Trade ideas
XAUUSD 15-Minute Small-Scale Swing Trade - Short Position XAUUSD 15-Minute Small-Scale Swing Trade - Short Position
- Enter short position directly around the current price of 4122 USD, with stop-loss set at 4160USD.
- First target: Take profit around 4060 USD; close half of the position and trail the stop-loss to lock in gains.
- Second target: Take profit around 4000 USD; close all remaining short positions and exit with full profits.
Gold?
Hi,
Although we have emotional/ perception that gold has value etc2. News solidify these claims.
But Double Top = represents SELL (theoretically, technically charts)
Soooo..
I changed view to. bearish till proven otherwise (price breaks)
Now: I see as a new formation of down flag.
Will be proven.. when breaks 4066.
I'm meddling.. sell now. with SLs
(finding sell setups)
All the best
Not a guru
Not a guru
Buy Pressure Building on GoldGold is displaying signs of buyer re-entry after a period of controlled downside movement. The recent liquidity sweep around the lower range indicates that short-term selling pressure has been largely absorbed, creating favorable conditions for a potential upward expansion.
Market activity suggests renewed interest from institutional participants accumulating within the current price zone. The consolidation phase appears to be forming a base, signaling the possibility of a directional shift as liquidity gradually migrates upward. Increasing momentum on the lower end of the range reflects confidence returning to the market, setting the stage for a possible continuation toward higher valuation areas.
The outlook remains constructive as long as current accumulation behavior sustains, with market sentiment leaning toward a recovery-driven advance in the near term.
Gold is entering a correction phase!Gold is currently moving within a corrective phase, which appears to be developing as a WXY structure.
Price is now completing wave X, with one final minor wave C to the upside likely remaining.
The more probable scenario suggests a limited bullish move toward the 4140–4180 zone before continuing lower as part of wave Y.
Bullish trigger: 4046 (for the final leg of wave C)
Bearish alternative: A confirmed breakdown and consolidation below 3960 would invalidate the current count and shift focus to a continuation of the broader bearish move — in that case, the wave structure will be updated accordingly.
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TringleXAUUSD has recently completed a breakout from a long-term ascending triangle, showing strong bullish momentum that pushed prices above the key resistance area near 2,400, turning it into a solid support zone. After reaching a new high near the 4,300 level, gold has started a corrective phase, which appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. The market structure remains positive as long as price stays above the 3,900–3,950 demand zone, where fresh buying interest is expected to emerge. This correction could be the final consolidation phase before the next bullish wave targeting the 4,500–4,700 levels in the coming weeks.
From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported by global macro uncertainty and central bank demand. Weakening U.S. dollar sentiment, persistent geopolitical tensions, and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may initiate rate cuts in early 2026 continue to fuel investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, strong accumulation from emerging market central banks and inflation concerns sustain the bullish outlook for precious metals.
Technically, as long as XAUUSD holds above 3,900, the bias stays strongly bullish. Traders are watching for a potential retest of broken resistance turned support before continuation higher. A clear bullish rejection from these levels would confirm renewed momentum toward new record highs, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup for long-term buyers.
[XAUUSD] Market OutlookAs we saw in the previous outlook, the market reacted perfectly to the marked zone.
Given this reaction and further analysis, we can notice that on the Daily timeframe there’s an internal Supply zone that could cause some trouble.
If that Supply level gets strongly broken, then I’d look for a structural realignment to the upside after a retest of the impulse.
So I’d wait for a full break of the Supply, followed by a move similar to the one shown in the picture .
Personally, I’d prefer scenario 1 for a structural continuation, but the second scenario could also offer the chance to buy gold at more “discounted” prices.
Be patient, no rush.
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VU8F2026 EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:VV6X2025 EURONEXT:V26X2025 EURONEXT:NS8Z2025 EURONEXT:YG8F2026 Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour
Current Price: 4,253.975
Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal)
📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines)
Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels.
The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone)
Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance.
Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence.
3. Structure Retest and Potential Move
After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance).
The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern.
4. Target Zone
The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support.
This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions.
📊 Summary of Key Levels
Zone Type Range / Level
4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone
4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area
3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone
⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical)
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance)
Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better
🧭 Conclusion
The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior.
GOLD[1D] Trading Ideas: Fibonacci Time ProjectionGold Timing Analysis: Fibonacci & Lunar Confluence Signals Potential Reversal (Nov 5–11, 2025)
Fundamental:
-
Technical Analysis:
Combining Fibonacci Time Projection with the Lunar cycle to identify a critical turning window.
Note:
The analysis will remain relevant if the latest market data continues to align with this outlook.
IDX:COMPOSITE
The Ultimate GOLD Reversal Map📊 Hanzo Protocol Note
Every marked level reflects precision between liquidity, delta reaction, and volume logic —
Only structure and flow decide — not bias.
Mid-Term SELL Zone — 4360
Setup: Limit Sell Recommended
Stop Loss: Above recent equal highs
Target: +1000 Pips (1:3 RR)
Reasons:
Liquidity pool above previous equal highs
Institutional distribution volume at upper range
HVN (High Volume Node) cluster acting as resistance wall
Delta shift showing heavy sell absorption
Imbalance re-test aligned with order block
4H premium pricing zone within range top
Price deviation above value area high
Stop hunt confirmation wick
Momentum divergence vs delta
Hidden distribution footprint visible on volume profile
Short-Term BUY Zone — 4202
Setup: Reactive Buy Opportunity
Target: 500–1000 Pips
Reasons:
Ultra-volume spike with no price continuation
Delta flip confirming buyer absorption
Trap formation below session low
Volume exhaustion beneath POC
Smart Money re-entry point after sell-side clear
Strong 30M reversal wick with liquidity gap
Reaction from prior fixed HVN
Internal structure shift with micro CHoCH
Buyer cluster confirmed under equilibrium
Perfect liquidity grab setup before new leg
Mid-Term BUY Zone — 4132 – 4107
Setup: Accumulation & Magnetic Demand Area
Target: Up to 1500 Pips
Reasons:
Multi-session HVN alignment
Strong accumulation footprint on delta flow
Reactive rejection at discounted price zone
Liquidity engineered below equilibrium
Large volume imbalance correction
Compression channel breakout origin
Major liquidity gap filled
High-probability reversal range from fixed profile
Delta divergence showing quiet buyer absorption
Institutional order flow detected at low volume shelf
Long-Term BUY Zone — 4036
Setup: Deep Accumulation Zone
Target: Up to 2500 Pips
Reasons:
Major 4H structural base confirmed
Deep liquidity flush below quarterly low
Volume absorption + delta compression zone
Institutional reloading pattern visible
Smart Money demand block within discount 0.79 level
Magnet zone aligning with historical POC
Strong rejection from fixed range low
Major delta shift to positive
Buyer footprint expansion in lower volume node
Final liquidity grab before long-term accumulation move
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 30, 2025
1️⃣ Momentum
• D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum remains entangled. Yesterday’s daily candle closed at its lowest point, rejecting all intraday bullish attempts. However, it has not yet broken the previous candle’s low — this suggests that the bearish trend is still intact, though weakening, and a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days.
• H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, indicating a possible short-term recovery lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 Timeframe:
The price is currently either consolidating or continuing its short-term decline.
If it continues to cling to the 3927 liquidity zone, a further breakdown is likely.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe:
Price is now sitting near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3) in yellow — a typical correction level for wave (4).
Therefore, if the decline continues or the correction extends, it’s highly probable that we are in wave (4) of the yellow count, and the current drop is only the first sub-wave of this corrective phase.
• H4 Timeframe:
Currently, price is around the 0.872 extension of wave (3) in purple, which is not ideal for a completed wave (4).
When combining the D1 and H4 structures, both indicate that the market is likely forming a corrective wave (4) in yellow, and a recovery move may soon appear as D1 momentum begins to turn upward.
👉 If this scenario is confirmed:
o If price breaks above the previous wave (3) high (around 4400), it would confirm the start of a new impulsive wave upward.
o If price rises slowly and the highest target only reaches around 4400 before turning down again → this move is likely part of the corrective wave (4) before another bearish leg resumes.
• H1 Timeframe:
The current formation suggests a potential double zigzag structure.
To confirm this setup, price needs to break below 3892. This is a strong liquidity zone, so if price reaches it, a temporary bounce could occur.
Key liquidity zones above to watch: 3927 – 3953 – 3995.
If price fails to break above the previous red wave X, these zones may act as strong resistance levels, pushing the market lower again.
Target areas for the red wave Y are:
o 3814
o 3786
________________________________________
3️⃣ Trade Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3815 – 3813
• SL: 3804
• TP1: 3892
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3787 – 3785
• SL: 3776
• TP1: 3892
________________________________________
📌 Summary:
D1 momentum is weakening and nearing the oversold zone → a potential bullish rebound could develop in the coming sessions.
The 3815 – 3785 area remains a key buy zone, while 3927 – 3995 should be closely monitored as resistance levels to confirm the next directional move.
XAU/USD - Structural Reset and Reversion to Major Sell FrameworkThe recent bullish attempt has officially failed to establish structure, revealing that the brief upward move was merely a corrective exhaustion from the previous selling leg. Despite the short-term relief, momentum quickly reverted, and a new sell-side framework has now formed - one that’s far more aligned with broader structural behavior.
This new formation mirrors the previous major sell triangle, but with a more refined and realistic target zone, highlighted by the purple box. Price remains positioned near the upper boundary of the red structure, suggesting that selling pressure is once again dominant.
Unless buyers can produce a confirmed break above the current structural pivot, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with measured targets pointing toward the completion zone inside the new sell continuation area.
In short - the market has reset its rhythm. The unstructured pump has faded, and the primary bearish structure is back in control.
XAUUSD: October 28th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4005, Support: 3840
4-Hour Resistance: 3972, Support: 3840
1-Hour Resistance: 3950, Support: 3880
Divergence in technical indicators continues to intensify. After the weekly K-line price of spot gold falls below 4000, the next support level is near the 10-day moving average (MA10) around 3840.
The daily K-line shows a temporary peaking signal, intensifying short-term market sell-off sentiment. After breaking below the 3950 support level, the market trend has shifted. The next target is the 3800/3700 level.
Based on the 1-hour chart, gold generally conforms to yesterday's analysis. After the K-line combination broke through the trend support, the downward trend accelerated. The decline widened in the European session, with the price falling below the 3900 mark! Bulls' last hope lies in Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Sell on rallies in the near term.
SELL: 3930-3945
BUY: 3835-3845
Trading plan for XAUUSD for 10/27/2025 (short)This trading plan is :
- If the price gets below $4065 then enter short with TP = $4005 (around recent lower low).
- if the price gets below $4005 then enter short with TP = $3946 (around recent lower low).
- if the price gets below $3946 then enter short with TP = $3873 (fibonacci level).
XAUUSD UPDATE : Alert ! BEARISH PRESSURE still EXISTMonday open, price still under pressure below 4161 resistance.
It could be the early sign for 4160 - 4150 level as a strong resistance area, and price have a big possibility to make a downside continuation / more correction to a lower price below 4000.
Becareful for a retest action !
Have a great week ahead !
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Metals
Type: Day Trade Setup
Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout
🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT
Entry Zone:
Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering.
(Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional)
Stop Loss:
“Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation.
💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call!
Target:
Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps.
🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy!
💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s”
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples.
You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸
🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST
Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops.
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check.
FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter.
OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early.
🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone.
⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT:
Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition.
Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8).
Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone.
Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line.
🏁 FINAL WORDS
Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience.
The real theft is done with discipline, not greed.
Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰
#XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
XAUUSD (ONDA) Intraday & Swing LevelsLevels interpretation Follows:
🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)






















