Trade ideas
**“Friday Play: Watching GC for a potential continuation lowerAfter the 4240 liquidity clear. Today’s open (4174.9) is my decision point.
Two scenarios I’m stalking:
1️⃣ Break & retest below 4174 → downside continuation into the H4 bullish FVG (4060–4090).
2️⃣ Sweep above 4200–4215 → rejection → short from premium pricing.
Friday loves completing unfinished business — but only if orderflow confirms. Patience first.”**
XAUUSD UPDATE : BREACH 4149.78hi again
Market Analysis
From the previous chart, the price successfully broke above 4149.78. At the current level, the next resistance is identified at 4279.23, while key support is around 4124.81.
Trade Plan
Sell Setup:
Look for rejection at 4279.23 combined with bearish price action confirmation at that resistance level.
Buy Setup:
Look for rejection at 4124.81 combined with bullish price action confirmation at that support level
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Gold Testing H4 Supply – Eyes on Retrace SetupAfter a clean bullish expansion last week, Gold is now testing a 4H bearish FVG around 4,200–4,240. Price is currently holding below the day’s open (4,203), suggesting potential short-term weakness.
If we stay below 4,203, I’ll look for a corrective move toward the 4H bullish FVG just below the previous day’s low (around 4,060–4,090).
Above 4,220, the bullish continuation remains valid.
Currently in observation mode — waiting for intraday confirmation before engaging any short bias.
Gold Confirmed Bullish BiasFenzoFx—Gold is bullish again, confirmed by engulfing above the $4,175.00 resistance. As of this writing, XAU/USD trades inside the bearish fair value gap, testing the $4,230.00 resistance.
Last day, Gold did not dip below $4,103.00 (the bullish FVG) for liquidity. This indicates a strong bullish market. However, going long at the current price is risky because the price has surged already. The ideal level for joining the bull market would be around $4,146.00, which is in conjunction with daily highs and the October 23 and 24 close. This area should provide decent support for Gold.
In the bullish scenario, we expect Gold to form a double top at all-time highs by targeting $4,398.00.
GOLD: Look For Bullish Breakout From The +FVGIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 10-14th.
Gold has been consolidating in a +FVG since last week... and it is still holding! Wait for price to break the high of the consolidation and then look for long setups.
Be mindful that price may sweep the sell side LQ before it moves higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
The Truth About Timeframe Analysis – Chapter 2FAFO – F*-AROUND-FIND-OUT FRAMEWORK”**
If timeframes misalign, the market punishes you — every single time.
1️⃣ Trend / Impulse Check
Last impulse >2× previous → momentum, not trend.
Momentum alone = FAFO
Check last candles → volume continuation or fade
Context decides survival.
2️⃣ Zones Only Count With Confluence
Align with:
✔ Trend
✔ HTF
✔ Clean break/retest
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Multiple TFs clean
No confluence = decoration, ignore.
3️⃣ Candles = Evidence, Not Setups
Single candles ≠ signal
Must fit context + confluence
Wrong context → FAFO
4️⃣ Confluence = Survival
2 variables aligned + 1 neutral = potential
Any contradiction = dead setup
No guessing. No opinions.
5️⃣ Timeframe Conflicts → Wait
H1 bullish, M15 bearish → NO TRADE
Waiting = capital protection, not inactivity
Force a trade → FAFO
6️⃣ Context = Weapon
Strong trend + HTF resistance + fading volume = conflict → do not trade
Market shakes out amateurs here
Respect context or get cleaned
7️⃣ Golden Rule
Never trade against HTF unless MTF confirms reversal:
✔ Structure shift
✔ Volume shift
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Alignment
Trade anyway → RR small, execution precise
8️⃣ 10-SECOND CLASSIFICATION CHECK
HTF → bullish / bearish / conflict
MTF → aligned / challenging / opposite
LTF → entry / noise
Zone → fresh / retested / dead
Candle → supportive / neutral / invalidation
Confluence → 2 aligned + 1 neutral = tradeable
Contradiction → NO TRADE
9️⃣ FAFO Examples
Bearish M15 at HTF demand = FAFO
Momentum into dead zone = FAFO
Giant candle in consolidation = FAFO
10️⃣ Rule Stack
HTF owns the market
MTF decides opportunity
LTF executes only
Two variables aligned = potential
One contradiction = dead setup
Momentum ≠ trend
Zones need confluence or they don’t exist
The Truth About Timeframe Analysis – Chapter 2FAFO – F*-AROUND-FIND-OUT FRAMEWORK”**
If timeframes misalign, the market punishes you — every single time.
1️⃣ Trend / Impulse Check
Last impulse >2× previous → momentum, not trend.
Momentum alone = FAFO
Check last candles → volume continuation or fade
Context decides survival.
2️⃣ Zones Only Count With Confluence
Align with:
✔ Trend
✔ HTF
✔ Clean break/retest
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Multiple TFs clean
No confluence = decoration, ignore.
3️⃣ Candles = Evidence, Not Setups
Single candles ≠ signal
Must fit context + confluence
Wrong context → FAFO
4️⃣ Confluence = Survival
2 variables aligned + 1 neutral = potential
Any contradiction = dead setup
No guessing. No opinions.
5️⃣ Timeframe Conflicts → Wait
H1 bullish, M15 bearish → NO TRADE
Waiting = capital protection, not inactivity
Force a trade → FAFO
6️⃣ Context = Weapon
Strong trend + HTF resistance + fading volume = conflict → do not trade
Market shakes out amateurs here
Respect context or get cleaned
7️⃣ Golden Rule
Never trade against HTF unless MTF confirms reversal:
✔ Structure shift
✔ Volume shift
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Alignment
Trade anyway → RR small, execution precise
8️⃣ 10-SECOND CLASSIFICATION CHECK
HTF → bullish / bearish / conflict
MTF → aligned / challenging / opposite
LTF → entry / noise
Zone → fresh / retested / dead
Candle → supportive / neutral / invalidation
Confluence → 2 aligned + 1 neutral = tradeable
Contradiction → NO TRADE
9️⃣ FAFO Examples
Bearish M15 at HTF demand = FAFO
Momentum into dead zone = FAFO
Giant candle in consolidation = FAFO
10️⃣ Rule Stack
HTF owns the market
MTF decides opportunity
LTF executes only
Two variables aligned = potential
One contradiction = dead setup
Momentum ≠ trend
Zones need confluence or they don’t exist
MGC / GOLD 15/4h/D🧠 Multi-Timeframe Alignment – XAUUSD
Daily + 4H demand are in control ✅
15M structure is bullish ✅
Although price is currently high in the range, this 15M demand is valid because it just displaced and removed the opposing light red zone.
With lower timeframe confirmation and HTF alignment, I’m projecting price to continue higher and remove the 4H opposing zone.
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level.
📌 Game Plan
The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range.
My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations.
If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900.
💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below.
For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Recovery phaseFollowing a "Double Bottom," currently testing key resistance levels within a broader bullish context (indicated by the large green Ichimoku cloud).
The price has successfully reclaimed the 0.618 level (4,149.1). Holding above this level is crucial for the bullish thesis to continue.
The price is approaching the 0.786 level (4,193.5). A breakout here usually opens the door for a retest of the previous high.
If the price breaks the previous high (Level 1 at 4,250), the chart projects targets at the 1.272 extension (4,321.8) and the 1.618 extension (4,413.2).
The price is trading well above the Green Kumo (Cloud), which acts as a major dynamic support zone. This generally indicates a long-term bullish trend.
The Tenkan-Sen (Blue, 4,123.7) is currently below the Kijun-Sen (Red, 4,147.5), which is technically a weak signal. However, the current price (4,167) has moved above both lines, which is an early signal of renewed momentum. The status box at the bottom right notes "Status: Consolidation," likely waiting for the Tenkan to cross above the Kijun for a confirmed "Strong" buy signal.
A clear "Double Bottom" pattern formed around the 3,985 level (the 0 Fib line). This is a classic reversal pattern that provided the floor for the current rally.
There is an annotation for a "Bear Asc. Head and Shoulders." However, the price action has pushed up through the right shoulder, largely invalidating this bearish setup.
Current Move: A breakout from the consolidation zone between 4,080 and 4,150.
Short-Term Pullback: The projection anticipates a small dip or retest (likely bouncing off the 4,250 resistance initially).
Breakout: The projection implies a final surge breaking the 4,250 high, aiming for the Fibonacci extensions at 4,321 and 4,413.
Pivot/Support 4,149 (0.618 Fib) Must hold to maintain immediate bullish momentum.
Major Support 4,118 - 4,123 Confluence of 0.5 Fib and Tenkan-Sen. Loss of this level turns the trend neutral/bearish.
Key Resistance 4,193.5 The 0.786 Fib level; the next hurdle to clear.
Breakout Target 4,250 Previous High. Clearing this confirms the resumption of the macro uptrend.
Insight
The chart suggests a Bullish Bias. The "Double Bottom" provided a strong floor, and the price reclaiming the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a sign of strength. The primary risk is the "Consolidation", watch for the Tenkan-Sen (Blue line) to cross above the Kijun-Sen (Red line) to confirm the next leg up.
XAU/USD Plot Twist?XAU/USD: From 4106.7 to 4200 – The Comeback Tour (Featuring a Quick Dip at 4060.3)
Trade Idea Explanation:
Current Situation:
Price has successfully broken above the previous resistance at 4106.7, confirming bullish momentum.
Expected Move:
A pullback toward 4060.3 is anticipated before resuming the upward trend. This level aligns with potential support from the breakout structure.
Bullish Target:
After the pullback, the next upside target is 4200, which represents the projected extension of the bullish move.
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks the current resistance at 4152.0, it could extend higher toward 4195 (first short entry) and 4220 (second short entry), where sellers may step in and initiate a reversal.
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Disclaimer
My trading strategy isn’t a signal — it’s more like therapy for my brain. I’m just here crying over candlesticks while pretending it’s ‘learning market structure.’ Sharpening my skills? Sure. Building my trade journal? Absolutely. But deep down, it’s just me whispering to the charts: ‘Please love me back
Upcoming GOLD is most likely going upThe upcoming outlook for gold is bullish.
The external structure remains bullish, and the internal structure has now shifted bullish as well after breaking the internal lower high. Price completed a clean retracement into the 78% Fibonacci level and has since begun pushing upward.
Gold is currently bouncing from the FVG and is heading toward the upside Unicorn Zone. Before revisiting the all-time high, price is expected to pull back into the major support area and then continue higher toward the double-top all-time-high region.






















