Gold: Minor Pullback Before Next Surge – Eyes on 4,000 USDHello everyone, this week gold continues to show strength after an impressive rally. Over the past weekend, the price reached a new peak but experienced a slight correction around 3,900–3,905 USD, just as the market needed to rebalance before seeking further upside momentum.
Macro factors are supporting the bullish trend: the US government shutdown has entered its third day, weakening the USD. Expectations that the Fed may soon begin a rate-cut cycle and a slight decline in 10-year yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Additionally, ETF inflows, FOMO sentiment, geopolitical risks, and European/Russian gold reserve dynamics are increasing risk premiums, creating a favourable environment for further gains.
On the H1 chart, the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud with a steady upward movement. Newly formed FVGs below indicate key support levels: 3,900–3,905 (shallow FVG), 3,885–3,892 (horizontal low cluster), and 3,865–3,875 (deeper cloud + FVG). Near-term resistance sits at 3,925–3,935, followed by 3,950–3,960; if momentum holds, the psychological 4,000 USD level is within reach. Rising trading volumes around 3.90x reflect active buying, while short-bodied retracement candles merely indicate temporary rebalancing before continuation.
What do you think? Will gold use this pullback to surge to 4,000 USD, or will the market experience a deeper swing?
Trade ideas
xauusdLarger overview, has to be considered wave of 3 completed with no extension. In such circumstances 3600-3500 would be minimum targets. With invalidation at 3k area. Numerous tl are shown. Although my main plan is the most bullsih scenario. Exercise caution watch pa at 3800 area. Watch fro pa at this point especially reaction, we may see a retrace and further down pa should tell. Riskier long scenarios at this level.
XAUUSD 1H Analysis(9th October 2025) ASIA/LONDONHey guys, after deep pullback this is what I see today. Trade smart, Trade with a trading plans!
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1)Body candle close above the 4038.77 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h bearish FVG at the 4038.77 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4075.00 level.
SELLS:
1)Retest the 1h bearish FVG at the 4021.98 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3)Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH level to capitalise on SELLS towards the 3983.00 level.
GOLD NEWYORK PERSPECTIVE GOLD IS THE ONLY MONEY THAT WILL STAND ,THE REST IS FAILING, fiat money is failing, gold will hit 5000k before the end of the year.
the structure remains bullish, every time we dip ,they buy back as fast as possible.
watch supply roof at 4025-4022-4030 extended.
the next will be 4047-4050 and 4058 extended
note under no condition should 1hr,2hr,3hr and 4hr candle close below Asian high of 3992-3995,break and close of the zone will trigger sell into structure below ON THE FIB LEVEL
Gold — New All-Time High Test at $4,060Gold just printed a new all-time high at $4,060, only to reject sharply within minutes — a classic liquidity sweep above the previous ATH zone.
Despite the short-term volatility and weekend noise from the crypto space, the bullish structure remains intact, holding the mid-channel support.
🔍 Key observations:
-Price broke the prior ATH, tapped liquidity, and retraced.
-Still trading inside an ascending channel.
-Buyers have defended each low, showing strong demand at every dip.
As long as $3,980–$4,000 holds, this remains a healthy consolidation after a breakout attempt.
TVC:GOLD continues to prove its resilience as a hedge amid uncertainty across risk assets.
XAUUSD (Gold) — Bullish Continuation ScenariosGold remains in a strong uptrend following a corrective pullback. A fair value gap below is likely to act as support. Two possible plays: an aggressive entry from current levels anticipating continuation, or a conservative approach waiting for a deeper retest before looking higher.
GOLD POISEDFOR BULLISH AS PRICE HOLDS ABOVE KEY TRENDLINE SUPPOR🧭 General Overview
Instrument: Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Current Price: 3,958.59
Trend: Overall bullish, but showing short-term correction
📊 Key Technical Elements on Chart
1. Bullish Trendline
The green upward trendline labeled “Bullish Trend” indicates that gold remains in a long-term uptrend.
Price is currently testing this bullish trendline — a crucial support area.
2. Resistance Zone
The resistance line near 3,992–4,000 marks the recent swing high where price was rejected.
Each approach to this zone triggered a pullback, indicating strong selling pressure ther
A BUY FIRST THEN MAYBE A SELL LATER WITHIN THE WEEKWe are probably going to see a buy first by Monday or beginning of the week but getting to the end of the week we could see sells which will lead to a bearish weekly candle to create a low on W1 next week but that's not the focus, our focus is on a buy continuation so we will buy maybe it will continue buying for additional two weeks, who knows, if later within the week it decides to change to bearish we will know and change our bias to sells immediately.
With expectations of further rate cut it seems this metal is not going to sell any time soon, we continue buying till it signals a bearish move.
The buy can start at anywhere within the middle rectangular block so take a not, gold already signaled a beginning of bullish move Friday so watch out and make sure you are going bullish as long as there is no signs of change of trend to bearishness .
Short order block setupPlease see my short order block strategy with only 2 trades on it, entry at 3941 for a long and then 4048 for a short, careful of news as this may rupture the strategy into a continuation up or down out of the block setup
Stay out until it hits the bottom, consider taking partials before news comes on to reduce potential losses or fully TP
Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week✅ Gold has recorded eight consecutive bullish weekly closes, indicating that bullish momentum continues to dominate the market. From the weekly structure perspective, the trend remains strong, and the short-term outlook stays bullish.
✅ On Friday, gold rebounded after a second dip failed to make a new low, reaching as high as 4022 in the evening and closing with a long lower shadow bullish candle, showing strong buying support below.
If the rebound continues early next week, the price could extend higher; however, if a second rally fails to break a new high, gold may face short-term pressure and enter a sideways consolidation phase before launching another upward move.
✅ If the price fails to break above 4059, gold will likely remain in a high-level consolidation range — no need to be overly bearish.
But if it reclaims 4059 decisively, the market could resume its upward trend, with an additional upside potential of 50–100 dollars.
✅ In its latest report, Goldman Sachs raised its gold target from $4,300 to $4,900, reflecting the institution’s strong medium-to-long-term bullish outlook.
As long as there are no clear signs of a trend reversal, the overall strategy should remain “buy on dips.”
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4025–4030 / 4040–4059
🟢 Support Levels: 3970–3975 / 3944–3884
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
Based on both technical and fundamental analysis, the key focus next week will be the 3970 support area.
🔰 If gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3970, it will likely mark the end of the short-term correction, and the price may resume an upward consolidation pattern.
🔰 If gold breaks below 3970, attention should shift to the 3944–3884 defensive support zone.
As long as the price holds above 3970, the short-term structure remains bullish, with potential for another test of the recent highs.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold sees regular profit taking, direction unchanged
News:
Gold futures weakened during U.S. trading on Thursday (October 9th). This followed Wednesday's record high, prompting short-term futures traders to take profits. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown and other geopolitical uncertainties are keeping safe-haven demand for precious metals steady, which will provide short-term support for both precious metals.
Global stock markets saw mixed overnight performance, but overall strength was evident. After hitting record highs overnight, U.S. stock indices are expected to remain stable upon the New York market open.
Specifically:
Technically, December gold futures bulls have a significant overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is closing futures prices above key resistance at $4,100.00.
Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below key technical support at $3,850.00.
First resistance is seen at the all-time high of $4,080.00, followed by $4,100.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $4,020.20, followed by $4,000.00.
Strategy:
Long Position3960-3950,SL:3940,Target:4000,4030
XAUUSD | Liquidity Sweep and Potential Bullish Expansion (Words Gold swept sell-side liquidity and is now reacting from a discount zone.
Price is filling a liquidity void with room toward 4,020 – 4,040, where premium levels sit.
A sustained move above 4,022 could open the path to 4,063.
Bias: Bullish short-term
Invalidation: Below 3,959
Patience | Discipline | Edge — Words of Swizr
#XAUUSD #Gold #Liquidity #MarketStructure #SwizrTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy
Hello trading community!
Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the dominant trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies.
📊 Technical Analysis
Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures:
Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers.
Key Support Zone: The $3970 - $3974 price range is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible.
Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further up the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 zone) are significant barriers. Sellers may become active in these areas.
Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any breakdown below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 zone.
📰 Fundamental Analysis
The market is influenced by mixed information flows, creating instability and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario:
⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasized the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labor market fluctuations. This implies that the FED may continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD).
📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark raises concerns about a potential asset "bubble" and a looming crisis. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe-haven asset, attracting capital flows when market risks increase.
The contradiction between the FED's policy and market risk aversion sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation.
🎯 Trading Strategy
Based on the above analysis, we can develop two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend.
Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈
Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 zone.
Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone).
Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080.
Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉
Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance zone $4077 - $4080.
Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak).
Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970.
Summary
The main trend for Gold remains upward, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to buy at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones.
Always remember to manage your capital tightly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week!
Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
Gold can Push Towards a New High of 4150Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been defined by a strong and sustained bullish momentum, which began after the price broke out of a prolonged consolidation range with support from the 3380 buyer zone. This structural shift initiated a new uptrend, with the price action for XAU since being neatly contained within a well-defined upward channel. The asset has shown significant strength, breaking through multiple resistance levels, including the current support level at 3795, and continuing to make higher highs. Currently, the price is trading very close to the resistance line of this upward channel, consolidating after its most recent impulsive move. In my mind, this high-level consolidation is a sign of bullish strength, suggesting buyers are absorbing supply. I expect that the price will make a small corrective movement from these highs before the primary uptrend resumes. I think a successful, shallow pull-back will confirm the underlying momentum and set the stage for the next leg higher. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 4150, a target that aims for a new structural high at the upper boundary of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, showing a strong recovery from 4,002 support toward 4,040 resistance. The pattern signals bullish continuation, with price breaking the short-term trendline and aiming for 4,058–4,060 highs.
● Consistent higher lows confirm renewed buying momentum, supported by tight consolidation before a potential breakout.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains from a softer dollar and steady U.S. yields as traders anticipate dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve ahead of inflation data.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,022; targets 4,058–4,060. Technical breakout aligns with fundamental tailwinds for short-term bullish extension.
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Rebound or Breakdown? Gold Faces the 4K DilemmaYesterday:
After a new test of the 4060 ATH zone, Gold dropped exactly as expected — and as I warned in my recent posts, the move was sharp and decisive, leaving no second chance for traders to reassess.
This leg down measured roughly 1200 pips, finding support around the 3940 zone.
The Key Question: Was That It?
In my opinion — no.
I believe we’re likely to see a second wave of selling soon.
What We See Now
Currently, Gold has formed a double bottom around the 3940 support
Given the still-present bullish sentiment, a short-term rebound toward the 4,000+ area is possible.
Trading Plan
If such a rebound occurs, I see it as an opportunity to sell at better prices, targeting the 3900 zone.
However, I’ll be closely watching the 3940 support, which has held twice already. This could also provide a soft 500+ pips target if I manage to sell above 4k.
P.S.:
There’s also the possibility that Gold fails to rise above 4,000.
In that case, I’ll simply sell from lower levels, following price action confirmation.
#XAUUSD: Will There Be Major Price Correction On Gold? Dear Traders,
Gold has been rallying with strong bullish momentum and has not experienced a major correction since the last few weeks. We have identified a key level from which the price can continue its bullish momentum if fundamentals do not change. Furthermore, we can target $4200 in a few weeks if the current momentum continues.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade near the $4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks.
Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style)
• The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement.
• The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse.
• The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup.
• The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875
SL: 3866
TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132
SL: 4141
TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions.
• Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events.
• Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation.
• Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries.
Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely.
With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops.
🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering.
Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView