XAUUSD | Liquidity Sweep and Potential Bullish Expansion (Words Gold swept sell-side liquidity and is now reacting from a discount zone.
Price is filling a liquidity void with room toward 4,020 – 4,040, where premium levels sit.
A sustained move above 4,022 could open the path to 4,063.
Bias: Bullish short-term
Invalidation: Below 3,959
Patience | Discipline | Edge — Words of Swizr
#XAUUSD #Gold #Liquidity #MarketStructure #SwizrTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
Trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy
Hello trading community!
Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the dominant trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies.
📊 Technical Analysis
Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures:
Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers.
Key Support Zone: The $3970 - $3974 price range is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible.
Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further up the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 zone) are significant barriers. Sellers may become active in these areas.
Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any breakdown below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 zone.
📰 Fundamental Analysis
The market is influenced by mixed information flows, creating instability and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario:
⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasized the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labor market fluctuations. This implies that the FED may continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD).
📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark raises concerns about a potential asset "bubble" and a looming crisis. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe-haven asset, attracting capital flows when market risks increase.
The contradiction between the FED's policy and market risk aversion sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation.
🎯 Trading Strategy
Based on the above analysis, we can develop two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend.
Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈
Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 zone.
Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone).
Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080.
Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉
Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance zone $4077 - $4080.
Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak).
Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970.
Summary
The main trend for Gold remains upward, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to buy at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones.
Always remember to manage your capital tightly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week!
Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
XAUUSD 1H Analysis(9th October 2025) ASIA/LONDONHey guys, after deep pullback this is what I see today. Trade smart, Trade with a trading plans!
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1)Body candle close above the 4038.77 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h bearish FVG at the 4038.77 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4075.00 level.
SELLS:
1)Retest the 1h bearish FVG at the 4021.98 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH level to capitalise on SELLS towards the 3983.00 level.
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, showing a strong recovery from 4,002 support toward 4,040 resistance. The pattern signals bullish continuation, with price breaking the short-term trendline and aiming for 4,058–4,060 highs.
● Consistent higher lows confirm renewed buying momentum, supported by tight consolidation before a potential breakout.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains from a softer dollar and steady U.S. yields as traders anticipate dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve ahead of inflation data.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,022; targets 4,058–4,060. Technical breakout aligns with fundamental tailwinds for short-term bullish extension.
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Rebound or Breakdown? Gold Faces the 4K DilemmaYesterday:
After a new test of the 4060 ATH zone, Gold dropped exactly as expected — and as I warned in my recent posts, the move was sharp and decisive, leaving no second chance for traders to reassess.
This leg down measured roughly 1200 pips, finding support around the 3940 zone.
The Key Question: Was That It?
In my opinion — no.
I believe we’re likely to see a second wave of selling soon.
What We See Now
Currently, Gold has formed a double bottom around the 3940 support
Given the still-present bullish sentiment, a short-term rebound toward the 4,000+ area is possible.
Trading Plan
If such a rebound occurs, I see it as an opportunity to sell at better prices, targeting the 3900 zone.
However, I’ll be closely watching the 3940 support, which has held twice already. This could also provide a soft 500+ pips target if I manage to sell above 4k.
P.S.:
There’s also the possibility that Gold fails to rise above 4,000.
In that case, I’ll simply sell from lower levels, following price action confirmation.
XAU/USD – Uptrend Persists After a Brief CorrectionHello everyone,
Gold is currently taking a natural pause after an impressive October rally. After reaching a peak near $4,036, prices pulled back slightly to around $4,021, yet the overall structure remains firmly bullish. The stepwise Fair Value Gaps (FVG) continue to form and fill shallowly — a healthy sign that the market is simply “breathing” before making its next move.
On the 4H chart, the Ichimoku cloud remains beneath price and is sloping upward, serving as a strong dynamic support zone. The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is intact, confirming that buying momentum continues to dominate. The $4,021 area aligns with a freshly formed FVG, while $4,000 acts as both a psychological and structural support level — both zones that buyers may use to reload positions.
Conversely, resistance lies near $4,036, and if broken decisively, gold could extend toward $4,050–$4,100 in the short term. The base case remains a shallow pullback to $4,021 or $4,000 before a continuation higher, possibly breaking prior highs.
What do you think — will gold soon break above $4,050, or does it need one more test before heading higher?
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade near the $4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks.
Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style)
• The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement.
• The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse.
• The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup.
• The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875
SL: 3866
TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132
SL: 4141
TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions.
• Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events.
• Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation.
• Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries.
Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely.
With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops.
🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering.
Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
XAUUSD🟡 XAUUSD Trade Breakdown — 1:6.83 Risk-to-Reward Setup
I took this Gold (XAUUSD) trade with an entry at $3,966, a stop loss at $3,947, and a take profit target at $4,098.
This setup offered a 6.83x risk-to-reward ratio, meaning my potential reward was nearly seven times greater than my risk.
The trade was based on clean price structure and momentum confirmation. After entry, price has already moved in favor and is now trading around $4,016, showing solid momentum toward my target.
Risk management was key here — a tight stop below structure, a well-defined entry zone, and a clear target aligned with higher timeframe resistance.
Whether this trade fully hits TP or not, it’s a great example of why strong risk/reward setups matter more than win rate.
📊 Trade Details:
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Entry: $3,966
Stop Loss: $3,947
Take Profit: $4,098
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:6.83
Current Price: $4,016
💡 Lesson: Focus on setups that give you asymmetric risk — small loss potential, big reward potential.
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
Gold Daily – Holding the Line Before the Next MoveGold Daily – Holding Support, Eyes on the Next Leg
Gold’s run from the 50MA support that started in the second half of August has been nothing short of spectacular.
After such a sharp move, it’s natural to look for where price might pause or recharge.
Based on historical price action and key Fibonacci levels, several zones stand out.
The 0.5 Fib level at $4,096 acted as resistance on October 8, marking the local high of this move.
Below, the green support line around $3,945 is now being tested, a zone that also aligns closely with the BBcenter, creating a confluence of potential support.
So far, this level has held for two sessions, but confirmation will depend on today’s daily close, roughly 12 hours from now.
With inflation concerns resurfacing and central banks showing renewed interest in gold reserves, the macro backdrop still favours strength in the long term.
Many are calling for a top in gold after this explosive rally, but as history shows, tops are rarely that obvious.
If this support zone, defined by the BBcenter and green line, manages to hold, price could push again toward $4,096, and possibly even extend to the projected “Next Move Beyond 161.8%” level around $4,446.
Bias: Cautiously bullish, support cluster holding, watching daily close for confirmation of continuation.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
WHEN WILL GOLD TAKE A BREATHERSHORT
after the one sided rally boosted by the quietly weakening throughout the year US dollar and love lost for the dxy and US governemnt based assests by global economies all being slapped with tariffs its natural the dollar asset loses dominance
the question now is when will price retrace cause i know exponential growth makes investors queasy you know easy come easy go
i expect a retracement around my green levels there and a very significant one at that i will update if i suspect it will break but that is the tipping point
ill come up with a better retracement tp when its confirmed
DID YOU MISS ME COMMENT BELOW
Gold will continue to rise at the end of the week!!!Gold is currently consolidating at a high level on the daily chart, nearly forming an engulfing pattern at a high level, making today's daily close crucial. On the 4-hour chart, prices are currently fluctuating at a low level, finding support around 3950. On the hourly chart, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. The short-term moving average is gradually diverging upward, and the K-line chart is slowly crossing the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is gradually strengthening, suggesting further upside potential. Keep an eye on the resistance zone around 4010.
Trade Recommendation: Buy around 3975-6, with a stop-loss at 3966.
XAUUSD (GOLD) Market Analysis❇️ XAUUSD (Gold) Market Analysis
📅 Date: 09 October 2025
🕛 Time: 12:08 AM
⏱ Timeframe: 15M + 1H + 4H
⭐ Trend Direction
Currently, both the 4H and 1H timeframes are showing a clear bearish structure. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) have occurred below the 4000 – 3960 zone, confirming that institutional order flow remains bearish.
Price is now positioned within the Discount Zone (3950–3930), where a short-term pullback may occur; however, the major trend is still to the downside.
⭐ Technical Analysis
The resistance zone is between 4020 – 4050, and the support zone lies around 3940 – 3920.
The next possible target is 3900 – 3880.
Price is currently consolidating near 3958, showing signs of a liquidity hunt to the downside.
The 3940.58 level is acting as a strong support — if this level breaks, the price could fall toward 3920 – 3900.
On the other hand, a short-term pullback toward 3980 – 4000 is possible if buyers absorb liquidity from this zone.
⭐ Smart Money Concept (SMC)
A previous BOS has formed downward, and there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3980–4000.
The current price is trading within a Demand Zone (3940–3960).
If 3940 holds and a strong candle closes above 3960, liquidity grab and a possible move to fill the FVG (3980–4000) may occur.
⭐ Fibonacci Analysis
From the recent swing high (≈4050) to swing low (≈3940):
0.382 retracement: 3980
0.618 retracement: 4000
Both levels act as potential short-entry zones if the price retraces upward before continuing the bearish move.
⭐ RSI Analysis
The RSI is currently rising from the oversold zone (below 30), indicating a possible short-term bullish correction or retracement.
However, unless the price breaks above 4000–4020, the overall bearish bias will remain intact.
⭐ Volume Analysis
During the previous down move, volume was high — showing strong seller control.
In the last two candles, volume has decreased, which usually signals liquidity absorption and suggests a possible pullback before further decline.
⭐ Trading Plan
The main bias remains bearish.
If price retraces to 3980 – 4000, it can be used as a short-entry zone targeting 3940 → 3920 → 3900.
A short-term buy setup is possible near 3940 – 3950, provided price does not break below 3940.
In that case, targets would be 3980 – 4000, with a stop loss below 3935.
⭐ Summary
The market remains bearish, but the 3940 – 3950 area is a strong support zone.
If this level holds, a short-term pullback toward 3980 – 4000 is likely.
If 3940 breaks cleanly, a bearish continuation toward 3920 – 3900 is expected.
❇️ Conclusion:
The main bias is bearish, but a bullish retracement is possible up to 4000.
High-accuracy confirmation zones are 3940 support break or 3980–4000 rejection.
New Target ATH 4139I had done the analysis of Gold at 4000 and it hit our target, now we have a projection of 4139
Gold broke a rising channel upwards, potentially seeking a major target around 4139. It has important regions where it can determine whether it will remain high or have a brief correction and begin a consolidation region.
Pay attention to the regions of interest, both for buying and selling, everything depends on confirmation of a breakout to make good entries.
gold vs platinum ratio chart month scale gold strongly outperformed platinum on higher frame chart
Gold vs Platinum — A Tale of Two Precious Metals
Gold has always been the global store of value — a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical fear. Central banks hoard it, investors flock to it during crises. It’s less about industrial demand, more about trust.
Platinum, on the other hand, is the workhorse metal — crucial for automobile catalytic converters, hydrogen fuel cells, aerospace, and even medical implants. Unlike gold, its price is deeply tied to industrial cycles and EV transition trends.
🔎 Price Action Check (Gold/Platinum Ratio)
The chart shows the Gold-to-Platinum ratio stabilising after a steep fall, suggesting that platinum has been catching up after years of underperformance. Historically, whenever gold trades too far above platinum, it signals either platinum undervaluation... or gold over-enthusiasm.
With the renewable wave kicking in and auto demand reviving — is platinum gearing up for a comeback against gold?
Going Short On Gold. (I might Be Crazy) Gold is currently sitting at an all time high, and overall sentiment remains extremely bullish. However, when you zoom into the 1 hour timeframe, you can clearly see some resistance forming at the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd touches, suggesting that price might be facing short term exhaustion.
It is also worth noting that liquidity has been taken from traders holding short (sell) positions, meaning the market may now be ready to reverse or pull back slightly.
On the 5 minute timeframe, a double bottom pattern has been formed, indicating potential for a deeper move. Based on this structure, price could head towards 3946 and possibly even further down.
I might be crazy 😅, but let’s see how it plays out.
XAUUSD Market Analysis (15M Chart)📊 Market Analysis (15M Chart)
Instrument: USD Pair (OANDA)
Bias: Bullish Setup in Play 🚀
Price is currently forming a higher-low structure near the 3,950–3,948 zone, indicating potential accumulation.
Entry Zone: 3,950 – (Demand area)
Stop Loss: 3,941
Target 1: 3,970
Target 2: 3,975
🧠 Trade Idea:
Looking for a bullish breakout after minor consolidation. If price holds above the blue demand zone and breaks structure at 3,964+, we could see a push towards the 3,970–3,975 resistance area.
💬 Risk Management:
Keep SL tight below 3,941 to maintain a good R:R ratio.
#PriceAction #TradingSetup #ForexAnalysis #USD #OANDA #15MinChart
GOLD Completes Correction – Ready to Soar to 4,050 USD!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is currently testing a key support zone within a clearly defined ascending channel, indicating potential for continued upward movement. If price action confirms rejection at this level, we may see a bullish move towards 4,050 USD, aligning with the middle line of the channel. However, a break below this support level could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
This setup reflects the potential for the current uptrend to continue. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis(13th October 2025) Happy Monday Guys,
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 1h Bullish FVG at the 4032.36 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4100.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4020.87 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bullish FVG at the 4020.87 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS toward the 3945.00 level
Trade smart, trade according to your trading plans!. Cheers