GOLD (XAUUSD) is ready to drop again! Gold has broken below a very strong support trendline which held the price for many weeks. It then also tried to test a powerful resistance level (the red trendline) but it failed to break through. It is now very likely to head all the way down to the next major support zone (which is the while line drawn below)
Trade ideas
Gold on side Swings on Fed aftermathAs discussed throughout yesterday's session: 'My position: I am Buying Gold aggressively throughout yesterday's session all along especially when #3,952.80 benchmark got invalidated to the upside. Gap to the downside on Asian market opening delivered excellent chances to Buy more as I closed all orders with #4,000.80 Take Profit. Keep in mind that I might Sell #4,024.80 now (aggressive Scalp to the downside) only to Buy more. #4,052.80 benchmark and #4,100.80 extension are my Targets.'
If you followed Trading plan I announced above, you would be in excellent Intra-day Profits. I have Sold Gold from #4,027.80 High's multiple times and re-Bought Gold from #4,004.80 especially delivering excellent results and altered all my Trading activity (no need to gamble on Fed Rate decision aftermath). My Profit is excellent and will sit out today's session as it will be full of side-Swings where I will continue comfortable Trading throughout tomorrow's session.
This is just a rebound, not a reversal. Continue to short gold.The Fed's interest rate decision is highly anticipated, and the question remains whether gold bulls can stage a comeback. Gold is currently in a rebound and correction phase after an oversold condition. It's premature to declare a complete reversal of the bullish trend. Gold's rebound from its lows suggests a period of consolidation in the short term, awaiting the Fed's decision to determine its direction.
The 1-hour moving averages for gold continue their downward crossover, indicating that the bullish momentum hasn't fully materialized. However, there is gradually building support at lower levels. If a strong upward surge occurs before the Fed's decision, the bullish momentum may wane afterward. A break above 4020 would confirm a true V-shaped reversal for gold. Failure to break through 4020 suggests continued range-bound trading, with support around 3890. A hold above 3890 would likely lead to a rebound.
With the Fed's interest rate decision looming, let's wait patiently. Whether gold has finished its correction and whether the bulls have begun their counterattack remains to be seen. We'll observe the strength of the bulls after the Fed's decision. If gold breaks through and holds above 4020, the short-term upward momentum will increase.
Trading Strategy: Sell gold at 4010-4020, with a target of 3950-3930.
‘10.29 Buy first below 3900 and then sell!Technical Analysis:
The first resistance area above is 3960-70. Maintain a short position below this level. If the market unexpectedly breaks higher, focus on the 3995-4005 area, which remains bearish. If the market weakens, the 3945-50 area, previously the starting point for the rally, has become a source of pressure after breaking below it today.
Key support areas below are the 20-day moving average (SMA) at 3865-70 and the 50% level at 3840-45.
Trading strategy: Maintain a short position on rebounds.
Participate in the 3960-70 area, targeting a new low. After a new low, consider entering long positions based on the 20-day moving average and the 50% level.
XAU/USD – Make-or-Break Zone Sharp 11% Drop from Record HighBeen asked to analysis GOLD on current market structure
On October 20, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) recorded a new all-time high at $4,383, marking a historic peak in the current macro cycle. Since then, the metal has retraced sharply by nearly 11%, bringing price action back into a critical decision zone — a true make-or-break level.
This area will define the next major directional leg. A strong bounce from current support could revalidate the long-term bullish structure and initiate another run toward ATH, while a breakdown below this zone may confirm a deeper correction before the next accumulation phase.
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for October 27.Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4210, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4140, Support: 4005
1-Hour Resistance: 4100, Support: 4015
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices have retreated, dropping over $300. Friday's close confirms the onset of a weekly downturn.
In terms of indicators, the RSI has begun to fall back below the 80 level, and on the daily chart, it has even broken through the 4050 bull-bear dividing line. The MACD fast and slow lines have formed a death cross, and the green momentum bar is declining with increasing volume. In short, it's clear that the broader cycle is quietly turning, or more accurately, the upward trend is pausing.
From the hourly chart, today's Asian session opened sharply lower. This is partly a reaction to weekend news, and partly due to the inherent weakness of the market, which requires adjustment. The subsequent rebound failed to even break the upward closing gap, and then began a rapid decline. This is the result of bearish dominance.
The 1-hour chart is currently in a bearish flag consolidation pattern. The 4000 level is likely to be retested or even broken, so today's strategy is to sell high and buy low.
SELL: near 4100
SELL: near 4140
BUY: near 4005
More Analysis →
GOLD aka XAUUSD is heading to the downside!!Last week XAUUSD (Gold) had a very bearish week! It ended its bullish streak of years and declined to the downside. It only recently broke a very strong support zone (the green trendline) and struggled to break above the resistance zone (red trendline). It should drop all the way down further all the way to the 3833 level.
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Preparing for an Upward Wave?🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has shown clear signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal upward trendline, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term recovery wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
Buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying previously appeared.
Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → short-term trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking area or reversal consideration point.
Current structure:
→ Short-term: bullish corrective move.
→ Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if holding above 4,040 USD.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price hits the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing trendline structure + liquidity zone support, often where large buyers re-enter the market.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the 4,149 resistance zone with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.
3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️ Short-term technical sell – leveraging the supply zone reaction, not holding the position long.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalidated, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the mid-range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when price surpasses 4,149.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a gradually ascending accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, gold is likely to rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market could trigger a stronger rally towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD
Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”
⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
GOLD | Pullback Resistance AheadBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 4,370.70, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,946.74, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Gold Trading Strategy for Next MondayGold Trading Strategy for Next Monday
Looking ahead to gold prices next week, the market is currently experiencing a combination of short-term technical adjustments and long-term positive factors.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices have formed a converging triangle pattern between the key support level of $4,000 and the near-term resistance level of $4,180.
Large Range: $4,000-4,180
Small Range: $4,050-4,150
Policy Expectations: The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but the US government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic data, leaving the market in a "data vacuum." Divergence on the future policy path has exacerbated short-term volatility.
Geopolitical: Events such as the deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to create uncertainty, boosting gold's safe-haven demand.
Central Bank Gold Purchases: A Goldman Sachs report indicates that global central banks are expected to continue their gold purchasing trend, which will provide solid support for gold prices from the perspective of long-term demand and market sentiment.
Long-term bullish
The current technical picture shows typical consolidation characteristics:
Range: Gold prices have formed a range-bound trend between $4,000 and $4,180. On shorter timeframes, the market may also fluctuate within a tighter range, such as $4,050-4,100-4,150.
Market Structure: After the previous sharp rise in gold prices, the market needs to experience volatility to digest profit-taking and accumulate energy for subsequent directional choices.
Trading Strategy for Next Monday:
Given the current volatile market, "buy low, sell high" is the core strategy. The key is to seize trading opportunities on both sides of the range.
Shorting the upper range limit:
Sell: $4170-4180
Stop loss: Above $4200
Target price: $4120 / $4080 / $4050
Longing the lower range limit:
Buy: $4015-4025
Stop loss: Below $4000
Target price: $4050 / $4080 / $4100
Key Points:
Breakout follow-up: Closely monitor price tests of the range boundaries.
If gold prices break below the $4,000 support level, investors should avoid blindly buying on dips and remain vigilant to the risk of further declines.
Conversely, if gold prices break through and stabilize above $4,180, investors may consider buying on the trend, targeting the previous high.
Weekly Analysis on GoldFor next week i will hold my buy position and modify it once it runs in profits. If it get stop out then i will wait for further information from the candles until it shows a possible bullish run again. I am looking for buys since gold is still in a strong bullish trend. If the market shows a chance for taking a sell going to weekly fib zone then i will execute a trade with lesser risk and ride the move to the weekly fib zone.
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK/WEEKS AHEAD Gold is in-between two major zones, buy zone at 3998-3980 and a sell zone at 4020-4037 and price can respect any of the two major zones and start moving in either direction but based on last week price action i will still go for sells, although Gold is fundamentally expected to buy again because of reduced rate and higher inflation it would probably sell again this week ahead to create the monthly low and also to test a higher time frame buy zone below before it starts with another massive buys to end the year,
so let target a sell at 4014-4020 when market opens, with sl around 4035/37 and tp not less than 500pips or far below , because this sell is expected to reach somewhere 3870-50, before the long term buy start , i will update you along the way and if it decides to buy midway i will signal or update you but if it reaches 3870-50 and it decides to move below it to sell more too i will update and that will signal a very long term sells so let be on alert mood as i always be .
A lot discovered so always be around, forex is not scary to us anymore it's rather interesting because everything is based on time and price, that's why you see prices plotted against time, very interesting indeed.
Emotional Debt: The Hidden Cost of Revenge Trading“You don’t lose the most money when you lose a trade.
You lose it when you try to get it back.”
Every trader has felt it — that sudden urge to “win it back.”
You take one loss, then another, and before logic can speak,
you’re already in a new position — not to trade, but to heal.
That’s emotional debt —
The invisible weight carried from one mistake into the next.
What Is Emotional Debt?
Just like financial debt, it compounds.
A small emotional reaction today becomes a bigger one tomorrow.
You start trading your frustration, not your system.
You stop managing risk — because ego takes over management.
You don’t see charts anymore. You only see revenge.
How It Builds Up
Ignoring losses instead of reflecting on them
Measuring self-worth by daily profit or loss
Forcing trades to “prove” something to yourself
Confusing emotional recovery with market opportunity
The Interest You Pay
Emotional debt doesn’t just cost money — it costs focus.
It clouds your judgment, narrows your vision,
and pushes you further from the patience that once made you consistent.
Breaking the Cycle
Pause after every loss. Step away.
Write what triggered your next impulse.
Accept that no single trade can fix an emotional imbalance.
Remember: You are not your last trade.
When you clear emotional debt, you stop trading to recover —
and start trading to understand.
Let go of the need to get it back.
The market gives clarity only to those who stop chasing closure.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Have you ever caught yourself trading from emotion instead of structure?
Share your thoughts — awareness begins with honesty.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating near $4,000, following a rebound from the $3,948–3,957 support zone. The price faces strong resistance between $4,008–4,016, where there is a possibility to retrace back to the trendline. A rejection from this zone could confirm a short-term pullback toward support, while a decisive breakout above $4,023 may open the door to $4,050 and beyond.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,008 – $4,016 (resistance retest)
Stop Loss: $4,023
Take Profit: $3,957 / $3,948
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.8
🌐 Macro Background
Gold extended its recovery for the second consecutive day amid renewed safe-haven demand, but the upside remains capped by the Fed’s hawkish stance. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted: “Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though remains capped below $4,050 amid mixed fundamental cues.” 【FXStreet】
The U.S. government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, softening the Dollar slightly and supporting gold’s defensive bid. However, Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone—stating that another December rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion”—keeps the USD underpinned and limits further gold gains.
In addition, the de-escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows. This mixed backdrop leaves gold oscillating within a tight range ahead of key FOMC member speeches and month-end flows.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,008 – $4,016
Support: $3,948 – $3,957
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold trades near $4,000, balancing safe-haven support and Fed-driven headwinds. The short-term bias favours selling near resistance ($4,008–4,016) targeting the $3,957 zone, with stops above $4,023. A sustained close above $4,023 would invalidate this bearish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.






















