M2 consists of small-denomination time deposits >$100K - less IRA and Keogh balances at Institutions.
Balances in retail MMFs - less IRA and Keogh balances at MMFs.
M2: Savings Deposits, Small-Denomination Time Deposits, Retail Money Market Funds, + M1.
In Sum, Consumer Economic activity and...
The squeeze is on, as M@V declines, there will be a Point of Recognition
when the average consumer sees Food Prices as a RISK.
At that time in the not too distant future, they will begin to spend and hoard
We are approaching the point at which on a percentage basis - this has occurred
The panic Point throughout History has been...
Unmistakable Distro Pattern.
Rotations are short lived.
FED Purchasing Arms have reversal Fills on for decline while ATH after ATH
is forced higher on decreasing Volumes.
We have 35,912 to 36,737 as potential Highs for YM - Probability is Neutral
for now, the overthrow would not hold and requires a quick and dirty move
The throw overs are common at...
The explanation will be broken into several parts below:
You see what I see. M1/M2 Velocity collapsing while Fiscal Policies become far more
extreme in nature.
Profile and Structure are comprised of a great many observable metrics.
Volumes are wafer thin. Gamma squeezes are, on balance, failing.
Calls are what has driven volume, Stops at levels are being used...
looks like a local top and possible global deflationary environment ahead for the next year or so.
hedge with cash and bonds might be best bet but I would not personally short the market.
Tip: Indicator needs to be improved by normalizing the data from various indices before averaging(not done in graph above)
#Inflation is cool if you are close to the money printers.
I am directly attached to crypto money printers
(a form of mining)
by buying #HEX shares in the savings pool.
No need to #trade
(but you could with a small % of your stack)
Looking at M2 it looks incredibly Inflationary but where exactly is that Inflation? So I had to dig deeper, if you look at M2V, the Velocity of M2 or in easier terms, the number of times that the average unit of currency is used to purchase goods and services within a given time period, you will notice a sharp decline in M2V accelerated by the pandemic crisis. Now...
Hier zie je de DXY , de Velocity vs de Money Supply tegen de Bitcoin koers in een chart.
Hyperinflatie indicator? Wanneer de omloop snelheid weer toeneemt?
De blauwe lijn is de Velocity of Money de omloop, M2Ve.
De rode lijn is de Money Stock Total Money Supply for United States.
Goud gele chart.
Bitcoin paarse chart.
De Velocity daalt - omloop...
Hey y'all, Somebody care to explain the anomaly of 2020 here?
This has never happened in the 40 years of data here, maybe it happened sometime before. What has the FED f up now? And what does it mean? As I see it either the dollar gives up and goes full kenukistan, or GDP Goes down again. They can also try to print this s away, however it seems that by printing...
Hi everyone, I am doing some self study and have created the graph above.
using the equation of exchange M*V=P*Y I have calculated 1/Y.
M = Money Supply
V = Money Velocity
P = Price (S&P index value)
Y = Real Output/Value
Keeping the above in mind I calculate 1/Y (inverse because chart is easier to look at)
1/Y = 1/(M*V/P)
Adjusted Value =...
Inflation: Persistent growth of the price level of a basket of selected goods.
Deflation: Fall in overall prices in an economy. Increase in purchasing power of the currency.
From deflation to hyperinflation, the historical route:
1. Central authority inflates paper assets, i.e. bonds, stocks and derivatives. Effect is capital inflow from real economy into paper...