XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Setup Price is moving inside a small rising channel toward a demand zone. If price breaks below the channel and retests, a short-term pullback toward the demand zone is possible before the next big move.
Summary:
Setup: Rising channel → possible correction
Short Target: Demand zone
Confirmation: Break + retest of channel support
If you want, I can create a cleaner version or provide a long idea too
Support with Boost and Comments .
Trade ideas
Gold Trade Plan 17/11/2025Dear Traders,
Gold is trading inside a contracting descending wedge/triangle on the 4H chart.
The upper dynamic resistance has rejected the price again.
Unless a clear breakout occurs, a move back toward the lower trendline remains likely.
Key resistances: 4180 and 4278.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD Retests Resistance — Pullback Toward $4,060 SupportHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). After a prolonged bullish movement within a well-defined ascending channel, price reached a significant Resistance Level near $4,200, where sellers stepped in to regain control. This resistance coincides with the upper boundary of a descending resistance line, confirming its importance as a reaction area. Following this rejection, Gold experienced a sharp correction, forming a Range structure near the top before breaking below it — marking a shift in short-term sentiment. The breakout from this range confirmed the beginning of a downward phase, where price continued to move inside a new descending pattern. Currently, XAUUSD is testing the resistance line once again after a breakout retest from below. This area aligns with a former pivot zone where several reversals occurred in the past. The overall structure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are preparing to defend this key zone. As long as price remains below the $4,160–$4,200 resistance, a corrective pullback toward the $4,060 Support Level (TP1) looks likely. This area also aligns with the ascending support line, which may act as the next major decision point. A clean break below $4,060 could extend the decline toward the $3,950–$3,970 zone, while a confirmed breakout above $4,200 would invalidate the short scenario and potentially trigger another bullish continuation phase. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Technical Analysis: High-Level Resistance Emerges, Focus onGold Technical Analysis: High-Level Resistance Emerges, Focus on Continued Pullback at the Start of the Week
Market Review: Gold suddenly turned downwards at the end of last week, and the key resistance level of 4210 we previously identified proved accurate. On Friday, gold prices reached a high of 4211 before retreating, breaking through the important 4100 level and ultimately falling to around 4032, resulting in a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. This significant decline has raised market concerns about whether a continuous downtrend will form on the daily chart.
Technical Analysis: Daily Chart Analysis: Observing the daily chart, it is clear that the price highs have been gradually shifting downwards. This means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line (referring to the three key support levels), a second downward reversal is likely to occur. Currently, the fast and slow lines are still above the zero line, indicating that even if there is a decline, it is temporarily characterized as a pullback rather than a trend reversal.
Combined with candlestick analysis, the important support of the trendline is located near the $4000 psychological level. This is both our main target for short positions this week and a key position for attempting to establish long positions. If this support level is breached, gold prices could further decline to around $3890, near the lower Bollinger Band.
Key Resistance Level Analysis
It's worth noting that the halfway point resistance level of Friday's large bearish candle is precisely at $4130, which also coincides with the highest point of the rebound after the sharp drop on October 21st. If gold prices can regain and hold above this level, it would signify the end of this round of correction.
Short-Term Trading Structure
After a slight rebound at the open this morning, gold prices continued to fall under pressure, with the $4110 level forming effective resistance. Observing the 1-hour chart, gold is forming a head and shoulders pattern. As long as the price remains below $4150, this bearish structure remains intact. Even if a strong rebound occurs, as long as it doesn't break through the $4150 resistance, it should be considered a shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy
Overall Approach
Today's core strategy is to sell on rallies. Although there is a technical rebound demand after Friday's sharp drop, the rebound strength is expected to be limited. As long as the key resistance of $4111 cannot be effectively broken, any rallies should be opportunities to short. Specific Trading Suggestions
Short Position Strategy:
Sell gold in batches around 4110-4120, with a position size of 20% of your capital.
Set a stop-loss of 8 points.
Target price: 4080-4060, with a further target of 4030 if the price breaks through.
Long Position Strategy:
Buy gold in batches around 4035-4040, with a position size of 20% of your capital.
Set a stop-loss of 8 points.
Target price: 4060-4080, with a further target of 4090 if the price breaks through.
Risk Warning: Investors must strictly control their position size and adhere to stop-loss discipline. Avoid holding losing positions. Specific entry points need to be adjusted based on real-time market movements. This analysis is for reference only.
Key Resistance Level: 4110-4150
Key Support Level: 4030-4000
GOLD will rise after worries about financials reportsGold experienced two consecutive bearish sessions primarily due to the resolution of the government shutdown. This week, the main focus shifts to the upcoming financial reports and the extent to which the shutdown has affected the broader economy. Questions continue to arise regarding the previous month’s data and the possibility that some of those reports may never be released. A gap in financial reporting is never favorable, especially when paired with uncertainties surrounding this week’s releases—particularly those scheduled for Thursday.
From a technical perspective, GOLD has reached a strong support zone and shown a clear rejection. A retest of this rejection is expected before price advances toward the target zone, supported by the fundamental uncertainties anticipated in the coming days.
Gold is expected to rise and then fall in the short term.After opening today, gold was pressured down by the 4110 area, finding support at around 4050 and rebounding. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show severe oversold conditions, indicating a clear short-term stabilization. Therefore, overall, while maintaining a bearish outlook for gold, a short-term rebound is likely, with a high probability of further declines.
Key resistance remains at the 4110 area, followed by the 4140-50 area. A sustained bearish stance is warranted; an unexpected upward breakout could extend the rebound, but a decline is still expected. Key support during the European session is at the 4050 area, with the 4030-40 area being a short-term key level. A break below this level would likely lead to further declines towards the 3980-3950 and 3915 areas.
A GOLDEN STORM IS COMING!Hello my dear trader friends,
I’m back with the continuation of the XAU/USD analysis.
In the previous analysis, I mentioned that gold had reached a resistance zone and we expected a price correction. Gold reacted beautifully to the zone and entered a correction phase. Now we must see whether this correction will continue or not.
Next week, the U.S. government shutdown will end, and we also have the Federal Reserve meeting and the PMI report. So a stormy week is ahead of us — get ready for a volatile ride.
Our profit from this analysis: 1000 pips
Follow me to hear and see the rest of gold’s story.
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
XAU/USD – Retracement Before Next Leg UpGold (XAU/USD) has pulled back after testing the upper boundary of the descending trendline around US $4,230–4,250. The rejection there was expected, as this level has acted as a major dynamic resistance since early October. Despite the drop, price is still trading within a broader ascending channel, suggesting that the current move is a healthy retracement inside an ongoing uptrend.
Potential W-shaped correction forming, with multiple buy invalidation levels highlighted. This structure often appears mid-trend when the market is resetting liquidity before continuation.
🧠 Technical Outlook
Price remains inside the rising channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries.
The rejection at the descending trendline aligns perfectly with previous swing highs — a natural area for sellers.
A deeper pullback into the 4,000–4,020 region is possible before buyers step back in.
If the W-correction completes, a bounce from the lower channel boundary could send price back toward 4,160–4,200, and eventually retest the descending trendline again.
Buy Invalidation #1: A break below 4,000 weakens the bullish structure.
Buy Invalidation #3: A break below 3,900–3,880 fully invalidates the upside scenario and opens the door to deeper declines.
The overall structure still favors bullish continuation, as long as price stays above the lower channel line.
🌍 Fundamental View – November 2025
Fed Outlook: The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged in late October but signaled openness to rate cuts in early 2026 as economic data cools. This continues to underpin gold sentiment.
USD & Yields: The U.S. dollar has shown a mild rebound this week, creating short-term pressure on gold — aligning with the current dip on the chart.
Inflation: Sticky inflation around 3.2% limits how high real yields can climb, helping maintain gold’s medium-term bullish bias.
Geopolitics: Persistent tensions across the Middle East keep safe-haven demand stable, contributing to deep pullbacks being bought quickly.
In short, the fundamentals still support gold’s broader uptrend, even if a short-term correction unfolds.
⚖️ Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation after a corrective pullback
Watch Zone for Buys: 4,000–4,020 (channel support & correction completion zone)
Upside Targets:
4,160
4,200
Retest of 4,230–4,250 descending trendline
Invalidation Levels:
#1: Below 4,000 (structure weakens)
#3: Below 3,900–3,880 (bullish idea invalid)
Summary:
Gold is correcting inside a rising channel, and as long as price holds above the lower boundary, the structure favors another bullish leg toward 4,160–4,250. The W-pattern on your chart supports a scenario where buyers re-enter after liquidity is swept from lower levels.
Short first, then long; perfectly grasping the market rhythm.On Tuesday, the bottoming strategy suggested that gold should pay attention to the 4000 level for a rebound and correction. As expected, it rebounded to around 4040. After the opening, a short position was arranged at 4052, which reached the profit target of 4030 as expected. Then, a long position was arranged at 4000, which was closed at 4015. The intraday strategy was to first short and then long, reaping a profit of 37 pips!
Gold prices continued their weak opening on Tuesday, with selling pressure emerging after breaking below short-term moving averages yesterday. Although delayed data such as the September non-farm payrolls will be released this week, the results may reinforce the Federal Reserve's stance of holding rates steady, putting continued pressure on gold prices. Overall, gold prices are likely to adjust this week. With no major data releases today, the market focus is on speeches by Federal Reserve officials and changes in expectations for interest rate cuts.
Gold's technical outlook remains bearish. The hourly chart is still within a standard downward channel. After rebounding to around 4055 at the open, it fell back again, indicating a weak corrective structure. No effective reversal signal has been seen in the short term. The strength or weakness of the European session will be the key observation point for today's trend. The watershed above is still the 4045-4070 area. As long as the price continues to be pressured below this range, the bearish structure is likely to continue. The first support level to watch is the 4000 mark. If it breaks down effectively, the bearish target will continue to be around 3980. In terms of trading strategy, if there is a rebound to the 4045-4070 area before or after the European session, consider shorting gold in batches, following the channel structure. The overall outlook remains bearish.
Gold is heading to the supportGold had retraced from the local peak having been pushed down by the jittering markets across the board. The next possible support is located at around $4000 area - between 20 and 50 moving averages. Volume has been growing for GC futures, according to the CMEgroup’s statistics, so either bearish and bullish pullbacks might be volatile.
Absence of macro economic drives amid government shutdown creates uncertainty about inflation and other economic metrics in the US, so the asset is expected to trade technically staying within a trading range.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Same thing again, we wanted lower to go higher but this move is as extreme as we've seen, choppy ranges and hardly any pull backs. It's ok however, we managed to break the bias level which indicated the move, for the targets to then complete on the distribution of price. We gave our team the level of 4020, on the swing, we got the move and boom!
Now, we have support 4195 and the level of 4230 above. I would like to see this come down over the Asian session as we're just too stretched to now consider going long again. If we are to go higher I want better entries, otherwise getting in with the volume is not really ideal for us. Pips are to be had, just pick the levels with caution.
From Camelot this morning:
RED BOXES:
Break above 4129 for 4140✅, 4155✅ and 4168✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4110 for 4106, 4097 and 4075 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Correction and retest 4150 FX:XAUUSD still retains its bullish structure. The price is entering a correction phase within the trading range. The key support level that may attract the attention of MM is 4150.
The probability of a decline in December fell to 51% (from 63% the day before) after hawkish statements by Fed officials. Government bond yields are rising. These factors are putting pressure on gold.
However, a weak dollar, a flight to safe assets amid global market sell-offs, and uncertainty surrounding US data (September reports may be published, but October data is likely to be lost) are providing support for the bullish trend.
Gold retains its growth potential due to macro risks. A short-term correction is possible due to profit-taking ahead of the weekend, but the $4150 level remains key support.
Resistance levels: 4211, 4239
Support levels: 4161, 4150, 4100
Within the current trading range, the focus is on support at 4161 - 4148. A false breakdown and bulls holding prices above key levels could trigger a rebound and growth to local resistance levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Retracement ideaXAUUSD after a huge 3500 B/O, is it finally time for a pull back? Short positions can be taken targeting lower fib levels with proper risk management. Break of ATH invalidates any further pull backs. This is only market speculation and should not be considered as financial advise
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement.
We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support.
As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full updated long term swing is completed into 4145. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD – Completing Wave (5) and Preparing for a Larger ABC RetracPrice action continues to respect the impulsive downside structure. Based on the internal wave count, it looks like we are finishing the final leg of Wave (5). The subwaves are clean, momentum is weakening, and structure is tightening inside a wedge—typical behavior at the end of an impulsive sequence.
Once Wave (5) completes, I expect a corrective A-B-C retracement to unfold.
Key expectations:
🔵 Wave Structure Outlook
Wave (4) has already topped inside the falling trendline
Wave (5) likely completes near the 0% zone
A corrective bounce should follow into:
A → around 4080
B → re-test of lower support
C → potential extension towards the 0.382–0.618 retracement (4082–4143)
⚠️ Bigger Picture
Even if the ABC correction plays out, the macro trend remains strongly bearish, and the dominant descending trendline continues to cap all rallies.
After the corrective structure completes, I expect another major move down following the thick black trendline.
🎯 Levels to Watch
Support: 3983
Short-term resistance: 4044, 4082, 4113, 4143
Gold sell set upGold has dropped aggressively to a demand level and closed below 200 ema
.............................. how to trade it :-
#1 Wait for price to break with a full bear candle with volume spike
#2 wait for price to retest the demand
#3 wait for bearish rejection candle at demand or engulfing candle
If nun of the confirmation 👆 show on the price do not take the trade
Gold Short: A Great Risk Reward tradeThe previous Gold idea to short failed because Wave C of 2 unexpectedly unfolds in a 5-wave impulse. However, that is not surprising because wave 2 can technically retrace 100% of wave 1.
Over here, I see the completion of 5-wave structure and thus will attempt another short.
The stop will be above wave B and the take profit can be set at the end of wave A. The reward to risk ratio is 9.82:1.
Good luck!






















