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USNAS100 | Bearish Bias Holds Below 26,180 Ahead of Key DataUSNAS100 โ MARKET OUTLOOK | Testing Pivot Zone, Awaiting Breakout ๐บ๐ธ
The NASDAQ 100 is testing the pivot zone at 26,095โ26,180, with momentum still bearish as long as it trades below this range.
๐ฝ Below 26,180: Bearish bias toward 25,890 โ 25,700 โ 25,340.
๐ผ Above 26,180: Bullish reversal toward 26,500 โ 26,850.
Pivot Zone: 26,095โ26,180
Support: 25,890 ยท 25,700 ยท 25,350
Resistance: 26,320 ยท 26,500 ยท 26,850
USNAS100 remains bearish below 26,180, but a confirmed break above this level could signal the start of a new bullish leg.
NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single dayโs selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction.
Market Dynamics
The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations.
Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum โ even positive earnings guidance wasnโt enough to support prices.
Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%.
The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration.
Macro & Other Drivers
The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%.
Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10โ30bn/week).
Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone.
Political Context
Zohran Mamdaniโs election as New Yorkโs first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact.
Takeaway for Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally.
Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens.
Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today โ all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ BullishThe NASDAQ is currently reacting at a key daily market structure level.
Heading into the New York session, Iโm anticipating a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity levels before price shifts upward, possibly targeting new all-time highs
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
US100 โ Missed Entry, but the Structure Was Perfect. Market Structure
The overall trend remains bearish. Price broke strongly below the previous Order Block, confirming sellers are still in control.
2. Order Block + Volume
The bearish OB was formed by a strong impulsive candle with high volume โ a clear footprint of smart money. Price retraced but missed the entry zone by just a few points.
3. Liquidity
Before the major drop, price swept the liquidity above and instantly reversed. A classic pattern: liquidity grab โ OB retest โ sell-off.
4. Retest Logic
Even though the entry was missed, the V-Shark OB structure remained perfectly valid. When you follow the right logic, another opportunity always comes โ no need to FOMO.
Conclusion
A missed entry doesnโt mean a bad analysis. It simply means the market didnโt offer the exact fill. Discipline over impulse โ always.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
#VNShark #VSharkOB #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Volume #Liquidity #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView
Market Watch: NASDAQ at a Critical JunctureToday, all eyes are on the NASDAQ as we head into a key earnings release. The index is approaching a pivotal short-term level โ the 55-day moving average at 24,091, which aligns closely with the August high of 23,969. With the daily RSI nearing oversold territory around 30, there's a strong chance this level could hold on the initial test.
But here's the catch: the weekly chart is flashing warning signs.
๐ The weekly RSI has already topped out, suggesting momentum is fading. If the 55-day MA doesn't hold, we could see a deeper pullback toward the 55-week moving average at 22,035, which also aligns with the late 2024 high of 22,222.
This level could be the litmus test for the broader bull trend. A weekly close below it would be a major technical breakdown โ and letโs not forget, the NASDAQ often leads the S&P.
Stay sharp. The next few sessions could be decisive.
Not trading advice
NAS100 โ Bullish Shift After LL โ HL Structure Change (15M)
Price created a final Lower Low (LL) followed by a clean Higher Low (HL), signaling the start of a trend shift.
Market broke short-term structure with a fresh Higher High, confirming bullish intent.
EMAs are compressing and starting to fan upward, showing building momentum.
RSI is trending above the mid-line, supporting continued upside pressure.
A small FVG (Fair Value Gap) below may act as support if price retests.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 24,600 โ 24,630
Take-Profit (TP): 24,783.3
Stop-Loss (SL): 24,548 โ 24,566 (below FVG + EMA cluster)
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Clear structure transition from bearish to bullish.
Fresh HH confirms continuation potential.
EMAs aligned upward with improving momentum.
Clean upside liquidity target at 24,783.
Invalidation
Break and close below 24,548 invalidates the bullish structure.
NAS100 Wednesday Reversal Potential from Key SupportOver the past several weeks, the NAS100 has shown a clear tendency for aggressive mid-week reversals, with Wednesdays repeatedly triggering sharp shifts in direction ๐. This pattern suggests a strong time-based element in the algorithmic delivery of price, rather than random fluctuation.
๐๏ธ Each Wednesday has produced a notable reaction, whether through a liquidity grab, a stop run, or a full intraday reversal. With today being Wednesday once again, the timing aligns perfectly with the type of behaviour the market has been delivering consistently.
๐ The current decline has brought price directly into a well-defined high-timeframe support region. This area has a history of accumulation and typically holds a large amount of resting liquidity underneath it. The repeated wicks into this zone resemble classic Wyckoff spring behaviour ๐ฆ โ a sweep of sell-side liquidity followed by a potential response from larger players.
๐ The most recent bearish leg is noticeably overextended and has not offered a proper retracement since breaking lower. This leaves inefficiencies behind and increases the likelihood of a move back toward equilibrium.
๐ Given the confluence of mid-week timing, the tap into higher-timeframe support, the liquidity sweep, and the extended nature of the current downswing, the expectation is for at least a corrective move back into equilibrium ๐.
A bullish break of short-term structure on the lower timeframes would strengthen this bias and open the door for a retracement into the premium levels listed above.
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. This is simply a technical outlook and my opinion.
NAS100 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix# ๐ NAS100 19th Nov 2025: ๐ Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix ๐
Asset Class: NAS100 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 24,472 | Time: 10:25 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: ๐ Bullish Continuation / Momentum Breakout
Signal: ๐ข Long on Consolidation Break
Confidence: โญ High (Volume Confirmation)
Technical Analysis Methodology
Trend: The macro structure remains strongly bullish with price action respecting the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. Intraday (15m/1H) reveals a Bullish Pennant contracting near all-time highs. ๐
Momentum: RSI (14) hovers at 58.0, indicating room for upside expansion before reaching overbought territory. โก
Volatility: Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the 1H chart, a precursor to a high-volatility expansion. VWAP is currently at 24,450, acting as dynamic support. ๐
Patterns: A Cup and Handle formation is visible on the 1H chart, with the handle currently testing the 24,450 support zone. A successful breakout targets the 24,600 psychological barrier. โ
Key Levels
๐ R2: 24,650 (Fib Extension 1.618)
๐ง R1: 24,580 (Recent Swing High)
๐ Pivot: 24,472 (Current Price / POC)
๐ก๏ธ S1: 24,420 (EMA 50 / Handle Low)
๐งฑ S2: 24,350 (Key Structural Support)
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Momentum Breakout & Trend Continuation ๐
Entry 1 (Breakout): Buy > 24,510 (Volume Confirmation)
Entry 2 (Pullback): Buy @ 24,425 - 24,440
Stop Loss: 24,380 (Below S1/Invalidation Point)
Take Profit 1: 24,580 ๐ฏ
Take Profit 2: 24,640 ๐ฏ
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower.
Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts.
Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market.
This weekโs NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility.
USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure.
If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000.
Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.
US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.
NAS100 - Waiting for buy setup on 4hr timeframeTimeframes Used: Monthly โ Weekly โ Daily โ 4H
Current Market Condition:
Nas 100 is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud โ Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud โ Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud โ Bullish
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What Iโm Waiting For:
Iโll be watching for the next 4H breakout opportunity.
Price to break above the 4hr timeframe.
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & MARKET OUTLOOK
November 17, 2025 | 10:30 AM UTC+4 | Current Level: 25,187.5
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CRITICAL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
RESISTANCE ZONES (Sell Targets):
R1: 25,245.80 (First Profit Zone - 58.3 points) | RSI 65-70 zone
R2: 25,335.40 (Intermediate Target - 147.9 points) | EMA 20 confluence + Rising Wedge apex
R3: 25,445.20 (Strong Resistance - 257.7 points) | Weekly pivot + Gann 1x1 angle
SUPPORT ZONES (Buy Opportunities):
S1: 25,115.20 (Initial Support - 72.3 points) | 15m Bollinger Band lower band
S2: 25,010.60 (Intermediate Support - 176.9 points) | SMA 50 daily + Gann angle
S3: 24,885.40 (Strong Support - 302.1 points) | Harmonic AB=CD node
CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Index rallying after Wyckoff accumulation completion. Price above EMA 20/50 on 4h = bullish confirmation. Bollinger Bands expandingโbreakout phase active. RSI at 62 (bullish) on 1h suggesting momentum continuation. Rising Wedge pattern on 30m approaching apex breakout. Volume surging into US session. Ichimoku cloud bullish alignment below price.
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ENTRY & EXIT SETUPS - INTRADAY EXECUTION
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BULLISH SETUP (Optimal on 5m/15m continuation):
ENTRY: 25,210.40 (Break above 25,200 resistance + candle close confirmation)
STOP LOSS: 25,140.00 (Beneath S1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,245.80 (35.4 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,335.40 (125 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 25,445.20 (234.8 points) | Hold 20% to runner with trailing stop at 25,380
RISK/REWARD: 1:6.2 ratio | Risk 70.40 to win 437.25
BEARISH SETUP (Optimal on 1h wedge apex rejection):
ENTRY: 25,160.50 (Break below support + rejection candle formation)
STOP LOSS: 25,235.00 (Above R1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,115.20 (45.3 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,010.60 (149.9 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 24,885.40 (275.1 points) | Hold 20% with trailing stop at 24,935
RISK/REWARD: 1:3.8 ratio | Risk 74.50 to win 283.25
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TIMEFRAME-SPECIFIC TACTICS
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5-MIN SCALPING: Monitor Rising Wedge squeeze. Target 15-22 points on wedge breakout. Tactical range 25,175-25,210. Volume surge = apex confirmation.
15-MIN SWING: Head & Shoulders potentially forming on rejection. RSI divergence at 25,245 = sell signal. Hold 45-65 points per trade.
30-MIN POSITION: Rising Wedge apex criticalโbreakout within 60 minutes. EMA 9/21 bullish cross validated. Harmonic ratios at R2 confluence.
1-HOUR MACRO: Gann 1x1 angle support at 25,010. Price must hold above 25,160 for continued upside. Ichimoku Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish alignment. Wyckoff markup phase accelerating.
4-HOUR BIAS: Daily pivot at 25,115 institutional support. Close above 25,245 = sustained rally to R3. Gann Square of 9 confluences: 24,885 (S3), 25,187.5 (current), 25,445 (R3). Below 25,160 = triangle breakout to downside.
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SESSION EXECUTION RULES
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โ ENTRY ONLY on candle close confirmation (not wick touch)
โ STOP always 0.20-0.40 points BEYOND level (never AT exact level)
โ SCALE profits: Take 50% at R1/S1, 30% at R2/S2, trail 20% to R3/S3
โ Rising Wedge apex breakout = directional confirmation signal
โ IF price closes below 25,115 or above 25,245 = trend acceleration likely
โ Maximum 3 trades per session. Exit after 2 consecutive losses
โ Volume confirmation mandatoryโlow volume = false breakout likely
โ Gann angle violation = position review trigger
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Risk Disclaimer: Analysis is educational. Past performance โ future results.
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US Tech 100 Cash (NAS100 / NASDAQ) Recorded: 11/17 โ 1:52Thesis:
Price swept prior liquidity and printed aggressive delta absorption at the demand zone. Despite selling imbalance, buyers continued to lift the offer, signaling passive accumulation rather than continuation selling. This aligns with the current higher-timeframe trend structure.
Footprint Evidence:
Large negative delta absorbed at the lows (2.9K โ 3.3K stacked).
No follow-through selling despite footprint imbalance.
Subsequent candle printed trapped sellers and initiated responsive buy programs.
Cumulative delta failed to make a lower low โ bullish divergence.
Market Context:
NASDAQ remains in a trending environment with controlled pullbacks. Current positioning shows willingness from larger participants to defend the zone rather than liquidate. As long as price remains above the absorption block, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability play.
Trade Logic:
Entered on absorption confirmation. If price reclaims the imbalance above, I expect continuation toward liquidity at the previous session high.
Invalidation is below the absorption block, where passive buyers failed.
Summary:
Smart money absorbed sell pressure at demand, trapped shorts, and rotated the auction higher. Bias remains long until structural invalidation.
DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)
After testing the support at $14,717 in Q4 2026 (as mentioned yesterday in my post), the stock market will rise to reach a new high over the next four years, with the DECODED resistance at $57,660, marking the end of the first Grand cycle.
Once the first Grand cycle ends, a huge correction will occur. The market will turn bearish and decline over the next 19 years, forming lower highs. During this period, the market will drop to the support level $16,229.
The second Grand pattern will form around 2050/2051.
I see what others call impossible, every support and resistance I draw is already written. I do not predict, I decode, even in uncharted areas.
This message is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR.
NAS100US100 4H CHARTUS100 4H โ Price reacting near 0.382 Fib (25,484) after impulsive move. Current zone may act as inducement for deeper liquidity sweep into 0.5/0.618 (25,394โ25,304). Watching for displacement and BOS above 25,741 to confirm bullish intent. If price sweeps 0.618 and leaves bullish PA, thatโs my POI for long setups.






















