Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/11/2025As predicted, gold broke 4034 resistance and rose without any looking back and closed the day above 4100. Also as explained in my weekly post, I will be only engaging buying orders for this week. Therefore, I am going to implement buying the dips strategy. For today, I expect price to rise to 4150 and get rejected there. Thereafter, it will bounced from 4072 and should all the way test 4200 or even higher levels.
Trade ideas
Gold – Distribution Before DropGold – Distribution Before Drop
Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent corrective bounce. The 3H market structure highlights a clear distribution pattern, as price continues to reject from the 4,100–4,250 supply zone. Repeated Break of Structure (BOS) signals that bearish momentum remains dominant.
Institutional activity suggests that liquidity is being built above local highs, preparing for another downside leg. The current market sentiment stays bearish as long as price trades below the key premium area. A confirmed rejection from this zone could trigger a decline toward the 3,904 liquidity pool.
Only a breakout and hold above 4,250 would invalidate this scenario and shift bias back to bullish accumulation.
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold (XAUUSD): Triangle Compression After Pennant BreakHi!
After the strong, impulsive drop, Gold formed a bearish pennant, which has already broken to the downside. The measured move target of that pennant remains unfilled, and the price continues to consolidate below the breakdown point.
Currently, the market structure is developing inside a symmetrical triangle, showing compression and reduced volatility. This type of structure often acts as a continuation pattern when it forms after an impulsive leg, especially when positioned below the previous pennant.
The projection highlights the expectation of a downside breakout from the triangle, with a gradual sell-off into the next liquidity pocket. The ultimate target aligns with the remaining pennant target zone, which also coincides with a prior demand level.
As long as the price remains inside this tightening structure and below point D, the bearish continuation scenario stays valid.
Target: $3811
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold key Levels (3800-4100)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
Gold Regains Its Shine as Buyers Take Control of the Market!Hello traders,
After days of consolidation, gold surged sharply during the Asian session , reclaiming the key psychological level of $4,000/oz. The weakness of the U.S. dollar, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December , has reignited investor optimism. Meanwhile, efforts by the U.S. Congress to end the government shutdown have further strengthened gold’s position as a safe-haven asset.
On the chart, gold is showing a strong rebound from the $4,000 support zone , where buyers previously stepped in with significant volume. The potential scenario suggests that price may pull back slightly toward $4,000 before continuing its climb toward the $4,200 resistance area, which aligns with the previous swing high and a key supply zone.
If price breaks above $4,200, the bullish momentum could extend further , targeting the $4,300 area in the medium term. Market sentiment remains firmly in favor of the bulls, and gold appears ready for a fresh breakout this week .
Wishing you all successful trades!
Smart Liquidity IndicatorSmart Liquidity 📊 Indicator Guide
## Introduction
The Smart Liquidity Indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to provide accurate signals about market liquidity levels. This indicator aims to help traders make informed decisions based on liquidity analysis and supply and demand levels.
**Note**: This tool is designed to assist your strategy in making the right decisions.
## Key Features
- **Entry and Exit Signals**: Provides precise signals to determine the best times to enter and exit trades.
- **Integration with Volume Profile**: Integrates with the volume profile to offer a comprehensive view of market movement.
- **Customizable Settings**: Allows users to adjust the indicator settings to suit different trading strategies.
## Tools and Concepts in the Script
- **SuperTrend**:
- A trend analysis tool that helps identify the overall market direction.
- Used to determine entry and exit points based on trend changes.
- **Volume Profile**:
- Displays high and low liquidity levels on the chart.
- Helps identify supply and demand zones.
- **Supply and Demand Zones**:
- Highlights areas where price is likely to reverse.
- Used to determine entry and exit points.
- **Candle Signals**:
- Relies on analyzing candlestick patterns to provide additional signals.
- **Oscillators**:
- Used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
- Helps avoid trades when the market reaches extreme conditions.
- **Trend Lines**:
- Shows primary and secondary market trends.
- Used to identify potential reversal points.
## Visual Representation
- **Interactive Design**:
- The dashboard is designed to be user-friendly and interactive.
- Displays data in an organized manner for easy reading.
- **Dynamic Colors**:
- Uses dynamic colors to represent different market conditions.
- For example, green indicates an uptrend, while red indicates a downtrend.
- **Clear Visual Indicators**:
- Includes visual indicators such as arrows and circles to highlight entry and exit signals.
- High and low liquidity levels are displayed using distinct horizontal lines.
- **Customizable Display**:
- Users can customize colors, text sizes, and line styles through the settings.
- Includes options to show or hide specific elements as needed.
- **Real-Time Updates**:
- Data displayed on the dashboard updates instantly with market changes.
- Ensures that the information is always accurate and up-to-date.
- **Ease of Navigation**:
- The dashboard is designed for easy navigation between different sections.
- Displays the most important data upfront for a seamless user experience.
## How to Use
1. **Add the Indicator to the Chart**:
- Open the TradingView platform.
- Go to the Indicators section.
- Search for "Smart Liquidity 📊" and add it to the chart.
2. **Customize the Settings**:
- Click on the settings icon next to the indicator name.
- Adjust the settings according to your needs.
3. **Spot Opportunities and Exit at the Right Time**:
- Monitor high liquidity levels to identify supply and demand zones.
- Use entry signals to determine the best times to enter trades.
- Rely on exit signals to minimize risks and exit at the right time.
- Analyze the overall market trend and ensure signals align with your strategy.
**Note**: It is recommended to use the indicator in stable markets and perform backtesting to ensure its accuracy and suitability for your trading approach.
## Practical Examples
### Example 1: Identifying High Liquidity Zones
- Enable the "🔥 Show Volume Profile" option in the settings.
- Monitor areas with high liquidity (High Volume Nodes).
- Use these areas as potential support or resistance levels.
### Example 2: Using SuperTrend to Confirm Trend
- Enable the "📈 Use Trend Filter" option.
- If the trend is upward (SuperTrend line is green), look for buying opportunities.
- If the trend is downward (SuperTrend line is red), look for selling opportunities.
### Example 3: Combining Supply and Demand Zones with Volume Profile
- Enable the "📦 Show Order Blocks" and "🔥 Show Volume Profile" options.
- Identify supply and demand zones that coincide with high liquidity levels.
- Use these zones as entry or exit points.
## Acknowledgment
We extend our heartfelt thanks to the TradingView team for their continuous efforts in developing the platform and providing advanced analytical tools to users. Your ongoing support and the addition of new features to Pine Script make it possible to deliver innovative tools that meet the needs of traders worldwide.
We would like to emphasize that the "Smart Liquidity Indicator" is available for free and can be used by everyone to enhance their trading strategies. We hope this tool contributes to improving user experience and achieving their goals in financial markets.
---
**Disclaimer**: This indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not guarantee profits. Trading involves risks and may lead to capital loss.
Gold sell setup This trade based on Daily TF and and deply analyzed on 6h TF
Gold has broken a strong supply level yesterday on aisa & london sessions and kept the momentum all the way to to 21 Oct and 23 Oct swing high but NY session rejected and engulfed the previous session at the swing high with high volume . After the breakout structure has to be retested , with all those confirmation there is a high probability market will retest 4050 .
Gold Pulls Back to 4200 – Awaiting Direction Confirmation📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) has just dropped from the resistance zone $4218–$4219 down to $4203.
The market is currently reacting near the support zone $4200–$4205, with buying pressure starting to appear, but short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
The H1 trend remains slightly bullish, with EMA20 & EMA50 pointing upward, providing support around $4205–$4210.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Main Trend: Slightly bullish (bullish bias).
• EMA20 & EMA50 H1: Upward sloping, support at $4205–$4210.
• Resistance: $4218 – $4222, further $4230 – $4235
• Support: $4205 – $4200, further $4195 – $4190
• RSI H1: Dropping from overbought → warning of a short-term pullback.
📌 Outlook
• The $4205–$4207 zone is a key support; if price holds, a rebound toward $4212–$4215 is likely.
• If price breaks below $4205, a deeper drop toward $4195–$4190 may occur.
• H1/H4 candle signals will determine the next breakout direction; priority is to BUY on support bounces and SELL on clear rejection at resistance.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $4190 – $4193
• TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• SL: $4186
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $4233 – $4236
• TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• SL: $4239
GOLD COUNTER TRADE CYCLE Current Price: $4,000.71
Update : In the short term, the $3,858-$3,888 zone is a crucial support area. If gold holds this level and closes above $4,059.44, a new bullish wave toward $4135–$4,193 could begin.
However, a confirmed break below $3,850 could trigger a deeper correction toward $3,678 or even $3,548
* Bullish short-term target: $4,250–$4,380
* Bullish stop loss: Below $3,848
* Bearish short-term target: $3,678–$3,548
* Bearish stop loss: Above $4,059.44
Gold Buys Gold has been ranging for almost 2 weeks now . im expecting bullish continuation if break above happens.
there are 2 buying areas im eyeing right now.
If close above 4047 than expect gold to push upwards to areas 4165 and 4379.
if price goes down and rejects 3900 than expect it to tap areas 4047 , 4165 and 4379.
GOLD – Range-Bound After Strong ReversalAfter a powerful reversal, XAUUSD is now consolidating within a well-defined range. Our primary bias is to buy from range lows back to range highs until structure breaks.
A clean breakout and retest on either side of this range will guide the next directional leg — with continuation expected once momentum confirms.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish TreGold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish Trend Remains
News Interpretation
On Thursday (November 13), international gold prices opened with a narrow trading range, mainly influenced by multiple factors. Firstly, gold prices encountered resistance in the previous trading day, leading to a pullback. Additionally, the stabilization of the US dollar index in the early morning further pressured gold prices in the short term. Secondly, the US House of Representatives will hold a full vote on a bill to end the government shutdown at 8:00 AM Beijing time on the 13th. The market is closely watching these developments, and fluctuations in safe-haven demand have also brought some uncertainty to gold prices.
Despite this, the overall bullish logic for gold remains unchanged. Firstly, the US dollar index is currently trading below its 200-day moving average and weekly moving averages, indicating a weak overall trend. Its short-term rebound is unlikely to provide sustained pressure on gold. Secondly, the market is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and the macroeconomic environment supports the medium- to long-term trend of gold. Even if gold prices fail to rise significantly in the short term, they are expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern rather than a sustained decline.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, since the low of 3990, gold prices have successfully reached our previously predetermined first target of 4200, with the next key target at 4300. The overall bullish trend has not yet ended. Investors should avoid blindly guessing the top or shorting against the trend. Short-term trading can be flexible, but trend-following trades are still recommended to focus on going long.
On the daily chart, gold prices have closed higher for several consecutive days, indicating that bullish momentum remains strong. The key resistance level is currently around 4300, which is also a key test target for the bulls in the near term. On the H4 chart, the moving average system is in a bullish alignment, with the main support currently located in the 4170-4160 range. Therefore, intraday trading is still recommended to focus on buying on dips, patiently waiting for the price to fall back to the support area before entering the market.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
In summary, today's short-term gold trading recommendation is to primarily buy on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary strategy. Short-term resistance is seen around 4260-4280; a break above this level could lead to a further test of the 4300 mark. Key short-term support is the 4210-4190 area; a pullback to this level could present opportunities to buy in batches.
It's important to note that Thursday is a potential turning point in the week. If gold prices rise to around 4300 during the US session but fail to break through effectively, a small short position could be considered. Position size and risk management should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
Risk Warning: Investing involves risk; please invest cautiously. The above analysis represents only personal opinions and does not constitute any investment advice.
#xauusd pullback short from %61.8 level 4192 ? #gold🔹 61.8% Fibonacci level: ≈ 4,196
🔹 Setup idea:
• Short zone: 4,190 – 4,200
• Stop loss: Above 4,210 – 4,220 (to allow for wicks)
• Take profit targets:
• TP1: ~4,150 (minor structure)
• TP2: ~4,100
• TP3: ~4,000 (major swing support)
If gold rallies back to 4,190–4,200 and shows:
• Bearish candle rejection (e.g. 4-hour pin bar / engulfing)
• Weakening momentum or divergence on RSI
• Confluence with prior resistance
Then this 61.8% Fib zone is a technically valid pullback short area.
XAUUSD – Wave 5 Completing at Equality With Wave 3Price has now reached a major confluence zone where Wave 5 = Wave 3, both in length and Fibonacci proportion. This area also aligns with structural resistance and the upper boundary of the local ascending channel, making it a highly reactive region.
Given this setup, we are now entering a phase where the probability of a Wave 5 termination is high, unless the market decides to develop an extended Wave 5.
🔵 Primary Expectation: Wave 5 Ends Here → Start of Corrective Phase
Since Wave 5 has already reached equality with Wave 3, this is the most natural place for the impulse to end.
If this scenario plays out, the next move should be either:
A Wave (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure
or
A more aggressive impulsive reversal, beginning a larger correction
The initial sign of reversal would be a break below the micro-trendline, followed by confirmation under the previous Wave (4) low.
🔴 Alternative: Extended Wave 5 (If This Level Fails)
If price refuses to reverse and breaks through the current shorting zone, then the market may be forming an extended 5th wave, which would push higher before completing the entire structure.
This would invalidate the equality-based termination and open the door for a final blow-off top before a deeper correction.
🔻 Shorting Level / Reaction Zone
The level you marked is a high-probability reaction area.
From here, we expect one of two things:
A clean rejection → forming Wave 4 or a new impulsive decline,
A breakout → confirming an extended Wave 5.
Until the market makes this decision, risk remains elevated for late buyers.
📌 Summary
Wave 5 has reached Wave 3 equality → ideal termination point
Current region = shorting level / reversal zone
Expect Wave A-B-C correction unless price breaks higher
Breakout above current structure = extended Wave 5 scenario
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Detected )Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Reasons To Enter ( 3980 ) Reversal Zone
➕Volume Cluster
➕Delta +
➕$$ Trend
➕Alpha Range Protecting
➕NY +
➕Visible Range LVN
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
GOLD volatility, monetary policy and political riskThe global OANDA:XAUUSD went through a volatile trading session on Tuesday, as prices fell more than $50 in the North American session before recovering around $30, ending the day in the green. As of Wednesday morning, November 12, spot gold stood at around $4,128/ounce, up around $2 on the day.
The main drivers of this development came from two opposing factors: the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) possibly cutting interest rates in December, and capital withdrawals from gold ETFs after a long rally.
Policy pressures and labor market signals
U.S. private payrolls data, according to preliminary estimates from ADP Research, showed a weekly average of 11,250 job cuts in the four weeks ended October 25. The weaker-than-expected figure sent the dollar to a low of 99.29, giving gold a chance to rebound.
The move comes just as Washington is about to end its longest government shutdown in history, which has stalled the release of economic data. Investors are hoping the reopening of the government will quickly bring a wave of pent-up data that will help better determine the true state of the U.S. economy.
“As the government reopens, we’re going to start seeing more cracks in the economy,” said Marc Chandler, chief strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. This expectation reinforces the belief that the Fed will begin its easing cycle in December. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut has risen to 64%, while Fed Governor Milan hinted at the possibility of a 50 basis point cut due to a weak labor market and slowing inflation.
ETF Profit Taking, Gold Temporarily Adjusts
However, gold’s rally was capped by profit-taking in the ETF market. Bloomberg data shows gold ETFs have seen four straight weeks of outflows, after eight weeks of net buying. “Every 1% move in the gold price translates into about 10 tonnes of ETF outflows,” said Michael Haigh, head of FIC research at Société Générale.
The reversal reflects investors’ defensive sentiment after gold peaked at $4,380 an ounce in mid-October, a new record high amid political uncertainty and expectations of lower interest rates. Still, safe-haven demand was strong enough to help prices recover to $4,126.77 by the end of Tuesday’s session, up 0.3%.
US Politics: A lull ahead of data
The US Senate has passed a deal to reopen the government, while the Republican-controlled House is expected to approve it this week, before it goes to the White House for President Trump to sign into law. The reopening of the government not only ends the government shutdown but also sets the stage for a new cycle of data releases, including official jobs and inflation reports.
Medium-term outlook: Gold demand remains strong
Despite short-term volatility, fundamentals remain supportive of gold. The precious metal has risen more than 55% year-to-date, on track for its biggest gain since 1979. “The medium-term support from global easing to central bank demand remains intact,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at OCBC.
Summary
The gold market is operating in a cycle of monetary policy expectations and geopolitical safe-haven sentiment. As the Fed moves closer to easing and delayed data looms, price volatility is likely to remain high.
However, with sustained central bank buying and global risks remaining intact, gold remains a strategic asset in a reshaping global financial landscape.
Technical analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend channel formed from the October bottom. After a deep correction around $3,970 – $3,850/ounce (corresponding to the Fibonacci levels of 0.382 and 0.5), the price has bounced back and is currently trading around $4,123, close to the technical resistance zone of Fib 0.236 at $4,128.
The moving average (MA21) is currently at $4,055, acting as a dynamic support zone in the short term. The recent candlestick structure shows that the bullish momentum is being consolidated with a series of higher lows, while the RSI has recovered towards 55, confirming that the bullish momentum is regaining the upper hand.
If gold holds above the $4,055 zone, the next upside targets are:
• Near resistance: $4,216 – $4,220 (psychological level and 0.236 Fibonacci resistance zone).
• Extended resistance: $4,308 – $4,380 (historic old peak zone).
On the contrary, if the price loses $4,055, the $3,972 – $3,846 zone will become the main support zone to watch, corresponding to the lower boundary of the current uptrend channel.
The overall trend remains bullish, provided the $4,055 support zone holds. The current phase is a recovery accumulation phase, which could open up a further rally towards $4,300 if US economic data continues to be weak and the Fed reinforces easing expectations.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4201 - 4199⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4205
→Take Profit 1 4193
↨
→Take Profit 2 4187
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4090 - 4092⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4086
→Take Profit 1 4098
↨
→Take Profit 2 4105
XAUUSD (GOLD) - 4H - Weekly Analysis (10-Nov - 14-Nov-25)Market Structure
Price is currently consolidating sideways after a strong drop.
The consolidation range is $3,960 – $4,045.
Stochastic is turning down from overbought, meaning bullish momentum is weakening.
Until price breaks above $4,060, rallies are retracements, not a trend reversal.
So the smart move:
→ Sell the rally, don’t buy the top.
Key Levels This Week
Zone / Price Range / Action
Sell Zone (Primary) / $4,035 – $4,060 / Best area to SELL
Sell Zone (Secondary) / $4,090 – $4,120 / If price spikes / liquidity grab
Support / TP1 / $3,970 – $3,975 / First profit zone
Support / TP2 / $3,925 – $3,940 / Main target
Major Demand / $3,880 – $3,900 / Extended target / potential bounce zone
✅ Primary Trade Setup — High Probability SELL
SELL LIMIT: $4,035 – $4,060
STOP LOSS: $4,090
TAKE PROFIT 1: $3,975
TAKE PROFIT 2: $3,935
TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended): $3,900
Why this works:
This zone is previous support → now resistance.
Gold consistently rejects near round number clusters ($4,000 / $4,050 / $4,100).
Stochastic already indicates buyers are slowing.
🟡 Secondary Setup — Sell the Liquidity Grab (If price pushes higher)
SELL LIMIT: $4,090 – $4,120
STOP LOSS: $4,155
TAKE PROFIT: $4,035 → $3,975 → $3,935
This is the fake-out trap where smart money enters short.
📌 When to Avoid Trading
If price stays between $3,985 – $4,020, NO ENTRY.
This is the choppy noise zone → low win rate.
We only trade:
At strong resistance
Or at strong support
Not in the middle.
🎯 Expected Price Behavior Next Week
Early week → retest of $4,035–$4,060 area
Mid–late week → move down toward $3,970 → $3,940
This aligns with:
Profit-taking before US CPI/FOMC events
Lower safe-haven demand as volatility stabilizes short-term
🏁 Quick Trade Summary (Copy This)
Entry: 4,035 – 4,060
SL: 4,090
TP1: 3,975
TP2: 3,935
TP3: 3,900
Backup SELL (Liquidity Grab)
Entry: 4,090 – 4,120
SL: 4,155
TP: 4,035 → 3,975 → 3,935






















