AAPL – Three Scenarios for (Aug 28, 2025)Keeping it tight and tactical. AAPL is setting up in a clear zone with 3 outcomes based on how it reacts to 227–231. Here's the full map:
1. Bullish Scenario – Buyers Step In
Condition:
* Holds 229 support
* Reclaims 231 with volume
* QQQ green, VIX fading
Price Action:
* Buyers absorb sellers at 229–230
* Break over 231 opens 233, possible 235 (call wall)
Game Plan:
* Long bias above 231
* Trim at 233
* Runner target = 235
* Stop = under 227
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2. Sideways Scenario – Range Holds
Condition:
* Can’t break 231
* But holds above 227
* Low volume and compressed ATR
Price Action:
* Ping-pong between 227–231
* Wicks both sides, indecision candles
Game Plan:
* Stay out unless there's edge
* Scalps only:
* Long 227 to 229
* Fade 231 to 229
* Small size, quick exits
3. Bearish Scenario – Breakdown
Condition:
* Loses 227 clean
* QQQ red, VIX above 15.5
Price Action:
* Sellers take control
* Push into 224 zone
* Maybe retest 223.5 (double bottom area)
Game Plan:
* Short under 227
* Cover partial at 224
* Hold runners for 223.5
* Stop = reclaim of 229 with volume
Bias: Neutral. Will react to what AAPL does at the 229–231 zone.
If 227 breaks, I’m hunting shorts.
If 231 reclaims, I’ll ride the long side with defined stops.
