Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to 4,151 USD Support📊 Market Structure
After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD zone, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment.
The price has touched the Resistance Zone of 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone of 4,151 USD – this is where a previous impulsive move originated.
Below the 4,151 Support, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD.
As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply zone + area of bearish reaction
• Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting bullish reaction
• Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of bullish structure
• Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → area for the next wave expansion
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
If the price adjusts correctly to the discount zones:
• Entry 1: 4,151 USD
• Entry 2: 4,104 USD (most attractive zone – confluence OB)
SL: below 4,090 USD
TP1: 4,208
TP2: 4,237
TP3: 4,260
→ Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend)
If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 zone and creates a clear rejection:
Entry: 4,218 – 4,230
SL: 4,245
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,151
→ Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The current structure is very precise:
Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continuation of the upward wave.
The 4,151 USD zone is the focal point to observe.
The 4,104 USD zone is the most attractive BUY area if the market seeks deeper liquidity.
As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, the buyers maintain complete advantage.
“Let the pullback come to you — structure always tells the truth.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 14/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Trade ideas
XAUUSD FOLLOW THROUGHFollowing the success of our intial setup on gold, which you will find attached
Gold Bought and filled our FVG zone, filling up all the inefficiency in that area,
We currently have slow movement in the FVG Zone and with the current taking out of the previous Higher Low, we formed a Change Of Character
Using our FVG Zone, we may expect price to sell to take out or even break with this sell ???
Lets monitor and react as the markets talk to us
DISCLAIMER : This is purely for motivational purposes and the infomation provided is not to be considered as investment advise, Risk Accordingly
Gold Price Faces Resistance Near 4,207—Potential Pullback AheadGold (XAU/USD) is testing the upper channel resistance around 4,207 after a strong rally. The chart suggests a possible short-term correction toward the 4,200–4,158 support zone before the next directional move.
🟡 1. Current Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading in an ascending channel, indicating an overall bullish trend.
Price action has been forming higher highs and higher lows, confirming steady upward momentum.
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🔴 2. Resistance Zone
The upper boundary of the channel and price level around 4,207 USD is acting as a strong resistance.
The chart shows multiple rejections near this zone, suggesting a potential short-term top or profit-taking area.
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🟢 3. Support Levels
The first key support is near 4,200 USD, aligning with previous price consolidation.
A deeper correction could test 4,158 USD, which matches the lower channel trendline and Ichimoku support zone.
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⚫ 4. Price Action Pattern
The boxed consolidations represent sideways accumulation phases before each breakout — a sign of strong buying pressure.
However, the latest consolidation near the channel top hints at buyer fatigue, which could lead to a pullback.
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🟣 5. Expected Move (Short-Term Outlook)
The downward arrows on the chart suggest a potential retracement within the channel.
Price could dip toward 4,158–4,200 USD before finding fresh buying interest.
As long as price remains above 4,158, the bullish structure remains intact.
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⚙️ 6. Trading Implications
Aggressive traders: May look for short opportunities near resistance (~4,207) with tight stops above the channel.
Conservative traders: May wait for a bounce confirmation around 4,158–4,200 to rejoin the uptrend.
The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React?The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React?
According to Reuters, the U.S. Senate on Monday approved a compromise deal to bring an end to the longest government shutdown in the country’s history.
During the shutdown:
→ millions of Americans lost access to food assistance programmes;
→ hundreds of thousands of federal employees went without pay;
→ air travel was severely disrupted.
The uncertainty surrounding the potential continuation of the shutdown appears to have contributed to a breakout in the price of gold (as a traditional safe-haven asset) above its recent consolidation zone, marked by black lines on the chart.
However, further gains could be capped not only by fading risk aversion but also by a less obvious resistance level, which the XAU/USD rate has reached today.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Using the key pivot points (highlighted in bold), we can trace a descending channel, with the gold price now testing its upper boundary, where resistance may emerge.
Another argument supporting this view is that the price currently sits around the 50% retracement level of the A→B downswing. This area may attract sellers seeking to defend the downward trajectory of gold.
Whether this resistance line holds — or the bulls attempt to reignite the autumn rally — will largely depend on the tone of upcoming economic releases (delayed by the shutdown) and their impact on market expectations for a possible Federal Reserve rate cut.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,newyork session rejected the sell at 4038-4040 floor ,a previous broken supply roof now a demand floor and on technical could retest 4100 coming week.
13th November during newyork session rejected the 4243-4244 zone ,the technical analysis hinged on daily double top structure break of neckline and buyers return to retest a broken neckline at 4243-4044 and dropped to 4146-4150 zone during the newyork session ,on 4hrs using the line chart we have a strong psychological horizontal structure and another break and retest to close newyork session on another 200pips buy trigger.
break and close 4146-4150 was another bearish correction into 4036-4040.
break and close will challenge another key low at 3889-3885.5 strong psychological demand floor on 4hr TF.
GOOD LUCK AND SEE YOU AT THE TOP.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet.
It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way.
There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area.
Fundamental context
Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets.
Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD Short: Rejection From Supply Targets $4,070 Demand LineHello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential corrective move after a strong bullish rally from the $3,950–$3,970 Demand Zone, where multiple fake breakouts confirmed the presence of strong buyers. This area coincides with the ascending Demand Line, which has provided consistent support for price growth. Each touch on this line has led to notable bullish impulses, signaling accumulation and strengthening buyer momentum.
Currently, the price approached the $4,140–$4,160 Supply Zone, which aligns with both a Supply Line and the neckline of a previous Double Top pattern. This confluence area represents a critical resistance zone where sellers have historically regained control. The current rejection from this level suggests that a short-term pullback could be underway as the market seeks to retest lower support.
I expect the first key area to watch is the $4,070 pivot level, which aligns with the Demand Line. This zone is expected to act as dynamic support for a potential rebound. If price holds above this level, the bullish structure remains valid, with a possible retest of the $4,150–$4,160 Supply Zone. However, a confirmed break below $4,070 could trigger a deeper correction toward the $3,950 Demand Zone, where fresh buying opportunities may emerge. Manage your risk!
GOLD → Consolidation above 4100...FX:XAUUSD consolidates above $4,100 ahead of a key vote in the US House of Representatives on reopening the government. The rise is supported by weak employment data and expectations of Fed policy easing...
Key factors: Losses of more than 11,000 jobs per week until the end of October have heightened concerns about the labor market. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 68%. Lower government bond yields and a weaker dollar have supported gold.
The resumption of data publication after the shutdown may change market sentiment (it is important to monitor actual data).
Gold retains its upside potential, but a short-term correction is possible. The outcome of the vote in Congress will determine the immediate dynamics.
Resistance levels: 4148, 4161
Support levels: 4097, 4075, 4046
If the bulls keep gold above 4100-4120, then in the short term, the market will be able to test resistance for a breakout. However, as a primary retest, I expect a rebound before the breakout and growth, provided that the fundamental background remains unchanged and continues to support the market...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold (XAUUSD) 4h: Expanding Flat Resistance at 50% FibCurrent price action lines up with the expanding flat (A-B-C) scenario, and we've just tagged the 50% Fibonacci retracement from the prior swing high. The B wave spike confirmed by structure now faces resistance right at this key level. RSI remains in overbought territory (above 76), giving extra weight to the idea of a local top forming.
Key points:
Structure: Expanding flat (A-B-C), with recent leg up overshooting wave A.
Levels: Price currently at the 50% Fibonacci (4,194 zone), upper resistance.
Next steps: Looking for signs of reversal—lower timeframe rejection, bearish pattern, or a strong close below 4,180 for confirmation.
Targets: If reversal holds, initial C-leg targets sit at 3799.91 for equal leg.
Still waiting for hard confirmation, but the context and confluence heavily favour a top and a possible sell setup brewing.
#XAUUSD #Gold #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns & Fed Rate-Cut BetsGOLD | Overview
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns and Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
Gold extended gains to a three-week high as growing concerns over U.S. debt levels and renewed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts fueled demand for the safe-haven asset.
Volatility is likely to remain elevated as traders position ahead of key U.S. data and central bank commentary.
Technically:
Gold maintains a bullish bias, but a clear 1H candle close above 4238 is required to confirm the next bullish leg toward 4254, 4267, and 4300.
While trading below 4238, the price may stage a short-term correction toward 4222 and 4207 before resuming its upward move.
A 15-minute close below 4207 would invalidate the bullish setup temporarily and could extend losses toward 4186.
Pivot Line: 4238
Resistance: 4254 · 4267 · 4300
Support: 4222 · 4207 · 4186
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we wanted to stick to a similar plan from the week prior, looking for price to attempt either the high to short it again, or, for price to attempt to break the lower box and then give us the opportunity to long again. We had to switch to intra-day trading during the week due to the ranging and as usual, the indicators worked well giving us some good trades and we near enough got what we wanted from the KOG report analysis and the red box targets published.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Potential for this range to continue during the first half of the week with the immediate resistance above at 4006-10 which will need to break in order to target the 4030 level which is what we’re looking for. For this to happen, support 3990 needs to hold us up and if we can push upside it’s that 4030 level we want to keep an eye on. Rejection there can again lead to another swoop of the lower regions but, we need to keep in mind that red box below. That is the key level of defence for the early part of the week and will need to break!
The indicators are suggesting lower at the moment but we need more confirmation and we also need to see if they fill the void left over above from Friday.
In our opinion, another choppy week ahead, more ranging and whipsawing while we accumulate and await that clear confirmation of direction. Until then, it’s level to level and intra-day Red box trading for us.
RED BOXES:
BREAK above 4004 for 4010, 4014 and 4030 in extension of the move
BREAK below 3990 for 3985, 3979, 3970 and 3965 in extension of the move
Many of you have asked what the “Bubbles/circles” are on the chart! These are the hot spots we have been sharing with you that work well as RIPs! We share the monthly results and daily hot spots and I’m sure our traders will agree, they are powerful!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Market Moving Exactly As MappedVANTAGE:XAUUSD tapped perfectly into my OG Demand Zone around
4,020–4,050 and buyers stepped in exactly where the system expected. The bounce carried straight into my upper OG Supply Zone, and today’s wick shows clear hesitation right on the zone border.
The structure is still holding a bullish tone as long as price stays above the OG Trend Zone support at 4,050–4,100.
My X-pattern intersection also acted as a confluence pivot, guiding the move into the current rejection point.
Short-term 🐼 I am watching for a sweep of the supply zone highs and a cleaner reaction.
Mid-term I still prefer long setups only after a pullback into my green demand zone where momentum can reload.
Both OG Zones and OG Trend Zones played this move with precision. The system mapped the bounce, mapped the continuation, and is now catching the rejection area.
📊 Current bias: Neutral to bearish inside supply
🟢 Long interest: Rebuilds on a dip back into demand
🔴 Short interest: Only if supply shows clean rejection
📆 Watching daily close for confirmation
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Buy Signal – 4H Timeframe
Entry: 4,130
Stop Loss: 4,110
Take Profit: 4,170
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 2
Price is currently retesting the 4,125–4,165 resistance zone after a strong bullish run, showing signs of continuation. A confirmed breakout and close above 4,130 indicate strong buying momentum toward 4,170.
The RSI is around 58–60, suggesting mild bullish strength and room for further upside before becoming overbought. The volume shows rising green bars, confirming that buyers are stepping in and defending the 4,110–4,120 support area.
This setup signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Traders can enter at 4,130, place a stop loss at 4,110 to protect against false breakouts, and aim for a take profit at 4,170. If buying pressure increases with RSI climbing above 60 and volume expanding further, the next possible target could be 4,190 with a trailing stop to secure profits.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4113
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAU/USD: Bullish Climb to 4225?FX:XAUUSD is positioning for a bullish climb on the 1-hour chart , with price respecting an upward trendline as dynamic support, bouncing from a key support zone that could fuel an upside extension toward multiple resistance levels if buyers sustain momentum. This setup offers a strategic entry amid recent volatility, with potential for breakout if volume picks up.
Entry between 4075-4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management). Targets at 4180 (first) and 4225 (second), yielding a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:3 overall .Set a stop loss on a close below 4063 to limit downside exposure. 🌟 Monitor for confirmation via a strong bullish candle above entry with increasing volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven status.
Fundamentally , today's US economic data, including MBA Mortgage Applications at 13:00 UTC and Fed's Waller speech at 16:00 UTC, could sway USD strength and thus gold prices—hawkish Fed tones might cap upside, while softer data supports bulls. Recent analysis notes gold slipping below $4140 on a double top, signaling short-term pullbacks but with rebound potential testing pivotal resistance. 💡
📝 Trade Setup:
🎯 Entry Zone: 4075 – 4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management)
💰 Targets:
1️⃣ 4180 – initial resistance zone
2️⃣ 4225 – secondary target / take-profit zone
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 4063
📈 Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:3 overall, depending on execution and scale-out strategy
What's your take on this gold move? Comment below!💡
Shutdown Deal in Focus | Gold Prices Pause Before Key VoteGOLD | Overview
Gold steady ahead of U.S. House vote on government reopening.
Gold prices remained steady on Wednesday as investors awaited a U.S. House of Representatives vote on a deal to reopen the federal government, an outcome that could restore economic data visibility and shape expectations for future Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Technically:
Gold maintains a bearish bias while trading below the 4132–4144 pivot zone, with downside potential toward 4104, and a break below this level could extend losses to 4083 and 4053.
However, a 1H close above 4145 would shift sentiment to bullish, targeting 4168 and 4190, with further extension possible toward 4207.
Pivot Zone: 4132 – 4144
Resistance: 4168 · 4190 · 4207
Support: 4104 · 4083 · 4053
Gold Moves Exactly as PlannedHey traders!
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I expected a price correction — and gold perfectly followed the plan, dropping from 4150 to 4096, giving us a great profit!
As anticipated, the bullish move has now started, aiming for the target shown on the chart.
Follow me for more updates and fresh analyses! 🚀💰
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 2 weeks , and we have a range now for 2 days started between 4100.00 to 4148.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 4100.00 will be the best place for Buy and 4148.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 4148.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 4100.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action . I`m Sure that the main direction now is buy so i`m interesting to buy gold from 4100.00 but the best place for me will be 4060.00 cuz the price didn`t retest it until now . if we have a daily closure below our support then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4130.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4130.00 One more time and we have already a great touch that take all stop losses before going up so i think the second touch will be better and will give us a good chance to enter with good stop loss , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
Is Gold Setting Up a Swing Rally?XAU/USD Accumulation Highlights🏆 XAU/USD "GOLD VS U.S DOLLAR" - Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint 📊
Swing Trade | Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation 💎
📍 MARKET SETUP
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Pattern: Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation Phase ✅
Market Structure: Accumulation Zone Identified 🎯
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYERING METHOD ("THIEF STRATEGY")
Multiple Limit Order Entry Points:
Using the Layering Strategy - Scale in with multiple limit orders at different levels for optimal position management.
Layer 1 Entry: $3,960 (33% Position Size) - First Entry Point 🔵
Layer 2 Entry: $4,000 (33% Position Size) - Second Entry Point 🟢
Layer 3 Entry: $4,040 (34% Position Size) - Third Entry Point 🟡
📌 NOTE: You can increase/adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation. Flexibility is key to the Thief Strategy.
⛔ STOP LOSS
Recommended SL Level: $3,880 (Below Accumulation Base)
Risk Per Trade: Adjust based on your personal risk management strategy
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation. Adjust your stop loss according to YOUR OWN STRATEGY and RISK TOLERANCE. Your capital, your rules. 🛡️
🚀 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: $4,360 (Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone)
Key Resistance Levels:
⚡ Strong resistance confluence zone
Overbought signal indicates profit-taking zone
Be cautious of potential reversal traps near target
💰 DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation for exit points. Secure profits based on YOUR OWN RISK MANAGEMENT. Take gains when you're comfortable. 📈
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS)
🔴 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to Gold)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) 📉
When DXY strengthens → XAU/USD weakens
When DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens
KEY POINT: Monitor DXY weakness as bullish trigger for gold rally
FX:EURUSD 💶
Strong negative correlation with gold
Euro weakness = Gold strength (Flight to Safety)
Watch for Euro breakdown below key support levels
🟡 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) 🔗
Typically moves 70-80% correlated with gold
KEY POINT: Confirms broader precious metals strength
If XAGUSD breaks resistance, XAU/USD usually follows
FX:GBPUSD (British Pound vs USD) 🏴
Weak positive correlation with gold
Weak GBP = Risk-off sentiment = Gold demand rises
Watch for GBP weakness as confluence signal
🔵 MACRO DRIVERS TO WATCH
US Treasury Yields (10Y, 2Y) 📊
Higher yields = Lower gold attractiveness
Lower yields = Higher gold demand
CRITICAL: Monitor Fed announcements & rate expectations
SP:SPX (S&P 500) 📈
Risk-on sentiment weakens gold demand
Risk-off sentiment strengthens gold
Market crashes = Gold surges (Safe Haven)
⚡ CONFLUENCE SIGNALS FOR THIS SETUP
✅ Bullish Confluence When:
DXY shows weakness/breakdown
XAGUSD confirms precious metals strength
Moving Averages align bullishly
Wyckoff accumulation phase completing
⚠️ Invalidation Signals:
Break below $3,880 SL (Accumulation base failure)
Strong DXY rally
Risk-on market rally (Equities surge)
💡 TRADER'S NOTES
🎯 Best Timing: Scale entries during DXY weakness or Fed pivot signals
📍 Sweet Spot: Layer entries $3,960-$4,040 range for optimal averaging
🛑 Risk Control: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
💰 Profit Taking: Consider partial profits at each moving average resistance
⚖️ FULL DISCLAIMER
🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only
🔹 Always conduct your own research & due diligence
🔹 Past performance ≠ Future results
🔹 Manage your risk responsibly
🔹 Your capital, your responsibility, your choice 🛡️
📌#XAU/USD #Gold #Swing Trade #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #Metals #Trading #DayTrader #Accumulation #LayeringStrategy






















