Costco (COST) Breaks Out — Early Signal of a New UptrendCostco (COST) has broken decisively above a key resistance level, signaling the emergence of strong demand. Price action is now holding above major moving averages, confirming a positive change in trend structure and suggesting the early stages of a potential sustained uptrend.
Costco Wholesale Corp. operates membership-based warehouse stores through wholly owned subsidiaries across three geographic segments: the United States, Canada, and Other International Operations.
Fundamentally, Costco is a wide–economic-moat company with consistent revenue and EPS growth over the past five quarters. The firm has delivered robust profitability, posting average ROE above 30% and ROIC above 22% over the same period, with net margins exceeding 2%—in line with industry norms. Its balance sheet remains solid, supported by a current ratio above 1x and a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.7x, reinforcing its financial resilience. NASDAQ:COST
Market insights
Costco Wave Analysis – 15 January 2026
- Costco rising inside minor impulse wave (1)
- Likely to reach resistance level 965.0
Costco has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions inside the minor impulse wave (1) – which previously broke the resistance levels 920.00 and 940.00.
The breakout of these resistance levels was preceded by the breakout of the extended daily down channel from June.
Costco can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 965.0 (former monthly high from October and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (1)).
COST in BUY ZONE (2 hour chart)My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under Bollinger Band
Entry at $855
Target is upper channel around $880
2 HOUR TIME FRAME. WILL CLOSE POSTION IN HOURS OR DAYS.
$COST Costco's Three Key Support LevelsCostco's Three Key Support Levels
While Costco (COST) commands a premium valuation due to its exceptional business model, technical and fundamental analysis identifies three primary support zones where the stock may find stability during market pullbacks. These levels represent areas of historical consolidation, significant valuation thresholds, and heightened investor interest.
1. Primary Support Zone: ~$800
This level represents the most immediate and crucial near-term support. As the stock currently trades around $887, a retreat to $800 would equate to a roughly 10% correction, aligning with a typical healthy market pullback. This zone is significant because it likely corresponds with a forward P/E multiple that, while still premium, begins to attract value-oriented investors who are bullish on the long-term thesis but seek a slightly more favorable entry point. It also aligns with areas of prior price consolidation, providing a technical foundation. A successful hold here would reinforce the bullish long-term trend.
2. Secondary Support Zone: ~$700
The $700 zone represents a more substantial correction, approximately 21% from current levels. This would likely be tested in a scenario of broader market weakness or a specific, transient challenge to Costco's growth narrative (e.g., a quarter of disappointing comparable sales or margin pressure). At this level, the valuation would meaningfully contract, offering a compelling risk/reward proposition for long-term investors. Fundamentally, this zone underscores the deep loyalty of Costco's membership base and the company's resilient cash flows, which provide a durable floor even during economic downturns.
3. Tertiary Support Zone: ~$600
The $600 area is a major long-term support and valuation floor, representing a decline of over 30% from current prices. A test of this zone would likely require a significant macroeconomic downturn or a fundamental, though unlikely, impairment of the membership model's stickiness. At this P/E level, the stock would be pricing in virtually no growth, which stands in stark contrast to Costco's consistent expansion, international runway, and digital growth. This zone would represent a historic buying opportunity, as it would fully disconnect the stock price from the company's proven ability to compound earnings and membership income over time.
In summary, these support zones—$800 (near-term stability), $700 (substantial value), and $600 (long-term fundamental floor)—provide a framework for assessing potential entry points. Each level represents a progressively stronger confluence of technical support and attractive valuation, allowing investors to align potential investments with their conviction in Costco's unparalleled business model and decades of remaining growth.
COST Earnings Call Play: Bullish Momentum AheadCOST Earnings Signal | 2025-12-11
• Direction: BUY CALLS
• Confidence: 60%
• Expiry: 12/12
• Strike: 815
• Entry: 68.00–71.00
• Target: 102.00
• Stop: 47.60
• Risk Level: Moderate
• Flow: Neutral
• Earnings: Today
Katy AI: Predicts early bullish push with strong upward momentum in the first 45 minutes after earnings.
Technical: Oversold conditions + support near 871 suggest potential bounce.
Sentiment: Positive earnings expectations across major outlets.
Flow: Balanced IV and delta near key levels.
Why This Trade:
Katy’s intraday projection shows consistent upward bias—giving an edge for a 1-day post-earnings move. Conservative strike provides buffer with clear risk levels.
Note: 1-day expiry = fast-moving trade. Keep size small.
$COST - Costco Showing Potential for Another Leg UpWatching Costco Here:
MACD rolling over but flattening suggesting slowing bearish momentum.
RSI sitting in the mid-40s, showing neutral to slightly oversold conditions.
Stochastic RSI curling up from oversold territory.
Holding above $896 (Fib 0.236) keeps the long-term uptrend intact.
A break below $895 could open the door to $785 (Fib 0.382) the next major weekly support.
If price bounces off this zone and RSI improves, it could mark the next leg higher toward $1,000+.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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COST - Retail Powerhouse In Ideal HTF PositionShallow compressive action has printed contracting Bollinger Bands.
Notice that the BBW - Bollinger Band Width is similar to the previous correction before breakout.
In lower time frame the significantly sized slump has whipsawed through support and wedge trendline to become a bullish engulf:
This event looks likely to be the 8,9 and 10 slump following the Wyckoff Creek of Schematic 1.
And so I think this bullish wedge can also be considered to be a Wyckoff Creek.
Also similar to the Wyckoff schematic, the Creek comes after a long corrective phase - Costco has been in a choppy sideways correction for about a year.
Costco has a very strong trending history and this sideways passage appears to be building pressure for a breakout into the next major wave up.
I am in position already and have more to buy if it pulls back to support @ $932.29 - from there I will just hold.
So I am giving this ideal technical entry to TradingView 👍.
That said DYOR .
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Costco Wave Analysis – 27 November 2025
- Costco reversed from support level 870.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 950.00
Costco recently reversed from support area between the support level 870.00 (which has been reversing the price from July of 2024), lower weekly Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the upward impulse from 2023.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous weekly impulse wave C of the long-term ABC correction (2) from May.
Given the strong multi-year uptrend, Costco can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 950.00.
COSTCO may be the most durable choice in this Bear Cycle.Costco (COST) has been trading within a 17-year Channel Up ever since the 2008 Housing Crisis. Since its June 2025 High, it has been on a steady decline, contrary to the big gains of other high cap stocks (mainly tech).
During this decline, it has broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the main Support of the Bull Cycle since May 2023, confirming its Bear Cycle.
However, it just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line), a critical level as it is the one that not only formed the bottom of the 2022 Bear Cycle but has also been holding since September 2017, providing numerous excellent buy entry opportunities.
With the 1M RSI also approaching its 9-year Support Zone, we believe that Costco may be one of the most durable stock investment choices during the upcoming Bear Cycle on stock indices. The Sine Waves are laying out a rather solid mapping of key market top formation periods long-term and we are currently far from one.
The 17-year Channel Up is currently on its 3rd major Bullish Leg and remarkably enough the previous two both rose by the exact same percentage, 347.16%. If the current Bullish Leg repeats that from its 2022 bottom, then we can expect this stock to reach $1800 around 2028.
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COST in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone below bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $875
Target is upper channel around $925
Costco Stock BullishToday market was very weak, however, COST(Costco stock) was bullish and rising higher on a true volume. It will continue going up, a good trade to make money.
According to my Trade Navigator model — a data-driven system that tracks breakout momentum and overall market strength; the readings remain elevated, suggesting that bulls still have room to run for COST.
#COST #stocks #TradeNavigator #Momentum #DayTrading #StockTrading
$COST: Shaping a corrective Flat NASDAQ:COST : An interesting pattern might be forming since its February all-time high (ATH). It could be developing into a flat structure with an ABC pattern, and the wave (C) seems to be taking the shape of a wedge. So far, the weekly candlestick is printing an inside week.
Costco has broken down from a rising trend Costco has broken down from a rising trend with increased volume and a significant price drop exceeding 3%.
The trendline has not been retested after the breakdown, but a retest is not required.
The price has support around 910 and 875.
There is a declining RSI(21) and negative volume balance over the past month.
The price is trading below a green Ichimoku cloud, and Senkou Span B has crossed above Senkou Span A in the forward-looking cloud, indicating weakening momentum ahead.
From a technical standpoint, Costco appears negative in the medium term (one to six months).
This analysis does not represent a long-term forecast.
Fundamental analysts remain largely positive on the stock.
Disclaimer: I recently exited my position in Costco. The position had shown weak performance, and I am also reducing exposure to the USD.
Costco AnalysisThe price has now touched a major support level, one that has already proven its strength multiple times in the past. Each time price reached this zone, it reversed strongly to the upside, showing that buyers consistently step in here.
From my perspective, I think the same scenario could play out again — with the support holding and price starting another reversal move upward, just as it has done in the previous touches.
🎯 Conclusion: My view leans bullish — Costco is sitting on a strong historical support, and I expect a potential reversal from here, similar to prior reactions. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this remains only my view.
COSTCO NEEDS TO AVOID BREAKING H-n-S TO CONTINUE ITS UPSIDE RALLCostco (COST) has posted another strong fiscal year, with revenue climbing to $86.2B and net income up to $5.49B. However, the weekly chart is showing a developing head-and-shoulders pattern threatens the upside momentum, and price must hold above 871 with a rejection candle this week to avoid a deeper breakdown. A close below that level could confirm bearish continuation, despite Costco’s solid fundamentals.
N.B!
- COST price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
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