Gold trading plan!Gold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure.
The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday)
Signal: SELL XAU/USD below 4105
Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110
Target 1: 4050
Target 2: 3980
Stop Loss: 4135
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
Technical Indicators
Trendline Resistance: 4115
Support Zone: 4050 / 3980
Momentum: Bearish bias
Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance
Analyst View
Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially.
If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD – CPI Cools, USD Weakens, and Gold Regains MomentumMarket Overview:
Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals.
CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November.
As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz.
Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart.
Technical Outlook (H2):
The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg.
Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940
Resistance / Neckline: 4,211
Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342
Trading Plan – MMFLOW View
🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play)
Entry: 4,058 – 4,050
Stop Loss: 4,035
Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260
🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,002 – 3,930
Stop Loss: 3,915
Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211
Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues.
🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade)
Entry: 4,260 – 4,342
Stop Loss: 4,355
Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058
Weekly Bias & Summary:
With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle.
However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback.
🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy.
Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week.
📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
Gold's massive market sweep!Yesterday's gold market was volatile. After confirming a high of 4375 in the Asian session, it began to decline. The decline continued throughout the Asian, European, and US sessions, breaking below 4200 and 4100, briefly dipping above 4080 before stabilizing slightly and rebounding in late trading. The daily chart finally closed with a large bearish candlestick pattern around 4130. For intraday trading, focus on the following points:
Price Analysis
Resistance: 4150, followed by 4190, then 4220, and then 4250.
Support: Around 4120, followed by 4100, then 4080, and then the 4010/4000 area.
Trend and From a timing perspective:
The prevailing pattern is a broad sweep and clean-up, characterized by rapid speed, large amplitude, and numerous turning points. This means that the current market trend is not a single directional issue. Within smaller timeframes, long and short positions can interact with each other, but it's crucial to focus on the timing of these shifts. Hitting the right nodes will yield gains for both long and short positions, while hitting the wrong nodes will also result in losses for both short positions. In other words, timing is crucial in the short term.
Based on the market's specific performance: A small double top formed above 4385, entering a broad sweep and clean-up phase. The first move at 4380... After testing 4180 and consolidating the resistance at 4380 for the second time, it broke below 4180 yesterday with a high of 4375, pushing the market down to 4080. In other words, judging by the daily chart structure, the first characteristic of this large-scale sweep cycle is the alternating yin-yang pattern on the daily chart. That is, after yesterday's significant yin-yang decline, if this cycle holds true today, consider a potential bullish trend today.
A bottoming-out followed by a pullback to a bullish close (of course, this is just a hypothesis and requires further market verification).
Looking at the current market performance, yesterday's high of 4375 retreated, testing 4240 in the European session, before consolidating again. The new low at 4130 is expected to be around 4090 and 4180 respectively. The market is currently trading at 4130 with a target of 4000 levels but with a resistance of 4000 levels at the moment and a move above 4130 as the support level. The sweeping correction requires consideration of the stabilization of the decline while short-term bears are gradually weakening and the trend is shifting upwards. Specifically, after breaking the high in the afternoon, a second buy attempt is made after a pullback. Here, a long position at 4116 is suggested, with continued upward movement before the European session, followed by a reduction at 4140 and a full profit at 4160. The current trend seems to confirm the previous view. The daily chart shows a sweeping cycle (with alternating negative and positive signals, the probability of a continuous rise and positive trend after today's bottoming out and rebound is relatively high).
With the bottoming out and stabilization and upward expansion confirmed, the next consideration during the European and American trading sessions is the continuity and strength. Here, the rhythm is also divided by spatial distribution:
From the perspective of support below:
1. The support zone for a breakout from the morning high and a pullback to consolidate is located in the 4100/4110 area (this is the dividing line for maintaining a bullish trend in the future). Holding above this level could result in a sweeping rally (above 4100) or a strong rally (around 4120). Conversely, if it falls below 4100, the Asian session will see an uptick. If it finds pressure in the European session and falls back below the dividing line, a wide range sweep between the highs and lows is expected.
Upper resistance zone:
4190/4200 area (the 0.5 dividing line is also the previous top-bottom conversion line). The spatial dividing line at 0.618 in the 4240/50 area is also the top-bottom conversion line before yesterday's European session decline, and is also the current middle track position on the four-hour chart.
In summary: A large-scale sweep and clean-up, with large and rapid shifts to long positions, does not have an absolute direction in the short term; it is more important to focus on the timing of the long-short transition to identify opportunities. The intraday deep squat and stabilization (slowing decline) suggest a low-to-long strategy at 4185. While holding lower in the afternoon, breaking the morning high and stabilizing, the short-term trend shifts to bullish (continue to hold long positions above 4116 and stretch again). The rhythm of the upcoming European and American sessions will be determined by gains and losses in spatial distribution. Hold above 4100, or conduct a sweep upward move above 4100, or a strong rally above 4120 (a break below 4100 would shift the short-term momentum, transitioning to a wide range-bound sweep based on the Asian session low of 4004 and the European session high). Focus on 4190/4200 and 4240/50 on the upside.
Operational:
1. Repeated dips above 4185 in the Asian session led to a push above 4130; subsequently, a dip above 4116 led to a profit above 4160.
2. Hold the 4100 level in the European and American sessions (a bullish sweep above this level still presents a potential upside opportunity, with support at 4105/4110. Defend against 4095). Below this level, the US market structure shifts and the US trading range re-orients.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe ...Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud setup with Fibonacci or horizontal resistance levels marked.
Here’s the analysis breakdown:
Current price: around $4,261
Ichimoku cloud: price is retesting the cloud top, showing potential for bullish continuation if it holds above the cloud.
My drawn levels and arrows indicate a pullback to around $4,250–$4,260, followed by a bounce toward the upside.
🎯 Target Point (based on my chart and Fibonacci zones)
The blue arrow and upper red arrow point toward:
Target zone: around $4,360 – $4,380 USD
🔍 Summary
Element Level (Approx.)
Current Price $4,261
Support / Cloud Base $4,240 – $4,250
Resistance / Target $4,360 – $4,380
Stop-loss (suggested) Below $4,230 (below the cloud and recent low)
This suggests a potential bullish move of about $100–$120 from current levels if the price confirms above the cloud and breaks $4,300 resistance.
Gold is about to experience a significant decline!Gold and Silver are ready to crash in next few days, It has a clear complete pattern of double 3 as w-x-y from Elliott wave analysis, and as whole this is only wave (ii), given the strength of wave (i), one can see a massive bearish move both in Gold and Silver.
Gold price is consolidating around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,150 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by a firmer US Dollar and cautious sentiment after recent sharp losses. The end of India’s Diwali festival may also curb physical demand. However, lingering US government shutdown risks, global trade tensions, and expectations of US rate cuts could lend support to the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold's downward correction is still continuing, accumulating below 4200. Buying power is weakening and there is not much momentum to increase prices this week.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4217 - 4219 SL 4224
TP1: $4202
TP2: $4190
TP3: $4170
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3954 - 3956 SL 3949
TP1: $3970
TP2: $3990
TP3: $4015
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bulls continue to pressure new ATH⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) retreats slightly from record highs in Tuesday’s Asian session, though a deeper pullback remains limited by a supportive fundamental outlook. The US Dollar’s three-day rebound weighs on the metal, while upbeat equity sentiment further restricts its safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
forming a bullish DOW structure on the H1 frame, gold price returns to the old ATH 4380
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4450 - 4452 SL 4457
TP1: $4430
TP2: $4410
TP3: $4390
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4279-$4277 SL $4272
TP1: $4290
TP2: $4315
TP3: $4330
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,847.44
1st Support: 3,701.62
1st Resistance: 4,357.81
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD | Bearish Momentum Below 4,053GOLD | Bearish Momentum Below 4,053 ⚠️
Gold currently shows bearish momentum while trading below 4,053, with potential to extend losses toward 4,011.
A confirmed break below 4,011 would signal continuation of the bearish trend toward 3,944.
However, if the price stabilizes above 4,011, a bullish reversal is possible.
A close above 4,053 would confirm bullish momentum toward 4,074 → 4,124.
Pivot Line: 4,053
Resistance: 4,074 – 4,101 – 4,124
Support: 4,011 – 3,978 – 3,945
Enjoying the Profits / #5,000.80 mark nextQuick update: I am on semi-vacation / not Trading currently due spectacular results I have made on current Bull run and therefore decided to take small vacation and rest. I am constantly getting messages of liquidated Sellers in attempt to find local Top’s and Sell Gold however my practical suggestion remains the same: do not Sell Gold at all costs / this is undisputed Bullish trend and total Bullish domination. Also, reversals on Gold will happen, of course an asset cannot only soar or fall, however those declines in form of a correction are only sweeps to cool down critically Overbought levels however Gold will stay Bullish. Keep Buying Gold from local Low’s as I did for past few quartals. I am back from my well deserved rest on Thursday as normal. I do expect Gold to invalidate #4,300.80 psychological benchmark soon enough which will pave the way towards #5,000.80 psychological benchmark extension which remains my Target for the fractal.
XAUUSD (Gold) seeking $4,000 region?As my H4 chart shows, gold did make a double top a few days ago and then crashed. You can give credit for this massive 3,800 points move to profit taking or economic uncertainty or any technical reason, maybe a combination but it really does not matter.
What does matter is that we now have a double or triple top indicating that we have more room to the down side. I am seeing a medium term bearish move followed by a consolidation and now it may be that we will get a breakout (to the down side) to give us a bearish continuation.
How far will we go? I have no idea but the round number 4,000 followed by 3,950 do make sense. If all this works out as I anticipate, it may be a good idea to close a partial position, move the stop to a level of small profit and then trail the price action.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Gold suffers biggest crash since 2013: What’s next for metal?Gold just experienced its worst single-day crash since 2013, plunging over 8% from record highs after forming a double top.
What’s behind this dramatic move, and what’s next for gold?
After a strong rally driven by fiscal and trade uncertainty and delayed US economic data, gold suddenly tumbled to the $4,000s. This sharp drop comes amid technical overextension and ahead of a crucial US CPI report due Friday, with the government shutdown still adding to market uncertainty.
Overextended : Gold was heavily overbought on multiple timeframes (4-hour, daily, weekly, monthly), with a double top and weakening RSI signalling a correction was due.
Profit-taking ahead of CPI : Many traders secured profits before Friday’s CPI report, with consensus expecting inflation to tick up, potentially impacting Fed rate expectations and the US dollar.
Trade developments : De-escalation between the US and China, with Trump and Xi set to meet at APEC, reduced some risk premium that had supported gold.
Support and scenarios : Strong support levels remain, with a possible further downside to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (~$3,945), but a deeper drop to $3,735 is seen as unlikely unless catalysts turn more bearish.
Volatility is back in the gold market! Will this correction turn into a longer consolidation, or is it just a pause before new highs?
Watch the key levels and upcoming CPI data, and remember—trade smart, respect your risk, and cash out when needed!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
XAUUSD 4H Double top - Bearish setup📉 Technical Overview – Bearish Confluences
Double Top Formation:
Price rejected twice around the 4380–4385 zone, forming a potential double-top structure — a classic reversal pattern signaling exhaustion in bullish momentum.
Break Below Support Zone:
Price is now trading below the short-term support (~4330–4340), confirming a potential neckline break and bearish continuation signal.
Momentum Shift:
Recent candles show strong bearish bodies with increased volatility, indicating sellers taking control. The upper channel rejection also aligns with this bearish bias.
Fibonacci & Channel Confluence:
The rejection occurred near the 61.8% retracement zone of the last swing, and price is now heading toward lower channel support levels — further confirming downside pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci Bearish Targets
Target 1 – 38.2% level: $4,377 → $4,324 zone
(Short-term corrective target; minor support zone)
Target 2 – 61.8% level: Around $4,193
(Mid-term support aligning with previous demand area)
Target 3 – 100% extension: Around $4,068
(Full double-top measured move completion and major support area)
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Metals
Type: Day Trade Setup
Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout
🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT
Entry Zone:
Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering.
(Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional)
Stop Loss:
“Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation.
💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call!
Target:
Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps.
🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy!
💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s”
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples.
You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸
🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST
Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops.
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check.
FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter.
OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early.
🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone.
⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT:
Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition.
Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8).
Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone.
Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line.
🏁 FINAL WORDS
Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience.
The real theft is done with discipline, not greed.
Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰
#XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
XAU/USD Gold bullish analysis buy strong 📈 XAUUSD (Gold) – Fresh Bullish Setup! 💰✨
Gold is showing strong momentum from key support levels, and the bulls are stepping in once again! 🐂🔥
🎯 Entry: 4077
Targets:
✅ 1st – 4093
✅ 2nd – 4135
✅ 3rd – 4154
Outlook: As long as price holds above support, we remain bullish with potential for upside continuation. 🚀📊
Stay patient, trade smart, and follow your plan! 💼💎
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TradingSignal #Bullish #GoldForecast #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheDip
👉 Like 👍 | Follow 🔔 | Comment 💬 | Share 🔁
$GOLD Rally Pause – Will the Golden Fib Hold?TVC:GOLD has seen a strong rally after months of accumulation, but the recent sharp pullback looks like a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal.
Currently, price is approaching the Golden Fib Zone (0.5–0.618), an area that often acts as a strong support during ongoing uptrends. If the price manages to hold this zone and form a solid base, we could see the next leg higher, potentially leading to new highs.
For now, the focus remains on how price reacts at this Fib zone, a bounce here could confirm continuation, while a breakdown below may signal a deeper correction.
DYOR, NFA
THANKS FOR THE READING
XAU/USD Gold Bullish Move (Readmore)...🚀 XAU/USD (Gold) Technical Breakdown 💰✨
Gold has successfully reacted from the demand zone at 4105, showing strong bullish momentum from the current level 4140 🔥
🧠 Technical Outlook (1H Timeframe):
The recent double pattern formation indicates a strong reversal setup — bulls are stepping back in with conviction 💪
🎯 Bullish Targets:
1️⃣ 4168 – First resistance zone / intraday target
2️⃣ 4208 – Key breakout level
3️⃣ 4280 – Extended bullish target if momentum continues
📊 Bias: Bullish above 4105 support zone
⚙️ Strategy: Look for buy opportunities on dips or confirmation candles above 4140–4150 zone
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BuyTheDip #GoldForecast
XAUUSD Direction Outlook: October 21, 2025XAUUSD Direction Outlook: October 21, 2025
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are experiencing a notable pullback today, correcting lower from recent record highs amid profit-taking and a strengthening US Dollar. As of midday, the pair is trading around $4,255-$4,327, down approximately 2% from Friday's peak near $4,380. This downward movement reflects short-term bearish pressure, with technical indicators signaling exhaustion in the prior rally and potential for further declines if key supports break.
Key Influencing Factors
- **US Dollar Strength and Trade Optimism**: A rebounding USD, with the DXY near one-week highs at 98.84, is weighing on gold as a non-yielding asset. Hopes for de-escalation in US-China trade tensions, including avoidance of steep tariffs and positive developments from the APEC Summit, have boosted risk appetite and reduced safe-haven demand.
- **Federal Reserve Expectations**: Markets are pricing in a near-certain 25-basis-point rate cut at the October 29-30 Fed meeting, alongside another in December, which broadly supports gold by lowering opportunity costs. However, the ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key data releases, adding uncertainty.
- **Upcoming Data Catalyst**: Traders are eyeing the delayed US CPI report on October 24, forecasted at 3.1% year-over-year. A softer-than-expected reading could reinforce dovish Fed bets and spark a gold rebound, while hotter inflation might extend the current correction.
- **Broader Market Sentiment**: Despite today's dip, central bank demand, lower bond yields, and lingering geopolitical risks (e.g., trade wars, equity hedging) maintain an underlying bullish backdrop. Recent X discussions highlight dip-buying interest, with analysts targeting recoveries to $4,365-$4,395 if supports hold.
Technical Analysis and Levels
The daily chart shows an intact uptrend with higher highs and lows, but overbought momentum indicators suggest a healthy consolidation phase. A double top pattern has emerged on shorter timeframes, with the price breaking below the 21-period SMA, confirming near-term weakness. RSI displays bearish divergence and is dipping toward 50-55, while the price has fallen below the ascending channel's midline.
| Level Type | Price (USD) | Significance |
|------------|-------------|--------------|
| Resistance | 4,373-4,380 | Recent highs; breakout could resume uptrend |
| Resistance | 4,400-4,430 | Psychological barriers; extension targets |
| Support | 4,266-4,313 | 50-EMA and immediate downside buffer |
| Support | 4,200-4,220 | Key neckline; bulls' defense line |
| Support | 4,180-4,187 | Deeper correction zone if breached |
Today's Direction and Forecast
For October 21, the primary direction is **bearish with a corrective bias**, potentially testing supports at $4,266 or lower toward $4,200 if selling persists. However, this appears as a temporary reset within a larger bullish structure, with no major reversal signals yet. Bulls remain in control above $4,200, and a close above $4,378 could invalidate the bearish setup, aiming for new highs near $4,400. Expect volatility around economic news, but the path of least resistance leans upward longer-term unless CPI surprises hotter. Traders should monitor for dip-buying opportunities, as recent sentiment on X emphasizes rebound potential.
Gold Might Have Taken a Hit from the US–China DealGold started the week on a bearish note following reports that the US and China reached a new trade agreement. The pennant formation is currently being tested to the downside. If it breaks, the first target will be the 4000 support level, with the potential for further declines.
Key support levels to watch are 4045, 4000, 3930, and 3775. Traders should be ready for a volatile week filled with central bank meetings, the Trump–Xi summit, and developments related to the US government shutdown.
GOLD RETRACE + CONTINUATIONAfter 60D 32% run for all time highs, price changed character on D/4H strucutre, but Weekly has still valid Bullish Strucutre. After strong push to 32%, I assume, that price will pullback to PDA or consolidate towards PDA.
Confluences:
Gold is safe heaven and Ukraine war and another fundamental factors are with us...
US lockdown fears people and disbelieve for currency rises.
Latest COT data are bullish.
There are Daily and Weekly demands where price can retrace to.
If you want, let's talk about it
XAU (Gold) Final Pattern Update and Key Resistance LevelsI predicted XAU (Gold) on Binance Square on March 18, 2025, about its above resistance levels (screenshot attached for reference).
XAU is currently forming its last pattern on the quarterly candle chart. If it gets rejected from the above resistance, a massive pullback is expected.
XAU has already skipped several supports, with the lowest noted at $35, which could be reached in the first quarter of 2030. I am not saying XAU will reach that level, but the skipped supports are still waiting to be tested.
If it gets rejected and fails to sustain above resistance, the next support level will be $3,303, and the pattern could go even lower.
The first major supports are $1,846 / $1,707, but it may extend down to $1,292 / $1,046, and then to its key break pattern support at $919.
This $919 level is very important. If it breaks, it would confirm a potential drop toward the bottom at $428 / $35.
However, if XAU breaks above the resistance at $4,707 / $4,727 and successfully holds this level as support, new targets will be $5,539.
Above future resistances:
$7,115 / $7,217
$7,759 / $8,245
$9,206
Maximum high noted $11,954 / $13,022
This message is for educational information.
Always DYOR.






















