ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 28❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BINANCE:ETHUSDT on the 4-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 4-hour chart, after the recent drop, Ethereum managed to hold above $3,900 thanks to support from its maker-buyer zone. Price is currently trading below a key resistance at $4,034. A breakout and confirmation above this level could lead ETH toward its next major trend-shift resistance.
The primary resistance for initiating a new bullish leg sits at $4,133. A break and stabilization above this zone could trigger a solid upside move, potentially extending toward the $4,800 area.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that during the recent sell-off, ETH dipped twice into deep oversold territory, with significant time spent under selling momentum. The key RSI zone now is the 50 baseline, which acts as resistance. A momentum break above this level would support price stabilization over $4,034, and allow ETH to retest and potentially break its resistance on the way to the overbought zone.
🕯 The candle size and volume on the rebound from the maker-buyer support have been reasonably strong, suggesting that ETH has likely established a key floor around $3,837. As price approached the $4,034 resistance, red candles have become smaller — signaling weakening bearish pressure and absorption of sell orders at that zone.
Given the weekend environment, volume has cooled off, and price is moving in a range. With the start of the new week, increased volume could spark a breakout, and trader reaction on ETH may be notable.
💸 The BINANCE:ETHBTC pair is also sitting below a key resistance zone. A breakout and confirmation here could shift ETH’s trading behavior and momentum. On RSI, the pair is around the 50 level, showing reduced volatility due to weekend conditions.
The first key resistance is at 0.03687. A breakout and confirmation above this level could support a long setup on ETH. However, the critical resistance sits at 0.03853 — which aligns with the pair’s overbought potential. Breaking and stabilizing above that level would likely trigger notable bullish continuation, but only if RSI enters the overbought zone as confirmation.
🧠 Since CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D recently rejected from 4.72% and Bitcoin has shown some support, Ethereum now holds a reliable floor that can be used for long setups once the specified resistances break. Two main scenarios are in play:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: We need a higher-timeframe candle close above key resistance, starting with $4,034, which also aligns with RSI’s 50-level resistance.
After that, spotting a multi-timeframe indecision candle could allow an entry with controlled risk.
Upon a confirmed break of the major resistance at $4,133, or signs of trend reversal, additional position size can be added.
Essentially, we require a higher low above $4,034, enabling formation of a higher high and eventual breakout through $4,133.
2️⃣ Scenario 2 : A short on ETH is less favorable due to strong buying interest at current levels and weaker risk-to-reward. However, if price breaks and confirms below the key support and maker-buyer zone, a deeper correction could follow.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Trade ideas
Ethereum Update📊 Current Setup
ETH is retesting a key resistance zone after that bounce, sitting around $4,050–4,100. This pocket’s acting like a supply zone — unless bulls come in stacked with momentum, we’re likely lookin’ at rejection.
🚦 Scenarios
👉 If rejection confirms, ETH could ride down toward the $3,750–3,800 support. That zone’s critical — not just short-term demand, but a big piece of ETH’s long-term trend structure.
👉 If bulls defend hard and flip the zone, we could be lookin’ at the base for a bigger recovery move.
👉 But if that support cracks, the midterm bearish tide deepens 🐻.
🧭 My Take
Right now it’s patience mode. Resistance looks heavy, and a short-term dip from here could be in play — but only with minimum exposure. Protect the bag first, ride the wave second 🌊.
💬 What do you think about this scenario? Only share your idea if you’ve got another opinion — otherwise just hit that button 👍
ETH/USDT – Weekly Support Retest Before ContinuationEthereum (ETH) on the 1W chart has pulled back to a key resistance-turned-support zone around 3,800 – 4,000 USDT. This level also aligns with the 50-week moving average, creating a strong liquidity and demand area.
After a sharp rally towards 4,800 USDT, the price is currently correcting and consolidating above support. As long as this zone holds, a bullish continuation towards higher targets is expected.
🔑 Key Idea
As long as ETH holds above the 3,800 – 4,000 USDT zone, upside momentum remains valid.
A breakdown below this level would invalidate the mid-term bullish scenario.
📈 Targets:
Target 1: 4,400 USDT
Target 2: 4,800 USDT
Target 3: 5,200 USDT
⛔ Stop Loss:
Below 3,600 USDT to limit downside risk if support fails.
ETH - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis - 27.09.25Welcome
Our warning of downside risk in the last analysis played out fast.
Here we count the ATH that we made in the last analysis as green and blue Wave 5 and white Wave 3 instead of an overshooting B Wave. Which way you count it doesn't make a difference in the short term and in terms of next targets to the downside.
We assume we are in the white Wave 4 correction which will finish soon within the red ABC. The support area of this Wave 4 is between the 0.236 FIB at 4059 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 3370 USD. We removed the 0.236 FIB from the Wave 4 support to keep the chart clearer.
On the smaller timeframe it looks as if we can go a bit lower in the red Wave C. The next targets for it would be the 1.382 FIB at 3798 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 3653 USD. This is also in confluence if you count the ATH as overshooting B Wave as we did in our last analysis (1.618 FIB target at 3705 USD) and additionally it is close to the 0.382 FIB of the Wave 4 support area which usually is a key support for a Wave 4.
After the correction finishes in the white Wave 4 we expect a rally that should take us above 5600 USD+.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Ethereum: Levels to WatchHi guys!
Ethereum is currently showing weakness after failing to break higher. The price is likely to retest the MPL zone around $3727, which also aligns with the long-term ascending trendline, making it a strong confluence support.
The pink area highlights a potential demand zone where buyers may step in. If the market confirms bullish signals in this area, a long position toward the descending trendline resistance could be considered. However, extra confirmations are recommended before entering long.
Summary:
Short-term target for shorts: $3727 (MPL plus trendline support).
Watch the pink zone for potential long entries, but wait for confirmation.
Let's see what will happen!
ETHUSDT 2DFollowing its recent rally, Ethereum has entered the critical $3,800 – $4,000 zone — a level that previously acted as a strong resistance and now serves as a key support area.
🔹 If price holds and consolidates above this level, the bullish momentum could extend toward $4,800 and $5,600, with long-term targets at $6,000 and $6,400.
🔹 However, a breakdown below $3,800 may trigger a deeper correction toward the $3,200 – $2,800 range.
This zone represents a decisive point for Ethereum, and its reaction here will determine the next major direction of the market.
Ethereum $ETH crypto trade idea using the weekly demand levelThere is an Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH crypto trade idea using the weekly demand at $3,872. This is a very similar crypto swing trade idea I recently shared with BitCoin. Let's see if it wants to rally for a couple of weeks. You can use the smaller timeframes to trade crypto intraday strategies or scalping strategies.
ETHEREUM ETHUSDT WEEKLY CHARTTHE WEEKLY chart of Ethereum is giving us currently a double top structure and the break of the neckline and the retest of the neckline will cause a clear break out from the current weekly support at $3,854.47$ holding seller from down swing.
the next support shout we breakout from the weekly support at $3.854.47$ will be around $3,229.40$ and final demand will be $2,309.76$
take profit is part of trading and the trend is still bullish.
#ethusd #ethereum.
Ethereum’s $4K Battle: What's Next?CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently retesting a strong support level on the weekly timeframe, previously acting as resistance, around the $4,000 mark.
If Ethereum holds this support, we could see a potential bounce back towards higher levels. However, if the price fails to hold, further downside may test lower support areas.
This could be a pivotal point for Ethereum’s next move, so monitoring this zone is essential for short- or long-term strategies.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
Last chance to hit Eth before new ATHWe’ve noticed that on the daily chart, whenever Ethereum reaches oversold conditions during an uptrend, it often presents a solid buying opportunity. Looking at the latest chart, you can see that the last two times this happened, they marked the bottom. Now, we’re testing the daily oversold zone for the third time after a while. To me, this signals that we’re on the right track to form a bottom and continue upward. Of course, if you decide to buy, the responsibility is entirely yours.
ETH/USDT -> Clear Head & Shoulders → bearish biasHello guys!
Pattern: obvious Head & Shoulders on the 4-hour. The neckline was taken out by a large bearish candle, which is a good confirmation of the breakdown.
Retest: price is testing the broken neckline/supply zone (blue box). The current action is a classic retest → if it gets rejected here again, probability favors more downside.
Target: the measured move projects into the red box; roughly ~$3,850 (range $3.7k–$3.9k depending on where you measure the neckline/head). This level also lines up with the last major resistance zone, so it’s a natural magnet.
Momentum: RSI showed divergence around the head and has dropped into oversold territory with a small relief bounce.
Invalidation: a clean, sustained reclaim and close back above the blue supply zone (above ~4.32–4.40k with conviction) would invalidate the immediate H&S bearish thesis and open the door for a deeper retrace.
-----------------------
A simple trade idea:
Short on a failed retest of the blue box (4.20–4.32k) after a bearish price candle.
Stop: just above the supply zone / last swing high.
Targets: scale profits into 3.9k then 3.8k (final target ~3.7–3.9k). Trail if price action turns constructive.
Manage risk: keep position sizing sensible.
Ethereum Price Hits 6-Week Low, But Here Lies An OpportunityAt press time, Ethereum is trading at $3,938, attempting to establish $3,910 as a support floor. This decline marks a crucial break below the $4,000 level, highlighting short-term weakness.
Given current signals, ETH may remain rangebound under $4,074 resistance until stronger bullish cues emerge. Market sentiment suggests consolidation rather than sharp recovery, keeping investors cautious.
However, if Ethereum flips $4,074 into support, a push toward $4,222 could follow. This move would require investor participation and sustained inflows to counter bearish momentum, ultimately invalidating the short-term negative outlook.
$ETH - Bounce Back or Break Down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT | 3d
Ethereum has experienced a roughly 13% decline over the past week, primarily due to deleveraging triggered by shifting expectations around rate cuts. The chart indicates that each time the price tests a previous high for the second time, it tends to decline in a bearish retest.
The $3800 level is a critical support zone. If this support holds, it could pave the way for a rally, potentially retesting the $4800–$5000 range.
However, a break below $3,800 could lead to further declines, targeting the $3500–$3200 zone. In a more bearish scenario, a drop to $2600–$2400 is possible.
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Are Being Wiped Out | Bullish AF!The pressure from sellers continues, which is not giving us any clear signs of recovery yet to take place. Despite that, we are still in a bull market, so we have not switched the narrative to being in a bear market (not yet).
ETH is having a similar pattern to BTC when it was forming new ATHs: a strong liquidity grab and dips near previous ATHs before just breaking out and forming new ATHs.
Expecting ETH to follow the pattern so we keep on looking for that new ATH!
Swallow Academy
Ethereum Tests $3,900 Support as Bulls Defend Critical Support Ethereum (ETH/USDT) has faced notable selling pressure in recent days, bringing price action down to test a high-confluence support region at $3,900. This area, sitting directly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP support, will play a decisive role in whether ETH resumes its uptrend or enters a deeper correction phase. Traders are closely watching this level to gauge short-term momentum and potential longer-term implications.
Key Technical Points
- Support Test: Ethereum is holding at $3,900, confluenced by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP support.
- Upside Potential: A higher low at this level could reignite bullish continuation toward new highs.
- Downside Risk: A breakdown exposes ETH to a deeper correction toward $3,454.
The correction over the past few days has erased some of Ethereum’s recent gains, but the structure remains broadly bullish as long as $3,900 holds. Historically, the 0.618 retracement has often served as a springboard for continuation moves during trending markets, making this level technically significant.
From a structural perspective, the bullish thesis rests on the establishment of a higher low at $3,900. If confirmed, Ethereum could resume its upward trajectory, building momentum toward key resistance zones. However, the alternative scenario of losing this level would signal deeper weakness, opening the door to a correction down to $3,454, where the next liquidity pool resides.
Ethereum’s movement has mirrored the broader market correction, but relative strength has kept the macro structure intact. On-chain activity, coupled with demand for ETH in DeFi and staking protocols, continues to provide a supportive backdrop. Still, the next few daily closes around this support region will be decisive.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action
If Ethereum holds the $3,900 confluence level, expect the market to build a higher low, setting the stage for bullish continuation. A sustained close below this level, however, would trigger a deeper retracement toward $3,454, where bulls would need to regroup.
Ethereum Analysis – Climbing Step by Step🚀 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Analysis
📌 The purple line shows my own projection.
📌 The small rectangles represent a steady, step-by-step growth in price.
📌 This structure on the chart indicates that the market is gathering strength at certain levels before moving higher.
✨ In short, the market seems to be recharging with corrections and getting ready for new highs.
👉 Target zones are marked above. Let’s see if my projection plays out!
💡 Do you think this scenario will happen? Or will the price take another path?
Ethereum. Watching the 3,880–4,060 Zone: Setup for a New ATH?Hi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The price has entered the 3,880–4,060 range — the scenario I was waiting for in the related post.
The September 25 seller candle is an IC candle and shows the highest volume since August 22.
And with September — typically a weak month for asset growth — coming to an end, we watch closely.
On the daily timeframe, the price is in a sideways range. The black lines mark the boundaries of this range. We’re waiting for the price to return back inside, absorb the seller’s candle that broke the lower boundary, and then it will be possible to look for buy setups targeting a new local ATH.
Wishing you profitable trades!
ETHEREUM → False breakout of 4100. Panic?BINANCE:ETHUSDT is forming a false breakout of resistance on the daily chart, formed by the ATH of the previous bullish cycle - 4100. Closing below this level could cause panic in the market...
Bitcoin looks weak, consolidating below 114K. There was an attempt at a rally, but the news broke the structure and the cryptocurrency market is forming a downward correction, testing intermediate lows.
Ethereum broke the support of the trading range and entered the panic zone - below 4065. The market may fight for this zone, and as part of the correction, the price may test the 4065-4120 area, but if ETH closes below resistance, it could trigger a price drop within the current bearish cycle to 3880-3715.
Resistance levels: 4065, 4120, 4206
Support levels: 3880: 3715, 3370
On D1, the structure is weak, the price breaks through 4100-4090 and consolidates in the sales zone. Everyone who bought above 4100 can now start active sales due to the activation of stop orders, panic, fear, and the reversal of their positions. If the market does not receive support (bullish driver), the correction may continue. The nearest target is 3878 - 3715 7 3400
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Eth Macro tradeBased on Elliott Wave I believe a new high is quite possible, and based on another trading method the shown seem like reasonable levels to go long, especially if we get that larger wave 4 in the local price action. Wait for the wave 4 (we are on larger 4 of 5 (unless previous rally was a 3)