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Unemployment Rate Danger Zone🚨 The Unemployment Inflection Point Investors Ignore This chart isn’t about high unemployment. It’s about the turn. Across post-war history, U.S. recessions don’t start when unemployment is elevated. They start when unemployment: • bottoms • stops improving • begins to rise from a low base Those red markers indicate the same pattern has been repeating for over 70+ years. Why the inflection matters Unemployment is a lagging indicator — but its rate of change isn’t. When unemployment turns up: • Hiring freezes appear first • margins compress next • credit demand weakens • earnings expectations lag reality By the time job losses are obvious, markets have already repriced. The current setup Unemployment remains historically low — precisely when investors feel safest. But the trend has turned. That’s the danger zone. Markets don’t break when conditions look bad. They break when they stop getting better. Investor takeaway This isn’t a timing tool. It’s a risk-regime signal. Historically, this inflection has preceded: • higher volatility • weaker earnings • tighter financial conditions Low unemployment = low risk. Watch the direction. Not the level. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
FRED:UNRATELong
by RealMacro
6
DOUBLE NFP REPORT this Tuesday, December 16This Tuesday, December 16, the United States will exceptionally publish two NFP reports simultaneously — those for October and November — due to the delay caused by the recent federal shutdown. This double publication will be the last major macroeconomic event of the year 2025, and potentially one of the most decisive for the Federal Reserve’s monetary outlook as 2026 approaches. These figures attract heightened attention because the U.S. unemployment rate is already at 4.4%, a level with heavy implications. This threshold is far from trivial: it corresponds exactly to the alert level the Fed included in its own median scenario for 2026, as shown in the official projections released at the last FOMC. In other words, the U.S. economy has reached today the unemployment rate the Fed expected to be acceptable… one year from now. This quicker-than-anticipated deterioration now makes employment the key factor of the coming months. Under normal circumstances, a single NFP report is often enough to reorient market expectations. This time, the pressure is multiplied: the double publication will provide a two-month panorama of labor-market dynamics, with immediate influence over the timing of the monetary policy decisions in January and March 2026. While inflation has partly normalized but remains uneven across components, the Fed now depends primarily on the labor market to assess whether a monetary easing is warranted. If both reports show a marked slowdown in net job creation — or even a contraction — the Fed will face a clear risk: a sharper-than-expected labor-market landing, implying a faster reduction of the federal funds rate as early as January, or at least a communication shift toward preventive support for economic activity. A rapid rise in unemployment, while core inflation is not yet fully stabilized, would be both politically and macroeconomically difficult to manage. Conversely, if job creation remains robust — around 120–150k per month — and if the unemployment rate stabilizes or declines slightly, the Fed may maintain a cautious stance, preferring to wait until March before adjusting its policy. In this scenario, the central bank could argue that the 4.4% threshold has not been durably exceeded and that labor-market tensions remain compatible with an orderly disinflation trajectory. In any case, the December 16 publication will serve as a major pivot for bond markets, rate expectations, and all assets sensitive to the macroeconomic cycle. In summary, it is likely the most decisive indicator of the end of the year, as it will determine whether the Fed’s newly published 2026 scenario remains credible — or requires adjustment. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
FRED:UNRATE
by Swissquote
Could we see US Unemployment Rates hitting 18% by Sep 2026 Could we see US Unemployment Rates hitting 18% by Sep 2026 (in less than a year) There are a combination of factors working together that could spike the unemployment in USA & globally like:- - The AI revolution, & Aggressive Adoption of Automation - The ongoing Trade Wars - USA at the epicenter - High Interest Rates → Slower Business Expansion - Weak Small Business Confidence - Small businesses contribute 40%+ of US jobs. - Tech Sector Layoff Loop - Even giants like Google, Amazon, and Meta have slowed hiring or are conducting small, continuous layoffs. The technical structure also suggests, something big will happen soon that will create chaos in the US labor market - only time will tell ...............Checkout the chart.................
FRED:UNRATEEducation
by Nadia_farhat
Shutdown: Is Friday’s October 3 NFP Report at Risk?The shutdown that began on October 1 in the United States could disrupt the release of key economic data. The highly anticipated jobs report (NFP), scheduled for October 3, may be suspended or delayed if the federal government remains closed. This uncertainty could weigh on financial markets already seeking clarity. The fourth trading quarter began this week, and investors are projecting October’s trend as the S&P 500 delivered a solid bullish performance in Q3. First-tier fundamentals are driving the major market moves, particularly those affecting the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. As every first Friday of the month, the US labor market report (NFP) is scheduled for this week, Friday, October 3. This macroeconomic figure is the dominant fundamental driver of the week. Let’s recall that the Fed cut the federal funds rate in September as the US economy created almost no jobs in the past five months. 1. The US labor market has been slowing significantly since the beginning of the year, with the Fed’s alert threshold set at 4.5% unemployment The main chart (top of page) shows the US unemployment rate, which is trending higher. In its latest macroeconomic projections, the Fed indicated that its unemployment “alert level” is 4.5% of the labor force. Friday’s NFP (October 3) will update this unemployment rate, currently at 4.3%. Any uptick would significantly increase the probability of a jumbo Fed cut at the October 29 monetary policy meeting. The charts below (source: Bloomberg) illustrate the gradual deterioration of the US labor market: 2. At this stage and before the NFP, the probability of a jumbo Fed cut on Wednesday, October 29 is minimal A jumbo Fed cut means lowering the federal funds rate by 50 basis points (0.50%). Only further deterioration in the labor market revealed in the October 3 NFP report could raise the probability of such a scenario. The table below, from the CME Fed Watch Tool, shows the implied probability of Fed action at its upcoming policy meetings: DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
FRED:UNRATE
by Swissquote
NFP report for Thursday July 3, the crucial figure of the weekBeware this week for stock market fundamentals, as it's a special week. Friday, July 4 is an Independence Day holiday in the United States. On July 4, 1776, the Continental Congress adopted the Declaration of Independence, a text drafted principally by Thomas Jefferson, which proclaimed that the 13 American colonies had officially separated from the United Kingdom. For this first week of July on the stock market, this has a direct impact on the US fundamentals update. As you may know, it's the first Friday of every month that the US NFP report is updated, which is the monthly report on the US labor market. Consequently, this particular week sees the publication of the NFP report brought forward from Friday July 4 to Thursday July 3. It is therefore the stock market session on Thursday July 3 that will be the fundamental highlight of the week, with the NFP report likely to have a strong influence on the FED's monetary policy decision on Wednesday July 30. 1) The probability of the FED cutting its rate on Wednesday July 30 is just 21% At this stage, and following last Friday's US PCE inflation update, the probability of the FED resuming the cut in the federal funds rate is just over 20%. Despite the strong pressure exerted by Donald Trump on Jerome Powell's FED, the FOMC (the FED's monetary policy committee) is in no hurry to cut rates in the face of the risk of a rebound in inflation caused by tariffs. Last week, we offered you a fundamental analysis of the FED, which you can reread by clicking on the image below. 2) The US labor market seems to be starting to deteriorate according to the continuing weekly jobless claims In reality, there is only one fundamental factor that could allow the FED rate to be cut at the monetary meeting on Wednesday July 30: a deterioration in the labor market with the NFP report figures on Thursday July 3. It's true that the latest updates on ongoing weekly US jobless claims show an increasingly negative dynamic which could end up feeding the US unemployment rate higher. 3) Beware, the slightest upward tick in the US unemployment rate when the NFP report is updated on Thursday July 3 could accelerate the FED's timetable for resuming the US federal funds rate Keep in mind that the FED is pursuing two major objectives: inflation under control at around 2% and low unemployment. The FED's alert threshold is currently 4.4% of the labor force, and the consensus for the NFP report update of Thursday July 3 is 4.3% of the labor force. CAUTION therefore: if the US unemployment rate makes 1 or 2 upward ticks this Thursday, the probability of a FED rate cut on Wednesday July 30 will rise sharply. This is the fundamental highlight of the week. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
FRED:UNRATE
by Swissquote
Trade war & NFP in focus this weekSeveral fundamental factors will have a strong impact on financial markets in this first week of June, as uncertainty surrounding the trade war remains high. However, there was some good news last Friday, with US PCE inflation continuing to move towards the Fed's target despite tariffs. This week, two fundamental factors are under close scrutiny: US labor market figures (NFP report) and, of course, as every week, the current phase of trade diplomacy. 1) US PCE inflation is still trending towards 2% and is not rebounding despite the trade war US inflation and employment are the two key variables for considering a resumption of the decline in the federal funds rate, with Trump receiving Powell at the White House at the end of last week. However, the Fed has reiterated its independence and the future direction of its monetary policy will continue to be guided by specific macroeconomic objectives: bringing inflation back to 2% and neutralizing any rise in unemployment. Good news! Last Friday's update on US inflation according to the PCE price index showed that tariffs did not cause inflation to rise in April. On the contrary, the nominal inflation rate is now 2.1% and core inflation is 2.5%. Disinflation therefore seems set to continue in the US despite the tariffs, but this still needs to be confirmed. 2) The market does not expect any rate cuts before September Despite these good PCE inflation figures for April (PCE being the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) and pressure on the Fed from the Trump administration, the market does not expect the federal funds rate to resume its downward trend before the monetary policy decision in September. The debate remains open for the July 30 monetary policy meeting, so the upcoming updates on US employment (NFP report) and inflation will have a decisive impact. 3) The NFP report on Friday, June 6, will be crucial this week! In this first week of June, the US labor market will be the fundamental highlight of the week. All US employment statistics will be updated, with the NFP report on Friday, June 6 being the most important. While it appears that the trade war has not yet pushed inflation up, what about the labor market? Remember that the US unemployment rate is 4.2% of the labor force and that the Fed's alert threshold is 4.4% of the labor force. If it turns out that US companies have had to lay off workers due to the economic uncertainty linked to the trade war, this could accelerate the upcoming schedule for lowering US federal funds rates. Finally, remember that the market is hoping for a phone call between Trump and the Chinese president to finally reach a trade agreement between China and the US. This is a fundamental thread to follow every day on the stock market. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
FRED:UNRATE
by Swissquote
Federal Reserve is Behind the Curve, Recession is 100% CONFIRMEDHello everyone, The federal reserve has kept interest rates at near zero and printed the MOST money in US history back in 2020 and this has caused one of the worst inflation in 40 years. Jerome Powell decided to fight inflation by giving us the fastest rate raising campaign in history. He has kept rates too high for too long and we are now guaranteed a recession. Jerome Powell will find himself in a position to cut rates very fast due to the cracks in the job market. It is already too late we will be witnessing a huge spike in unemployment. Who knows how high this can go, back in 1929 unemployment hit 24.9%.
FRED:UNRATE
by justaturboman44