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Nasdaq - The stock market remains bullish!💰Nasdaq ( NASDAQ:QQQ ) is just heading much higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Basically since April of 2026, all indices entered into a parabolic bullrun. And while the Nasdaq is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, markets are not slowing down at all. Looking at the higher timeframe, the Nasdaq could easily break this resistance soon. 📝Levels to watch: $600 and $800 Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏 — Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TheTraderPhil
4
Weekly Bias — 8 JuneAll 3 indices produced the same pattern simultaneously, which significantly increases the odds this was a meaningful institutional distribution event Long-duration growth vs 10Y yields rolled over sharply VIX exploded +40%, breaking above its 10-day average NDX/VXN ratio collapsed, showing volatility expanded faster than price fell SMH/QQQ remains in a secular uptrend, but posted a meaningful reversal from an extreme relative-strength peak This looks more like a positioning flush/de-grossing event than the beginning of a bear market NASDAQ:QQQ printed new swing high near $748.65 Immediate rejection Large bearish displacement candle Close below the 10d MA Clear liquidity sweep → MSS (market structure shift) Bulls chased the breakout above prior highs & were trapped If $690 breaks, dealers likely chase downside toward $670–$650 Volume ~100M shares Largest volume in weeks Tells us this was distribution volume, not normal profit-taking RSI collapsed from 70+ Stochastic collapsed from overbought MACD histogram accelerated lower Momentum deterioration is occurring faster than price That is a short-term bearish divergence confirmation Resistance $722 $740 ATH Support $705 (78.6%) $694 $669 (61.8%) $652 (50%) Fair Value Current fair value area $693-$705 Aligns with 78.6% retracement, prior breakout area & dealer gamma concentration AMEX:SPY structure is slightly healthier than NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY remains above 50d MA Major trend support, so the higher timeframe remains bullish despite the sharp reversal Resistance $742 $746 $760 Support $730 $714 $697 AMEX:IWM failed at $292.74, swept highs & immediately reversed → bull trap If AMEX:IWM loses $274, expect broader risk-off behavior Support $281 $274 $266 Mega-cap leadership is revealing NASDAQ:GOOGL — only major name that recovered intraday Relative strength leader NASDAQ:WMT — defensive money rotating-in Institutional safety trade NASDAQ:AVGO — still dealing with earnings damage Semis remain under pressure NASDAQ:TSLA — most vulnerable chart NASDAQ:NVDA — still stronger than NASDAQ:AVGO , but momentum rolling over, failed near highs & RSI & MACD deteriorating NASDAQ:SMH massively outperformed for months Semiconductor leadership is being harvested Institutions are taking profits Relative momentum likely cools for several weeks Likely leadership rotation The market is paying for downside protection NASDAQ:QQQ ATM IV ~26.7% Puts are carrying slightly richer demand Downside protection is being purchased Definitely not upside chasing AMEX:SPY ATM IV ~14.5% Very modest skew Institutional hedging exists, but not extreme AMEX:IWM ATM IV ~21.5% Skew appears balanced VIX 16 → 22+ Nearly 40% spike This is a volatility expansion regime Long premium becomes more attractive Short premium becomes less attractive Bullish (60%) Initial panic lower Test $700 NASDAQ:QQQ , then stabilization Bounce into $715-$722 Followed by another decision point Bearish (25%) Lose NASDAQ:QQQ $690, then target $670–$652 rapidly Immediate reclaim $722 NASDAQ:QQQ & $742 AMEX:SPY (15%) If that occurs, Friday becomes a failed breakdown Then highs can be retested Given VIX expansion, large volume flush & support near $700 The highest expectancy setup is not chasing puts after a 5% drop unless NASDAQ:QQQ closes below $690 Instead, bullish mean-reversion from NASDAQ:QQQ $695-$705 Target $720-$725 Invalidation on a daily close below $690 Then target $670–$652 with stop back above $705 Friday's move was confirmed by volume, RSI, MACD, VIX expansion & deterioration in the growth-vs-yields relationship; however, the HTF remains intact while NASDAQ:QQQ holds $690-$700, which makes this area the most important level for the coming week & a successful defense likely produces a reflex rally, while a failure opens the door to a much deeper retracement toward $670-$650
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
5
QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 23 of 2026 (08-12 JUN)QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook Last Week's Recap As outlined in Long Scenario 1, QQQ retested Key Level 1 at 736.5 immediately after Monday's market open and found support exactly as planned. We entered the trade and price rallied approximately 12.6 points from our entry zone. Following the plan, we began taking profits Monday afternoon and continued scaling out throughout Tuesday and Wednesday. By Wednesday, the Risk Index oscillator started generating bearish signals, which led us to close the remaining position and lock in profits. 1 trade. 1 win. (Reference chart from last week's post is shared on the right) UA CAPITAL Market Recap While the broader market broke down sharply and declined roughly 4% by the end of Week 22, we avoided the drawdown entirely. In fact, all of the long positions we entered on Monday had already been closed deep in profit by Wednesday. On Wednesday, the Risk Index started signaling an elevated probability of a sharp retracement. Because of that, we immediately notified members through the chat and closed all remaining runner call positions. In Wednesday's Premium Market Update, I also published updated bounce zones. Price reacted from those updated levels almost exactly as expected. However, the Risk Index continued to show extremely bearish positioning and remained persistent in warning about a larger retracement risk. It became clear that Thursday's bounce was actually a bull trap designed to create favorable conditions for market makers to accumulate puts and establish short exposure at higher prices. The Risk Index oscillator had already identified that shift on Wednesday. The decline that began during Friday's premarket session accelerated after the Employment data came in significantly stronger than expected. The key takeaway is that the market was already vulnerable and likely heading lower. The data simply provided the catalyst. The Nasdaq eventually dropped nearly 5%, creating one of the sharpest selloffs seen in recent months. The last comparable decline was on October 10, 2025. In the Weekly Market Outlook published on Monday, four days before the selloff, I specifically mentioned that I was watching for a move similar to October 10, 2025. Four days later, the market delivered a decline that looked remarkably similar to that event. By then, we had already exited our long positions with substantial profits earlier in the week. In addition, several members also opened put positions and successfully participated in the downside move. This Week's Scenarios / Prediction Risk Index The Risk Index oscillator is currently showing a cautious risk on bounce setup. This indicator analyzes macro market conditions and converts them into a technical risk assessment model. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL. It is the first indicator I check before making any short term or long term trading decision. Previously, I performed these risk calculations manually. Today, the entire process is automated through the Risk Index, allowing us to save significant time while maintaining consistency. The Risk Index suggests that a bullish bounce remains possible. However, it is still warning that the market could experience additional aggressive selling pressure. In this type of environment, the highest probability approach is usually buying reactions from key levels and taking profits quickly rather than holding large runner positions. Because both the daily and weekly structures remain bullish overall, I am not interested in shorting the market at the moment. I will continue looking for long opportunities from key levels only. Long Scenarios We currently have two potential bounce zones where I expect price to react. Long Scenario 1: KEY Level 1 (696.5) This is the first major bounce level I am watching. If price reacts from this area, call options can be used to position long. Targets: 706 → 715 → 723 → 732 → 743 Long Scenario 2: KEY Level 2 (677) This is the second major bounce zone. If price reaches this level and confirms support, call options can be used to position long. Targets: 688 → 696.5 → 706 → 715 → 723 → 732 Premium Tip Price can briefly trade below these bounce zones and create a deviation before reclaiming the level and closing back above it. Because of that, aggressive entries can be taken after an hourly candle closes back above the level, but position size should remain small due to the additional risk. The primary confirmation remains the daily close. A practical approach is to enter call options near the daily close once it becomes clear that price will finish the session back above the level. Position Management Rules 1. Take profits in stages because market direction can change very quickly in this environment. 2. After the first profit target is reached, move the stop loss on all remaining contracts to breakeven and turn the trade into a risk free position. 3. Always wait for a reaction from the level. We do not predict price. We react to price. 4. A daily close below the expected bounce zone = stop loss. If you want to follow the same macro framework and gain direct access to the Risk Index indicator in real time, join the UACAPITAL Substack community. I share deeper US Market breakdowns on Substack, including daily SPY and QQQ analysis, broader market coverage, real time position updates, educational content, and live risk analysis reports. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
4
Gap touch and reversal is MEGA bullishHello Traders, Today we look at QQQ. We had a massive selloff Friday and then on Tuesday. I believe the local bottom is in and the bullish trend will continue. One interesting thing many don't know about gaps is that if you are in say a bullish trend and you get a pullback to a gap and it either reverses right before it or just after entering it that is a very big bullish continuation sign. Looking at QQQ you can see it entered the gap because the gap starts at 686.49 and todays low was 686.39 which means it slightly entered the gap and reversed. It now sits at 707.92. Many are calling for more blood. I think this is where the bears get hurt...they are seeing bearish signs...they think more down is incoming... If this follows a very similar price path in a similar TA setup I found we could see the next leg hitting ATH then going to the 2.0 fib which sits at $810. I also show the 1.272 and 1.618 fibs below it which also could be targets. Lets see what happens!
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TheUniverse618
2
Weekly Bias — 15 JuneNASDAQ:QQQ is sitting directly at decision resistance If Monday, NASDAQ:QQQ opens above $721, holds $717-$721 & breaks ~$725, look for $724 → $732 → $740 → $744 The next major liquidity pool sits near $744 If Monday, NASDAQ:QQQ rejects $724, loses $717, then $717 → $701 become the likely retracement AMEX:SPY finished essentially right underneath the pivot, ~$743 As long as AMEX:SPY stays above $726, buyers remain in control AMEX:IWM is still the strongest chart AMEX:IWM effectively closed on resistance A breakout Monday likely targets $298 then $306 Small caps continue to lead Usually supportive of broader risk appetite Bears wanted a breakdown below $700, follow-through toward $677; instead, price flushed to $686 & immediately reclaimed $700, $717 & $721 Looks increasingly like a completed downside sweep From strongest to weakest AMEX:IWM AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ Ironically this is bullish When breadth & small caps lead while yields fall, rallies tend to be more durable than when only mega-cap tech is carrying the market The strongest confirmation would be NASDAQ:QQQ clearing ~$725 while AMEX:IWM remains above $293 & AMEX:SPY reclaims ~$743 NASDAQ:QQQ $717 support $721 pivot ~$725 breakout trigger $732 first target $744 major target AMEX:SPY $743 pivot $760 AMEX:IWM $293 breakout $298 target A +2% futures gap on a credible Mid-East de-escalation headline changes the opening dynamics The question becomes is this a gap & go trend day or a gap & fade liquidity event? A +2% move projects roughly $735-$737 opening level Means the market would reclaim ~$724 (78.6%), clear $732 & move directly into the next liquidity pocket The biggest mistake traders make on geopolitical gap-ups is assuming the open is the entry since most of the edge comes from determining the type of gap 1. Gap & go First pullback holds Opening range high breaks Volume expands with price NASDAQ:QQQ $740 → $744 → ATH AMEX:SPY $760 AMEX:IWM $305 2. Gap & fade Opens near $736-$740 Can't make new highs after first 30-60 minutes Volume dries up VIX stops falling Then NASDAQ:QQQ retraces toward $732 → $725 before attempting higher 18 June distribution as of Friday's close is centered around NASDAQ:QQQ $730-$732 A +2% gap opens the market above the highest probability levels Dealers likely need to chase delta higher Gamma can become supportive if price stays elevated This is how squeeze days develop Given a +2% gap, avoid chasing $725 calls at the open Those were attractive Friday After a +2% gap, the better trade is usually to wait for a pullback into $732-$735 Then 3 July 735C/740C Target $748-$750 If NASDAQ:QQQ gaps & goes with no pullback, wait for opening range breakout, then buy calls on confirmation rather than buying the opening print The futures move effectively skips over the $724-$725 confirmation level & immediately puts the market into the $740-$748 resistance area, which is where the real test of whether this is a renewed uptrend or merely a headline-driven squeeze will occur FOMC this week is the biggest reason not to get overly aggressive chasing a +2% geopolitical gap higher Monday Mid-East relief rally NASDAQ:SPCX IPO afterglow Positioning adjustment Tuesday FOMC positioning day Wednesday FOMC statement September dot plot Warsh press conference The market only has about 1.5 trading days before the next major macro catalyst The market has NFP, CPI, PPI, consumer sentiment & Geopolitical de-escalation, so now the remaining question is what does the Fed do with the dots? The actual rate decision is likely less important than 2026 dots & 2027 dots & Warsh's tone NASDAQ:QQQ is still the most rate-sensitive index If Warsh acknowledges easing inflation, sounds comfortable with disinflation & dots move lower, then NASDAQ:QQQ likely clears $748 → target $760 & potentially $772 (138.2% extension) If Warsh pushes back on cuts, emphasizes inflation risks & keeps dots elevated, then NASDAQ:QQQ could easily see $740 → $725 or even $740 → $717 because a lot of the recent recovery has been built on falling yields The market is likely opening directly into the area where prior buyers got trapped, the wedge/bear flag failed & distribution began, so that area is not insignificant The sell-off volume was larger than the recovery volume, which is a strong reason not to view this as a confirmed breakout as of now, but more of a recovery phase vs trend resumption Given geopolitical relief & Wednesday FOMC, buy pullbacks rather than buying gaps Support $732 $725 Resistance $740 $744 $748 If futures hold, the key level is $740-$748 Prior highs exist Sellers appeared Liquidity resides FOMC risk begins getting priced Assuming futures remain near +2% Into Wednesday FOMC range between $732 & $748 (~50%) Breakout above $748 before FOMC (~30%) Gap fades back below $725 (~20%) So expect the market to spend the next 2 sessions probing the $740-$748 supply area, then let Warsh decide whether that level becomes a launchpad toward $760-$772 or another rejection point as the most important level on the board shifts from ~$725 to ~$748, because that's the last major swing high standing between NASDAQ:QQQ & price discovery higher
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
3
Research 09.06.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +3.62 +0.49%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +6.41 +0.90%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: 08:15 USA – Employment Change Weekly 08:30 USA – Balance of Trade 10:00 USA – Existing Home Sales 16:30 USA – API Crude Oil Stock Change U.S. Futures Rise as Trump Signals Progress on Iran and AI Stocks Rebound 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:SJM NASDAQ:ASO Other news: NYSE:GSK is buying NASDAQ:NUVL in a deal valued at $10.6 billion, or $124 per share in cash. NASDAQ:CECO today announced the completion of its previously announced strategic combination with Thermon Group Holdings, Inc China Preps $295 Billion Plan to Fund Nationwide AI Buildout : NASDAQ:VNET NASDAQ:KC NASDAQ:GDS Analysts at Goldman Sachs expect NASDAQ:MU to deliver a strong fiscal third quarter when the company reports later this month, with the bank sharply raising its estimates and price target on the back of tightening supply conditions and surging demand for memory chips. NASDAQ:RKLB , NASDAQ:LUNR , NYSE:RDW , NASDAQ:ASTS Jump Premarket As Musk Pitches AI Satellites, Orbital Data Centers NASDAQ:NBIS Launches Physical AI Living Lab for UK and European Robotics Startups Built With NVIDIA Technologies NASDAQ:CHAI - AI pump 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: NSE:SAIL NYSE:UNFI NYSE:MTN AMEX:UEC Other news: NASDAQ:AAPL shares traditionally fall during new product announcements at Apple’s annual WWDC developer conference. This happens every year. NASDAQ:IDYA Announces Pricing of $300 Million Offering NASDAQ:STI slipped after the battery-technology company said it entered into a securities purchase agreement with a new institutional investor. ‼️ Additional US small business sentiment falls in May as inflation worries mount The Fed will leave rates unchanged at its June meeting — analysts, Reuters poll. US 1-year consumer inflation expectations have been rising for three consecutive months since the start of Operation “Epic Fury.” Trump has already publicly stated 37 times that the US is extremely close to reaching a major agreement with Iran — CNN. 🔁 Business Combination / SPAC Deal NASDAQ:FAC – Factorial Energy Inc. Company develops solid-state battery technology for EVs, drones, robotics, defense & aerospace, data centers and energy storage. Factorial completed its business combination with Cartesian Growth Corporation III and started trading on Nasdaq under NASDAQ:FAC , with warrants under $FACWW. Core thesis is commercialization of next-generation solid-state batteries backed by Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis, Hyundai, Kia and In-Q-Tel. Deal Type: SPAC business combination Combined Company: Factorial Energy Inc. Ticker: NASDAQ:FAC / NASDAQ:FACWW Equity Value: ~$1.3B Gross Proceeds: $100M+ Trading Date: June 8, 2026 Key milestones: Mercedes-Benz tested Factorial cells in an EQS vehicle with 1,200+ km range on one charge Stellantis verified 77Ah cells in lab testing Karma Automotive and Factorial announced a U.S. solid-state battery production program Partnerships expanded into drones, robotics and defense applications Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:QS , NASDAQ:SLDP , NYSE:SES , NASDAQ:ENVX , NYSE:AMPX 📋 List of tickers involved: AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NYSE:SJM NASDAQ:ASO NYSE:GSK NASDAQ:NUVL NASDAQ:CECO NASDAQ:VNET NASDAQ:KC NASDAQ:GDS NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:LUNR NYSE:RDW NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:NBIS NASDAQ:CHAI NSE:SAIL NYSE:UNFI NYSE:MTN AMEX:UEC NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:IDYA NASDAQ:STI NASDAQ:FAC Best regards – hi2morrow team.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
This Is Why You Keep Blowing Your Funded Accounts"Dear Keeley, congratulations on successfully passing the Evaluation Process!" The FTMO email hit my inbox at 9:25PM on a Thursday, after a long day at work. I was excited. I was happy. I was touched. My hard work paid off. I started trading more. I felt like I had the Midas touch. Every trade I took was a winner. My funded account was up $3,287. I risked slightly more since I was in a winning streak. I was also in profit. I won the next few trades. First Payout Feels Unstoppable "Dear Keeley, we would like to inform you that your payout has been processed as per the details you provided." The payout hit my account within 2 days. The internet money is real. I got my first $2,629 payout. I had two $100k funded accounts. I just needed 2% profit a month to replace my day job income. 2% is easy. I was already planning to quit my job to trade full time. Two weeks into being funded, $2,629 was in my account. I felt invincible. Nothing could go wrong. I'd solved trading. I was a pro now. Quantity Kills Quality I found a copytrading service that could mirror the same trade across all accounts. With the same risk per trade, I could earn more. I understood the law of large numbers. By increasing the number of trades I took, I'd eventually be in profit. The more trades, the faster I'd get there. I started taking more trades. A+ setups, heck yeah! B+ setups, why not? C setups, maybe I'll just take 1 or 2 to try my luck. Losses, after losses, after losses. I'm smarter than the 95% who keep losing their accounts. I just got funded and got my payout. What's happening? Why am I in a deep drawdown? I'd misapplied the law of large numbers. In my mind, more trades = more profit. But it only works if every trade has positive expectancy. C setups don't. The Two Things That Broke My account was down 8% within 2 days. Had I followed my rules and traded only A+ setups, I'd be sitting at -2%. A winning streak made me lower my setup bar. That's how you blow funded accounts. The rush to fill my journal with more trades was killing me from the inside. I took a break from the market. I reset my psychology. I reviewed my last 20 trades. Two things had broken at once. (i) I was taking low-quality setups when I should have been taking only high-quality ones. (ii) I was taking trades that didn't fit the current market condition. The market context had been excellent for my strategy. That's why I went on a winning streak. But the context had changed, and I didn't notice. The win streak had clouded my judgement and made me overconfident. I felt like there was no way I could lose. Here's the trap: passing a prop firm challenge isn't proof of skill. You can gamble your way through it: high leverage, a single session, a lucky outcome. So I added rules. One to mark the higher-timeframe trend before any entry, so I'd stop trading against context. And a checklist to keep my risk at 1% per trade. A few months later, I got this email. "Dear Keeley, congratulations on successfully passing the Evaluation Process!" Your journey could look like mine. Start by reviewing your past 20 trades. Do you take the same setup when you're on a winning streak? If you can't answer that, that's the problem. Track it. My free trade journal gives you the framework.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by KeeleyTan
**SOXL: The Dangerous Game After 1291% Returns — Extreme DivergeAMEX:SOXL **📊 Thesis: Neutral to Bearish (Short-Term)** SOXL surged +5.59% despite NVDA dropping -3.24%, with the previous session also posting a significant gain. This **extreme divergence between the sector's largest heavyweight and its 3x leveraged proxy**, combined with a broad risk-off rotation (SPLV +0.69% vs. SPHB -0.48%), signals a high-risk capital migration *within* the semiconductor sector rather than healthy broad-based strength. --- **🚨 The Anomaly: NVDA vs. SOXL Rare Divergence** - **NVDA**: -3.24% (largest SOX constituent, typically 10-12% weight) - **SOXL**: +5.59% (3x Daily Bull SOX) - **SOXL YTD**: +450% | **1-Year Return**: +1291% **Interpretation**: The SOX index needed to rally approximately +2% to overcome NVDA's drag and push SOXL to +5.59%. This implies non-NVDA components (AVGO, AMD, MRVL, etc.) had to explode higher. This is not healthy sector-wide momentum — it is **violent late-stage rotation** where laggards are squeezed higher to compensate for the leader's collapse. --- **🎯 The Catalyst: "De-NVDAization" Ahead of Broadcom (AVGO) Earnings** - **AVGO reports Q2 FY2026 after market close today (June 3)**. Consensus expects AI semiconductor revenue of **$10.7B** (vs. $8.4B in Q1, +106% YoY). - **Google's rumored $80B AI infrastructure raise** points directly to ASIC demand — Broadcom's core growth engine. - Capital is rotating out of expensive NVDA into "backup" chip plays, artificially inflating the SOX index while masking underlying concentration risk. **The Trap**: If AVGO misses or guides down, the SOX index could unwind rapidly. With 3x leverage, SOXL would absorb a disproportionate shock. --- **⚠️ Macro Headwinds: Risk-Off Rotation Meets Geopolitical Fire** - **SPLV (Low Volatility) +0.69%** vs. **SPHB (High Beta) -0.48%** → Smart money is de-risking. - **VIX +2.09% to 16.10** → Uncertainty is creeping in, though not yet panic. - **WTI Crude $92** (Israel-Iran escalation) → RBC Capital Markets has warned the S&P 500 could face a **20% correction** if the conflict disrupts supply chains. **The Contradiction**: While the broader market is defensive, semiconductor leverage is in speculative euphoria. This divergence is historically unsustainable. --- **📉 Structural Risk: Volatility Decay + Liquidity Reversal** 1. **Volatility Decay**: SOXL resets daily at 3x. The current environment — NVDA down, others up, violent intraday chop — is the exact scenario that erodes leveraged ETF value through compounding math, even if the SOX index ends flat. 2. **Base Effect Fragility**: After a 1291% annual run, a mere -5% drop in SOX translates to roughly -15% for SOXL. A -10% SOX correction becomes a -30% SOXL implosion. 3. **Liquidity Reversal**: Retail FOMO and algorithmic momentum have piled in. Leveraged ETFs suffer from procyclical liquidity — abundant on the way up, evaporating instantly on the way down, often causing NAV premiums to collapse into discounts. --- **🎯 Key Levels to Watch** - **Upside Resistance**: SOX index prior highs. SOXL is hypersensitive to any slowdown in the underlying's momentum. - **Downside Support**: If AVGO earnings trigger a SOX pullback, expect a potential double-digit single-day decline in SOXL. - **Critical Metrics**: - Can NVDA stabilize, or does its selling spread? - Does the SPLV/SPHB ratio continue expanding? If yes, the risk-off backdrop will eventually crush speculative leverage. --- **💡 Conclusion** SOXL's consecutive surges are driven by **intra-sector capital migration** — not an acceleration in underlying semiconductor fundamentals. Against a backdrop of broad market defense, geopolitical oil shocks, and extreme leverage positioning, SOXL sits at the intersection of **high speculation, high volatility, and high fragility**. **This is not a chasing opportunity. It is a warning window for volatility reversion.**
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by GPTStockAnalyst
Stock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT0:00 - Market Update Intro: QQQ, SPY, Bitcoin & Mag 7 An overview of this week's technical analysis layout covering the major stock market indices, crypto, and mega-cap tech sectors. 0:13 - Macro Overview & Market Data Analysis Analyzing critical market data including sector rotation, dark pool prints, economic catalysts, and the latest AAII sentiment metrics. 5:03 - QQQ Chart Technical Analysis CME_MINI:NQ1! Breaking down the QQQ tech ETF chart to see if bears can confirm a daily head-and-shoulders pattern or if a healthy weekly consolidation is underway. 7:45 - SPY Chart Technical Analysis CME_MINI:ES1! Examining the SPY S&P 500 ETF price action to locate major support zones fueled by defensive sector rotation into healthcare and financials. 8:26 - Magnificent 7 Overview A strategic look at the broader Mag 7 index weightings to determine if mega-cap tech support levels can keep the overall market afloat. 8:46 - Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis Unpacking Bitcoin's failed channel breakout, high-volume relative weakness, and potential liquidity grab on the monthly macro time frame. 11:56 - Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart Pinpointing the key 380 support level on the Tesla stock chart after a heavy Friday drop to see where bulls might step in for a bounce. 13:13 - Meta (META) Stock Analysis Evaluating Meta's chart structure and the recent capex spending rumors regarding stock offerings that triggered a 5.5% pullback. 14:36 - Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Stock Chart Analyzing Amazon's weekly bull flag breakdown and mapping out the core horizontal support levels down to the 236 zone. 16:01 - Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Analysis Tracking Microsoft's failed breakout above the 430 resistance level and what it means for major software sector momentum. 17:14 - Google (GOOGL) Stock Chart Assessing Google's healthy chart retracement and gap-fill range following the market panic over equity offering news. 18:14 - Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis Highlighting Apple's clear relative strength and continuous uptrend structure as the market rewards its lower AI capex strategy. 19:00 - Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Chart Locating the absolute must-hold 200 support channel on the Nvidia stock chart to gauge the long-term health of the semiconductor sector rally.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
1
Elliott Wave View: QQQ Correcting Cycle from May 18The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) established a significant low on March 31, 2026, at $555.55. From this level, the ETF advanced in wave (1), reaching $722.03, before a corrective pullback in wave (2) concluded at $695.25. The subsequent rally unfolded as wave (3), structured as a clear impulsive Elliott Wave sequence. Within this move, wave ((i)) terminated at $706.49, followed by wave ((ii)) at $700.20. Momentum then carried wave ((iii)) to $737.60, before wave ((iv)) corrected to $725.27. The final leg, wave ((v)), extended to $748.65, completing wave 1 of the higher degree cycle. At present, QQQ is pulling back in wave 2, correcting the cycle from the May 19, 2026 low. This phase has already produced wave ((w)), which ended at $741.01, and a counter‑trend rally in wave ((x)), which peaked at $745.76. Market expectations now center on wave ((y)) finding support between $733.60 and $738.20. Once this support zone is confirmed, wave 2 should conclude, paving the way for the next upward cycle. Near term, the pivot at $695.18 remains critical. As long as this level holds, dips are expected to attract buyers. The correction may unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swings, but the broader structure favors continuation higher once the corrective rhythm stabilizes.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Research 03.06.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY −0.59 −0.08%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +1.98 +0.27%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: 08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change 10:00 USA – Factory Orders 10:00 USA – ISM Services PMI 10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:GME NASDAQ:OLLI NASDAQ:MMED NYSE:MDT $M Other news: NASDAQ:XOS on Launch of Power Systems Targeted at Data Centers NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:INTC rally continues NYSE:BB CFO Stands Firm On AI Vision NASDAQ:AXSM announced that it has resolved all patent litigation related to Axsome’s product SUNOSI (solriamfetol). NASDAQ:IREN Announces First Australian Data Center Campus - 800MW in South Australia NASDAQ:CIFR , NASDAQ:WULF , NASDAQ:KEEL jump as former Bitcoin miners decouple from lagging Bitcoin price NASDAQ:SIMO : Enterprise storage expansion and MonTitan ramp to 10% revenue drive growth and margin stability NYSE:VRT declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0625 per share 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:GTLB NYSE:THO NASDAQ:PANW NASDAQ:ULTA NASDAQ:CGNT Other news: NASDAQ:MLYS Announces Pricing of $150 Million Underwritten Offering of Common Stock NASDAQ:ASTS , NASDAQ:RKLB , NASDAQ:SIDU , NYSE:RDW Reverse Losses As Blue Origin CEO Vows New Glenn Return This Year NASDAQ:CELC announced a proposed underwritten public offering of $400,000,000 NYSE:BX and NYSE:KKR slump in premarket trade as private-asset travails mount (CLIFFWATER PRIVATE CREDIT FUND STUNG BY 17% REDEMPTION REQUESTS) Leading Bank maintains sell on NYSE:AZN as ASCO glow fails to resolve key pipeline questions NASDAQ:GRRR Announces Pricing of $107 Million Senior Unsecured Convertible Bond Offering ‼️ Additional Iran has not responded to the US in recent days and has paused the exchange of messages. -- Tasnim is once again denying Trump’s statements. SpaceX plans to create the most advanced orbital defense system for the US, hinting at major defense contracts. The unrealized loss of Tom Lee’s BitMine NYSE:BMNR from its ETH investments has exceeded $9 billion. Trump signed an executive order on AI oversight for national security risks less than two weeks after refusing to approve it. Goldman sharply raised its targets for Asian equities and expects upside over the next year of 12% to 36% from current levels, referring to Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. The US is proposing new tariffs of at least 10% on imports from most major trading partners following an investigation into goods allegedly produced using forced labor — BBG. 🏢 IPO NYSE:AADX – Applied Aerospace & Defense Company provides design, engineering and vertically integrated manufacturing services for aerospace and defense customers. It builds mission-critical subsystems for space and launch systems, defense aviation, airborne systems, C5ISR and precision strike platforms. A major strength is deep customer integration: sole- or single-source positions represented about 87% of revenue in 2025. Price: $20.00 Shares: 32.5M Raised: $650.0M LTM: Revenue: $498.8M Net Income: -$17.0M Comparable public companies: NYSE:HWM , NYSE:TDG , NYSE:HEI , NYSE:RTX , NASDAQ:KTOS 📋 List of tickers involved: AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NYSE:GME NASDAQ:OLLI NASDAQ:MMED NYSE:MDT $M NASDAQ:XOS NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:INTC NYSE:BB NASDAQ:AXSM NASDAQ:IREN NASDAQ:CIFR NASDAQ:WULF NASDAQ:KEEL NASDAQ:SIMO NYSE:VRT NASDAQ:GTLB NYSE:THO NASDAQ:PANW NASDAQ:ULTA NASDAQ:CGNT NASDAQ:MLYS NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:SIDU NYSE:RDW NASDAQ:CELC NYSE:BX NYSE:KKR NYSE:AZN NASDAQ:GRRR NYSE:BMNR Best regards – hi2morrow team.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
QQQ Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for QQQ is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 721.37 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 709.21 My Stop Loss - 729.95 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Research 12.06.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +3.76 +0.51%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +2.58 +0.36%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Today is SpaceX's IPO 10:00 USA – Michigan Consumer Sentiment 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: Other news: The following five companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 Index: NASDAQ:CRWV NASDAQ:NBIS NASDAQ:ALAB NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:TER (At the close of markets on Friday, June 19th) Space sector rises on SpaceX IPO: NASDAQ:SATS NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:GOOG considering using Samsung Electronics to manufacture part of a future artificial intelligence (AI) chip, a move that would mark a notable shift in the US tech group's supply chain as demand for advanced AI silicon strains capacity at TSMC. Bank of America said agentic AI could open a market worth more than $170 billion for server CPUs by 2030, lifting outlooks for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:INTC and NASDAQ:ARM Pre-market risers (pump&dump) : NASDAQ:BYAH NASDAQ:DSY NASDAQ:UBXG 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:ADBE NYSE:LEN NYSE:RH Other news: The following five companies will be removed from the Nasdaq-100 Index: NASDAQ:CHTR NASDAQ:CTSH NASDAQ:INSM NASDAQ:VRSK NASDAQ:ZS (At the close of markets on Friday, June 19th) ‼️ Additional SpaceX NASDAQ:SPCX is currently valued at $2.2 trillion on Hyperliquid and Binance, with futures trading around $165 per share — BBG. Oil and gas stocks are falling on insider information that a peace deal between Iran and the US will be signed this weekend ahead of the G7 meeting. 🏢 IPO NASDAQ:SPCX – SpaceX / Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Nasdaq reported that SpaceX shares, ticker NASDAQ:SPCX , will begin trading at 9:50 AM ET. Company builds rockets, spacecraft, satellite internet infrastructure and AI systems. Core businesses include Falcon/Starship launches, Starlink broadband and mobile satellite connectivity, and xAI/Grok after the xAI acquisition. Main thesis is vertically integrated space + connectivity + AI infrastructure, with SpaceX already carrying the majority of global mass to orbit and operating one of the largest satellite networks in the world. Price: $135.00 Shares: 555.6M Raised: $75.0B LTM: Revenue: $19.30B Net Income: -$8.69B Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:RKLB , NASDAQ:ASTS , NASDAQ:IRDM , NYSE:PL , NYSE:LMT , NASDAQ:NVDA 📋 List of tickers involved: NASDAQ:CRWV NASDAQ:NBIS NASDAQ:ALAB NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:TER NASDAQ:SATS NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:BYAH NASDAQ:DSY NASDAQ:UBXG NASDAQ:ADBE NYSE:LEN NYSE:RH NASDAQ:CHTR NASDAQ:CTSH NASDAQ:INSM NASDAQ:VRSK NASDAQ:ZS NASDAQ:SPCX Best regards – hi2morrow team.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
QQQ/NDX Mid Week Update (11-12 JUN)QQQ/NDX Market Update Market Sentiment US equity markets have entered a multi layered turbulence phase after failing to sustain the relief rally triggered by a softer than expected CPI print, which under normal conditions would have acted as a strong bullish catalyst for risk assets. Instead, the macro landscape rapidly deteriorated into a complex shock environment. The re escalation of the US–Iran conflict and Iran’s announcement of a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz have introduced a structural supply shock and a potential global energy logistics disruption. This has significantly increased macro risk premiums across all risk assets. At the same time, equity markets are facing internal liquidity rotation pressures. Ahead of tomorrow’s historic SpaceX IPO on Nasdaq, institutional desks appear to be raising cash by aggressively reducing exposure in mega cap technology names and major ETFs. This is adding additional downside pressure on indices already weakened by geopolitical stress. As a result, Wall Street is now trapped between three conflicting forces: disinflationary CPI data, an emerging energy supply shock, and liquidity driven equity selling from large IPO positioning. This mismatch is creating a highly unstable price environment, making directional forecasting significantly more difficult. For this reason, the focus remains strictly on short term reactive trading around key levels with tight risk management. Risk Index This oscillator processes macro market data and converts it into a structured technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator used for both short-term and long term decision-making. After the softer CPI release, the Risk Index briefly shifted into an intraday risk-on posture during pre market conditions. However, once the market opened and heavy single leg put flows exceeding $250M entered the system, sentiment quickly reversed and the model shifted back into a cautious risk off regime. Currently, the Risk Index is signaling a defensive environment. As a result the focus will be on short setups from major supply zones rather than trend continuation longs. Scenarios / Prediction Short Scenario KEY Supply (706.5) If price retests this supply zone and shows rejection, put options can be used to position short. Targets: 695 → 689 → 677 → 669 Invalidation: Daily close above 715 Long Scenario KEY Level (669) If price reaches this demand zone and shows a strong reaction, call options can be used for a long position. Targets: 677 → 689 → 695 → 706.5 Invalidation: Daily close below 657 Premium Tip Price may temporarily break above or below these zones to create a deviation before reversing and reclaiming the level. Because of this, aggressive entries can be taken on hourly closes back inside the zone, but position size should remain small due to elevated volatility. The primary confirmation remains the daily close. A more disciplined approach is to enter after the daily close confirms acceptance within the expected direction. Position Management Rules 1. Take profits in stages as volatility remains elevated and reversals can occur quickly. 2. After the first take-profit, move stop loss to breakeven and convert the trade into a risk-free position. 3. Always wait for price reaction at key levels. We do not predict; we react. 4. A daily close beyond the invalidation zone confirms setup failure and stops the trade. If you want to follow the same macro framework and gain direct access to the Risk Index indicator in real time, join the UACAPITAL Substack community. I share deeper US Market breakdowns on Substack, including daily SPY and QQQ analysis, broader market coverage, real time position updates, educational content, and live risk analysis reports. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
Morning Market Notes: The Wind Is Quietly ShiftingAMEX:SPY AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:TQQQ ### Wall Street Tea House | June 8, 2026 | Mid-Morning Update Markets are doing something today that they were unable to do last week: **They are absorbing bad news and moving higher anyway.** That may sound like a small distinction, but historically it is one of the earliest signs that market character is beginning to change. --- ## Futures Were Right Before the open, futures pointed to a strong rebound. So far, that strength has largely held. * SPY remains comfortably above 740. * QQQ is leading higher. * Semiconductor stocks are recovering. * Volatility continues to retreat. Most importantly, we have not seen the classic "gap up and fade" pattern that often accompanies bear-market rallies. The market opened higher, encountered profit-taking, and then stabilized. That is constructive behavior. --- ## Volatility Is Sending a Different Message The VIX has fallen from 21.5 on Friday to roughly 18.8 this morning. A move of that magnitude rarely happens by accident. Investors are no longer aggressively bidding for downside protection. The market is not pricing perfection. But it is no longer pricing panic. That distinction matters. A VIX near 19 remains elevated relative to the 15–16 range that prevailed before last week's turbulence, suggesting uncertainty has not disappeared. However, uncertainty and fear are not the same thing. Fear appears to be fading. --- ## Korea's Selloff Is No Longer Driving the Narrative South Korea experienced another highly volatile session overnight. Yet something interesting happened. Instead of spreading fear globally, the damage appears increasingly contained. Markets that spent last week reacting to every negative headline are now beginning to look through them. This is often what happens near important inflection points. Bad news continues to exist. Markets simply stop caring as much. The distinction is subtle but powerful. --- ## Risk Appetite Is Returning Perhaps the most important development of the morning is not the movement in major indices. It is the movement beneath the surface. High-beta assets are dramatically outperforming defensive assets. Capital is rotating away from protection and back toward opportunity. Leveraged semiconductor exposure is attracting buyers. Growth-oriented names are leading. Defensive positioning is losing momentum. These shifts do not guarantee higher prices tomorrow. But they do suggest investors are becoming more willing to embrace risk again. And market advances rarely begin without that change in behavior. --- ## Why Today's Action Matters The most significant market turns are rarely obvious in real time. They begin quietly. Volatility eases. Selling pressure weakens. Leadership improves. Risk appetite returns. Then, only later, does the broader market recognize that something has changed. Today's session is beginning to exhibit several of those characteristics simultaneously. That does not guarantee a new uptrend. But it does suggest the environment is becoming increasingly supportive of one. --- ## What We're Watching This Afternoon Several signals remain important: * Can SPY continue holding above 740? * Can the VIX remain below 19? * Can semiconductor leadership persist into the close? * Can buying volume expand during the afternoon session? If those conditions remain intact, today's advance will look less like a temporary relief rally and more like the early stages of a broader improvement in market conditions. --- ## Final Thoughts Last week was dominated by fear. Today is being defined by resilience. Markets are not rallying because everything is suddenly good. They are rallying because investors are becoming less concerned that everything is suddenly bad. That is often how turning points begin. Not with optimism. Not with certainty. But with the gradual realization that the worst-case scenario may no longer be the most likely one. ### Tea House Quote > "The market doesn't ring a bell at the bottom. It simply stops falling on bad news. Everything else comes later." We'll learn much more by the closing bell. For now, the wind appears to be shifting. ☕️ *Disclaimer: This publication is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.*
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by GPTStockAnalyst
Research 08.06.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +5.42 +0.73%(pre/m) (after −19.54 −2.58% on friday) NASDAQ:QQQ +10.05 +1.43%(pre/m) (after −35.55 −4.80% on friday) 🆕 Economic News: 11:00 USA – Consumer Inflation Expectations 13:00 USA – NASDAQ:AAPL annual WWDC26 developer conference: new product announcements and new AI strategy updates are expected Nasdaq futures rise after worst day in over a year; oil jumps 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:CPB Other news: NASDAQ:TNGX Announces Combination of Vopimetostat and Daraxonrasib Demonstrated 92% Objective Response Rate in Pancreatic Cancer NYSE:LLY NYSE:NVO Both Share Good News on Weight-Loss Drugs ARK Invest increased its positions in NASDAQ:COIN NYSE:CRCL -- NYSE:BABA was ARKK's largest purchase by share count during the period, with the fund adding 245,342 shares. -- ARKK offloaded a combined 784,380 shares of NYSE:ACHR and sold 457,754 shares of $BIDU. S&P 500: additions NASDAQ:MRVL , NASDAQ:FLEX / effective date - 19th june on markets closing S&P MidCap 400: additions NASDAQ:ROKU , NYSE:CDE , NASDAQ:SMTC , NASDAQ:SANM , NASDAQ:VIAV / effective date - 19th june on markets closing S&P SmallCap 600: additions NASDAQ:POOL , NASDAQ:CPB , NYSE:COTY , NASDAQ:CNXC / effective date - 19th june on markets closing NASDAQ:NVDA Strikes Deals With Korean Tech Titans for AI Infrastructure Buildout 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:VFS NASDAQ:WIX (Public SEC Filing / Form 6-K) Other news: SpaceX signs $920m monthly cloud deal with NASDAQ:GOOGL ahead of IPO NYSE:BRC Announces CEO Transition S&P MidCap 400: deletions NYSE:BRBR , NASDAQ:BLKB / effective date - 19th june on markets closing S&P SmallCap 600: deletions NASDAQ:EMBC , NYSE:UHT / effective date - 19th june on markets closing ‼️ Additional TRUMP: Both sides — Israel and Iran — are seeking an immediate CEASEFIRE! Final negotiations on “peace” are underway, unless, of course, ignorance or stupidity gets in the way. The blockade will remain fully in place until a “final agreement” is reached. Things should move quickly. -- If attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure continue, all oil and gas facilities linked to Israel, the US, and their allies, including regional energy facilities, will become targets of Iran’s armed forces — Iranian military official, FARS. Trump: There is no reason to raise interest rates. -- Goldman now expects the Fed to cut rates no earlier than mid-2027. BlackRock is once again moving BTC and ETH to exchanges. Clients continue to sell — monitoring. 📋 List of tickers involved: AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:CPB NASDAQ:TNGX NYSE:LLY NYSE:NVO NASDAQ:COIN NYSE:CRCL NYSE:BABA NYSE:ACHR NASDAQ:BIDU NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:FLEX NASDAQ:ROKU NYSE:CDE NASDAQ:SMTC NASDAQ:SANM NASDAQ:VIAV NASDAQ:POOL NYSE:COTY NASDAQ:CNXC NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:VFS NASDAQ:WIX NASDAQ:GOOGL NYSE:BRC NYSE:BRBR NASDAQ:BLKB NASDAQ:EMBC NYSE:UHT Best regards – hi2morrow team.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team