ETH Elliott Wave - WXY Correction Complete soon!This chart analyzes Ethereum (ETHUSD) at the conclusion phase of a major WXY corrective structure, highlighting the technical environment for a new impulsive wave sequence. Price action is assessed using multiple technical indicators:
Elliott Wave Structure: The chart maps a completed 1-2-3-4-5 impulse, followed by W–X–Y corrective waves. The final Y leg approaches the critical Point 4 support, maintaining overall cycle validity and setting the stage for significant trend reversal once completed.
Ichimoku Cloud: ETH price is currently testing the lower bounds of the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a major support zone. A close above the cloud would further validate trend reversal; a breakdown would signal extended bearish pressure.
Volume Profile: Recent sessions show a spike in trading volume as price approaches historical support levels, indicating potential capitulation and increased probability of trend exhaustion.
Fibonacci Retracement: Key supports are identified at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels, with the 38.2% zone (around $3,600) as a strong candidate for final Y wave completion based on confluence with cloud and momentum indicators.
RSI and Stochastic RSI: Both relative strength oscillators are in oversold territory, consistent with the final stages of a corrective structure. A bullish crossover or RSI divergence would strengthen the reversal thesis.
CVO/OBV: Volume-based momentum indicators confirm heavy participation during the latter stages of the sell-off, validating the probability of a strong bounce once buyers re-enter.
Scenario Outlook:
The analysis anticipates that, upon completion of the WXY correction—ideally above the Point 4 support (roughly $3,350)—Ethereum is set for a new impulsive uptrend as part of the final bull market rally. The setup favors strategic accumulation in the defined support zones, with projected upside targets ranging from previous all-time highs (~$4,950) to extended Fibonacci projections should the market move through a classical 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave.
