Possible XAUUSD swingREad text in chart.... Updates will follow
TRade with proper risk
Patience is the way! Ieios
Trade ideas
Gold prices continue to fall around 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward $4,105 in early European trading on Friday, breaking a two-day losing streak as a softer US Dollar lends support. Traders now look to upcoming Fed remarks from Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, and Waller for further direction.
Improved risk sentiment following the US government’s reopening has weighed on safe-haven demand. The shutdown ended after President Trump signed a funding bill last week, allowing federal employees to return to work after the 43-day closure
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate - short-term correction downtrend below 4145
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4144 - 4146 SL 4151
TP1: $4130
TP2: $4115
TP3: $4100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4006 - 4004 SL 3999
TP1: $4018
TP2: $4030
TP3: $4045
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU/USD Turning Point: Resistance Test & Downside TargetsPrice at Major Resistance Zone (4075–4095)
Your chart shows gold pushing into a strong resistance block, which has already caused previous rejections.
This zone is stacked with:
Multiple horizontal resistance lines
Previous swing highs
A rising channel touch
This area represents high selling pressure.
2️⃣ Rising Channel (Short-Term Bullish Structure)
Price has climbed inside a yellow ascending channel, but it is now:
Testing the channel top
Losing bullish momentum
Showing early rejection wicks
This suggests the upside is limited unless price breaks above 4095–4105 with a strong impulsive candle.
3️⃣ Rejection Signals
You marked red dots at key rejection points.
Price is reacting similarly again near the resistance zone.
This increases probability of:
➡️ A pullback toward channel midline
➡️ Or a complete channel breakdown
4️⃣ Support Levels to Watch
If selling pressure increases, potential targets:
4060–4055 → First intraday support
4045–4038 → Strong support zone
4000–3985 → Major bearish target (dotted projection)
5️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability Now)
If price fails to break above 4095–4105, expect:
📉 Reversal from the resistance block → channel breakdown → move toward 4038 and possibly 4000.
6️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario (Low Probability)
Bullish continuation only activates if:
✔️ Strong breakout above 4105
✔️ Retest holds as support
If so, next resistance is around 4120–4140.
📌 SUMMARY
Price is at a critical resistance.
Rejection patterns + channel top = probability of downward reversal is high.
Watch 4060 → 4045 → 4000 as the next supports.
CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME:BTC1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:PL1! COMEX:HG1! TFEX:S501!
Bullish continuation only if price breaks 4105 with strength.
If you want, I can also generate:
✅ Sell signal in your requested languages
or
✅ Full multi-language trading plan
Gold Technical Analysis: Three Consecutive Bearish Days Confirm Gold Technical Analysis: Three Consecutive Bearish Days Confirm Short-Term Weakness; Short-Selling Strategy Remains Dominant
Market Review: Yesterday, the gold market was generally weak, with prices continuing to decline along the 5-day moving average, showing a clear short-term weakness in its technical pattern. Especially in the early morning hours, gold prices experienced a sharp drop, exacerbating the bearish sentiment, and the daily chart ultimately closed with a medium-sized bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows. This candlestick pattern reflects the intense struggle between bulls and bears, but ultimately the bears prevailed, pushing prices to a low close.
Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart:
Gold has formed a "three-day bearish" pattern on the daily chart, confirming a short-term weak trend.
The moving average system is bearish, and the price is currently under pressure below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, with the overall bearish trend remaining unchanged.
The market is expected to further test the lower support level on the daily chart. If this key support level is broken, the downside potential may expand.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 4055 (10-day moving average), 4075, 4095.
Support levels: 4005 (yesterday's low), 3976, 3930 (daily chart lower line).
Trading Logic:
The 10-day moving average (around 4055) has become an important entry point for short positions today. If the price rebounds to this level and encounters resistance, it can be considered a good opportunity to short.
If the price breaks below yesterday's low of 4005, the downside target will further point to the 3976 and 3930 areas.
Trading Strategy:
Short Position Strategy:
Entry Area: Short in batches between 4050-4055, with position size controlled at 20%.
Stop Loss: 4063 (8 points).
Target: 4020-4000, with a further target of 3975 if it breaks down.
Long Position Strategy:
Entry Area: Long in batches between 3975-3980, with position size controlled at 20%.
Stop Loss: 3967 (8 points).
Target: 4000-4010, break above to 4020.
Risk Warning: Market volatility is unpredictable; strategies should be adjusted flexibly based on actual market conditions. Investors should strictly set stop-loss orders, avoid over-leveraging or holding losing positions, and develop trading plans based on their own risk tolerance. Real-time price levels and detailed strategies can be obtained through internal channels.
GOLD Bullish Analysis (SMC)🟦 PROFESSIONAL BREAKDOWN
🔎 1. Market Context
Price creates a strong bearish displacement, leaving a clean FVG unmitigated.
Then a significant ChoCH forms at a demand zone, signaling the first shift in market intention.
🧱 2. Institutional Accumulation Zone
Between the OB-5M and the support zone, we see:
• Consecutive rejections
• Order absorption
• Indecision candles
All of this reveals institutional buyers defending the level.
📉 3. Liquidity Sweep & Manipulation (Fake Out)
Price temporarily breaks below support, generating:
• Sell-side liquidity
• Immediate buy-side absorption
• Clean return into the range
This follows the classic SMC blueprint:
Liquidity → Mitigation → Expansion.
📈 4. Bullish Confirmation
A clean BOS confirms internal bullish structure.
The sequence becomes:
1. ChoCH
2. Liquidity sweep
3. OB mitigation
4. Bullish BOS
5. Expansion towards targets
Perfect institutional flow.
🎯 5. Entry Zone
📍 BUY 4,015
Confluences:
• 5M Order Block
• Strong support zone
• Fake out with absorption
• FVG mitigation
• Structural confirmation (BOS)
🛡️ 6. Stop Loss
📍 SL 3,990
Placed below the liquidity sweep — beyond this level, the idea is invalid.
🎯 7. Take Profits
• TP1: 4,045 → first distribution target.
• TP2: 4,067 → major buy-side liquidity target where institutions offload positions.
🧠 Professional Conclusion
This setup is built on:
✔ Liquidity engineering
✔ Clear structure
✔ Mitigation principles
✔ Institutional rejection
✔ Organic expansion
A high-probability bullish setup, fully aligned with institutional price behavior.
💬 Motivational Message…
“Great traders don’t chase the market — they anticipate it. Trust your process, respect your levels, and execute with confidence. Consistency is built candle by candle.”
XAUUSD Technical Analysis: Break of Structure & Downside Targets8
4
2
1
last seen yesterday at 10:06 AM
Yesterday
GOLD (1H) — Bullish Continuation Setup | Trendline + Demand Zone Confluence
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📌 CHART ANALYSIS (For TradingView Description – Copy & Paste)
Market Structure:
Price clearly in strong uptrend after breaking previous correction low. Higher-highs & higher-lows active.
Demand Zone:
A fresh demand zone formed around 4,150 – 4,170, showing strong buying pressure.
Pullback Confirmation:
Price is retesting the EMA cloud + demand zone, showing bullish continuation.
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🎯 BUY SETUP (READY TO USE):
✅ Entry:
4,170 – 4,180
🛡 Stop-Loss:
4,130
(Just below last demand zone + liquidity wick)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 4,230
TP2: 4,280
TP3: 4,350 (High probability retest zone)
💹 Risk:Reward Ratio:
RR = 1:2.5 to 1:4
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📘 Price Action Logic (Copy & Paste)
…Read more
11:53 AM
1:32 PM
Today
professional XAUUSD trade analysis based ONLY on your chart structure, with:
Entry
Stop-loss
Targets
Risk–Reward
Price action logic
Market bias
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✅ XAUUSD (1H) – Professional Trade Analysis
🔎 Chart Structure You Have Drawn
A strong bearish breakdown from the yellow supply zone (4138–4150).
Price retested the same zone and rejected it again.
Fresh impulsive bearish leg forming.
You marked three downside levels (4050, 4029, 3980) and final level around 3921.
This is a classic Break–Retest–Continuation (BRC) bearish setup.
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🎯 Ideal Entry Price
Since price is already bearish and rejecting supply:
Sell Entry:
➡️ 4070 – 4060 (after any small pullback)
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❌ Stop-Loss (SL)
Place SL above the supply zone where sellers defended:
SL:
➡️ 4155
This is the safest because above this zone, your bearish idea becomes invalid.
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🎯 Targets (Your Chart Levels + RRR)
TP1: 4050
RRR ≈ 1:2
TP2: 4029
RRR ≈ 1:3
TP3: 3980
RRR ≈ 1:5
Final Target: 3921
RRR ≈ 1:8+
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📌 Trade Setup Summary
SELL: 4070–4060
SL: 4155
TP1: 4050
TP2: 4029
TP3: 3980
TP4: 3921 (final target)
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📉 Price Action / Pattern Logic Behind the Trade
The chart shows:
✔ Break of Structure (BOS)
Price broke the previous strong support aggressively → turning structure bearish.
✔ Supply Zone Retest
Price pulled back into 4138-4150 supply and rejected → confirms seller strength.
✔ Bearish Imbalance / Fair Value Gap
Large bearish candle leaves FVG → price tends to continue filling downward.
✔ Lower High + Lower Low formation
Market clearly shifting into a downtrend on the 1-hour.
✔ Ichimoku Confirmation
Price is below cloud → bearish sentiment.
Overall Bias: Strongly Bearish
Gold experienced a sharp decline earlier today remain BullishGold experienced a sharp decline earlier today, but price action is currently consolidating as it retests a key support zone around 4050, where a swift rebound is visible. Technically, price remains in an upward structure despite the pullback, suggesting that buyers are still defending major support levels. As long as price holds above this support, bullish momentum may continue, with market participants waiting for a confirmed breakout before a clearer directional move develops.
From a fundamental perspective, gold edged lower on Monday, weighed down by a stronger U.S. dollar and reduced expectations of an interest-rate cut next month. Investors are likely to remain cautious as they await delayed U.S. economic data, which could provide further insight into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
If gold continues to trade within the current consolidation range while awaiting catalysts, bulls will need to maintain control above the support level to sustain upside momentum. A confirmed breakout above the near-term consolidation zone could open the path toward the next resistance levels at 4100 – 4132.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Gold: Bullish Structure Still Intact Despite Price VolatilityGold: Bullish Structure Still Intact Despite Price Volatility
Yesterday, Gold dropped nearly 2.5% in just one hour with no clear fundamental catalyst behind the move. The entire market reacted in an unusual, chaotic way.
Almost every chart showed extreme volatility at the same time.
During the spike, Gold fell from 4245 to 4142, tapping into a major structural support zone visible on the left side of the chart. So far, that area is holding, and if the market avoids another abnormal volatility event today, Gold may attempt to resume its broader bullish trend.
Interestingly, Gold had been climbing since Monday on expectations that the U.S. government would reopen. But the moment it actually did, Gold sharply reversed — a reaction that makes little sense from a fundamental perspective.
If the support zone continues to hold and normal price behavior returns, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Key Targets:
🎯 4230
🎯 4296
🎯 4360 (maximum extension)
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Setup Price is moving inside a small rising channel toward a demand zone. If price breaks below the channel and retests, a short-term pullback toward the demand zone is possible before the next big move.
Summary:
Setup: Rising channel → possible correction
Short Target: Demand zone
Confirmation: Break + retest of channel support
If you want, I can create a cleaner version or provide a long idea too
Support with Boost and Comments .
Golden Trap: Massive XAU/USD Sell OpportunityGold (XAU/USD) recently hit resistance near 4180–4200, a zone aligned with previous structural highs and a key Fib retracement zone (38.2%) from the recent swing top. The price has lost bullish momentum after a sharp rally, showing rejection wicks and fading volume. The multi-color ribbon EMA suggests early signs of a bearish crossover — indicating potential for a deeper correction.
Bearish Confluences:
Rejection at Fib Cluster (4180–4200) — aligns with both the local swing high and the 38.2% retracement level.
EMA Ribbon Curling Down — shorter EMAs are turning bearish, suggesting momentum exhaustion.
Bearish Market Structure Shift — lower highs forming after a parabolic rise, often preceding deeper retracements.
Overextended RSI / Momentum Divergence — previous highs not supported by equal strength on indicators.
Psychological Round Number Pressure (4200 zone) — historically a strong reaction level for gold.
🎯 Fibonacci Downside Targets (retracement from swing low to swing high):
Target 1 (38.2%) → $4,114 — Minor support, potential short-term bounce zone.
Target 2 (61.8%) → $4,072 — Golden ratio target and major structural support.
Target 3 (100%) → $4,005 — Full retracement zone and confluence with previous breakout
1380 Pips Profit on GoldGold Analysis Update ⚡
The correction played out exactly as expected, giving us a solid 1380 pips profit from this setup.
A short recovery to the upside is possible before continuation of the downtrend.
Check out the full analysis on my TradingView.
GOLD will rise after worries about financials reportsGold experienced two consecutive bearish sessions primarily due to the resolution of the government shutdown. This week, the main focus shifts to the upcoming financial reports and the extent to which the shutdown has affected the broader economy. Questions continue to arise regarding the previous month’s data and the possibility that some of those reports may never be released. A gap in financial reporting is never favorable, especially when paired with uncertainties surrounding this week’s releases—particularly those scheduled for Thursday.
From a technical perspective, GOLD has reached a strong support zone and shown a clear rejection. A retest of this rejection is expected before price advances toward the target zone, supported by the fundamental uncertainties anticipated in the coming days.
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure
Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11.
However, a significant sign appeared when:
Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD
Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe
The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure
This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure.
Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side.
If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear:
FVG 4,150 USD
Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally
• Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point
• FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur
• Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone:
Entry: 4,086 – 4,090
SL: 4,058
TP1: 4,132
TP2: 4,150
TP3: 4,202
→ This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer)
If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone:
Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart)
SL: 4,028
TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150
→ This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only
If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals:
Entry: 4,148–4,150
SL: 4,160
TP: 4,130 → 4,100
→ Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity.
As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market.
“Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.”
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement.
We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support.
As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full updated long term swing is completed into 4145. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Technical Analysis: High-Level Resistance Emerges, Focus onGold Technical Analysis: High-Level Resistance Emerges, Focus on Continued Pullback at the Start of the Week
Market Review: Gold suddenly turned downwards at the end of last week, and the key resistance level of 4210 we previously identified proved accurate. On Friday, gold prices reached a high of 4211 before retreating, breaking through the important 4100 level and ultimately falling to around 4032, resulting in a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. This significant decline has raised market concerns about whether a continuous downtrend will form on the daily chart.
Technical Analysis: Daily Chart Analysis: Observing the daily chart, it is clear that the price highs have been gradually shifting downwards. This means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line (referring to the three key support levels), a second downward reversal is likely to occur. Currently, the fast and slow lines are still above the zero line, indicating that even if there is a decline, it is temporarily characterized as a pullback rather than a trend reversal.
Combined with candlestick analysis, the important support of the trendline is located near the $4000 psychological level. This is both our main target for short positions this week and a key position for attempting to establish long positions. If this support level is breached, gold prices could further decline to around $3890, near the lower Bollinger Band.
Key Resistance Level Analysis
It's worth noting that the halfway point resistance level of Friday's large bearish candle is precisely at $4130, which also coincides with the highest point of the rebound after the sharp drop on October 21st. If gold prices can regain and hold above this level, it would signify the end of this round of correction.
Short-Term Trading Structure
After a slight rebound at the open this morning, gold prices continued to fall under pressure, with the $4110 level forming effective resistance. Observing the 1-hour chart, gold is forming a head and shoulders pattern. As long as the price remains below $4150, this bearish structure remains intact. Even if a strong rebound occurs, as long as it doesn't break through the $4150 resistance, it should be considered a shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy
Overall Approach
Today's core strategy is to sell on rallies. Although there is a technical rebound demand after Friday's sharp drop, the rebound strength is expected to be limited. As long as the key resistance of $4111 cannot be effectively broken, any rallies should be opportunities to short. Specific Trading Suggestions
Short Position Strategy:
Sell gold in batches around 4110-4120, with a position size of 20% of your capital.
Set a stop-loss of 8 points.
Target price: 4080-4060, with a further target of 4030 if the price breaks through.
Long Position Strategy:
Buy gold in batches around 4035-4040, with a position size of 20% of your capital.
Set a stop-loss of 8 points.
Target price: 4060-4080, with a further target of 4090 if the price breaks through.
Risk Warning: Investors must strictly control their position size and adhere to stop-loss discipline. Avoid holding losing positions. Specific entry points need to be adjusted based on real-time market movements. This analysis is for reference only.
Key Resistance Level: 4110-4150
Key Support Level: 4030-4000
Gold is expected to rise and then fall in the short term.After opening today, gold was pressured down by the 4110 area, finding support at around 4050 and rebounding. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show severe oversold conditions, indicating a clear short-term stabilization. Therefore, overall, while maintaining a bearish outlook for gold, a short-term rebound is likely, with a high probability of further declines.
Key resistance remains at the 4110 area, followed by the 4140-50 area. A sustained bearish stance is warranted; an unexpected upward breakout could extend the rebound, but a decline is still expected. Key support during the European session is at the 4050 area, with the 4030-40 area being a short-term key level. A break below this level would likely lead to further declines towards the 3980-3950 and 3915 areas.
A GOLDEN STORM IS COMING!Hello my dear trader friends,
I’m back with the continuation of the XAU/USD analysis.
In the previous analysis, I mentioned that gold had reached a resistance zone and we expected a price correction. Gold reacted beautifully to the zone and entered a correction phase. Now we must see whether this correction will continue or not.
Next week, the U.S. government shutdown will end, and we also have the Federal Reserve meeting and the PMI report. So a stormy week is ahead of us — get ready for a volatile ride.
Our profit from this analysis: 1000 pips
Follow me to hear and see the rest of gold’s story.
Gold Key Levels (4000-4400)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading.
Here’s how I trade these levels:
- Close above a level → Buy setup
When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close.
- Close below a level → Sell setup
A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close.
- Rejection from a level → Opposite trade
If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup.
These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
Gold. Where to short for 6150 pips. 16/Nov/25Xauusd have formed a pivot for downtrend at 4245.195. Trend will continue decline untill mid of December 2025..
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
GOLD Trade Plan 18/11/2025Dear Traders,
👉 **“The market is still ranging between 4000 and 4060. The price will likely drop to the channel bottom around 3950–3970, and from there move up toward the 4180–4200 target.”**
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold Surges, Resuming Bull Market!The bull market is back, and gold prices have risen as expected to above 4100. The opportunity has arrived, and it must be seized. Those who have been following the trend know that after the previous drop to 3888, we advised against excessive bearishness, suggesting a rebound from the lows, targeting 4050. A break above 4050 would trigger a one-sided trend. Although it consolidated for two weeks, Monday's opening saw a direct break above 4050, and the price has now surged to around 4140, a single-day gain of over $100 – this demonstrates the strength of the bulls' counterattack. Undoubtedly, gold is now in a bullish trend, forming a strong one-sided move. Therefore, the next targets for gold are 4186-4250, and a high of 4300.
This week is packed with positive news. The US government resumed its meetings on Monday, potentially ending the shutdown. CPI data will be released on Thursday, and PPI data on Friday. If the US government continues operating normally, the data released on Thursday and Friday will have a significant impact. The current market situation has both a solid foundation and strong intraday performance; it's just missing a data release to influence the market, otherwise the bulls would be even more aggressive. As analyzed on Monday, after gold broke through 4050 this week, we were expecting a one-sided trend, with targets at 4200 and 4300. The trend is now clear; Monday saw a direct break of 4050, a single-day increase of over $100. Having confirmed the one-sided trend, we expect it to continue today. Technically, after the daily chart's bottoming consolidation, the upward movement has broken through the Bollinger Band's middle band resistance. The next target is the upper Bollinger Band at 4300. Whether it breaks through the upper Bollinger Band will depend on the strength of the bulls. Until then, we must maintain our bullish outlook. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have already widened, indicating the bullish momentum is just beginning. Therefore, there's not much to say; we must maintain a bullish stance and adhere to two principles: go long with the trend, don't try to predict highs, and absolutely avoid shorting. Therefore, the entry point for long positions today is around 4110, which is the support level on the short-term chart. The overall strategy is to buy on dips, targeting 4186, and potentially 4250 with a strong upward move. In summary, Jin Shengfu suggests a short-term trading strategy of buying on dips and selling on rallies. Key resistance levels to watch are 4186-4250, and key support levels are 4110-4115. Please follow the trend closely.
Selling Strategy: Sell gold in batches around 4186-4190, targeting 4160-4150, with a further target of 4130 if it breaks through.
Buying Strategy: Buy gold in batches around 4110-4115, targeting 4150-4190, with a further target of 4250 if it breaks through.
