Nasdaq 100 – A Quiet Accumulation Before the Next PushThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) is showing early signs of a structural rebalancing after the recent correction. Price is currently hovering near 25,600, retracing modestly after a short-term rebound from the 25,280 demand zone — a level where Smart Money seems to have re-entered quietly.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – A Story of Displacement and Repricing
The current chart reveals a clear Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a corrective pullback.
After the previous sell-off, price found support at the 25,280 – 25,300 range — a discount zone aligning with both an order block and a trendline confluence.
This zone likely served as institutional demand, where Smart Money began accumulating long positions before the upward displacement.
The recent retracement, however, remains within a corrective structure, meaning we could still see one more liquidity sweep before the market decides its next major leg.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – The Footprints of Institutions
Karina is currently tracking three zones that matter most to the structure:
Demand Zone:
25,280 – 25,300: The base of institutional accumulation and current structural support.
Supply Zones:
25,970 – 26,160: A major bearish order block where Smart Money previously distributed positions — likely the next liquidity target.
The most probable scenario: a retest of the lower demand → a liquidity grab → bullish displacement toward 25,970 – 26,160 → reversal back to equilibrium.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Flow – The Path of Least Resistance
Above the current range lies buy-side liquidity resting at 26,000+, while below, sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 25,280.
This suggests that the next move could be an engineered push upward — designed to collect liquidity above 25,970 – 26,160 before potential continuation back into the demand zone.
Such a move would mirror the classic SMC liquidity cycle:
Accumulate → Displace → Manipulate → Distribute.
🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Patience Before Precision
Karina’s bias for the day is moderately bullish, anticipating a short-term expansion toward the upper liquidity pool.
However, she remains cautious — waiting for confirmation near the demand zone before entering long.
Buy Idea:
Entry: 25,280 – 25,300
Stop Loss: below 25,200
Target 1: 25,970
Target 2: 26,160
If the liquidity sweep at 26,160 completes, Karina expects a controlled retracement — a potential short setup back into equilibrium around 25,400.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Whispers, Smart Money Listens
The chart right now feels calm, methodical — like the quiet before a decisive wave.
Smart Money rarely rushes. It absorbs, manipulates, and moves when most traders stop paying attention.
For Karina, this is one of those moments where patience becomes the most powerful strategy.
The next move will not be random — it will be precise, intentional, and elegant, just like the rhythm of liquidity itself 🌙
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
How do you see the US100’s next move? Is Smart Money gearing up for another liquidity sweep above 26k? Let’s discuss below 💬
Trade ideas
US100 – Bullish Continuation in Play After Daily OB ReactionHello traders,
On the 1-hour chart, NASDAQ (US100) has reacted strongly from the bullish Daily Order Block, showing clear signs of higher-timeframe strength. This reaction suggests that the bullish order flow is still intact.
With this structure in mind, I expect the upward move to continue toward the bearish Daily Fair Value Gap, which serves as my first target.
My final target for this bullish leg is the equal highs around 26,136, where a significant liquidity pool rests.
However, before the next expansion higher, I would prefer to see price move lower to sweep the liquidity below the recent lows and trade into an Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone. From there, I’ll look for lower-timeframe confirmation to catch the next leg up.
Staying bullish unless higher-timeframe invalidation occurs.
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USNAS100 | Buyers Hold Control Above 25440USNAS100 | Overview
The price reached the resistance zone after stabilizing above 25440.
Currently, it appears to be retesting 25440 before attempting another push higher toward 25700 – 25820.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm further bullish momentum toward the all-time high (ATH) at 26170.
However, a move below 25440 would indicate renewed bearish pressure toward 25220, with a confirmed break below 25220 activating a broader downward trend.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25440 · 25230 · 25010
Outlook:
Bullish while above 25440, targeting 25700–25820.
Bearish scenario activates only below 25220.
Nasdaq NAS100 Bulls Regain Control: What I’m Watching Next📈 On the 4-hour NASDAQ chart, we can clearly see a break in structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish momentum entering the market. 🟩 The buyers are showing strength, and I’ll be looking to capitalize on this momentum — but only if we see a confirmed break of the current swing high, followed by a retracement into the retest zone. 🔁
However, patience is key. ⏳ I’ll only look to engage if today’s New York session data release aligns with and supports the bullish bias. Fundamentals and technicals must work together before I take a position.
As mentioned in the video, if the anticipated price action fails to materialize, we’ll simply abandon this setup and move on — staying disciplined is crucial. 🚫
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS100 H4 | Potential bullish reversalMomentum: Bearish
The price may experience a short-term pullback toward the identified buy-entry level, which aligns with a key pullback-support zone.
Buy Entry: 24,851.44
Pullback Support
Stop Loss: 24,362.73
Multi Swing-Low Support
Take Profit: 25,774.15
Pullback Resistance
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NSDQ100 under pressure ahead o Nvidia earningsThe tech-led selloff continues to intensify, with the S&P 500 logging a 4th straight decline and NASDAQ-100 futures under pressure again this morning. The core drag remains AI valuation fatigue, with the Magnificent 7 down nearly 8% from their October highs and edging toward correction territory. Weak macro data and disappointing earnings added to the risk-off tone, pushing the VIX up to 24.7, its highest in weeks, signaling elevated demand for downside protection in mega-cap tech.
Global equities are sitting at one-month lows as investors reassess whether the massive AI capex cycle will truly deliver near-term returns. That leaves Nvidia’s earnings after the bell as the pivotal catalyst: analysts expect >50% revenue growth, but with stretched positioning and fragile sentiment, the reaction may hinge more on guidance and sustainability of data-center demand rather than headline beats.
Political noise is also picking up but has limited direct intraday impact on NDX for now. Trump’s White House meeting with Saudi Arabia and hints about his shortlist for the next Fed Chair add background uncertainty, though markets will focus more on how the Fed leadership outlook may influence the 2025–26 rate path.
Bottom line for NDX traders:
Sentiment remains fragile, volatility is elevated, and the near-term direction will heavily depend on Nvidia earnings. A strong print could stabilize AI/tech momentum; a miss or cautious outlook risks accelerating the correction in the mega-cap complex.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25093
Resistance Level 2: 25290
Resistance Level 3: 25510
Support Level 1: 24278
Support Level 2: 24095
Support Level 3: 23910
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NASDAQ 100
Sells
The market is showing clear signs of bearishness, evidenced by consecutive breaks of previous lows and sustained higher-timeframe downside momentum. With the daily timeframe continuing to push lower—breaking both the previous weekly low and the current daily low—the broader structure supports further selling pressure.
On the 4-hour (240) timeframe, momentum remains bearish, and price continues to form lower highs, reinforcing the downside bias. Although the market is currently ranging, this consolidation appears corrective rather than reversal-based. Because of this, I anticipate the market will likely continue selling, targeting lower pricing levels on the asset.
US100 – Missed Entry, but the Structure Was Perfect. Market Structure
The overall trend remains bearish. Price broke strongly below the previous Order Block, confirming sellers are still in control.
2. Order Block + Volume
The bearish OB was formed by a strong impulsive candle with high volume — a clear footprint of smart money. Price retraced but missed the entry zone by just a few points.
3. Liquidity
Before the major drop, price swept the liquidity above and instantly reversed. A classic pattern: liquidity grab → OB retest → sell-off.
4. Retest Logic
Even though the entry was missed, the V-Shark OB structure remained perfectly valid. When you follow the right logic, another opportunity always comes — no need to FOMO.
Conclusion
A missed entry doesn’t mean a bad analysis. It simply means the market didn’t offer the exact fill. Discipline over impulse — always.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
#VNShark #VSharkOB #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Volume #Liquidity #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView
NAS100 – Bullish Shift After LL → HL Structure Change (15M)
Price created a final Lower Low (LL) followed by a clean Higher Low (HL), signaling the start of a trend shift.
Market broke short-term structure with a fresh Higher High, confirming bullish intent.
EMAs are compressing and starting to fan upward, showing building momentum.
RSI is trending above the mid-line, supporting continued upside pressure.
A small FVG (Fair Value Gap) below may act as support if price retests.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 24,600 – 24,630
Take-Profit (TP): 24,783.3
Stop-Loss (SL): 24,548 – 24,566 (below FVG + EMA cluster)
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Clear structure transition from bearish to bullish.
Fresh HH confirms continuation potential.
EMAs aligned upward with improving momentum.
Clean upside liquidity target at 24,783.
Invalidation
Break and close below 24,548 invalidates the bullish structure.
NAS100 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix# 🚀 NAS100 19th Nov 2025: 🐂 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix 📊
Asset Class: NAS100 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 24,472 | Time: 10:25 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: 🐂 Bullish Continuation / Momentum Breakout
Signal: 🟢 Long on Consolidation Break
Confidence: ⭐ High (Volume Confirmation)
Technical Analysis Methodology
Trend: The macro structure remains strongly bullish with price action respecting the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. Intraday (15m/1H) reveals a Bullish Pennant contracting near all-time highs. 📈
Momentum: RSI (14) hovers at 58.0, indicating room for upside expansion before reaching overbought territory. ⚡
Volatility: Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the 1H chart, a precursor to a high-volatility expansion. VWAP is currently at 24,450, acting as dynamic support. 🌊
Patterns: A Cup and Handle formation is visible on the 1H chart, with the handle currently testing the 24,450 support zone. A successful breakout targets the 24,600 psychological barrier. ☕
Key Levels
🛑 R2: 24,650 (Fib Extension 1.618)
🚧 R1: 24,580 (Recent Swing High)
📍 Pivot: 24,472 (Current Price / POC)
🛡️ S1: 24,420 (EMA 50 / Handle Low)
🧱 S2: 24,350 (Key Structural Support)
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Momentum Breakout & Trend Continuation 🚀
Entry 1 (Breakout): Buy > 24,510 (Volume Confirmation)
Entry 2 (Pullback): Buy @ 24,425 - 24,440
Stop Loss: 24,380 (Below S1/Invalidation Point)
Take Profit 1: 24,580 🎯
Take Profit 2: 24,640 🎯
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower.
Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts.
Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market.
This week’s NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility.
USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure.
If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000.
Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.
US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.
NAS100 - Waiting for buy setup on 4hr timeframeTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
Nas 100 is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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What I’m Waiting For:
I’ll be watching for the next 4H breakout opportunity.
Price to break above the 4hr timeframe.
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & MARKET OUTLOOK
November 17, 2025 | 10:30 AM UTC+4 | Current Level: 25,187.5
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CRITICAL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
RESISTANCE ZONES (Sell Targets):
R1: 25,245.80 (First Profit Zone - 58.3 points) | RSI 65-70 zone
R2: 25,335.40 (Intermediate Target - 147.9 points) | EMA 20 confluence + Rising Wedge apex
R3: 25,445.20 (Strong Resistance - 257.7 points) | Weekly pivot + Gann 1x1 angle
SUPPORT ZONES (Buy Opportunities):
S1: 25,115.20 (Initial Support - 72.3 points) | 15m Bollinger Band lower band
S2: 25,010.60 (Intermediate Support - 176.9 points) | SMA 50 daily + Gann angle
S3: 24,885.40 (Strong Support - 302.1 points) | Harmonic AB=CD node
CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Index rallying after Wyckoff accumulation completion. Price above EMA 20/50 on 4h = bullish confirmation. Bollinger Bands expanding—breakout phase active. RSI at 62 (bullish) on 1h suggesting momentum continuation. Rising Wedge pattern on 30m approaching apex breakout. Volume surging into US session. Ichimoku cloud bullish alignment below price.
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ENTRY & EXIT SETUPS - INTRADAY EXECUTION
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BULLISH SETUP (Optimal on 5m/15m continuation):
ENTRY: 25,210.40 (Break above 25,200 resistance + candle close confirmation)
STOP LOSS: 25,140.00 (Beneath S1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,245.80 (35.4 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,335.40 (125 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 25,445.20 (234.8 points) | Hold 20% to runner with trailing stop at 25,380
RISK/REWARD: 1:6.2 ratio | Risk 70.40 to win 437.25
BEARISH SETUP (Optimal on 1h wedge apex rejection):
ENTRY: 25,160.50 (Break below support + rejection candle formation)
STOP LOSS: 25,235.00 (Above R1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,115.20 (45.3 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,010.60 (149.9 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 24,885.40 (275.1 points) | Hold 20% with trailing stop at 24,935
RISK/REWARD: 1:3.8 ratio | Risk 74.50 to win 283.25
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TIMEFRAME-SPECIFIC TACTICS
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5-MIN SCALPING: Monitor Rising Wedge squeeze. Target 15-22 points on wedge breakout. Tactical range 25,175-25,210. Volume surge = apex confirmation.
15-MIN SWING: Head & Shoulders potentially forming on rejection. RSI divergence at 25,245 = sell signal. Hold 45-65 points per trade.
30-MIN POSITION: Rising Wedge apex critical—breakout within 60 minutes. EMA 9/21 bullish cross validated. Harmonic ratios at R2 confluence.
1-HOUR MACRO: Gann 1x1 angle support at 25,010. Price must hold above 25,160 for continued upside. Ichimoku Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish alignment. Wyckoff markup phase accelerating.
4-HOUR BIAS: Daily pivot at 25,115 institutional support. Close above 25,245 = sustained rally to R3. Gann Square of 9 confluences: 24,885 (S3), 25,187.5 (current), 25,445 (R3). Below 25,160 = triangle breakout to downside.
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SESSION EXECUTION RULES
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
✓ ENTRY ONLY on candle close confirmation (not wick touch)
✓ STOP always 0.20-0.40 points BEYOND level (never AT exact level)
✓ SCALE profits: Take 50% at R1/S1, 30% at R2/S2, trail 20% to R3/S3
✓ Rising Wedge apex breakout = directional confirmation signal
✓ IF price closes below 25,115 or above 25,245 = trend acceleration likely
✓ Maximum 3 trades per session. Exit after 2 consecutive losses
✓ Volume confirmation mandatory—low volume = false breakout likely
✓ Gann angle violation = position review trigger
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Risk Disclaimer: Analysis is educational. Past performance ≠ future results.
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US Tech 100 Cash (NAS100 / NASDAQ) Recorded: 11/17 – 1:52Thesis:
Price swept prior liquidity and printed aggressive delta absorption at the demand zone. Despite selling imbalance, buyers continued to lift the offer, signaling passive accumulation rather than continuation selling. This aligns with the current higher-timeframe trend structure.
Footprint Evidence:
Large negative delta absorbed at the lows (2.9K → 3.3K stacked).
No follow-through selling despite footprint imbalance.
Subsequent candle printed trapped sellers and initiated responsive buy programs.
Cumulative delta failed to make a lower low → bullish divergence.
Market Context:
NASDAQ remains in a trending environment with controlled pullbacks. Current positioning shows willingness from larger participants to defend the zone rather than liquidate. As long as price remains above the absorption block, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability play.
Trade Logic:
Entered on absorption confirmation. If price reclaims the imbalance above, I expect continuation toward liquidity at the previous session high.
Invalidation is below the absorption block, where passive buyers failed.
Summary:
Smart money absorbed sell pressure at demand, trapped shorts, and rotated the auction higher. Bias remains long until structural invalidation.






















