XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup at Key ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a key overextended zone after a strong bullish rally, showing signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary of the pitchfork channel. Daily candles are printing wicks into resistance, indicating potential supply.
Bearish Confluences:
Price rejection at upper pitchfork channel resistance
Extended distance from EMA ribbon (mean reversion likely)
Slowing bullish momentum with smaller daily candles
Bearish setup triggered at local resistance zone
Fibonacci Targets (retracement from recent swing low to high):
🎯 Target 1 – 0.382: $3,716
🎯 Target 2 – 0.5: $3,629
🎯 Target 3 – 0.618: $3,567
Invalidation:
Daily close above $3,895 resistance (red zone) would invalidate this setup.
Trade ideas
WHEN WILL GOLD TAKE A BREATHERSHORT
after the one sided rally boosted by the quietly weakening throughout the year US dollar and love lost for the dxy and US governemnt based assests by global economies all being slapped with tariffs its natural the dollar asset loses dominance
the question now is when will price retrace cause i know exponential growth makes investors queasy you know easy come easy go
i expect a retracement around my green levels there and a very significant one at that i will update if i suspect it will break but that is the tipping point
ill come up with a better retracement tp when its confirmed
DID YOU MISS ME COMMENT BELOW
Gold surged through $70 in the Asian session, breaking through tGold surged through $70 in the Asian session, breaking through the support level. Is this a continued rally or a deeper correction?
Gold Technical Analysis Report
I. Overall Trend Analysis
The current gold market's primary trend remains bullish, with prices showing signs of stabilization and rebound after a short-term correction. A positive daily close near 4010 indicates valid support below, but short-term trends remain primarily range-bound. Watch for breakthroughs in key resistance and support levels.
II. Key Price Levels
Resistance Areas:
Primary Resistance: 4075/4080
Secondary Resistance: 4100, 4130 (pending further confirmation)
Support Areas:
Near-term Support: 4055/4060
Core Support: 4040/4025, above 4000
III. Short-term Trend Analysis
Recent Volatility Characteristics:
After a strong rally from the 3820 support level, gold has come under pressure in the 4060 area, entering a period of wide range consolidation. Last Thursday, a single bearish dip dropped above 3940. After consolidating support at 3945/3955 during Friday's Asian session, the price rebounded and stabilized in the European session, ultimately closing near 4010, forming a volatile upward trend of "downward correction followed by a stabilization rebound."
Intraday Dynamic Analysis:
During the Asian Session: Price repeatedly tested resistance at 4060, relying on support at 4005. After breaking through in the afternoon, it surged to 4078, indicating a gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Current Challenges: The price rose over $70 from morning to midday, but momentum lacked significant volume. Be wary of a possible short-term correction during the European session.
IV. Trading Strategy and Cycle Coordination
Asia Session Layout Review:
The long position at 4040 was successfully taken profit at 4060.
The long position at 4048 was followed up after the breakout in the afternoon, with the target near 4078.
European Session Strategies:
Short-Term Adjustment Risk: After the price surges, there is a need for a short-term correction. A light position can be used to test short positions at 4074/4080 (defending 4091), with a target of 4058/4054.
Correction Structure Prediction:
Sideways Correction: If the European session maintains a narrow range between 4055-4080, time will be used to buy space, building momentum for a continued upward move in the US session.
Pullback: If the price falls below 4050 support, a test of 4040/4030 is possible. A pullback confirms support before resuming the upward move.
US Session Outlook:
If the European session consolidates sideways and then directly breaks through 4080, the bullish trend in the US session will continue.
If the European session corrects sharply, watch for signs of stabilization at the 4030/4040 support level, and then enter a long position when the opportunity arises.
V. Summary and Risk Warning
Trend Direction: The bullish trend remains unchanged, but short-term volatility is significant, requiring precise timing.
Key Trading Points:
The Asian session's low-to-long strategy has realized profits; focus on the strength of the correction in the European session.
The US market's direction should be dynamically adjusted in conjunction with the European session's correction structure to avoid chasing highs and selling lows.
Risk Warning: The current market has significant potential and is moving rapidly. Strict risk management is required to avoid misjudging trend continuity during corrections.
Understanding market trends is crucial for seizing trading opportunities.
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XAUUSD🟡 XAUUSD Trade Breakdown — 1:6.83 Risk-to-Reward Setup
I took this Gold (XAUUSD) trade with an entry at $3,966, a stop loss at $3,947, and a take profit target at $4,098.
This setup offered a 6.83x risk-to-reward ratio, meaning my potential reward was nearly seven times greater than my risk.
The trade was based on clean price structure and momentum confirmation. After entry, price has already moved in favor and is now trading around $4,016, showing solid momentum toward my target.
Risk management was key here — a tight stop below structure, a well-defined entry zone, and a clear target aligned with higher timeframe resistance.
Whether this trade fully hits TP or not, it’s a great example of why strong risk/reward setups matter more than win rate.
📊 Trade Details:
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
Entry: $3,966
Stop Loss: $3,947
Take Profit: $4,098
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:6.83
Current Price: $4,016
💡 Lesson: Focus on setups that give you asymmetric risk — small loss potential, big reward potential.
XAU/USDHello.. Considering Mr. Trump's threat to increase tariffs on Chinese goods and also the forecast of a two-step reduction in US interest rates by the end of this year, along with the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war, the demand for safe assets has increased... The reduction in US bond yields on Friday was also due to this... It is expected that the demand for gold and the US dollar will also increase this week... Technically, the trend of gold is completely bullish and if the drawn channel is broken upwards, the price will increase to the set target.
XAU/USD – Uptrend Persists After a Brief CorrectionHello everyone,
Gold is currently taking a natural pause after an impressive October rally. After reaching a peak near $4,036, prices pulled back slightly to around $4,021, yet the overall structure remains firmly bullish. The stepwise Fair Value Gaps (FVG) continue to form and fill shallowly — a healthy sign that the market is simply “breathing” before making its next move.
On the 4H chart, the Ichimoku cloud remains beneath price and is sloping upward, serving as a strong dynamic support zone. The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is intact, confirming that buying momentum continues to dominate. The $4,021 area aligns with a freshly formed FVG, while $4,000 acts as both a psychological and structural support level — both zones that buyers may use to reload positions.
Conversely, resistance lies near $4,036, and if broken decisively, gold could extend toward $4,050–$4,100 in the short term. The base case remains a shallow pullback to $4,021 or $4,000 before a continuation higher, possibly breaking prior highs.
What do you think — will gold soon break above $4,050, or does it need one more test before heading higher?
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) exploded in the Asian session, setting a New All-Time High (ATH)! This powerful rally is fueled by a perfect storm of global risks:
🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade Tensions Surge: Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on Chinese exports, despite a later softening, created massive uncertainty.
⚠️ Geopolitical Risk: Trump's warning about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keeps geopolitical tensions high, boosting safe-haven demand.
🏛️ US Government Shutdown: The funding deadlock continues, entering its third week, eroding confidence.
✂️ Fed Cut Hopes: High probabilities for Fed rate cuts in October/December (96%/87%) continue to strongly support the non-yielding precious metal.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure Has Flipped BULLISH!
The price action this morning was crystal clear, showing Smart Money is in control:
Liquidity Sweep & Reversal: Gold saw a rapid "sweep" below the 4000 mark, triggering sellers' stop-losses and creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing and recovering lightning-fast.
Uptrend Established (BOS & MSS): This surge led to a Break of Structure (BOS), clearing the old ATH at 405x, and confirming a distinct Market Structure Shift (MSS). The market structure has officially flipped from bearish to BULLISH.
Trading Strategy:
Priority: BUY as long as the price maintains above the Order Block (OB) key support zone at 405x. This is the critical support level.
Risk Warning: Extreme caution is advised for shorting at highs. The risk of price traps and liquidity grabs at psychological round numbers is very high.
Sell Scenario: Only consider a short-term SELL if there is a strong breakdown and a candle close below 405x. The expected target would be a pullback to 4000 to consolidate before resuming the main BUY trend.
👉 Conclusion: Fundamental and technical forces are aligned. Keep watching the 405x support to confirm potential BUY entries.
#GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Price Recovery creating potential for further upsideGold prices showed good consolidation recently, creating potential for further upside movement. Based on previous analysis, if the price successfully holds above the key 4,000 level, it could open the door for additional gains.
Technically, gold remains in a bullish trend after breaking through the $4,000 resistance, setting a new record by Friday. The market experienced a slight increase ahead of the weekend as recent data indicated that U.S. consumer sentiment remained stable.
At present, gold prices are virtually unchanged compared to September, but once the latest economic data was released, momentum returned—pushing prices higher toward the 4,033–4,060 range. This suggests continued strength and potential for further upside in the near term if momentum persists above the 4,000 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support
Gold (XAUUSD) – 13 Oct | Key Supply Zone in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 13 October
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold remains in a H4 pullback phase , with M15 structure bearish after clear ChoCH + BoS confirmation — both aligned to the downside.
• Price is currently trading inside a strong supply + M15 LH zone 4048.8–4058.1 .
Key Observations
• A micro structure shift downside has already occurred on M1.
• Now waiting for a clean break of structure to confirm continuation of bearish momentum.
• Once confirmed, we’ll mark the micro POI and plan a short setup on the M1 pullback.
Execution Plan
• If price respects the current 4048.8–4058.1 supply zone and confirms on LTF, plan for shorts accordingly.
• If price breaks and sustains above the zone, that will be a M15 structure shift upside — no shorts, stay out and reassess for long setups.
Discipline means waiting for clarity — let confirmation lead, not bias.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,973.70.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 4,051.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bulls Regain Control!Is 4100 the Next Big Target?After touching the 3945-3955 area three times during the week, gold rebounded quickly and showed a clear lower shadow in the candle chart. It also showed an oscillating upward structure in the short-term structure, and formed a secondary springboard in the 3970-3980 area to rise again, and closed above 4010 on Friday. It can be seen that after the gold pullback, the bulls regained dominance and continued the bullish trend.
The short-term technical structure is biased towards bulls, the center of gravity is gradually moving up, and the buying support below is strong. I believe that gold still has the potential to continue to rise. The current short-term resistance of gold is in the 3930-3940 area. Once gold breaks through this resistance area, it could retest the previous highs of 3950-3960, or even extend its upward trend to around 4100.
So, how do you execute the trade next? I think we can consider going long on gold when it retraces to the 4000-3990 area, initially aiming for a short-term upside target of the 4030-4040 area.
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum as buyers defend the 3970 zone.
Could this be the start of another strong rally toward 4100?
Follow me for real-time gold insights &to my traders' channel for exclusive setups!
Congratulations to those who followed my ideas last weekGold managed to break its all-time high — albeit hesitantly — touching 4077 just now.
The price action now resembles a car exiting a local road onto the highway: once it gains full traction, acceleration could be swift.
The renewed bullish tone is largely driven by escalating U.S.–China tariff headlines from the Trump administration, prompting investors to seek safety in gold as a hedge against uncertainty.
However, given the sharp vertical movement, it’s essential to stay disciplined, wait for proper retests, and maintain clear stop levels.
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
Entry: 4060 → current price (preferably after a retest of 4060)
Targets: 4077 → (4088–4094) → (4100–4109) → 4124 → 4139 → 4155 → 4170
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Entry: Below 4038
Targets: 4033 → 4027 → 4015 → (4006–4000) → 3990 → 3980 → 3970 → 3964 → (3951–3943) → 3920
Disclaimer:
This analysis represents my personal market outlook and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk. Always use a stop-loss and trade responsibly.
GOLD Completes Correction – Ready to Soar to 4,050 USD!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is currently testing a key support zone within a clearly defined ascending channel, indicating potential for continued upward movement. If price action confirms rejection at this level, we may see a bullish move towards 4,050 USD, aligning with the middle line of the channel. However, a break below this support level could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
This setup reflects the potential for the current uptrend to continue. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis(13th October 2025) Happy Monday Guys,
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 1h Bullish FVG at the 4032.36 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4100.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4020.87 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bullish FVG at the 4020.87 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS toward the 3945.00 level
Trade smart, trade according to your trading plans!. Cheers