AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25|FX:AUDJPY
📅 Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25|
📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
JPYAUD trade ideas
AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25|
📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDJPY
AUDJPY breakout retest supported at 97.45The AUDJPY remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 97.45 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 97.45 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
98.50 – initial resistance
98.80 – psychological and structural level
99.00 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 97.45 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
97.20 – minor support
96.90 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the AUDJPY holds above 97.45. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDJPY | Fresh Flag Breakout Within Channel – What’s Next?AUDJPY has extended its breakout from the flag formation, reinforced by a decisive move above the 20- and 50-day moving averages. This alignment signals strengthening trend momentum within the broader ascending channel. Near-term catalysts remain RBA policy signals, BOJ guidance, and broader risk sentiment, with the upper channel boundary now the next technical focus.
AUD/JPY Bullish Breakout, Bulls Eye 99Earlier this week I outlined my bias for a bounce ahead of another leg lower on AUD/JPY. but looking at the strength of the bounce, I suspect we've already seen the corrective low.
AUD/JPY bounced cleanly from 97.40 support and posted its strongest session in five weeks. A Morning Star reversal formed at the 20-day EMA, HVN, and July high, suggesting the correction is complete. Bulls now eye resistance at 99.00, with a breakout targeting the 100.00 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25| 📅 Q3 | W39 | D24 | Y25|
📊 AUDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDJPY
JPY short on the radarThere is not an awful lot to chew on so far this week as the US government shutdown continues. We did get the (weak) JPY opening gap following the weekend election news. And it certainly feels like the JPY is back is 'to short territory'. I initially felt the move was too big and wanted to wait for a pullback, we are now having that pullback and JPY short is very much on my radar.
I also continue to have a preference for short USD, although it has begun the week quite strongly and it could be up to the upcoming slue of FRD speakers to propell the USD one way or the other.
During Wednesday's Asian session we have the RBNZ, it's debated whether the bank will cut rates by 0.25 or 0.5. the forward guidance (hawkish or dovish?) could create a NZD trade in either direction.
Arguably, a JPY short has already been viable this week and as things stand, I suspect it will be my next trade.
Forex Weekly Review. And thoughts on the upcoming week.Despite a US government shutdown, the S&P hit fresh all time highs during the week starting Monday 29 September. It wasn't quite so straightforward for the currencies, which did appear to be functioning according to 'interest rate speculation', particularly the JPY, which was strong for most of the week, due to growing speculation the BOJ wil hike rates in October. Although, governor UEDA dented those thoughts with 'dovish comments' on Friday. Which could very well set up a resumption of JPY short trades this coming week. Particularly as I keep reading that new LDP leader TAKACHI will be seen as 'dovish' for the JPY. One final JPY thought is to note the (inverse) correlation between the NIKKEI and JPY, is noticeably prevelent at the moment.
The USD spent most of the week on the back foot, likely not helped by the government shutdown. But also as the market swings back towards October and December rate cuts. From the limited US data we did get, Friday's below expectations ISM data adds credence to a dovish FED. And I begin the new week with with a tentative USD short bias.
The CAD also continues to be a contender for the 'currency to short', thanks to the ongoing dovish BOC, combined with the falling price of oil as OPEC continues to signal more oil production.
The AUD had a merry go round of a week, also linked to interest rate speculation. Beginning the week on the front foot thanks to the ongoing hawkishness of the RBA. But hawkish sentiment was put to the test by soft data. It was also noticeable the AUD dropped alongside the falling price of iron ore.
On a personal note, it was a week of two trades. On Tuesday a EUR USD long when the USD was weak and post German inflation data. Thursday's AUD NZD long wasn't my finest hour, I thought I knew best but should have waited for more 'price confirmation'.
Indecently, I do still think the trajectory of AUD NZD is up, but I need to see 'nice 4hr support'. Also
, the RBNZ could play a big role this coming week.
I begin the new week wondering if we'll get any US data of note. But all in all, I have a tentatively bullish bias for the 'risk environment' (particularly if middle east peace talks go as Mr Trump suggests). And I also have a bullish bias for 'hawkish central banks'.
AUDJPY.....IS GOING FOR A RIDE? I THINK SOHey Amazing People!
My T.A. of AJ is pretty simplistic, we have seen a rejection to the downside and what seems to be a double bottom in the making on the 1H time frame! Showing me that we could see a heavy push to the upside, also taking out a key R-Zone! Meaning that there is a TON of avaiable room to run up and orders that need to be eaten up! So I believe if we have a break of the current high we can see a rally to Price points such as
97.580 or even
97.660-97.728!
I am worried about AUS news reaction on tuesday but we can only wait and see but either way the currency strength are rather equal so it sould just continue with trend.
This is just my thoughts and logging but tell me what you think? I trade with binary options so I let price tell me which way to go so if it follows this im going to sell high and buy low! If price gives me a push to the downside well dang haha looks like we looking for sell ops!! ;P
but let me know your thoughts or if you feel like this could be correct as well!
Friday 1 October: Post NFP thoughts...oh hang on! All in all, it's been a bit of a strange week, the US government shutdown hasn't helped. Although I do get a sense the currencies are behaving according to interest rate speculation.
Exhibited by the JPY, which spent most of the week on the front foot (October hike expected), until governor UEDA sent a dovish message (Loose monetary policy helps businessess = October hike uncertainty). And it's pleasing to see the JPY and USD end the week softly, which hopefully bodes well for next week.
The CAD is also under pressure (dovish BOC and falling oil price due to production hikes). The AUD has had a mixed week, starting with a hawkish RBA but soft data (and falling iron ore price) put the breaks on AUD positivity. I do think yesterday's trade was a case of myself being welded to an idea (AUD NZD long) and thinking I knew best, I disregarded the negativity surrounding the AUD at the time. I should have waited for signs of a more prominent reversal before placing the trade.
All in all, it's a week I'm glad to see the back of, hopefully the government shutdown will be resolved soon.
Weekly Review to follow, plus now the currencies are starting to behave a little more according to fundamentals,
rather than just the 'risk environment', I will very soon get round to a 'currency overview'. But hopefully you have your own 'currency overview' in mind. (Feel free to let me know your thoughts).
Wishing you a lovely weekend, I'm currently watching the trees dance with 60mph winds, expecting I'll be collecting my recycling up from the neighbours lawn in the morning.
Bearish drop off?AUD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.26
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 98.26
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 96.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDJPY: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the AUDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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