CLOSE THIS SELL IF HOLDING it's better to close this sell and wait for price around 4150, likely going to push up a bit
Trade ideas
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,157, rebounding aggressively from the previous sell-off low near 4,004. Buyers have stepped in with conviction, reclaiming short-term structure and driving price back above key intraday levels. London opens with bullish momentum in play, but price is now approaching early resistance zones, where the next directional decision is likely to form.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Previous daily candle shows a strong lower wick recovery after heavy bearish liquidation.
• Price remains above both 20EMA and 50EMA, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact.
• RSI has cooled from overbought but now points upward, indicating renewed bullish pressure.
• MACD remains in positive territory, confirming long-term buyers are still active.
Bias: Bullish corrective rebound, awaiting confirmation for continuation.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clean bullish CHoCH formed after rejection from 4,004.
• Price is approaching dynamic resistance from 200 EMA (around 4,170).
• RSI at ~46–50, suggesting room for continuation before overbought conditions.
• If price breaks and holds above 4,170, next bullish leg may target 4,200–4,225 liquidity.
Intraday Bias: Bullish toward premium zones unless rejected at 4,170.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Multiple higher lows after bounce confirm controlled bullish momentum.
• RSI around 60, reflecting moderate bullish strength.
• MACD expanding upward → intraday momentum supports continuation into resistance.
• Key minor resistance near 4,160–4,170 may trigger a pullback or consolidation.
Short-term View: In bullish leg, approaching decision zone.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Structure is trending upward, with each dip being bought.
• MACD strongly bullish; histogram rising.
• Any pullback into 4,140–4,135 area may provide minor intraday buy reaction before a deeper decision.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse leg: Low 4,004 → High 4,160 (current swing)
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,115
🔹 50% Fib = 4,082
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,050
✅ Golden Zone = 4,115–4,050, aligning with previous breakout structure and short-term EMA confluence.
➡ If price retraces to this zone and holds, bullish continuation setups may activate.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback holds)
📍 Buy Zone: 4,115–4,082 (Golden Zone reaction)
✅ Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick
🎯 Targets → 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,200 → 4,225
🛑 SL below 4,050
✅ Break & Retest Buy Setup (Aggressive Momentum Entry)
📍 Buy above 4,170 (Break of EMA confluence)
🎯 Targets → 4,200 → 4,225 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,150
⚠️ Bearish Correction Setup (If rejection occurs at premium zone)
📍 Sell if strong rejection at 4,170–4,200
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,115 → 4,082
🛑 SL above 4,209
🔻 Sell Breakout (If bearish momentum resumes)
📍 Sell below 4,050 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,030 → 4,004 → 3,980
🛑 SL above 4,082
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• No major European data early session; price action driven by technical flows.
• Focus remains on US data later (unemployment, Fed sentiment).
• DXY cooling slightly after yesterday’s strength, offering support to gold pullback recovery.
• US yields remain elevated — could cap upside unless risk-off intensifies.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,170 H1 200 EMA / decision point
Resistance 4,200–4,225 Liquidity target zone
Resistance 4,254 Previous key supply
Support 4,140 Minor intraday support
Support 4,115–4,082 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,050 Final retracement line
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is staging a strong recovery rally and remains bullish in early London momentum. A controlled retracement into the Golden Zone (4,115–4,082) would provide an ideal continuation buy opportunity toward 4,170–4,200–4,225. A confirmed break above 4,170 validates continued upside. A strong rejection at 4,170–4,200 may trigger a corrective dip back into the Fib zone.
Session Bias: Bullish, with continuation favored on dips.
Break Confirmation:
• ✅ Buy above 4,170
• ⚠️ Sell below 4,050
Golden Zone: 4,115 – 4,082 – 4,050
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
---
🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
BULLS GAINING MOMENTUM For better clarity and to avoid regret i suggest you wait for this current h1 candle in the sphere to close at 4am UTC before, if it closes bullish without hitting your sl close the trade yourself because it could buy more but if it closes bearish then it could still sell
Today's trading strategy for gold is hoped to be helpful to you.The core logic: The key reasons behind the price changes
1.Long - term support remains: This year, the price of gold has risen from $3000 all the way to an all - time high of over $4380. Several major factors are at play. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates in September and may continue to do so in the future. The cost of holding gold has become lower, making everyone more willing to buy. On the other hand, the continuous government shutdown in the United States, coupled with the unresolved tense situations in the Middle East, Eurasia and other places, has made the market's concerns about the economy more prominent, thus highlighting the safe - haven value of gold. Another important support is that central banks around the world have been buying gold. Many countries, such as China and Poland, have been increasing their holdings. These long - term purchases can underpin the price of gold and reduce the possibility of a sharp decline.
2.Reasons for short - term fluctuations: Recently, the price of gold has dropped from around $4380 to $4090. Mainly, it is because the previous increase was too fast, and some investors sold to take profits, bringing selling pressure. In addition, there is news that the U.S. government shutdown may end this week, which has temporarily reduced part of the safe - haven demand and also led to a price decline. However, from the perspective of the trend, this correction is more like a short - term rest rather than a trend reversal.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd@buy:4080-4100
pt:4130-4150
sl:4030
#XAU/USDT Bullish Reversal from Key Support Zone Targeting 4,3#XAU
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 4150, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 4253
First target: 4294
Second target: 4331
Third target: 4385
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:**
The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move.
The setup shows:
* **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range.
* **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails.
* **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels.
If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
GoldGold surge stopped with high volume and weak candle in weekly chart
so if reverse happened with breaking small degree key level so price could fall to demand zone around 4000 - 4040
#MA_Intermarket
XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay discipline. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Price deeply grab all SSL.
2. Overall market structure was bullish.
3. Trendline respect.
4. 1H Fresh zone for buying.
5. Once price tap in our zone then switch into smaller time frame and look for bullish confirmation. Bullish move expected.
This is not a financial advise. Let's see how it will work.
XAUUSD Long TP 4460This is not financial advice
This is just an idea from a Human Trader fighting for financial freedom
XAUUSD: Strong recovery, will gold continue to make new highs?OANDA:XAUUSD had a significant correction in the trading session at the end of last week, for most of yesterday's trading session we have not seen too strong bullish momentum.
However, during the New York Session, gold rose sharply under the push of large cash flows and with the emergence of some unsettling news, typically the fact that China could pay 155% tariffs if there is no agreement before November 1 (President Trump).
Looking at the options market in today's trading session, most traders are still apprehensive as the price is trading above the peak of 4350 – 4370 (calculated through the price of CFDs). However, most of the market is involved by longcall contracts, so I assess that in today's trading session, the price will continue to above $4400/ounce.
Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session:
Resistance: ,
Support:
Support:
Strong support:
Margin Zone support:
Fair value gap (FVG):
Margin Zone + Strong suport + FVG => This will be a strong support zone in today's trading session
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones => Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely.
Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
#XAUUSD:$4200 Almost Hit, Our New Target Is $4500! Dear Traders,
Gold has been extremely bullish since our previous analysis. The US has imposed a 100% tariff on China which has caused fear within the global trading community. Our next move is to wait for the price to retest whether minor or major. Once we have confirmation, we can target our next move.
Team Setupsfx
Gold bulls are powerless to recover rebound continues to bearishThis week, global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with real interest rates. Rate cuts typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thus supporting prices. In the current environment of rising risk appetite, even if the Fed cuts rates as expected, gold's safe-haven appeal may be offset by trade optimism.
Yesterday, gold prices broke through the psychologically important 4,000 level as expected, and we saw significant returns on both short positions. After consolidating below the 4,160 high, gold is poised to break lower, generally in line with expectations. The daily candlestick pattern formed a doji candlestick pattern, followed by a mid-sized bearish candlestick pattern that engulfed the lower level, continuing its downward trend. The daily and weekly corrections are still ongoing. The daily chart finally closed at 3982, with a long black candlestick with a long upper shadow. Today's market continues to short. Gold's resistance level is currently moving downwards. The four-hour chart is entirely filled with long black candlesticks. Any rebound is easily swallowed by these large black candlesticks. These large black candlestick bodies demonstrate the strength of the bears, breaking through all support levels. The only lower support level is around 3950. If this breaks down, bears will target around 3800. Therefore, we will continue to focus on long positions, clearly at yesterday's support point, around 4040.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is showing clear bearish signals on the one-hour chart. The moving averages are showing a bearish alignment, with the short-term moving averages pushing downward, indicating that short-term bears have the upper hand. Furthermore, the MACD indicator's death cross continues to diverge, and the growing green momentum bar further confirms the downward price trend. During the Asian session, watch for a rebound in gold prices to the 4035-4040 range. A small position can be entered into a short position with a stop-loss above 4050 to protect against losses from a sudden price reversal. Target prices can initially target the 4000 mark, with further downside potential targeting the 3980-3950 range.
Oct 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
Gold broke below the key 4000 level yesterday — confirming that bearish momentum has strengthened.
As long as price stays below 4010, my plan remains to sell rallies into resistance.
A break below 3984 would further confirm bearish strength and could open more downside.
If price reclaims and holds above 4010, it may signal weakening selling pressure — I’ll be cautious and look for short-term buy opportunities on pullbacks.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4065 – Resistance
• 4043–4050 – Resistance zone
• 4024 – Key bull–bear pivot
• 4010 – Critical resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3984 – Support
• 3971 – Intraday key support
• 3950–3953 – Support zone
• 3945 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3983 → target 3979, with further downside toward 3975, 3971, 3965
BUY: If price holds above 4010 → target 4015, with further upside toward 4020, 4024, 4030
XAUUSD 4D Market Outlook
- Gold extended its record-breaking rally on Thursday, hitting an all-time high of $4,319 per ounce, as investors rushed to safety amid escalating U.S.–China tensions, a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
- Gold did 60% year-to-date gain; its strongest annual performance in decades. The surge is being driven by robust central bank purchases, weakening Treasury yields, and broad-based risk aversion.
- Renewed trade friction between the U.S. and China intensified after Washington condemned Beijing’s expanded rare earth export controls, sparking fears of global supply disruptions. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown, now in its third week, continues to weigh on investor sentiment.
- The Treasury estimates the shutdown is costing $15 billion per week, fueling anxiety over economic stability and fiscal credibility conditions that historically favor gold.
Fed Rate Cut Bets Deepen as Yields Slide
- Markets are now pricing in a 98% probability of a 25 basis-point rate cut in October, with a second move expected in December. The Federal Reserve faces additional uncertainty due to a data blackout caused by the shutdown, while the latest Philadelphia Fed survey plunged 36 points to -12.8, reinforcing the dovish outlook.
Technical Outlook:
- Analysts warn that while short-term corrections are possible, the bullish structure remains intact. Unless prices close decisively below recent swing lows, the path of least resistance remains higher.
Analysis of goldIn my opinion, gold’s deep correction is still ongoing, at least until the 3800 area, which could act as a strong support level.
There’s a possibility that the price might rise again, mainly due to news about issues between China and the U.S.
Under normal conditions, I don’t see any motivation for buyers, and the chart confirms this view. It’s better to wait until the price reaches the 3800 zone — taking positions on either side at the current levels is risky.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 27✅ Last week, gold closed with a long upper shadow candle, indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels. Since rising from 3311 on August 20, the weekly chart has recorded nine consecutive bullish candles, with last week marking the first bearish close, suggesting that the long-term uptrend is weakening and market sentiment is turning more cautious. Structurally, the medium-term bullish momentum is fading, and if gold fails to stabilize, it may gradually enter a corrective phase.
✅ The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be announced this Wednesday. If the outcome and statement do not trigger significant changes in policy expectations, market volatility may remain limited, and gold is likely to continue oscillating within the $4000–$4200 range. It is worth noting that rate-cut expectations have already been largely priced in; if the statement is hawkish, gold may come under short-term pressure, while a dovish tone or any geopolitical risk events could trigger a temporary rebound.
✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Gold continues to move within a downward channel, with short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) aligned in a bearish formation. The price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that bears remain dominant. If the price breaks below 4000, it could open up further downside potential.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis:
Gold currently shows a “double-top + consolidation” structure, with lower lows continuously forming. After touching the lower Bollinger Band at 4015, the price rebounded slightly, suggesting a short-term technical correction, though the upside remains limited. The middle band near 4080 serves as a key level to gauge rebound strength. If the price fails to break above 4080–4100, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075–4085 /4100-4115
🟢 Support Levels: 4010–4000 / 3950-3930
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4075–4085 and faces resistance, consider light short positions, with a stop loss of 8–10 USD and targets at 4100–4050.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4010–4000 and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, with a stop loss below 3995 and targets at 4050–4075.
🔰 If gold breaks below 4000, the next downside targets are 3950–3930.
✅ After nine consecutive weeks of gains, the first bearish weekly candle indicates that bullish momentum is weakening. In the short term, the market remains in a sideways consolidation phase. Focus on the 4100 breakout zone and the 4000 support area. Before a clear breakout occurs, maintain a range-trading strategy — sell at highs and buy at lows, with strict risk management.
The triangle pattern breaks and looks at the directionLast week we repeatedly emphasized the importance of paying attention to the rising trend line of the 4H cycle. Until the price falls below this trend line, we will maintain our bullish stance. Although news of easing trade tensions between China and the United States over the weekend has brought a slight cooling to the market's tense mood, this has only temporarily suspended the bullish counterattack. Whether a real and effective consensus can be reached still requires attention to the APEC summit at the end of the month.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week is almost a foregone conclusion, which has provided some support for the rise in gold prices. This has also contributed to the current relatively flat trend in gold prices, without as much fluctuation as last week. In addition to the rising trend line that we have been paying attention to, there is also a small downward trend line in the 4H chart, which makes the current trend fall into a triangle consolidation range.
The short-term support below is 4060-4050, and the trend suppression above is 4120-4130. Before the triangle pattern breaks to determine the future trading direction, we can sell high and buy low around this range.
The current hourly moving average is arranged downward, and it is expected to test the lower support again. If it falls back to the lower support and does not break, we can consider going long on gold.
YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Institutional Daily📘 EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
All times Africa/Cairo (+03:00)
🟡 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Institutional Daily — COMPREHENSIVE (Approved Protocol)
Version: v2025-Approved • Report time: Mon, 27 Oct 2025 — 10:12
Spot ref: 4,078.65 • GC1: 4,094.3 • GC2: 4,127.6 → Term spread +0.81% → Contango
— GC futures curve explainer —
• Contango → GC2 > GC1 (normal upward curve; storage/carry cost priced in; not bearish by itself).
• Backwardation → GC2 < GC1 (near-term scarcity / strong spot demand).
• Term spread (%) → (GC2 − GC1) / GC1 × 100 → shows curve slope/steepness.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
1) SNAPSHOT & MAP
• Regime: Range-to-balance intraday; buyers defending 4,066–4,072; supply stacked 4,100–4,118 (from panels).
• Tape: RVOL sub-1 overnight → expansion risk around data windows.
• Plan: Trade value to value; only chase breaks with RVOL ≥ 1.30 and delta breadth confirmation.
2) MACRO CALENDAR (Today, Cairo time)
• 14:30 — US Durable Goods Orders (Sep) + Core ex-Transport. Market focused after prior volatility. :contentReference {index=0}
• ECB — Consumer Expectations Survey release today (inflation expectations lens). :contentReference {index=1}
• China — Industrial profits: latest print shows acceleration in Sep (risk-on supportive headline). :contentReference {index=2}
• Heads-up: FOMC two-day meeting Tue–Wed; statement 21:00 Cairo (14:00 ET) Wed; presser 21:30 Cairo. :contentReference {index=3}
3) FOMC WATCH (context for week)
• Dates: Oct 28–29, 2025; blackout in force. :contentReference {index=4}
• Consensus: high odds of a 25 bp cut to 3.75%–4.00% band (per previews/odds). :contentReference {index=5}
• Implication: front-end rates and USD swings likely to dictate gold’s direction on Wed close.
4) CROSS-ASSET HEATMAP (read-across)
• USD/DXY: mixed, headline-sensitive into data/Fed.
• US equities: cautiously bid into US open; watch breadth vs yields. (Context wires.) :contentReference {index=6}
5) GC FUTURES STRUCTURE (XCM)
• Curve: Contango (+0.81%). Read: normal carry; not inherently bearish for spot—direction still flows from USD/rates & RVOL.
6) FIB-KICKER VOLUME MATRIX (from your charts)
• Uploading band: 4,068–4,084 must hold for buyers.
• Offloading shelf: 4,100–4,118 needs RVOL ≥1.30 to clear.
• Trigger: compression <35% + RVOL surge → momentum entry; otherwise fade extremes back to VWAP/POC.
7) ICHIMOKU REGIME TABLE
• D1: Neutral/balanced under resistance.
• H4: Neutral→slight bear below 4,118.
• H1: Range 4,072–4,096; TK mixed.
• 15m: Compression pockets; signal only with volume.
8) VALUE MAP — POC/VAL/VAH/VWAP
• POC ~4,080± | VAL ~4,064 | VAH ~4,100 | VWAP ~4,078–4,082 (from panels). Use as magnets/invalidation zones.
9) XAUMO TREND MAP (confidence %)
• Daily 52 • H4 48 • H1 46 • 15m 50 → Overall: Balanced/indecisive until data.
10) SESSION BIAS TABLE (London→NY)
• London AM: Mean-revert inside 4,064–4,100.
• NY Data Window (14:30–17:00): Expansion risk; let numbers print, then follow RVOL direction.
11) LIQUIDITY MAP
• Below: 4,064 / 4,056 • Above: 4,100 / 4,108 / 4,118. Expect stop-runs at edges pre-news.
12) DIAGNOSTICS (quick)
• RVOL <1 overnight; watch for jump >1.3 on breaks.
• Delta: mixed; no one-sided absorption confirmed.
• Compression: building → favors a data-led move.
13) TRADE SCENARIOS (examples for training — not signals)
A) Swing (reclaim)
• Entry: 4,089–4,093 retest after 15m close >4,088 & RVOL ≥1.3
• SL: 4,072
• TP1: 4,108 • TP2: 4,118 • TP3: 4,132
B) Reversal-fade (into shelf)
• Entry: 4,104–4,112 rejection wick + weak RVOL
• SL: 4,120
• TP1: 4,092 • TP2: 4,084 • Stretch: 4,068
C) Scalping (range)
• Buy 4,066–4,072 flush → TP 4,082–4,088 • SL 4,060
• Sell 4,100–4,108 tag → TP 4,090–4,084 • SL 4,114
D) Continuation (post-data only)
• 15m close >4,118 with RVOL ≥1.5 & positive delta breadth → ride 4,132 → 4,146 • Invalidation: back below 4,112.
14) EXECUTION CHECKLIST
Macro release just hit / upcoming? (Durables 14:30) :contentReference {index=7}
RVOL ≥1.30 on the break?
Avoid first 3–5 minutes after prints.
Pre-define risk (≤1R) and trail only after TP1.
FOMC risk on Wed — scale down size. :contentReference {index=8}
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
ARABIC QUICK SUMMARY
• الذهب متوازن داخل 4,064–4,100. بيانات السلع المعمرة 14:30 القاهرة قد تُحرّك النطاق. اجتماع الفيدرالي غداً وبعده؛ التوقعات تميل لخفض 25 نقطة أساس. خطتك: لا مطاردة بدون RVOL≥1.30؛ اشترِ الارتدادات فوق 4,088 وبيع الزيادات قرب 4,100–4,118 مع رفض واضح. :contentReference {index=9}
FRENCH QUICK SUMMARY
• Or en range 4 064–4 100. Biens durables US à 14h30 (Le Caire) peut déclencher une sortie. La Fed (28–29 oct.) attendue pour −25 pb; prudence sur la volatilité. Chercher des entrées seulement avec RVOL ≥1,30 et validation par delta. :contentReference {index=10}
New update GoldIn my opinion, if gold cannot hold the 4000 range, it will approach the head and shoulders pattern and may experience a price drop to 3700. These tariff issues between the US and China are playing an increasing role.
Today's gold trading strategyTwo types of short-term signals, focusing on immediate verification
Fed's short-term "dovish signals" catalyze: In the latest remarks by Fed officials, three voting members explicitly stated that "no interest rate hike is needed in November, and we need to observe the cooling trend of employment data", and the CME Fed observation tool shows that the probability of an interest rate hike in November has dropped from 25% to 12%. Historical data shows that in the 3-5 trading days after the cooling of the interest rate expectation, gold typically rises by 1.2%-1.8%, and the US dollar index is under short-term pressure (currently the US dollar index is 94.2, and if it falls below 94, it will further open up the upward space for gold);
Geopolitical conflict "immediate safe-haven impulse": The situation in the Middle East suddenly escalated, Israel launched a ground attack on the Gaza Strip, and the Houthi forces announced "expanding the attack range on Red Sea shipping", the spot price of London gold jumped by 12 US dollars on the same day, and safe-haven funds flowed into gold ETFs (such as SPDR) for 280 million US dollars in a single day. Although the demand for safe-haven protection from such sudden geopolitical events is not long-lasting, it will form a short-term upward momentum of 3-5 trading days;
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @ buy4050-4060
TP:4080-4100-4150
SL:4030
Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Monday (October 27), spot gold prices opened sharply lower, falling nearly $50 to $4,058 per ounce. Over the weekend, China and the United States reached a preliminary consensus on the safe resolution of several key economic and trade issues. Market optimism regarding the international trade situation has significantly increased, dampening safe-haven demand for gold. In addition to trade factors, improved geopolitical dynamics and investor profit-taking have also weakened the appeal of London gold prices. Overall, international gold prices may fluctuate and adjust in the short term, but in the long term, the Federal Reserve's easing cycle and lingering potential risks may support a rebound. Expectations of a Fed rate cut, moderate inflation, and uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown provide a buffer, preventing a gold price collapse.
Technical Analysis:
From the daily chart, last Friday closed with a small bearish star candlestick pattern. Today's Asian session opened lower and closed higher, forming a "lower shadow," echoing the previous low of $4,044, forming the initial stage of a short-term double bottom support. While the MACD indicator maintains a death cross, the green momentum bar shows signs of narrowing, indicating that selling momentum is fading. The middle Bollinger Band is near $4080. The current price has returned above the middle band and has not fallen below the key support of the 10-day moving average ($4050). The daily buying trend structure has not been broken, and the low-open-high trend further confirms the strength of buying below. On the hourly chart, after a low Asian session, the price quickly dipped to $4058, forming a bullish candlestick pattern with a long lower shadow. Subsequently, the price continued to rise along the 5-day moving average, breaking through the resistance of the 20-day moving average and the middle Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Band opening is currently showing signs of widening. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross below the zero axis, and the red momentum bar continues to expand, indicating sufficient short-term rebound momentum. However, it is important to note that the hourly RSI indicator is approaching the overbought 70 level, and the price is facing pressure from the previous range above $4100. A short-term correction may be needed, which provides technical logic for a short-term sell strategy. Overall, today's short-term gold trading strategy recommends selling at high rebounds, supplemented by buying at low pullbacks!
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 4005-4010, stop loss at 3995, target at 4080-4100;
Short-term gold sell at 4135-4140, stop loss at 4150, target at 4060-4030;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 4058, Second Support Level: 4025, Third Support Level: 4000
First Resistance Level: 4100, Second Resistance Level: 4138, Third Resistance Level: 4165
