GBPJPY DroppingGBPJPY on the H4 timeframe is showing a clear corrective structure after a strong impulsive move, with price rejecting from a recent swing high and rolling over toward a well-defined demand and liquidity zone that previously acted as a strong institutional reaction area. The current market behavior reflects weakening bullish momentum, failed continuation highs, and increasing selling pressure, which supports a controlled pullback toward equilibrium before the next directional decision. Fundamentally, GBP remains exposed to slowing UK economic momentum, cautious Bank of England guidance, and sensitivity to inflation and labor data, while JPY continues to gain underlying strength from Bank of Japan policy normalization, tighter yield differentials, and persistent safe-haven demand during risk-off sentiment. With liquidity resting below current price, volatility expansion visible, and smart money positioning favoring a retracement, the technical structure and macro backdrop align for further downside into demand, where a high-probability reaction or deeper continuation will define the next profitable opportunity.
British Pound / Japanese Yen
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What traders are saying
๏ปฟLingrid | GBPJPY Channel Break Triggers AccelerationFX:GBPJPY remains supported above the rising trendline after printing consecutive higher lows, suggesting buyers may still be in control of the structure. Price is compressing beneath the upper boundary of the ascending channel while holding above the previous weekly high area, a zone that could act as a springboard. The recent pullback looks corrective, with no decisive bearish follow-through so far.
If price continues to respect the 212.35 support, momentum could expand toward the 214.00 resistance, where the higher-timeframe supply converge. A confirmed push through this ceiling may trigger acceleration, as liquidity above recent highs remains untested.
โก๏ธ Primary scenario: hold above 212.35 โ continuation toward 214.00
โ ๏ธ Risk scenario: sustained acceptance below 211.30 may weaken the bullish channel and delay upside expansion
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. Iโm excited to read your thoughts!
Bullish Ascending Channel with Upside ContinuationThis is a GBP/JPY 1-hour chart showing a strong uptrend inside an ascending channel. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, clearly respecting the channel structure. After a period of range consolidation, the pair broke upward and continued bullish momentum. The Ichimoku Cloud is mostly below price, acting as dynamic support, which confirms trend strength. A small pullback is visible near the mid-channel, but overall structure remains bullish, with a projected upside target around the 216.00 resistance zone, as marked on the chart.
GBPJPY Will Fall From Resistance LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis ๐
๐ขThis Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
๐ขWhat is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
๐ขhow to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/JPY | Next targets (READ THE CAPTION)GBPJPY has swept the major liquidity pool and then dropped, now being traded at 214.65. I don't expect to go lower that much, I believe it'll go higher relatively soon, considering the Bullish Breaker and the fact that GBPJPY has already hit the Bullish Breaker high.
Targets: 214.67, 214.76, 214.85 and 214.94.
GBP/JPY | Up and down (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the hourly chart of GBPJPY, we can see that after yesterday's drop, it didn't go lower than the 212.13 to sweep the liquidity below and by hitting the Feb 2nd NWOG High, it bounced back up and it is being traded at 212.66.
If it holds up above the Feb 6th NDOG, I believe it can go up to 213.00.
Targets for GBPJPY: 212.75, 212.85 and 212.95.
If it fails: 212.50, 212.40, 212.30 and 212.20.
GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 214.025.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 212.824 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/JPY Upside Scenario | Technical & Macro Alignment๐ GBP/JPY "THE DRAGON" - BULLISH SWING/DAY TRADE SETUP | Thief Trader Strategy ๐ฏ
๐ MARKET OVERVIEW
Asset: GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) - "The Dragon" ๐
Market: Forex - Major Cross Pair
Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade Opportunity
Bias: BULLISH ๐
Strategy: Thief Layering Method + Moving Average Pullback Confirmation โ
๐ฏ TRADE PLAN BREAKDOWN
๐ Entry Strategy - "Thief Layering Method"
The Thief Strategy utilizes multiple limit orders (layering/DCA style) to build positions at strategic levels. This approach minimizes risk while maximizing entry opportunities during pullbacks.
๐ Multiple Buy Limit Layers:
๐น Layer 1: 210.000
๐น Layer 2: 210.500
๐น Layer 3: 211.000
๐น Layer 4: 211.500
๐น Layer 5: 212.000
Note: You can add more layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale in gradually as price pulls back to your levels! ๐ฐ
๐ฏ Take Profit Target
TP: 217.000 ๐
โ ๏ธ Police Force Zone Alert! Strong resistance + overbought conditions + bull trap potential exists near this level. Secure profits wisely! Lock in gains and don't get greedy - the market rewards those who escape with the bag! ๐ผโจ
Dear Thief OG's: This is MY target, but YOUR money = YOUR rules! Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Trade at your own risk! ๐
๐ Stop Loss
SL: 209.500 ๐จ
Protect your capital like a professional thief protects the loot! Set your stop loss below key support to avoid unnecessary losses.
Dear Thief OG's: This is MY stop loss level. You can adjust based on YOUR risk management and trading plan. Remember: Survival > Being Right! ๐ก๏ธ
๐ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
โ
Bullish Plan Confirmed via Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback
โ
Price showing bounce from support zone
โ
Higher lows forming - bullish momentum building ๐
โ
Trend continuation pattern identified
โ
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (approximately 1:3+) ๐ฒ
๐ฑ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
Understanding correlated pairs helps you confirm your directional bias and avoid overexposure!
Positive Correlation (Move Together):
๐ฌ๐ง GBP/USD โ If Cable rises, GBP/JPY likely follows (GBP strength)
๐ช๐บ EUR/JPY โ Similar JPY weakness dynamics
๐ฆ๐บ AUD/JPY โ Risk-on sentiment indicator
Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite):
๐บ๐ธ USD/JPY โ If rising, confirms JPY weakness (bullish for GBP/JPY)
๐ด JPY Index (DXY inverse) โ Watch Yen strength/weakness
Key Dollar Pairs for Context:
๐ต GBP/USD (Cable): Shows pure GBP strength vs USD
๐ต EUR/USD: Risk sentiment gauge for European currencies
๐ต DXY (Dollar Index): Overall USD strength measurement
๐ Key Point: If GBP/USD is bullish AND USD/JPY is bullish = DOUBLE confirmation for GBP/JPY upside! ๐๐
๐ FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (Real-Time Considerations)
๐ฌ๐ง GBP (British Pound) Drivers:
โ
Bank of England (BoE) Policy Stance:
BoE maintaining restrictive rates to combat inflation
UK inflation showing resilience vs Europe
Rate cut expectations pushed further into 2025
โ
UK Economic Data to Watch:
๐ UK GDP Growth Reports
๐ UK Employment/Wage Data
๐ UK Retail Sales & Consumer Confidence
๐ญ UK PMI (Manufacturing & Services)
Recent Context (Check Latest Updates!): UK economy showing resilience, wage growth remains elevated, supporting hawkish BoE stance = GBP strength potential ๐ช
๐ฏ๐ต JPY (Japanese Yen) Drivers:
โ ๏ธ Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy:
BoJ exiting ultra-loose policy but SLOWLY
Yield curve control adjustments ongoing
JPY remains sensitive to risk sentiment
Interest rate differential vs other majors = JPY weakness
โ
Japan Economic Data to Watch:
๐ Japan CPI & Inflation Data
๐ Japan GDP Reports
๐ฆ BoJ Policy Meetings & Governor Ueda Statements
๐ Tokyo Core CPI (leading indicator)
Recent Context (Check Latest Updates!): BoJ moving toward normalization but lagging other central banks = continued JPY weakness vs higher-yielding currencies ๐
๐ Global Risk Sentiment:
๐ Risk-On Environment = JPY weakness (funds flow to higher-yielding assets)
๐ Risk-Off Environment = JPY strength (safe-haven flows)
๐ฏ Current Sentiment: Monitor global equity markets & VIX volatility
๐
UPCOMING KEY EVENTS TO WATCH:
๐ Always check economic calendar before trading!
Bank of England Interest Rate Decisions & MPC Votes
UK Inflation Reports (CPI/PPI)
Bank of Japan Policy Meetings
Japan Inflation Data
Global Risk Events (Geopolitics, Fed Decisions impacting risk sentiment)
โก Pro Tip: Avoid holding positions through high-impact news unless you're comfortable with volatility! ๐ข
๐ THIEF TRADER WISDOM & MOTIVATION:::::
๐ "The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." - Warren Buffett
๐ "In trading, the amateur acts on hope; the professional acts on probabilities." - Thief OG Mindset
๐ฅ "Plan the trade, trade the plan, and steal profits like a professional!"
๐ "Patience, discipline, and risk management - the holy trinity of profitable trading!"
๐ฐ "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered. Take profits when you can!"
๐ฏ "Success is not about being right 100% of the time; it's about cutting losses fast and letting winners run!"
๐ก๏ธ "Your capital is your lifeline - protect it at ALL costs!"
โ ๏ธ RISK DISCLAIMER
YOUR MONEY = YOUR RULES = YOUR RESPONSIBILITY ๐ฏ
๐ฌ FINAL WORDS
The Dragon is awakening! ๐๐ฅ Will you join the hunt or watch from the sidelines? The setup is clean, the levels are marked, and the plan is solid. Now it's YOUR turn to execute with discipline!
Remember: Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and most importantly - stay profitable! ๐ช๐ฐ
๐ฌ Let's Connect!
๐ฅ Like this idea? Smash that LIKE button! ๐
๐ข Want more? Drop a FOLLOW for daily setups! ๐
๐ญ Questions? Comment below - let's discuss! ๐จ๏ธ
๐ Turn on notifications so you never miss a Dragon setup! ๐
๐ Happy Hunting, Thief OG's! ๐
GBP/JPY Bearish Confirmed , Short Setup To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on GBP/JPY , We Have A Fake Breakout and also clear Stop Hunt which is take all stop losses above my res area before going to downside very hard , it`s a clear action from market makers , and now the price Back below my old res with amazing bearish candle and we have a very good bearish Price Action on 2 And 4 Hours T.F Also the price playing very good around my res and i`m waiting the price to retest the broken area and giving me a good bearish price action on smaller time frames to can get a confirmation to enter From the first area for sell and if the price moved more to upside i will enter from second area , So i see it`s a good chance to sell this pair if it go up a little to retest the broken area and then we can sell it and targeting 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again above my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Breakout .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4 - Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
5- The Price Respect The Res Again .
British Pound / Japanese Yen GBPJPY SHORT IDEA 4HGBPJPY โ SHORT Idea on the 4H Timeframe
While GBPJPY has traded above this area in the past, the 2008 high around 216 remains a key historical resistance, marking an extreme zone where the market previously failed to sustain acceptance on higher timeframes.
Price is now approaching this region again after a strong and accelerated bullish leg, leaving the market extended and vulnerable to a corrective move. The current setup does not assume a permanent top, but rather focuses on the probability of a reaction or pullback as price revisits a long-term decision area.
This is a tactical counter-trend idea, aligned with the concept that historical extremes often act as reaction zones, even when they have been briefly breached in the past.
๐ Bias: Short-term corrective move
๐ Invalidation: Clear acceptance and continuation above the 216 area on higher timeframes
๐ Focus: Reaction, not prediction
Risk management is essential.
GBPJPY Bearish Breakdown | Smart Money Targets 208.00GBPJPY is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range, with price respecting a broad demand zone below while repeatedly rejecting a premium supply area near 214.80โ215.00. This behavior strongly suggests distribution at highs and the potential for a sharp bearish continuation.
After a strong impulsive sell-off, price entered a sideways accumulation phase between 210.00โ212.00, forming equal highs and weak bullish follow-through. The failure to reclaim the upper supply zone indicates that buyers are losing momentum.
๐ Market Structure & Price Action
Multiple rejections from daily supply (214.50โ215.00)
Range-bound structure showing liquidity build-up
Price currently holding mid-range โ ideal distribution zone
Bearish scenario favors a liquidity sweep above range highs followed by reversal
๐งฑ Key Levels
Major Supply / Resistance: 214.50 โ 215.00
Internal Resistance: 212.50 โ 213.20
Range Support: 210.00 โ 209.50
Bearish Target (Demand): 208.00 โ 207.20
๐ Momentum Insight
Histogram momentum shows weak bullish strength
Bearish pressure increases on rallies
Confirms sell-side dominance from higher prices
๐ฎ Outlook & Trade Idea
A potential fake breakout toward 214.00โ215.00 could act as a final liquidity grab. If price rejects this zone, a strong impulsive drop toward 208.00 demand is highly probable, aligning with smart money distribution.
GBPJPY Big Drop ComingPrice has been in a strong bullish trend, respected by a rising trendline from November through January.
In late January, price breaks the main trendline and begins forming a descending channel, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum.
A CHoCH (Change of Character) is marked, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish market structure.
Price retraces back into a premium / supply zone (red area) near 213.0โ214.6, aligning with prior highs and resistance.
A short trade idea is illustrated:
Entry: in the supply zone near 213+
Stop loss: above the red zone highs
Targets: downside continuation into the green zone, with final target around 201.9
The projected path suggests a pullback into resistance, followed by bearish continuation toward lower liquidity and previous demand levels.
GJ Sell Swing Position First post back since 2022 had step away due to life, but we back and better. open to all criticism, if theres anything I missed or should look into lmk. Not married to any bias, will adapt with the markets.
I currently have a sell position at 214.500. I will be looking to target lows of 207-206 price points. looking to play this out over the course of the weeks - months
What support this bias?
BOE looking to cut rates this year by monitoring various economic data such as;
- Inflation of course, is currently at 3.75% with BOE needing inflation be closer to their 2% target.
- Consumer Price Index
- Wage growth
- Services inflation
- Labor market / unemployment (public and private sector)
Depending on the course of the year and along with current economic standing we can see price range and retest 215's multiple times before we break to the downside.
Interest rate differential between the pound and yen can cause GJ to the downside.
BOJ in 30+ years has started increase interest rates gradually since march 2024. we can see further rate hikes with BOJ which depends on many factors such a;
- Solid wage growth
- Household spending
- Entrenched Inflation (CPI)
- A weak yen causes raising costs on imported goods
- Policy Divergence; many global central banks have been in a rate cut cycle
*BOJ IR at 0.75% it still considered to be accommodative*
GBPJPY (4H) โ RegimeWorks Trade Idea (Context, not prediction)After the initial accumulation phase, price pushed higher and formed Top 1 and Top 2, but the structure failed to hold the neckline (support didnโt sustain). Price then rotated back into another accumulation before expanding upward again inside an ascending channel, setting up a possible Top 3.
Following a confirmed rejection at the Top 3 area, my trade triggered with the neckline as the primary target.
Trade management (rules-based):
At +2R, I will close 50% of the position.
From there, I will trail the stop above new lower highs to lock in gains while allowing continuation.
Next scenario (only if confirmed):
If price breaks the neckline and then prints a clean rejection below it, I will consider another position based on that new confirmation.
This is a trade idea and workflow explanation โ not financial advice and not a forecast.
GBP/JPY Fake out Alert! Sell @214 Resistance Rejection Sell/Short Signal: GBP/JPY Entry: Sell/short now / around current levels ~214.00โ214.07 (post-fake breakout rejection) โ or on retest of the resistance from below for better confirmation
Target 1: 212.50โ213.00 (next minor support / prior consolidation lows)
Target 2: 211.50โ211.69 (lower gray support zone / extension if rejection holds strong)
Stop Loss: Above fake breakout high / invalidation ~214.50โ215.00 (above red shaded area / recent spike high) to protect against true breakout continuation
Rationale: Classic fake breakout above key resistance ~214.16 on 4H, trapping buyers before sharp rejection and downside move. Bearish structure with failure to hold above the line suggests continuation lower toward the lower support zones. Watch for bearish candle confirmation (e.g., shooting star or engulfing) on retest for added conviction โ high-probability fade of the fakeout in this range!
GBP/JPY faking the breakout โ perfect short opportunity on rejection! #GBPJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #FakeBreakout #ResistanceRejection #ShortSetup #TradingSignal #CurrencyTrading #ForexInvestor #Investor #Investing Not financial advice โ Forex trading involves significant risk of loss due to leverage and volatility. Always do your own analysis, use strict risk management (e.g., risk <1-2% per trade), wait for personal confirmation, and consider macro factors (BoE/BoJ policy, risk sentiment). This is for educational/entertainment purposes only. Trade responsibly!






















