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Watch for this stock to continue its trend. As long as the price is below $54.
Same strategy applied on the CMG/PCLN and HES.
Selling Option spread is the top most profitable way to play this.
Though well known banks upgraded this stock when it was trading right at peak from 155 to $185 it was a clear opportunity to bet against at the time, many didn't believe our call that it will head $100 and below but today after it lost nearly 71% it looks more downside pressure is building and now we expect price to trade between $33-$38 next few months and ...
All of the bad news seems to be out for Keurig (Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, GMCR, is the symbol).
1. They created a brewing machine that didn't allow you to use the competitors K-Cups = FAIL.
2. They created a mini-brewing machine that caught fire = FAIL
3. They partnered with Coke (KO) to market a cold-beverage machine = FAIL (my guess).
So, the ...
+ Currently below all three moving averages (20-day, 50-day, & 200-day). Academically proven that future returns will be weak moving forward.
+ Too liquid to benefit from the return reversal effect, so it being oversold shouldn't impact returns.
+ The stock's low volatility makes technical analysis less effective, but our quant model has indicated likely ...
GMCR fell 37% from the peak in March over $130 to its low near $82 in June. That's a ripe selloff.
I'm going from being a rabid short seller to a bottom-fisher down here.
The stock has quite a few good things going for it technically speaking:
1. The stock popped above the lowest 3-days of trading range.
2. The stock moved up in a "range expansion" 3 bars ...
Purely Technical Outlook:
Based on the price data going back to 1994 if that was the IPO of the company, then it has rising to 2014 high in clear 5 wave impulsive move and could now be making a major retracement of the entire rise.
Not particularly sure of the fundamental of the company but its price weakness could be compounded by wider market weakness and it ...
Well about a minute ago I added to my short position on Keurig Green Mountain. Bought SEP 15 85 Strike Puts.
Not letting go of them unless price goes back above $110.00 or if all goes well until price reaches the $60.00 area. If the trade does end up going according to plan then I will re-evaluate the position at the $60 area and decide on whether to continue ...
Notes on chart
From the last chart I published where GMCR was right up against its last earnings report level, which was massive resistance AND from the giant top formation, GMCR has fallen to the lowest volume of trading level, which is very strong support.
Why is "LOW VOLUME" support? Because there were so many buyers at that level on the way up that the sellers cleared ...
Buying the fear starts today. The may to may full circle
Well, as most of us might know GCMR has been through some issues which lead to the steady decline in the stock price since mid November. If you don't know the fundamental reasoning behind the decline then all you have to do is just search up the company in marketwatch, the Wall Street Journal, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, Google, Barron's etc.
Back to the point ...
Sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words -
Target: Various Levels - Red Arrows
Earnings due May 6: Use options to manage risk.
Tim 1:03PM EST Thursday, April 30, 2015
More observation than anything. If .886 holds, could bounce. Might be one to take a closer look on the daily, Big HS formations are often headfakes making their reversals quite strong.
Good support line
123.28 entry level for the next three days.
Downtrend in place. Sell rallies to the 8-day mode area near 123-124.
Initial target is 118 where the 10-day mode was from the rally AND ALSO 2 "key hidden earnings levels" are located, then 115.5 target.
Longer term, if GMCR can stay under 118, then the downside really opens up and I ...
Pictographs and note on chart. Obey your rules.
Watching DT break with volume before entry