Wall Street Weekly Outlook – Week 46 2025 (Nov 10 – Nov 14)📊💥 Wall Street Weekly Outlook – Week 46 2025 💥📊
+ High Probability SMA/EMA Cross-Over Strategy! 💥
📅 November 10 – November 14, 2025
The new trading week is dominated by one crucial question:
Are we heading toward a larger year-end correction in equities, or does the market shift back into risk-on mode? 🚀📉📈
In this video, I break down the most important market drivers for the weeks ahead. 🎥📊
Lean back and get a structured overview of which levels matter now, how hedge funds are adjusting their exposures, and which setups look most attractive from a mean-reversion perspective. 🧠💼
💡 Bonus Lessons:
EMA/SMA cross-over strategy for equities, three key macro focus themes, and actionable mean-reversion setups. ⚡️
📘 Topics covered in this weekly outlook:
+ SMA/EMA Cross-Over Strategy 🧠💼
Best,
Meikel
Trade ideas
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversals Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4004
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4093
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Gold back leading the charge higher!It was interesting to see that weekend progress between Democrat and Republican lawmakers on bringing an end to the longest running federal government shutdown in US history led to a 2.6% surge in Gold, from opening levels around 4000 on Monday up to a 2 week highs of 4116, a move that has extended this morning to print a high at 4149. Traders chose to focus on the potential clarity the move could bring to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current interest rate outlook, rather than cutting back on their Gold exposure being held a safe haven hedge against the economic uncertainty and potential damage the long-lasting shutdown was inflicting on the US economy.
It is hoped that a reopening of the US government could restore the economic data flow providing updates on the health of the US labour market and direction of inflation in time to influence the decision making of Fed policymakers ahead of their final rate decision of the year on December 10th. The current market pricing of roughly a 65% chance of a further 25bps rate cut at this meeting has helped support Gold’s move higher, as a non-interest-bearing asset.
Progress on ending the shutdown seems to be speeding up with the Senate voting to approve a spending package that keeps most of the government open until the end of January, and some departments open until the end of September. The bill now moves to the House of Representatives for approval before being sent to President Trump for his signature. Two potential stumbling blocks that may add further volatility to Gold prices across the remainder of the week.
The technical outlook could also be influential after yesterday’s close above resistance at 4077, the 38.2% retracement of the October price decline.
Gold Technical Update: Signs of Upside Resumption?
Following the price drop into the 3886 October 28th low, Gold entered a phase of more balanced price action, with sideways consolidation dominating recent sessions. This suggested a pause in directional momentum as traders assessed whether the decline had run its course or if further price weakness might resume.
However, following the weekend news of a potential US government re-opening, fresh support emerged on Monday. As a result, Gold has now rallied over 6.7% from the October 28th low (3886), marking a notable recovery from the recent weakness.
Traders may now be focused on Monday’s closing break back above resistance at 4077, a level equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October weakness. While not a guarantee of further price strength, this move may lead to a phase of recovery. Therefore, it could be useful to gauge support and resistance levels after the latest price activity for possible clues to the next directional themes.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While future price action will ultimately dictate where Gold moves next, the recent close above 4077 may suggest further upside in price. This could raise the prospect of a test of 4194, the higher 61.8% retracement level of October’s decline.
The 61.8% retracement level at 4194 is potentially a strong barrier to price strength, and if tested Gold may face sterner resistance here. However, a closing break above this level could open scope for deeper upside moves toward 4381, the October 20th extreme.
Potential Support Levels:
After the speed of yesterday’s up move, the first potential support for traders to monitor could be at 4016, a level marking half of the recent rally from the lows at 3886 (October 27th low). A pullback to this level could be a routine reaction to recent strength, however but closes below this level might signal renewed downside pressure.
While not a definitive signal of renewed weakness, a close below 4016 could open the door to retest 3886, the October 28th low and potentially even 3823, a level equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the August to October advance.
Gold (XAUUSD) Short-Term Pullback Before Wave 5 RallyAnalysis Overview:
Gold is currently completing a Wave 3 advance within a clear Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse channel. The price has met short-term resistance around the $4,160–$4,170 region, suggesting a potential Wave 4 correction before resuming its uptrend towards Wave 5 targets.
The Stochastic Oscillator is showing overbought conditions, supporting a near-term pullback scenario.
Short-Term Sell Setup (Wave 4 Correction)
Entry: $4,135 – $4,150
Sell Target (TP1): $4,080
Sell Target (TP2): $4,050 (lower channel support)
Stop Loss: $4,165
Reasoning: Price has completed Wave 3 and is expected to retrace to the 38.2–50% Fibonacci zone of the prior wave, aligning with the channel’s midline support.
Long-Term Buy Setup (Wave 5 Rally)
Buy Zone: $4,070 – $4,080 (completion of Wave 4)
Buy Target (TP1): $4,200
Buy Target (TP2): $4,240
Stop Loss: $4,040
Reasoning: A bounce from the Wave 4 completion zone should trigger the start of Wave 5, targeting new highs near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Gold Rejection Ahead – Short-Term Pullback LikelyFundamental Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD remains under pressure as major central banks, including the Fed, ECB, and BOE, hold rates steady, keeping global monetary conditions tight and real yields elevated. The strong U.S. dollar, supported by solid GDP growth at 3.8% and inflation near 3%, continues to weigh on the metal’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. While speculative positioning in the latest COT report shows funds still heavily net-long, new buying momentum is slowing, indicating exhaustion among bullish traders. With no signs of imminent rate cuts or major risk-off sentiment, gold is likely to stay capped near resistance and trade in a corrective or consolidative range in the short term, unless weaker U.S. data or a dovish policy shift reignites demand.
Technical Analysis:
FXOPEN:XAUUSD is showing signs of exhaustion near the **$4,050 resistance zone**, forming a **corrective rising channel** with weakening momentum. A rejection from this level could trigger a pullback toward **$3,900–$3,840 support**, while a daily close above **$4,128** would invalidate the bearish setup. Overall bias: **short-term bearish / corrective** within the current strong-USD environment.
Week Targets: 3900-3840
Pips Eruption! Watch CloselyHello dear traders,
In the analysis I shared with you, we expected a bullish move for gold. Gold has beautifully followed the analysis, bringing us a great profit.
Now, we may see a price correction before continuing the path toward the target. Also, we should stay aware of news regarding the Israel conflict.
Follow me for more accurate and insightful analyses.
Pips Eruption! 📈🔥 – Watch Closely
Gold Faces a New Challenge — 4300 or 4010?Currently, there are signs of a head and shoulders pattern on the 30-minute chart. We need to pay attention to the shoulder resistance and trend support. If the head and shoulders pattern forms, the downside may reach the 4150-4140 area.
If next week's data and news do not support the bulls, we should be wary of a larger head and shoulders pattern. As previously mentioned, there is still a gap below 4010. If this occurs, it's possible that the market will use this opportunity to fill the gap.
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 11/11/2025As predicted, gold broke 4034 resistance and rose without any looking back and closed the day above 4100. Also as explained in my weekly post, I will be only engaging buying orders for this week. Therefore, I am going to implement buying the dips strategy. For today, I expect price to rise to 4150 and get rejected there. Thereafter, it will bounced from 4072 and should all the way test 4200 or even higher levels.
Gold Pulls Back to 4200 – Awaiting Direction Confirmation📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) has just dropped from the resistance zone $4218–$4219 down to $4203.
The market is currently reacting near the support zone $4200–$4205, with buying pressure starting to appear, but short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
The H1 trend remains slightly bullish, with EMA20 & EMA50 pointing upward, providing support around $4205–$4210.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Main Trend: Slightly bullish (bullish bias).
• EMA20 & EMA50 H1: Upward sloping, support at $4205–$4210.
• Resistance: $4218 – $4222, further $4230 – $4235
• Support: $4205 – $4200, further $4195 – $4190
• RSI H1: Dropping from overbought → warning of a short-term pullback.
📌 Outlook
• The $4205–$4207 zone is a key support; if price holds, a rebound toward $4212–$4215 is likely.
• If price breaks below $4205, a deeper drop toward $4195–$4190 may occur.
• H1/H4 candle signals will determine the next breakout direction; priority is to BUY on support bounces and SELL on clear rejection at resistance.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $4190 – $4193
• TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• SL: $4186
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $4233 – $4236
• TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• SL: $4239
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow)
🔍 Current Market Context
Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the $4,145 price level.
Liquidity:
The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction.
The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the $4,240 level.
Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone.
🎯 Proposed Trading Plan
The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD).
1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD)
This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long).
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124.
This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120.
This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs.
The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around $4,145 - $4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the $4,124 - $4,126 zone.
Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above $4,240).
2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP)
This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move.
Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210.
This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212.
This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone.
Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone).
⚠️ Key Considerations
Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying).
Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success.
Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
Gold – Distribution Before DropGold – Distribution Before Drop
Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent corrective bounce. The 3H market structure highlights a clear distribution pattern, as price continues to reject from the 4,100–4,250 supply zone. Repeated Break of Structure (BOS) signals that bearish momentum remains dominant.
Institutional activity suggests that liquidity is being built above local highs, preparing for another downside leg. The current market sentiment stays bearish as long as price trades below the key premium area. A confirmed rejection from this zone could trigger a decline toward the 3,904 liquidity pool.
Only a breakout and hold above 4,250 would invalidate this scenario and shift bias back to bullish accumulation.
Gold sell setup This trade based on Daily TF and and deply analyzed on 6h TF
Gold has broken a strong supply level yesterday on aisa & london sessions and kept the momentum all the way to to 21 Oct and 23 Oct swing high but NY session rejected and engulfed the previous session at the swing high with high volume . After the breakout structure has to be retested , with all those confirmation there is a high probability market will retest 4050 .
Gold key Levels (3800-4100)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
Gold (XAUUSD): Triangle Compression After Pennant BreakHi!
After the strong, impulsive drop, Gold formed a bearish pennant, which has already broken to the downside. The measured move target of that pennant remains unfilled, and the price continues to consolidate below the breakdown point.
Currently, the market structure is developing inside a symmetrical triangle, showing compression and reduced volatility. This type of structure often acts as a continuation pattern when it forms after an impulsive leg, especially when positioned below the previous pennant.
The projection highlights the expectation of a downside breakout from the triangle, with a gradual sell-off into the next liquidity pocket. The ultimate target aligns with the remaining pennant target zone, which also coincides with a prior demand level.
As long as the price remains inside this tightening structure and below point D, the bearish continuation scenario stays valid.
Target: $3811
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Holds Buyer Zone — Potential Recovery Toward $4,030Hello traders, I’d like to share my view on Gold (XAUUSD). The market has been holding a constructive bullish structure, developing higher lows along the rising Support Line. Each time price approached this trendline, buyers reacted strongly, confirming persistent demand. Meanwhile, the $3,960–$3,980 Buyer Zone has acted as a key accumulation area, where several fake breakouts occurred, but price quickly returned back above support — indicating seller failure and liquidity sweeps before bullish continuation. On the upper side, we have a clear Resistance Level and Seller Zone near $4,020–$4,040, where the market previously consolidated inside a range. Multiple rejections were seen in this zone, suggesting that sellers are active here and this remains the next significant reaction area for price. Recently, Gold has been gradually moving upward from the buyer zone, forming a steady corrective climb inside the current structure. At this stage, the trend remains bullish while price stays above the ascending Support Line and Buyer Zone. The immediate objective for buyers is a retest of the $4,020–$4,030 Resistance Level, where price may react again based on previous market behavior. A confirmed breakout above this zone would open the way for further continuation, while rejection could lead to another pullback into the support structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish TreGold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish Trend Remains
News Interpretation
On Thursday (November 13), international gold prices opened with a narrow trading range, mainly influenced by multiple factors. Firstly, gold prices encountered resistance in the previous trading day, leading to a pullback. Additionally, the stabilization of the US dollar index in the early morning further pressured gold prices in the short term. Secondly, the US House of Representatives will hold a full vote on a bill to end the government shutdown at 8:00 AM Beijing time on the 13th. The market is closely watching these developments, and fluctuations in safe-haven demand have also brought some uncertainty to gold prices.
Despite this, the overall bullish logic for gold remains unchanged. Firstly, the US dollar index is currently trading below its 200-day moving average and weekly moving averages, indicating a weak overall trend. Its short-term rebound is unlikely to provide sustained pressure on gold. Secondly, the market is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and the macroeconomic environment supports the medium- to long-term trend of gold. Even if gold prices fail to rise significantly in the short term, they are expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern rather than a sustained decline.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, since the low of 3990, gold prices have successfully reached our previously predetermined first target of 4200, with the next key target at 4300. The overall bullish trend has not yet ended. Investors should avoid blindly guessing the top or shorting against the trend. Short-term trading can be flexible, but trend-following trades are still recommended to focus on going long.
On the daily chart, gold prices have closed higher for several consecutive days, indicating that bullish momentum remains strong. The key resistance level is currently around 4300, which is also a key test target for the bulls in the near term. On the H4 chart, the moving average system is in a bullish alignment, with the main support currently located in the 4170-4160 range. Therefore, intraday trading is still recommended to focus on buying on dips, patiently waiting for the price to fall back to the support area before entering the market.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
In summary, today's short-term gold trading recommendation is to primarily buy on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary strategy. Short-term resistance is seen around 4260-4280; a break above this level could lead to a further test of the 4300 mark. Key short-term support is the 4210-4190 area; a pullback to this level could present opportunities to buy in batches.
It's important to note that Thursday is a potential turning point in the week. If gold prices rise to around 4300 during the US session but fail to break through effectively, a small short position could be considered. Position size and risk management should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements.
Risk Warning: Investing involves risk; please invest cautiously. The above analysis represents only personal opinions and does not constitute any investment advice.
GOLD COUNTER TRADE CYCLE Current Price: $4,000.71
Update : In the short term, the $3,858-$3,888 zone is a crucial support area. If gold holds this level and closes above $4,059.44, a new bullish wave toward $4135–$4,193 could begin.
However, a confirmed break below $3,850 could trigger a deeper correction toward $3,678 or even $3,548
* Bullish short-term target: $4,250–$4,380
* Bullish stop loss: Below $3,848
* Bearish short-term target: $3,678–$3,548
* Bearish stop loss: Above $4,059.44
XAUUSD (GOLD) - 4H - Weekly Analysis (10-Nov - 14-Nov-25)Market Structure
Price is currently consolidating sideways after a strong drop.
The consolidation range is $3,960 – $4,045.
Stochastic is turning down from overbought, meaning bullish momentum is weakening.
Until price breaks above $4,060, rallies are retracements, not a trend reversal.
So the smart move:
→ Sell the rally, don’t buy the top.
Key Levels This Week
Zone / Price Range / Action
Sell Zone (Primary) / $4,035 – $4,060 / Best area to SELL
Sell Zone (Secondary) / $4,090 – $4,120 / If price spikes / liquidity grab
Support / TP1 / $3,970 – $3,975 / First profit zone
Support / TP2 / $3,925 – $3,940 / Main target
Major Demand / $3,880 – $3,900 / Extended target / potential bounce zone
✅ Primary Trade Setup — High Probability SELL
SELL LIMIT: $4,035 – $4,060
STOP LOSS: $4,090
TAKE PROFIT 1: $3,975
TAKE PROFIT 2: $3,935
TAKE PROFIT 3 (Extended): $3,900
Why this works:
This zone is previous support → now resistance.
Gold consistently rejects near round number clusters ($4,000 / $4,050 / $4,100).
Stochastic already indicates buyers are slowing.
🟡 Secondary Setup — Sell the Liquidity Grab (If price pushes higher)
SELL LIMIT: $4,090 – $4,120
STOP LOSS: $4,155
TAKE PROFIT: $4,035 → $3,975 → $3,935
This is the fake-out trap where smart money enters short.
📌 When to Avoid Trading
If price stays between $3,985 – $4,020, NO ENTRY.
This is the choppy noise zone → low win rate.
We only trade:
At strong resistance
Or at strong support
Not in the middle.
🎯 Expected Price Behavior Next Week
Early week → retest of $4,035–$4,060 area
Mid–late week → move down toward $3,970 → $3,940
This aligns with:
Profit-taking before US CPI/FOMC events
Lower safe-haven demand as volatility stabilizes short-term
🏁 Quick Trade Summary (Copy This)
Entry: 4,035 – 4,060
SL: 4,090
TP1: 3,975
TP2: 3,935
TP3: 3,900
Backup SELL (Liquidity Grab)
Entry: 4,090 – 4,120
SL: 4,155
TP: 4,035 → 3,975 → 3,935
Gold Regains Its Shine as Buyers Take Control of the Market!Hello traders,
After days of consolidation, gold surged sharply during the Asian session , reclaiming the key psychological level of $4,000/oz. The weakness of the U.S. dollar, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December , has reignited investor optimism. Meanwhile, efforts by the U.S. Congress to end the government shutdown have further strengthened gold’s position as a safe-haven asset.
On the chart, gold is showing a strong rebound from the $4,000 support zone , where buyers previously stepped in with significant volume. The potential scenario suggests that price may pull back slightly toward $4,000 before continuing its climb toward the $4,200 resistance area, which aligns with the previous swing high and a key supply zone.
If price breaks above $4,200, the bullish momentum could extend further , targeting the $4,300 area in the medium term. Market sentiment remains firmly in favor of the bulls, and gold appears ready for a fresh breakout this week .
Wishing you all successful trades!






















