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Gold bulls stage a strong comeback!Market awaits rate cut signal On Wednesday (November 19), gold rose modestly for the second consecutive trading day, attempting to extend the previous day's rebound from the psychological level of nearly $4,000, and is currently trading around $4,110. The decline in Wall Street stocks indicates that market concerns about the US economy have led to fragile risk sentiment, putting dollar bulls on the defensive. Coupled with the ongoing geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these factors have become key factors supporting the rise of the safe-haven precious metal. However, due to weakened market expectations for another Fed rate cut in December, a substantial depreciation of the dollar is unlikely. This, in turn, may limit the upside potential of gold, a non-interest-bearing asset. Before positioning for the next directional move in gold, the market may prefer to wait for more clues about the Fed's rate cut path. Therefore, market focus will be on the Fed's FOMC meeting minutes released later today, and the delayed US non-farm payroll report to be released this week—currently showing signs of a slowdown in the labor market. As the longest government shutdown in U.S. history continues, investor concerns about weakening economic momentum persist, weighing on market sentiment and supporting safe-haven gold. The Ukrainian military stated on Tuesday that it had used U.S.-supplied ATACMS to strike targets within Russia. Amid the ongoing conflict, Zelenskyy will visit Turkey to restart stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks. U.S. envoy Steve Vitkov is expected to participate in the talks. However, Kremlin spokesman Peskov stated that Russian representatives will not attend, and geopolitical risks continue to support precious metals. The dollar struggled to find substantial buying interest, fluctuating around 99.55. Several Federal Reserve officials have recently signaled caution regarding further monetary easing next month. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson stated earlier this week that the Fed needs to proceed cautiously with policy. Meanwhile, Governor Christopher Waller continued to justify further rate cuts due to concerns about a slowing labor market and hiring. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that continuing jobless claims rose to 1.957 million in the week ending October 18, indicating that the unemployment rate may have climbed in October. Currently, market pricing indicates a roughly 50% probability of an interest rate cut, a significant decrease from 94% a month ago. Therefore, the delayed September non-farm payroll report, due Thursday, is in focus. Combined with the release of the Fed meeting minutes later today, this will provide clues about the Fed's interest rate path and influence the dollar and gold price movements. Gold Price Analysis: Reviewing yesterday's gold price action, the overall trend was one of bottoming out and rebounding. After finding support at 3998, the price broke through 4030 in the US session, officially turning bullish. After a pullback to 4029, it rose again, reaching a high of 4082 at one point, closing with a small bullish candle with a long lower shadow. From the daily chart perspective, yesterday's gold closed with a small bullish candle with a lower shadow. This candlestick pattern contains rich market information; the presence of the lower shadow indicates that in the battle between bulls and bears, the bulls gained the upper hand, driving the price rebound higher. Ending a three-day losing streak, a "king's return" scenario! Today's focus will shift to the Fed meeting minutes. Although yesterday's trading session closed with a positive candle, the overall situation is not optimistic. The short-term moving averages above are providing significant resistance, and no substantial breakthrough has been achieved. Given the three consecutive negative days, the single positive candle's rebound is likely only a temporary correction. The market is expected to continue its pullback this morning, with support around 4050, a level that has acted as a support/resistance level and will serve as a key dividing line between bullish and bearish trends. The European session's movement will be crucial and will continue to influence the US session's trend. The significant resistance remains around 4100-05, the previous high of the negative candle. This area will be the last line of defense for both bulls and bears in the short term. Whether the current daily moving average system can break through this resistance remains to be seen. Given yesterday's rebound and this morning's pullback, there is still some room for continuation today. A long position can be considered if the price retraces to around 4055-50. A special reminder: the non-farm payroll data will be released this Thursday. While there is anticipation for a bullish move, the impact of the non-farm payroll data should also be closely monitored. In summary, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4100-4110, while the key support level is 4050-4030.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VivianSandro
GOLD H1 – Hawkish Fed Pressure Ahead of Key NFP Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (18/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a bearish corrective channel as markets react to hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and positioning ahead of this week’s U.S. NFP data. • Fed officials signaled a stronger stance against premature rate cuts, keeping USD supported and limiting gold’s upside. • Price continues to hover near $4,080, reflecting uncertainty as traders balance Fed tone with upcoming labor-market reports. Institutional order flow shows controlled downside pressure, with engineered liquidity sweeps forming around both channel extremes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a Bearish Correction Channel, creating consecutive BOS points, confirming distribution. • Premium Sell Zone: 4107–4105 aligns with a previous mitigation block + internal liquidity. • Discount Buy Zone: 3983–3985 sits at the lower boundary of the channel + liquidity sweep zone. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity above 4107 (clean equal-high pocket). → Sell-side liquidity resting around 3985–3976, where prior long positions were removed. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,107 – 4,105 • Stop-Loss: 4,117 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,060 (minor imbalance fill) → 4,030 (BOS retest) → 3,985 (discount zone) 📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish BOS on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 3,983 – 3,985 • Stop-Loss: 3,976 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,030 (short-term structure high) → 4,060 (inefficiency midpoint) → 4,105 (premium retest) 📌 Valid if price taps channel low + shows bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility as markets digest hawkish Fed remarks before NFP. • Avoid entering trades inside the 4020–4070 chop region without clear BOS. • Reduce position size during news hours. • Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket. 📝 Summary Gold remains pressured by Fed rhetoric, but liquidity is building at both extremes. • Sell Zone: 4107–4105 (premium mitigation area) • Buy Zone: 3983–3985 (discount liquidity sweep) Price is likely to form a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern within the channel. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡ 🎁 More insights & gifts on my TradingView profile.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
28
XAU/USD Turning Point: Resistance Test & Downside TargetsPrice at Major Resistance Zone (4075–4095) Your chart shows gold pushing into a strong resistance block, which has already caused previous rejections. This zone is stacked with: Multiple horizontal resistance lines Previous swing highs A rising channel touch This area represents high selling pressure. 2️⃣ Rising Channel (Short-Term Bullish Structure) Price has climbed inside a yellow ascending channel, but it is now: Testing the channel top Losing bullish momentum Showing early rejection wicks This suggests the upside is limited unless price breaks above 4095–4105 with a strong impulsive candle. 3️⃣ Rejection Signals You marked red dots at key rejection points. Price is reacting similarly again near the resistance zone. This increases probability of: ➡️ A pullback toward channel midline ➡️ Or a complete channel breakdown 4️⃣ Support Levels to Watch If selling pressure increases, potential targets: 4060–4055 → First intraday support 4045–4038 → Strong support zone 4000–3985 → Major bearish target (dotted projection) 5️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability Now) If price fails to break above 4095–4105, expect: 📉 Reversal from the resistance block → channel breakdown → move toward 4038 and possibly 4000. 6️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario (Low Probability) Bullish continuation only activates if: ✔️ Strong breakout above 4105 ✔️ Retest holds as support If so, next resistance is around 4120–4140. 📌 SUMMARY Price is at a critical resistance. Rejection patterns + channel top = probability of downward reversal is high. Watch 4060 → 4045 → 4000 as the next supports. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME:BTC1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:PL1! COMEX:HG1! TFEX:S501! Bullish continuation only if price breaks 4105 with strength. If you want, I can also generate: ✅ Sell signal in your requested languages or ✅ Full multi-language trading plan
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Report 18/11/25Summary The next leg of the market narrative is being pulled in opposite directions by three forces: Tesla’s shareholder vote on an unprecedented, performance-contingent $1 trillion award that would cement Elon Musk’s control over a “physical-AI” strategy; a renewed wave of mega-cap AI capex that is visibly compressing margins at some tech leaders while strengthening others via cloud cash flows; and a fragile, tariff-truce détente between Washington and Beijing that eased tail risk but leaves core strategic frictions unresolved. Into this mix, risk appetite wobbled as a broad selloff swept across equities, crypto, and even gold late last week, while oil slumped and the dollar stayed firm against the yen, reminding investors that positioning and liquidity matter as much as fundamentals in the near term.  Tesla’s vote is the catalyst that concentrates these themes. The package would lift Musk’s stake to roughly 25% on stretching milestones, including audacious targets for market value and operational delivery tied to robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid platform. The governance optics are controversial, but the market read is binary: either lock in the “key-man” premium that underwrites Tesla’s robot ambitions, or risk a multiple that re-anchors on autos and energy storage if leadership or strategy fragment. Reporting indicates investors broadly expect passage, and U.S. press has framed the plan near-term as “likely to pass,” with big holders signaling support. The immediate vector for TSLA, then, is not demand for EVs in Q4, but whether investors are willing to keep discounting high-variance, long-dated FSD/robotaxi/robot cash flows on faith that Musk stays, and executes. At the same time, Big Tech’s AI arms race is reshaping P&Ls and factor exposures. Meta has guided capex up again into a ~$64–72 billion band for 2025 (with spending heavily skewed to data-center equipment that depreciates over ~5½ years), and its Q3 results showed costs rising faster than revenue, souring sentiment as investors reassessed the “spend now, profits later” trajectory. Alphabet also lifted capex materially this year (to the ~$70–75 billion zone), but benefits from Cloud profitability and stronger free-cash-flow momentum, softening the blow relative to Meta. Microsoft continues to show Azure revenue growth around the 30–40% range with high-40s to low-40s operating margins in Intelligent Cloud, keeping the cash-engine humming even as depreciation ramps. The message for markets is straightforward: AI is no longer just an “NVIDIA trade”, it is a capital-intensive, margin-shifting infrastructure build-out that helps owners of rentable compute (clouds) and strains ad-only models that lack a cloud payback.  The macro backdrop isn’t standing still. A fragile U.S.–China trade calm followed leadership talks that paused some tariff escalations and delayed rare-earth restrictions for a year, lowering immediate supply-chain stress and trimming the “worst-case” path for the dollar and global growth volatility. But analysts caution that structural rivalry remains intact, and any reprieve could fade as technology controls and election-year politics re-assert themselves. The effect is “less bad, not solved,” which markets will treat as volatility-suppressing while it lasts.  Market reactions (now) Into the weekend and Monday session, risk assets stumbled in concert. U.S. stocks slid, the Dow closed near 46,590, oil fell hard toward the high-$50s, and even havens wobbled as traders de-risked broadly; the euro hovered near $1.16 and USD/JPY around ¥155. A single-session snapshot never tells the whole story, but the breadth of the selloff, “ensnaring everything from gold to crypto to highflying tech”, speaks to tight positioning meeting a liquidity pocket, not a sudden change in the economic data.  Strategic forecasts For the next 1–3 months, the path of least resistance is choppy but range-bound risk. If Tesla’s plan passes, the “physical-AI” optionality narrative can re-inflate specialty AI and autonomy beta even if near-term EV unit data stay soft; if it surprises by failing, expect an abrupt de-rating in “far-dated optionality” names and a quality/margin rotation back toward cash-rich cloud providers. Beneath the surface, AI-capex leakage into the real economy, power demand, land for data centers, transformers, grid upgrades, should keep non-tech cyclicals like utilities equipment, select industrials, and specialized REITs on a firmer trajectory, even as ad-driven platforms digest depressed operating leverage. On policy, the tariff truce keeps DXY capped versus Europe but supported against Asia until there is clarity on tech controls; any renewed chip-export tightening would be dollar-positive vs. CNY/JPY but equity-negative near term.  Fiscal and political implications The AI build-out is becoming a fiscal and regulatory story. Power-grid bottlenecks will invite incentives, permitting reform, and local tax debates; capex-heavy tech will lobby for rapid interconnection timelines and favorable depreciation schedules to cushion income statements. Internationally, Washington’s need to coordinate with allies on “de-risking” versus China will continue to produce mini-deals that ease immediate trade noise without resolving the core strategic contest, keeping corporate planning in a “just-in-case” mode. Domestic labor and household stress remain in focus, shutdown aftershocks and partial SNAP payments demonstrate both the system’s resilience and its limits, with court-ordered funding workarounds creating administrative frictions that can dent near-term consumption at the margin.  Risks Execution risk dominates. For Tesla, commercialization of FSD at meaningful attach rates and regulatory-permitted robotaxi operations is the hurdle, not demos; any high-profile setback in autonomy safety would sharply compress the “option value” embedded in TSLA. For Big Tech, the risk is a capex-driven margin air-pocket that collides with a softer ad tape or slower cloud bookings. Macro-politically, the U.S.–China respite could evaporate on chips, rare-earths, or maritime incidents; sanctions slippage via Russia-China energy trade complicates oil balances and could reignite volatility if enforcement tightens. Lastly, positioning risk is acute: with crowded exposures in AI beneficiaries and gold/crypto hedges, air pockets can produce “sell everything” days like we just saw.  Opportunities Investors can lean into AI infrastructure second-derivatives, power, grid equipment, switchgear, long-lead transformers, specialized construction, and select data-center landlords, where backlog visibility is rising with less headline risk than ad-supported platforms. Within tech, prefer cloud vendors with improving unit economics over ad-only models until depreciation crests. In autos, position for dispersion: high-quality suppliers leveraged to driver-assist and power electronics should hold up better than commodity EV assemblers until pricing stabilizes. For macro hedges, maintain a barbelled approach, quality duration and cash-generative defensives on one side; selective commodity exposure (especially if China continues to build oil reserves) on the other, while avoiding crowded, high-beta hedges that can unwind violently.  Asset-by-asset take XAUUSD (Gold): The latest de-risking wave hit gold alongside crypto, which is unusual but not unprecedented when funds raise cash. Structurally, gold is still supported by negative real-rate impulses if the Fed leans easier into 2026 and by central-bank buying. Tactically, expect choppy consolidation after a parabolic year; add on dips that coincide with DXY spikes rather than chase strength.  S&P 500 / Dow Jones: Mega-cap tech’s capex shock and margin questions argue for a narrower leadership with rolling corrections beneath the index. The Dow’s latest pullback to ~46,6k reflects de-risking, not a growth scare; breadth and earnings revisions, particularly in cloud, utilities-adjacent industrials, and healthcare, will dictate whether dips are bought. Near-term, a 3–5% volatility band is base case.  DXY: The tariff truce and softer oil tone limit upside versus EUR, but DXY stays supported by U.S. growth differentials and higher carry versus JPY and some EM. Range 102–106 feels appropriate unless a new policy shock re-prices the Fed path or a sharper European slowdown materializes.  USDJPY: With yen near ~¥155 and the BoJ’s normalization still glacial, USDJPY remains a funding-beta barometer. Episodes of global de-risking can pull it lower, but the structural trade favors rallies unless Tokyo accelerates policy shifts or U.S. yields break lower decisively.  Crude Oil: Prices slipped toward the high-$50s despite geopolitics, aided by ample supply and China’s stockpiling strategy smoothing demand. Sanctions friction around Russian flows is real but porous; watch for enforcement surprises as the main upside risk. Base case: $58–70 WTI unless inventories tighten.  TSLA (as a proxy for “physical-AI” beta): Passage of the plan likely sustains the optionality premium; failure compresses the multiple quickly toward autos/energy storage comps. Either way, volatility is elevated into and right after the vote; risk-manage with staged sizing and options overlays if expressing a view.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold: Consolidation Is Not Over YetGold turned sharply lower in October, pulling back around 10%, which is quite normal after such a strong and aggressive recovery this year. The key question now is whether this is now wave four of an ongoing extended black wave five cycle, or if wave five already completed leg out of triangle, at the 4380 area !? Well, notice that Gold turned lower at the end of last week from the trendline resistance after only an ABC rise into the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci zon e, and the market then dropped enough to overlap the 4042 level . This makes me think we are in the middle of a complex correction. It can be a triangle, it can be a flat, it can even be a WXY formation, so overall it looks like metals will stay inside this correction for a bit longer. There is also a risk that lower supports will be retested first. The first important support is around 3940, but if that one gives way then the next bigger zone is down at 3700–3800. So, ff we are correct, metals will still resume higher later on, but right now we are still stuck inside this corrective phase, so it’s better to stay patient. GH
SAXO:XAUUSD
by ew-forecast
2
XAUUSD – SHORT TRADE ACTIVATED PERFECTLYGold has moved exactly into our marked zone and has perfectly tapped the level we were stalking. That reaction gave us the confirmation we needed, and our sell-stop entry has now been triggered. From here, we’re targeting a minimum of 2R, but with multiple take-profit levels aligned with structure, volume pockets, and liquidity pools, there’s room to extend this move toward 4R+ if momentum follows through. Technically, price action is showing a clean rejection wick from the supply zone, followed by a shift in market structure on the lower timeframes. We also have declining bullish momentum and evidence of sellers stepping in, with the impulsive leg now breaking through minor intraday supports. As always, how you manage the trade is personal—locking profits at 2R is completely valid—but the chart currently supports a deeper corrective leg if bearish order flow continues. Overall, it’s a strong setup with a clear narrative: exhaustion at the highs, liquidity grab, structure break, and continuation potential. A very clean look for traders following the trend shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TickTradeSignals
1
Gold Roadmap => Short-termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving below the Support zone($4,053 – $4,025) , but given the cluster of supports ahead , we can consider this beak is a fake break . From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold has completed its wave 5 near the support lines , and we can anticipate a corrective upward movement . Also, we can observe positive Regular Divergence (RD+) in consecutive valleys. I expect Gold to rise to the Resistance zone($4,125 – $4,097) in the next step after breaking the Resistance lines and confronting the $4,073 level . First Target: $4,091 Second Target: $4,113 Stop Loss(SL): $3,987 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
21
Gold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; TechniGold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; Technicals Slightly Bearish, But Blindly Chasing the Market is Discretionary The gold market is trading in a narrow range amid a tense atmosphere ahead of the data release, with both bulls and bears awaiting tonight's non-farm payrolls report to break the deadlock. The gold market is at a crucial crossroads. After months of consolidation, tonight's September non-farm payrolls report is seen as a key catalyst that could break this deadlock. As the last official employment data before the Fed's December meeting, this report should have significant market influence; however, Wall Street is cautious about its reference value. The Non-Farm Payrolls Suspense This non-farm payrolls report comes against a very special backdrop—it is not only the first release of September data but also the last official comprehensive employment data before the Fed's December interest rate meeting. Market analysts point out that the delayed release of the November non-farm payrolls data may further weaken the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, making tonight's data even more noteworthy. Before the data release, market sentiment generally leans towards a technically bearish outlook for gold, but traders are also wary of potential unexpected volatility from the data. Gold continued its consolidation within a range ahead of the non-farm payrolls data release. A bearish bias within this range remains the mainstream strategy, with very low participation from bulls throughout the day. Technical Analysis: From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour chart for gold shows that the price failed to stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band during the daytime pullback, exhibiting a weak and gradual downward trend. Key Resistance Levels: 4082, 4110 Core Support Levels: 4040, 4000 The market cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the 4000 level, but blindly chasing the market in this range-bound pattern carries significant risk. A strategy of buying low and selling high is more prudent. Short entry points are suggested in the 4110-20-30 area, with a secondary short entry point at 4147-50, targeting 4000 and holding if it breaks through. For short-term traders, repeated shorting opportunities can be initiated at the given resistance levels. Trading Recommendations For tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a more cautious approach is advised: Long Strategy: Buy gold around 4040-42, stop loss at 4032, target 4080, 4100! Short Strategy: Consider shorting if the resistance level of 4110 (the high of the previous day) holds. It is worth noting that tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data is the first publicly released employment data in nearly two months, and it is expected to cause significant market volatility. Investors must manage risk carefully. With the release of tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data, the gold market may end its months-long consolidation and begin a new one-sided trend. For cautious investors, waiting for the data release before following the trend may be a wiser choice; for short-term traders, a strategy of buying low and selling high before the data release can still be cautiously implemented under strict risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4045 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
14
Gold may continue to decline toward 4020 – 4015 if 4030 breaks.📊 Market Overview: Gold has fully broken the strong support zone 4045 – 4040 and quickly dropped to 4030, as the US Dollar strengthens and US Treasury yields rise. The market is reacting to recent Fed signals, giving sellers full control. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 4045 – 4055 • Stronger Resistance: 4065 – 4075 • Nearest Support: 4030 – 4032 • Stronger Support: 4020 – 4015 • EMA09: Price is below EMA09 on H1 → short-term bearish trend. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles form consecutive lower highs; volume rises on large bearish candles → sellers dominate. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: • Gold may continue to decline toward 4020 – 4015 if 4030 breaks. • Conversely, a clear reversal candle around 4030 could trigger a technical rebound toward 4040 – 4045 before resuming the downtrend. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4045 – 4048 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4053 🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4015 – 4012 🎯 TP: 30 / 50 / 100 pips ❌ SL: 4008
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD Buyers Step In — Market Aiming for $4,140 RetestHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD maintains a bullish structure after bouncing from the key $4,050–$4,060 support zone, where price also retested the ascending trendline. After breaking out of the descending channel, Gold formed a new accumulation zone and moved higher, approaching the strong $4,140 resistance level. The price is now trading between the ascending support and the local supply zone near $4,140, forming a tightening structure. A breakout above this level could open the way for further upside, while a rejection may trigger a correction back toward $4,060. As long as XAUUSD holds above $4,060 and the ascending trendline, a renewed move toward $4,140 remains likely, with potential for a breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
26
Gold prices continue to fall around 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward $4,105 in early European trading on Friday, breaking a two-day losing streak as a softer US Dollar lends support. Traders now look to upcoming Fed remarks from Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, and Waller for further direction. Improved risk sentiment following the US government’s reopening has weighed on safe-haven demand. The shutdown ended after President Trump signed a funding bill last week, allowing federal employees to return to work after the 43-day closure ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to accumulate - short-term correction downtrend below 4145 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151 TP1: $4130 TP2: $4115 TP3: $4100 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999 TP1: $4018 TP2: $4030 TP3: $4045 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
I'm planning to go long on gold in the 4045-4065 range!This week, the gold market exhibited a generally volatile and consolidating pattern, offering traders some room for maneuver. Gold prices initially surged to a high of $4132 at the beginning of the week, but subsequently failed to maintain their upward momentum, gradually retreating and entering a range-bound consolidation phase, primarily fluctuating between $4000 and $4110. Compared to previous weeks' volatile price movements influenced by macroeconomic data or geopolitical situations, this week's trend was more moderate and orderly, with narrower fluctuations, weaker trends, and a relatively controllable overall pace. This volatile market provides numerous opportunities for short-term traders, especially with the high-sell-low-buy strategy proving particularly effective between key support and resistance levels. Some investors have successfully captured pullbacks and achieved ideal returns by accurately timing their short positions and decisively placing short orders in areas where prices encounter resistance during rebounds. From a weekly technical perspective, this week's candlestick closed as a doji with upper and lower shadows. This signal typically indicates a short-term balance between bullish and bearish forces, with neither buyers nor sellers holding a clear dominant position. Based on an analysis of the recent global financial market environment, there is currently a lack of major driving factors sufficient to propel gold in a clear direction. On the one hand, inflation data from major economies are gradually stabilizing, and monetary policy expectations are becoming more moderate, reducing gold's short-term appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, while geopolitical risks still exist, they have not escalated to the point of triggering widespread risk aversion. Therefore, market participants are generally adopting a wait-and-see attitude, making it difficult for gold prices to form a sustained breakout. It is worth noting that reviewing historical trends over the past few months reveals that the gold market often experiences sudden fluctuations at the end of the week, especially on Fridays. Examples include rapid rises or falls after the release of non-farm payroll data, or technical breakdowns caused by unexpected events. This "Friday effect" increases the risk of holding positions over the weekend. Therefore, even if the current market appears stable, traders need to remain highly vigilant, manage their positions reasonably, and set stop-loss orders to guard against potential unexpected fluctuations. From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has reached a key technical juncture—the so-called "bullish/bearish dividing line." Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly around the middle Bollinger Band. This area is not only a convergence zone of short-term moving averages but also a significant psychological level that has been tested multiple times previously. As an important tool for measuring market volatility, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is currently in a low-volatility phase, suggesting a potential directional move. If the gold price can effectively hold above the middle band, accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, it may resume its upward trend, with the next target potentially pointing to the key resistance area of ​​$4090 or even $4100. Conversely, if it fails to hold this support level and breaks below the lower band, it may resume its downward correction, testing even lower support levels. Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, the recommended trading strategy is to establish long positions in batches within the $4045 to $4065 range after the market opens. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
XAU/USD Bullish Structure Retest Offering Strategic Swing Entry🏆 XAU/USD GOLD SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 💰 Bullish Pullback Setup | LSMA Moving Average Confirmation 📊 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) | METALS Market Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily Bias) Setup Type: Bullish Continuation on Pullback Confirmation Indicator: LSMA Moving Average 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY Method: Layer Entry Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Recommended) Entry Zones: Primary Entry: 4010.00 - 4020.00 (First layer - 40% position) Secondary Entry: 3990.00 - 4000.00 (Second layer - 35% position) Confirmation: Wait for LSMA to show bullish crossover + price rejection from support level 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss: 3960.00 ⚠️ Important Note: Adjust your SL based on YOUR personal risk tolerance & trading strategy. This is a suggested level only - YOUR risk management is YOUR responsibility. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum recommended 🚀 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: 4260.00 Technical Reasons: Strong resistance level identified Overbought zone trap setup (scalp-friendly) Correction potential after breakdown confirmation Historical support/resistance confluence ⚠️ Disclaimer: Take partial profits at technical levels. TP is suggestive only - YOUR profit management is YOUR decision. Risk management is individual responsibility. 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS ANALYZED ✅ LSMA Moving Average - Bullish Structure Confirmation ✅ Price Action - Pullback to Support ✅ Resistance/Support Levels - Multi-timeframe confluence ✅ Overbought/Oversold Zones - Trap identification 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 1. EURUSD (EUR/USD) - Inverse Correlation ⚠️ Gold typically strengthens when USD weakens If EURUSD rallies, XAU/USD may follow (USD weakness) Key Point: Monitor US Dollar strength/weakness for directional bias Setup Link: EUR strength = Gold strength 2. DXY (US Dollar Index) - Direct Inverse Correlation 📉 Most Important Correlation When DXY falls → Gold typically rises When DXY rises → Gold typically falls Key Levels to Watch: DXY 105.50 - 106.50 (Major support/resistance) Our Edge: If DXY breaks below support, XAU/USD bullish case strengthens 3. USDJPY (USD/JPY) - Strong USD Indicator 💹 High positive correlation with USD strength If USDJPY rises sharply = USD strengthening = Gold pressure Key Point: Monitor for conflicting signals before entry Watch Zone: 150.00 - 151.50 resistance 4. SPX500 (S&P 500) - Risk Sentiment Indicator 📊 Risk-off environment = Gold strength During market corrections, gold rallies (safe-haven) Key Point: If SPX breaks major support, expect gold rally acceleration Current Context: Monitor for equity weakness signals 5. UST10Y (US 10-Year Treasury Yield) - Rate Pressure 📉 Inverse relationship with Gold prices Rising yields = Gold headwinds Falling yields = Gold tailwinds Our Setup: Lower yields support bullish gold bias 💡 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Confirm LSMA bullish alignment on primary timeframe Check DXY weakness (< 106.00 = favorable) Verify no major economic data releases (next 4 hours) Set layer entry limit orders (avoid FOMO market entries) Confirm risk/reward = minimum 1:2.5 Position size = 1-2% account risk maximum Set alerts at entry/SL/TP levels ⚡ TRADING RULES ONLY enter on confirmed LSMA bullish structure Use limit orders (never market buy at resistance) Trail stop-loss once +50 pips profit locked Take 50% profit at +100 pips minimum Move remaining SL to breakeven + 5 pips after TP1 hit Never add to losing position Created For: Active Swing Traders | Technical Analysis Enthusiasts Best Used: Combined with your own analysis & risk management Updated: Real-time market conditions check recommended before entry "The best trade is the one you DON'T take because it doesn't fit your plan."
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAUUSD – V-Shark OB Setup Review (Nov 20) Price reacted perfectl“Gold moved exactly as expected this morning. A clean V-Shark OB setup: Structure – OB – Fibo – Volume all aligned. Just a small refinement around the Volume Gap can make this setup even more optimal.” “VNShark – Follow the shark’s footprints with V-Shark OB.” #XAUUSD #Gold #VNShark #OrderBlock #VSharkOB #Volume #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #Liquidity #TradingVietNam #ForexAnalysis #MarketStructure #BearishOB
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VNShark-OB
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