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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Ranging day on gold today with not much action. We gave the lower levels yesterday that we wanted price to tap and bounce from which it did, giving a nice long trade to start the week. After that, just small up and down movement not really worth getting involved in. For that reason, we'll stick with the same plan for now and monitor the indicators for any change, otherwise, still looking for a potential undercut low. RED BOXES: Break above 4095 for 4104, 4110, 4120 and 4127 in extension of the move Break below 4080 for 4065✅, 4055✅ and 4040 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
18
Gold: Open path to lower grounds?The price of gold was following general market sentiment during the previous week, and was traded in swings. The start of the week was marked with an increased demand for gold, bringing the price to the level of $4.243. However, Friday trading session brought a modest correction, where gold was headed toward the $4.035, but closed the week at $4.079. The RSI closed the week at the level of 53, after previously reaching the level of 61. The indicator is showing that the market is struggling to take a clear path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 and MA200 lines are still moving without change - as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Current charts are showing that the gold has an important level around $4.100, while strong support holds at $3.930. Friday trading session showed that the support at $4.1K was breached, which leaves the path open toward testing the $3.930 support. In this sense, the first stop for the price of gold might be the $4K level, before it continues its move further to the support line. With respect to the opposite side, there is currently some probability that the level of $4.1K could be tested again, and much lower probability for the level of $4,2K.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
GOLD $GC Levels and Patterns AnalysisTraders and Investors, Gold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating mostly but still has been giving a lot of great short term and swing trade opportunities. I have updated the important levels and zones which can act as support and resistance. They should guide us a bit for the best possible trade opportunities. There as possible W pattern forming. It has not formed or completed yet. It must first break the trend line and confirm the break. BTW, that trend line can also give us a good opportunities around it. Next, the price has to break the mid point of potential W pattern. Once it has done that, it can complete the W pattern. Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
TVC:GOLD
by vikinsa
1
Overview: Gold isn’t Stalling, it’s Loading...Things have seemed a bit messy for gold lately: momentum getting shaky, traders unsure whether this is a top or the start of something bigger... But zoom out even slightly, and the story becomes stupidly simple. First, after price broke an important resistance and accelerated upwards (Check my analysis before that ), we get a strong impulsive leg, a steep ascending flagpole. Then price pulled back in a controlled, downward-sloping channel. Lower highs, lower lows, perfectly respecting trendlines... Just a controlled cooldown after aggressive expansion. Price then slipped into consolidation, where nothing seemed to happen. That’s the phase where traders panic, second-guess themselves, and misread a simple pause as a full trend reversal. Compression ➝ expansion. And then, out of nowhere, the breakout.. right when traders are drained and doubting the trend. Price breaks out of that range, straight into another impulsive leg. That breakout alone confirms the continuation. BUT THE BEST PART? After the breakout, what do we get? Another flag. A cute mini one. This smaller flag is not reversal pressure. Just a pause before the next expansion. The same continuation logic applies: strong leg up, controlled corrective structure, and now the market is coiling again, preparing for its next push. Traders call this noise, but it’s just the market doing the same thing on a smaller scale. Corrections inside corrections. Fractals. Order. This mini flag is nothing more than momentum reloading. Compression before another expansion. THE SAME SCRIPT PLAYING OUT AGAIN. This is where most traders get confused. They zoom too far in, see little candles chopping around, and think the trend is done. But when you actually look at structure, it becomes clear: the market simply created a smaller bullish flag on top of the larger one. A mini-correction sitting right above the breakout. The exact behavior a trending market should show: momentum, pullback, momentum. We have a pattern of impulse → flag → impulse → flag. And historically, structurally, this setup continues until the flag finally fails. This one hasn’t failed yet. So my expectation? A breakout form here and continuation bullish. One more beautiful leg up at minimum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
67
XAUUSD/ GOLDGold is trading around 4064 after pulling back from earlier highs Price is sitting above a highlighted strong support zone near 4030–4050 A descending trendline is acting as resistance, with a potential breakout projected upward. The chart suggests a bullish move toward the 4122 target zone if price breaks the resistance Support remains crucial—failure to hold may trigger a deeper pullback below 4030. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pintu_sahu01
2
GOLD UNDER PRESSURE - NFP DAY! 💰 GOLD UNDER PRESSURE - NFP DAY! ⚠️ Current Price: $4,066 - $4,078 🔴 Opening Price: $4,078 Today's Range: $4,042 - $4,110 Yesterday: Trimmed gains after hitting $4,132 Monthly Performance: -4.29% ❌ Status: 🔴 BEARISH - CRITICAL NFP DAY 🚨 TODAY - SEPTEMBER NFP REPORT! 📊 THE MOST IMPORTANT DATA RELEASE! First jobs report since government shutdown. This will move gold MASSIVELY! What's Happening: ❗ September NFP Today - First post-shutdown jobs data (8:30 AM ET) ❗ FOMC Minutes Yesterday - No major surprises, cautious tone ❗ Gold Trimming Gains - Fell from $4,132 to $4,066 ❗ Dollar Strengthening - DXY above 99.50, pressuring gold ❗ December Rate Cut Odds - Dropped to 46.6% (from 62.9% last week) ❗ Risk-Off Mood - But not helping gold due to strong USD 📊 NFP EXPECTATIONS & IMPACT Forecast: Nonfarm Payrolls: +50,000 (vs +22,000 in August) Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (unchanged) Average Hourly Earnings: Key inflation indicator How NFP Affects Gold: Strong NFP (>50K) = GOLD DOWN 🔴 Fed less likely to cut rates Dollar strengthens Gold typically drops 30-50+ pips Weak NFP (<50K) = GOLD UP 🟢 Fed more likely to cut rates Dollar weakens Gold typically rallies 40-60+ pips In-Line NFP (~50K) = CHOPPY ⚪ Mixed reaction Depends on other components (wages, unemployment) 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Market Structure: BEARISH 🔴🔴 Gold failed to break above $4,112 resistance yesterday despite FOMC. Now trading below key support. Bears have control short-term. Key Development: Gold trimmed earlier gains, trading around $4,090, easing from intraday high near $4,132. Bulls tested $4,112 resistance but failed. Critical Support Levels (Under Attack!) 🔵 Support 1: $4,065 - $4,075 (Current fight zone) Support 2: $4,042 - $4,050 (Today's low - Critical) Support 3: $4,000 - $4,005 (Psychological - Major) Support 4: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open) Support 5: $3,965 (November 6 low) Key Resistance Levels (Recovery barriers) 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,090 - $4,100 (Immediate ceiling) Resistance 2: $4,112 - $4,120 (20-day SMA - Strong) Resistance 3: $4,140 - $4,150 (Major barrier) Resistance 4: $4,170 - $4,212 (Last week's range) 📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI (14): 46 (Bearish - Neutral zone but trending down) 📉 RSI (4H): 46 (Neutral-to-bearish tone) MACD: Momentum indicator turned lower below midline ❌ Moving Averages: Price below 20-SMA ($4,080) 🔴 20-SMA acting as resistance ❌ 100-SMA and 200-SMA still below (long-term bullish) ✅ Pattern: Broader SMA configuration points to consolidative bias Volume: Above average - Institutional positioning for NFP 🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES SCENARIO 1: WEAK NFP 🟢 (40% Probability) IF NFP < 50K (Weaker than expected): Fed rate cut odds increase → Dollar falls → Gold RALLIES! LONG Setup: Entry: Immediate spike after NFP (within 5 min) Targets: TP1: $4,100 📍 (+30 pips) TP2: $4,120 📍 (+50 pips) TP3: $4,150 📍 (+80 pips) Stop Loss: $4,040 (Tight - move to breakeven fast!) Risk/Reward: 1:2+ ratio ✅ SCENARIO 2: STRONG NFP 🔴 (45% Probability) IF NFP > 50K (Stronger than expected): Fed stays hawkish → Dollar strengthens → Gold DROPS! SHORT Setup: Entry: Immediate drop after NFP Targets: TP1: $4,042 📍 (-25 pips) TP2: $4,000 📍 (-65 pips) TP3: $3,987 📍 (-80 pips) Stop Loss: $4,095 ⚠️ WARNING: Fast-moving market - use tight stops! SCENARIO 3: IN-LINE NFP ⚪ (15% Probability) IF NFP ~50K (As expected): Strategy: WAIT for Clear Direction First 15-30 min will be CHOPPY Look at other components (wages, unemployment) Trade the SECOND move after dust settles Direction depends on market interpretation 💎 NFP TRADING PLAN (Step-by-Step) BEFORE NFP (Now until 8:30 AM ET): ✅ Close ALL positions or set VERY wide stops ✅ Reduce position size to 50% of normal ✅ Set alerts at $4,100 and $4,040 ✅ Be ready - Have orders prepared but NOT placed ✅ Stay calm - Don't panic trade! DURING NFP (8:30-8:35 AM ET): ⏰ Read the number - Higher or lower than 50K? 👀 Watch initial reaction - Which way is it moving? ⚠️ Wait 2-3 minutes - Let fake moves clear 🎯 Confirm direction - Is it continuing or reversing? AFTER NFP (8:35+ AM ET): ✅ Enter ONLY if direction is clear ✅ Use smaller positions - Volatility extreme! ✅ Move SL to breakeven after +20 pips ✅ Take partial profits at each target ✅ Trail your stop - Protect profits! 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS YESTERDAY'S FOMC MINUTES: Cautious tone but no major surprises Focused on data-dependent approach Concerns about post-shutdown economic weakness No clear signal on December cut Market Reaction: Muted - Gold initially spiked to $4,132 then fell back TODAY'S NFP - WHAT MATTERS: Most Important: Headline NFP Number (+50K expected) Unemployment Rate (4.3% expected) Average Hourly Earnings (inflation signal) Why This NFP is Special: First data since 43-day shutdown May show shutdown impact on economy Will heavily influence December Fed decision Could reset market expectations entirely BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️ ✅ Weak Jobs Data Expected - Shutdown impact likely ✅ Government Concerns - Economic weakness possible ✅ Analysts still predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 end November ✅ Central banks targeting 750-900 tonnes purchases 2025 ✅ If NFP weak → Rate cut odds rise → Gold up BEARISH RISKS ⬇️ ⚠️ Strong Dollar - DXY above 99.50 and strengthening ⚠️ December Cut Odds Low - Only 46.6% now ⚠️ Failed $4,112 Break - Bears defending ⚠️ Technical Weakness - Below 20-SMA ⚠️ If NFP strong → Rate cut odds fall → Gold down 🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS Pre-NFP Positioning: Traders are: Closing longs ahead of NFP Waiting on sidelines Expecting big volatility USD bulls positioning for strength Analyst Views: Gold may stay pressured near $4,078 unless it reclaims $4,112-$4,140 Post-NFP Targets: Weak NFP: $4,150-$4,200 Strong NFP: $4,000-$3,965 💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN For DAY TRADERS: ⚡ DO NOT TRADE 30 MIN BEFORE NFP! Close all positions by 8:00 AM ET Wait for NFP release at 8:30 AM ET Let first 2-3 min settle Trade the confirmed direction Use TIGHT stops (20-30 pips max) Take quick profits For SWING TRADERS: 📊 Today Decides the Week! IF weak NFP → Go LONG for $4,150-$4,200 (hold 3-5 days) IF strong NFP → Stay FLAT or SHORT to $4,000 This data will set trend for rest of November For LONG-TERM INVESTORS: 💎 Patience! IF gold drops to $3,950-$4,000 after strong NFP → BUY IF gold rallies on weak NFP → Wait for next dip Long-term target still $4,500+ (2026) 📅 TODAY'S TIMELINE Pre-Market: Consolidation $4,065-$4,080 (nervous calm) 8:30 AM ET: NFP RELEASE 🔥🔥🔥 8:30-8:45 AM: EXTREME volatility (100+ pip moves possible!) 9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Direction confirmed, follow-through Afternoon: Profit-taking, position adjustments 🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR) Price: $4,066-$4,078 (Weak) Event: NFP TODAY 8:30 AM ET Bias: NEUTRAL until NFP (Then clear!) Strategy: WAIT for NFP, trade the reaction Risk Level: EXTREME (Highest this month!) 🔔 NFP CHEAT SHEET Strong NFP (>60K): Gold → $4,000-$4,042 🔴 Action: SHORT or stay flat Expected NFP (~50K): Gold → Choppy $4,050-$4,100 ⚪ Action: Wait for secondary move Weak NFP (<40K): Gold → $4,120-$4,150+ 🟢 Action: LONG aggressively Remember: First move can be fake! Wait for confirmation! 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Trend: ⚠️ BULLISH (Long-term) but BEARISH (Short-term) Momentum: WEAK - Bears in control 🔴 Support: TESTING at $4,065-$4,075 ⚠️ Resistance: STRONG at $4,090-$4,112 🚧 Pattern: Failed breakout + Rejection at 20-SMA Today's Outcome: NFP decides EVERYTHING! ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - NFP DAY! ✅ TINY Positions - Risk MAX 0.5% (Extreme volatility!) ✅ WIDE Stops - 40-50+ pips (Initial spikes huge) ✅ Quick Profits - Lock gains FAST (Market can reverse) ✅ NO Predictions - REACT to data, don't guess ✅ Breakeven Fast - Move SL to BE after +20 pips ✅ Accept Losses - If wrong, exit and wait 🎯 SWING TRADE SETUP (Post-NFP) Setup A - Weak NFP Rally: Entry: $4,080-$4,090 (after weak NFP confirmed) Target 1: $4,150 (Hold 2-3 days) Target 2: $4,200 (Hold 5-7 days) Stop Loss: $4,050 Setup B - Strong NFP Drop: Entry: $4,050-$4,060 (after strong NFP confirmed) Target 1: $4,000 (Hold 1-2 days) Target 2: $3,965 (Hold 3-5 days) Stop Loss: $4,085 🏆 NFP TRADING WISDOM Historical Patterns: Initial spike often REVERSES within 15 min True direction emerges after 30-60 min Average NFP move: 60-100 pips in first hour Gold inversely correlated with NFP surprises What Professional Traders Do: Close positions before NFP Wait for initial volatility to settle Trade the SECOND move (more reliable) Use smaller size than normal Move to breakeven quickly Don't fight the trend after NFP 🔮 FORECAST If Weak NFP: Today: Rally to $4,120-$4,150 Friday: Consolidate gains Next Week: Push to $4,200+ If Strong NFP: Today: Drop to $4,000-$4,042 Friday: Test support Next Week: Range $4,000-$4,100 If In-Line NFP: Today: Chop $4,050-$4,100 Friday: Direction unclear Next Week: Wait for more data 🚨 CRITICAL NFP REMINDERS ⚠️ BIGGEST VOLATILITY DAY - Expect 100+ pip swings! ⚠️ First Move Often FAKE - Don't chase immediately ⚠️ Slippage is HUGE - Market orders dangerous ⚠️ Spreads WIDEN - Costs increase dramatically ⚠️ News Can Leak - Sometimes moves before 8:30 ⚠️ Other Components Matter - Not just headline NFP ⚠️ Revisions Count - Previous months often revised 📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY Critical Support: $4,042, $4,000 (Must hold!) Strong Support: $4,065, $4,050 Weak Resistance: $4,090, $4,100 Strong Resistance: $4,112, $4,120, $4,150 NFP Breakout Up: $4,112 (Bulls win) NFP Breakdown Down: $4,042 (Bears win) ⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER Today is THE most volatile and dangerous trading day this month. NFP releases cause extreme price swings, false breakouts, stop hunting, and massive slippage. This analysis is for educational purposes only. NEVER trade the first minute after NFP. Use position sizes 50% smaller than normal. Always use stop losses. Be prepared to lose on this trade - even professionals get whipsawed. The market can gap through your stops. Past NFP reactions don't guarantee future results. If you're not experienced with NFP trading, STAY FLAT today. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading. 📱 MOST DANGEROUS DAY! 💬 NFP at 8:30 AM ET 🔔 100+ pip moves expected ⚡ DON'T GUESS - REACT! 🙏 Trade safe or don't trade! #Gold #XAUUSD #NFP #NonFarmPayrolls #ForexTrading #JobsReport #HighVolatility #RiskManagement #DayTrading #EventTrading #FOMCMinutes #MarketAnalysis #CriticalData #TradingSafety
TVC:GOLD
by AthensBySahan
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 20, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 20, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex charts into clean, practical buy & sell zones that anyone can understand. Our goal is simple: react to levels, not emotions. Follow the zones, follow the structure the market will guide you. *📰 Market Overview* Gold slipped after failing to hold above $4,100, drifting back into the mid-range as the Dollar Index (DXY) pushes toward 100.15. December rate-cut expectations have cooled to around 50%, reducing bullish momentum for metals. Markets remain fragile with data uncertainty, Fed division, and global tensions all contributing to volatility. *Key Drivers Behind Today’s Move:* 📈 DXY Strength → A stronger dollar limits upside for gold. 🏦 Fed Minutes Split → Policymakers prefer a “wait & watch” stance, keeping gold range-bound. 📉 Shutdown Data Gaps → Missing CPI/NFP prints create unpredictable volatility bursts. 🌍 Geopolitical Tensions → US–China, Mideast and Ukraine-Russia keep safe-haven flows alive. 🏛 Central Bank Demand → Q3 +220 tonnes; Poland & Kazakhstan leading accumulation. 📊 ETF Flow Behavior → After a record +222t Q3 build, November shows slight outflows but AUM stays near all-time highs — meaning investors are still holding heavy gold exposure. *📆 What’s Ahead — Key Events to Watch* 🔸 FOMC Meeting – Dec 9–10 Rate cuts remain a coin toss. A surprise hawkish stance could pressure gold quickly, while a dovish tone fuels moves toward upper ranges. 🔸 CPI / NFP Drop After Shutdown Delay With imputed CPI around ~3.0% core expected, any surprise deviation triggers instant volatility. Clustered data releases = strong intraday whipsaws. 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Premium Escalations boost gold instantly. Calm periods = USD strength and pressure on metal prices. *🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* Gold pulled back toward $4,050, but buyers are still active above the $4,000 handle. The chart currently shows a controlled range with liquidity on both sides — a perfect environment for level-based trading. *🟩 📌 BUY AREA: 4,005 – 4,028* Strong accumulation zone where previous demand stepped in. If price taps into this region, expect sharp rejections and bullish reaction candles. This zone remains valid as long as gold does not break below $4,000. Best area for swing & intraday long setups. *🟥 📌 SELL AREA: 4,107 – 4,121* This is your first reaction zone previous rejections, wick prints, and liquidity sweeps occurred here. Expect immediate resistance on first touch. Ideal short-term scalp sell region unless a clean breakout occurs. Break above → opens room toward 4,150. *📝 CONCLUSION* Gold is playing a tight game between demand at 4,005–4,028 and selling pressure at 4,107–4,121, with EQ hovering near the mid-range. Holding below EQ favors a deeper pullback into the buy zone, while a clean reclaim above EQ shifts momentum toward 4,148–4,165. Until CPI/FOMC hits, gold remains range-bound with controlled volatility. If gold close above 4100 we can see it to 4180 Stay patient. Follow the levels. Let the market hit your zones not your emotions. 🙌 Your Support Matters Please support this analysis with your likes & comments it helps motivate me to share more detailed insights with you. Feel free to drop your charts & views in the comments. I always reply! Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder – TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
2
GOLD / FORECASTGold trading between a clearly defined support zone and an overhead resistance zone. Price is currently pulling back toward the support trendlines, suggesting a potential bullish rebound. If buyers hold this zone, the market may rally toward the highlighted resistance area, where further reaction is expected.” If the price respect and Growth momentum start we could see a next resistance 4100 to 4150, "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pintu_sahu01
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/20/2025Gold yesterday did rise from 4055 and went as high as 4132. But in US session, it quickly dropped to Asian lows and closed the day in a slight green candle. This sharp drop made me hesitate to buy at this moment. There is possibility of trend reversal in medium term. Therefore, I am monitoring closely at the 4050 level. If this levels holds, price could go up further to 4132 again and even to 4180. If this level fails to hold, gold could go down to 4000 or even lower price.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by SteadyFund
GOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next MoveGOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next Move Gold has pulled back sharply after yesterday’s aggressive selloff, but price is now sitting right on a strong support zone. This area aligns with the previous structure and could act as a launch point if buyers step back in. If this zone holds, gold may attempt another push toward the 4,150 resistance and potentially break higher into the upper targets. However, a break below the support could expose the 4,025 level and even the deeper psychological zone near 3,900. Key Targets : 4,150 4,230 4,296 4,361 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
29
Gold next move (weekly forecast) (17th Nov - 21st Nov-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the week (17th Nov - 21st Nov-2025) Current price- 4085 1st scenario "if Price stays below 4120, then next target is 4060, 4040, 4020 and 4007 and above that 4140 and 4180" 2nd scenario (applicable if daily candle doesn't closes below, see the chart below) if price stays above 4000, then the next target is 4060, 4100, 4150, 4250. Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
1
Lingrid | GOLD Key Confluence Zone -Long OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the confluence support after completing a clean pullback from the previous weekly high (PWH) and the resistance zone. The market structure shows price reacting along the channel border while holding above the broader triangle breakout region and key psychological level at 4,000. If buyers defend 4,000 once again, a recovery becomes the primary scenario as bullish momentum attempts to rebuild. Price action continues to follow a higher-low pattern that supports a renewed upside push if the support floor remains intact. ⚠️ Risks: A decisive break below channel may shift momentum toward the deeper support zone near 3,900. Strong USD flows or unexpected macro data could limit upside recovery attempts. Failure to maintain the higher-low structure may weaken the bullish rebound setup. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
12
Gold Nearing the 50% Black Channel Level – Will It Reject or AvoXAUUSD – Gold Technical Update Gold is moving closer to the 50% midpoint of the main black channel, a key level highlighted in the latest weekly analysis. This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point, and the market is now approaching it once again. Key Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Scenario: If gold continues downward and breaks below the 50% level of the black channel, this could trigger a deeper correction and open the way toward lower channel targets. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If gold fails to reach the 50% level and reverses early, or if it touches the level and bounces strongly, a bullish reaction may form, leading to upward continuation. This area is the decision point: Rejection → Potential bullish move or Break → Possible bearish continuation Further updates will be posted once price confirms direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kin99old
2
GOLD Analysis (Nov 19, 2025) - Key Levels for BreakoutOANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 19, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex charts into clean buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Let levels drive your decisions. *📰 Market Overview* Gold dipped after failing to hold above $4,100, sliding toward the mid-range as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbs toward 99.55. Expectations for a December rate cut weaken (now ~47%), adding pressure on metals. *Key fundamentals driving today’s volatility:* 📈 DXY rebound → reduces short-term gold momentum 🏦 Fed hawkish tone after October’s cut; policymakers want “pause & observe” 📉 Shutdown-related data blackout = mixed signals + unpredictable volatility 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China tariffs, Mideast, Ukraine-Russia) continue to anchor safe-haven flows 🏛 Central banks still buying: Q3 +220t, Poland +67t YTD *📊 ETF flows:* ETF flows hit a record +222t in Q3, but November is seeing mild outflows even as AUM holds near $472B. It’s like investors took a big bite earlier, but are now nibbling less while still keeping most of their gold on the table. *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 FOMC Meeting – Dec 10 Odds remain mixed with a slight hawkish tilt; any surprise tough tone could pressure gold short-term. 🔸 Data Blackout Continues With CPI/NFP still imputed, November data may drop in clusters, triggering sudden volatility spikes. 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Premium Escalation brings instant safe-haven demand, while de-escalation boosts DXY and pushes gold lower. 🟩 *GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after dropping to 3998 dollars, price found strong demand and has now climbed back up to around 4050 dollars. *Whats NEXT ON GOLD ?* 👀👀 🎯 EQUILIBRIUM: 4122.95 Hold above = bullish momentum toward 4148 Stay below = re-test 4054 & possibly sweep 4039 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4039 – 4054 Strong intraday support + previous demand footprint. 🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4106 – 4113 Expected rejection zone first reaction area. 🚨 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4165 – 4148 CONCLUSION:- Gold remains in a tight battle between demand at 4039–4054 and rejection zones near 4106–4113, with EQ at 4122.95 acting as the true directional trigger. Holding below EQ favors a pullback toward 4054/4039, while a clean break above opens momentum toward 4148–4165. Overall, range-bound with a slight downside bias until EQ is reclaimed. *Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion & chart with me !* *Best Regards , M.MOIZ KHATTAK | FOUNDER OF TRADEWITHDECRYPTERS*
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS