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DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD continues to respect the ascending support line, confirming an active short-term uptrend. Price rebounded from 4,308 support, forming a higher low structure that suggests momentum preservation. ● Immediate resistance lies at 4,376, where a breakout could extend the bullish leg if the current consolidation near 4,330 holds. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold remains supported by softer U.S. inflation expectations and rising geopolitical risk, keeping investor demand intact. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 4,308; objectives 4,376–4,380. Trendline strength and supportive fundamentals signal continued short-term upside. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
Gold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for NowGold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for Now You already know my opinion — under normal conditions, gold shouldn’t be trading in this zone. Even though Israel approved the first phase of the Gaza deal, gold only made a small correction, not a strong bearish move. The drop from 4058 to 3945 was likely driven by retail traders, not the big players. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: Gold is now sitting at a critical zone. If the price holds above 3945, the chances for an upward move are higher. Potential targets are 4000, 4050, 4075, and 4100. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If gold breaks below 3945, it could open the way for a decline toward 3895 and 3825. However, this seems unlikely for now since the price didn’t fall further yesterday, even when most traders expected it to. ⚠️The big buyers who created the bullish move haven’t started selling yet. If a bearish wave does begin, it will likely happen when no one expects it — just like every previous bullish rally that started without news or clear reasons. ⚠️Be careful during the opening of the U.S trading session. It was at that time that Gold declined yesterday. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
8
XAU…Full TP taken on original longs…. 🥂 We close to tapping in handles here, I’d say 30min or so for some direction… Does she want $4160? We’ll soon find out. We don’t want this 4h closing above $4150 or she may charge out $4191. Needs to rip back $4139 for closure. Definitely looking to short & claim back $4108-4 for starters, and if we settle below!!! $4011 on call and further!!! Many opps here, can try breakdown the timeframes where it stands OR just let it roll and base a profile from $4108. We be there, that’s a fact!!!! 🗣️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by JupahduhX
2
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish. Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold: 💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. ⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness. These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View) Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239. Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend. Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔵 BUY Setup 1 Zone: 4,184 – 4,182 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ??? 🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace) Zone: 4,148 – 4,146 SL: 4,140 TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200 🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity Zone: 4,230 – 4,234 SL: 4,238 TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View 📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction. We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone). From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE. In short: The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding. Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range. The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment. If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions. However, traders should: ✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs. ✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones. ✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering. ⚡ Summary Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction. Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again. After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD - 2HR TRADING CARD🔶 XAU/USD Trading Card 🔑 Pivot Zone 4210 - 4180 (Key Pivot Area) 📊 Context: Bullish Primary Trend | Above Pivot | Current 4360 ⚠️ Key Levels: Active Supply = 4360 - 4400 Active Demand = 4030 - 4060 Halfway to Supply = 4288 Halfway to Demand = 4120 ─────────────────────────────────────────── 🟢 Bullish Scenario 🔄 Bias Flip: Clear breach above 4180 ⚡ Trigger: Long from 4210-4180 • When price shows demand response (wick rejections/strong bounce) 🎯 T1 = 4288 🎯 T2 = 4360 🎯 T3 = 4483 (38% Fib Extension) ❌ Invalidation: Back below 4210 ─────────────────────────────────────────── 🔴 Bearish Scenario 🔄 Bias Flip: Clear breach below 4210 ⚡ Trigger: Short from 4210-4180 • When price shows supply response (wick rejections/strong breakdown) 🎯 T1 = 4120 🎯 T2 = 4060 🎯 T3 = 3961 (38% Fib Extension) ❌ Invalidation: Back above 4180
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by ANROC
President Donald J. Trump (the real market maker) There are traders… and then there’s Donald Trump, a man who could move multi-trillion-dollar markets without ever opening a Bloomberg terminal. For years, investors studied technicals, Fibonacci ratios, and order flow to predict direction. But from 2017 onward, one force bent all that — policy surprises and public statements from the U.S. President himself. Trump’s influence didn’t end when he left office. Even in 2025, markets still respond instantly to his tariffs, trade policies, and economic commentary. He became, in every sense of the word, “The Real Market Mover.” 🧠 When Policy Became Price Traditionally, markets move on data, GDP releases, CPI, interest rates, central bank minutes. But during Trump’s tenure and resurgence in 2025, words carried the same weight as data. Tweets, press briefings, and tariff announcements created knee-jerk reactions that dwarfed technical setups. Price action no longer followed pure structure, structure reacted to political noise. 1️⃣ The Trade War Shock — May 2019 Event: In early May 2019, Trump tweeted that tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports would increase from 10% to 25%. This came unexpectedly after months of optimism about trade negotiations. Market Reaction: The S&P 500 fell over 2% in two sessions. USDJPY dropped as traders sought safety in the yen. Gold (XAUUSD) spiked from around $1,270 to $1,300 in a matter of days. Global equity markets — from Shanghai to Frankfurt — mirrored the sell-off. chart : S&P 500 Lesson: Fundamentals can erase weeks of technical buildup in hours. Chart structure provided direction, but timing belonged to policy. 2️⃣ Oil’s Verbal Rescue — April 2020 Event: After the COVID-19 collapse sent oil below $20 a barrel, Trump publicly claimed he had spoken to both Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, saying they agreed to large output cuts. Market Reaction: chart ; WTI gain WTI Crude surged over 30% in a single day, one of the sharpest one-day gains in modern oil history. Energy stocks rebounded aggressively. CAD and NOK, both oil-linked currencies, caught strong bids. Lesson: Market psychology is as powerful as supply and demand. Traders weren’t just pricing crude — they were pricing hope. 3️⃣ Bitcoin’s “Not a Fan” Tweet — July 2019 Event: On July 11, 2019, Trump tweeted: “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money and whose value is highly volatile...” Market Reaction: chart : BTCUSD drop BTCUSD dropped from $12,000 to below $9,000 within a week. Altcoins mirrored the sell-off. Volatility spiked across crypto derivatives exchanges like BitMEX and Deribit. Lesson: Even a decentralized market isn’t immune to centralized sentiment. In crypto, narrative drives volatility faster than fundamentals. 4️⃣ The Iran Strike — January 2020 Event: On January 3, 2020, the U.S. conducted an airstrike that killed Iranian General Qassem Soleimani. Geopolitical tension spiked overnight. Market Reaction: chart : GOLD gain Gold (XAUUSD) jumped nearly 3%, touching $1,600, a level not seen since 2013. Oil (WTI) surged over 4% on supply concerns. Equities and risk currencies sold off sharply. Lesson: Geopolitical shocks move markets not because of numbers, but uncertainty. Traders price fear, not fundamentals. 5️⃣ The 2025 Tariff Shock & Crypto Liquidation Event: In October 2025, Trump announced 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports, alongside restrictions on software exports and AI-linked technology. The announcement came suddenly during a campaign rally and caught the market completely off guard. Market Reaction: chart : BITCOIN drop Bitcoin fell by nearly 14% in 24 hours, triggering the largest liquidation in crypto history — over $19 billion in leveraged positions wiped out. Nasdaq futures dropped over 3% pre-market. Gold (XAUUSD) broke above $4,000 per ounce for the first time ever, peaking near $4,125, while Silver (XAGUSD) hit record highs above $45. Yuan (USDCNH) weakened rapidly as investors rushed into the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. Lesson: When macro meets emotion, liquidity vanishes. No technical setup can prepare you for a macro shock of that scale. The market doesn’t just move, it reprices reality. 6️⃣ “Phase One” Relief — December 2019 Event: After months of trade tension, Trump announced that the U.S. and China had reached a “Phase One” trade deal. Market Reaction: The S&P 500 broke to new highs above 3,200. USDJPY rose as risk appetite returned. Gold briefly cooled off from safe-haven highs. Lesson: Fear creates liquidity gaps, but relief fills them even faster. Markets always overreact in both directions. 🔍 Final Word Trump didn’t just comment on the economy, he is a market event. Every tariff, tweet, and offhand remark had measurable price consequences. In 2025, when Bitcoin collapsed and gold surged to $4,000+, traders witnessed once again that in modern markets, politics and price are inseparable. For those who rely only on charts, remember: “technicals shows where; fundamentals decide when.” put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by currencynerd
At the end of the ascending triangle, go shortToday, gold opened with a volatile climb and then consolidated at elevated levels. The bulls still have lingering momentum, but gold has been trading above its 5-period moving average for three consecutive days now. Since the start of this unilateral rally from 3,311, gold has consistently advanced with support from the 5-period moving average—only once did it find support at the 10-period moving average. When gold deviates from the 5-period moving average for an extended period and keeps rallying nonstop, a pullback correction is likely to occur. Furthermore, gold is trading at the end of an ascending triangle pattern, leaving little room for further movement, and a trend reversal could happen at any time. Realistically, due to the U.S. government shutdown, it’s nearly impossible to make reliable judgments based on economic data right now—the data is simply too untrustworthy, and any outcome would come as no surprise. That said, I don’t believe inflation will ease at all. In fact, the U.S. government shutdown has dealt a severe blow to the U.S. economy. Additionally, tariff tensions have never truly subsided; on the contrary, they are currently escalating step by step. Under such circumstances, I don’t think U.S. inflation will slow down—in fact, I lean toward the possibility of further inflationary pressures. If that’s the case, the Federal Reserve will likely put rate cuts on hold. Even if a rate cut is forced through in October, it will impact the progress of future rate cuts. Once inflation heats up, gold faces a high risk of a sharp collapse. In terms of market trading, gold’s rebound after the previous collapse has only fueled more bullish buying. Paradoxically, this has made the market unafraid of another collapse—traders now assume that any drop will be quickly followed by a rally to new highs. Amid the uptrend, chasing highs remains common, and rightly so, given the impressive gains in recent days. However, this could well be a sense of inertia instilled by the market, designed to make traders trust the bullish trend. If gold falls again, the decline will likely exceed 100 points. Resistance Levels: 4,275, 4,300 Support Levels: 4,235, 4,220 Trading Strategy While others are cautious, we’ll be greedy. We plan to consider shorting gold around the 4,275 level in the evening, waiting for a trend reversal. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
Short term correction - down below 4300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) dips to around $4,245 in early Asian trading on Monday, pausing after its record-breaking rally. The pullback comes as physical demand eases following the festive surge, while traders await China’s Q3 GDP, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales data later in the day. Last week, the metal gained support from India’s festive demand and robust ETF inflows. However, with fundamentals largely priced in, a short-term correction or consolidation appears likely. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price started to accumulate, adjusted down below 4300 at the beginning of the week. Short-term downtrend ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4320 - 4322 SL 4327 TP1: $4310 TP2: $4300 TP3: $4283 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4222-$4224 SL $4217 TP1: $4235 TP2: $4250 TP3: $4270 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term. However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound. Therefore, for the current short-term trade: 1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area. 2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
Gold flight to safety tradeThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4260 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4260 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 4400 – initial resistance 4450 – psychological and structural level 4500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4260 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 4200 – minor support 4160 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4260. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel near 4,168, where a bearish takeover pattern formed, signaling potential exhaustion. ● A breakdown below 4,092 could confirm the start of a correction toward 4,034 and possibly 3,950 as price retests prior support within the channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold faces pressure as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and the dollar strengthens amid hawkish Fed outlooks. ✨ Summary ● Short bias below 4,168; targets 4,034–3,950. Technical rejection and dollar strength favor short-term downside correction. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
GOLD – Overview | Bullish Momentum Above $4,093GOLD – Overview | Bullish Momentum Above $4,093 Gold is holding above the $4,100 mark, reaching a fresh record high as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions drive investors toward safe-haven assets. The rally is supported by rising political and economic uncertainty, expectations of further U.S. rate cuts, and strong central-bank demand alongside continued ETF inflows. Traders now await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in Philadelphia later today for clues on the next steps in monetary policy. 🕯 Technical Outlook The price is expected to consolidate between 4,093 – 4,100 until a clear breakout. As long as gold trades above this zone, bullish momentum is likely to extend toward 4,125 → 4,162 → 4,180. If price closes a 1H or 15M candle below 4,093, a bearish correction may occur toward 4,058 → 4,040. Pivot: 4,098 Support: 4,075 – 4,058 – 4,040 Resistance: 4,124 – 4,147 – 4,180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold prices hit a new high, beware of a collapse and fallYesterday, gold opened at 4,002 and surged sharply to a high near 4,116—there’s no doubt the bulls have once again staged an explosive rally of over 100 points. As for the reasons behind this upward move, it’s clear to everyone: first, extremely high market panic triggered a safe-haven-driven rally for gold. Second, gold’s gap-up opening at the start of the session spurred market buyers to chase the bullish momentum. As gold climbed, it attracted a flood of buying interest, which in turn pushed prices even higher. For today, as gold has a tendency to trend in one direction (either bullish or bearish) on such days, how should we decide between going long or short? Gold opened around 4,110, dipped slightly in early trading to a low near 4,106 before rebounding to 4,116, and then consolidated at elevated levels before moving up to around 4,150. The bullish momentum remains formidable—even amid high-level consolidation, the bulls still have lingering strength. Notably, calls for a rate cut from Federal Reserve officials are growing louder, and the probability of a rate cut in October is now nearly a foregone conclusion. This has further fueled market buyers’ enthusiasm for the bullish trend. In particular, Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to speak today. If Powell echoes the current dovish rhetoric about rate cuts, the bullish momentum will likely continue—after all, rate cuts are an enormous boon for gold bulls. In such a scenario, Powell’s comments could prompt the market to increase bets on rate cuts, providing the gold bulls with a steady stream of momentum and driving gold to continue making new all-time highs. However, it’s worth noting that Powell could also surprise by striking a more hawkish tone and pushing back against further rate cuts. The reason is simple: the U.S. government shutdown. Due to the ongoing shutdown, the Fed lacks sufficient economic data to support its decisions, which may leave insufficient justification for a rate cut. Additionally, the current chaos in the U.S. economy and the renewed escalation of tariff tensions have further constrained the Fed’s policy options. Powell previously highlighted the impact of tariffs on Fed policy, so there’s a real possibility his hawkish remarks today could drastically reduce market expectations for a rate cut. If this happens, gold faces significant risk of a sharp collapse. Another point to consider is the timeliness of market news: the explosive impact of any event is temporary and will not drive long-term market trends unless the event itself persists or escalates. Given that gold has rallied from 3,946 last Friday to a recent high of 4,116, the bullish momentum has already been largely priced in. Even if the bulls still have some strength left today, we must remain vigilant against the risk of a sudden reversal and collapse. Furthermore, stock markets have recovered somewhat after their earlier sell-off, and the U.S. dollar has performed relatively well recently. As these assets rebound, market panic surrounding gold should ease slightly, thereby weakening the explosive momentum of the gold bulls. While China-U.S. tariff tensions have reignited, the new tariffs have not yet taken effect, and the future trajectory of this issue remains uncertain. Regarding geopolitical risks, tensions in the Middle East have eased somewhat, and while there have been threats of escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these have so far been more about intimidation than action. A nuclear escalation, after all, would trigger global panic, and the international community is unlikely to allow the situation to spiral out of control—instead, tensions are expected to de-escalate to some extent. Trading Strategy We remain bullish on the long-term trend but do not recommend chasing highs. Consider entering short positions on gold within the 4,050–4,058 range. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
GOLD leveled off after its strongest rally since 1979OANDA:XAUUSD Falls After Trump's 'Softening' Comments on China Gold Spot gold fell nearly 2% on Friday (October 17), ending a long rally after hitting a new record, as a stronger US dollar and President Donald Trump's soft remarks dampened demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold ended the session at $4,250.91 an ounce, down 1.74%, after peaking at $4,379.94 earlier in the session. The US dollar index rose 0.2%, making gold more expensive for foreign investors. Earlier, gold recorded its biggest weekly gain since the Lehman Brothers crisis in 2008. Trump Calms Trade Tensions, Gold Loses Safe-haven Momentum Speaking at the White House, Trump admitted that 100% tariffs on Chinese goods were “unsustainable” and confirmed plans to meet President Xi Jinping in the near future. The comments quickly changed market sentiment, easing expectations of an escalation in the trade conflict and pulling safe-haven demand away from gold. FXStreet commented: “Gold prices fell about 2% from a historic peak as Trump eased his tone with Beijing. The recovery in risk sentiment kept the dollar strong and gold under pressure.” The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 3 basis points to 4.01%, while real yields rose nearly 2.5 basis points to 1.72%, further pressuring non-yielding assets like gold. Medium-term outlook remains positive Despite the short-term correction, gold prices have risen more than 64% year-to-date, boosted by expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin a rate-cutting cycle. The market is now pricing in a 25 basis point cut at its October meeting, and another in December. HSBC has raised its 2025 average gold price forecast by $100 to $3,455 an ounce, and expects prices to reach $5,000 by 2026. Some fresh concerns about credit risks emerged after two regional US banks reported $50 million in bad loans, but White House Senior Advisor Kevin Hassett reassured that the banking system remains liquid and “credit conditions are generally stable.” Goldman Sachs: Gold Price Rally “Real-Based,” Not Speculative Bubble Gold prices continued to hit records this week, surpassing $4,300 an ounce on October 16, marking a four-session winning streak and a gain of about 65% year-to-date, the strongest since 1979. However, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc., this is not a speculative frenzy, but reflects real demand from institutions and central banks. “The current momentum in gold is not driven by euphoria,” Goldman Sachs said in a video conference. “Central banks continue to buy at record levels, while private investors are only gradually rebalancing their portfolios as the Fed accelerates the pace of rate cuts.” After years of low asset allocations to gold, the market is now returning to a more reasonable balance, not a “gold bubble,” Goldman Sachs said. Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900 an ounce, highlighting two key drivers: strong inflows into Western gold ETFs and sustained net buying by central banks, particularly in Asia and the Middle East. Echoes of the 1970s: History Repeats in a New Way Let’s compare the current cycle to the “gold rush” of the 1970s, when the US ended the Bretton Woods system, inflation soared and the oil crisis pushed the price of gold many times higher. “Back then, budget deficits and policy uncertainty led investors to seek refuge outside the official monetary system. And now, similar factors are emerging, from US fiscal risks to geopolitical divergence, making gold continue to be a popular hedge.” According to Goldman Sachs, the gold market is still relatively small compared to the scale of global capital flows, so each shift in capital flows greatly amplifies price fluctuations. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD The daily chart of gold is still in a medium-long term uptrend, as shown by the price remaining above the MA21 and still in the uptrend channel despite the correction. After reaching a historical peak of 4,379, the price has dropped to around 4,250 USD/ounce, corresponding to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382. • Current candlestick structure: a strong correction candle appears but has not broken the bullish structure. • Important technical support zones: o 4.216 – 4.160 (Fibo 0.382 – 0.5): potential short-term support zone. o 4.110 (Fibo 0.618): stronger support, if this zone is broken, it can move into a deep correction phase. • RSI: still above 70, showing that the market is still in the overbought zone, prone to strong short-term fluctuations but has not confirmed a reversal. => Conclusion of the main trend: Gold is still in the main uptrend, currently only in a technical correction phase after reaching the peak, there is no signal of a medium-term reversal. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4309 - 4307⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4313 →Take Profit 1 4301 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4295 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4160 - 4162⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4156 →Take Profit 1 4168 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4174
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold is about to enter the 4400 era News： On Friday (October 17), during the Asian and European sessions, spot gold bottomed out and rebounded in a V-shaped reversal trend. It fell 2% during the session, about $100, and then quickly recovered the lost ground. It is currently trading around 4330. Recently, with the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates becoming more and more intense, and there is an expectation of further interest rate cuts, the loose atmosphere, coupled with the expectation of inflation and the impact of the economic and trade turmoil, gold has once again become the darling of the market. Every day, it witnesses new highs in history, and the trend is becoming more and more crazy. There is no top in sight, and it is also unpredictable when a wave of diving will come. Specifically: Judging from the 1-hour market trend, we are currently paying attention to the short-term support at 4320, with a focus on the 4215 support. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no top. In terms of operation, we will mainly go long on pullbacks. For the middle position, we will watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide detailed trading strategies in the channel, so please pay attention. Trading strategy: Buy: 4320-4315, SL: 4300, TP: 4360-4380
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAUUSD: Intraday trading plan and key levelsOANDA:XAUUSD continues to recover strongly after a 50+ point pullback from 4218 → 4165, bullish momentum remains sustained. However, for today’s session we should be cautious, as a sharp correction may occur now that price has achieved the 4250 target on Futures, which corresponds to 4240 on CFDs. On the Options market, long put contracts are being executed in notable size—something that was rare in prior sessions. ⇒ Therefore, I assess that we should be cautious today because prices may be preparing for a sharp decline either today or in the coming sessions. That said, we must also account for the possibility of one final push higher before the downside begins. Key levels to monitor for price action and potential scalp trade setups: Resistance: Resistance: Margin zone resistance: Strong resistance: Support: Support: , Margin zone support: Strong support: Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
#4,200.80 mark almost tested / #4,100.80 achieved alreadyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.' My position: So far so good as my both Targets on current Bull run are met earlier than I expected and as soon as I spotted that Gold tested #4,100.80 benchmark, I established my Support zone on #4,088.80 - #4,092.80 and started Buying Gold (aggressive Scalps) and when #4,103.80 was tested I stopped, waiting for pullback. On #4,092.80 test, I have Bought Gold aggressively (two times #25 Lots) with #4,127.80 Target which was hit, delivering excellent Profits over-night however now it seems that I have set my Target much Lower as Gold tested #4,180's. However, I am very satisfied with my Profits on current multi-Month Bull run and will continue Buying Gold until #4,200.80 mark is realized from my key re-Buy points. I repeat, I receive many messages of Traders getting trapped or liquidated in attempt to Sell Gold, do not Sell at all cost regardless the Technical opportunity to do so.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88