Trade ideas
Gold key Levels (3800-4100)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
continue to accumulate - trading below 4000✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/10/2025 - 11/14/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs 0.64% during Friday’s North American session, trading near $4,002 after rebounding from a daily low of $3,974. The ongoing US government shutdown and rising risk aversion keep equities under pressure, boosting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Gains in bullion are further supported by growing expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for November dropped to its lowest level since June 2022, reflecting mounting concerns over the shutdown’s potential impact on the US economy.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market continues to be in a wait-and-see mode, accumulating as the US government remains shut down, and economic data from the US is delayed.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4022, $4084
Support: $3961, $3917, $3885
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD - Weak Reiection at Premium Zone, Looking for Deeper Liqu"Gold is showing a weak reaction from the premium zone on the 30m chart. Price is failing to hold above the value area and is sliding back toward the lower liquidity pocket. My main scenario is a retracement toward the liquidity pool below 4,020, where a deeper sweep could occur before any meaningful reversal. Watching for displacement confirmation around that zone."
XAUUSD | Rejection From Premium Zone — Targeting Sell-Side LiqGold has pulled into a premium retracement zone (0.5–0.618 Fib) aligning perfectly with the Daily Wick 50% + previous structure flip level (4,122 zone).
This zone acted as a strong supply block, causing an immediate reaction, confirming bearish order flow.
Price is currently forming distribution under the premium zone, signaling potential continuation downward.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bearish below 4,122
Retracement: Into 0.5–0.618 Fib + Daily Wick 50%
Zone of Interest: 4,122 – 4,110 (strong rejection zone)
Current Structure: Lower highs forming → distribution
Liquidity Targets:
4,027 (first liquidity pocket)
4,005 (major sell-side liquidity)
4,000 – 3,995 (extended target if momentum accelerates)
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
A clean rejection from the premium zone + multiple liquidity sweeps at the top indicates smart money shifting direction.
📌 What I’m Watching:
If XAU retests the 4,110–4,122 zone and fails to break above structure →
Expecting a clean sell-off into sell-side liquidity levels.
📚 Concepts Used: Liquidity | Imbalance | SMC | Premium vs Discount | Fib Retracement | Market Structure Shift
GOLD ForecastGold has broken out of the descending channel, showing early bullish momentum. If price sustains above the breakout zone near 3,960–3,970, it may target the next resistance areas around 4,005 and 4,045. However, failure to hold above the breakout level could trigger a pullback toward 3,940 support. Bulls are gaining strength, but resistance levels remain crucial for confirmation of further upside.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
GOLD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD smart money tapped into a premium supply zone, engineering liquidity above equal highs before reacting lower. Expect price to deliver downside toward the next demand imbalance. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD – Range-Bound After Strong ReversalAfter a powerful reversal, XAUUSD is now consolidating within a well-defined range. Our primary bias is to buy from range lows back to range highs until structure breaks.
A clean breakout and retest on either side of this range will guide the next directional leg — with continuation expected once momentum confirms.
Nov 19, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Last week’s close didn’t give the market a clear direction.
At the moment, gold continues to trade within a broad range between 3964–4030,
with a tighter consolidation zone between 3984–4030.
For now, I’ll continue to treat it as a range-bound market —
sell near resistance and buy near support until a decisive breakout occurs.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4030 – Resistance
• 4020 – Resistance
• 4012 – Resistance
• 4000 – Bull–bear pivot
• 3984–3990 – Key support zone
• 3977 – Support
• 3964 – Support
• 3956 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3994 → target 3990, with further downside toward 3984, 3977, 3970
BUY: If price holds above 4010 → target 4014, with further upside toward 4020, 4027, 4036
XAUUSD: Buyers Target $4,080 Resistance ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently formed a constructive bullish structure after rebounding from the 3,930–3,960 Buyer Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the Upward Channel. This demand zone has consistently acted as a strong accumulation area, indicating that buyers are actively defending it. Prior to this rebound, price moved within a Downward Channel, where several fake breakouts occurred — showing that sellers were gradually losing momentum and failing to maintain downside pressure.
Currently, a breakout from the Downward Channel shifted the market tone, and since then, XAUUSD has started forming higher lows, signaling an early trend reversal. The price is now trading back inside a new Upward Channel, and the structure suggests buyers are preparing for a continuation move. At the moment, XAUUSD is approaching the mid-range of the channel, while the next major resistance sits near 4,130, which previously acted as a supply level and point of distribution.
My Scenario & Strategy
The current setup suggests that as long as price remains above the 3,930–3,960 demand region, the bullish setup remains intact. I expect Gold to continue moving gradually toward the 4,080–4,130 resistance zone in the short term. A confirmed breakout above 4,130 would likely signal strong bullish continuation, opening the way for a larger upward move toward 4,200 and beyond.
However, if XAUUSD breaks back below 3,930, the bullish structure would be invalidated, and price could revisit deeper support levels before attempting another upward leg. For now, I prefer to look for long entries on pullbacks within the channel, targeting a continuation toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Daily gold momentumGold is currently trading between the Daily POC and the Daily LVN.
The overall price momentum is still bearish. Notice how the EMAs are wide apart, creating a strong downward structure (red cloud).
POC: 4000
HVN: 4237
LVN: 3889
Market Outlook
The POC often acts like a magnet — price tends to move toward it.
Right now, there is a high probability that the market will reach the POC before continuing downward.
✅ Bullish Scenario (Price moves up before dropping)
Conditions for a buy:
On London open, price must close above 3977.00 with high volume
(confirm on the 30M or 1H timeframe)
Price should retest 3976–3975.5
Look for high volume to confirm demand
Wait for a rejection candle (e.g., pin bar)
Once confirmations are met:
➤ Buy and set Take Profit at the POC (4000)
📌 When price reaches the POC:
Scenario 1 — Rejection at POC (Bearish)
Price reaches POC and rejects with high volume
This is the first confirmation price may return to the LVN
Second confirmation: price retests the POC, then wait for:
Bearish engulfing candle closing below the retest candle
➡️ Expect move back down toward LVN (3889)
Scenario 2 — Breakout above POC (Bullish)
Price breaks POC with high volume
First confirmation of move toward HVN (4237)
Second confirmation: price retests the POC, then wait for:
Engulfing candle or pin bar with high volume on 1H
🔍 Additional Confirmation
Check your MA (moving average) setup on 1H timeframe
Ensure momentum supports your direction
BUY GOLDHere’s a clean 1-hour read on Gold (, SMA 25/50/200):
Cautiously bullish above the 200-SMA (≈ 3,985).
Price has reclaimed the 200-SMA and is holding a tight cluster of SMA25 ≈ 3,999 and SMA50 ≈ 3,995 just above the SMA200 ≈ 3,985. Short-term structure since 5 Nov shows higher lows.
Buy plan (preferred)
Idea: Buy the dip while price holds above 3,985 (H1 200-SMA).
Entry zones:
Pullback into 3,995–3,990 (SMA50 area) with bullish M15 confirmation (pin/engulfing back above the level).
Momentum break above 4,015–4,020 (recent swing cap) on strong H1 close.
Invalidation: H1 close below 3,985 (back under the 200-SMA).
Targets: 4,015 → 4,030 → 4,050 (scale out).
Risk: Keep stops below 3,980–3,975 to avoid noise around the 200-SMA.
Matches your rule set: H1 above MA200, look to enter on an M15 touch/retest of the MA200/SMA cluster with a bullish close.
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners (GOLD FOREX)
I am going to reveal a powerful fibonacci trading strategy that I learned many years ago. It combines structure analysis, fibonacci retracement and extension levels and candlestick analysis, and it is suitable for beginners.
Step 1
Find a trending market - the market that is trading in a bullish or in a bearish trend on a daily time frame.
AUDUSD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
Step 2
Execute structure analysis - identify key horizontal and vertical structures on a daily time frame.
Have a look at key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD.
Step 3
Draw fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the important ratios you should look for: 382, 50, 618, 786.
In a bearish trend,
draw fibonacci retracement levels from the high of the trend to current low based on wicks.
In a bullish trend,
You should apply fibonacci retracement from the low of the trend to a current high based on wicks.
Take a look how I draw the retracement levels,
I took the low of the trend and the high of the trend.
Step 4
Find confluence .
Look for fibonacci numbers that match - lie within key structures that you identified.
Support 1 matches with 382 retracement.
Support 2 matches with 786 retracement.
Remove other ratios from the chart.
Step 5
Wait for a test of one of the fibonacci levels that match with key structure
The price perfectly tested 382 retracement level.
Step 6
Wait for a confirmation on a 4h time frame.
Our confirmation will be a formation of an engulfing candle - a strong candle that completely engulfs the entire range of a previous candle with its body.
In a bearish trend, we will look for a formation of a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong selling pressure and the strength of the sellers.
In a bullish trend, we will look for a bullish engulfing candle. It indicates a strong buying reaction and imbalance.
Have a look at a bullish engulfing candle that was formed on AUDUSD on a 4H time frame after a test of 382 retracement.
Step 7
Open a trading position, set stop loss and choose the target.
After you spotted an engulfing candle, open a trading position.
Open short after a formation of a bearish engulfing candle and open long after a formation of a bullish engulfing candle.
If you sell , your safest stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bullish impulse on a 4H.
If you buy , your stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bearish impulse on a 4H.
In our example, our stop loss will be 1.272 extension of a bearish impulse leg on a 4H time frame. The extension is based on high and low of the impulse.
If you short , your take profit will be the closest key structure support on a daily.
If you buy , your take profit will be the closest key structure resistanc e on a daily.
Being applied properly, the strategy should generate 60%+ winning rate.
Always remember to check your reward to risk ratio before you open the trade. It should be at least 1.1/1.
Also, before you place a trade, always make sure that you trade WITH the trend and take only trend-following trades.
The strategy works perfectly on Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Indexes.
Good luck in your trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold – Bearish Momentum Builds | Key Support at 3983GOLD | Fundamental & Technical 💎
🔻 Fundamental:
Gold climbed back above $4,000 as traders weigh the impact of recent U.S. labor data on the Federal Reserve’s rate path.
🟢 With the Fed’s final 2025 meeting approaching and key data delayed by the U.S. government shutdown, markets face heightened uncertainty over the next policy move.
🟢 Despite the recovery, the broader trend remains technically sensitive near a key resistance zone.
🕯 Technically:
Currently, gold is testing the 4025 resistance area.
🔽 As long as price remains below 4025, bearish pressure may continue toward 3983 → 3961.
🔼 A 1H close above 4025, however, would confirm renewed bullish momentum, targeting 4055, with an extended upside path toward 4105 if momentum accelerates.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4025
Resistance: 4053 · 4076 · 4105
Support: 3984 · 3961 · 3925
Gold’s $3,900 Base May Trigger Rally to Bullish TargetsFrom both a near-term and medium-term horizon, gold appears to have established a clear reversal base around the $3,900 level, indicating that the downside momentum has likely been exhausted and that the market is preparing to advance toward its bullish target levels.
Gold struggles below $4KI think it is fair to say that the $4K level is super important in as far as gold’s short-term direction is concerned. A potential breakdown below $3930 would signal gold has decided to stay below this $4K level. The $3930 level is where gold found support from earlier this week, so a break below it would now be quite significant from a technical standpoint. On the upside, $4045 is where gold needs to climb above to trigger technical selling above it. This was the high from last Friday. While gold decides which direction to break, I don’t have too strong a view on the metal currently. Granted, the fresh weakening of the US dollar amid signs of weakness in labour market as reported by Challenger yesterday, and the drop in consumer confidence as reported by the UoM today, both point to potential gains for gold. However, the metal has been trending in the same direction as equity markets. Therein lies the problem. With stocks struggling, gold has been unable to find any fresh haven demand to give it a lift above $4K.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold Market Direction Gold is still in bear market 📉 and now is just making a ranging pullback.
This week is done making a big move but next week we will definitely see a huge drop 📉 of no new trend changes to kill the drop.
But now we still having bearish market.
My strategy for market direction is work amazingly well and no mistakes made hence brokers are failing to catch me.
Gold is still a bearish market. Now they want to trap the buyers.
Sell the market if you see any opportunities or text for any information.
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed above a resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD broke above the descending resistance line, signaling a potential bullish shift after a period of consolidation. Price action now targets the $4,080–$4,140 resistance zone, with strong support seen near $3,970.
● The breakout aligns with higher lows on intraday candles, suggesting increasing buying momentum as gold approaches the upper boundary of the channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A softer dollar and expectations of stable U.S. interest rates are supporting gold prices amid renewed safe-haven demand.
✨ Summary
● Support: $3,970. Resistance: $4,080–$4,140. A sustained move above $4,026 could trigger further gains toward $4,138.
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Market Analysis: Gold Stays FlatMarket Analysis: Gold Stays Flat
Gold price corrected gains, traded below $4,000, and started a consolidation.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a downside correction below $4,100 and $4,000 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,985 on the hourly chart of gold.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed a base above $3,915. The price remained in a bullish zone and started an upward move within a range above $3,930.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,975. The bulls pushed the price above the $4,000 and $4,010 resistance levels. A high was formed at $4,019 before the price saw a pullback.
The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,928 swing low to the $4,019 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,985, a bullish trend line, and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The first major area of interest for the bulls is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,975. If there is a downside break below $3,975, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,950. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,930.
Immediate resistance is near $4,020. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $4,030. An upside break above $4,030 could send Gold price toward $4,045. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $4,090.
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Macroeconomics and Investor Psychology Driving Gold PricesFirstly, macroeconomic policies , particularly monetary policy moves by the U.S ., will continue to have a significant impact on gold prices. Specifically, the upcoming decisions by the Federal Reserve (Fed) regarding interest rate cuts are expected to create positive momentum for gold, as investors turn to gold as a safe-haven asset in a low-interest-rate environment.
Secondly, the independence of the Fed is a key factor, not only directly influencing confidence in the USD but also strongly affecting trust in U.S. institutions. The stability and transparency of the Fed's policy decisions will continue to create significant market volatility, directly impacting gold prices.
In addition, gold is becoming increasingly attractive to investors due to the combination of two key factors. First, the increasing national debt in many countries is becoming a major risk, as global fiscal sustainability is in question, making gold a more reliable safe-haven asset. Second, the erosion and weakening of international systems and standards have led to diminishing confidence in financial systems and international approaches. This has further strengthened gold's position as a safe asset in the eyes of investors.
Another important factor influencing gold prices is the psychology of seeking global risk hedging . In the context of concerns about "bubbles" in the AI technology sector , if AI technology proves to be a bubble and bursts, gold and other assets will become even more attractive as strategic safe-haven assets.
With all these factors in play, gold is not only an attractive investment choice but also a strategic asset during times of financial and global economic instability.






















