APC trade ideas
AAPL Game Plan: September 8, 2025
Premarket Range:
* High: $240.34 (PMH estimate from chart)
* Low: $239.01(AHL)
* PDH: $241.32
* PDL: $238.49
* VWAP + 13EMA clustered around $239.75–239.85
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO: Range Break + Squeeze Toward $241.32–243.00
Trigger:
* Strong open above \$240.34 (PMH)
* Price holds above AHH \$239.86
* SPY + NQ support the move
* VIX remains < 16
Setup:
* Long on reclaim of $240.34 or bounce off \$239.86 support flip
* Use tight stop below VWAP or \$239.
Targets:
* TP1: \$241.32 (PDH)
* TP2: \$243.00
* TP3 (Stretch): $248.00 (macro level from wedge top)
Risk:
* False breakout → snap back into range
NEUTRAL SCENARIO: Ping-Pong Between \$239.00 and \$240.34**
Trigger:
* Price stuck inside PM range
* No volume confirmation
* VIX drifting but not spiking
Setup:
* Fade extremes:
* Long near \$239.01–239.20 (AHL + EMA zone)
* Short near \$240.20–240.34 (PMH test)
* Avoid middle zone congestion (\$239.50–239.80)
Targets:
* TP1: \$239.85
* TP2: \$240.30
* TP3: \$238.70 if range breaks down
Risk:
* Breakout trap while fading levels
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO: Breakdown to \$238.00–236.00
Trigger:
* Break below AHL $239.01 → then PDL \$238.49
* VIX rises > 16
* SPY breaks VWAP / tech turns red
Setup:
* Short on flush through \$238.49 with volume
* Can also short failed reclaim of $239.01 after break
* Keep stop tight above $239.50–239.60
Targets:
* TP1: $237.75
* TP2: $236.00 (major DP level)
* TP3 (Stretch): $228.00 (
AAPL Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* AAPL is trading around 239.8, consolidating after multiple rejections near 240.5–241.3.
* Price is still within a rising channel, but short-term momentum is softening.
* Structure remains constructive as long as price holds 239–238.5 support.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 240.6–241.3 → Immediate resistance.
* 245.0 → 2nd Call Wall resistance.
* 247.5–250 → Heavy Gamma resistance zone.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 239.0 → Key intraday support.
* 238.0–238.5 → Secondary support buffer.
* 232.5–227.5 → HVL + Put Support anchor.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Tilted slightly bullish, with Calls outweighing Puts.
* IVR: Low at 11.6, showing options are pricing muted moves.
* Gamma Walls:
* 245–250 = Strong upside cap.
* 232.5–227.5 = Strong downside support zone.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Slight bearish momentum showing, indicating short-term consolidation.
* Stoch RSI: Resetting near oversold, which could allow another push higher if buyers step in.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 239 holds):
* Hold above 239.0, push through 240.6–241.3.
* Targets → 243.0 → 245.0, with possible extension to 247.5–250 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (if 239 breaks):
* Lose 239.0, test 238.0–238.5.
* If weakness accelerates, deeper pullback toward 235.0 → 232.5 HVL zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries near 239.0–238.5 with bounce confirmation, targeting 241–243.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 241–243, stops above 244.5.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 238.0.
* Shorts → above 244.5.
Summary
AAPL sits at a pivotal 239–240 zone. Holding this support opens upside to 243–245, with Gamma resistance capping higher at 247.5–250. If 239 fails, expect a quick dip into 238–235, with stronger support at 232.5–227.5. Low IVR suggests controlled moves, but GEX positioning favors mild bullish bias unless support breaks.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
APPL Breakout Play: Ride Momentum w/ $250 Calls
# 🚀 APPL Swing Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 🔥 Bullish (multi-timeframe momentum confirmed)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (75%)
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ✅ Daily RSI = 73.3 → strong momentum
* ✅ Multi-timeframe alignment → bullish trend continuation
* ⚠️ Volume = \~1.0x avg → breakout needs confirmation
* ⚖️ Options flow = neutral (C/P \~1.0) → no big institutional push
* 🌐 VIX \~15 → low vol = cheap calls
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan
* **Instrument:** \$APPL
* **Direction:** CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$250
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-19
* **Entry Price:** 0.78 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** 1.56 (≈100% gain)
* **Stop Loss:** 0.47 (\~40% risk)
* **Size:** 1 contract (adjust to 2% account risk)
* **Entry Timing:** Open (or breakout > \$241.5 + volume)
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* \$250 strike = liquid (OI 36k+) & balanced delta/liquidity
* Low VIX keeps theta drag manageable (12 DTE)
* Upside continuation likely toward \$246–\$250 zone
* Defined risk/reward w/ simple naked call
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* ❌ Failed breakout → fast premium decay
* ⏳ Time decay accelerates after 7–8 DTE
* 📰 Macro/news shocks = whipsaw risk
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "APPL",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 250.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-19",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.56,
"stop_loss": 0.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.78,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 13:19:26 EDT"
}
```
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 239.67
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 234.66
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The price of APPLE will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AAPL LongBroader Market Structure (AAPL 1H):
The broader structure has shifted bullish after a strong recovery from the lows near $223.78, which marked the prior Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside. Since then, price has reclaimed higher levels and printed a clear Break of Structure (BOS) above $241.32, confirming bullish continuation. This transition suggests sellers have lost control and the market is now favoring higher highs unless a key demand zone is broken.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The demand zone between $237–239 is fresh, formed after buyers stepped in with strength and drove price impulsively higher. This makes it a strong candidate for a retest and bounce. The deeper demand around $228–230 remains significant since buyers created a clean rally from that base, but given that it has been tapped once already, it is somewhat weaker than the higher zone. On the supply side, there’s no immediate strong resistance overhead until new highs are formed, giving bulls open space to extend the move.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
At present, price is consolidating near the top after breaking higher, and the projection suggests a pullback into the $237–239 demand zone before resuming upside. The candles are showing reduced momentum after the breakout, hinting that a corrective retracement is likely before continuation.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias is bullish, with the expectation that price will dip into demand before resuming higher toward $245–248. The invalidation level for this bullish outlook would be a break below $228, which would erase the recent BOS and tilt structure bearish again.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum favors buyers, as seen in the impulsive move that cleared prior highs. However, current candles show signs of slowing, which supports the idea of a short-term pullback before buyers re-enter. No reversal patterns have formed yet at the highs, so the structure still supports continuation.
AAPL Sept 5th Playbook
On the 4H chart, Tuesday’s green candle is still holding — looks like a possible bull flag forming. On the 2H, AAPL is stacking green candles and trending up.
If price dips, it’s gotta fight through **238.17** and **238.06** before momentum breaks. If it holds and pushes pre-market highs, upside levels to watch are **241.96 → 250**.
3 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish:
* Hold above 238 → push through PMH → breakout attempt toward 241.96 then 250 test.
* Above 241.96 could open momentum for a stronger run.
Sideways:
* Chop zone between 238 – 241, consolidation before the next leg.
🔴 Bearish:
* Lose 238 → break below PDL → quick fade back to 236 / 234 zone.
Key Levels
* Support: 238.17 / 238.06 → 236
* Resistance: 241.96 → 250
* Bias: Bullish as long as 238 holds.
💡 My take → watching for a **consolidation bounce off 238** → possible breakout toward 241.96+.
AAPL Clean HTF setup to ATHsAfter creation of another bullish fair value gap in the monthly timeframe, AAPL looks destined to get to and through the current all time high.
Low resistance draw on liquidity.
I think we get a blow off top.
Trap late bulls, then smart money will send us to Hades so they can reposition and get lower prices.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stocks
Analysing the chart in early August, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ noted that, given the aggressive rally (accompanied by bullish gaps) and a strong fundamental backdrop, any corrections were likely to be limited.
Since then:
→ AAPL has moved higher, justifying the expansion of the blue channel;
→ the pullback (marked by an arrow) was minor, as expected, confirming the median line of the expanded channel as support;
→ in the short term, we could identify grounds for a new upward trajectory (shown in orange).
Yesterday’s price action in AAPL:
→ produced a wide bullish gap at the open (which may act as support);
→ broke through the long-term descending trendline (R), which had been acting as resistance;
→ indicated that the $235 level (around the August high) now functions as support.
Within this context, we could assume that:
→ in the short term, AAPL may maintain its upward trajectory within the orange channel;
→ in the longer term, bulls may target the upper boundary of the blue channel – located near the psychological $250 mark. Reaching this level could trigger stronger selling pressure.
In the event of a significant correction (for example, due to disappointment with new product launches), potential support levels could include:
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the trendline R.
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Thrives on iPhone and Service SalesApple Inc. (AAPL) is one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, known for its iconic products like the iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and AirPods. The company also generates strong recurring revenue through services such as the App Store, Apple Music, and iCloud. Apple’s growth is fueled by constant product innovation, a loyal global customer base, and expanding services that complement its hardware ecosystem.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume shows bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone by moving above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while allowing room for more upside potential.
The key is whether the price can rise above 240.55 and hold
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(AAPL 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
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The HA-High to DOM(60) range on the current 1D chart is 229.27-232.78.
Therefore, if the price remains above the 229.27-232.78 range, a step-like uptrend is highly likely.
However, looking at the chart overall, the 226.67-240.55 range corresponds to the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to check for support within the 226.67-240.55 range.
If it rises above 240.55, it is expected to attempt to rise to the 250.42-260.10 range.
The 250.42 and 255.59 levels correspond to the DOM(60) indicator on the 1M chart and the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart, respectively.
Therefore, to sustain the mid- to long-term uptrend, the price must rise above 250.42-255.59 and maintain its position.
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Based on the basic trading strategy mentioned earlier, this is currently within the range for a partial sell-off.
Buying in this range requires a short and quick response, so be cautious.
Buying is possible when the 226.67-240.55 range shows support.
If it falls below 226.67, cut your losses and wait to see how the situation develops.
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a medium- to long-term downtrend, so a countermeasure is needed.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 192.31.
This point is located within the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 182.94-199.62, making the 182.94-199.62 range an important support area.
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(1M chart)
The area highlighted by the circle represents an important area.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Apple Wave Analysis – 3 September 2025- Apple broke the resistance level 234.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 240.00
Apple recently broke with the upward gap above the resistance level 234.00, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1 at the start of August.
The price earlier reversed from the support level 225.00 (former strong resistance from March and April).
Given the multi-month uptrend, Apple can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 240.00, former resistance from the start of March.
AAPL Technical Analysis-Sep. 3Apple exploded higher off the 227.5 – 228 support zone, staging a sharp rally that broke through short-term resistance and reclaimed momentum. The move was confirmed by a strong MACD bullish cross with expanding histogram, and Stoch RSI pushing deep into overbought, signaling strong momentum but also potential near-term exhaustion.
Price is now pressing into 237–238, a heavy resistance cluster from both prior supply and options positioning. This zone represents the immediate test for bulls. A clean breakout would open the path toward 240, and potentially 242.5, where the next resistance bands align.
On the downside, 232.5 – 233 is now first support. Below that, 230 and then 227.5 serve as key demand levels. Losing those would negate today’s breakout momentum and shift control back to sellers.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance:
* 237 (20% GEX concentration) → current rejection zone.
* 240 – 242.5 → stacked resistance confirmed by call positioning.
* Support:
* 233 – 232.5 (3rd call wall / structural support) → bulls must defend this to keep momentum.
* 230 → strong pivot zone.
* 227.5 → deep support and base of the breakout.
Options flow confirms exactly what the chart is showing: 237 is a key battleground, while 240–242.5 remains the ceiling until bulls prove control.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Hold above 233 and break through 237 with volume → targets 240, then 242.5.
* Bearish: Failure at 237 and a drop back under 233 → downside targets 230 → 227.5.
Apple’s rebound was explosive, but the 237–238 zone is the real test. If buyers can push through, upside momentum extends toward 240–242.5. If not, watch for a pullback to 233 or even 230 before attempting higher.
AAPL STRONG MONTHLY BULLISH REVERSALA very strong August for AAPL. My previous view had been for price to drift lower to $200 support over the quiet summer weeks. I was wrong. Strong bullish reversal on the monthly chart. Does it have what it takes to climb back to previous highs and beyond? Will watch September price action.
Apple September SetupSeptember hasn’t been Apple’s friend historically — average return is around –4.5% and over the last 5 years we’ve seen more red than green. Institutions usually use this month to rebalance into Q4, which can weigh on tech.
This year we’ve also got the Sept 9 “Awe Dropping” event (iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch updates, maybe AirPods). That’s a clear catalyst, but sometimes it’s “buy the rumor, sell the news.”
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
⬆Bull Scenario (Breakout)
If Apple clears 234 with volume and holds above, bulls could push it higher. Clean breakout = momentum continuation 🚀.
🔄 Sideways Scenario (Chop)
Apple tags 234, stalls, and just chops. No clear trend, just range trading while the market waits for a catalyst .
📉 Bear Scenario (Double Top / Puts)
Apple rejects at 234, goes sideways, then dumps. That would set up a **double top** and open downside risk back toward 219 .
For me → last week wasn’t great P\&L-wise, so I’m focusing on patience this month. Not trying to predict which path plays out, just mapping the if/then so I’m ready.
👉 What’s your bias going into September?
AAPL | Money will Rotate into this MEGA CAP | LONGApple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other varieties of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, AppleCare, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in April 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.
APPL Premarket setupAAPL Setup:
Bias: Bullish → Needs confirmation
Watching price action after open (first 15m candle)
CALL Setup
Break & Hold Above: 233.41 (PDH)
TP1: 234.14
SL: 232.40
Additional Confirmation: 9 & 21 EMAs stays above 50 EMA
No-Trade Zone:
Between 232.76 (PMH) and 231.26 (PML)
Expect chop / fakeouts here — wait for clean break & retest
PUT Setup
Break & Close Below: 231.26 (PML)
TP: 230.59 (200 EMA)
SL: 231.60
Additional Confirmation: 9/21 cross back below 50 EMA
Wait for structure. First 15m sets tone.