Trade ideas
NASDAQ | Potential for Upside if Positive Tone is MaintainedNASDAQ Market Outlook | Potential for Upside if Positive Tone is Maintained
Currently, the NAS index remains under bearish pressure. Concerns about an AI bubble continue to weigh on technology stocks, even though Nvidia recently reported its highest revenue ever of $57 billion with strong growth guidance.
However, investors remain cautious due to the massive increase in spending on AI, perceived overvaluation of stocks, and the market's reliance on a few mega-cap companies.
Under these conditions, selling pressure in the technology sector continues and is affecting the movement of the USNAS100 index.
Price movement direction based on key levels:
As long as the price is below 23,940 → the trend remains bearish.
If the decline continues, the gradual decline target is in the following areas:
🔻 23,700 → 23,340 → 23,050
If the price rises and closes above 24,150 on the H1 timeframe → potential bullish correction
The corrective upward trend has the potential to move towards:
🔺 24,350 → 24,570
Analysis Conclusion
USNAS100 remains in a bearish trend as long as the price is unable to break through and maintain above the 23,940 level. Selling pressure is expected to intensify if the 23,700 support level is broken, opening the opportunity for a decline towards the 23,340 to 23,050 area.
Rising Expanding Wedge BreakdownI’ve spotted this expanding wedge pattern on the Nasdaq and there is probably more downside imminent for the Nasdaq. I'm sure this isn’t new to most of you. A bearish price target around 23,000 (for now) is highly likely. Long-term I remain bullish (see my other ideas), but right now the extreme fear is handing control to the bears for a while.
US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.
NASDAQNASDAQ Analysis – Possible Early Pullback Before New York Session
The Nasdaq may experience a short-term correction during the London session and pre–New York, especially after yesterday’s explosive 550-point rally driven by Nvidia’s strong earnings.
Price is currently sitting on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is acting as a strong support and has been respected multiple times. At the same time, the index is positioned just below the descending trendline formed from the recent highs.
The fractal structure has now been completed, suggesting we could see a small bearish move before the New York session potentially resumes the bullish trend.
If price fails to break below the 0.786 support and instead breaks above the descending trendline, we could see continuation to the upside, targeting 25,300 in the next impulsive leg.
NAS100 Breakout Watch: Compression Before Expansion
The Nasdaq-100 index is trading at 25,130 , and the intraday price action is setting up what could be a high-probability move. Multiple technical frameworks are converging at a critical decision point. Let's dissect what's unfolding across the timeframes. 💹
Market Context & Structure
We're observing a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the 1H chart that's been coiling for the past several hours. This compression zone between 25,080-25,185 represents a battleground between bulls and bears. The apex is approaching, which historically precedes volatility expansion.
From a Dow Theory lens, the intermediate trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows intact on the 4H timeframe. The recent pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the broader uptrend is still in play.
Wyckoff Analysis 📉
The overnight action exhibits classic Wyckoff accumulation characteristics within our consolidation range. We've seen:
Spring action down to 25,050 (stop hunt below support)
Absorption of selling pressure with diminishing volume
A Last Point of Support (LPS) forming around 25,090
This accumulation schematic suggests smart money positioning for the next markup phase.
Wave Count Perspective 🌊
Elliott Wave structure indicates we're likely completing a wave (4) triangle correction within a larger impulse. The internal labeling suggests:
Wave A-B-C-D-E triangle pattern nearing completion
Wave (5) target zone: 25,350-25,450
Invalidation level: Break below 25,020
The alternation principle supports this count, as wave (2) was a sharp zigzag, making a triangle for wave (4) textbook behavior.
Critical Levels & Zones 🎯
Upside Targets:
T1: 25,245 (initial resistance + prior pivot)
T2: 25,380 (Fibonacci extension 1.618)
T3: 25,525 (measured move from triangle)
Support Foundation:
S1: 25,085 (triangle baseline + EMA cluster)
S2: 25,020 (swing low + psychological)
S3: 24,890 (major demand zone)
Indicator Dashboard ⚡
RSI (1H): 52.4 - neutral, coiling with price
Stochastic: Curling up from 35, bullish crossover forming
VWAP: Currently at 25,118 acting as dynamic pivot
Ichimoku: Price inside the cloud (equilibrium), Tenkan/Kijun bullish twist imminent
Volume: Declining in range (typical pre-breakout behavior)
Harmonic Setup Recognition
A Gartley pattern completed at the 25,050 level with:
- X: 24,890
- A: 25,280
- B: 25,050 (0.618 retracement)
- D: PRZ achieved
This harmonic structure aligns perfectly with our Elliott wave count, adding confluence to the bullish thesis.
Actionable Trading Strategies 💼
Strategy 1 - Triangle Breakout:
Entry: 25,190 (break above triangle resistance + retest)
Target 1: 25,280
Target 2: 25,420
Stop: 25,080
Strategy 2 - Support Zone Buy:
Entry Zone: 25,085-25,095 (limit orders)
Target 1: 25,200
Target 2: 25,320
Stop: 25,035
Multi-Timeframe Sync 🕐
- 5M: Micro pullback entries and exits
- 15M: Trend confirmation via EMA alignment
- 1H: Primary pattern and trade direction
- 4H: Structural bias verification
The Bottom Line
NAS100 is coiled like a spring at 25,130. The technical evidence suggests accumulation is wrapping up, with multiple methodologies pointing toward upside resolution. The 25,190 breakout level is your line in the sand—above it, the path opens to 25,400+. Below 25,080 invalidates the immediate bullish setup.
Stay alert for the breakout, but don't force trades inside the range. Patience now equals profits later. ⚡
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Risk Disclosure: Trading derivatives carries substantial risk. This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
NSDQ100 under pressure ahead o Nvidia earningsThe tech-led selloff continues to intensify, with the S&P 500 logging a 4th straight decline and NASDAQ-100 futures under pressure again this morning. The core drag remains AI valuation fatigue, with the Magnificent 7 down nearly 8% from their October highs and edging toward correction territory. Weak macro data and disappointing earnings added to the risk-off tone, pushing the VIX up to 24.7, its highest in weeks, signaling elevated demand for downside protection in mega-cap tech.
Global equities are sitting at one-month lows as investors reassess whether the massive AI capex cycle will truly deliver near-term returns. That leaves Nvidia’s earnings after the bell as the pivotal catalyst: analysts expect >50% revenue growth, but with stretched positioning and fragile sentiment, the reaction may hinge more on guidance and sustainability of data-center demand rather than headline beats.
Political noise is also picking up but has limited direct intraday impact on NDX for now. Trump’s White House meeting with Saudi Arabia and hints about his shortlist for the next Fed Chair add background uncertainty, though markets will focus more on how the Fed leadership outlook may influence the 2025–26 rate path.
Bottom line for NDX traders:
Sentiment remains fragile, volatility is elevated, and the near-term direction will heavily depend on Nvidia earnings. A strong print could stabilize AI/tech momentum; a miss or cautious outlook risks accelerating the correction in the mega-cap complex.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25093
Resistance Level 2: 25290
Resistance Level 3: 25510
Support Level 1: 24278
Support Level 2: 24095
Support Level 3: 23910
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ 100
Sells
The market is showing clear signs of bearishness, evidenced by consecutive breaks of previous lows and sustained higher-timeframe downside momentum. With the daily timeframe continuing to push lower—breaking both the previous weekly low and the current daily low—the broader structure supports further selling pressure.
On the 4-hour (240) timeframe, momentum remains bearish, and price continues to form lower highs, reinforcing the downside bias. Although the market is currently ranging, this consolidation appears corrective rather than reversal-based. Because of this, I anticipate the market will likely continue selling, targeting lower pricing levels on the asset.
US100 – Missed Entry, but the Structure Was Perfect. Market Structure
The overall trend remains bearish. Price broke strongly below the previous Order Block, confirming sellers are still in control.
2. Order Block + Volume
The bearish OB was formed by a strong impulsive candle with high volume — a clear footprint of smart money. Price retraced but missed the entry zone by just a few points.
3. Liquidity
Before the major drop, price swept the liquidity above and instantly reversed. A classic pattern: liquidity grab → OB retest → sell-off.
4. Retest Logic
Even though the entry was missed, the V-Shark OB structure remained perfectly valid. When you follow the right logic, another opportunity always comes — no need to FOMO.
Conclusion
A missed entry doesn’t mean a bad analysis. It simply means the market didn’t offer the exact fill. Discipline over impulse — always.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
#VNShark #VSharkOB #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Volume #Liquidity #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView
NAS100 – Bullish Shift After LL → HL Structure Change (15M)
Price created a final Lower Low (LL) followed by a clean Higher Low (HL), signaling the start of a trend shift.
Market broke short-term structure with a fresh Higher High, confirming bullish intent.
EMAs are compressing and starting to fan upward, showing building momentum.
RSI is trending above the mid-line, supporting continued upside pressure.
A small FVG (Fair Value Gap) below may act as support if price retests.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 24,600 – 24,630
Take-Profit (TP): 24,783.3
Stop-Loss (SL): 24,548 – 24,566 (below FVG + EMA cluster)
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Clear structure transition from bearish to bullish.
Fresh HH confirms continuation potential.
EMAs aligned upward with improving momentum.
Clean upside liquidity target at 24,783.
Invalidation
Break and close below 24,548 invalidates the bullish structure.
NAS100 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix# 🚀 NAS100 19th Nov 2025: 🐂 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix 📊
Asset Class: NAS100 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 24,472 | Time: 10:25 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: 🐂 Bullish Continuation / Momentum Breakout
Signal: 🟢 Long on Consolidation Break
Confidence: ⭐ High (Volume Confirmation)
Technical Analysis Methodology
Trend: The macro structure remains strongly bullish with price action respecting the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. Intraday (15m/1H) reveals a Bullish Pennant contracting near all-time highs. 📈
Momentum: RSI (14) hovers at 58.0, indicating room for upside expansion before reaching overbought territory. ⚡
Volatility: Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the 1H chart, a precursor to a high-volatility expansion. VWAP is currently at 24,450, acting as dynamic support. 🌊
Patterns: A Cup and Handle formation is visible on the 1H chart, with the handle currently testing the 24,450 support zone. A successful breakout targets the 24,600 psychological barrier. ☕
Key Levels
🛑 R2: 24,650 (Fib Extension 1.618)
🚧 R1: 24,580 (Recent Swing High)
📍 Pivot: 24,472 (Current Price / POC)
🛡️ S1: 24,420 (EMA 50 / Handle Low)
🧱 S2: 24,350 (Key Structural Support)
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Momentum Breakout & Trend Continuation 🚀
Entry 1 (Breakout): Buy > 24,510 (Volume Confirmation)
Entry 2 (Pullback): Buy @ 24,425 - 24,440
Stop Loss: 24,380 (Below S1/Invalidation Point)
Take Profit 1: 24,580 🎯
Take Profit 2: 24,640 🎯
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower.
Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts.
Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market.
This week’s NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility.
USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure.
If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000.
Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
NAS100 INTRADAY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & MARKET OUTLOOK
November 17, 2025 | 10:30 AM UTC+4 | Current Level: 25,187.5
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CRITICAL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
RESISTANCE ZONES (Sell Targets):
R1: 25,245.80 (First Profit Zone - 58.3 points) | RSI 65-70 zone
R2: 25,335.40 (Intermediate Target - 147.9 points) | EMA 20 confluence + Rising Wedge apex
R3: 25,445.20 (Strong Resistance - 257.7 points) | Weekly pivot + Gann 1x1 angle
SUPPORT ZONES (Buy Opportunities):
S1: 25,115.20 (Initial Support - 72.3 points) | 15m Bollinger Band lower band
S2: 25,010.60 (Intermediate Support - 176.9 points) | SMA 50 daily + Gann angle
S3: 24,885.40 (Strong Support - 302.1 points) | Harmonic AB=CD node
CURRENT PRICE ACTION
Index rallying after Wyckoff accumulation completion. Price above EMA 20/50 on 4h = bullish confirmation. Bollinger Bands expanding—breakout phase active. RSI at 62 (bullish) on 1h suggesting momentum continuation. Rising Wedge pattern on 30m approaching apex breakout. Volume surging into US session. Ichimoku cloud bullish alignment below price.
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ENTRY & EXIT SETUPS - INTRADAY EXECUTION
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BULLISH SETUP (Optimal on 5m/15m continuation):
ENTRY: 25,210.40 (Break above 25,200 resistance + candle close confirmation)
STOP LOSS: 25,140.00 (Beneath S1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,245.80 (35.4 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,335.40 (125 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 25,445.20 (234.8 points) | Hold 20% to runner with trailing stop at 25,380
RISK/REWARD: 1:6.2 ratio | Risk 70.40 to win 437.25
BEARISH SETUP (Optimal on 1h wedge apex rejection):
ENTRY: 25,160.50 (Break below support + rejection candle formation)
STOP LOSS: 25,235.00 (Above R1 by 0.20 risk buffer)
TARGET 1: 25,115.20 (45.3 points) | Scale 50% profits
TARGET 2: 25,010.60 (149.9 points) | Scale 30% profits
TARGET 3: 24,885.40 (275.1 points) | Hold 20% with trailing stop at 24,935
RISK/REWARD: 1:3.8 ratio | Risk 74.50 to win 283.25
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TIMEFRAME-SPECIFIC TACTICS
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5-MIN SCALPING: Monitor Rising Wedge squeeze. Target 15-22 points on wedge breakout. Tactical range 25,175-25,210. Volume surge = apex confirmation.
15-MIN SWING: Head & Shoulders potentially forming on rejection. RSI divergence at 25,245 = sell signal. Hold 45-65 points per trade.
30-MIN POSITION: Rising Wedge apex critical—breakout within 60 minutes. EMA 9/21 bullish cross validated. Harmonic ratios at R2 confluence.
1-HOUR MACRO: Gann 1x1 angle support at 25,010. Price must hold above 25,160 for continued upside. Ichimoku Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish alignment. Wyckoff markup phase accelerating.
4-HOUR BIAS: Daily pivot at 25,115 institutional support. Close above 25,245 = sustained rally to R3. Gann Square of 9 confluences: 24,885 (S3), 25,187.5 (current), 25,445 (R3). Below 25,160 = triangle breakout to downside.
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SESSION EXECUTION RULES
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✓ ENTRY ONLY on candle close confirmation (not wick touch)
✓ STOP always 0.20-0.40 points BEYOND level (never AT exact level)
✓ SCALE profits: Take 50% at R1/S1, 30% at R2/S2, trail 20% to R3/S3
✓ Rising Wedge apex breakout = directional confirmation signal
✓ IF price closes below 25,115 or above 25,245 = trend acceleration likely
✓ Maximum 3 trades per session. Exit after 2 consecutive losses
✓ Volume confirmation mandatory—low volume = false breakout likely
✓ Gann angle violation = position review trigger
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Risk Disclaimer: Analysis is educational. Past performance ≠ future results.
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US Tech 100 Cash (NAS100 / NASDAQ) Recorded: 11/17 – 1:52Thesis:
Price swept prior liquidity and printed aggressive delta absorption at the demand zone. Despite selling imbalance, buyers continued to lift the offer, signaling passive accumulation rather than continuation selling. This aligns with the current higher-timeframe trend structure.
Footprint Evidence:
Large negative delta absorbed at the lows (2.9K → 3.3K stacked).
No follow-through selling despite footprint imbalance.
Subsequent candle printed trapped sellers and initiated responsive buy programs.
Cumulative delta failed to make a lower low → bullish divergence.
Market Context:
NASDAQ remains in a trending environment with controlled pullbacks. Current positioning shows willingness from larger participants to defend the zone rather than liquidate. As long as price remains above the absorption block, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability play.
Trade Logic:
Entered on absorption confirmation. If price reclaims the imbalance above, I expect continuation toward liquidity at the previous session high.
Invalidation is below the absorption block, where passive buyers failed.
Summary:
Smart money absorbed sell pressure at demand, trapped shorts, and rotated the auction higher. Bias remains long until structural invalidation.






















