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XAUUSD Technical Analysis: 3 Scenarios for Key Zones Gold is consolidating around a critical level. My analysis outlines three potential scenarios, with a primary focus on Scenario 1 and 2. Key Levels: · Entry Zone: ~4123 - 4144 · Entry Zone: ~4190- 4207 · TP1 (Scenarios 1 & 2): +40 pips · Logical Stop Loss in place for risk management. these are Medium/Low Risk setups that tick all my technical checklist boxes. The probability of the setups is my primary focus over R/R. Chart & Analysis by MYshare_finance #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSetup #Forex #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Myshare_finance1
GOLD BULL RUN FIBONACCI STRATEGY.Fibonacci is a mathematical sequence and set of ratios widely used in financial markets for technical analysis. It originates from the Fibonacci sequence — a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, …). The key Fibonacci ratios derived from this sequence include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. Application in Finance and Trading: Fibonacci Retracement Levels are used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels where prices tend to reverse or stall after a significant movement. For example, after a strong trend, prices often retrace or pull back to these Fibonacci levels before continuing in the original direction. Common retracement levels are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, which indicate how much of the prior move the price may reverse. Fibonacci extensions and projections help forecast future price targets during trending markets. #GOLD #XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is holding firmly above a major support zone, showing strong signs of buyer dominance and renewed momentum after a corrective phase. Price action indicates clear accumulation, with multiple rejections from lower levels — confirming that buyers are actively defending this zone. If the market continues to sustain above this support and breaks minor resistance levels, it could trigger a strong bullish continuation. Volume and momentum indicators also align with a shift toward buying strength, suggesting that the next impulsive leg to the upside may already be building. As long as Gold remains above this key support area, the structure and sentiment stay firmly bullish, and any dips toward support could present strong buying opportunities.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
Gold: Full verification of today's trend prediction👏Our prediction for today's gold trend has been validated by the market: 1.Key Level Prediction: We previously indicated that after consolidating with oscillations during the daytime, gold would require close attention to the breakthrough and stabilization of the 4250 level, a break above this level was expected to sustain an upward momentum. The actual market movement showed that after completing its daytime fluctuations, gold successfully broke through 4250, stabilized above it, and immediately initiated an upward rally. 2.Target Range Achievement: Based on the breakthrough logic, we set the preset upward target range at 4280 – 4300. By the end of today’s trading session, gold had successfully reached this range, peaking at 4298.64. The accurate realization of the target validates the effectiveness of our judgment on bullish momentum and resistance levels. 💡Our today’s prediction for gold was built on the core framework of "technical key level breakthrough + trend continuity": it focused on the "sustained bullish momentum following a breakthrough of key resistance", and incorporated an analysis of market sentiment and volume logic. Ultimately, this resulted in a high degree of alignment between the prediction and the actual market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Intermarket Analysis: Bitcoin / Gold / USD – Mid-2026 Projection🔶 Intermarket Analysis: Bitcoin / Gold / USD – Mid-2026 Projection Macro Context Based on a cross-asset analysis of BTC/USD, GOLD/USD, and the BTC/Gold ratio, we can identify a potential capital rotation phase between digital and tangible stores of value. Currently: • BTC/USD ≈ $110,900 • Gold/USD ≈ $4,200/oz • BTC/Gold ≈ 26 I have projection that by mid-2026, BTC will trade around $75,000, and the BTC/Gold ratio will decline toward 16. This implies a significant relative strength shift from Bitcoin toward Gold. ⸻ 1️⃣ BTC/USD Technical Structure • The chart shows a strong uptrend support line from the 2020 low. • Price recently rejected near the $120K all-time high, forming a local top. • The confluence zone around $70–75K (previous resistance, now support) aligns with the potential pullback target — the orange ascending trendline confirms this zone. • This area could represent the next accumulation base before any renewed bullish continuation toward $130–150K in the longer term. → Mid-term projection: retrace to 70–75K → long-term outlook: consolidation, followed by re-acceleration if liquidity improves. ⸻ 2️⃣ BTC/Gold Ratio Analysis • Currently at 26.3, this pair shows a clear descending momentum since the 2021 peak. • The chart suggests a continuation toward the support band between 14–16, matching previous cycle lows. • Historically, every test of this range coincided with a strong rebound in Gold and a temporary cooling phase in Bitcoin. • The projected ratio decline from 26 → 16 indicates that Gold will outperform Bitcoin by roughly 40% in the same period. ⸻ 3️⃣ Gold/USD • Gold recently broke out from its multi-year consolidation and is now trading around $4,200/oz, approaching the Fibonacci 3.618 extension near $4,680–$4,700. • This technical level coincides with the implied fair value derived from the BTC/Gold ratio forecast: Gold = BTC / (BTC/Gold) = 75,000 / 16 ≈ 4700$ In percentage terms: • BTC may drop ≈ −31% from current levels. • Gold may rise ≈ +12% nominally, potentially +15–18% when adjusted for continued USD devaluation. → Target zone: $4,680–$4,700/oz by mid-2026 → Corresponds with Fibonacci 3.618 extension on the quarterly timeframe. ⸻ 📊 Intermarket Conclusion • The BTC/Gold ratio breakdown historically precedes reallocation toward safe assets. • The forecast suggests a moderate BTC correction coupled with a gold appreciation, while the dollar continues its steady erosion in purchasing power. • Gold may reach ~$4,700/oz, aligning perfectly with both Fibonacci and ratio-based projections. • BTC remains in a long-term bull trend, but relative outperformance shifts temporarily toward Gold until new liquidity waves arrive.
TVC:GOLDLong
by osamaadi
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Market Breakdown 1. Structure: The market created a New HH (Higher High), confirming bullish pressure and liquidity grab on the buy-side. 2. ChoCh + BOS: A Change of Character and subsequent Break of Structure validate momentum shifts while keeping the bullish narrative intact. 3. OB-1H (Order Block): The 1H Order Block is the key demand zone where price is expected to mitigate, collect liquidity, and prepare for continuation. 4. Fake Out + Rejection: Your projection correctly anticipates a liquidity grab (fake out) into the OB, followed by a rejection—perfect institutional behavior for a bullish continuation setup. 5. Distribution & Targets: After rejection, the market is expected to expand and distribute upward. • Entry: 4,151 • Stop Loss: 4,126 • TP1: 4,217 (first liquidity target) • TP2: 4,250 (extended target / higher liquidity pool) • R/R Ratio: 1:4 → very strong. 🌟 Motivational Note “Institutions always move in phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. 📊 We’re not chasing—we’re waiting for the fake out, the rejection, and then riding the wave to new highs. 🎯 Patience and precision = consistency. 🚀🔥” GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Channel Breakout & Retest Strategy 1H ANAChart Overview Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel. Current Price: Around 4183.81 USD Resistance Zone: 4185 – 4200 Support Zone: 4125 – 4150 Next Key Level / Target: 4235 USD The price has been respecting the ascending channel very well — bouncing from support and rejecting resistance repeatedly. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Bias) If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (≈4200): It confirms continuation of the uptrend. Expect price to rally toward the next target at 4235–4250. This breakout would show buyers’ dominance. ✅ Buy Strategy (Breakout Play): 1. Wait for a 1H candle close above 4200. 2. Enter a buy position near 4205–4210. 3. Stop-loss: Below 4170 (previous swing low). 4. Take-profit: TP1 → 4235 TP2 → 4250 📉 Bearish Scenario (Pullback Play) If price rejects from resistance zone (4200): Expect a short-term pullback toward the support zone (4125–4150). This will be a retest of the lower channel area before another bullish move. ✅ Buy Strategy (Retest Play): 1. Wait for price to fall back into the support zone (4125–4150). 2. Enter a buy once a bullish reversal candle (pin bar / engulfing) forms. 3. Stop-loss: Below 4100. 4. Take-profit: TP1 → 4185 TP2 → 4235 ⚠ Risk Management Use 1–2% risk per trade. Avoid entering if price stays between resistance & support (no-man’s-land). Confirm breakouts with volume increase or strong candle bodies. 🧠 Summary Bias Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Notes Buy (Breakout) Above 4200 <4170 4235–4250 Strong continuation setup Buy (Retest) 4125–4150 <4100 4185–4235 Safer entry after pullback
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Gold key levels to watchGold has continued to soar, setting new record highs today and dismissing concerns that prices may have gotten too hot. As traders, we will take it from level to level and assess the situation accordingly. The recent price action has left behind a few tradeable levels. The first line of support now comes in at 4059, marking last week's high. Below that is Friday's high at 4023 and then the all-important 4,000 level, where a short-term bullish trend line also comes into play. If gold gets below 4K, then this could be a sign of troubles for the bulls. The most recent low prior to latest breakout is at 3944, making this the line in the sand. in terms of upside targets, well it is anyone's guess how far gold could rise given how strong the trend is right now. But do keep an eye on round handles like 4100 (which broke earlier), 4200 and so on. The trend is your friend. Until it stabs you in the back, that is. So, always ensure you have sound risk management in place regardless of how strong a market might appear to be. By Fawad Razqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXcom
GOLD Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 4,338.72. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,203.99 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
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