Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns & Fed Rate-Cut BetsGOLD | Overview
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns and Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
Gold extended gains to a three-week high as growing concerns over U.S. debt levels and renewed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts fueled demand for the safe-haven asset.
Volatility is likely to remain elevated as traders position ahead of key U.S. data and central bank commentary.
Technically:
Gold maintains a bullish bias, but a clear 1H candle close above 4238 is required to confirm the next bullish leg toward 4254, 4267, and 4300.
While trading below 4238, the price may stage a short-term correction toward 4222 and 4207 before resuming its upward move.
A 15-minute close below 4207 would invalidate the bullish setup temporarily and could extend losses toward 4186.
Pivot Line: 4238
Resistance: 4254 · 4267 · 4300
Support: 4222 · 4207 · 4186
Trade ideas
Gold Market Moving Exactly As MappedVANTAGE:XAUUSD tapped perfectly into my OG Demand Zone around
4,020–4,050 and buyers stepped in exactly where the system expected. The bounce carried straight into my upper OG Supply Zone, and today’s wick shows clear hesitation right on the zone border.
The structure is still holding a bullish tone as long as price stays above the OG Trend Zone support at 4,050–4,100.
My X-pattern intersection also acted as a confluence pivot, guiding the move into the current rejection point.
Short-term 🐼 I am watching for a sweep of the supply zone highs and a cleaner reaction.
Mid-term I still prefer long setups only after a pullback into my green demand zone where momentum can reload.
Both OG Zones and OG Trend Zones played this move with precision. The system mapped the bounce, mapped the continuation, and is now catching the rejection area.
📊 Current bias: Neutral to bearish inside supply
🟢 Long interest: Rebuilds on a dip back into demand
🔴 Short interest: Only if supply shows clean rejection
📆 Watching daily close for confirmation
What's the outlook for gold next week? Strategy Update
After Friday's sharp drop, gold may rebound at the beginning of the week, followed by a test of its strength. From a technical analysis perspective, the daily chart closed bearish, indicating significant downward pressure and strong short-term upward momentum. Monday's market is likely to remain bearish. Gold's rebound to around $4110-$4120 is a key resistance zone from the previous period and near the high of Thursday morning's rebound, making it highly likely to encounter resistance. Aggressive traders could consider a small short position, while more conservative traders should wait for a rebound to the $4140-$4150 range before entering short positions, as this is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. Based on the current trend, key support is between $4050 and $40, with strong support at $4000. The previous low is at $3990. If this support level holds, the market may continue to consolidate. A break below this support level could weaken bullish sentiment.
Despite Friday's significant market volatility, our trading went very smoothly. I focus on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there are no markets that rise or fall forever, only optimal entry points at specific moments. Finding the rhythm and following the trend is the essence of trading. On Friday, after the Asian market opened, we shorted at 4209 and then sold at 4190. Many friends questioned this, but I want to say, don't regret selling too early. We set profit targets and risk controls for every trade. Once the profit target was reached, we sold. After all, technical analysis becomes ineffective in the face of news. We should be grateful that we maintained four profitable short-term trades during this major market move, including both long and short positions, instead of missing the entire downtrend. You can check the historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. Although I am a professional trader, I don't need to strive to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest point on every trade. After all, I'm just a trader, not God! So we need to adjust our mindset and only earn the profits we deserve. Overall, this week's operations were quite profitable, and we will continue to work hard next week.
There's no need to panic excessively. I believe the bulls haven't completely lost control; this can be seen as a short-term pullback driven by fundamental factors. The possibility of a medium- to long-term peak in gold is unlikely; the overall bullish trend in the long term remains unchanged. The long-term bullish outlook persists because current external factors, such as geopolitical tensions, tariffs and trade tensions, the Fed's halt to tapering, and continued central bank gold purchases, do not support a medium-term peak in gold. Although the subsequent release of data following the US government shutdown may be mixed, potentially delaying the Fed's rate cuts, the overall trend of de-dollarization will not change. The current decline is merely a correction within the medium-term bullish trend.
This is just a general pre-market analysis; it will be updated based on actual market movements after the market opens. If you are unsure about precise trading strategies, try my method: first, use a small position to test the market, then add to your position during pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you are truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater returns in the ever-changing market!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, we wanted to go long into the higher red box but we wanted a better entry for this trade from just a little lower. However, we broke the bias level and as soon as we did, we completed every single target including the 4070 target level given to Camelot. Hard to get in with with the move, but those that did will have done well!
So, what now?
It's a bit of an extreme move and unconvincing at the moment. We're extreme on the liquidity monitor and there is a hot spot above that may just give a RIP. Not saying we're going to correct the move, we have major support below at the 4075 level that will need to break to go lower.
RED BOXES:
BREAK above 4004 for 4010✅, 4014✅ and 4030✅ in extension of the move
BREAK below 3990 for 3985, 3979, 3970 and 3965 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold’s Next Move is Loading…Gold finally broke out of the sideways range after a period of consolidation.
Momentum is slowly shifting to the upside again.
From here, I expect a minor pullback into the broken range to retest it as new support, followed by a continuation higher towards around 4,150.
Waiting for a pullback here is absolutely recommended before getting in.
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing.
As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73.
My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
GOLD XAUUSD TRADE SUMMERY FOR TODAYthe market structure never lies, every reaction is detailed and well calibrated, during newyork session we found support at 4038-4040 zone after the impact as a result of the retest of the neckline of the daily double top price action, double top is clearly a bearish price action and it never fails once's the neckline is broken ,expect a retest.
gold is still bullish and can swing at anytime.
GOODLUCK
XAUUSD-GOLD-4H / at a Crossroads: Symmetrical Triangle AnalysisDear Traders,
I’ve prepared a special XAUUSD–gold analysis for you. Gold is currently moving within a symmetrical triangle formation. If gold breaks upward within this triangle and closes a candle, the first target will be the 4160 level. If it breaks downward, the first target will be the 3800 level.
I share these insights because I truly value you. Each follower is precious to me, and together we are like a family here. Every like and show of support motivates me to continue providing these analyses. Thank you sincerely to everyone who stands by me.
With respect and affection.
-TraderTilki
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Buy Signal – 4H Timeframe
Entry: 4,130
Stop Loss: 4,110
Take Profit: 4,170
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 2
Price is currently retesting the 4,125–4,165 resistance zone after a strong bullish run, showing signs of continuation. A confirmed breakout and close above 4,130 indicate strong buying momentum toward 4,170.
The RSI is around 58–60, suggesting mild bullish strength and room for further upside before becoming overbought. The volume shows rising green bars, confirming that buyers are stepping in and defending the 4,110–4,120 support area.
This setup signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Traders can enter at 4,130, place a stop loss at 4,110 to protect against false breakouts, and aim for a take profit at 4,170. If buying pressure increases with RSI climbing above 60 and volume expanding further, the next possible target could be 4,190 with a trailing stop to secure profits.
Gold Again Chance for further growth momentumGold prices edged lower on Tuesday as traders booked profits after hitting a near three-week high earlier in the session. Despite the short-term dip, overall sentiment remains bullish. Market participants are eyeing the potential resumption of U.S. economic data releases, which could strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month — a factor supportive of gold prices.
The broader trend remains bullish and aggressive, though a short-term pullback is possible as the market consolidates recent gains. This minor correction could serve as a base for the next upward move, with support seen around 4168 and potential upside targets between 4200 and 4220.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
---
XAU/USD: Bullish Climb to 4225?FX:XAUUSD is positioning for a bullish climb on the 1-hour chart , with price respecting an upward trendline as dynamic support, bouncing from a key support zone that could fuel an upside extension toward multiple resistance levels if buyers sustain momentum. This setup offers a strategic entry amid recent volatility, with potential for breakout if volume picks up.
Entry between 4075-4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management). Targets at 4180 (first) and 4225 (second), yielding a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:3 overall .Set a stop loss on a close below 4063 to limit downside exposure. 🌟 Monitor for confirmation via a strong bullish candle above entry with increasing volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven status.
Fundamentally , today's US economic data, including MBA Mortgage Applications at 13:00 UTC and Fed's Waller speech at 16:00 UTC, could sway USD strength and thus gold prices—hawkish Fed tones might cap upside, while softer data supports bulls. Recent analysis notes gold slipping below $4140 on a double top, signaling short-term pullbacks but with rebound potential testing pivotal resistance. 💡
📝 Trade Setup:
🎯 Entry Zone: 4075 – 4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management)
💰 Targets:
1️⃣ 4180 – initial resistance zone
2️⃣ 4225 – secondary target / take-profit zone
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 4063
📈 Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:3 overall, depending on execution and scale-out strategy
What's your take on this gold move? Comment below!💡
Gold Moves Exactly as PlannedHey traders!
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I expected a price correction — and gold perfectly followed the plan, dropping from 4150 to 4096, giving us a great profit!
As anticipated, the bullish move has now started, aiming for the target shown on the chart.
Follow me for more updates and fresh analyses! 🚀💰
Shutdown Deal in Focus | Gold Prices Pause Before Key VoteGOLD | Overview
Gold steady ahead of U.S. House vote on government reopening.
Gold prices remained steady on Wednesday as investors awaited a U.S. House of Representatives vote on a deal to reopen the federal government, an outcome that could restore economic data visibility and shape expectations for future Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Technically:
Gold maintains a bearish bias while trading below the 4132–4144 pivot zone, with downside potential toward 4104, and a break below this level could extend losses to 4083 and 4053.
However, a 1H close above 4145 would shift sentiment to bullish, targeting 4168 and 4190, with further extension possible toward 4207.
Pivot Zone: 4132 – 4144
Resistance: 4168 · 4190 · 4207
Support: 4104 · 4083 · 4053
GOLD BUY ANALYSISLong-Term Buy Opportunity (Wave (V) Impulse)
Buy Zone: $4,080 – $4,090 (completion of minor dip / retest of breakout)
Target (TP1): $4,200
Target (TP2): $4,240 – $4,250 (completion of Wave (V))
Stop Loss: $4,050
Reasoning:
The structure suggests an ongoing bullish channel.
Once Wave (IV) holds, the next upward leg should complete Wave (V), targeting the resistance zone around $4,250.
Notes:
The market structure remains bullish in the medium term.
Watch for confirmation of a bullish breakout from the triangle consolidation.
Manage risk carefully and trail stops once Wave (V) progresses toward resistance.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #Forex #Commodities #WaveAnalysis #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheDip #SwingTrade
XAUUSD 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4113
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart AnalysisSetup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 4,062
Stop Loss: 4,026
Target: 4,246
Analysis:
Gold experienced a sharp decline but has now tapped into an intraday demand zone near 4,060. Price is showing early signs of a bullish reaction, suggesting a potential retracement or continuation toward the previous high zone around 4,240–4,250. If buyers maintain control above 4,060, upside movement remains likely.
Bias: Bullish above 4,060
Invalidation: Break and close below 4,026
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #LongSetup #Forex #Commodities #MarketAnalysis
XAUUSD | GOLD LONG SETUP🎅✨ Santa’s Got a New Sleigh ✨🎅
- Forget reindeer — this year he’s hitching his ride to gold bars.
- The chart looks like Santa’s sack: heavy, bulging, and ready to burst open at resistance.
- RSI? More like “Really Santa’s Incoming.”
- Fib levels lining up like elves in formation, handing out bullish candles instead of candy canes.
- If this breaks north, it’s not just a rally — it’s a jingle‑bell breakout.
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 2 weeks , and we have a range now for 2 days started between 4100.00 to 4148.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 4100.00 will be the best place for Buy and 4148.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 4148.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 4100.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action . I`m Sure that the main direction now is buy so i`m interesting to buy gold from 4100.00 but the best place for me will be 4060.00 cuz the price didn`t retest it until now . if we have a daily closure below our support then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4130.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4130.00 One more time and we have already a great touch that take all stop losses before going up so i think the second touch will be better and will give us a good chance to enter with good stop loss , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .






















