XAUUSD Critical Reversal Zone | XAUUSD Rejection or Breakout?XAUUSD Critical Reversal Zone | XAUUSD Rejection or Breakout?
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Strong Supply Area):
Price has shown multiple rejections around 3400–3440, confirming this region as a strong resistance.
A prior liquidity sweep ($$$) was observed above this zone, trapping buyers and triggering a sell-off.
Support Zone (Demand Area):
A solid base exists around 3260–3280, highlighted as strong support.
Price previously formed a higher low in this area, signaling that buyers are still defending.
Market Structure:
We observed a BOS (Break of Structure) earlier, followed by a fair value gap (FVG), which price later mitigated.
The current structure remains range-bound, with lower highs forming against a defended support.
Liquidity has been swept both above resistance and around key intraday lows.
Current Setup:
Price is trading within the entry zone (3360–3380).
A short trade setup is marked with a stop loss above 3380–3400 and a target around 3320–3300.
This reflects a risk-to-reward short opportunity favoring sellers if rejection holds.
📊 Trading Plan:
Short Bias:
Entry Zone: 3360–3380
Stop Loss: Above 3400
Target 1: 3320
Target 2: 3280 (major support)
Invalidation:
A clean breakout and close above 3400–3420 would invalidate the bearish setup, opening the way for retesting 3440 resistance.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – August 22, 2025On the H1 timeframe, gold has tested the key support area around 3320 – 3326 and is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. The recent rejection candle and volume activity suggest that buyers are stepping in to defend this zone.
Key Technical Levels
Support zone: 3320 – 3326
Immediate resistance: 3336 – 3342
Major resistance: 3352 – 3355
EMA signals: Price is currently consolidating near short-term EMAs. A decisive close above EMA20/50 would confirm bullish momentum.
Fibonacci & Trendline: Price reaction near the 0.618 Fib retracement of the latest bullish swing aligns with support, strengthening the bullish bias.
Trading Strategy
Bullish Plan
Consider long entries from 3320 – 3326.
Target 1: 3336 – 3342 (intraday resistance).
Target 2: 3352 – 3355 if momentum accelerates.
Stop loss: Below 3315 to limit downside risk.
Bearish Plan (if support fails)
An H1 close below 3315 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Downside targets open at 3305 – 3295.
Outlook
As long as 3320 support holds, the intraday bias leans bullish with room for recovery towards 3342 and possibly 3355.
- Save these levels if you find them useful, and follow along for more trading strategies in upcoming sessions.
POSSIBLE SELL ON XAUUSD 25 AUGUST 2025Gold has tapped into a key supply zone around 3375 – 3380 and rejected strongly, signaling potential weakness.
On H4, price swept buy-side liquidity and failed to break higher, forming a short-term CHoCH (Change of Character).
🔻 Bearish Targets:
First target: 3350 – 3347 zone (first liquidity pocket).
Second target: 3332 zone (mid-range liquidity).
Extended target: 3315 zone (sell-side liquidity).
📍 If momentum continues, deeper downside could aim for 3285 – 3290 zone, aligning with the previous demand block.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A clean break and H4 close above 3385 would cancel the bearish setup and open the way for continuation higher.
💡 Trading Plan:
Look for sell confirmations below 3370.
Manage risk: Always use SL above 3385.
Partial profits can be secured at 3350, then trail stops for further downside
Gold: Buy near 3351, target 3378-3399Gold Market Analysis:
The gold market is constantly full of surprises. The violent rally at the end of last week took the market by surprise. There's no need to speculate on the cause. The sheer force and magnitude of the rally alone demonstrates a reversal of the previous weakness. This analysis uses the trajectory we've previously observed to predict the direction. Friday's large bullish candlestick on the daily chart wiped out the entire week's gains, leading to a bullish weekly close. This is a clear short-term buy signal. The daily chart suggests there's still potential for further gains. We'll look for opportunities to buy after a pullback. The daily moving averages have been re-aligned, suggesting further upward movement. However, it's important to note that the daily and weekly gold charts have been rather erratic in recent months, fluctuating back and forth within a high range without a clear overarching direction. Friday's rally hasn't changed this pattern.
The hourly central axis supports near 3351, as does the pattern support. The previous daily 30-day moving average also supports near 3351. With multiple overlapping supports, today's Asian session near 3351 presents a buying opportunity. If it doesn't offer a direct upward move, watch for a breakout of the previous high before pursuing a follow-up trade. Selling during the Asian session is merely a small pullback, so we're not considering it for now.
Support is 3340 and 3351, while resistance is 3378. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3351.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today is a UK holiday, which has some impact on the European session. There are no major data or fundamentals to consider in this session, primarily focusing on regular data.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold: Buy near 3351, target 3378-3399
GOLD eases after recovering from $3,310, data highlightsOANDA:XAUUSD edged down in Asian trade on Thursday (August 21), after a strong rally in the previous session. The current price is around $3,337/ounce, down 0.32% and around $10 on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD edged up on Wednesday. Bloomberg News analyzed that US President Trump's call for the resignation of Federal Reserve Board member Tim Cook has raised fresh concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting safe-haven demand and causing gold prices to rise.
On the other hand, Bloomberg also reported on Wednesday (August 20) that as gold prices have soared, the illegal gold trade has become one of the largest and fastest-growing illicit economies in the Western Hemisphere, and the U.S. government is facing pressure to step up its crackdown.
According to a report released by the Financial and Corporate Transparency Alliance (FACT) on Wednesday, the boom in illegal gold mining and trading in some South American countries has become a crisis that the United States cannot ignore.
In Colombia and Peru, two major cocaine-producing countries, illegal gold is estimated to generate more revenue for organized crime than the drug trade itself.
The Washington-based financial advocacy group has called on Congress to pass legislation to address the environmental and social impacts of illegal gold mining.
The rise of the illegal gold trade is due to a tripling of gold prices over the past decade and weak law enforcement as authorities remain focused on fighting drug trafficking.
In terms of the day’s data highlights
S&P Global will release preliminary figures for the US manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August today (Thursday). This important report could have a significant impact on the direction of gold prices.
Economists expect the preliminary US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August to be 49.5, compared to a final reading of 49.8 in July.
In addition, the preliminary reading of the US S&P Global Services PMI for August is expected to be 54.2, compared to a final reading of 55.7 in July.
The July services PMI was 55.7, and if August data shows a sharp decline, the US Dollar could be negatively affected immediately.
On the other hand, if the manufacturing PMI recovers above 50 and the services PMI approaches July levels, the US Dollar could remain strong against other currencies, making it difficult for gold to regain its upward momentum.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After receiving support from the $3,310 level, which is the support that readers have been paying attention to throughout the publications during this time, gold has recovered but the upside momentum has also been limited after testing the EMA21 line. Gold is under pressure from the EMA21, temporarily falling slightly but it may retest the $3,310 level in the short term as there is no more notable support than this level at present, followed by the full price point of $3,300.
Personally, I still maintain the view that gold will continue to move sideways and wait for a strong enough fundamental impact to change the overall technical structure.
The factors that show that gold is neutral are that it has not yet achieved the conditions for a long-term trend line, the sideways state is depicted by the green rectangle. Next is the price action clinging to the 21-day moving average, followed by the RSI moving around the 50 level, showing that the market sentiment is also hesitantly neutral without leaning to any particular side.
During the day, the technical outlook of gold price accumulation sideways will be noticed by the positions listed below.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
Crystal Ball Forecast for Gold (XAUUSD)🔮 Crystal Ball Forecast for Gold (XAUUSD)
Current Price: 3372
Medium-Term Direction: 🔻 DOWN
✅ My Forecast: GOLD WILL GO DOWN from 3372
🔍 Why? (Technical Reasons Supporting Bearish Outlook)
1. Gann Price Vibration (From recent high ~3385)
3372 = 45° level – key resistance level
Price rejected at 3375–3385 zone multiple times
If 3375 holds as resistance, next vibration levels:
3335 (Gann 45° down)
3284 (Gann 90° down)
3250 (Gann 120° down)
2. Elliott Wave
Looks like Wave 5 (ending diagonal) completed at 3385
Current price at 3372 = classic "after top" trap zone
Next structure likely forming ABC correction or new bearish impulse
Projection:
Wave A → 3335
Wave C → 3280–3250
3. Price Action + Candle Behavior
Strong upper wicks around 3375–3380
Lower highs forming = distribution pattern
MACD & RSI divergence visible on 4H/1D
📉 Medium-Term Bearish Targets
Target Price Reason
3335 Gann 45° down, Wave A low
3284 Gann 90° down, Wave C
3250 Gann 120°, Cycle
3183 Gann 180°, major support
📌 Summary Forecast
✳️ Gold is topping out.
✳️ Bearish move toward 3280–3250 is highly likely.
✳️ Best entry = on rejection from 3375–3380 zone
✳️ Stop = above 3390
✳️ Hold short for 2–3 weeks or until target reached
8/25: Watch Support at 3358–3352, Resistance at 3386–3391Good morning, everyone!
Gold surged strongly last Friday on news headlines. But as I mentioned earlier, such sharp rallies are usually followed by pullbacks. While further upside is possible, without fresh catalysts, the higher it climbs, the greater the risk and scope of a correction. Thus, my bias remains bearish for now.
📌 Support: Watch 3358–3352 first, then 3343–3337. A direct drop to the secondary support is less likely, so if the first support holds, small long attempts may be considered.
📌 Resistance: Initial resistance at 3378–3386, with stronger barriers at 3391–3400. Near 3400, the probability of profitable short trades increases significantly.
Remember: consistent profits don’t come from a single lucky trade but from managing trade frequency, avoiding a gambler’s mindset, and adjusting both strategy and mindset when mistakes occur. Master these, and long-term steady gains become achievable. Stay focused, and learn to truly be in control of your trading.
XAUUSD (1H) – Breakout From Falling WedgeStructure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold formed a falling wedge pattern 📉 which broke out with strong bullish momentum.
Price is now retesting lower levels near 3358–3351 for confirmation.
Buy-side liquidity zone lies above 3400–3410.
Market Overview
Strong impulsive breakout from the wedge shows renewed bullish demand ⚡.
Current price is in a decision zone → either retest and push higher, or fail and revisit support zones.
Key Scenarios
Bullish Case 🚀
Holding above 3358–3351 support zone →
🎯 Target 1: 3380
🎯 Target 2: 3405 (Liquidity Zone)
Bearish Case 🔻
Rejection and breakdown below 3351 →
🎯 Target 1: 3321
🎯 Target 2: 3314
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3380 → 3405
Support: 3358 → 3351 → 3321
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
“Gold Long Opportunity: Entry 3372 → Target 3410” XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Bullish Setup
Gold has broken out of the falling channel and formed a strong bullish reversal structure. Price confirmed entry around 3372 after consolidation and breakout. Momentum supports further upside movement.
✅ Trend: Bullish
🟢 Entry: 3372 (confirmed breakout)
🎯 Target / Resistance: 3410 (major resistance zone)
🛡 Stop Loss: Below 3355 (last swing low support)
📌 Summary:
Gold is trading in a bullish structure with momentum favoring buyers. A sustained move above 3372 opens the way towards the 3410 resistance level, which will be the key target zone for this move.
XAUUSD Long OpportunityXAUUSD is currently on a Bullish move after a massive push to the upside during the NY session on Friday. Price is trading above the 21,50 and 200 SMA and in the bullish region of the RSI.
Expecting further bullish movement as price broke above the $3351 pivot level and looking for price to run all the way to the resistance zone at $3400.
Price is currently on an impulse move thus will be awaiting a retracement down to $3351, seeing price reacts to the level and per market directionality, looking for a long position from $3351 to $3400.
XAUUSD| - Bullish Continuation From HTF OBPair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H): Gold continues to print bullish structure. Previous weeks already mitigated higher timeframe OB, and price is now setting up for continuation toward the highs.
MTF Confirmation (30M): Anticipating the next buy run. Waiting for a deeper pullback into the 30M OB to catch discounted entries and ride toward premium highs.
Entry Zone (5M): Execution will come after 30M OB mitigation, with LTF confirmations to secure precision.
Targets:
• TP1 = 5M highs
• TP2 = 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note: Patience at discount is key — let price come to you before committing to the buy.
XAUUSD Short: Sellers to Maintain Control at 3380 SupplyHello, traders! The macro structure for the XAU price auction has been defined by two critical pivot points, establishing a wide and volatile consolidation range. A major pivot point high was formed at the 3390 supply zone, while a subsequent pivot point low anchored the market at the 3300 demand zone. All price action since has occurred between these two dominant control zones, transitioning the market into a state of balance.
Currently, the price action is contracting within a large symmetrical triangle, signaling a compression of volatility. The auction is now at a critical inflection point, as it is directly testing the upper boundary of this formation. This area represents a powerful confluence of resistance, where the descending supply line and the horizontal 3380 - 3390 supply zone intersect, providing a key battleground for market participants.
The working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on sellers successfully defending this resistance confluence. It is anticipated that the price will make a final push into the supply zone before being rejected. A confirmed failure to break higher would validate the triangle's integrity and initiate a full rotation to the downside. The take-profit is therefore set at 3330, targeting the high-liquidity area where the ascending demand line converges with the horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD NEXT WEEK ? Greetings 👋
Thats My Gold View Next Week !
Recently Gold Pump At My QM Buy Setup And Now We Have Zones For Selling And Buying
Selling ZONE : 3390 / 3410 Buy Side Liquidity Zone When Its Take Liquidity Then It Will Drop
Buying ZONE : 3352 / 3349 CISD Another Buy Zone : 3338 / 3327 Buy Trendline + IFVG Setup
BEST OF LUCK 🤞
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Precision on the move today with the lower defence holding, giving the tap and bounce for the long into the level we wanted and then the short presenting itself. So far so good!
Now, we have support here at the 3329-32 level which is being held and if continued to do so can give us a retraction here into the resistance level of 3340-45. It's worth watching that lower box but the liquidity indicators and the short term boxes are suggesting a late session move.
KOG’s Bias of the week:
Bearish below 3355 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3317, 3310, 3306 and below that 3295
Bullish on break of 3360 with targets above 3365, 3371, 3375, 3385 and above that 3392
KOGS RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3337 for 3340, 3346, 3350, 3355 and 3363 in extension of the move
Break below 3317 for 3310, 3306 and 3301 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Analysis for 25-08-2025 to 29-08-20251. Key Resistance Zones:
3,379.720 – 15-Minute TF Resistance (Orange dashed line):
A recent price level where price previously faced rejection; short-term resistance.
3,400.000 – 4-Hour TF Resistance (Red line):
A higher timeframe resistance level; typically more significant and harder to break.
2. Current Price Level:
3,371.230: Price is just below the 15min resistance, suggesting possible consolidation or a pullback.
3. FVG – Fair Value Gap (Blue Box):
This is a price imbalance area where a large move left inefficiency (i.e., not enough buying/selling occurred). Price is expected to revisit this area to “fill” the gap before continuing a major move.
4. Expected Price Action (Blue Zig-Zag Path):
These analysis believes:
A pullback into the FVG zone (around 3,340-3,350).
A rejection or bounce from this FVG area.
A short-term push toward or above the 15min resistance.
A final drop after tapping liquidity or a resistance level, likely targeting below 3,320.
Interpreting the Expected Move:
Pullback to FVG:
Suggests the current market is overextended after a rapid move up (seen in the sharp green candle).
Price often retraces to fair value to “correct” this imbalance.
Short-Term Rally:
After the FVG fill, a bullish push is expected, potentially as a liquidity grab near the 15min or 4hr resistance.
Final Bearish Drop:
The longer-term view is bearish after the rally.
Possibly targeting support or trendline near 3,320. On basis of Powell speech for expect rate cut creates te sudden upward movement on last Friday. On coming week If the Ukraine and Russia war end then expecting deep fall from 3400 area levels if the peace speech went well between Trump,Zelenski and putin.
XAUUSD on range needs swing highXAUUSD holding the Range of 3322-3348 along Rising pattern
All eyes on Powell speech and Trump oval house statement.
What possible scenario we have?
•I'm looking for buy trades from 333
22-3325 zone, if H1-H4 candles remains above 3325 then target will be 3345 then 3360
• secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3320 then our analysis will be invalid .
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
XAUUSD Market Outlook | Bearish Bias Holds Under PivotGOLD (XAUUSD) – Overview
Gold remains under bearish momentum after stabilizing below 3332.
🔎 Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
As long as price trades below 3332, downside targets remain at 3320 – 3312.
A confirmed 15M or 1H close below 3312 would extend the bearish trend toward 3297 – 3285.
Bullish Scenario:
If price reverses and stabilizes above 3332, a move toward 3343 is likely.
A 1H close above 3343 would strengthen bullish momentum, opening the way toward 3366 – 3383.
📍 Key Levels
Support: 3320 – 3312 – 3297 – 3285
Resistance: 3343 – 3366 – 3383
⚠️ Gold remains in a consolidation range — upcoming breakouts above 3343 or below 3312 will define the next trend direction.
Gold Futures Edge Lower in Muted Trading Ahead of Fed Chair Speech
Gold futures slipped but remained largely rangebound in quiet trading, as investors focus on the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
Market participants appear reluctant to take strong positions ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, notes Bas Kooijman of DHF Capital.
Recent remarks from Fed officials suggest caution against moving too quickly on policy easing. Still, money markets are broadly pricing in a September interest-rate cut, Kooijman adds.
Long OpportunityPrice is at the bottom of a descending wedge as shown above (3hr). Waiting to get filled at 3315.41, with TP around $3,392.68. Zooming out you will also see we are approaching the bottom of massive triangle easily seen on higher time frames. Personally still leaning long, don't see it falling through as it makes its 3rd bounce off the trend line. Setting the SL at 3,299.89, If price does break through it should provide enough cushion in case of reversale
Does #XAUUSD have the juice to break previous daily range high?It has been an interesting few days on XUAUSD, with many traders being confused on the direction it intends to go.
After yesterdays bullish momentum it is quite clear that the Bulls are not done yet, and given the fact that quite a large gap has now been filled on the daily chart, the possibility of Gold making a move to the upside seems to be the more probable move.
Targets are 3350 & 3370 for conservative exits.