Trade ideas
Nasdaq Holds Firm After Support Rebound| Focus on 25820 BreakoutUSNAS100 | Overview
The price retested our support at 25430 and bounced perfectly, just as outlined in the previous analysis.
After reaching the resistance zone, the index is now consolidating between 25700 and 25820, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm bullish continuation, targeting 25960 and 26170.
However, a 4H close below 25700 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, with downside potential toward 25570 and 25430.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25230
Outlook:
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25700, with upside targets at 25960–26170.
A confirmed 4H close below 25700 would shift the short-term tone to a bearish correction toward 25570–25430.
LOOKING TO SHORT NASNAS100 1D - For those of you who like to trade this CFD, I am wanting to see price continue trading us lower as the Dollar weakens over the course of the next month or so.
We will however see some temporary strength whether it be for the next week or two. However my overall bias for this market is to see it trade us lower longer term.
We have been delivered with multiple breaks in structure to the downside suggesting bearish momentum, its now a case of waiting for the opportunity to play into our hands before we take part.
As soon as price gives us the structure we need, the penetration of areas of interest this is when we can begin looking to take part, until then we stay patient, as always.
NAS100 GasStationSupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declineshortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
Nasdaq (sell)**Disclaimer (Smart Money Concepts Analysis)**
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and represents only the analyst’s personal perspective. All marked levels, scenarios, and the two potential entry points are provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice, investment guidance, or a buy/sell signal.
Any trade you choose to take is entirely your own decision and must be executed with proper risk management and full personal responsibility. Market conditions may shift at any time and may invalidate the outlined scenarios.
This analysis is not a substitute for professional financial or investment advice. It is recommended to:
* Always use a **stop-loss**
* Follow a **clear risk management plan**
* Verify setups with your own analysis
* Be aware that the market can move unpredictably
By using this analysis, you acknowledge that all trading decisions and outcomes are solely your responsibility.
Nasdaq Eyes Resistance: Pullback Before Year-End Highs?The Nasdaq posted another strong 2% rally yesterday, even after New York’s opening session swept liquidity by hunting early long positions before reversing higher. This behavior suggests that smart money continues to accumulate positions on dips. Currently, price is pressing into a key resistance zone, which has historically triggered short-term pullbacks. For today, a reasonable scenario would be a final tap into this resistance, followed by a retracement toward the Previous Day’s High (PDH)—a level that may now act as fresh support for bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, investors remain optimistic as the market increasingly prices in the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which historically boosts tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. Additionally, overall risk sentiment has improved, supported by strong corporate earnings and stabilizing inflation trends. If momentum continues, the Nasdaq could be setting up for a push toward new highs into year-end.
NAS100 - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 25,072.29
Stoploss: 24,736.54
NQ1) Daily Bias: Buy
reason:
a) D1- above green line (bottom)
b) H4- above green line (top)
c) H1- above green line (top)
2) Setup: EW + ICT
reason:
a) D1- Correction Wave ( Wave C)
b) H4- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
c) H1- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
3) Confirmation entry:
a) H4/H1-trendline & above green line
b) H4/H1-fvg
c) Momentum Candle
4) Minimum Risk : Reward= 1:2
NASDAQ (US Tech 100) Price swept liquidity below a weak low, tapped into demand, and printed a bullish CHoCH, suggesting buyers are stepping in.
🟢 BUY Bias
Price is reacting from a discount zone + demand after a liquidity sweep. As long as we stay above the demand area, bullish targets remain valid.
🎯 Targets
TP1: 25,300
TP2: 25,600
TP3: 25,700+ (Liquidity at Strong High)
🔐 Stop-Loss: below 24,080 (beneath demand & sweep)
NASDAQ DEC 2025, Next week will unveil it all.I often like to use this approach, where I start from the most generic timeframe that still carries importance, moving into smaller timeframes narrowing the timeframe at each step, finally concluding with a short-term trade opportunity.
This post focuses solely on technical analysis, price action and trend behavior on the NDX. No fundamental expectations or macroeconomic interpretations are included.
I will be updating this post as trade opportunities develop.
A summary of this idea is provided at the end.
--- Long-Term Behavior ---
Long term outlook indicates that NDX had a strong bullish momentum until now, it pushed above the almost 5 year bullish trend marked with orange lines.
However, before it pushed above, NDX experienced a sharp decline. (marked with yellow circle)
But price carried back up with the yellow trend and created a much stronger bullish movement which managed to push further.
Now that stronger bullish movement is also over, NDX should be falling back for a retest. The last monthly candle was possibly the beginning of that retest movement.
After the retest two scenarios are possible, either it continues the bullish movement with a much higher pace or price fails to hold the retest and falls back toward the lower boundary of the previous long-term trend.
-- Short-Term Behavior --
In this section, I will be investigating the short-term movements to better predict a possible trade opportunity.
If we zoom into the yellow trend, the price was following a path estimated with the purple lines. Which also justifies the last months harsh fallback.
I expect NDX to start moving towards the lower boundary of the trend marked with yellow. (also, weekly RSI shows clear decrease in bullish momentum, indicating the yellow trend is coming to an end)
With all these in mind, to further predict the next 2-3 weeks movement, zooming into the last couple of months. NDX's last bearish movement, which I have shown with blue trend, can go two ways which the next weeks price movement will unveil. If the next week starts up bullish and the price fails to go down further NDX may rapidly rise. On the other hand, If it forms a steeper downtrend which I have shown in the second snapshot, it may possibly keep moving down for the long-term retest.
note that the trend drawings are estimations and may not be totally accurate.
-- Summary and Final Verdict --
Next week, we should see a clear directional bias for NDX
Bearish scenario: If price continues downward and establishes a steeper trend (as shown in the image), NDX is likely heading toward a full retest of the long-term breakout area.
Target: ~22,000
Bullish scenario: If the index shows clear signs of reversal and rejects further downside, a swift recovery toward previous highs is possible.
Target: ~26,500
I will be updating the post as we get a clearer image...
Momentum meets structure - Asset: US 100 Cash CFD
- Timeframe: 4H
- Structure: Descending channel (bearish trend)
- Momentum: Stochastic RSI (14,3,3) rising from oversold
- Event: Price bounced off lower trend line with stochastic confirming upward momentum
1. Trend Line Structure
- The descending channel defines a bearish environment.
- Price touches the lower boundary → potential support zone.
- This is a structural signal: price may bounce within the channel.
2. Stochastic Confirmation
- Stochastic RSI was in the oversold zone (<20).
- Lines are now crossing upward, signaling momentum shift.
- This is a momentum signal: buyers are stepping in.
3. Confluence = High-Probability Setup
- Structure (trendline support) + Momentum (stochastic reversal) = confluence.
- This increases the probability of a short-term bullish move toward the upper trend line.
-Price action within a descending channel shows a bounce off support. Stochastic RSI confirms momentum shift from oversold. This confluence offers a textbook example of how structure and momentum combine for a high-probability setup.
This setup teaches traders to:
- Wait for confluence, not isolated signals.
- Use stochastic to confirm trend line reactions.
- Respect the channel boundaries for targeting and risk.
NASDAQ | Potential for Upside if Positive Tone is MaintainedNASDAQ Market Outlook | Potential for Upside if Positive Tone is Maintained
Currently, the NAS index remains under bearish pressure. Concerns about an AI bubble continue to weigh on technology stocks, even though Nvidia recently reported its highest revenue ever of $57 billion with strong growth guidance.
However, investors remain cautious due to the massive increase in spending on AI, perceived overvaluation of stocks, and the market's reliance on a few mega-cap companies.
Under these conditions, selling pressure in the technology sector continues and is affecting the movement of the USNAS100 index.
Price movement direction based on key levels:
As long as the price is below 23,940 → the trend remains bearish.
If the decline continues, the gradual decline target is in the following areas:
🔻 23,700 → 23,340 → 23,050
If the price rises and closes above 24,150 on the H1 timeframe → potential bullish correction
The corrective upward trend has the potential to move towards:
🔺 24,350 → 24,570
Analysis Conclusion
USNAS100 remains in a bearish trend as long as the price is unable to break through and maintain above the 23,940 level. Selling pressure is expected to intensify if the 23,700 support level is broken, opening the opportunity for a decline towards the 23,340 to 23,050 area.
US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.






















