Gold at a Turning Point — The Final Breath of Wave (ii)?Following our previous Gold analyses, where we perfectly anticipated the major drop, it now appears that the corrective wave (ii) is nearing completion.
Although a small push higher could still occur, the current price zone is extremely risky for long positions, and it’s time to start looking for sell setups instead. 📉
Based on the Elliott Wave structure and Fibonacci projections, once this correction ends, the market is likely to enter wave (iii) to the downside — typically the strongest and most aggressive part of the entire sequence.
At this stage, patience and disciplined risk management are key, as the main bearish trend may soon reclaim full control of the market. ⚔️
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🚀 Who am I?
I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory.
I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors.
📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks
💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress
🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
Trade ideas
Gold buy idea Gold been traded in a range for the past 10h .
Trade plane :-
#1 Gold has to break the daily swing with FVG with above average volume "spike" wait for market to retest the D swing H and look for engulfing candle or pin bar
#2 if I fail to break D swing H wait for market to drop back to micro demand and wait for the same confirmation engulfing candle or pin bar with above average volume
#3 do not trade NY open market is already trade in a small range NY might fake out just to grab liquidity. Wait 15 to 20 minutes for NY and London liquidity to set first then follow the instructions above.
If market keep traded in the same range then avoid trading for the day
A reversal? No! Our bullish outlook remains unchanged!#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Looking at the hourly and 4-hour charts, the technical indicators are diverging, indicating a need for a pullback correction. In the short term, it may test the 4115-4105 support level. Therefore, do not trade blindly in the short term, wait for the price to pull back to the support level before participating in long positions.
A massive shockwave crashes against the golden roller coaster.Gold Price Analysis: Yesterday, gold rose but encountered resistance around 4150, then fell back to around 4100 before rebounding and entering a period of consolidation. As of this morning's trading, it failed to break new highs. The first wave of the upward trend since the short-term bottom at 3886 has stalled. 4160 is the starting point of the second wave of the decline after the previous drop from 4380. Short-term pressure and pullback correction are normal. The overall upward trend remains unchanged. The rise from 3886 to around 4150 represents an increase of approximately $265, and the pullback correction is entirely a normal technical adjustment. However, after encountering resistance around 4150, the upward movement will be delayed. After Monday's surge, many people thought that a rally of over $100 in a single day was coming again. But now, the market is generally in a large range of high-level fluctuations, and it's impossible for it to rise by $100 every day. However, the overall daily uptrend remains unchanged. After a short-term correction, a second wave of upward movement will begin. But there is one thing to be aware of: this wave is a rebound correction after the drop from 4380. If it takes too long to break through and fails to rise further, we should be wary of a weakening momentum and subsequent decline. So, if the market fails to break through the resistance of 4150-4160 after this period of consolidation, the bulls should be cautious.
Gold Technical Analysis: After the morning's pullback, the MACD lines turned downwards again, continuing the death cross signal. Gold prices also showed a structure of lower highs, currently under pressure at the $4145 level. However, since the fast and slow lines are still running above the zero axis, if gold prices cannot fall further and cause the fast and slow lines to cross the zero axis, the bulls may launch another counterattack. The failure to break yesterday's high in the morning indicates that the bullish trend has slowed down. However, the failure to break yesterday's low of $4097 during the Asian session suggests that the bears are not strong either. The battle between bulls and bears is intense, and gold prices have entered a new adjustment period. Therefore, today's strategy remains to sell high and buy low. In the second half of the week, gold will continue to focus on testing the support level below. Currently, the moving averages show signs of crossing upwards, increasing the possibility of gold extending its rebound. However, the short-term upward movement was too sudden and the magnitude of the movement was too large, which brings great difficulty and risk to the operation. Therefore, even if the short-term outlook turns bullish, in actual operation, it is still necessary to wait for a pullback before considering going long. Do not blindly follow the bullish trend without considering the price level. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to mainly buy on dips and sell on rallies as a secondary approach. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4145-4160, and the key support level to watch in the short term is 4110-4095. Friends, please keep up with the rhythm.
Xauusd SignalXauusd Now Below Supply Zone We Have Best And Strong Selling Opportunity if you Can Take Risk
Sell Xauusd At 4126 To 4162
Take Profit Around 4025 To 3930
Depending On Your Equity How You Can Take Risk
Note It's Not Financial Advice Keep Buy Sell Your Own Research
Stay Alert For More Updates
Gold price analysis November 13
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the 4150 resistance zone. This breakout confirms the strength of the uptrend, with the recently broken area now acting as a solid support base. The next target that buyers are likely aiming for is around 4250, before testing the all-time high zone.
From a trading perspective, the focus remains on BUY setups—either on breakout entries or pullbacks to support. As long as price holds above 4150, the bias stays bullish and traders can consider holding positions to extend profits along the trend.
BUY setup: Watch for price reaction around 4150 support
💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and analysis below. I’d love to hear different perspectives from the community!
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure
After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1.
Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price .
Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity.
=> Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions.
Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing.
Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow.
Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure.
Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers.
📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD
Priority to wait for the price to:
Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle,
Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1.
When a confirmation signal appears:
→ Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x .
Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support).
TP reference:
TP1: 4,210 USD
TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$)
TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward
If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below:
→ Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD .
At these zones, if there appears:
strong rejection candles,
or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15),
→ Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD.
3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only)
If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume):
→ Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area.
This is a counter-trend trade, so:
keep the volume small,
short TP,
tight SL above the newly formed peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area.
Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR.
Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility.
“Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Rebound Targeting $4,050 LevelHello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a constructive bullish structure after rebounding from the $3,930–$3,960 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the Ascending Channel. This zone has acted as a strong accumulation area where buyers stepped in multiple times, confirming active defense and sustained demand. Earlier, price moved through a corrective phase shaped by the Fibonacci Arc, which guided the downside retracement before buyers regained control. Several Pivot Points formed along the channel, marking clear areas where momentum shifted back in favor of buyers. Additionally, a recent fake breakout below the channel support further emphasizes that sellers are failing to break structure, while liquidity sweeps continue to fuel bullish re-entry opportunities.
Currently, XAUUSD is moving steadily toward the channel midline, with the next key objective located at $4,050, which represents short-term resistance and a known reaction level. A confirmed breakout above $4,050 would open the door for a broader continuation toward the $4,130 Supply Zone, a region where a previous distributive phase occurred. As long as Gold holds above the $3,930–$3,960 Demand Zone, the bullish outlook remains intact.
I expect price to gradually continue higher within the ascending channel. At this stage, the market structure continues to favor buyers, and dips remain attractive opportunities to participate in the upward move. Manage your risk!
Gold NY open buy set up Level 4085 & 4080 are one of the key levels
How to buy and confirm the setup
#1 wait for price to reach 85 or 80
#2 engulfing candle or pin bar
#3 volume above the average "spikes"
If price close below 80 or 85 with a full bear candle with a high volume
Avoid the buys and wait for price to come back to 80 or 85 again and
Use the same confirmation above.
Gold Trade OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold started this week with an impulsive move from the demand zone (3869.29) and is currently at the resistance level (unmitigated H4 supply) at 4145 to 4130.
We could see price sell off to the levels of 4058 for a liquidity sweep and
alternatively Gold could perform a counter trend then continue its bullish run to towards 4360
Waiting for confirmation at the marked key level to make a clear and informed trading decision
Gold Traders Beware | Sell the Trap, Buy the Expansion💥 GOLD: Smart Money is setting the trap! 💰 Expect a dip to 🟩 3800 before the $5,100 breakout. Don’t chase — position smart. 🚀
Gold has been unstoppable — printing higher highs and leaving emotional traders behind.
But now… the Smart Money trap is loading ⚠️
Price has tapped into the 🟥 4160–4220 premium zone , where liquidity is stacked and institutions quietly prepare their next move. Before the massive bullish rally to $5,100+ , expect one last shakeou t — a dip engineered to flush retail longs and reload institutional buys near 🟩 3880–3800.
The crowd will panic. The pros will accumulate. Stay patient, trade smart. 🧠✨
📊 Smart Money Breakdown:
🧠 Institutional Playbook:
Liquidity resting above recent highs 🧲
🟥 4160–4220 = Smart Money Distribution Zone
🟩 3880–3800 = Discount Reaccumulation Zone
Expect a fake-out drop → explosive bullish reversal
💡 Trade Plan:
🔻 Sell Zone: 🟥 4,161 – 4,219
🎯 Targets: 🟩 3,880 – 3,800 (ideal long re-entry area)
🚀 Ultimate Target: $5,100+ (once discount OB holds)
🟨 Price Action Confluences:
Liquidity sweep above structure highs 🩸
Fair Value Gap + Order Block alignment ⚙️
Higher-timeframe BOS still intact 💪
Elliott-style wave 2 correction before next expansion 🌊
🧭 Bias Overview:
🟥 Short-term: Controlled bearish correction
🟩 Mid-term: Explosive bullish continuation → $5,100+
💭 Mindset: Trade the trap — not the emotion .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice.
Always apply your own analysis and risk management before trading. 💡
🔥 Follow for Smart Money + Price Action setups the big banks don’t share!
💬 Comment below — are you selling the trap or waiting to buy the dip?
⚡ Let’s ride the Gold move together — with precision, not emotion.
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #SwingTrading #Commodities #GoldAnalysis #FVG #TradingView #InstitutionalTrading #MarketStructure #GoldForecast #Forex
GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook – Bears Eyeing Major Drop Ahead!After a short-term bullish push, Gold is now testing a strong supply zone around $4,130–$4,200 where price previously rejected sharply. If buyers fail to break above this level, we could see fresh bearish momentum kicking in.
🔻 Key Zones:
Resistance (Sell Zone): $4,130 – $4,220
Support (Buy Zone): $3,650 – $3,720
📊 Scenario:
I’m watching for rejection candles or bearish confirmation around the red zone. If price reacts strongly, I expect a drop toward $3,700, completing a clean supply-to-demand move.
💡 Trading Idea:
Wait for confirmation before short entries — patience pays!
Target the green zone for potential long opportunities once we reach strong demand.
⚙️ Bias: Bearish until we see a clear breakout above $4,220.
What’s your take? Do you see Gold holding the supply zone or breaking through it? 🤔
👇 Drop your thoughts below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexTrading #TradingView #Frank
Market Analysis: Gold Stays FlatMarket Analysis: Gold Stays Flat
Gold price corrected gains, traded below $4,000, and started a consolidation.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a downside correction below $4,100 and $4,000 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,985 on the hourly chart of gold.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed a base above $3,915. The price remained in a bullish zone and started an upward move within a range above $3,930.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,975. The bulls pushed the price above the $4,000 and $4,010 resistance levels. A high was formed at $4,019 before the price saw a pullback.
The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,928 swing low to the $4,019 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,985, a bullish trend line, and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The first major area of interest for the bulls is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,975. If there is a downside break below $3,975, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,950. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,930.
Immediate resistance is near $4,020. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $4,030. An upside break above $4,030 could send Gold price toward $4,045. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $4,090.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Let’s take a quick look at Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute chartRight now, price is trading around $4,125, after forming a rising triangle pattern.
The key resistance area sits near $4,149, while strong support lies at $4,106, which also lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
If buyers manage to hold above $4,106, we could see a breakout toward $4,175 and possibly $4,190.
But if price breaks below $4,106, that could trigger a deeper pullback toward $4,079, $4,057, or even $4,036.
So, Gold is currently at a decision point — keep an eye on how price reacts around the $4,106 support and the $4,149 resistance zone.”
GOLD → False breakout of resistance after a rally...FX:XAUUSD is emerging from consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Spot metal is testing the 4085 mark, facing strong resistance amid progress in ending the US shutdown and weak economic data...
The US Senate has approved a funding bill, but the process takes time (voting in the House of Representatives and Trump's signature).
China: Gold ETFs rose 164% in the first nine months of 2025.
The People's Bank of China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month (to 2,303.5 tons).
However, China's temporary easing of trade restrictions (exports of rare metals) supported risk-on sentiment. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December is estimated at 66%.
Technically, we have bullish signals, but after strong growth, there may be a pullback...
Resistance levels: 4085, 4100
Support levels: 4050, 4046, 4030
Gold is testing resistance as part of its bullish run, which is temporarily halting its strong growth. The market may lack the potential to break through resistance, and in order to build up this potential, the price may form a pullback or consolidation...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Steadies Near 2-Week Highs | Traders Watch 4168 Breakout GOLD | Overview
Gold’s outlook remains positive in the near term, as the precious metal extended its rally this week amid optimism over an imminent end to the U.S. government shutdown and expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve.
Technically:
Gold has stabilized above 4130, indicating solid bullish momentum, with potential to reach 4155 and 4168.
A sustained move above 4168 would further strengthen the uptrend, targeting 4190 – 4207.
However, if the price closes a 1H candle below 4130, it would suggest a shift to bearish momentum, exposing downside targets at 4105 and 4085.
Pivot Line: 4130
Resistance: 4155 · 4168 · 4207
Support: 4105 · 4085 · 4055
Outlook:
Gold remains bullish while above 4130, with momentum favoring a move toward 4155–4168 and potential extension to 4207.
A confirmed 1H close below 4130 would signal the start of a bearish correction toward 4105–4085
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4125.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4139.79
Recommended Stop Loss - 4117.21
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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