XAUUSD Sell Signal – H1 Chart
📌 XAUUSD Sell Signal – H1 Chart
Entry: 4,252 – 4,254
Stop Loss: 4,256.7
Take Profit: 4,240 – 4,242
📝 Trade Idea Description
Price has reached a **fresh supply zone** after a strong bullish rally. The last candle shows rejection wicks into the resistance area, signaling buyer exhaustion
Additional confirmations from the chart:
✔️ Strong upward impulse → now slowing down
✔️ Lower volume at the top → weakening bullish pressure
✔️ Bearish candle forming inside supply zone
✔️ Market could pull back to retest previous support structure around 4,240 zone
🎯 Strategy Logic
Counter-trend pullback setup
Expecting a correction from the overextended top
Risk-to-Reward ratio: 1:3+ potential
🔔 Signal Status
⏳ Active – Manage risk carefully
❌ Invalidate if price **closes above supply zone**
If you'd like, I can also:
📍 Mark your entry, SL & TP clearly on the chart
📈 Send you updated signals as price develops
🤖 Backtest and optimize this strategy
Would you like me to create a long-term bias overview for Gold as well?
Trade ideas
Gold outlook bullish above 4230 - Key levels ahead Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis - .
Gold bullish structure continues as long as price stays above 4230.
A clean breakout and hold above this level can open the path toward ,
Upside levels
4260-4300
Support zone
4110- A breakdown below may weaken the bullish momentum .
Trend remains positive unless key support fails . I will watch price action near 4230 for confirmation .
Gold Market Forecast: Dovish Fed Tone Fuels Bullish SentimentGold ended last week with strong bullish momentum, closing on Friday around 4018 with a powerful bullish candle. This solid close signals a potential continuation of the uptrend heading into the upcoming week, supported by both technical structure and macro fundamentals.
🟩 Technical Outlook
Trend Bias: Bullish
Gold continues to respect its higher-low structure on the 4H and daily timeframes. Buyers remain in control as long as price holds above key support levels.
Key Support Zones to Watch:
4180 – 4155
These zones are crucial for maintaining bullish structure. A retest followed by strong reaction could offer new long opportunities.
Immediate Resistance:
4245
This is the level bulls need to break for a clean continuation toward higher targets. A breakout and retest above 4245 may open the door to new weekly highs.
Fundamental Drivers
Gold’s bullish tone is strongly influenced by shifting macro sentiment:
Dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials
Growing expectations of a December rate cut
Declining U.S. yields supporting safe-haven flows
Weakening USD allowing commodities to push higher
This combination continues to provide a supportive backdrop for gold’s upside bias this week.
📅 Weekly Bias: Bullish
As long as gold holds above 4155–4180, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers.
A break above 4245 may extend the rally and attract further bullish momentum.
GOLD - Bearish Channel But Retracement ExpectedGOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis
Welcome traders!
Here is my latest professional breakdown on GOLD (2H timeframe) based on market structure, trend channels, and price behavior.
📉 Current Market Structure
Gold is moving inside a clearly defined downward channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. Price is currently trading near the lower boundary, showing signs of exhaustion after continuous bearish pressure.
📌 Key Observations
🔹 Strong descending trend with multiple touchpoints confirming a valid bearish channel
🔹 Price is consolidating near the lower trendline — indicating a potential temporary pullback
🔹 Expecting an upward correction toward the mid or upper channel before next move
🔹 Market may create higher-low rejections before continuing any bullish correction
📈 JT’s Expected Move
Based on current structure: [/b
Short-term: Possible bullish retracement inside the channel
Medium-term: Price might revisit the upper diagonal resistance
Watch for reaction zones and confirmation candles during pullbacks
This is not financial advice — just pure chart-reading based on technical structure and behavior.
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👉 Please Boost, Like, and Comment your thoughts — it motivates me to keep providing quality analysis for the community.
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Gold Pushes Higher as Buyers Dominate Above 4,180Hello everyone,
Gold is extending its momentum after a clean breakout through the 4,180 barrier, climbing to 4,189 USD with strong follow-through. The advance is supported by consecutive bullish FVG structures underneath the price, signaling that buyers are not only active but also willing to drive the market higher. Previous volume congestion zones have been absorbed entirely, reinforcing the idea that the bullish side is firmly in control.
In the short term, 4,180 has flipped into fresh support. If momentum persists, the next natural target sits at the psychological 4,200 level—an area that often fuels additional liquidity inflows. Should gold retrace, the 4,110–4,140 zone stands out as a well-tested support cluster and a potential area to accumulate in line with the broader bullish trend.
Macro conditions continue to favor precious metals. The USD is softening on expectations of a December 2025 rate cut, and this sentiment remains a major catalyst behind gold’s advance. Meanwhile, consistent central-bank buying and steady ETF inflows, noted by Morgan Stanley, help sustain longer-term demand. With these foundations, projections toward 4,500 USD in mid-2026 appear increasingly reasonable.
Short-term volatility may still occur if key economic releases shift interest-rate expectations. A rebound in the USD or a sudden change in Fed tone could trigger deeper pullbacks before the uptrend resumes.
Overall, gold maintains a strong bullish structure backed by both technical and macro drivers. Watching support levels closely could offer valuable opportunities during dips.
What do you think—will this momentum continue?
xauusd"We can reach the target in two possible ways:
it might happen because of the SMC codes that
we either follow the white line or go straight to
the target. Personally, if we move along the white
line, I’ll enter with a larger position size (more capital),
but if we go directly, I’ll participate in this position with a smaller size."
L.V.L Capital • Thursday Pre London Session BreakdownSTRUCTURE OF PRICE ACTION
Daily Analysis
•
1st What is Market Doing ?
Trending = BRC Playbook
Consolidation = STR Playbook ☑️ Market @ HH Deciding weather to retrace to Daily Support LVL 4150
Time Frame Correlation
•
WEEKLY & Daily
WEEKLY BIAS | Bullish • Price sitting at HH
1. DAILY • Bearish
2. 4HR • Bearish
3. 2HR • Bearish
4. 1HR • Bearish
**1HR | 30MIN are for watching the trade when live **
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD What is the Trend Based on Weekly & Daily ?: l Neutral
**ENTRIES ON 2HR CANDLE CLOSE DURING SESSION
** Wait for Confirmation
ANALYSIS :
Price is currently consolidating between the daily Support & Resistance Levels w/ a Area of Interest / Liquidity pool @ 4187.50 Level
Potential Trades
•
Shot #1 Buy off liquidity pool at 4187.5
Shot #2 Sell off down to Daily support 4150
Gold: Pullback in Place — Ready for the Next Leg Up1. Market Structure
- On the H1 we see a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) and occasional Higher Highs (HH) — structure is overall bullish.
- A short-term Break of Structure (BOS) lower occurred earlier, but price recovered and re-established HLs, showing buyers defending support.
- Current action is a retest/pullback into the marked entry circle where trend support, a micro HL, and previous reaction converge — classic break→retest environment for continuation.
2) Key Levels
- Entry / Decision Zone (circled): ~4,195 – 4,200 (area of trend confluence).
- Immediate Support (stop area): 4,181 (invalidation if weekly/4H candles close below).
- Major Support below: 4,163 (deeper invalidation / structural change).
- First Target / Minor Resistance: 4,225 (mid-term take-profit).
- Extended Target / Higher Liquidity: 4,266+ (larger swing target).
3) Scenarios
Main (High-probability) — Bullish Continuation
- Condition: price holds the entry circle and the HL structure remains intact.
- Plan: look for bullish confirmation (tight range breakout / bullish engulf / clean H1 close) in the entry zone.
- Targets: TP1 4,225 → TP2 4,266+.
SL: below 4,181 (protect capital if structure fails).
Alternative (Low-probability) — Deeper Correction / Bearish
- Trigger: decisive 4H/1H close below 4,181 and then below 4,163.
- Outcome: structure flips to lower lows → expect drop toward lower support zones and stop hunting.
- Action: avoid new longs; wait for re-accumulation.
4) Summary
- Gold is showing a textbook pullback into structural support — this is where trend-followers prepare, not panic. If price respects the circled entry and gives a clean bullish confirmation, the path to 4,225 → 4,266+ is the high-probability play.
Remain disciplined: protect capital at 4,181 and only add when price confirms the turn.
Trade the structure, not the noise — discipline turns good analysis into real profit.
Stop Loss: Feelings vs. Statistics (Why Fixed SL Fails)Most traders set their Stop Loss based on feelings: "I’ll put my stop below this wick" or "I always risk 50 points."
The problem? The market doesn't care about your 50 points.
The market has a natural heartbeat called Volatility. If you use static rules (fixed pips) in a dynamic market, you are gambling, not trading. Today, we replace "feelings" with Statistics using the Average True Range (ATR).
1. The Statistical Reality
Market volatility expands and contracts.
In low volatility: A 50-point move is a trend change.
In high volatility: A 50-point move is just "noise" (random fluctuation).
If your Stop Loss is placed inside the "Noise Zone," you will get stopped out even if your direction was correct. You are paying the market a fee for being too tight.
2. The Solution: The ATR Bands
The Average True Range (ATR) measures the average size of the last 14 candles. It calculates the "noise."
Instead of a fixed number, your Stop Loss should be dynamic. The Rule: A statistical stop loss should be outside the current noise—usually 2x the ATR.
3. The Tool in pinescript example
I have written a simple script for you. It draws a "Noise Channel" around the price.
If price is inside the gray zone: It is just noise.
If price breaks outside the band: The trend is statistically significant.
Open your Pine Editor and paste this in : ( before you paste the code to your pine editor keep the first line which is the version 6 then delete everything and past this code )
indicator("Kodologic: ATR Noise Bands", overlay=true)
// 1. Input for Sensitivity
multiplier = input.float(2.0, title="ATR Multiplier (Stop Distance)")
length = input.int(14, title="ATR Period")
// 2. Calculate the 'Heartbeat' (Volatility)
atrValue = ta.atr(length)
// 3. Define the Upper and Lower Statistical Bands
upperBand = close + (atrValue * multiplier)
lowerBand = close - (atrValue * multiplier)
// 4. Plotting
// The Gray Zone represents 'Market Noise'.
// A safe Stop Loss usually belongs OUTSIDE this zone.
p1 = plot(upperBand, color=color.new(color.red, 50), title="Statistical Short Stop")
p2 = plot(lowerBand, color=color.new(color.green, 50), title="Statistical Long Stop")
fill(p1, p2, color=color.new(color.gray, 90), title="Noise Zone")
4. The "Secret" to Consistency
When you switch to ATR stops, your Stop Loss distance will vary. Sometimes it will be wide, sometimes tight.
"But what if the ATR stop is too far away for my account?"
Do not tighten the stop. Lower your position size.
Amateurs try to force the market to fit their account size.
Pros adjust their position size to fit the market's reality.
Trade the data, not the hope.
I am building a series on how to move from subjective trading to objective, data-driven strategies using Pine Script. Follow for the next update.
XAUUSD H1 Structure Shift SellGOLD (XAUUSD) H1 Timeframe SELL Analysis
After a strong bullish rally, Gold showed a major reversal where the price tested the 4000 level and then gave an aggressive bullish push. During this bullish wave:
1. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
Price first gave a BOS, and with bullish continuation it respected the bullish trendline twice.
2. Break of Structure
Price tested the bullish trendline again and afterward the market moved inside a Small Bullish Channel (ascending channel), where a higher-high and higher-low structure was maintained.
3. Trend Weakness After the Last BOS
After breaking above the channel, the market formed a lower high, showing that bullish momentum was weakening.
From this point, a Bearish Trendline was created, which is now rejecting the price.
4. Current Market Behaviour (Most Important)
Price retested the Bearish Trendline
Failed to break it rejection occurred
Price is currently trading around 4194
Market structure is now showing a clear bearish shift
As long as the price stays below the bearish trendline, further downside continuation is expected
SELL Trade Setup
Sell Entry
4192 – 4194 zone
Stop Loss 4213
Take Profit Levels
TP1 4170
TP2 4145
TP3 4110
Final Summary
After the bullish rally, Gold gave a reversal, BOS was confirmed, the bullish channel broke down, and now the bearish trendline is strongly rejecting price. A sell setup is active from 4190 targeting 4170, 4145, and 4110, with a stop loss at 4213.
Gold Breaks Trendline Resistance – Targeting 4,240Gold has respected the 4,185–4,190 support zone multiple times, showing consistent buying pressure from this demand area. After the latest retest, price formed a higher low and has now broken above the descending trendline resistance on the 15m timeframe.
This trendline breakout indicates that bearish momentum is weakening and buyers are regaining control.
Key Technical Points
• 🔶 Strong Support Zone: Market has rejected the 4,185–4,190 area several times, confirming it as a valid demand level.
• 📉 Trendline Resistance Broken: Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline, signaling a potential shift from bearish structure to bullish continuation.
• 🔵 Breakout Confirmation: Current candles are holding above the trendline, suggesting buyers are defending the breakout.
• 📊 Bullish Structure Forming: Higher lows + breakout = bullish bias for continuation.
🎯 Bullish Targets
• TP1: 4,215
• TP2: 4,228
• TP3: 4,240 (Main Target)
🛑 Invalidation / Stop Loss
A clean break below 4,188 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal weakness.
📌 Outlook
As long as price remains above the broken trendline and support zone, XAUUSD is expected to continue pushing toward the 4,230–4,240 liquidity targets.
Debasement Trading 101My Trading Background:
Over years, I've traded stocks, options, futures, and international markets. Tried quantitative options strategies, income-generating portfolios, day trading futures, and same-day expiration options. Experienced profits and losses, but none led to massive gains.
Debasement Trading
Entering 2025, I switched to Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ). Frustrated by market makers' whims—rate cuts one day, consumer spending the next. High beta increased account risk.
Benefits of alternative assets like gold:
Straightforward: Few key drivers affect pricing.
Hedge against market risk: Profit when others lose.
Reduced downside: Traded at fair value via supply/demand and physical delivery—more predictable and stable (though less so now).
Gold is secondary to primary markets but offers quantitative, reliable guidance. I hold positions for months, reducing stress.
Current Key Drivers
As of December 3, 2025:
1. Fed Rate Cut (Dec)- Anticipation rose from 54% (early Nov) to 88%.
2. QT Termination - Permanent end to quantitative tightening since 2022.
3. Forex Risks - USD/KRW at historic 1,440; signals international currency pressures.
4. Japan Bond Yields - 10Y yield up 100 bps; reflects potential rate hikes, slower GDP, reduced productivity/spending amid tourism-driven inflation.
5. Pair Trading - Silver elevating beyond record high price level earlier this week followed by optimistic demand outlook paired with plunging Crypto currency, inflow of safe haven liquidity back into conventional safe haven asset classes.
Chart Analysis
1. Hourly charted bullish regression trend maintained
2. Downside Risk to $4,040 - $4,005
3. Sell-Off of recent gains ahead of Major economic events.
Bullish Outlook
Gold remains extremely bullish. With Fed rate cuts and other central banks holding/raising rates, 2026 price target: $5,000 (per major banks).
Let's build a healthy, educational commodity trading community. Likes, comments, follows appreciated! Share ideas on COMEX:GC1! and $OANDA:XAUUSD.
XAUUSD 2H – Breakout + Retest Play | Liquidity Target ModelFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold is currently testing a major descending trendline that has acted as rejection multiple times. A confirmed break and hold above 4,175 would signal bullish continuation toward upper liquidity.
If price rejects, deeper retracement into the 4,093–4,050 BEST ENTRY DEMAND ZONE remains valid for continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Primary Setup)
Confirm breakout and hold above 4,175
→ 🎯 Target 1: 4,230
→ 🎯 Target 2: 4,288–4,300 liquidity target
📌 Alternative Buy:
If no breakout → wait for discount entry at 4,093–4,050 demand box.
❌ Invalidation:
Break and close below 4,025 removes bullish structure.
Current Levels to Watch
Support: 4,093–4,050 / 4,025
Resistance: 4,175 / 4,230 / 4,288–4,300
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Thanksgiving volatility is limited, precise strategy is key.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
🙏Today is Thanksgiving, and the market will close early. Gold trading is likely to be quiet, and with insufficient liquidity, it is expected to continue to fluctuate within a narrow range.
📊However, as I said yesterday, core safe-haven demands such as the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical factors continue to provide some support for gold prices, and the upward structure has not been broken. The holiday effect is simply limiting significant volatility. Pullbacks are all for building momentum for a subsequent bullish rally.
📈The short-term daily MA5 is moving upward, and the 4-hour moving average and Bollinger middle line are also around 4135, which together with 4125 below form short-term support. On the first pullback to the 4135-4125 area, you can consider a small long position. The key support level to watch remains unchanged at around 4115-4100, near the daily MA10. As long as this level holds, the market's bullish trend will remain intact.
🌈Regarding resistance, continue to focus on the 4170-4180 range, a breakout would lead to an attack on the 4195-4205 range.
✅In summary, our strategy remains unchanged: in the absence of data or news-related factors today, we will primarily focus on buying on dips and waiting for the market to provide opportunities to buy at lower prices.
Got it — I see your chart now. You marked: Support Zone (aroundGot it — I see your chart now.
You marked:
Support Zone (around 4220–4230)
Resistance Zone below it
Target Zone above (around 4245)
If you want the indicator exactly like your chart — with zones instead of single lines — here is a clean English Pine Script that plots:
✔ Support Zone
✔ Resistance Zone
✔ Target Zone
✔ Alerts when price hits the support zone and starts moving toward the target
---
✅ TradingView Pine Script — With Zones (Support / Resistance / Target)
//@version=5
indicator("Support–Resistance Zones + Target Alert", overlay=true)
// ==== USER INPUTS ==== //
support_low = input.float(4220, "Support Zone - Low")
support_high = input.float(4230, "Support Zone -
XAUUSD – Sideways Ahead of the CPI CatalystGold is currently in a “holding pattern” as the market waits for the U.S. CPI data on December 5. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are putting pressure on prices, but the USD dropping to a 1-month low is helping to cushion the downside. At the same time, labor data remains mixed — initial jobless claims fell sharply , while ADP reported a steep decline in private employment — leaving traders without a clear directional bias. As a result, XAUUSD is stuck in a sideways phase.
On the chart, gold is ranging between 4,200 – 4,280:
4,200 → strong support, aligned with the ascending trendline and Ichimoku cloud base.
4,280–4,300 → strong resistance where sellers consistently appear.
Price action shows buyers holding a slight advantage: candles repeatedly bounce from support, the trendline remains intact, and the Ichimoku cloud supports price like a cushion. However, bullish momentum is still not strong enough to break through 4,280 as the market remains cautious ahead of CPI.
Likely scenario: XAUUSD will continue oscillating within this sideways box — retesting 4,200 then moving back toward 4,280. A clear breakout will depend entirely on the CPI release:
Break above 4,280 → opens the path to 4,300+
Break below 4,200 → signals a deeper correction
For now, the best approach is range trading and waiting for a decisive signal after CPI.
GOLDMost traders use candlestick charts or bar charts (HLOC). Candles show the “open, high, low, close” of each time-block and give a quick sense of price movement & volatility.
Orobel
+2
IG
+2
Long-term charts (monthly or yearly) help you see broad trends; short-term (minutes, hours) show volatility — potential trading opportunities.
Orobel
+1
Because gold is priced in USD, dollar strength affects gold price: when USD weakens, gold tends to rise (and vice versa).
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Setup: Demand Zone Retest and Upside TarOverall Structure
The chart shows Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, and it highlights:
A descending channel (blue parallel trendlines).
A support zone (yellow box).
A stop-loss zone (red area).
A long (buy) projection toward a high target point around 4,265.
1. Descending Channel
The price has been moving inside a clearly defined downward-sloping channel.
Currently, the price is:
Testing the upper boundary of the channel.
Showing signs of attempting a breakout.
This suggests momentum may be shifting.
2. Strong Support Zone (Yellow Box)
The highlighted yellow zone around 4177 – 4160 acts as:
A demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
The chart suggests a potential retest of this area before a bullish push.
The projected price action line (blue sketch) shows:
Dip → retest support → breakout → rally.
3. Stop-Loss Zone (Red Area)
Under the yellow support sits a stop-loss / invalidation zone around:
4160.107 (marked explicitly)
This implies that if price drops below this level, the bullish scenario becomes invalid.
4. Bullish Target
The projected target is drawn high above the current price:
4265.369 – 4265.645
This is a large upward move, suggesting:
A breakout from the channel
A continuation to a new high
The vertical grey rectangle indicates the expected profit zone of the trade.
5. Trade Logic Implied by the Chart
Bullish thesis:
Step 1: Price dips back into 4177 → 4160 zone
Step 2: Buyers defend the zone
Step 3: Breakout above descending channel
Step 4: Rally toward 4265 target
This is a classic pullback-to-support before breakout structure.
Risk:
Break below 4160 invalidates the buy idea.
6. What This Chart Suggests
In summary:
Bullish signals:
A descending channel that often breaks upward after weakening momentum.
Strong demand zone highlighted.
Clear projection showing expected reversal and breakout.
Bearish risk:
If support fails, downside continuation is likely
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MEDIUM-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS ATH REGION 4360 XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MEDIUM-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS ATH REGION 4360
1. Fundamental Analysis
In the geopolitical context, President Putin continues to reiterate the conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The possibility of a peace agreement remains open, but the tough statements indicate that the conflict risk cannot end soon. This keeps gold as a medium-term safe-haven asset.
On the other hand, in the US, Mr. Trump continues to emphasize the view that the stock market will continue to reach new highs and even mentions the possibility of abolishing most income taxes, replacing them with revenue from tariffs. These statements foster a "risk appetite" sentiment on stocks and the USD, creating a certain tug-of-war with gold in the short term.
In summary, Lana sees gold in the next 1–2 weeks still leaning towards a medium-term uptrend, but it is easy to see fluctuations as the market continuously re-evaluates geopolitical risks and policy expectations from the US.
2. Technical Analysis
The D1 frame is showing the Elliott wave 5 structure in the medium-term uptrend phase. Wave (4) has completed at an important support area, accompanied by a market structure shift (MSS) signal reversing upwards, paving the way for wave (5).
Using Fibonacci extension, the theoretical target for wave (5) can reach the 2.618 region around 4360, which is also a strong psychological resistance and near the ATH area – a region very prone to large profit-taking by buyers.
Along the way, the 4246 mark is an important resistance area:
If the price decisively breaks and closes the D1 candle above 4246, the uptrend will be more strongly confirmed, indicating that buyers are willing to push the price to new highs.
The downtrend line has been breached, then the price returned to test and bounced up, showing that buying power is regaining the advantage. The price retracing around the trendline & the 4133–4139 area will be an opportunity for Lana to find a buying point in line with wave 5 with a better R:R ratio.
3. Price Areas to Watch
Important resistance / medium-term profit-taking area:
4240 – 4246: intermediate resistance, needs to be broken to strengthen the uptrend.
4360: Fibonacci 2.618 region & potential ATH area of wave 5.
Support / potential buying area:
4133 – 4139: price area near the trendline, where Lana prioritizes watching for buying if a correction appears.
4124: technical stop-loss mark, below this area the short-term wave structure may weaken.
4. Trading Scenario
Buy 4133 – 4139
SL: 4124
TP: 4240 – 4280 – 4350
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read the earliest gold analyses. 💛






















