Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 42 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly volatile.
With tensions escalating in the U.S.–China trade conflict, markets already began to show the first signs of risk-off sentiment late Friday. In this video, I’ll break down what this shift means for global markets and how investors can navigate the current environment.
+Extra lesson:
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
Trade ideas
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please check out our updated Weekly Chart Route Map, featuring updated revised key levels after completion of our last long term weekly chart idea for precise level-to-level tracking.
We’ve refreshed our long-term structure on the weekly chart. Price action recently rejected the 4294 level and is now range-bound between 4284 (resistance) and 4059 (support). This consolidation aligns with a detachment from the EMA5, highlighted on the chart with a circle. Even if a full detachment doesn’t materialize, a partial (halfway) correction remains the more probable scenario.
To determine the next directional move, we’ll need a decisive test and break of either boundary level. On the broader horizon, 3006 stands as the long-range pivotal swing zone, which may come into play if a major correction unfolds.
🔹 Note: The key distinction between a retracement range and a swing range is that swing ranges typically produce larger bounces and wider price reactions compared to standard retracement ranges.
We’ll continue to update this outlook throughout the week as the structure develops. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we gave the bias level as bullish above 4003 and the red box we would be looking for to break to then confirm the move into the region we wanted. The move played well from the opening going on to complete all the red box targets together with our algo targets on gold.
Although it being risky we wanted to short from the given region, but due to price breaking through without even halting, we updated traders with the higher region we were looking to target, which also worked well.
On Friday, we managed to identify the pattern we wanted and activated a target of 4197 together with the break below the bias level. This for us again worked well to end the week with a wonderful short and then a TAP AND BOUNCE from the indicator level giving those who missed the short and opportunity to capture a 200pip long to end the week.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not just on Gold but the many other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
So, this week I have a bit of a concern with this bearish move. I have a sneaky suspicion that they may not have completed upside as yet, and instead, want to get traders in to thinking the retracement has started. Just a inkling for now so let’s see how the week opens and what region we attack first.
Above, I have a reversal on the hourly and the 4H chart but the daily, weekly and monthly are still suggesting higher pricing. Ideally, we need another bearish day for price to leave the 4200’s and come close to the 4150 level to hold before we decide we’re going to either consolidate and accumulate here or get a deeper pull back. Below, we have 4220 which is the level that will need to break for us to go lower with the initial target below being 4165 and below that 4129.
Our key level here initially is the 4295 level and above that 4310. 4310 is the line in the sand for bulls to attempt to break to go higher and complete the move back above to create another all time high. Failure, and we should get more confirmation of a deeper pull back that should attempt to target the lower 4000 mark.
As usual, we’ll let the algo confirm the move, the indicators will tell us which way to stay in, and the liquidity indicator will tell us when to play caution. For now, the path is on the chart, let’s see how we open and begin the week.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 4230
Bearish below 4220
RED BOXES:
Break above 4255 for 4265, 4270, 4284 and 4304 in extension of the move
Break below 4237 for 4230, 4220, 4210, 4206, 4185 and 4177 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSDXAUUSD If the price cannot break above 4077, it is expected that in the short term the price will likely go down. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Goldturn Channel Analysis
Hey Traders,
After successfully completing our previous Daily chart projection, we’re excited to share our latest Goldturn Channel update and Daily chart idea, our proprietary method of identifying structural turning points within Golds ascending channel formation.
Price action has now reached the upper boundary of the Goldturn channel, following a precise move to the 3866 target, triggered by the body close above 3776. With a new body close above 3866, we now have the 3959 gap open.
The 3866 channel top area remains a critical inflection point:
A confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above the channel top would strengthen the bullish breakout structure.
Conversely, an EMA5 rejection or close back below this level may indicate a fake out or short-term exhaustion.
On the downside, 3766 now acts as the nearest dynamic support, while 3683 aligns with the channel midline and remains a key structural pivot should deeper correction unfold.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is about to undergo a major collapse!!Yesterday gold hit a new record high of 4380.
The price went up for no reason in an exponential way.
I have no idea what is going on because these crazy moves are not related to normal market conditions. It is impossible to be a normal market and go up like this moreover, at a time that we don't have any news.
If you made profits, then well done:)
I think everyone should at least stop trading gold today. We could also face some aggressive sell-off that could come out of nowhere.
⚠️Gold could also rise further but I don't believe to this market anymore.
⚠️Yesterday we had movements also on the currency pairs and that are going on also today for no reasons. I can't explain and I couldn't find any news related to the movements.
The only thing that can be read is that the FED will lower interest rates and it will not lower them. Just nonsense. All major economies lowered interest rates and nothing happened. Why this pointless focus only on the US dollar? Just manipulation to hide the real truth behind these transactions.
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold remains steady near $4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook.
The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend.
• Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup.
• A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997).
• The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls.
• Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078
SL: 4087
TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000
🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997
SL: 3990
TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels.
• If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored.
• Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion.
✅ Summary
Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders.
After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it.
Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
Gold remains consolidation phase near its all-time highsGold remains in a consolidation phase near its all-time highs. The market shows potential for renewed growth as safe-haven demand increases, particularly due to heightened geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China.
A breakout above current highs could open the door for further upside, with potential targets around the 4100–4116 levels. This projection aligns with continued risk aversion and the market’s bullish bias.
Key Fundamental Drivers
U.S. CPI Data:
The upcoming CPI release will be closely watched. Stronger inflation data could influence Federal Reserve rate expectations, potentially impacting gold lets we see how the price react.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for supporting.
Gold Trade Plan 14/10/2025🟡 XAUUSD – Short-Term Correction Phase Inside a Descending Channel | Technical Analysis (Oct 14, 2025)
After a strong bullish rally from 4080 to 4145, gold faced heavy selling pressure and is now consolidating within a short-term descending channel (black), nested inside a broader ascending structure (blue).
This structure usually reflects a correction or consolidation phase before the next impulsive move. Buyers have lost short-term momentum, and sellers are temporarily in control.
🔍 Technical Insights:
The 4145–4150 area acted as a strong resistance and triggered a sharp drop.
Price failed to break above the midline of the descending channel, confirming bearish momentum.
Price is oscillating between the midlines of two channels, with the next support zone expected around 4100 and 4075–4080.
A reaction from the lower blue channel is likely.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish (Primary):
As long as resistance at 4145 holds, the price is likely to continue its pullback toward 4100 and 4080.
🎯 Targets: 4100 / 4080
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4155
🔼 Bullish (Alternative):
If price breaks and holds above 4155, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and gold may target 4175–4180.
🧭 Summary:
Gold remains in a short-term corrective phase within a larger bullish context. As long as 4150 is unbroken, sellers have the advantage. Lower timeframes can be used for precise entries around resistance rejections.
Regards,
Alireza!
🧷 Hashtags
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #PriceAction #LondonSession #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakoutStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #TrendChannel #GoldAnalysis #DayTrading #Scalping #PriceStructure #XAUUSDT #FXMarket #GoldTrader #TradingViewIdeas
Gold Lacks a Healthy CorrectionGold has been trending steadily within an ascending channel, with buyers keeping control and driving price higher and higher.
And recently price broke above the channel, but it lacked conviction and price is falling back inside the channel.
This might signal buyer exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. If sellers take over decisively, price could retrace back toward the middle or lower boundary of the channel for a healthy correction.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
Check out our updated Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement.
We’ve refined our proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action recently broke out above the channel, with a body close above 4325, leaving a long-term gap open near 4444.
Currently, we’re observing rejection at 4325, and our channel top is now acting as support. The market is range-bound between 4325 (resistance) and 4183 (channel top as support). A decisive break above or below either of these levels will help define the next directional move, keeping in mind the open gap overhead at 4444.
On the downside, 3961 remains the pivotal swing zone, aligning with the channel midline, should we see a confirmed break below 4183.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 4070.7
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 4088.9
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 4039.4
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthens, Gold Holds Bullish StructureHello everyone,
Rising US–China tensions are fuelling market volatility, as both sides continue imposing retaliatory tariffs and export restrictions. This escalation has shaken global equities and driven investors back to safe-haven assets like gold. Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at NABE further boosted expectations for monetary easing, as he hinted at two rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year. The prospect of lower rates reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
During the previous session, gold spiked sharply from 4,090 to 4,180 before slight profit-taking brought it down to around 4,161 — yet it still closed higher than the day before, confirming buyer dominance.
On the 1H chart, the uptrend structure remains intact and orderly. Each bullish impulse creates a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that’s later partially filled — a typical pattern of a strong trending market.
Overall, the macro narrative continues to favour a “risk-off” sentiment, aligning with the prevailing bullish structure. A modest pullback to the 4,150–4,158 zone could offer an opportunity for momentum to rebuild toward 4,185–4,190, and if this resistance breaks, a move toward 4,200–4,220 could quickly follow.
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a bearish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD faced rejection near 4,076 after testing the upper resistance line, forming a bearish takeover pattern signaling short-term exhaustion.
● Breakdown below 4,056 may accelerate momentum toward 4,026 and 4,011, supported by lower highs and a narrowing ascending wedge structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold weakness aligns with stronger U.S. dollar demand following hawkish FOMC remarks and steady Treasury yields.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,076; targets 4,026–4,011. Technical rejection and stronger dollar fundamentals reinforce bearish pressure.
-------------------
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(Gold 2H – XAU/USD):(Gold 2H – XAU/USD):
✅ Breakdown confirmed: Price has clearly broken below the ascending trendline and retested it (marked by the red circle).
✅ Support zone: Price is sitting just below the previous support box (~4,250–4,230).
✅ Ichimoku Cloud: Next visible support lies inside the Kumo (blue shaded area).
🎯 Target Levels (Downside)
1. First target: 4,180 – 4,170 → top of the Ichimoku cloud.
2. Main target: 4,130 – 4,110 → the “Target Point” you have marked (bottom of the cloud and horizontal support).
3. Extended target (if momentum continues): 4,070 – 4,050 → next structural support zone.
📈 Summary
Entry: After the retest near 4,250.
TP1: 4,180
TP2: 4,130
SL: Above 4,270 (trendline retest).
So, my main target zone = 4,130 ±20 (as drawn on my chart).
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Support Retest and Bullish Breakout ExpectedCurrent Market Overview
Current Price: 4,140.65
Trend: Bullish short-term structure within an ascending channel.
The market has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating ongoing momentum to the upside.
📊 Chart Analysis
Ascending Channel:
Price has respected the upward channel with clean touches on both upper and lower boundaries — suggesting strong bullish control.
Support Zone (4,070–4,103):
A clearly marked support level where buyers are likely to step in again.
Entry Point: 4,103.074
Stop Loss: 4,070.469
This zone aligns with previous consolidation and channel midline support.
Target Level:
Target: 4,238.934
Expected Gain: ~3.39% (+139 points)
This target aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel and previous resistance zone.
📈 Trade Plan Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Notes
Entry Point 4,103.074 Wait for price to retest support
Stop Loss 4,070.469 Below support zone
Target 4,238.934 Near resistance area
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:4 Very favorable setup
⚙️ Projection
Expect a minor pullback to the support area before continuation upward.
If the price holds above 4,070, buyers may regain momentum.
A break below 4,070 could invalidate the bullish setup and open downside risk.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold remains bullish above 4,070 with a potential move toward 4,238.
Watch for a retest and rejection confirmation at the support zone before entry to validate bullish continuation.
Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you.
At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally.
From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase .
I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction .
Second target:$4,143
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed VolatilityXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold prices hover near $4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today.
Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution.
A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation.
• Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react.
• Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points.
• Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209
SL: 4218
TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155
🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147
SL: 4138
TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks.
• Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely.
• Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149).
Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path.
Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
XAUUSD 4H – Pullback to Test, Then Push HigherHello everyone,
Gold is still maintaining a strong uptrend on the 4H timeframe, even though it shows signs of stalling in the supply zone around 4.34–4.36. Given the wick candle formed there, I lean toward the scenario where price pulls back in the short term to the 4.26–4.24 zone to fill FVG and gather liquidity before moving up again to retest 4.34–4.36. If that area is decisively broken, the upward momentum could extend toward 4.39–4.40 and even into the 4.43x region.
Conversely, only a 4H close below 4.20 will make me consider a deeper decline toward 4.17–4.145.
Macro backdrop: News still backing the bulls
This week, gold has repeatedly hit record highs above 4,200 USD, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and intensifying geopolitical/trade tensions. The highs of recent sessions around 4.12k – 4.22k – 4.21k validate the already strong trend.
Fed cut expectations: According to CME FedWatch, the market is nearly certain (97–98%) that the Fed will cut 25 bps in October and possibly again in December. Comments from official Waller — advocating a 25 bps cut due to weaker labor conditions — further underpin this anticipation.
US–China rare earth tensions: Beijing has tightened export licensing, while Washington lashes out — Bloomberg calls this a “rare earth shock,” a new geopolitical lever sustaining global risk.
US shutdown risk: The Treasury estimates that a prolonged government shutdown could cost up to $15 billion a week — this uncertainty often drives safe-haven flows into gold.
Solid base demand: According to WGC, central banks continued net purchases (19 tonnes in August), helping form a resilient floor for gold prices in 2025.
With the macro narrative still tilted supportive, the current pullback on 4H is most likely a healthy retracement to fill FVG and rebalance positions, before price retests 4.36 and eyes 4.40–4.43x.
Short-term risks include a surprise hawkish Fed statement or a strong bounce in DXY / yields. In such a case, gold could dip toward 4.22–4.20 (the 4H trend buffer). However, the larger uptrend remains intact as long as 4.20 holds.
What do you think — will gold successfully retest before climbing again, or see a deeper pullback first?
( HANZO Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected SELL Scenario — Hanzo Reversal Intel (Smart Money Phase III)
🔥Sell Reversal : 4307 Zone
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
🧩 Technical Breakdown
➤ Volume Surge Confirmed
A clear overload of institutional sell volume detected at exhaustion highs. The tape confirms aggressive unloading by composite operators.
➤ Session Alignment
The Smart Money exit window is open — this is where large players offload liquidity before volatility collapse.
➤ Cluster Shield Active
Price met a dense supply cluster on the volume map, validating an active imbalance zone. This zone acts as a precision trap for late buyers.
➤ Delta Shift Turned Negative
Order flow flipped — buyers absorbed, sellers dominate. Imbalance sustained across multiple timeframes.
➤ POC Retest Completed
Liquidity re-engaged at the Point of Control, confirming absorption and rejection — final validation before reversal.
➤ Structure Fracture Pending
Micro-structure shows early bearish intent — liquidity purge complete, ready for engineered drop.
🧠 Hanzo Logic
This setup isn’t a prediction — it’s an engineered reaction. Every confirmation aligns with controlled liquidity flow, not retail patterns. Hanzo logic reads the market as a machine, not a chart.
🎯 Execution Objective
Bias: Bearish
Goal: Controlled short with minimal drawdown
Tactical Edge: Reversal precision through liquidity engineering
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
⚡️ Hanzo Signature Insight
Most traders see resistance — we see distribution intelligence.
What looks random to others… is designed precision to us.
Global economic data faces disruptionThe trading week from October 11 to 17 is expected to be highly volatile as the U.S. government shutdown could delay the release of key economic data such as CPI and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess inflation trends ahead of its upcoming policy meeting. Throughout the week, investors will focus on major events including the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings, the NATO Defense Summit, and the G20 press conference.
Central banks like the Fed, ECB, and RBA will continue to shape market sentiment through speeches and meeting minutes, while China, OPEC, and the Eurozone will release crucial data on trade, inflation, and energy—potentially triggering short-term volatility across global markets.
Three key risks will dominate this week: escalating geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East, central bank communications that could shift interest rate expectations, and the potential resurgence of trade wars dampening global risk appetite. In this environment, safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, and Treasury bonds are likely to attract capital inflows, while equities and commodities may face downward pressure.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Overview
• After a short-term correction to around $3,950/oz, gold prices rebounded and closed above $4,000 – confirming the recovery momentum in the main uptrend.
• The main trend remains strong, supported by:
o The MA20 is clearly sloping up.
o RSI remains above 60, not yet giving an overbought signal.
o The uptrend channel is still maintained, the daily candle closed near the top – showing overwhelming buying power.
Key Technical Zones
• Nearest Resistance: $4,059 – this is the short-term top that needs to be overcome to extend the upside.
• Next Resistance:
o Fibonacci level 0.382 at $4,232,
o Level 0.5 at $4,320,
o And the 0.618 extension at $4,408 – potential targets if gold maintains the current momentum.
• Short-term Support:
o $4,000 (strong psychological zone – now turned from resistance to support).
o Deeper support at $3,896 – $3,871, coinciding with the confluence of MA20 + previous correction bottom.
Summary
• Gold is basically in an uptrend (Wave 3) with strong momentum and no RSI divergence signal yet.
• As long as the price holds above $3,950, the uptrend remains dominant.
• If there is a decisive breakout above $4,059, the next target will be the $4,230 – $4,320 zone in the short term.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4076 - 4074⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4080
→Take Profit 1 4068
↨
→Take Profit 2 4062
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4000 - 4002⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3996
→Take Profit 1 4008
↨
→Take Profit 2 4014
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443
TP1: $4425
TP2: $4412
TP3: $4400
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271
TP1: $4285
TP2: $4298
TP3: $4310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account