If you look at the S&P500 index ( TVC:SPX ) chart, you find that it has reached, and even surpassed, the previous high at 3393.5 which occurred just before the CV19 drop in March 2020. The last close on 31 December 2020 was at 3760. However, many attribute the recent V-shaped recovery to the Quantitative Easing scheme by the Federal Reserve, which makes a lot of...
Dividing SPX by the money supply (M2) removes distortions caused by changes in the supply of money (dollars). (1) Now, suddenly the skyrocketing SPX surge following the Covid crater isn't so insane, in fact, it has yet to recover to pre-Covid levels! Dividing by M2 arguably gives a more realistic view of equities, revealing the % of money out there that people are...
We're at a major resistence level here on the S&P when M2 is taken in to consideration, going back to 2002. We're looking at S&P Futures divided by M2, and as you can see, this looks like the end of the road, folks. One thing is certain, whatever happens next for markets is going to be epic...
This is a VERY long term outlook on the market. Shown is from pre-DotCom bubble. This is relationship of SPX to M2 money supply. There isn't a more straightforward relationship than this. People comparing the current market to the DotCom bubble are actually only halfway there in this respect. We might be disconnected from reality right now but in this figure its...
We are close to historic Price Levels for the SPX/M2. If we break above this level, this will give the SPX much room to grow even further in relation to expanding M2 in the coming years.
Exciting to watch!
Schwab's real estate (RE) ETF SCHH, (1) looks poised for at least 20% growth to reach its pre-Covid inflation-adjusted status, shown in the lower BLUE trend. Because M2 has been so extremely inflated post-Covid, (2) you really have to control for its expected distortion of equity prices. The GOLD-colored trend is SCHH unadjusted. There aren't too many unfinished...
Refer to my earlier post, linked down below and titled "BTC Valuation Adjusted for ....", for more reference.
By the way, for a more realistic near term outlook (which goes on to show why we cannot go 10x from here immediately), refer to my post titled "BTCUSD Historical Perspective", which is also linked down below.
Hey fellow traders,
So my custom ticker formula is BTCUSD*DXY/M2. So this boils down to:
Multiplying BTCUSD by Dollar Strength Index
Dividing by M2 (The total number of dollars in circulation)
Let's examine WHY we are doing this. When DXY is falling, the US Dollar is losing value, which prompts commodities or alternative investments like Bitcoin, to...
#Inflation is cool if you are close to the money printers.
I am directly attached to crypto money printers
(a form of mining)
by buying #HEX shares in the savings pool.
No need to #trade
(but you could with a small % of your stack)
USDTRY with valued for the number of US dollars printed over the last months. By dividing USDTRY by M2 (money supply), I believe we can get a valuation that respects inflation.
Now we have to pay attention to the yellow trend-line and how the price action plays against that.
Looking at the Silver to M2 Money Supply you can clearly see when the ratio bottomed and subsequently broke the preceding downtrend the silver price broke out and had significant booms.
If you take a calculated and measured move from silver's previously significant breakout and overlay to today's market you could conceivably see $60 silver by end 2023, and $200...
I'm currently taking a long position on the United States M1 And M2 money supplies. I'm not really sure how to actually take a position though, but it's good to know that if our country needs more money we can just print it because USD is the Dave and Buster's token of the World Bank.
See you Apes on the moon.