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Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Pullback from Resistance Zonea potential bearish setup forming after a strong bullish rally. The price recently surged upward, reaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in light blue). This zone aligns with previous structural highs, making it a likely area for sellers to step in. After testing this resistance, the chart indicates a pullback or retracement setup — the black curved arrow suggests an expected downward move. The Stop Loss is placed just above the resistance zone around $4,167, protecting against a breakout continuation. The Target is marked near $4,121, where prior support and a minor demand level coincide. This setup represents a short-term bearish retracement within a potentially larger bullish context, aiming to capitalize on short-term rejection from resistance before any continuation move.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1
My Trading Journey; A rough path of beautiful and sad momentsJust waked up from sleep at midnight while waiting for setup. I was bored and getting tired of waiting for setup which now looks like its taking eternity, so one question struck my mind 'HOW LONG HAVE YOU BEEN DOING THIS?' My name is Erochukwu, a Nigerian that currently reside in Lagos. I have been trading since for over two years and i first created account on Tradingview on June 16, 2023. My trading journey have been filled with beautiful moments that I so much lasted longer, and some sad moments that nearly broke me, but in all these, one thing is sure, I can never quit, a promise I made to myself from the very first day I open my laptop and decided to pursue a career in trading. In my next post I will be briefing how I started forex, who introduced me to forex trading, challenges I encountered and those I have overcome.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by degenpal
1
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [ 1570 pips straight]Thanks to those traders who followed us and made profits 📈🙏 keep grinding 💪. I booked profits on buying orders during overnight session, entering around 4142 & 4132 and exiting near 4105 while my shorter-term longs hit the 4098 target on yesterday Ny session drop. Next I bought XAUUSD 4102 which I hold overnight and it's 1200 pips floating in profits. Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the bullish trend till 4170.
FX:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
1
Go long on gold after a pullback to 4060#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continued its upward trend after opening at the start of the week, reaching a high of 4078 before retreating, with a daily gain of nearly $70. Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, the current moving averages are arranged upward, the MACD indicator forms a golden cross, and technical indicators suggest that gold still has the potential to rise. But one thing worth noting is that after breaking through the new high, gold did not continue to rise by $30 and then fall back like the previous rise. Therefore, don’t blindly chase the rise at the moment. Caution is advised if gold reaches around 4080 again today. Gold may retreat to the top-bottom conversion level of 4060. If the European session pulls back to the support level of 4060-4050 and does not break, we may consider a moderate long position in gold, with a defensive strategy. The target can be seen at 4080-4090, and if the rise is strong, it can be seen at 4100 For real-time updates, please follow my profile on my homepage
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Magician_G
2
GOLD BREAKS ABOUT $4.100 - Expect Powell's speech tonight!🔥 Market Outlook (Ahead of the Fed Speech Tonight) Gold has officially broken above the $4,100 psychological level, maintaining a strong bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm that buyers are still in control, supported by a clean ascending trendline. However, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech scheduled tonight, volatility is expected to spike — and that could be the catalyst for either a continuation rally or a short-term correction. Now, traders are waiting to hear Powell’s tone: If he acknowledges easing inflation pressures or keeps a balanced/dovish stance, gold could attract further safe-haven and speculative demand, extending its rally toward $4,200–$4,300. Conversely, if Powell emphasizes the need to keep policy tight or signals no near-term rate cuts, it could strengthen the USD and trigger a gold correction back to support zones near $4,080 or even $3,980. In short: Tonight’s speech could decide whether gold continues its bullish dominance — or finally takes a breath.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Michael_Gold_Insider
2
G0LD BREAKS HIGHER BULLISH MOMENTUM TARGERT $4200Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $4,146, continuing its bullish trajectory within a well-defined ascending channel on the 45-minute chart. The price action shows consistent higher highs and higher lows, confirming a strong uptrend. 🔍 Key Observations: Trend: Clear bullish trend as price respects the channel boundaries, with momentum increasing after each pullback. Support Zone: Around $4,000 – $4,050, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel — a key area to watch for potential buying interest. Resistance Zone: Near $4,180 – $4,200, where the price may face short-term selling pressure or consolidation. Momentum: Price is riding the upper half of the channel, indicating strong bullish sentiment and potential for continuation toward new highs. Volume/Momentum Indicator (implied): The consistent upward slope suggests sustained buyer strength with limited correction depth. 📈 Outlook: If gold sustains above $4,100, bulls could target $4,200 – $4,250 next. A break below $4,080 (channel support) might signal a short-term correction toward $4,000, but the overall bias remains bullish unless the lower trendline is decisively broken. 🧭 Summary: Bias: Bullish Immediate Target: $4,200 Support: $4,000 – $4,050 Resistance: $4,180 – $4,250
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zickey_11
4
Monday's US gold market focus on short-term adjustmentsOn Friday, we emphasized the importance of the daily close. Gold's late-day rally on Friday disrupted the previous downward trend following the engulfing high. Instead, it continues to fluctuate along its short-term moving average, maintaining a relatively strong trend on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous resistance band, and the K-line continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. In the short term, watch for a second upward pull after a pullback. On the hourly chart, after a series of small upward movements, the price is currently fluctuating in a narrow range at a high level. The current divergence in the short-term chart suggests that there may be room for adjustment in the short term. Keep an eye on this short-term correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
XAUUSD: Bearish Setup After Double Top & Neckline BreakI am now anticipating a pullback (retracement) back up to this broken neckline. Potential Entry Zone (New Resistance): The former support level is expected to act as new resistance. This is a classic "Support Becomes Resistance" (S/R Flip) setup. Target: If the price rejects this new resistance zone, I will be looking for a continuation of the bearish move. The next logical target would be the subsequent support level, which I have marked on the chart (around the $4,100 - $4,110 area). Invalidation: This bearish idea would be invalidated if the price manages to reclaim the former neckline and close decisively above it. As always, this is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence. Good luck!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by rasrizalrosdi96
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS "The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World" Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Structure 📆 Date: October 12, 2025 📈 Current Price: ~$4,017/oz 🕰️ Timeframe: 1950s – 2060+ 🔍 Focus: Multi-decade forecast grounded in wave theory and fundamental macro shifts 🌐 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE – GOLD'S MONETARY EVOLUTION 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Gold Gold surged from ~$35 to ~$850 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Nixon ended USD-to-gold convertibility, exposing the world to pure fiat for the first time. Geopolitical shocks like the OPEC oil embargo and soaring inflation shattered trust in paper money. Gold reasserted itself as a monetary anchor , not just a commodity. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Rejection A 19-year bear market saw gold bleed down to ~$250. Volcker’s rate hikes tamed inflation; fiat regained trust temporarily. The dollar surged, stocks soared, and central banks sold gold reserves. This corrective wave reflected confidence in debt-based growth and fiat stability — a long, deceptive calm. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2045?): The Real Money Renaissance This is the main secular bull market wave , subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. Gold is now in Wave iii of III — the most explosive, powerful phase — and will likely reprice in a way that reflects systemic risk, not just inflation. 📈 MACRO & MICRO STRUCTURE – CURRENT WAVE BREAKDOWN 🟢 Macro Wave I (1999–2011): The First Awakening Gold rose from $250 to ~$1,920. Triggered by the dot-com crash, 9/11, 2008 crisis, and early QE programs. This was the smart money accumulation phase , when institutions quietly began hedging systemic risk. 🔴 Macro Wave II (2011–2015): The Disbelief Phase Gold corrected 45% to ~$1,050. Fed tapering, rising dollar, and low CPI caused a temporary return to confidence in fiat. This reset investor sentiment and created institutional demand zones. 🟢 Macro Wave III (2015–~2026): The Fiat Reckoning (Now Unfolding) Subdivided into five micro-waves: Wave i (2015–2020): Broke out of 4-year base; fueled by Brexit, rate cuts, and China accumulation. Wave ii (2020–2022): ABC pullback post-COVID; reloaded from key SMC demand zones. Wave iii (2022–Now): We're here. Most vertical and extended move yet. Price currently at ~$4,000; next targets are $6,552, $22,744, and $78,940 , all aligning with Fibonacci extensions (2.618, 3.618, 4.618). Wave iv (projected 2026–2031): Likely major correction after parabolic move. Wave v (projected 2031–2045): Final blow-off top in Supercycle III. 🧠 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS – BY WAVE 🔹 Wave I Fundamentals (1999–2011): Post-dot-com capital rotation. 9/11 and geopolitical tension. 2008 GFC and collapse of banking trust. Introduction of QE and zero interest rates. Gold ETFs (like GLD) launched, enabling broader exposure. 🔸 Wave II Fundamentals (2011–2015): QE fatigue: “It didn’t cause inflation.” USD strength. Confidence returned to stocks. Retail dumped gold — but central banks quietly accumulated . 🔹 Wave III Fundamentals (2015–2026): $30+ trillion in global QE during COVID. Global real rates deeply negative. Energy crisis and supply chain fragility. War-driven risk premiums (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, China-Taiwan). De-dollarization: BRICS accumulation, gold in cross-border settlements. Institutional shift toward real assets as fiat credibility wanes. 🔸 Wave IV (Projected 2026–2031): A likely correction tied to: CBDC adoption and capital controls. Temporary resurgence in tech or USD-based confidence. Reforms that appear to restore fiscal sanity. But this will be the last opportunity to enter before the endgame move. 🔹 Wave V (2031–2045+): Fiat collapse becomes mainstream. USD potentially dethroned. Gold-backed CBDCs or DeFi hybrids launched. Mass exodus from fiat into real money. Final revaluation of gold to reflect not inflation, but lost confidence in the entire financial system. 📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS – PRICE TARGETS WITH WAVE ALIGNMENT 🟢 Wave I topped at 1.618 Fib ($1,887) — aligned with 2011 ATH. 🟢 Wave III (in progress): 2.618 Fib: $6,552 (expected peak of wave iii). 3.618 Fib: $22,744 (potential macro Wave III top). 4.618 Fib: $78,940 (if confidence fully collapses). 🟢 Wave V (projected): May extend toward $100,000–$250,000+ under systemic collapse or gold-backed reset conditions. All targets line up perfectly with logarithmic channel projections , Elliott wave extensions , and long-term order flow structure . 🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS & PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION ✅ BoS (Breaks of Structure) at each wave change validated bullish continuation (2016, 2020, 2023). ✅ Order Blocks and liquidity grabs created institutional entry zones — especially at 2018–2019 lows and 2022 dips. ✅ Demand zones respected across key Fibonacci retracements (0.382 and 0.618). ✅ Current wave iii is a textbook price discovery phase with minimal resistance. This entire market structure is institutionally driven , not retail fueled — a true stealth bull. 📊 MARKET CYCLE PSYCHOLOGY OVERLAY 1999–2004: Disbelief – “Gold is dead.” 2005–2011: Awareness – “Gold might work.” 2011–2015: Denial – “It’s just a bubble.” 2016–2020: Hope – “Maybe gold’s not done.” 2022–2026: Euphoria – “Gold will never go down.” 2026–2033: Fear → Capitulation – Wave IV 2033–2045: Mania – “Gold to the moon!” — Wave V blow-off. 🚨 FINAL SYNTHESIS We are witnessing the greatest revaluation of monetary value in modern history . Gold is transitioning from: A hedge against inflation → to A hedge against central banks → to A hedge against the entire fiat system. 📌 Final Position Summary: 🔄 Current Location: Wave iii of III of Supercycle III 🎯 Immediate Target: $6,552 (2.618 Fib) 💡 Medium-Term: $22,744 (3.618 Fib) 🔥 Parabolic Scenario: $78,940 (4.618 Fib) 💀 Systemic Reset Target: $100,000–$250,000+ 🧠 Conclusion: This is not just a chart. This is a map of the collapse of fiat trust and the ascendance of sound money . Gold is no longer just an asset — it’s insurance on the system. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." - FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
2
If gold pulls back,it is an opportunity to enter a long positionGold saw a significant rise after opening this week, with an increase of more than $100. The main driving factors are as follows: Trump announced a 100% tariff increase on exports from several Asian countries and planned to implement new software export control measures. Meanwhile, the U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its third week, and Congress has yet to reach an agreement on budget appropriations, leaving thousands of federal employees facing unpaid wages. The above situation has exacerbated market concerns about economic slowdown and significantly increased investors' demand for safe-haven assets. In terms of geopolitics, Trump said he might provide Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles to enhance strategic deterrence against Russia, which once again escalated regional tensions. These multiple factors have combined to form the core support for this round of gold price increases. Against this backdrop, gold has strong upward momentum, and there is ample reason to maintain a bullish stance. The recent view is clear: buying on dips is the appropriate strategy at this time. The long positions established in the 3950 to 3970 range last Friday have not been closed so far, and the market continues to strengthen; after the opening of this week, a new round of long order recommendations were issued in the 4090 to 4100 range. The overall operation is highly consistent with the market trend. This series of decisions is based on clear and consistent trading logic, reflecting an accurate grasp of trend direction. For investors who haven't yet established a position, we recommend placing long positions in batches between 4095 and 4115. Importantly, given the rapid market fluctuations, trading strategies are time-sensitive. It should be noted that the market fluctuates rapidly and trading strategies are time-sensitive. If there are major changes in the subsequent market conditions, they will be adjusted and notified in a timely manner based on the latest market dynamics. The above content is personal investment analysis and is for reference only. Welcome to continue to pay attention, gold trading strategies will continue to be updated, I'm waiting for you in the channel.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
2
Backtest Market Structure #1Backtest Market Structure #1 (9 month) Trading Code: XAUUSD Timeframe: 1H ENTRY BUY Trend: Forming a Higher High (BoS or ChoCh) Trade Quality: Price retraces to the Discount zone (≥ 50%) Trigger: Bullish confirmation candle closes above EMA200 Filter: ☐ The confirmation candle does not break the previous high — if it does, wait for the next wave. ☐ Try to catch the bottom a maximum of 2 times — if both fail (2 stop losses), wait for the next wave. ENTRY SELL Trend: Forming a Lower Low (BoS or ChoCh) Trade Quality: Price retraces to the Premium zone (≥ 50%) Trigger: Bearish confirmation candle closes below EMA200 Filter: ☐ The confirmation candle does not break the previous low — if it does, wait for the next wave. ☐ Try to catch the top a maximum of 2 times — if both fail (2 stop losses), wait for the next wave. Stop Loss: Below the low or above the high (+/- SPREAD) Take Profit: 1.5 : 1 Capital: 10,000 USD cent Risk: 2% per trade = 200 USD Order Type: Market Maximum Drawdown (MDD): 10% per week
FX:XAUUSD
by KiraNg_
1
Gold technical analysis with its key support and resistancegold technical analysis with its key support and resistance Gold (USD, Daily) has shown powerful bullish momentum, reaching 4,249.87 after a persistent rally within an upward channel. However, the sharp rejection at recent highs and a pullback suggest that bulls are pausing, and the market might consolidate or correct further in the near term. Trend Overview - Gold has been respecting a steep ascending channel (highlighted in blue), making higher highs and higher lows. - The most recent candle shows a pullback of around 1.8%, indicating some profit-taking or near-term selling pressure after a fast rally. Key Resistance Levels - **4,300 – 4,400**: Immediate resistance zone formed by recent highs at the top boundary of the current channel. Failure to break and hold above this region could lead to extended consolidation. - **4,700**: Next psychological and projected resistance from the upper channel, acting as the medium-term upside target if bullish momentum resumes. Key Support Levels - **3,953**: First significant support, aligning with the lower channel boundary and prior breakout zone—watch for buy interest here if the correction extends. - **3,675**: Secondary strong support from a prior base and midpoint of the last consolidation range. - **3,512**: Major technical support, evident from previous accumulation and a channel intersection—losing this would signal deeper bearish correction. - **3,313 – 3,278**: Strong base support and historical demand zone from the pre-rally structure. Aggressive bulls likely to defend dips to this level. Technical Analysis Table | Level | Role | Note | |-----------|------------|--------------------------------------| | 4,300–4,400 | Resistance | Recent local highs, channel top | | 4,700 | Resistance | Upper channel, potential target | | 3,953 | Support | Channel base, near-term support | | 3,675 | Support | Prior strong base | | 3,512 | Support | Previous accumulation, trendline | | 3,313–3,278 | Support | Major historical base | Trading Outlook - Gold remains in a bullish structure as long as price stays above 3,953 and especially 3,675. - A close below the lower channel (3,953) may trigger a correction toward 3,675 or even 3,512. - Only a clear break above 4,400 can resume the strong uptrend, targeting 4,700. This analysis highlights that gold is currently overextended on the daily but supported by strong underlying trend structure, with multiple layers of downside support to watch for potential rebound opportunities.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
by ktra_commodities
1
XAUUSD-Gold Healthy PullbackGold is taking a short breather after a strong rally. Price recently tapped near the $4,230 zone before showing its first meaningful pullback in days. The 33 EMA (pink line) is acting as dynamic support, if the price holds above it, we could see another leg higher toward the $4,280–$4,320 range. However, if that level breaks cleanly, the next strong demand sits around $4,020, where both the 100 EMA and previous accumulation zone align. In simple terms, this is a healthy correction within a bullish trend. A bounce from either the 33 EMA or 100 EMA could easily trigger the next push upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fxtradingamitsah
1
XAUUSD SUPERWAVE: Gold Battles at $4,200 🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Historical Highs and the Pause of the Bulls Gold is the center of attention as it fights fiercely at the $4,200 level during the European session. Strength Drivers: Gold recently hit a fresh all-time high near $4,220. This record rally is sustained by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic risks, a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed), and a weak USD. Current Pressure: Bullish speculators are taking a breather, creating pressure on the price at the $4,200 mark. Economic Signal: Although the IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast, it simultaneously warned that a rekindled US-China trade war could significantly slow output—a factor that continues to support Gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30/H1): Defining the Fibo BUY/SELL Battlefield Based on the Ascending Channel structure and the identification of Fibo Reaction Zones (Referencing image_49085d.png), we have the following key strategic trading areas for today: 1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones: These are crucial Fibo resistance zones where we will look for SELL SCALP signals if buying momentum falters: Zone Price Range Description & Action SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 4208 - 4212 Key Fibo resistance zone. A potential area to consider a SELL SCALP if bearish confirmation emerges. SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 4225 - 4250 The FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 zone. This is the TP target for Longs and a stronger strategic SELL zone if Gold breaks above 4212. 2. Strategic BUY Reaction Zones: These are vital Fibo support zones where we will look for Long entries (BUY) following the primary trend: Zone Price Range Description & Action BUY ZONE 1 (FIBO Retest) 4162 - 4158 The crucial Fibo 0.618 support zone. Ideal area to catch the BUY wave if price corrects here. BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Support) 4144 - 4140 A deeper, stronger support area. If BUY ZONE 1 fails, this is the next key accumulation point. 📈 TODAY'S OPTIMAL ACTION PLAN Primary BUY Scenario: Wait for Gold to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4162 - 4158. Upon seeing a strong bullish reversal candle signal (H1/M30), confidently enter a Long trade. TP: Target SELL ZONE 1 (4208 - 4212) or SELL ZONE 2 (4225 - 4250). Scalp SELL Scenario: If Gold fails to breach 4200/4212 and shows clear reversal signs, a quick SCALP SELL can be considered. ⚠️ Risk Warning (SL): Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE to protect your capital. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and highly profitable day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
1
Gold Reached Its Final Peak? A 50-Year Cycle May End Here!🟡 Gold Macro Structure — The End of a 50-Year Bullish Epoch Symbol: XAU/USD (OANDA Data) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly Candles) Published by: Ping Tech Academy 🕰️ The Story of Gold — Faith, Fear, and Cycles Gold has always been more than a commodity — it’s the mirror of human belief. When trust in paper fades, gold rises. When euphoria returns, gold retreats. Since the U.S. dollar detached from gold in December 1971, every major swing has reflected the balance between fear and faith. Today, after more than five decades, gold may be reaching the final chapter of its generational bull cycle. 🔹 Historical Structure (1971–2009) From December 1st, 1971, gold has moved within a long-term ascending price channel, anchored between $43.50 (bottom) and $1,195.40 (top). That upper boundary was broken and retested on November 2nd, 2009, marking the transition into a new bullish macro channel — the one that has guided us for the past 16 years. 🔹 The Second Channel (2005–2024) The base of this channel formed on July 1st, 2005, at $417.90, while its upper boundary expanded to around $2,663.50, reached on September 2nd, 2024. This level was broken and retested — a classical continuation signal — and from there, gold surged into the $4,165 region (October 2025). ⚠️ Critical Zone: The Completion of the Macro Channel According to price behavior symmetry and channel geometry, gold has now fulfilled the structural target of its multi-decade bullish channel: 📍 $4,166.66 (OANDA XAU/USD) Accounting for margin of deviation, the potential final resistance zone is estimated between: 📉 $4,166.66 – $4,294.43 This area is expected to represent the macro peak of this cycle, after which a multi-year corrective phase could begin. 🧭 Projected Downside Path (Long-Term Correction Targets) If price confirms rejection within this resistance cluster, these levels are projected as sequential macro targets: $3,940 $3,730 $3,415 $3,072 $2,791 → Key Structural Level Breaking below $2,791 could unlock the next leg toward: • $2,438 • $2,227 • $2,089 → Final Macro Target 🧠 Market Psychology & Cyclic Behavior Every gold supercycle follows a rhythm of human emotion and institutional logic: Accumulation (Smart Money Phase): Institutions buy quietly when the world stops caring — at undervalued extremes. Expansion & Public Awareness: The trend becomes “obvious,” and narratives such as inflation, rate cuts, or war become convenient justifications. Euphoria (Public Participation): Retail capital floods in at all-time highs. Media coverage peaks. Institutions distribute into optimism, slowly unloading into retail demand. Distribution → Correction: Price action weakens, volatility expands, and the illusion of “new paradigms” fades. Fear replaces greed — and the cycle resets. Gold is currently showing late-euphoria behavior on the monthly timeframe — the classic footprint of a distribution phase in motion. 🧩 Conclusion Gold may be closing the final leg of a 50-year macro expansion, completing a structure that began in 1971 — an era that redefined global value systems. While an overshoot beyond $4,294 remains possible, the reward-to-risk profile now shifts decisively toward defensive positioning. This could mark the beginning of a generational correction before a new cycle of accumulation emerges. ⚖️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All projections are derived from long-term historical modeling and price structure analysis. Financial markets carry risk; always perform your own research or consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions. 📘 Ping Tech Academy “Trade Smart. Trade Fearless.” © 2025 – All Rights Reserved.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PingTechAcademy
2
Gold surged and then retreated. Latest Analysis.On Wednesday, gold continued its recent record-breaking run, finding buying support for the fourth consecutive trading day. Against a backdrop of favorable fundamentals, gold prices hit a new all-time high of $4,218.19. Persistent geopolitical tensions, escalating trade frictions, and market concerns about a prolonged US government shutdown have all contributed to the key factors supporting this surge in safe-haven assets. It is important to note that despite technical indicators indicating overbought conditions, gold bullish momentum has not weakened, suggesting that the path of least resistance remains upward and the recently established upward trend is likely to continue. In early Asian trading, gold bulls stabilized in the 4,140 area and re-energized, breaking through the record high of $4,200. Until there is a clear signal of a peak, do not blindly guess the top location. In the short term, a buy-on-low approach is recommended, with key support focused on the intraday low and the short-term uptrend support from 4,090. The first resistance level to watch is around 4210-4215, followed by 4240. Support is expected to be around 4180-4160. For gold, a short-term strategy is to buy on pullbacks. Trading strategy: Buy gold in batches on pullbacks between 4180-4160, with a stop-loss of $10. Profits are expected to be above 4200.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
2
Gold Pulls Back in Technical Correction, No Reversal Signal YetHello everyone, Gold has entered a corrective phase after reaching the historical peak at 4,380–4,400 USD/oz. Selling pressure has emerged, triggering a strong bearish candle and sending price back to retest the 4,220–4,240 USD zone — also the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the Ichimoku system, acting as short-term support. At the moment, gold is attempting a slight recovery around 4,265 USD but still trades inside the Kumo cloud, suggesting a sideways correction after an overheated rally. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure has temporarily weakened with a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows forming. The 4,280–4,310 USD area is a red Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, currently serving as the nearest resistance where sellers may re-enter. Meanwhile, the thick Kumo cloud continues to reflect persistent corrective pressure, especially as recent declines were supported by rising volume — confirming profit-taking at peak levels. From a fundamental perspective, this retracement is a healthy “cool-down” following nine consecutive weeks of gains. Gold surged nearly 25% in just two months — an exceptionally rare move in history — so profit-taking was inevitable. Additionally, sentiment has been influenced by the Federal Reserve’s lack of clear commitment regarding the timing of rate cuts. Recent US macro data such as CPI and retail sales exceeded expectations, giving the Fed justification to maintain a cautious stance. This has boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY) back toward 106.5, while the US 10-year Treasury yield has moved near 4.1%, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Risk sentiment has also improved as geopolitical tension between the US and China cooled and the US government avoided a shutdown, prompting some safe-haven flows to rotate out of gold. Several analysts agree that this pullback is constructive for the broader trend, with Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro noting that gold was “overbought” and needed a rebalancing phase, while Phillip Streible of Blue Line Futures reiterated that the long-term trend remains bullish. In the short term, gold may continue to move within the 4,220–4,280 USD range, with a potential retest of the 4,210–4,220 USD zone — the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud. If buyers step back in and price breaks above 4,285 USD, a rebound toward the 4,300–4,315 USD FVG resistance zone is likely before the market decides its next direction. Only a confirmed break below 4,200 USD would reinforce further downside toward 4,150 USD. Conversely, holding above 4,200 USD would suggest gold is still in a healthy consolidation phase and retains the potential to revisit 4,300–4,350 USD in the coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
3
Gold Targeting #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 ahead of #4,500.80 markAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).' My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
2