US100 โ Key levels in focusUS100 โ 1H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Fridayโs High
This zone marks Fridayโs high and the upper boundary of the current consolidation structure. It represents the point where bullish momentum paused before the weekend, and now acts as immediate resistance. A clean break and hold above Zone 1 would confirm renewed buyer strength and could open the path toward fresh all-time highs. Until then, traders are likely to view this level as a short-term decision point for directional bias.
Zone 2: Fridayโs Low
This zone defines Fridayโs session low โ the level where buyers regained control and pushed price higher into the weekly close. It now serves as key intraday support and aligns closely with the ascending trendline structure. Holding above Zone 2 keeps market sentiment constructive and suggests that buyers remain in control of short-term direction. A clean break below would signal fading momentum and could invite a deeper pullback toward 25,700โ25,750.
Market Recap โ US100 Overview
The US100 closed last week on a strong note, extending its rally to fresh all-time highs as optimism spread across global markets. Sentiment was fueled by renewed progress in U.S.โChina trade negotiations, with reports suggesting a potential framework deal and discussions over easing tariffs on rare-earth materials and agricultural goods. This reduced geopolitical risk and boosted risk appetite across equities.
Tech and AI-related stocks once again led the charge, highlighted by NVIDIA reaching a record $5 trillion valuation, reinforcing the dominance of the growth and semiconductor sectors. The Federal Reserve maintained a cautious stance, signalling that rate cuts are not guaranteed, but investors largely shrugged off policy uncertainty amid the ongoing government data blackout.
Overall, the tone was constructively bullish: optimism on trade and strong tech momentum outweighed concerns about stretched valuations and limited macro visibility. Heading into the new week, traders remain focused on whether the rally can hold as markets navigate high levels, thin data, and potential volatility from fresh headlines.
Trade ideas
NasdaqNasdaq is showing a correction pattern after a previous upward movement. The price closed below the old support zone and was rejected, confirming a resistance zone at 25,923.4.
The loss of this support reinforces the continuation of the corrective movement, with a projected drop towards the next support zone at 25,569.8, a point where there is convergence with the previous low and a potential area for absorbing buy orders.
31 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPBREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?๐ฏ NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup ๐ฐ
๐ Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
๐ Technical Foundation
Bias: ๐ BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
๐ The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" ๐
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
๐ฏ Layer 1: 24,800
๐ฏ Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
๐ฏ Layer 3: 25,200
๐ฏ Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
โ ๏ธ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
๐ฏ Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
โ ๏ธ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! ๐ท
๐ Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
๐ SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
๐ NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
๐ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
๐ NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
๐ NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
๐ NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
๐ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
๐ TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
โก Key Technical Points
โ
LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
โ
Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
โ
Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
โ
Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
โ
Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
โ ๏ธ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
๐ญ The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." ๐
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
๐ข Community Support
โจ If you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
US100 (NAS100) The Tech Sector's Next Breakout๐ Technical Context: The Range-Bound Reality
The 4-hour chart reveals that the NAS100 is currently entrenched in a narrow consolidation channel, forming a high-probability decision zone. The recent price action has tested a pivotal support region following a downward correction from the peak.
Key Structural Levels (Based on 4H Chart):
โข Current Pivot: The index is trading near 25,866.9, which sits just above the primary consolidation floor.
โข Immediate Resistance (Ceiling): The first significant barrier is the zone around 26,167.3.
โข A definitive 4H candle close above this level would signal a short-term bullish breakout.
โข Critical Support (Floor): The key technical floor is the consolidation range low near 25,560.0. This level must hold to maintain the current neutral to bullish structural bias.
Upside Targets:
โข A break above 26,167.3 unlocks the path to the first swing high target at 26,566.8 (a +278.0 point move from the ceiling).
โข The major continuation target sits at the recent swing high of 27,004.0 (a total upside potential of approximately +719.6 points).
Downside Targets:
โข A decisive 4H candle close below 25,560.0 would invalidate the immediate range.
โข The next major support and downside target is exposed at 25,217.4 (a downside target of approximately -519.2 points).
Technical Verdict: The market is poised for a volatility expansion move once a clear breakout occurs from the 25,560.0 - 26,167.3 range. The longer the consolidation persists, the more forceful the eventual move is likely to be.
๐ฐ Fundamental Headwinds & Tailwinds
To achieve an Editor's Pick, this technical setup must be grounded in the macroeconomic forces driving the technology sector (NASDAQ's primary composition).
The Fed & Interest Rates (High Volatility Risk):
โข The price action is highly sensitive to signals regarding interest rate cuts.
โข Hawkish Commentary (Headwind): Any shift to a tighter monetary stance by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could quickly lead to a break of the 25,560.0 support, as higher rates reduce the present value of future earnings for growth stocks.
โข Dovish Commentary (Tailwind): Signals indicating a pause or potential for future cuts will act as a strong fundamental catalyst, likely fueling a breakout toward 27,004.0.
Corporate Earnings and GDP Data (Directional Catalysts):
โข Positive Earnings: Strong quarterly reports from the 'Magnificent Seven' (the largest NASDAQ components) are essential. Positive surprises can provide the fundamental fuel needed for a break above 26,167.3.
โข Inflation/Employment Data: Upcoming releases of major economic indicators (such as the Consumer Price Index or Non Farm Payroll) will dictate market sentiment. Reports suggesting persistent inflation are a risk factor, while softening data supports a relief rally.
๐ก Potential Trading Strategy
Traders should adopt a reactive, breakout-based strategy rather than anticipating the direction within the current range.
1. Bullish Breakout (Long Setup):
โข Entry Confirmation: Wait for a clean 4H close above the resistance zone of 26,167.3 on increased volume, ideally coinciding with a positive fundamental catalyst.
โข Initial Target: 26,566.8.
โข Secondary Target: 27,004.0.
โข Risk Management: Place a stop loss just below the consolidation ceiling (e.g., 26,000.0).
2. Bearish Breakout (Short Setup):
โข Entry Confirmation: Wait for a decisive 4H close below the critical support of 25,560.0, triggered by adverse fundamental news or technical momentum.
โข Initial Target: 25,217.4.
โข Risk Management: Place a stop loss just above the broken support (e.g., 25,750.0).
FINAL SUMMARY
The NAS100 is presenting a high conviction "wait and confirm" setup. The technical structure provides clear boundaries, while the fundamental landscape (Fed policy and earnings) is poised to deliver the catalyst. Do not trade the range; trade the break.
US100: Long Signal Explained
US100
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long US100
Entry - 25826
Sl - 25738
Tp - 25997
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) โ Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) โ Technical Outlook
๐ Market Structure:
Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure.
The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier โ but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High).
The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone.
๐ Key Levels:
Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 โ 26,200
Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 โ 25,000
Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level)
Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target)
๐ EMA Confluence:
Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it.
The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback.
As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term.
๐ฏ Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 โ Short-Term Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 25,950 โ 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection)
Take Profit: 25,400 (PW)
Stop Loss: Above 26,250
Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment
Scenario 2 โ Bullish Continuation (after retracement):
Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800โ25,000)
Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence
Target: Return to 26,000
๐ Indicators Insight:
Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside.
Momentum slowing โ ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal.
Summary:
US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200.
Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone.
Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure โ watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.
US100How to become successful in forex and stock trading:
1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis.
2.Build and follow a solid trading plan.
3.Apply strict risk management (4โ6% rule).
4.Stay disciplinedโcontrol fear and greed.
5.Record and analyze every trade.
6.Focus on high-quality setups only.
7.Diversify across assets and markets.
8.Keep evolvingโstudy, adapt, and grow daily.
US100 Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
US100 looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 25826 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 25982
Recommended Stop Loss - 25749
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
30 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPLONDON KILL ZONE
BREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NASDAQ BullishOne of the remarkable characteristics of the NASDAQ is its ability to sustain rallies even at all-time highs. This resilience is largely driven by the โBig 7โ tech companies, which collectively account for roughly 40% of the indexโs weight. Their constant innovation continues to fuel long-term bullish momentum across the sector.
Heading into next week, I anticipate the potential formation of new all-time highs, particularly if price breaks and trades above 25,859.8 โ Thursdayโs daily rejection candle and the vicinity of the -27% Fibonacci extension level.
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
NAS100 Master Technical Analysis | Weekly Forecast Nov 3-7๐ NAS100 NASDAQ-100 INDEX | Master Technical Analysis | Weekly Forecast Nov 3-7, 2025 ๐
๐ MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | INTRADAY & SWING TRADING BLUEPRINT | 25,866.9 ๐
Closing Level: 25,866.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025 | UTC+4
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๐ฏ MARKET OVERVIEW & CRITICAL LEVELS
NASDAQ-100 consolidates near all-time high territory at 25,866.9 , presenting a pivotal moment for tech bulls. Our comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis reveals a cautiously bullish stance with immediate resistance at 25,900 and crucial support at 25,750. The upcoming week offers exceptional opportunities for both scalpers and position traders as we navigate post-earnings volatility.
Major Support Levels: ๐
Immediate: 25,800 - 25,820
Secondary: 25,750 - 25,770
Critical: 25,650 - 25,680
Major: 25,500 - 25,550
Key Resistance Zones: ๐
Immediate: 25,900 - 25,920
Secondary: 25,980 - 26,000
Psychological: 26,100 - 26,150
Major Target: 26,250 - 26,300
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - THE BIG PICTURE
Elliott Wave Structure: ๐
Currently navigating Wave 4 correction within larger degree Wave 5 . The shallow retracement suggests strength, targeting 26,500+ upon completion. Alternate count places us in Wave B of an ABC correction - monitor 25,500 for validation.
Wyckoff Analysis: ๐
Textbook Re-accumulation Trading Range (TR) after upthrust. Volume signature confirms Phase C - Last Point of Support (LPS). Expect markup phase initiation above 25,920.
Ichimoku Cloud Perspective: โ๏ธ
Price maintains position above weekly Kumo with Chikou Span confirmation. Tenkan-sen at 25,720 provides dynamic support. Bullish TK cross intact since October.
Harmonic Pattern Alert: ๐ฆ
Potential Bullish Crab pattern forming with PRZ at 25,650-25,700. The 1.618 XA extension at 26,450 serves as measured target upon pattern completion.
Gann Analysis: ๐
Price respecting 1x1 Gann angle from September low. Next significant Gann resistance at 26,080 (45-degree angle from yearly pivot).
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADER'S ROADMAP
Japanese Candlestick Patterns: ๐ฏ๏ธ
Yesterday's Spinning Top at resistance signals indecision. Watch for today's close above 25,900 to confirm Three White Soldiers continuation pattern.
Pattern Recognition:
Ascending Triangle formation with horizontal resistance at 25,900. Successful breakout projects 26,250 target (350-point measured move).
Bollinger Bands Analysis:
Price kissing upper band (25,885) with bands expanding - volatility breakout imminent. Middle band at 25,720 serves as dynamic support.
RSI & Momentum Oscillators:
RSI at 62 - bullish but not overbought. Hidden bullish divergence on 4H timeframe supports continuation thesis.
Volume Profile: ๐
High Volume Node (HVN) at 25,750-25,800 acting as support magnet. Point of Control (POC) at 25,680 defines major support.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โฐ 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - SWING & INTRADAY FUSION
Dow Theory Application: ๐
Primary trend: Bullish (series of HH-HL intact)
Secondary trend: Consolidation phase
Minor trend: Testing resistance
Chart Pattern Alert:
Bull Flag completion targeting 26,050. Flag pole: 25,600-25,900 (300 points). Breakout confirmation above 25,920 activates pattern.
Moving Average Configuration:
EMA 20: 25,825 (immediate support)
EMA 50: 25,760 (strong support)
SMA 100: 25,680 (critical support)
SMA 200: 25,550 (major support)
VWAP Analysis:
Weekly VWAP at 25,810 acting as dynamic pivot. Price above VWAP = bullish intraday bias.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ช 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRIES
Immediate Setup: ๐ก
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern developing. Left shoulder: 25,750, Head: 25,700, Right shoulder forming at 25,760. Neckline at 25,900 - breakout targets 26,100.
Support & Resistance Matrix:
R4: 26,150 (Weekly R2 Pivot)
R3: 26,050 (Pattern Target)
R2: 25,980 (Psychological)
R1: 25,920 (Neckline)
PIVOT: 25,866 (Current)
S1: 25,820 (1H Support)
S2: 25,760 (Right Shoulder)
S3: 25,700 (Pattern Low)
Entry Strategies: ๐ฏ
Breakout Long: Above 25,920 | Stop: 25,850 | Target: 26,050
Pullback Long: 25,820 test | Stop: 25,760 | Target: 25,920
Reversal Long: 25,760 bounce | Stop: 25,700 | Target: 25,900
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก 30-MINUTE TIMEFRAME (30M) - SCALPER'S PLAYGROUND
Micro Structure: ๐
Rising Wedge pattern - bearish implications short-term. Expect pullback to 25,800 before continuation. Volume declining confirms pattern.
Scalping Zones: ๐ฏ
Prime Buy Zones:
โข Zone A: 25,820-25,830 (30M demand)
โข Zone B: 25,790-25,800 (VWAP test)
โข Zone C: 25,760-25,770 (Strong support)
Prime Sell Zones:
โข Zone A: 25,900-25,910 (30M supply)
โข Zone B: 25,940-25,950 (Extension)
โข Zone C: 25,980-26,000 (Major resistance)
ATR & Volatility:
30M ATR(14): 35 points - optimal stop-loss range: 25-30 points
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING
15-Minute Momentum Setup: โ ๏ธ
Bullish Pennant forming - breakout above 25,880 targets 25,920 (40-point quick move).
5-Minute Precision Matrix:
London Open: Range 25,840-25,880
NY Pre-market: Breakout potential above 25,900
NY Open: Volatility spike - 50+ point moves
NY Afternoon: Consolidation 25,850-25,900
RSI Scalping Strategy:
5M RSI < 25: Oversold bounce long
5M RSI > 75: Overbought short
15M RSI divergence: Position entry
Optimal RSI range: 40-60 for trends
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐
WEEKLY FORECAST & DAILY GAMEPLAN (Nov 3-7, 2025)
Monday, November 3: ๐
Gap-up potential to 25,920. First test of resistance.
Strategy: Wait for pullback to 25,850 for longs
Target: 25,950-25,980
Tuesday, November 4: ๐
Election uncertainty - expect 100+ point range.
Strategy: Fade extremes with tight stops
Range: 25,750-25,950
Wednesday, November 5: ๐ฅ
Breakout day - major move expected post-election.
Strategy: Momentum trades only
Breakout target: 26,100+
Thursday, November 6: ๐
Consolidation/profit-taking day.
Strategy: Range trading 25,900-26,050
Focus: Mean reversion
Friday, November 7: ๐
Weekly options expiry - pin risk around 26,000.
Strategy: Fade moves away from 26,000
Close above 26,000 = Bullish weekly
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ผ COMPREHENSIVE TRADE MANAGEMENT
Intraday Risk Parameters: ๐ฎ
Maximum risk per trade: 0.5-1% of capital
Risk-Reward minimum: 1:2.5 ratio
Daily stop loss: -2% of account
Trailing stop activation: After +30 points
Breakeven stop: After +20 points profit
Maximum daily trades: 3-5 quality setups
Swing Position Guidelines: ๐
Position sizing: 2-3% portfolio risk
Initial stop-loss: Below 25,650 (major support)
Target 1: 26,050 (30% exit)
Target 2: 26,150 (40% exit)
Target 3: 26,300 (20% exit)
Runner: 26,500 (10% moon shot)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ ๏ธ RISK SCENARIOS & INVALIDATION TRIGGERS
Bearish Reversal Signals: ๐ป
Hourly close below 25,800 = Caution mode
Daily close below 25,750 = Bearish shift
Break of 25,650 = Major support failure
Weekly close below 25,500 = Trend reversal
Black Swan Considerations: ๐ฆข
โข Tech earnings surprises
โข Federal Reserve policy shifts
โข Geopolitical tensions escalation
โข Major tech regulatory news
โข AI sector rotation risks
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๐ฅ HIGH-PROBABILITY CONFLUENCE ZONES
Ultimate Buy Zone: โ
25,750-25,800
(EMA cluster + Fibonacci 61.8% + Volume POC + Daily pivot)
Ultimate Sell Zone: โ
26,050-26,100
(Pattern targets + Weekly R1 + Psychological round number)
Breakout Trigger Zone: ๐
25,920-25,950
(Multiple pattern completions + Resistance cluster)
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๐ WEEK AHEAD SUMMARY & ACTION ITEMS
The NASDAQ-100 stands at a critical technical juncture at 25,866.9. Multiple timeframe analysis confirms bullish bias above 25,750 with significant upside potential toward 26,300. The convergence of pattern completions, moving average support, and favorable volume dynamics creates an optimal risk-reward environment for disciplined traders.
Top 3 Trade Setups: ๐
Swing Long: 25,750-25,800 zone | Target: 26,150
Breakout Long: Above 25,920 | Target: 26,050
Scalp Long: VWAP touches at 25,810 | Target: 25,900
Key Success Factors:
โข Respect stop-losses religiously
โข Scale in positions gradually
โข Book partial profits at targets
โข Trail stops on winners
โข Stay patient for A+ setups
"The trend is your friend until the end when it bends" - Trade the trend, manage the risk!
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๐ฏ FINAL THOUGHTS
Tech bulls maintain control above 25,750. The path of least resistance remains HIGHER targeting 26,300. Election week volatility presents exceptional opportunities for prepared traders. Remember: Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Stay disciplined. Stay profitable. ๐ฐ
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Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and implement proper risk management.
NASDAQ100 | Wave 4 Correction Within ChannelPrice has respected a clean ascending channel, completing a clear 1โ2โ3 wave sequence. Weโre now seeing a corrective pullback that aligns with the wave 4 region โ testing the midline support of the channel. As long as this structure holds, the broader wave (3) remains intact.
Scenarios:
Scenario A: If the lower channel and wave 4 region hold โ potential continuation higher toward wave 5 and the upper boundary near 26,600โ26,800.
Scenario B: If the channel support breaks โ deeper correction likely toward 25,800 before any potential resumption of trend.
Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious
The NASDAQ reversed from its all-time high and remains below 26,175, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
โก๏ธ Below 26,175: Bearish bias toward 25,890 โ 25,700 โ 25,340.
โก๏ธ Above 26,245: Bullish continuation toward 26,500 โ 26,850.
Pivot POINT: 26,175
Support: 25,890 ยท 25,700 ยท 25,340
Resistance: 26,500 ยท 26,850 ยท 27,000
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,175, but a 1H close above 26,245 would confirm a bullish breakout toward higher targets.
NSDQ100 relief rally led by mega-cap tech.Nasdaq 100 Trading Summary
Tech sentiment has rebounded strongly after upbeat earnings from Amazon and Apple, reversing much of yesterdayโs selloff.
Amazon (+13% pre-market): Cloud revenue up +20% y/y, fastest growth since 2022 โ a major boost for one of the yearโs weakest Mag-7 names.
Apple (+2% pre-market): Forecasts 10โ12% revenue growth this quarter (vs +6% expected), driven by stronger iPhone demand.
US futures: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.65%, erasing most of Thursdayโs losses.
Yesterdayโs decline stemmed from AI-capex worries after Meta (-11.3%) and Nvidia (-2%) fell on spending and China-sales concerns. Those fears are easing as investors refocus on strong earnings and resilient demand.
Other Headlines
Universal Music beat estimates on subscription revenue, supporting consumer-discretionary sentiment.
Beverage giants continue to struggle โ $830 bn in market value lost since 2021 amid shifting habits and tariffs.
UK retail: Growing backlash against chatbots may be hurting sales by billions, highlighting limits of AI adoption.
Outlook
Nasdaq 100 looks set for a relief rally led by mega-cap tech.
Focus today: follow-through buying in Amazon and Apple, stabilization in AI names (Meta, Nvidia), and overall positioning into month-end and key US inflation data later in the day.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USNAS100 / Fed Caution and Earnings Weigh on MomentumUSNAS100 โ MARKET OUTLOOK | Futures Stall Near Highs as Fed Turns Cautious ๐บ๐ธ
Wall Street futures held near record levels after the Fedโs 25bps rate cut, as traders weighed Powellโs cautious tone, Big Tech earnings, and a new U.S.โChina trade deal.
๐ฝ Below 26,170: Bearish momentum toward 26,050 โ 25,890 โ 25,700.
๐ผ Above 26,180: Trend turns bullish toward 26,500 โ 26,850.
Pivot: 26,170
Support: 26,050 ยท 25,890 ยท 25,700
Resistance: 26,300 ยท 26,500 ยท 26,850
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,170, though strong tech earnings could trigger short-term upside volatility.






















