Navigating Markets During Record-Low U.S. Consumer Sentiment US consumer sentiment has registered its lowest point in history.
Looking closer, its last three readings were below the 50 level: 49.8 in April, 44.8 in May, and 49.5 in June.
Since the 1950s, consumer sentiment has stayed generally above the 80 level around 45% of the time, and above the 100 l
Indicator info
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is a monthly survey-based metric measuring US consumer confidence, tracking how households view their own personal finances and the broader macroeconomic environment. The survey asks consumers to evaluate their income expectations, purchasing intentions, and inflation outlook. Because consumer spending accounts for roughly 70% of the US GDP, macro traders and economists view this index as a crucial leading indicator; high sentiment often presages robust retail sales, while a sharp drop can signal impending pullbacks in discretionary spending and rising recession risks.
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Timing the Markets with Consumer SentimentBusinesses and producers around the world always cheer when U.S. consumer sentiment is in the 80 to 100 zone, as U.S. consumers play a big part in the global economic ecosystem.
The United States remains the largest consumer market in the world, but since the pandemic, this index has not recovered a
University of Michigan Consumer sentiment indexPersonal notes of the leading economic indicator.
Any read below 60 is generally negative for the markets.
The last major read at this level was in the 08 fallout.
The most recent read is an all time low.
Incurs a Negative bias for the wider market.
However only a good read for durable goods.
Consumer Sentiment / Without Question - C R A S H Dead AheadThe Greatest Bubble in History is unwinding with fits and starts.
Economic Conditions Globally - within the lower 3% Historically.
Multiples for Equities - within the Highest 4% Historically in very
Real Terms.
Monetary & Fiscal Excess - The Greatest in History, bar none.
100% Assured:
Reality
Consumer Sentiment's Role in Long-Term Buying Opportunities Consumer Sentiment is just one tool for investors to use when choosing whether to buy, sell, add, or trim stocks. But it can be a very useful tool, especially when markets are heavily skewed in one direction as they appear to be today.
There have only been four (the three breaches during the 08 cr
Consumer Sentiment - 10 AM ESTThe 007s are back, we know full well what that means.
Gap to Trap the Safety Trade Baggies again.
They never learn.
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CDs - 3/6 Months @ 2.10 and 2.20, Yr @ 3.30, 4/5Yr @ 3.40....
If ya believe, load the woodshed.
Prior to making the same mis
UMICH - CONsumer SentimentNo worries Mates and Shelia's - this is bottoming.
It's down under, so far down under it's Alice Springs
under with a dash of ET tossed in for good measure.
A "Turnaround" ?
Ozzy Man Reviews: What is a Turnaround?
search Youtube...
You'll get the idea of how "Top and Bottom" promoting works ou
Clearly Recession Again as in 08We are already now in, yet another recession, similar to 2008. Consumer sentiment doesn't move the market (SPX), but it does accurately reflect what the working class is experiencing. Prepare yourself & your family, if you have not done so already. It may be years until we push through past, all the
Consumer Confidence & US2YRFor my records.
Federal Reserve is hiking rates when consumer sentiment is at one of the lowest in history. First time in history they hike with consumer sentiment at these level, they used to cut rates in the past. Recession, or a possible depression, is highly likely in 2022~2023
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