one for half-a-year now.
Leverage has been cleared and now most of it are shorts. Liquidity all the way up to the ATH. And nothing much below down to $3000. So, there is that, too.
Very mixed signals.
Bullish BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern popped up and it would be a good base to find a long entry on shorter timeframes, but the CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has been too bullish this week for us to long too much💙👽
FLASH CRASH stink orders, why not:
LONG limit orders at:
$3571 and a half-sized one at $3711.
Trade ideas
EthUSD BUy 3900🟢 ETHUSD Long Setup – Buy Zone: 3900
Ethereum is showing signs of bullish continuation after a corrective dip into the 3900 support zone. This level aligns with:
- 🔹 Previous demand zone and horizontal support
- 🔹 Bullish divergence on RSI (1H/4H)
- 🔹 Trendline bounce from ascending channel
- 🔹 Volume spike confirming buyer interest
📈 Trade Plan:
- Entry: 3900
- Stop Loss: 3845 (below structure)
- Take Profit Zones: 3980 / 4050 / 4125+
This setup favors momentum traders looking to catch the next leg up. Keep an eye on BTC correlation and macro news for volatility spikes.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 25 September 2025
- Ethereum broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 3714.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently broke the support area between the key support level 4090.00 (which stopped the previous corrections 4 and A) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the start of August.
The breakout of this ssupport area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave C of the intermediate ABC correction (4) from the end of August.
Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to fall further to the next support level 3714.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
ETHEREUM NEXT DUMP COMING✅ Ethereum has made a massive increase in the past 172 days with over 255%. what comes next after such an increase. from the chat, we can see that Ethereum got rejected from the $4955 level that was the previous high, what we should be expecting from Ethereum right now is a drop to the $3700 to $3300 as these areas stands as a key support level in the market.
📝 Note that if Ethereum fails to how these levels, we could see a massive drop in price to the $2900 level as this is a very good demand zone and it lines up with the 200 EMA which makes these area very significant.
📌 Indicator wise, we can see that Ethereum is trading below the 50 EMA which is very critical for the price, also if we look as the weekly MACD, we can see that it is reducing momentum to the down which we need to take very seriously.
🚨Based on the daily time frame, what we should be expecting is price retrace-ment
to the $4500 price level, this area is a good point of interest and also a supply zone that we need to see Ethereum retest this zone before any further move can be confirmed in the market.
⛔️NOT THIS IS JUST PERSONAL OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DYOR.
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Weekly Prediction For Next Weeks Price ActiknNo Quant, No Bot, Just Lines & Labels📈
Use these labels as guidelines navigate through the markets. This set up is fractal from the monthly to the 1Min. The red line represents trendline liquidity and the yellow line is the wireframe of the order flow. The lines will always cross where the trendline break was which is an indication of Liquidation 1. This stage is where price liquidates the trendline pullback traders at the retest then price creates swing points 3 which is the manipulation that leads to Liquidation 1 at swing point 4 which is price liquidate pending sellers at the trendline break and pending buy stops from the breakout traders. After the takeout, price creates swing point 4 which you can sell to the Pullback level or demand zone.
VOLUME DIRECTION
/\ - Bullish Volume
\/ - Bearish Volume
X - Already Mitigated
WOF - Weekly Orderflow
TIMEFRAME
M - Monthly
W - Weekly
SWING HIGHS & LOWS
SP1- Swing Point1
SP2 - Swing Point 2
SP3 - Swing Point 3
SP4 - Swing Point 4
KEY LEVELS
R - Resistance
S - Support
LIQUIDITY ZONES
EQHS - Equal Highs
LS - Lows
HS - Highs
IMB - Imbalance
PB - Pullback
IND - Inducement
ascending channel/ eliots waveas everyone is panicing and calling a bear market its time to look into the higher time frame of ethereum.
Ethereum is since 9 april in an ascending channel making higher highs and higher lows.
we fineally reached the bottom of the channel and also the $4000 support zone, so double support.
Eliots wave theory: the eliots wave shows etherum has made its wave 1 with a 103% rally, wave 3 with a 130% rally, and wave 5 yet to start. as wave 5 is mostly a bigger run then wave 1 but wave 3 cannot be the shortest it means wave 5 would be a rally of around 104-129%.
INSTITUTIONAL INTEREST and RATE CUTS are also supporting our targets.
according to data on glassnote Ethereum mega-whales are accumulating ETH at their fastest pace in years.
Ethereum Daily Chart Distribution Phase Signals huge dumpIf you’ve been tracking Ethereum on the daily chart, the structure is starting to look heavy — and not in a bullish way. Let’s break this down step by step so it’s easy to follow 👇
Support lost: ETH has already broken its key support zone around $4060, which previously acted as a higher low. Now, the recent dip is printing a new lower low, shifting market sentiment.
Daily close levels matter: If the daily candle closes below $4000, it confirms weakness and opens doors for a further sell-off.
Possible head and shoulders: A pullback toward the $4100 region could simply build the right shoulder of a bearish head and shoulder pattern. The structure matches what we saw earlier on the left shoulder.
Bearish momentum risk: If ETH fails to hold above $4000 after that pullback, we could be looking at extended downside — even a sharp fall toward the $2000 zone based on historical dump patterns.
Market behavior reminder: Over the past two years, whenever ETH started a distribution breakdown, the drop was often fast and violent. That’s why caution is key here.
📌 Key Takeaway: Ethereum is at a make-or-break daily level. Watch $4000 closely — losing this level could accelerate a bearish breakdown. Short-term traders may look for opportunities on the pullback, while long-term holders need to stay cautious of the possible head and shoulders pattern forming.
Types of Sanctions: Economic, Trade, and Diplomatic1. Introduction to Sanctions
Sanctions are restrictive measures imposed by one entity—such as a country, group of countries, or international body—on another. Their purpose is to restrict or alter the actions of the target, which may be a nation-state, corporation, or even individuals. The rationale behind sanctions is that applying pressure can compel behavioral change without resorting to direct military conflict.
Sanctions often arise in response to:
Violations of international law (e.g., territorial aggression).
Human rights abuses (e.g., apartheid in South Africa).
Threats to global peace (e.g., nuclear proliferation).
Terrorism or organized crime (e.g., freezing terrorist assets).
Sanctions can be unilateral (imposed by a single state), multilateral (involving multiple states), or global (authorized by organizations like the United Nations).
Among the many forms of sanctions, three stand out due to their widespread application: economic, trade, and diplomatic sanctions.
2. Economic Sanctions
2.1 Definition
Economic sanctions are financial penalties or restrictions imposed to influence the policies or actions of another state or entity. They usually target banking, investment, currency, or financial transactions to undermine the economic stability of the sanctioned party.
2.2 Mechanisms of Economic Sanctions
Economic sanctions typically involve:
Asset Freezes: Blocking access to bank accounts, properties, and other financial holdings.
Restrictions on Financial Transactions: Prohibiting banks from processing payments linked to sanctioned entities.
Investment Bans: Preventing new investments in specific industries or regions.
Debt Restrictions: Limiting borrowing or access to international credit markets.
Currency Controls: Restricting access to foreign reserves.
2.3 Objectives of Economic Sanctions
Deterring aggression: Make the cost of war or hostile acts prohibitively high.
Limiting capacity: Restrict a nation’s ability to fund military or illicit programs.
Promoting policy change: Push governments to alter domestic or foreign policies.
Punishing violations: Penalize actions that contravene international law or norms.
2.4 Case Studies
Iran: Economic sanctions imposed by the U.S. and EU targeted Iran’s banking and oil industries, aiming to prevent nuclear weapon development. These sanctions severely curtailed Iran’s economy and pressured it into negotiations, resulting in the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
Russia (2014 and 2022): Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea and later the invasion of Ukraine, sweeping sanctions targeted its financial institutions, reserves, and access to global markets. The aim was to weaken its economy and reduce its ability to sustain military operations.
North Korea: Sanctions restrict Pyongyang’s access to global finance and luxury goods, designed to limit its nuclear program’s funding.
2.5 Effectiveness and Criticisms
While economic sanctions can exert enormous pressure, their effectiveness varies. Sometimes, they succeed in bringing parties to the negotiating table; other times, they push states toward alternative alliances or informal economies. Criticisms include:
Humanitarian impacts: Ordinary citizens often suffer more than ruling elites.
Circumvention: Nations may evade sanctions via smuggling or alternative partners.
Political resistance: Instead of weakening regimes, sanctions may strengthen nationalist sentiments.
3. Trade Sanctions
3.1 Definition
Trade sanctions are restrictions on imports, exports, or access to markets. Unlike broad economic sanctions, trade sanctions specifically target goods, services, or technologies.
3.2 Mechanisms of Trade Sanctions
Export Bans: Prohibiting certain goods or technologies from being exported.
Import Restrictions: Blocking the purchase of goods from the target state.
Tariffs and Quotas: Raising barriers to trade to reduce economic interaction.
Sectoral Restrictions: Targeting industries such as energy, technology, or defense.
Embargoes: Comprehensive bans on all trade with a country.
3.3 Objectives of Trade Sanctions
Reduce economic growth: By cutting off access to international trade.
Limit access to technology: Prevent development of weapons or advanced systems.
Send political messages: Isolate regimes diplomatically through trade exclusion.
Promote human rights: Restrict the export of goods that could enable repression.
3.4 Case Studies
Cuba Embargo: The U.S. imposed a trade embargo on Cuba in 1960 to weaken Fidel Castro’s communist regime. While the embargo isolated Cuba for decades, it did not topple the government, sparking debate about its long-term utility.
South Africa (Apartheid Era): Trade sanctions and boycotts against South Africa in the 1980s targeted its exports, particularly minerals, to pressure the government into ending apartheid. These measures, combined with internal resistance, helped bring reform.
Technology Sanctions on China: Recent sanctions have restricted China’s access to advanced semiconductor technologies, aiming to slow its military and technological advancements.
3.5 Effectiveness and Criticisms
Trade sanctions can be powerful but have mixed results:
Effective when applied multilaterally (e.g., South Africa).
Ineffective when targets find new markets (e.g., Cuba trading with Europe and Asia).
Criticism: Often harm economic growth broadly, with limited influence on ruling elites.
4. Diplomatic Sanctions
4.1 Definition
Diplomatic sanctions involve reducing or severing official diplomatic relations. Unlike economic or trade sanctions, they focus on political isolation rather than financial or commercial restrictions.
4.2 Mechanisms of Diplomatic Sanctions
Expulsion of Diplomats: Declaring diplomats persona non grata.
Suspension of Diplomatic Relations: Downgrading or cutting ties entirely.
Exclusion from International Forums: Preventing participation in organizations (e.g., G8 suspension of Russia in 2014).
Visa Bans: Restricting leaders and officials from traveling abroad.
Symbolic Actions: Boycotting state events or summits.
4.3 Objectives of Diplomatic Sanctions
Signal disapproval: Express international condemnation of actions.
Isolate politically: Reduce legitimacy and influence of governments.
Pressure regimes: Encourage policy changes through political isolation.
Prevent escalation: Use symbolic actions instead of military confrontation.
4.4 Case Studies
Russia’s G8 Suspension (2014): Following the annexation of Crimea, Russia was expelled from the G8, signaling diplomatic condemnation.
Myanmar (Post-2021 Coup): Many countries downgraded diplomatic engagement and excluded Myanmar from ASEAN summits.
Iran (Post-1979 Revolution): The U.S. severed diplomatic ties after the hostage crisis, limiting formal engagement for decades.
4.5 Effectiveness and Criticisms
Diplomatic sanctions are often symbolic but can still have impact:
Effective when combined with economic/trade sanctions.
Symbolic in cases where states already embrace isolation.
Criticism: They limit dialogue, reducing opportunities for peaceful negotiation.
5. The Interconnected Nature of Sanctions
In practice, these sanctions rarely exist in isolation. Governments and international bodies often use them together as part of a broader strategy. For instance, against Russia in 2022, the West imposed:
Economic sanctions (asset freezes, exclusion from SWIFT).
Trade sanctions (bans on oil and technology exports).
Diplomatic sanctions (diplomatic expulsions, exclusion from forums).
Together, these measures amplify impact and present a united front, but they also carry risks such as retaliatory actions, global market disruptions, or long-term geopolitical divides.
6. Global Consequences of Sanctions
Sanctions reshape global politics and economics in multiple ways:
Geopolitical Realignments: Countries under sanctions may seek new alliances (e.g., Russia and China deepening ties).
Impact on Global Trade: Sanctions disrupt supply chains, especially in energy and commodities.
Humanitarian Implications: Civilians often face shortages, inflation, and unemployment.
Technological Fragmentation: Trade restrictions on high-tech goods may create separate technological ecosystems.
Erosion of Multilateralism: Unilateral sanctions sometimes undermine collective international decision-making.
7. Critiques and Ethical Considerations
Sanctions, though non-military, raise important ethical debates:
Do they harm the guilty or the innocent? In many cases, ordinary citizens bear the brunt, while elites remain insulated.
Are sanctions coercion or legitimate pressure? Critics argue sanctions can be instruments of coercion and neo-imperialism.
Do sanctions work long-term? Some argue they harden regimes instead of weakening them.
8. Future of Sanctions
The global landscape suggests sanctions will remain central to international diplomacy. Trends include:
Targeted Sanctions: Focusing on elites and sectors instead of entire populations.
Technological Sanctions: Increasing emphasis on restricting access to AI, semiconductors, and advanced technologies.
Financial Innovation: Cryptocurrencies may help evade sanctions, requiring new regulatory approaches.
Greater Multilateralism: Sanctions are more effective when applied collectively.
Hybrid Sanctions: Combining economic, trade, and diplomatic measures with cyber and informational tools.
Conclusion
Sanctions represent a powerful yet imperfect alternative to military conflict. Economic, trade, and diplomatic sanctions serve different but interconnected purposes: economic sanctions weaken financial capabilities, trade sanctions restrict goods and markets, and diplomatic sanctions isolate states politically.
Their effectiveness depends on global cooperation, the resilience of the targeted state, and the degree to which they align with broader strategic goals. While sanctions can promote peace and discourage aggression, they also risk unintended consequences, particularly humanitarian crises.
Ultimately, sanctions are tools—not solutions. They can pressure, isolate, and punish, but sustainable change requires diplomacy, dialogue, and international consensus. As the global order becomes increasingly multipolar and interconnected, sanctions will continue to evolve as instruments of statecraft—balancing between coercion, persuasion, and the pursuit of stability.
ETHUSD H4 | Falling towards pullback supportEthereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the buy entry at 3,895.02, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,551.04, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,386.55, which is a pullback resistance.
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Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Weekly Chart UpdateEthereum (ETH/USDT) Weekly Chart Update
ETH is currently trading around $4026, down approximately 9.5% this week.
A long-term triangle breakout has occurred, and the price is now retesting this breakout zone.
Support levels: $3800 and $3500 (with the moving average).
Resistance levels: $ 4,500–$ 4,800 (short-term); if the momentum continues, the next major target would be $ 5,500–$ 6,000.
The overall trend remains bullish as long as ETH stays above $3500–$3600.
⚡ Summary:
ETH is currently experiencing a mid-term correction, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Staying above support could pave the way for a move towards $5000+ in the coming months.
#crypto #ETH #BTC
Wyckoff Accumulation Completed?I'm thinking that the test just completed for ETH per wyckoff's accumulation schematic, it should now do a test of remaining supply and then move up to 4210-4240 and oscillate up and down for awhile then to first target of 4297 and 4547 as a second possible target.
Wyckoff points marked
Did Crypto Just Find a Bottom?After the recent crash, is the crypto market finally finding a short-term bottom?
In this video I dive deep into the charts for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the total crypto market cap to answer that question.
Here’s what I cover:
- Signs that a short-term bottom could be in place
- My upside targets for BTC, ETH, and alts if we bounce
- Key levels I expect price to pull back into on a move higher
- The downside scenario if the market fails to hold
I break this down using ICT concepts like order blocks, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps to show exactly what I’m watching.
👉 Do you think we’ve found a bottom, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoins #BTC #ETH #CryptoAnalysis #ICTTrading
$ETH in a DOWNTREND after hitting a LOWER LOWCRYPTOCAP:ETH has confirmed BEAR market structure after a LOWER LOW was put in.
So a full-on DOWNTREND on the daily chart, and this is most likely WAVE C, so usually the last one out 3 in a corrective move.
After WAVE C completes (could crash as low as Fib 1.618 at $3563), we will likely continue with another 5 WAVE uptrend.
For now, the support above $4000 has been retested at $4078 but no immediate high volume recovery, at all. So we might be heading lower especially after another ETF outflow day.
More liquidity below down to $3500 too.
Not looking good on this chart👽💙
ETHERUM FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅ETHUSD reacts from higher-timeframe support, running sell-side liquidity before shifting orderflow bullish. Entry at discount seeks draw on liquidity above, targeting imbalance fill near 4360$.
—————————
Entry: 4,169$
Stop Loss: 4,050$
Take Profit: 4,360$
Time Frame: 7H
—————————
LONG🚀
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