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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

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MPWR - Long Setup: 20%+ Upside Potential📈 Ticker: MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) Recommendation: LONG Instrument: NASDAQ:MPWR Timeframe: Daily + Weekly Strategy: Position Trade with Swing Entry 🎯 Trade Parameters Entry Price: $930.36 Stop Loss: $850.41 Take Profit: $1,121.71 Risk/Reward: 1:2.4 Position Size: Medium Holding Period: 4-12 weeks 📊 Technical Analysis Multi-Timeframe Convergence: Weekly Chart (Bullish Structure): Uptrend intact since 2020 Higher highs & higher lows Trading above 50-week MA ($~880) Volume profile shows accumulation Daily Chart (Entry Setup): Consolidation in bull flag pattern RSI(14): 48.39 (neutral, room for upside) MACD: Histogram turning positive Price holding above key support at $910 Bollinger Bands: Middle band at $932 (coiling) 4-Hour Chart (Momentum Building): Higher lows forming RSI(14): 50.95 (bullish momentum) MACD crossing above signal line Volume increasing on up moves 🏆 Key Levels & Pattern Support Zones: $910-915 (recent consolidation) $880-890 (50-week MA + psychological) $850.41 (Stop Loss - pattern invalidation) Resistance Zones: $960-970 (recent highs) $1,000 (round number + measured move) $1,050 (extension target) $1,121.71 (Primary TP - ATR projection) Pattern Recognition: Bull Flag formation on daily Target: $1,120-1,130 (flag pole projection) Measured move aligns with TP 💼 Fundamental Backdrop Strengths: Revenue Growth: +21.2% YoY Net Income: +318% YoY (explosive) Debt-Free Balance Sheet Strong margin expansion Semiconductor sector tailwinds Valuation: P/E: 23.8x (reasonable for growth) P/S: 16.7x (high but justified by margins) ROE: >30% (exceptional) 🎮 Trade Management Entry Strategies: Aggressive: Market order at current levels Conservative: Limit at $925-930 zone Patient: Wait for break above $935 with volume >500k Exit Strategy: TP1: $1,050 (take 30-50% profit) TP2: $1,121.71 (remaining position) Trailing Stop: Move to breakeven at $1,000 Time Stop: Exit if no progress in 4 weeks ⚡ Catalysts & Triggers Immediate Catalysts: Break above $935 with volume Semiconductor sector rotation Market risk-on sentiment Upcoming Events: Next earnings: February 2026 (est.) Sector news (SMH, SOXX movement) Fed policy decisions 📉 Risk Assessment Primary Risks: Market correction affecting growth stocks Semiconductor sector weakness Valuation compression in tech Break below $850 support Risk Mitigation: Strict stop loss at $850.41 Monitor SOXX ETF for sector health Regular technical checkups Consider hedging with options 🔍 Confirmation Signals Needed Bullish Confirmation: Daily close above $935 RSI(14) > 55 on daily Volume > 400k on breakout SOXX above $520 Warning Signs: Daily close below $910 RSI(14) < 40 on daily Volume drying up Semiconductor sector breakdown 📱 Monitoring Plan Daily: Price action relative to $910 support RSI momentum Volume patterns Sector correlation Weekly: Overall trend structure Major support/resistance tests Fundamental developments 🏁 Trade Thesis Summary Bull Case (70% Probability): Bull flag breakout to $1,120+ Strong fundamentals support higher valuation Sector tailwinds continue Technical alignment across timeframes Bear Case (30% Probability): Failed breakout, range continuation Sector rotation out of semis Market correction hits growth stocks Expected Move: +$191.35 per share (+20.6%) Max Risk: -$79.95 per share (-8.6%) 🎨 Chart Setup Instructions: Draw Support/Resistance: Horizontal line at $910 (support) Horizontal line at $960 (resistance) Horizontal line at $1,121 (target) Add Indicators: RSI(14) - watch for >55 breakout MACD(12,26,9) - crossover confirmation Volume profile Pattern Recognition: Highlight bull flag from $1,050 to $910 Project measured move to $1,120-1,130 #TradingView #MPWR #NASDAQ #Semiconductors #PositionTrading #BullFlag #GrowthStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement Disclaimer: This is educational content, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance. Liked this idea? 👍 Follow for more technical setups! Questions? Drop them in comments below! ⬇️
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by shortermtrader
Inverse head and shoulders with a gap to close towards 1070$The price is completing the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, with a head-to-neckline distance of approximately $300. This suggests a potential breakout target around $1070. Along the way, there is also a significant gap that has remained unfilled for several months. The stock belongs to a company that manufactures power management chips used in all types of electronic devices, with steadily growing revenue
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by balinor
1
MPWR 1D: shoulders are squared and the battery's still fullMonolithic Power Systems broke out of a long-term descending trendline after completing a clean inverse head and shoulders. Now the price is pulling back into the 705–688 zone — a textbook retest area that combines the neckline, the 0.705–0.79 Fib levels, and a major volume shelf. Add to that a golden cross (EMA50 crossing EMA200 from below) and we have a solid technical foundation for continuation. Volume on the pullback is low, indicating no panic, just rotation. If 688 holds, the next levels to watch are 755.66 and 952.17 — the latter being the 1.618 Fib extension. Tactical setup: look for a reversal signal between 705–688, with a stop just below 661. As long as price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact. Fundamentally, MPWR remains one of the strongest names in the semiconductor space. With over $1.5B in annual revenue and industry-leading margins, the company continues to see strong demand from data center and EV sectors. In its latest report, management highlighted accelerating orders from Tier‑1 manufacturers. The balance sheet is clean, with zero debt, and ongoing buybacks provide downside support. In a sector full of volatility, MPWR stands out with both structural reliability and technical clarity - making it a strong candidate for long-term positioning. If this textbook pattern plays out, the train’s just leaving the station. The best seat is usually the one taken before the doors close.
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Monolithic Drop - Time to buy?Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has been one of the best-performing stocks over the last decade, with a stellar CAGR driven by its robust growth in analog and power semiconductor solutions. It has consistently outperformed peers due to its focus on highly differentiated, high-margin products and end-market diversity, including automotive, industrial, data center, and consumer electronics. Technical Analysis: The chart is quite clear, we have a retracement to the confluence of Golden Ratio Fibonacci and the 200 Week EMA. In the past this has presented an excellent to opportunity to start a position. If we lose the $500 level I would be concerned, but I do expect a bounce between the $530-540 level. Competitive Strengths: Market Leadership: MPWR specializes in power management solutions, which are critical for efficient energy use in electronics. Its focus on innovation ensures strong demand even during cyclical downturns. High Margins: The company’s gross margins are consistently above 55%, driven by proprietary technology and operational efficiency. End-Market Diversity: Its exposure to secular growth trends like EVs, IoT, and cloud computing offers resilience during chip stock downturns. Why MPWR May Perform Well Amid a Chip Downturn: Asset-Light Model: MPWR uses a fabless model, allowing flexibility and lower capital intensity compared to competitors. Secular Tailwinds: Power-efficient chips are increasingly critical in electrification (e.g., EVs) and renewable energy, markets less prone to cyclical slowdowns. Pricing Power: Its niche positioning in high-performance analog and power management semiconductors ensures pricing power, even during inventory corrections. Robust Financials: The company boasts a strong balance sheet, minimal debt, and high free cash flow generation, which provides insulation in downturns. Risks: Exposure to cyclical markets like consumer electronics could pressure revenue. Valuation concerns as MPWR trades at a premium P/E ratio, reflecting its growth prospects. Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by NoFOMO_
2
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $690.00 Target #2 = $745.00 Target #3 = $825.00 Target #4 = $908.00
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by WorthlessViews
MPWR | Another Long Term Runner | LONGMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and markets integrated power semiconductor solutions and power delivery architectures for computing and storage, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer applications markets. It offers direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs) that are used to convert and control voltages of various electronic systems, such as portable electronic devices, wireless LAN access points, computers and notebooks, monitors, infotainment applications, and medical equipment. The Firm also provides lighting control ICs for backlighting that are used in systems, which provide the light source for LCD panels in notebook computers, monitors, car navigation systems, and televisions, as well as for general illumination products. The company was founded by Michael R. Hsing, and James C. Moyer on August 22, 1997, and is headquartered in Kirkland, WA.
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by DivergenceSeeker
+50%The price is experiencing panic selling across the entire U.S. tech sector, with sales significantly lowering the P/E ratio. Monolithic produces power circuits used in virtually all types of electronic equipment and is a leader in this steadily growing sector. At the moment, the decline has stopped at the $588 support level, from which a recovery has begun. I find it highly likely that both gaps will close, the first one within the year, with an increase of 50% or more.
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by balinor
MPWR LongMonolithic Power Systems ( NASDAQ:MPWR ) is a great stock that has been beaten down for no reason at all, its profit margins are elevated compared to sector peers and it's P/E ratio is lower than it's sector peers, meaning that the stock is undervalued in terms of fundamentals. Technical base, the stock was on a rising wedge and it dumped off of it, it's currently at buy range and its consistent earnings growth should push the stock higher. PT: 1000 (±5) Current price: 629.84
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by Quantuan_Research
2
MPWR Bullish channelMPWR had been in range for quite a while i.e from Nov 2021 to Feb 2024 And then suddenly the fundamentals changed and the company become stronger A bullish channel has formed and at the moment the stock is at the top of the channel cieling RSI and current movement suggest it will now corect for some time , take support from 770 and then move back up or its testing the top of the channel and will move further up Best safe strategy is to buy partial right now and then add on correction Entry @ 900-915 Stop loss @ 755 TP endless
NASDAQ:MPWR
by vortexTradingSolutions
MPWR - 4 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
NASDAQ:MPWRLong
by TheArtOfCharting