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Firmly bearish on gold, targeting $4,000 and below.Last week, gold experienced a breathtaking rollercoaster ride. At the start of trading last Monday, gold prices surged and held firm above the psychological level of $4,000. Bulls, like galloping horses, launched a new and fierce offensive, once aiming for the historical high set last month, reaching a peak of around $4,245. The market seemed to be ignited with the flames of a raging bull market. However, the situation suddenly changed. A series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, their words like thunderclaps, shook the market, and sentiment cooled abruptly. Gold prices plummeted, erasing all previous gains, and ultimately closed around $4,085, leaving a trail of disappointment. The gold market has been caught in a period of intense volatility due to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies and a lack of US economic data, leaving both bulls and bears relentlessly battered. Such extreme two-way fluctuations are nothing short of a brutal baptism for traders, especially those investors who are accustomed to blindly buying at the bottom and ignoring stop-loss discipline, who suffer heavy losses. Here I solemnly remind you: when the market is turbulent and the direction is unclear, do not rush into the market. It is better to observe the situation calmly, watch more and act less, and always face every breath and pulse of the market with a sense of awe. Regarding trading strategies! Regarding trading strategy: I plan to place short orders in batches within the 4095-4125 range, waiting for the gold price to weaken during any rebound. The key support level to watch is the 4070-4080 area. If this level is breached, gold may begin a new downward trend, heading towards a deeper technical correction.
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Smart Money Roadmap: Gold’s Next Move Mapped OutGold is currently reacting inside a high-impact Smart Money footprint zone after a strong bearish move. Price has left multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above, suggesting a potential short-term bullish correction as institutions rebalance inefficiencies. The first logical target is the upper FVG zone around 4,139, where price may face strong resistance. Below, a critical Smart Money support area around 4,033 – 4,062 is acting as a decision point. If price holds above this zone, we could see a healthy pullback toward FVG imbalances. But if price breaks below the Smart Money support and crosses into the warning region, the next downside target aligns with the channel projection near 3,911, opening the door for deeper sell opportunities. Gold has printed a strong bearish leg, leaving behind clear Smart Money footprints. The current zone around 4,033 – 4,062 is a key institutional support area. As long as price respects this zone, Smart Money may push into the upper Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) around 4,139, which would be the first target for a corrective move. However, a break below the Smart Money zone triggers a major warning. If price falls into the red channel, it opens clean sell opportunities with a downside projection toward 3,911. This level lines up with the bottom of the descending channel and represents a deeper liquidity target. 🟢 Bullish bias → only if price respects the Smart Money support and moves to fill upper FVGs. 🔴 Bearish continuation → if price breaks below the warning zone and enters the channel. This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Fair Value Gaps, liquidity levels, and institutional price behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeWithMky
1
Gold price continues to recover, accumulating above 4200⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) trades higher near $4,185 in early Asian hours on Friday, supported by expectations that the reopening of the US government will resume economic data releases and strengthen bets on additional Fed rate cuts. The longest shutdown in US history ended on Thursday after President Trump signed a funding bill, which passed the House in a 222–209 vote with broad Republican support and a few Democratic votes. Investors now expect upcoming post-shutdown data to show labor market softness, potentially pressuring the US Dollar (USD) and providing near-term support for the USD-priced metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is still in an uptrend, recovering above 4200. Liquidity scan of H1 breakout price zone 4147 completed and recovered. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4288 - 4286 SL 4293 TP1: $4270 TP2: $4255 TP3: $4240 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4100 - 4102 SL 4095 TP1: $4115 TP2: $4130 TP3: $4145 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has stabilized near $4,077 after retracing from last week’s highs above $4,200. The short-term chart shows a range-bound consolidation, with support at $4,068–$4,078 and resistance at $4,145–$4,156. Price action suggests a potential recovery setup if the support zone holds firm. A sustained move above $4,090 could open the door for a short-term rebound toward the $4,150 zone, though sellers may reappear near resistance. A close below $4,060 would invalidate this bullish scenario, signalling the potential for a deeper pullback toward $4,030. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy near support for potential rebound toward resistance zone. Entry: $4,068 – $4,078 Stop Loss: $4,064 Take Profit 1: $4,145 Take Profit 2: $4,155 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.82 Bias remains cautiously bullish as long as gold sustains above the $4,068–$4,078 level. 🌐 Macro Background Gold started the week with a modest rebound near $4,105, supported by a softer U.S. Dollar as traders awaited fresh macro data and commentary from key Federal Reserve officials. FXStreet’s latest analysis highlights that “Gold price recovers some lost ground to near $4,105, snapping the two-day losing streak as the softer USD provides a tailwind.” 【FXStreet】 Fed Commentary: Several Fed members — John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Philip Jefferson, and Christopher Waller — are scheduled to speak later today. Their tone will be crucial for shaping rate-cut expectations into December. Government Reopening: Following President Donald Trump’s approval of the funding bill, the U.S. government officially reopened after a 43-day shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. This event has improved sentiment, weighing slightly on safe-haven demand. Economic Data Uncertainty: Analysts warn that once delayed data resumes, it will likely reveal labor market weakness and signs of a slowdown, which could renew rate-cut speculation and underpin gold. Fed Stance: Meanwhile, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid struck a hawkish tone, saying policy should “lean against demand growth,” describing current settings as “modestly restrictive.” Market Pricing: According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 54% chance of a 25bps cut in December, down from 62.9% last week — signaling reduced near-term dovishness. Overall, gold’s direction this week hinges on Fed communication and data resumption signals — with broader bias remaining constructively bullish on economic uncertainty. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,145 – $4,156 Support: $4,064 – $4,078 Psychological Level: $4,100 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds above short-term support at $4,068, suggesting buyers may defend this zone. The structure favours a rebound toward $4,145–$4,155, especially if Fed remarks today are not overtly hawkish. However, continued strength in the USD or firmer Fed rhetoric could cap upside momentum near resistance. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
#xauusd pullback short from %61.8 level 4192 ? #gold🔹 61.8% Fibonacci level: ≈ 4,196 🔹 Setup idea: • Short zone: 4,190 – 4,200 • Stop loss: Above 4,210 – 4,220 (to allow for wicks) • Take profit targets: • TP1: ~4,150 (minor structure) • TP2: ~4,100 • TP3: ~4,000 (major swing support) If gold rallies back to 4,190–4,200 and shows: • Bearish candle rejection (e.g. 4-hour pin bar / engulfing) • Weakening momentum or divergence on RSI • Confluence with prior resistance Then this 61.8% Fib zone is a technically valid pullback short area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mehmetgdogan
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum • D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. • H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline. • H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels. 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave. • H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X. • H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed. 🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone. If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups. However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline. 📈 Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201 • Stop Loss: 4215 • Take Profit 1: 4145 • Take Profit 2: 4046 • Take Profit 3: 3932
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD volatility, monetary policy and political riskThe global OANDA:XAUUSD went through a volatile trading session on Tuesday, as prices fell more than $50 in the North American session before recovering around $30, ending the day in the green. As of Wednesday morning, November 12, spot gold stood at around $4,128/ounce, up around $2 on the day. The main drivers of this development came from two opposing factors: the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) possibly cutting interest rates in December, and capital withdrawals from gold ETFs after a long rally. Policy pressures and labor market signals U.S. private payrolls data, according to preliminary estimates from ADP Research, showed a weekly average of 11,250 job cuts in the four weeks ended October 25. The weaker-than-expected figure sent the dollar to a low of 99.29, giving gold a chance to rebound. The move comes just as Washington is about to end its longest government shutdown in history, which has stalled the release of economic data. Investors are hoping the reopening of the government will quickly bring a wave of pent-up data that will help better determine the true state of the U.S. economy. “As the government reopens, we’re going to start seeing more cracks in the economy,” said Marc Chandler, chief strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. This expectation reinforces the belief that the Fed will begin its easing cycle in December. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut has risen to 64%, while Fed Governor Milan hinted at the possibility of a 50 basis point cut due to a weak labor market and slowing inflation. ETF Profit Taking, Gold Temporarily Adjusts However, gold’s rally was capped by profit-taking in the ETF market. Bloomberg data shows gold ETFs have seen four straight weeks of outflows, after eight weeks of net buying. “Every 1% move in the gold price translates into about 10 tonnes of ETF outflows,” said Michael Haigh, head of FIC research at Société Générale. The reversal reflects investors’ defensive sentiment after gold peaked at $4,380 an ounce in mid-October, a new record high amid political uncertainty and expectations of lower interest rates. Still, safe-haven demand was strong enough to help prices recover to $4,126.77 by the end of Tuesday’s session, up 0.3%. US Politics: A lull ahead of data The US Senate has passed a deal to reopen the government, while the Republican-controlled House is expected to approve it this week, before it goes to the White House for President Trump to sign into law. The reopening of the government not only ends the government shutdown but also sets the stage for a new cycle of data releases, including official jobs and inflation reports. Medium-term outlook: Gold demand remains strong Despite short-term volatility, fundamentals remain supportive of gold. The precious metal has risen more than 55% year-to-date, on track for its biggest gain since 1979. “The medium-term support from global easing to central bank demand remains intact,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at OCBC. Summary The gold market is operating in a cycle of monetary policy expectations and geopolitical safe-haven sentiment. As the Fed moves closer to easing and delayed data looms, price volatility is likely to remain high. However, with sustained central bank buying and global risks remaining intact, gold remains a strategic asset in a reshaping global financial landscape. Technical analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend channel formed from the October bottom. After a deep correction around $3,970 – $3,850/ounce (corresponding to the Fibonacci levels of 0.382 and 0.5), the price has bounced back and is currently trading around $4,123, close to the technical resistance zone of Fib 0.236 at $4,128. The moving average (MA21) is currently at $4,055, acting as a dynamic support zone in the short term. The recent candlestick structure shows that the bullish momentum is being consolidated with a series of higher lows, while the RSI has recovered towards 55, confirming that the bullish momentum is regaining the upper hand. If gold holds above the $4,055 zone, the next upside targets are: • Near resistance: $4,216 – $4,220 (psychological level and 0.236 Fibonacci resistance zone). • Extended resistance: $4,308 – $4,380 (historic old peak zone). On the contrary, if the price loses $4,055, the $3,972 – $3,846 zone will become the main support zone to watch, corresponding to the lower boundary of the current uptrend channel. The overall trend remains bullish, provided the $4,055 support zone holds. The current phase is a recovery accumulation phase, which could open up a further rally towards $4,300 if US economic data continues to be weak and the Fed reinforces easing expectations. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4201 - 4199⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4205 →Take Profit 1 4193 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4187 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4090 - 4092⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4086 →Take Profit 1 4098 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4105
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish TreGold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pressure but Overall Bullish Trend Remains News Interpretation On Thursday (November 13), international gold prices opened with a narrow trading range, mainly influenced by multiple factors. Firstly, gold prices encountered resistance in the previous trading day, leading to a pullback. Additionally, the stabilization of the US dollar index in the early morning further pressured gold prices in the short term. Secondly, the US House of Representatives will hold a full vote on a bill to end the government shutdown at 8:00 AM Beijing time on the 13th. The market is closely watching these developments, and fluctuations in safe-haven demand have also brought some uncertainty to gold prices. Despite this, the overall bullish logic for gold remains unchanged. Firstly, the US dollar index is currently trading below its 200-day moving average and weekly moving averages, indicating a weak overall trend. Its short-term rebound is unlikely to provide sustained pressure on gold. Secondly, the market is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and the macroeconomic environment supports the medium- to long-term trend of gold. Even if gold prices fail to rise significantly in the short term, they are expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern rather than a sustained decline. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, since the low of 3990, gold prices have successfully reached our previously predetermined first target of 4200, with the next key target at 4300. The overall bullish trend has not yet ended. Investors should avoid blindly guessing the top or shorting against the trend. Short-term trading can be flexible, but trend-following trades are still recommended to focus on going long. On the daily chart, gold prices have closed higher for several consecutive days, indicating that bullish momentum remains strong. The key resistance level is currently around 4300, which is also a key test target for the bulls in the near term. On the H4 chart, the moving average system is in a bullish alignment, with the main support currently located in the 4170-4160 range. Therefore, intraday trading is still recommended to focus on buying on dips, patiently waiting for the price to fall back to the support area before entering the market. Trading Strategy Recommendations In summary, today's short-term gold trading recommendation is to primarily buy on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary strategy. Short-term resistance is seen around 4260-4280; a break above this level could lead to a further test of the 4300 mark. Key short-term support is the 4210-4190 area; a pullback to this level could present opportunities to buy in batches. It's important to note that Thursday is a potential turning point in the week. If gold prices rise to around 4300 during the US session but fail to break through effectively, a small short position could be considered. Position size and risk management should be adjusted flexibly based on real-time market movements. Risk Warning: Investing involves risk; please invest cautiously. The above analysis represents only personal opinions and does not constitute any investment advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
1
XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H Current Market Condition: XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules: Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe: Entry: 4111.02 Stoploss: 4010.79 TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------v
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Obreezy5
What's the outlook for gold next week? Strategy Update After Friday's sharp drop, gold may rebound at the beginning of the week, followed by a test of its strength. From a technical analysis perspective, the daily chart closed bearish, indicating significant downward pressure and strong short-term upward momentum. Monday's market is likely to remain bearish. Gold's rebound to around $4110-$4120 is a key resistance zone from the previous period and near the high of Thursday morning's rebound, making it highly likely to encounter resistance. Aggressive traders could consider a small short position, while more conservative traders should wait for a rebound to the $4140-$4150 range before entering short positions, as this is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. Based on the current trend, key support is between $4050 and $40, with strong support at $4000. The previous low is at $3990. If this support level holds, the market may continue to consolidate. A break below this support level could weaken bullish sentiment. Despite Friday's significant market volatility, our trading went very smoothly. I focus on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there are no markets that rise or fall forever, only optimal entry points at specific moments. Finding the rhythm and following the trend is the essence of trading. On Friday, after the Asian market opened, we shorted at 4209 and then sold at 4190. Many friends questioned this, but I want to say, don't regret selling too early. We set profit targets and risk controls for every trade. Once the profit target was reached, we sold. After all, technical analysis becomes ineffective in the face of news. We should be grateful that we maintained four profitable short-term trades during this major market move, including both long and short positions, instead of missing the entire downtrend. You can check the historical recommendations to verify their accuracy. Although I am a professional trader, I don't need to strive to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest point on every trade. After all, I'm just a trader, not God! So we need to adjust our mindset and only earn the profits we deserve. Overall, this week's operations were quite profitable, and we will continue to work hard next week. There's no need to panic excessively. I believe the bulls haven't completely lost control; this can be seen as a short-term pullback driven by fundamental factors. The possibility of a medium- to long-term peak in gold is unlikely; the overall bullish trend in the long term remains unchanged. The long-term bullish outlook persists because current external factors, such as geopolitical tensions, tariffs and trade tensions, the Fed's halt to tapering, and continued central bank gold purchases, do not support a medium-term peak in gold. Although the subsequent release of data following the US government shutdown may be mixed, potentially delaying the Fed's rate cuts, the overall trend of de-dollarization will not change. The current decline is merely a correction within the medium-term bullish trend. This is just a general pre-market analysis; it will be updated based on actual market movements after the market opens. If you are unsure about precise trading strategies, try my method: first, use a small position to test the market, then add to your position during pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you are truly unsure when, where, and how to trade, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater returns in the ever-changing market!
TVC:GOLD
by FIGONRXS
1
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Intraday Liquidity Map(Smart Money Playbook for Nov 17, 2025) 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT XAUUSD is trading inside a tightening intraday range as the market awaits new U.S. economic cues and volatility from the NY session. Recent Drivers: Gold rebounded early in Asia after Friday’s demand surge, but price is still capped beneath key premium levels that attracted heavy sellers last week. Sentiment: Mixed risk-on / risk-off conditions as investors balance USD strength with geopolitical uncertainty. This creates sharp intraday sweeps on both sides. Session Expectations: London: Expect engineered liquidity hunts above intraday highs. NY: Strong directional expansion after liquidity sweep. Bias Connection: Strong supply remains above 4243–4245, while high-quality demand exists below 4121 and near 4040. → Intraday bias: Sell high – Buy deep liquidity. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE) Market Structure (M30): Short-term trend remains bearish with lower highs forming since last week. Multiple liquidity pools lie beneath 4120 and 4040, suggesting potential bullish runs from deep discount areas. Premium pricing clearly sits above 4240, where prior bearish imbalance remains unfilled. Key SMC Signals: Price has created liquidity buildup above 4243 → perfect for NY session sweep. Buy-side liquidity beneath 4121 aligns with unmitigated OB. Deep liquidity zone at 4042–4040 matches M30 FVG + higher TF demand. 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (M30) 4245–4243 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – Liquidity Grab Area A high-quality supply zone containing: Equal highs liquidity Old unmitigated M30 supply Ideal premium range for institutional sells Most powerful short-term rejection zone. 4170–4168 ▶️ Intraday Sell Scalping Zone A shallow supply area perfect for quick scalps: Internal liquidity sweep micro OB alignment Expected London fakeout zone Fast reacting → best for short-duration trades. 4123–4121 ▶️ Intraday Buy Scalping Zone Strong reaction area with: Short-term SSL sweep M30 imbalance fill Good for London → NY continuation Short-term bounce expected. 4042–4040 ▶️ Deep Discount Buy Zone (Major Buy Zone) The most attractive demand zone on the chart: Higher timeframe OB Massive liquidity pool Deep discount pricing Long-term unmitigated zone If price hits this area → extremely high probability reversal. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (M30) ✅ SELL SCENARIO – Premium Supply Rejection Entry: 4245–4243 Stoploss: 4251 TP1: 4220 TP2: 4180 TP3: 4125 Logic: NY liquidity sweep setup. Expect price to hunt liquidity above 4240 before reversing strongly. ✅ SELL SCALPING – Internal Supply Reaction Entry: 4170–4168 Stoploss: 4176 TP1: 4155 TP2: 4140 Logic: Quick reaction zone following intraday retracement. Ideal for scalpers using M5 confirmation. ✅ BUY SCALPING – Intraday Demand Tap Entry: 4123–4121 Stoploss: 4129 TP1: 4140 TP2: 4160 Logic: Internal liquidity sweep + OB retest. Short-term rebound expected before deeper move. ⚠️ BUY SCENARIO – Deep Discount Gold Reversal (Highest Probability) Entry: 4042–4040 Stoploss: 4034 TP1: 4080 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4160 Logic: Alignment of: higher TF demand deep liquidity sweep unmitigated order block This is the strongest buy zone of the day. 🧠 SESSION NOTES & TRADE PLAN Expect fake breaks above highs before real move begins. Best sells occur only in premium zones (4170 & 4245). Best buys occur only in deep discount zones (4121 & 4040). Always wait for M5/M1 confirmation: sweep → CHoCH → mitigation. Avoid trading in mid-range consolidation. 🏁 CONCLUSION XAUUSD today favors a clear Smart Money pattern: Sell premium zones at 4245–4243 and 4170–4168 Buy deep liquidity at 4121 and especially 4040 Expect volatility increases during London–NY overlap. Trade with confirmation and respect liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Trades Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H) Trend: Downtrend after clear MSS/BOS. Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG. ⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2) 1. Preferred Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following) Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone) Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above nearest structural peak) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest low) Objective: Participate in the ongoing downtrend. 2. Countertrend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound) Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural low - Support) Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to upper FVG low) Objective: Capitalize on the technical rebound from strong support. 🚨 Key Risk: This Week's Focus Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid affirm high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold). Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine short-term momentum for USD/Gold. Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per trade. #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Excellent Profits on Bull runAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary' : I spot more and more Sellers trapped in attempt to re-Sell Gold, remember that Gold is on undisputed Buying trend and total Bullish domination. I maintain however my #4,100.80 first Target as I am Buying from #4,022.80 last night / Asian session opening as behind us is just on of the many 'Sellers trap' week believing Gold would dip towards #3,900.80 benchmark. I remain solid with my thesis that Gold delivered correction, formed Ultimate Bottom on #4,000.80 benchmark and will continue soaring from this point as #4,000.80 will remain floor for #5,100.80 benchmark test in extension.' I have closed my #4,022.80 Buying orders on #4,082.80 extension. As Gold formed Support structure on #4,076.80, I have aggressively Bought Gold many times there (cca. #16 re-Buy orders) and all closed near #4,100.80 benchmark. As I spotted that Gold is not delivering any reversal signs, I have added two #25 Lots Buying orders on #4,107.80 with #4,127.80 Target which was hit over-night. I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will not Trade today's session, with my capital ready for end of the week phase and remember / being Seller on this market will hurt your capital and you are swimming against the tide.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
What I See on Your Chart. xauusd1) Upper Supply Zone – 4211 to 4247 Price has previously reacted strongly here. Your green projection shows a possible bullish move back into this zone. If price breaks above 4149–4141, then a move toward 4211–4247 becomes likely. 2) Mid-Level Zone – 4104 to 4097 This is where price is currently hovering (4085 area). You have three possible projections: Green arrow: Minor bounce → then bullish continuation. Red arrow: Sharp drop after a small pullback. Blue arrow: Deeper drop into lower support. This means you’re watching for confirmation on whether this zone acts as support or fails. 3) Lower Demand Zone – 4046 to 4038 Blue arrows show the move toward this deeper liquidity pool. This is your downside target if 4097 fails.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nasarriaz1
The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React?The Shutdown Ends: How Will Gold Prices React? According to Reuters, the U.S. Senate on Monday approved a compromise deal to bring an end to the longest government shutdown in the country’s history. During the shutdown: → millions of Americans lost access to food assistance programmes; → hundreds of thousands of federal employees went without pay; → air travel was severely disrupted. The uncertainty surrounding the potential continuation of the shutdown appears to have contributed to a breakout in the price of gold (as a traditional safe-haven asset) above its recent consolidation zone, marked by black lines on the chart. However, further gains could be capped not only by fading risk aversion but also by a less obvious resistance level, which the XAU/USD rate has reached today. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart Using the key pivot points (highlighted in bold), we can trace a descending channel, with the gold price now testing its upper boundary, where resistance may emerge. Another argument supporting this view is that the price currently sits around the 50% retracement level of the A→B downswing. This area may attract sellers seeking to defend the downward trajectory of gold. Whether this resistance line holds — or the bulls attempt to reignite the autumn rally — will largely depend on the tone of upcoming economic releases (delayed by the shutdown) and their impact on market expectations for a possible Federal Reserve rate cut. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
2
Gold Rejection Ahead – Short-Term Pullback LikelyFundamental Analysis: OANDA:XAUUSD remains under pressure as major central banks, including the Fed, ECB, and BOE, hold rates steady, keeping global monetary conditions tight and real yields elevated. The strong U.S. dollar, supported by solid GDP growth at 3.8% and inflation near 3%, continues to weigh on the metal’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. While speculative positioning in the latest COT report shows funds still heavily net-long, new buying momentum is slowing, indicating exhaustion among bullish traders. With no signs of imminent rate cuts or major risk-off sentiment, gold is likely to stay capped near resistance and trade in a corrective or consolidative range in the short term, unless weaker U.S. data or a dovish policy shift reignites demand. Technical Analysis: FXOPEN:XAUUSD is showing signs of exhaustion near the **$4,050 resistance zone**, forming a **corrective rising channel** with weakening momentum. A rejection from this level could trigger a pullback toward **$3,900–$3,840 support**, while a daily close above **$4,128** would invalidate the bearish setup. Overall bias: **short-term bearish / corrective** within the current strong-USD environment. Week Targets: 3900-3840
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by rTrader_official
1