XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 4111.02
Stoploss: 4010.79
TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward
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Trade ideas
#XAUUSD: Upcoming Massive Swing Sell, Do Not Miss Out! **Overview on Gold – 12/11/2025**🏆
Gold has reversed from a key level, indicating a sustained bullish trend until it reaches the previous higher high zone. A minor correction may occur before bulls regain control and push the price towards our ‘premium selling zone’.
**Key Points and Strategy**🧠📊
💡 Gold has three primary targets, each suitable for swing entries. To account for market volatility, use a wider stop loss and close 25% of the position at each target level to progressively secure profits.
📌Consider buying gold until it reaches our defined selling zone; this will serve as an intraday buying setup. Continuously monitor market updates to adjust entries and exits accordingly.
📌The market is currently respecting major support areas, and the bullish momentum is supported by strong technical indicators. However, traders should be aware that intraday fluctuations are still likely. Additionally, gold prices are highly sensitive to macroeconomic factors, particularly interest rates, currency strength, geopolitical risk, and inflation. As of November 2025, global financial markets are navigating a mixed economic landscape.
📌Furthermore, the Federal Reserve has signalled that rate cuts may begin in early 2026, which weakens the US dollar and supports gold prices. Geopolitical tensions, including ongoing regional conflicts and trade disputes, continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. A weaker dollar has been a primary tailwind for gold this year. If the Federal Reserve cuts rates as expected, gold could see further inflows from investors seeking to hedge against currency depreciation.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ Our analyses are for educational purposes only, you must do your own research and risk management before taking any financial decisions. Always analysis the chart yourself first before following any chart blindly ⚠️
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Team Setupsfx_
Gold Bulls Awaken, Can It Hold Above 4300? Strategy Update
Gold continued its upward breakout from its consolidation range in the latter half of the previous trading session, further opening up upward potential. We've previously mentioned that the short-term consolidation in gold was a build-up for an upward breakout. Today, we should continue to focus on effective long positions following the trend, observing the extent of the bullish continuation. While bullish, avoid chasing the price higher. During the Asian session, wait for a pullback to key support levels before entering effective long positions. Since the gold price has already broken out, this indicates further upward potential. During the pullback, long positions should continue to be established, following the trend. Short-term support is at 4185-75, where small, incremental long positions can be entered. Gold's 4160-50 level has transformed from resistance to support, making it another good entry point for long positions. Gold remains bullish in the short term. Current price action suggests resistance around 4210-20, with strong resistance around 4245-55. This is a suggested strategy for the Asian session, and it's time-sensitive. If the Asian session breaks through, the target for the European and American sessions is 4250. Continue to expect further upward movement towards 4300; otherwise, expect range-bound trading.
Market Review: On the previous trading day, when the price pulled back to around 4100, I signaled to enter long positions near the double bottom pattern formed at 4100, ultimately resulting in profit. A total of 5 trades were made on the previous trading day, including both long and short positions, all of which were profitable. You can check previous posts to verify this. Currently, the price is fluctuating within a small range of 4185-4205; we will look for opportunities to buy.
Markets don't always move in a sideways pattern; there will always be breakouts. These breakouts are more volatile and offer more opportunities, but they also carry higher risks. I always remind investors to prioritize risk management and carefully plan their positions. I focus solely on real trading and a clear rhythm. There are no perpetual bull or bear markets, only the right direction in the present. Master the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you're struggling to execute trades precisely, try my method: test the market with a small position first, then add to your position on pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, follow me and strictly adhere to my signals. This will make it easier to recover losses or double your profits!
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow)
🔍 Current Market Context
Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the $4,145 price level.
Liquidity:
The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction.
The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the $4,240 level.
Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone.
🎯 Proposed Trading Plan
The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD).
1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD)
This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long).
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124.
This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120.
This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs.
The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around $4,145 - $4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the $4,124 - $4,126 zone.
Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above $4,240).
2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP)
This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move.
Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210.
This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides.
Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212.
This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone.
Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone).
⚠️ Key Considerations
Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying).
Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success.
Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
Gold Regains Its Shine as Buyers Take Control of the Market!Hello traders,
After days of consolidation, gold surged sharply during the Asian session , reclaiming the key psychological level of $4,000/oz. The weakness of the U.S. dollar, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December , has reignited investor optimism. Meanwhile, efforts by the U.S. Congress to end the government shutdown have further strengthened gold’s position as a safe-haven asset.
On the chart, gold is showing a strong rebound from the $4,000 support zone , where buyers previously stepped in with significant volume. The potential scenario suggests that price may pull back slightly toward $4,000 before continuing its climb toward the $4,200 resistance area, which aligns with the previous swing high and a key supply zone.
If price breaks above $4,200, the bullish momentum could extend further , targeting the $4,300 area in the medium term. Market sentiment remains firmly in favor of the bulls, and gold appears ready for a fresh breakout this week .
Wishing you all successful trades!
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has regained upward momentum, bouncing back above $4,200 after briefly pulling back from a three-week high. The metal remains within a broad bullish structure, supported by risk-off sentiment and a softer USD.
The Resistance Zone lies between $4,207–$4,214, which coincides with recent swing highs. The Support Zone is established around $4,166–$4,174, representing the demand base from earlier this week. A short-term pullback toward the support zone could offer a buy-on-dip opportunity, with price likely to retest the $4,210 resistance area if momentum holds.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy on retracement near support, targeting a retest of $4,210 resistance.
Entry: $4,167 – $4,174
Stop Loss: $4,166
Take Profit 1: $4,207
Take Profit 2: $4,214
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.88
If gold breaks below $4,165, the bullish bias would weaken, potentially opening room for deeper correction toward $4,150.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold climbed above $4,200 on Friday amid renewed risk aversion and a weaker U.S. Dollar, as markets digest ongoing fallout from the U.S. government shutdown and signs of slowing growth.
FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted that “Gold retakes $4,200 as USD weakens on economic concerns and a risk-off mood boosts demand.” 【FXStreet】
Economic Concerns: Investors remain worried that the prolonged U.S. government closure shaved 1.5–2.0% off quarterly GDP growth, reinforcing expectations of weaker economic activity ahead.
USD Under Pressure: The U.S. Dollar trades near a two-week low, as markets anticipate softer data once official reports resume.
Fed Rate-Cut Bets: While some Fed officials, including Susan Collins and Neel Kashkari, warned against hasty easing, the CME FedWatch Tool still shows a 50% chance of a 25bp rate cut in December, and 75% odds for January.
Data Delays: A senior White House official confirmed that key October data (employment and inflation) might not be released, adding uncertainty to policy projections.
Risk Sentiment: Weaker equities and global risk aversion continue to support gold as investors seek safety amid limited U.S. macro visibility.
Despite the reduced odds of an immediate December cut, the medium-term narrative remains gold-positive, with the Fed leaning toward eventual easing once data returns.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,207 – $4,214
Support: $4,167 – $4,174
Psychological Level: $4,200
📌 Trade Summary
Gold’s short-term structure favours buying dips toward $4,167–$4,174, supported by risk-off sentiment and a fragile U.S. Dollar. As long as price stays above $4,165, the bullish outlook remains valid with potential retest of the $4,207 area. However, uncertainty around delayed U.S. data may keep volatility elevated into next week.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
BUY NOW
Trade Signal
Asset: XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe:4H
Direction:Long (Buy)
Entry Zone:4,215.338 - 4,230.00
Take Profit (TP): 4,314.333
Stop Loss (SL): 4,116.343
Hello traders,
This is an analysis of XAUUSD on the 4-hour timeframe.
After finding support in early November, Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking through several resistance levels. The price is currently consolidating inside the "Entry Buy Zone" marked on the chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
The Setup:
We are looking for a Long position, anticipating the bullish trend will continue.
The Entry Zone** is identified around 4,215.338. Price is currently trading within this area, offering a potential entry.
The top Loss is placed at 4,116.343, which is below the recent consolidation and support area, protecting the trade from a sharp reversal.
The Take Profit target is set at 4,314.333, aiming for the next significant resistance level.
This setup offers approximately a 1:1 risk/reward ratio
Disclaimer:This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always conduct your own analysis and manage your risk appropriately.
Gold sell setup This trade based on Daily TF and and deply analyzed on 6h TF
Gold has broken a strong supply level yesterday on aisa & london sessions and kept the momentum all the way to to 21 Oct and 23 Oct swing high but NY session rejected and engulfed the previous session at the swing high with high volume . After the breakout structure has to be retested , with all those confirmation there is a high probability market will retest 4050 .
XAUUSD - Weak Reiection at Premium Zone, Looking for Deeper Liqu"Gold is showing a weak reaction from the premium zone on the 30m chart. Price is failing to hold above the value area and is sliding back toward the lower liquidity pocket. My main scenario is a retracement toward the liquidity pool below 4,020, where a deeper sweep could occur before any meaningful reversal. Watching for displacement confirmation around that zone."
Gold: buyers defend the key demand zoneGold has reached the major demand zone at 4026–3993 — the same area where strong bullish reactions appeared multiple times in the past. The chart shows several reversal structures forming right inside this zone, while the price retests previous liquidity sweeps and a fair-value imbalance created before the last upward impulse.
Technically, gold remains inside a local descending channel, but the main focus is on the reaction from the demand zone. This level is supported by previous BOS signals, high-volume reactions and a clear accumulation base. EMA lines remain above the price, confirming the short-term bearish impulse, but zones like this often become the starting point for medium-term reversals.
Fundamentally, gold stays under pressure due to a strong USD and Fed expectations; however, macro-risks and safe-haven demand continue to prevent a deeper decline. If buyers hold 4026–3990, a recovery toward the major supply zone at 4210–4268 becomes highly probable.
Tactically: the main scenario is to look for confirmations to go long inside the demand zone. First target: 4170–4180. Main target: 4210–4268. If the zone breaks down, gold may head toward 3950.
If demand holds, the next impulse may come much faster than the market expects — gold often moves sharply once liquidity is collected.
GOLD Bull Trap Into Bear TrapGOLD has been outperforming almost every major asset class for the last 20 years to the surprise of many people including myself. I was only born in the 90's so I have yet to be aware of the power that comes from owning gold.
That being said, It would be really nice to see the Gold correction mature here in order for us to grab liquidity which will ultimately bring us to much higher prices. Using some basic technical analysis, I will be watching the 618 retracement zone for a short trade entry with a stop above the ATH.
Although I am not as interested in a large size short position if it is provided, I would be very interested in expanding my portfolio with some Gold holdings if my targets are hit, going into 2026. I believe this will be the final 5th wave of the overall Elliot Wave count that begin in 2015 when the new Gold rally had begun.
Lets see where the market decides to move.
Gold price opening trend after the plunge
News:
Spot gold prices plunged 2% on Friday (November 14th) as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened market expectations for a December rate cut, triggering a massive sell-off.
Gold itself does not earn interest and typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, and is also seen as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty.
With the US government shutdown ending, investors are awaiting clearer information on how the backlog of economic data will be processed and how this data will reflect the state of the US economy.
Technical aspects:
From a 1-hour technical analysis perspective, the daily chart closed bearish, indicating a significant drop and strong short-term upward pressure. Market sentiment is less optimistic, and the 4000 level is crucial. If it holds, the price may consolidate for a while; however, a break below this level could see gold prices fall to around 3930 or even lower, potentially finding support near 3885.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is in a consolidation phase. If it can recover lost ground and reclaim key moving averages, the bulls still have some hope; otherwise, the bears may continue their aggressive selling.
Trading strategy:
Buy:4115-4110, SL: 4125, TP: 4065-4020
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Is Gold Setting Up a Swing Rally?XAU/USD Accumulation Highlights🏆 XAU/USD "GOLD VS U.S DOLLAR" - Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint 📊
Swing Trade | Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation 💎
📍 MARKET SETUP
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Pattern: Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation Phase ✅
Market Structure: Accumulation Zone Identified 🎯
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYERING METHOD ("THIEF STRATEGY")
Multiple Limit Order Entry Points:
Using the Layering Strategy - Scale in with multiple limit orders at different levels for optimal position management.
Layer 1 Entry: $3,960 (33% Position Size) - First Entry Point 🔵
Layer 2 Entry: $4,000 (33% Position Size) - Second Entry Point 🟢
Layer 3 Entry: $4,040 (34% Position Size) - Third Entry Point 🟡
📌 NOTE: You can increase/adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation. Flexibility is key to the Thief Strategy.
⛔ STOP LOSS
Recommended SL Level: $3,880 (Below Accumulation Base)
Risk Per Trade: Adjust based on your personal risk management strategy
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation. Adjust your stop loss according to YOUR OWN STRATEGY and RISK TOLERANCE. Your capital, your rules. 🛡️
🚀 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: $4,360 (Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone)
Key Resistance Levels:
⚡ Strong resistance confluence zone
Overbought signal indicates profit-taking zone
Be cautious of potential reversal traps near target
💰 DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation for exit points. Secure profits based on YOUR OWN RISK MANAGEMENT. Take gains when you're comfortable. 📈
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS)
🔴 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to Gold)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) 📉
When DXY strengthens → XAU/USD weakens
When DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens
KEY POINT: Monitor DXY weakness as bullish trigger for gold rally
FX:EURUSD 💶
Strong negative correlation with gold
Euro weakness = Gold strength (Flight to Safety)
Watch for Euro breakdown below key support levels
🟡 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) 🔗
Typically moves 70-80% correlated with gold
KEY POINT: Confirms broader precious metals strength
If XAGUSD breaks resistance, XAU/USD usually follows
FX:GBPUSD (British Pound vs USD) 🏴
Weak positive correlation with gold
Weak GBP = Risk-off sentiment = Gold demand rises
Watch for GBP weakness as confluence signal
🔵 MACRO DRIVERS TO WATCH
US Treasury Yields (10Y, 2Y) 📊
Higher yields = Lower gold attractiveness
Lower yields = Higher gold demand
CRITICAL: Monitor Fed announcements & rate expectations
SP:SPX (S&P 500) 📈
Risk-on sentiment weakens gold demand
Risk-off sentiment strengthens gold
Market crashes = Gold surges (Safe Haven)
⚡ CONFLUENCE SIGNALS FOR THIS SETUP
✅ Bullish Confluence When:
DXY shows weakness/breakdown
XAGUSD confirms precious metals strength
Moving Averages align bullishly
Wyckoff accumulation phase completing
⚠️ Invalidation Signals:
Break below $3,880 SL (Accumulation base failure)
Strong DXY rally
Risk-on market rally (Equities surge)
💡 TRADER'S NOTES
🎯 Best Timing: Scale entries during DXY weakness or Fed pivot signals
📍 Sweet Spot: Layer entries $3,960-$4,040 range for optimal averaging
🛑 Risk Control: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
💰 Profit Taking: Consider partial profits at each moving average resistance
⚖️ FULL DISCLAIMER
🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only
🔹 Always conduct your own research & due diligence
🔹 Past performance ≠ Future results
🔹 Manage your risk responsibly
🔹 Your capital, your responsibility, your choice 🛡️
📌#XAU/USD #Gold #Swing Trade #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #Metals #Trading #DayTrader #Accumulation #LayeringStrategy
XAUUSD : 4H Elliott wave at correction stageNow Correction stage
Short-term pattern :
Long to zone 4045 - 4193
Invalid if drops below 3884
Buy entry zone 3945-3975 if it breaks the yellow trendline
, will double confirm to C and end of X
Stop loss 3884
(If it can meet that green arrow zone, we wait and see a rejection candle for short again)
PS.
Medium-term pattern: Gold should drop below 3885, and wait for its reversal to get the bullish Long-term trend again
Gold continuation patternHere's exactly my idea, confirm it before you enter a trade! daily and 3H timeframe gaps. recommended to hit that gap only before it retraces back to 3600-3700 or above zone again.
Wait for that entry buy zone again. Or if you want to short this idea. look on 3H swept.
Chart is on daily. we might see 4180-4200, that's my short zone!
If you're having a good thoughts comment yours. this is a free community. Been dealing this moves. It's my base fibonacci level 1.61 above/retrace! before the price continues higher.
Follow for more. Watch only my zones entry buy/sell , Long/short! choose wisely.
To invest in my idea direct/private me here! with 70-30 split profit!
An upward trend in gold prices has been established consider buyDuring the US session, gold prices achieved a key breakthrough, breaking through the resistance zone that had previously held them back, demonstrating strong bullish momentum. This breakout not only broke through the previous resistance at $4,140 to $4,160, but also signified a shift in market sentiment from wait-and-see to bullish. With continued buying pressure, gold prices steadily climbed, currently reaching the psychologically important $4200 level. This level is not only a crucial technical point but also a key focus of the short-term battle between bulls and bears.
Currently, $4200 is a key watershed for assessing the strength of gold's price movement. If the price can effectively hold above this level, accompanied by increased trading volume, it is expected to open up further upside potential, with subsequent targets potentially reaching $4250 or even higher. The upward momentum is primarily supported by factors such as rising global inflation expectations, lower real interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainties. Furthermore, the recent continuous increase in gold reserves by some central banks also provides long-term fundamental support for gold prices.
Conversely, if gold prices encounter strong selling pressure around $4200 and fall back, they may enter a short-term technical consolidation phase. However, it should be emphasized that such pullbacks or fluctuations are not a signal of trend reversal, but more likely a normal accumulation of strength during the upward process, aimed at consolidating previous gains and accumulating momentum for the next stage of upward movement. Therefore, even if there is a brief pullback, it will not affect the plan to buy long positions.
Regarding trading strategies, it is recommended to continue with a buy-on-dips approach. If the price retraces to the $4150-$4170 range, it can be seen as a good opportunity to build positions in stages, as this area represents the support zone after the previous breakout. For investors who missed the initial entry opportunity, if the price does not retrace and directly breaks through $4,200 and confirms its stability, they can consider moderately chasing the rise and adding to their positions. However, they need to pay attention to controlling their positions and avoid the volatility risk brought by chasing high prices.
Overall, the short-term trend for gold is clearly upward, with the market center of gravity continuously rising. As long as key support levels are not broken, every pullback could become the starting point for a new round of upward movement.
The above strategies are my personal thoughts. If you don't have a clear trading strategy, you are welcome to refer to them. If they can help you, please like and follow to support me. My gold strategies will continue to be updated!
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4125.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4139.79
Recommended Stop Loss - 4117.21
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold: The broader bullish trend remains unchangedGold held the key 4100 level today, indicating that the current market sentiment still leans bullish. This aligns with my proposed strategy of buying on pullbacks. During the U.S. session today, gold's bullish momentum continued to break through, reaching a high around 4211.
For support below, we should focus on the 4145-4150 zone. I have consistently emphasized that the broader trend remains bullish, so it's advisable to avoid trading against the trend. Operationally, prioritize buying on pullbacks.
DeGRAM | GOLD will reach the $4380 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold remains within a rising channel, pulling back toward the mid-range support near 4145–4130, where price previously rebounded and maintained bullish structure.
● A continuation pattern is forming above the trendline, and holding this support zone should trigger a move toward 4211 and the upper channel boundary near 4380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● According to FXStreet, softer US yields and dovish Fed expectations continue to support demand for safe-haven metals in the short term.
✨ Summary
Support: 4145–4130. Targets: 4211 → 4380. Bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above trendline support.
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