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XAU/USD 27 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4060 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
5
XAUUSD, Daily, Bearish Scenario AnalysisGold is approaching the apex of a contracting structure that looks more like distribution than accumulation. Despite the popular assumption that a symmetrical triangle is neutral, the underlying conditions point toward a higher probability of a downside break. ### 🔍 **Why the structure leans bearish** 1. **Volume is declining**, which usually signals fading momentum rather than preparation for a bullish continuation. 2. **Price is failing to hold higher lows**, showing weakness along the rising trendline. 3. **The previous parabolic leg** increases the probability of a deeper retracement rather than continuation. Markets rarely push into new highs after such exhaustion without a meaningful reset. 4. **Macro factors** such as bond yields and shifting rate expectations reduce Gold's upside pressure. 5. **Repeated rejections at the upper boundary** show supply absorbing attempts to push higher. --- ## 🎯 **Bearish Targets** The technical structure supports the possibility of a full breakdown from the triangle using a measured move equal to the previous major downswing. * **Primary target**: 3,500 * **Secondary target**: 3,300 Both levels align with historical demand zones and key Fibonacci retracement areas. --- ## 🧭 **Entry zones for a short position** ### 🔽 **Entry Option 1: Aggressive** * **Sell zone**: 4,160 to 4,180 * Based on repeated upper wick rejections and failure to build momentum above the trendline. ### 🔽 **Entry Option 2: Conservative and safer** * **Sell trigger**: Break and close below 4,120 * This confirms the loss of structure and invalidates the ascending trendline. --- ## 🛡️ **Stop loss placement** Choose based on your risk profile. * **SL for aggressive entry**: above 4,230 * **SL for conservative entry**: above 4,180 The idea is to protect the trade once price invalidates the bearish structure. --- ## 📌 **Risk management note** This setup is bearish, but the market is contracting. Volatility can expand in either direction. Stops are essential and position sizing should remain controlled.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by saal_eliyahu
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bullish Exhaustion or Liquidity Grab Incoming?Yesterday, gold finally broke above the 4150 resistance and extended toward 4173, a level it has attempted to reach several times without a clean breakout. On the 1H timeframe, price appears to be forming a rising channel, but momentum is slowing as the market begins to accumulate. Fundamentally, uncertainty is rising: expectations for a December rate cut are fading, and the potential end of the Russia–Ukraine conflict is reducing safe-haven demand. This hesitation is clearly reflected in current price behavior. Bullish scenario: Gold may continue drifting higher toward 4190, which I consider the maximum upside for today unless strong fundamentals shift. Bearish scenario: I’d like to see price retest 4170, reject it, and then drop sharply toward 4125, clearing the liquidity left behind from the rally that started on the 24th. Overall, gold is in a decisive zone where fundamentals and liquidity dynamics will dictate the next major move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Dan-Goldfx
Gold Market Analysis - 24 NOVEMBER 2025- On the H1 chart, the gold market is currently reacting correctly at the important support zone of 4047–4050, corresponding to the bottom of the (A) – (B) – (C) correction pattern in the recovery wave structure. 1️⃣ Current Elliott wave context - The previous down wave has completed 5 waves (1)-(5). - The market then entered a large ABC correction phase: - Wave (A) has formed a short-term top around 4120. - Wave (B) has created a sideways accumulation zone. - Wave (C) is in the completion stage — and the price is currently retesting the bottom zone (C). This shows that the current down wave is not the main trend, but just the completion of the correction wave. 2️⃣ Important support is holding the price - Strong support zone: 4040–4042 → This is: ✔ Confluence of wave C bottom ✔ Strong price reaction zone in the past several sessions - Price is showing signs of bottoming here (long candle tail, weak selling pressure). 3️⃣ Technical signals confirm the possibility of reversal Stochastic H1 is in the oversold zone and starting to curve up → bullish signal. The candle continuously draws its legs at the 4042 zone → buyers absorb very well. The decreasing amplitude gradually weakens → showing that selling pressure is drying up. 4️⃣ Expected trend today High probability scenario: Bottom formation → Strong increase forming wave (C) increase If the price stays above 4040 – 4042, the market is likely to bounce back up according to the trajectory: - Near target: 4080 – 4100 - Important target: 4120 - Completed wave (C) target: 4180 – 4200 This is the main increase wave after completing the ABC correction structure. ❗ Alternative scenario (lower) - If 4040 - 4042 is broken by a strong closing H1 candle → the market will retest the area: 4000 – 3980 - But the probability is low because the current selling pressure is quite weak. 📌 Conclusion - The market is following the ABC correction pattern. - Wave C is almost complete and the price is standing on the final support zone. - Stochastic oversold → bullish reversal sign. - Main scenario today: gold bounces back, heading towards 4100 – 4180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by andrewtradergold
1
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold: Bounce or Breakdown? Support Says BounceAs I expected in the previous idea , Gold touched the First Target($4,049) but failed to break the support zone($4,053 – $4,025). In terms of Elliott Wave theory, given that Gold failed to break the support zone($4,053 – $4,025), we can expect bullish waves, at least in the short term. --------------------------------------------- Minutes ago, the U.S. labor market indicators were released — including NFP, Average Hourly Earnings, and the Unemployment Rate. Here are the actual numbers: NFP: 119K (vs. 53K expected) — much stronger Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.2% (vs. 0.3% expected) — weaker Unemployment Rate: 4.4% (vs. 4.3% expected) — higher Gold’s Fundamental Reaction: Today’s data is mixed in a very interesting way: Stronger NFP = USD bullish pressure A print of 119K signals a stronger labor market rebound, which normally puts downside pressure on gold. But weaker wage growth (0.2%) = lower inflation pressure This reduces the urgency for further Fed tightening, which is gold-positive. Higher unemployment (4.4%) = economic cooling signal This supports the idea that the economy is slowing beneath the surface — also positive for gold. Net Result: Gold is likely to experience initial volatility, but the combination of weaker wage inflation + higher unemployment offsets the strong NFP. This means gold could find support after the first drop, especially if markets focus on softer inflation expectations and rising unemployment. --------------------------------------------- I expect Gold to rise to at least $4,137 based on the above explanation. It is also possible that Gold will form an ascending channel. One of the upside targets for gold could be near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible). First Target: $4,137 Second Target: $4,174 Stop Loss(SL): $4,017 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
2
Gold is still moving sideways and waiting for a breakout1. Trendline Structure Ascending Channel (red) Upper trendline: price has been repeatedly rejected at the upper boundary → strong dynamic resistance. Lower trendline: recently pierced slightly → indicates weakening buying pressure and increased correction risk. 2. Key Resistance 4,186 – 4,210: Strong supply zone + confluence with the upper trendline. This is a zone that price will struggle to break without strong volume. → If price breaks above and successfully retests → the next target is the 4,210 area. 3. Key Support 4,105 – 4,110: Major support zone, confluence with EMA & the 0.5 Fibonacci level. → High probability that buyers will step in around this area. 4. Overview Major Resistance: 4,186 – 4,210 Major Support: 4,105 – 4,110 Short-term Trend: weakening, leaning toward a corrective move. Key Signal: a break below 4,140 → confirms a drop toward the support zone. Bullish Scenario: only activated if the price reclaims 4,186. BUY GOLD : 4107 - 4109 Stoploss : 4097 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4209 - 4211 Stoploss : 4221 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
US MARKETS CLOSED TODAY - THANKSGIVING🚨 US MARKETS CLOSED TODAY - THANKSGIVING 🦃 Current Price: $4,150 - $4,156 📊 Yesterday's Close: $4,130 Monthly Performance: +3.94% ✅ Yearly Performance: +57.69% 🔥 Status: 🟡 HOLIDAY - THIN TRADING 🎉 MAJOR BULLISH NEWS! DEUTSCHE BANK UPGRADES FORECAST! 📈 BREAKING: Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,450/oz from $4,000, citing stabilizing investor flows and persistent central bank demand. The bank now expects a $3,950-$4,950 range next year This is HUGE news for gold bulls! Major institution showing strong confidence in gold's future! 📊 IMPORTANT: TODAY'S MARKET CONDITIONS 🦃 Thanksgiving Holiday Schedule: Gold will NOT be traded on November 27, 2025 due to U.S. Thanksgiving holiday What This Means: ❌ US markets CLOSED all day ⚠️ Very thin liquidity globally ⚠️ Wide spreads expected ⚠️ Price gaps possible ✅ Good time to review positions Friday (Nov 28): Markets open but shortened hours Very low volume expected (Black Friday) Many traders still on holiday 💎 DEUTSCHE BANK FORECAST DETAILS The Upgrade: Deutsche Bank's new average forecast for 2026 stands at $4,450/oz, up from previous $4,000/oz. Bank anticipates gold to trade within range of $3,950 to $4,950 per ounce in 2026, with possible high near $4,950/oz - approximately 14% above current December 2026 futures prices Why They're Bullish: Key drivers: resilient investor demand, strong central-bank buying, limited supply response. Third-quarter supply-demand data supports continued central bank bid, with inelastic demand from central banks and ETF investment diverting supply from jewelry market. Overall growth in demand outpaces supply Gold's unusually wide trading range in 2025—the largest since 1980—underpins constructive outlook for 2026 📈 CURRENT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Market Structure: BULLISH CONSOLIDATION 🟢 Gold trading near two-week highs above $4,170 after recent rally. Consolidating gains before next move. Key Development: Gold shrugging off Tuesday's small dip and pushing to multi-day highs above $4,170 per troy ounce. Move higher comes as US Dollar loses steam, even though US Treasury yields trying to rebound Support Levels 🔵 Support 1: $4,130 - $4,140 (Yesterday's close - Immediate) Support 2: $4,059 - $4,100 (Strong zone) Support 3: $3,977 (55-day SMA) Support 4: $3,886 (October 28 low) Support 5: $3,750 (50% Fib retracement) Resistance Levels 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,170 - $4,173 (Current highs) Resistance 2: $4,245 (November 13 peak) Resistance 3: $4,254 - $4,280 (Major barrier) Resistance 4: $4,380 - $4,381 (All-time high - October 17) 📊 TECHNICAL INDICATORS RSI: Heading toward 60 (Bullish momentum building) 🟢 ADX: Holding above 19 (Trend slowly gaining strength) ✅ Moving Averages: All pointing UP - Bullish alignment ✅ For now, momentum still leans bullish: Relative Strength Index heading toward 60, and with Average Directional Index holding above 19, underlying trend looks like it's slowly gaining strength 🎯 TRADING STRATEGY FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK TODAY (Wednesday - Thanksgiving): ⚠️ DO NOT TRADE! Reasons: Markets closed Zero liquidity No meaningful price discovery High risk of gaps Best Action: Review your positions Plan for Friday/next week Take the day off! FRIDAY (Black Friday - Nov 28): Trade with EXTREME Caution! On November 28, XAUUSD may continue to rise, but price reversal still possible. Key support and resistance levels expected at $4,059.90 and $4,254.97 Strategy: Wait for normal hours to resume Use smaller position sizes Expect wider spreads Watch for gaps from Thursday close NEXT WEEK (December Trading): Back to Normal - Key Levels: BULLISH Scenario (65%): IF holds above $4,130-$4,140 Target: $4,245 → $4,280 → $4,380 Entry: Pullback to $4,140-$4,150 BEARISH Scenario (35%): IF breaks below $4,100 Target: $4,060 → $3,977 Entry: Break and retest of $4,100 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK BULLISH FACTORS ⬆️⬆️⬆️ ✅ Deutsche Bank Upgrade - Major vote of confidence! ✅ Analysts predict gold may reach $4,456-$4,509 by end of November ✅ Central banks purchased 634 tonnes YTD, WGC expects 750-900 tonnes for 2025 ✅ Fed Rate Cut Expected - December odds rising ✅ Dollar Weakness - DXY losing momentum ✅ Demand > Supply - Structural bull market ✅ ETF Inflows - First net buying in 4 years ✅ Geopolitical Tensions - Safe-haven support Key Quote: Central banks planning record high gold allocations. Gold positioned as "ultimate protection against black swan tail risk events." ETFs returned to net accumulation in 2025 after four years of outflows Risk Factors ⬇️ ⚠️ Profit Taking - After 57% yearly gain ⚠️ Technical Overbought - Short-term ⚠️ Holiday Volatility - Thin markets ⚠️ Strong US Data - Could delay Fed cuts 💡 WEEK RECAP & OUTLOOK This Week's Performance: Current XAU/USD exchange rate: $4,155.98. Over past year, XAU/USD changed by 57.69%, trading within 52-week range of $2,583.49 to $4,381.60 Gold rose to $4,138.45 on November 25, up 0.07% from previous day. Over past month, gold's price risen 3.94%, up 57.22% compared to same time last year November Performance: ✅ Recovered from $3,886 low ✅ Now at $4,150+ (Multi-week highs) ✅ +3.94% for the month ✅ On track for analysts' $4,456-$4,509 target 🔮 FORECAST & TARGETS End of November (3 Days): Expected: $4,200-$4,300 range Target hit probability: 70% December 2025: Range: $4,150-$4,400 Target: Retest all-time high $4,381 2026 Targets (Deutsche Bank): Average: $4,450/oz Range: $3,950-$4,950 Potential High: $4,950 (+19% from current) Long-term (Other Analysts): Some forecasts: $5,000+ by late 2026 Ultra-bullish: $6,000+ by 2027-2028 🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY Gold is in a STRONG POSITION entering the holiday period. The Deutsche Bank upgrade is a major institutional endorsement of the bull market. The Big Picture: Technical: Bullish trend intact, consolidating at highs Fundamental: Demand > Supply, Central bank buying strong Sentiment: Major banks turning more bullish Positioning: Healthy after recent consolidation Key Insight: Gold's upward trajectory is structurally supported rather than merely cyclical This means the rally has LEGS - it's not just speculation, it's backed by real supply/demand fundamentals! 💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY - HOLIDAY EDITION Take a Break! Markets are closed, you should be too! Use today to: Spend time with family 🦃 Review your trading journal Plan for December Recharge your mental energy Remember: The best trade is sometimes NO trade! 🎯 POST-HOLIDAY TRADING PLAN Friday (Nov 28): ⚠️ Avoid trading (thin liquidity) Watch for any gaps Let market settle Monday (Dec 2): Resume normal trading Watch $4,140 support Target $4,245 if bullish Key Levels to Watch: Above $4,170: Bullish → Target $4,245+ Below $4,130: Caution → Support at $4,100 📊 SUPPORT/RESISTANCE SUMMARY Critical Support: $4,130-$4,140 Strong Support: $4,100, $3,977 Weak Resistance: $4,170, $4,200 Strong Resistance: $4,245, $4,280, $4,380 Breakout Level: $4,245 (Opens $4,380 retest) Breakdown Level: $4,100 (Triggers correction) 🔔 THANKSGIVING MESSAGE Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃 Whether you're trading gold or not, take time today to be grateful. The markets will be here tomorrow, next week, and next year. But today is for family, friends, and reflection. Three Things to Be Grateful For in Trading: Opportunity - Markets give us chances every day Learning - Every trade teaches us something Community - We're all in this together! Enjoy your day! 🙏 ⚠️ FINAL REMINDERS For Today: Markets CLOSED ❌ No trading possible Relax and recharge 🦃 For Friday: Shortened hours Very low volume Trade with extreme caution Smaller positions For Next Week: U.S. third-quarter GDP data may influence gold prices Back to normal volume December rate decision approaching Year-end positioning begins 📈 YEAR-END OUTLOOK December Catalysts: Fed rate decision (Dec 17-18) Year-end positioning Q4 GDP data Holiday season (thin trading Dec 24-Jan 1) 2026 Setup: With Deutsche Bank's $4,450 target and bullish structure, gold entering 2026 with strong momentum! 🦃 Happy Thanksgiving from the Trading Desk! 📱 Enjoy the holiday - markets resume Friday 💎 Stay blessed and grateful 🙏 See you next week for December trading! #Gold #XAUUSD #Thanksgiving #DeutscheBank #BullMarket #GoldForecast #HappyThanksgiving #MarketHoliday #2026Outlook #TradingBreak
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line Horizontal Structures Support 1: 4021 - 4045 area Support 2: 3869 - 3934 area Support 3: 3765 - 3829 area Support 4: 3690 - 3738 area Resistance 1: 4082 - 4133 area Resistance 2: 4202 - 4246 area Resistance 3: 4360 - 4382 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
8
Nov 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Summary: Price has broken out of the previous consolidation zone, and bullish momentum remains strong. Today, the key levels to watch are 4175 on the upside and 4158 on the downside. If price breaks and holds above 4175, bulls maintain control → bias shifts to buying pullbacks into support. If price breaks below 4158, bearish pressure increases → bias shifts to selling rallies into resistance. Today’s trading difficulty may be similar to a typical Friday session — stay cautious and follow the trend instead of fighting it. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4200 – Resistance • 4193 – Resistance • 4184 – Resistance • 4170–4174 – Key resistance zone • 4158 – Important intraday support • 4151 – Support • 4142 – Support • 4130–4133 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4158 → target 4154, with further downside toward 4150, 4142, 4137 BUY: If price holds above 4175 → target 4180, with further upside toward 4184, 4187, 4193
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold price recovers on accumulation margin⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) climbs to a one-and-a-half-week high in Tuesday’s Asian session, extending Monday’s nearly 2% surge as dovish Fed expectations strengthen. Recent remarks from key FOMC officials have boosted bets on a December rate cut, capping the US Dollar’s rally to its highest level since late May and supporting the non-yielding metal. Geopolitical tensions—from the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict to renewed unrest in the Middle East—are also lifting safe-haven demand. Still, upbeat equity sentiment limits stronger gains, while traders remain cautious ahead of this week’s major US data releases, starting with PPI and Retail Sales on Tuesday ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovers - watch the reaction zone 4157. If it continues to break, gold price will continue to increase near 4200 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4193 - 4195 SL 4200 TP1: $4180 TP2: $4170 TP3: $4150 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4073 - 4071 SL 4066 TP1: $4085 TP2: $4098 TP3: $4110 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAU/USD Bulls Charge Pivotal Resistance- Inflection AheadGold prices surged nearly 3.3% off the weekly lows with XAU/USD now testing key resistance at the yearly upslope. This zone marks a critical technical pivot, and the reaction here will be essential in determining whether the latest rally can extend or if an early-month inflection will take shape. While the broader structure remains constructive, the bullish scenario hinges on holding above the weekly open, with a close beyond resistance needed to clear the path for the next major leg higher. The rally is testing resistance today at the November high-day close (HDC) at 4171. Note that the median-line converges on this threshold over the next few days and further highlights the technical significance of this level near-term. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 1.618% extension of the November 18 advance and the October reversal close at 4241/52. A breach / daily close above this threshold is needed to mark resumption of the uptrend with the next major technical consideration eyed at 4356/382- a region defined by the record HDC, the 100% extension of the late-October advance, and the record intraday high. Weekly open support rests at 4065 and is backed by the November open and the 61.8% retracement of the late-October rally at 4002/23. Losses below this threshold would threaten a more significant correction within the yearly uptrend with subsequent support objectives eyed at the November low at 3930 and the 50% retracement of the August advance at 3846. Note that the lower parallel converges on this threshold next month and daily close below this slope would be needed to invalidate the 2025 uptrend (broader bullish invalidation). Bottom line: Gold has rallied into confluent resistance at a pivotal slope, and the immediate focus is on possible inflection into the high-day close of the month. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to the weekly open IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 4252 ultimately needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. -MB
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com