XAUUSD 4H Analysis (29th October 2025) ASIAN/LONDON
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
Body Candle Close above the 4019.80 level.
2) Retest the failed 4h Bearish OB at the 4019.80 level.
3) Create a 5/15m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4161.40 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 4h Bearish OB at the 3973.28 level.
2) Create a 5/15m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3838.00 level.
Trade smart, Trade safe, Trade according to your trading plan always. Cheers
Trade ideas
GOLD 3HR LINE CHART THE BREAKOUT OF 4059-4055 TRENDLINE BY LONDON /NEWYORK SELLERS WILL BE LOOKING FOR DISCOUNT IN THE PRICE OF GOLD .
CHINA-US TENSION COOLS OFF,BUT FOMC NEXT MONETARY POLICY DECISION IS CAUSING CAUTION IN LONG POSITION FOR THE YELLOW METAL.
RATE HOLD ,RATE HIKE OR CUT ,NO ONE CAN TELL TILL THE MEETING IS OVER.
DEMAND FLOOR 3991-3984. breakout of this zone the next possible support will be 3945-3940 (zone by zone strategy).
DEMAND FLOOR 3945-3940.
GOLD LONDON /NEWYORK BUY ZONE COULD BE 3945-3940 ZONE .i see a strong double confluence where a descending trendline meets a horizontal support structure,
risk management is key,if price rally at this zone,learn to take profit and protect your capital
BUY SETUP – Smart Money Style (GOLD / USD – 30m)Analysis:
Price has formed a clean bullish structure after rejecting the demand zone (gray area). Multiple rejections confirm strong buyer presence around $3975–$3988, indicating liquidity absorption below the previous low.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Within the reaccumulation zone near $4026
Stop Loss: Below the demand base at $3975
Take Profit: Toward the upper liquidity and supply zone at $4097
Risk/Reward: ~1:3
Concept:
This setup aligns with Smart Money and FU (Failed Breakout) principles — price swept liquidity below the prior structure, tapped into unmitigated demand, and is now targeting the next high. A clean break and hold above $4053 would confirm momentum continuation to the upside.
Going Short On Gold (XAUUSD)XAUUSD – Short Setup 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴
Price has broken out of the descending trendline, tapping liquidity above recent highs before retesting a former support turned resistance zone in the 5 mins Tf. This aligns with the broader bearish structure. The trendline acts as liquidity, and the rejection from resistance confirms potential downside continuation toward the 3,800 area.
Gold Uptrend in DangerGold is approaching a potentially important moment that could either reinforce the bullish trend or set the stage for a corrective move lower, pushing back towards the intersection of long-running uptrend support and minor horizontal support at $4060.
Twice last week, the price tested this support zone only to bounce strongly, including last Friday when a hammer candle printed on the daily chart. That only reinforces its importance. However, with a three-candle evening star forming if Monday’s candle finishes near current levels, and with RSI (14) and MACD pointing to rapidly diminishing upside strength, directional risks are shifting quickly lower. A break beneath the uptrend, especially on a close, may signal gold has begun a new trend, putting downside levels in play.
If a bearish break occurs, traders could sell with a tight stop above the uptrend to protect against reversal, targeting the psychologically important $4000 level initially. If that gives way, $3950 and $3895 are other nearby support levels, providing multiple target options depending on desired risk/reward.
Alternatively, if the support zone continues to hold, the setup could be flipped with longs established above the trendline and a stop below for protection. $4100 has seen some action recently over shorter timeframes, as have $4155 and $4180. All screen as possible targets.
Good luck!
DS
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal DetectedStatus: Active Reversal Protocol
🆚Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Bearish Reversal : 4085
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
🚀 Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction.
🚀 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
Goal: Controlled Both Sides with minimal drawdown
★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
⤵️ Every like & comment on our Trading View posts helps us grow. More engagement means more exposure ★★★★★ , which benefits everyone in the community!
XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Minor-Grade Short Entry Strategy XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Minor-Grade Short Entry Strategy
Entry level around 4018 USD, stop-loss placed at 4053 USD.
1st target around 3940 USD: partial close (50% position), trail stop.
2nd target around 3870 USD: further partial close (50% of remaining), trail stop.
3rd target around 3800 USD: additional partial close (50% of remaining), trail stop.
Let the residual position run with progressive partial closures and stop trailing.
Gold price trading below 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) steadies near $3,950 per ounce in Asian trading on Thursday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Prices find support from ongoing central bank buying and renewed ETF inflows, which have tightened supply in both official and market channels. However, gains remain capped after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that another rate cut in December is uncertain, pushing 10-year Treasury yields above 4% and raising the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. The Fed had earlier delivered a widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is moving sideways, accumulating below 4000. Gold's long-term correction downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4030 - 4032 SL 4037
TP1: $4020
TP2: $4010
TP3: $4000
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3886 - 3884 SL 3879
TP1: $3900
TP2: $3910
TP3: $3925
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Correction over - new Annual High's in sightTechnical analysis: The Price-action hit the Daily chart’s Support belt and got rejected as expected near #3,888.80 - #3,892.80 and is currently pulling back on full-bodied Daily chart's candle. In my personal belief, decline was only be temporary as it was delivered in previous Bull runs however caution is required as the Weekly catalysts are still about to be reported (Fed or not, I continue Buying preserving my Bullish stance). Technically the newly formed Ascending Channel on Hourly 1 chart still has a Lower High’s to give around #4,027.80 mark before I re-evaluate the trend and continue soaring regarding the Short-term. As I mentioned throughout my remarks, Gold is Neutral now, turning Bullish as long as Gold closes the week above the #3,888.80 configuration which is far away currently. Selling sequence is limited or near exhaustion, however Gold not only succeeded in breaking the Resistance (#3,952.80 mark) with ease and almost tested second Resistance belt, but was also comfortably Trading above it. Needless to mention on the other side, Ascending Channel is intact due to the sharp Intra-day recovery on DX and uncertainty on all market classes. This outweighs the decline on Bond Yields market.
My position: I am Buying Gold aggressively throughout yesterday's session all along especially when #3,952.80 benchmark got invalidated to the upside. Gap to the downside on Asian market opening delivered excellent chances to Buy more as I closed all orders with #4,000.80 Take Profit. Keep in mind that I might Sell #4,024.80 now (aggressive Scalp to the downside) only to Buy more. #4,052.80 benchmark and #4,100.80 extension are my Targets.
Gold 29-31 Oct 25 reject at OB or BOS at $4004-$4020Gold can be reject at order block (OB) price $4004-$4020, if price Break of structure (BOS) above $4020 will up more to $4130, Key zone to watch at ($4004-$4020).
4H closed not break above $4020, confirmed to sell, but if 4H closed price above $020, recommend to buy target $4130
Gold retest of the pivotal 4010 levelThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4010 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4010 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4215 – initial resistance
4270 – psychological and structural level
4315 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4010 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3985 – minor support
3955– stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4010. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 29, 2025)
Momentum
• D1: Momentum remains compressed, but yesterday’s candle closed with a long lower wick — a clear sign of weakening downside pressure. A bullish daily close today would confirm a potential D1 reversal.
• H4: Momentum is preparing to turn down from the overbought zone, yet the current upward move is still weak. We need to monitor whether price can hold above the previous low once H4 momentum drops toward oversold.
• H1: Momentum is falling, but price is supported around 3953 and capped near 3994.
As long as price holds above 3927 and avoids breaking 3892, the next H4 oversold phase could confirm a stronger upside structure.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1: The current decline equals 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow, a key Fibonacci level.
• H4: Wave (4) purple has already retraced 0.782 of wave (3) — unusually deep for a normal 4th wave (which typically stops around 0.382–0.5).
This suggests the ongoing correction may represent wave (4) yellow on the D1 timeframe.
If true, the market could now be forming wave W of a larger W–X–Y structure, meaning the upcoming recovery might only be a slow, overlapping X wave before another decline.
• H1: The 5-wave black structure seems completed.
A break above 3995, followed by a test of 4050, would confirm the end of wave (5) black and the start of a corrective move upward.
________________________________________
Summary
Price volatility is still high — avoid limit orders for now and watch how price reacts at key zones.
• 🔹 Support: 3953 – 3927 – 3892
• 🔹 Resistance: 3994 – 4050
GOLD | Daily Analysis #2 - 30 October 2025Hello and welcome back to DP,
Review and news:
Yesterday Gold pulled back slightly from recent highs after strong run-up. According to FXTrendo, it had briefly topped the psychological US$4,000/oz level, then traded around ~US$3,995. Expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates later this year remain a tailwind, which helps non-yielding assets like gold. Geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand continue to underpin gold’s appeal. In summery gold remains structurally bullish, but near-term momentum is under pressure. The market is in a consolidation/correction phase while waiting for the next catalyst (Fed clarity, inflation prints, major geopolitical event).
1H – 4H Technical Analysis:
As you can observe, the major downtrend broke, the upside moving is feuled up. Demand zones are strong and 3914 zone is still irony. So if price pass and break 4024 area, there is potential to uptrend goes continuously. With analyzing the support and resistance zones, these scenarios are possible: Bearish scenario: If gold fails to reclaim the resistance zone (~4,000 +), and breaks below short-term support (~3,940), then a deeper retracement toward ~3,900 or lower becomes more likely. Bullish scenario: If gold holds above ~3,940-3,900 and the Fed or external shock triggers safe-haven flows, a move back toward ~4,050-4,100 is possible. Neutral to caution: Given the mixed signals (strong overall trend but short-term pullback), many traders may prefer to wait for confirmation (e.g., breakout above resistance or a clean bounce off support) rather than aggressively chase.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
When the Dollar bleeds, Gold breathes stronger.A clear structural divergence is unfolding between XAUUSD and DXY —
Gold has printed a clean bullish market structure, while the Dollar Index mirrors it with a progressive bearish flow.
This inverse rhythm isn’t coincidence — it’s the pulse of global liquidity.
As capital rotates out of USD strength into hard assets, we’re witnessing how smart money hedges exposure against monetary uncertainty.
Each push in Gold aligns perfectly with weakness in DXY —
a synchronized dance that often precedes macro repricing in risk assets.
💭 The key insight?
Gold’s rise isn’t simply technical — it’s the market’s vote of confidence against the Dollar’s future yield.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Liquidity never lies — when one side inflates, the other exhales.”
Gold price analysis on October 30Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices remained confined within a familiar range, despite the volatility caused by the US Federal Reserve's key monetary policy decision on Wednesday.
Powell noted that policymakers may be more cautious if this prevents them from releasing further reports on jobs and inflation.
Markets are now pricing in a 67.8% chance of the Fed keeping rates unchanged at its December 10 meeting, compared with a 9.1% chance before the Fed's announcement.
President Trump said he hoped to reduce US tariffs on Chinese goods in exchange for Beijing's commitment to curbing fentanyl precursor exports.
Technical Analysis
Gold gained ground in Asia and is eyeing a return to the 4000 handle, which could happen early today as more supportive news comes in. The weekly peak around 4025 will act as a stop for the price increase and act as a correction to find more buying momentum towards 4100. The BUY zone around 4025 is still good, buying power is still accumulating around here. If the trendline around 4025 is broken, Gold will fall deeply to 3865.
Trading signals
BUY GOLD 3925-3923 SL 3920
SELL GOLD 4025-4027 SL 4030
SELL GOLD 4095-4097 SL 4100
XAU/USD – Bearish Continuation Outlook (Smart Money Framework)XAU/USD – Bearish Continuation Outlook (Smart Money Framework)
🧭 Market Structure Overview
The major structure is bearish — confirmed by a Market Structure Break (MSB) after the last swing high.
Every bullish move since then is viewed as a retracement into premium price for better short entries.
Smart Money likely accumulating shorts above internal liquidity levels before driving price lower.
🟩 Premium Supply Zones (Sell Areas)
1️⃣ Be-BB (Bearish Breaker Block) → 4,180 – 4,240
💣 Main shorting area
Price expected to tap this level to mitigate sell-side imbalance.
Watch for liquidity grab above 4,060 before reversal.
Confirmation: bearish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframes (LTF).
2️⃣ Be-OB (Bearish Order Block) → 4,260 – 4,320
🚫 Last line of defense for bears
If price reaches here, expect a strong rejection due to trapped buyers and institutional orders.
Perfect “last tap” zone before deep markdown.
🟥 Discount Demand Zones (Targets)
🔻 Primary Demand Zone Area → 3,820 – 3,870
Previous accumulation zone (high-volume node).
Take-profit target for swing shorts.
Potential re-entry area for Smart Money to reload buys later.
🎯 Expected final destination if bearish pressure sustains.
📉 Bearish Scenarios
⚔️ Scenario 1 – Textbook Smart Money Setup
Price retraces to 4,060–4,180 zone (Be-BB).
Liquidity grab above 4,060 (previous high).
Bearish rejection → BOS → Sell continuation.
Targets: 3,939 → 3,870 → 3,820.
💥 Most probable scenario.
⚔️ Scenario 2 – Deep Retracement Then Dump
Bulls push higher into 4,260 (Be-OB).
Liquidity sweep and institutional fill.
Massive rejection → sell-off continuation.
🔥 Deeper pullback = bigger sell move later.
Gold market renews bullish sentiment at3990’sGold market initiated movement at 4043, followed by a correctional move to mitigate the 3990’s demand zone. A new hedge is now being established around 4073, signaling renewed bullish momentum within the broader uptrend structure. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,the Sydney/asian market opens ,on 4hr the supply roof is broken and i hope that buying will approach 4062.19 and extend purchase into 4100 zone .
if price pulls back for liquidity on 4hr i will always watch the 3962 demand floor for buy.
KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT for the week..
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown.
The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all.
This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech.
Key points from his speech:
The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices.
Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting.
Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated.
The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation.
The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1.
Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course.
Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed.
He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions.
Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
#GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD ,AS earlier predicted on retest to 4030 zone, price is reacting but 4hr close shows a technical break of structure and if we take correction i will be watching 4000-4006 demand floor which is a descent 270pips drop from the close of the newyork high.
the next demand floor should 4000-4006 fails will be 3956-3954 zone ,a strong 1hr cross and a break and retest descending trendline .
if 4000-4006 holds and we break freely away from 4030 ,then we will target 4100 zone you can stop at 4068 another 300pips break of 4030 resistance zone and watch for correction .
am confident that 4100 is possible tomorrow.
technical failure of both zone will retest 3885-3889 current low which i think wont happen based on the current FEDERAL FUND RATE 3.75%-4.0%.
#GOLD #XAUUSD






















