NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction.
Market Dynamics
The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations.
Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices.
Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%.
The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration.
Macro & Other Drivers
The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%.
Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week).
Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone.
Political Context
Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact.
Takeaway for Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally.
Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens.
Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment.
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Trade ideas
NASDAQ BullishThe NASDAQ is currently reacting at a key daily market structure level.
Heading into the New York session, I’m anticipating a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity levels before price shifts upward, possibly targeting new all-time highs
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Nasdaq: Sharp tech drop sets up critical support testNasdaq slid 2% yesterday in its sharpest tech-led drop since late summer—are we looking at a healthy correction, or could there be a deeper move ahead?
Caution returned to tech stocks as AI valuations and a handful of Big Tech earnings disappointed. The broader market also retreated, with traders watching for the next move from both the Fed and the earnings calendar.
Key drivers:
AI and semiconductor leaders like Nvidia, AMD, and Palantir led the selloff as investors questioned how much further the AI trade can run.
Hawkish remarks from multiple Fed officials raised doubts about any imminent rate cuts, even after the recent 25bp cut, fuelling profit-taking in volatile growth names.
Top Wall Street banks cautioned about stretched valuations, warning a 10–20% correction was possible as positioning remains crowded in mega caps.
Technically, the Nasdaq is pulling back from historic highs, testing median channel support with RSI retreating toward neutral. Key resistances are near 25500 and 25750, with support showing at 25200 and then under 25k.
Stay nimble and respect the potential range between 25450 and 25870 as pivotal for the next Nasdaq swing. Wait for strong resistance confirmation, but don’t ignore bounce risk if earnings and data surprise to the upside.
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US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.
NAS100 - Waiting for buy setup on 4hr timeframeTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
Nas 100 is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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What I’m Waiting For:
I’ll be watching for the next 4H breakout opportunity.
Price to break above the 4hr timeframe.
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & MARKET OUTLOOK
November 17, 2025 | 10:30 AM UTC+4 | Current Level: 25,187.5
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CRITICAL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
RESISTANCE ZONES (Sell Targets):
R1: 25,245.80 (First Profit Zone - 58.3 points) | RSI 65-70 zone
R2: 25,335.40 (Intermediate Target - 147.9 points) | EMA 20 confluence + Rising Wedge apex
R3: 25,445.20 (Strong Resistance - 257.7 points) | Weekly pivot + Gann 1x1 angle
SUPPORT ZONES (Buy Opportunities):
S1: 25,115.20 (Initial Support - 72.3 points) | 15m Bollinger Band lower band
S2: 25,010.60 (Intermediate Support - 176.9 points) | SMA 50 daily + Gann angle
S3: 24,885.40 (Strong Support - 302.1 points) | Harmonic AB=CD node
CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Index rallying after Wyckoff accumulation completion. Price above EMA 20/50 on 4h = bullish confirmation. Bollinger Bands expanding—breakout phase active. RSI at 62 (bullish) on 1h suggesting momentum continuation. Rising Wedge pattern on 30m approaching apex breakout. Volume surging into US session. Ichimoku cloud bullish alignment below price.
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ENTRY & EXIT SETUPS - INTRADAY EXECUTION
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BULLISH SETUP (Optimal on 5m/15m continuation):
ENTRY: 25,210.40 (Break above 25,200 resistance + candle close confirmation)
STOP LOSS: 25,140.00 (Beneath S1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,245.80 (35.4 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,335.40 (125 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 25,445.20 (234.8 points) | Hold 20% to runner with trailing stop at 25,380
RISK/REWARD: 1:6.2 ratio | Risk 70.40 to win 437.25
BEARISH SETUP (Optimal on 1h wedge apex rejection):
ENTRY: 25,160.50 (Break below support + rejection candle formation)
STOP LOSS: 25,235.00 (Above R1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,115.20 (45.3 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,010.60 (149.9 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 24,885.40 (275.1 points) | Hold 20% with trailing stop at 24,935
RISK/REWARD: 1:3.8 ratio | Risk 74.50 to win 283.25
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TIMEFRAME-SPECIFIC TACTICS
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5-MIN SCALPING: Monitor Rising Wedge squeeze. Target 15-22 points on wedge breakout. Tactical range 25,175-25,210. Volume surge = apex confirmation.
15-MIN SWING: Head & Shoulders potentially forming on rejection. RSI divergence at 25,245 = sell signal. Hold 45-65 points per trade.
30-MIN POSITION: Rising Wedge apex critical—breakout within 60 minutes. EMA 9/21 bullish cross validated. Harmonic ratios at R2 confluence.
1-HOUR MACRO: Gann 1x1 angle support at 25,010. Price must hold above 25,160 for continued upside. Ichimoku Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish alignment. Wyckoff markup phase accelerating.
4-HOUR BIAS: Daily pivot at 25,115 institutional support. Close above 25,245 = sustained rally to R3. Gann Square of 9 confluences: 24,885 (S3), 25,187.5 (current), 25,445 (R3). Below 25,160 = triangle breakout to downside.
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SESSION EXECUTION RULES
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✓ ENTRY ONLY on candle close confirmation (not wick touch)
✓ STOP always 0.20-0.40 points BEYOND level (never AT exact level)
✓ SCALE profits: Take 50% at R1/S1, 30% at R2/S2, trail 20% to R3/S3
✓ Rising Wedge apex breakout = directional confirmation signal
✓ IF price closes below 25,115 or above 25,245 = trend acceleration likely
✓ Maximum 3 trades per session. Exit after 2 consecutive losses
✓ Volume confirmation mandatory—low volume = false breakout likely
✓ Gann angle violation = position review trigger
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Risk Disclaimer: Analysis is educational. Past performance ≠ future results.
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US Tech 100 Cash (NAS100 / NASDAQ) Recorded: 11/17 – 1:52Thesis:
Price swept prior liquidity and printed aggressive delta absorption at the demand zone. Despite selling imbalance, buyers continued to lift the offer, signaling passive accumulation rather than continuation selling. This aligns with the current higher-timeframe trend structure.
Footprint Evidence:
Large negative delta absorbed at the lows (2.9K → 3.3K stacked).
No follow-through selling despite footprint imbalance.
Subsequent candle printed trapped sellers and initiated responsive buy programs.
Cumulative delta failed to make a lower low → bullish divergence.
Market Context:
NASDAQ remains in a trending environment with controlled pullbacks. Current positioning shows willingness from larger participants to defend the zone rather than liquidate. As long as price remains above the absorption block, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability play.
Trade Logic:
Entered on absorption confirmation. If price reclaims the imbalance above, I expect continuation toward liquidity at the previous session high.
Invalidation is below the absorption block, where passive buyers failed.
Summary:
Smart money absorbed sell pressure at demand, trapped shorts, and rotated the auction higher. Bias remains long until structural invalidation.
DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)
After testing the support at $14,717 in Q4 2026 (as mentioned yesterday in my post), the stock market will rise to reach a new high over the next four years, with the DECODED resistance at $57,660, marking the end of the first Grand cycle.
Once the first Grand cycle ends, a huge correction will occur. The market will turn bearish and decline over the next 19 years, forming lower highs. During this period, the market will drop to the support level $16,229.
The second Grand pattern will form around 2050/2051.
I see what others call impossible, every support and resistance I draw is already written. I do not predict, I decode, even in uncharted areas.
This message is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR.
NAS100US100 4H CHARTUS100 4H — Price reacting near 0.382 Fib (25,484) after impulsive move. Current zone may act as inducement for deeper liquidity sweep into 0.5/0.618 (25,394–25,304). Watching for displacement and BOS above 25,741 to confirm bullish intent. If price sweeps 0.618 and leaves bullish PA, that’s my POI for long setups.
$QQQ: Doubtful Low The QQQ is currently showing a lower high and a lower low, indicating a likely corrective Zig Zag pattern, with wave C only slightly longer than wave A. The 1x1 Extension is positioned at 586. Last Friday's promising bounce was halted at the horizontal resistance level of 613.
The RSI has reached the same area where previous bounces occurred during the rally from the April low. The bulls need to demonstrate that last Friday's low can serve as a springboard for a recovery.
nas100 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 is reacting inside the horizontal supply, where bearish orderflow continues to cap every rally attempt. With liquidity sitting below the prior swing lows, price is positioned for a corrective push lower.
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Stop Loss: 25,210
Take Profit: 24,901
Entry Level: 25,048
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Institutional Zones Marked – Key Levels for Today 13 NovSharing the key price areas where the market previously showed strong institutional activity.
These levels highlight zones of interest based on structure, volume presence, and reaction points.
The chart marks:
• Potential buying zones
• Potential selling zones
• Reaction areas where liquidity was taken or mitigated
This is shared for market study and educational observation.
Price may react differently depending on volatility and session behaviour — always wait for confirmation from structure.
Not financial advice.






















